Bearish Count confirmedDiamond forming now on the 5 min chart in wave iii-iv
Now that we know that yellow zone has been held as resistance, we should expect a continuation down. Not sure if crypto is leading or the nasdaq, but if you look at them they're very correlated now.
I was sweating a bit yesterday but that sharp selloff this morning confirmed that we have topped in the nasdaq.
TECH
The breakout has not happened yet on MELI. This is our plan.Let's take a look at MELI. We can see two relevant aspects on the chart.
a) The price has broken an ascending trendline that has been working since MAY 2020
b) The price has been correcting for the last 4 months almost, and the main structure we can observe is a descending Wedge.
Based on those two items on the daily chart, this is our trading plan.
-We can see a clear resistance zone at 1600 - 1650 that has been tested 3 times. Therefore we don't want to take any setup below that level. So, we will wait for the price to reach it first. IF that happens and we see a move above that level, we want to observe a clear corrective pattern. Here we have defined an ABC structure (what we are looking for is something with similar proportions as the previous corrective structure that happened at the same level we are waiting for this one.
-If all the scenarios are aligned, we plan to take a setup, as you can see on the chart. The two levels above the resistance are the broken ascending trendline (working as a dynamic resistance) and the previous ATH. We think that a setup like this one can provide us with a 1.7 risk-reward ratio and a resolution between 10 to 20 days.
Quick Questions
And what if this never happens? - We don't trade, darling
Ok, smart guy, and what if you wait for all this and suddenly you have a stop loss? - We just take it with 1% of our account with a smile on our faces. Stop losses are a fixed cost of trading; start dealing with that instead of avoiding it.
Why don't you buy it right now? - Because Momentum trading / Swing trading is about waiting for confirmations and creating scenarios with a good risk-reward ratio (which means defining stop levels) so after 40 setups, you can have an edge (or a statistical advantage)
Thanks for reading, guys! all your questions and ideas are more than welcome in the comment box! Have a great week.
BFLY On The Way To $20BFLY Current Price $11.75 Price Target $20
Innovative tech has been killed since February but the core difference between most innovative tech and BFLY is BFLY is a profitable company only trading at 5xPE. This is very cheap when you consider the S&P is trading at 20 PE (which means BFLY is trading four times cheaper than the market). BFLY has created a handheld ultrasound that is significantly cheaper than a normal ultrasound machine. This product is going to be used by developing countries in the future.
Bulls MIALooks at how many times we've flipped at that yellow zone.
Past price action tells us a reaction is likely there.
Looks like we're hitting a wall.
If we can break through this zone, we'll push to new highs.
BUT,
The upward price action looks corrective to me.
C wave extended 1.382 of the A wave.
Bearish Bias remains.
Buying the SQQQ. Stop loss if the NDX breaks above 13,850 or so.
Hit ResistanceWe're right in my 2nd target zone for this rally.
Looks like the price action has gotten stopped in that zone.
I see this as a opportunity to short.
I would set my stop at 13,800.
Watch Crypto. See if it follows tech downward.
Or maybe they'll just PAMP it up again. Who knows with all this free money.
$PENN Update - 4% Day Since Post Yesterday PENN gaming bouncing off the 200DMA as I predicted yesterday, will easily carry this to $100 IMO, not only do we have support at the $75 level, but we also have an upward trendline from August of 2020 that gives this 3 technical confirmations and bullish outlooks for an upward movement towards my target of $110.
$PLTR Update - Monster Momentum Ahead PLTR working out beautifully as it broke out of its downward channel, now that the reversal is clear, we can watch this bounce off the 100 and 50 Day moving averages, giving this room to move exponentially towards previous ATH's.
$SQ Update - BTC Dip Spooked me, Following Channel I previously posted that I closed out of this position because of the BTC dip that I thought gave the setup too much BTC exposure that could pull it down if BTC continued to drop, but this is playing out very nicely from my original post when I was long at $200. Nice reversal here.
$SNAP Bouncing off Channel Top, Bullish With Snapchat having a selloff the previous day, I thought it was a healthy pullback after having nearly a 13% move in a few days, the top of the channel has acted as support and more buyers have entered which will push this higher to $65-$70 level, path of least resistance. Working out amazingly!
$SNAP Update - Looking for Support Snapchat cleared through its channel range the other day, topping nearly $61, a pullback today seems healthy with an almost 7% move the previous day. What I am looking for next is some support on top of this ascending triangle, if price can hold above approximately $58.50 for the week, I think it will give traders yet another opportunity to enter for a move towards $70. Watch tomorrow as the closing candle green will give this further strength in the near term.
$GME Update, Breakout +18% Today - Position up 40%As I predicted 2 weeks ago, GME showing parabolic momentum breaking out of its consolidation channel. Currently sitting on the resistance point of $211, which is the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, a strong close above these levels can indicate a move to the next 50% retracement level near $260 price point. Seeing a lot of resistance on the Level 2 near $211, but with this stock being Gamestop, I expect nothing short of surprise to how far this can move.
$PLTR Breaking out with a green close today - Target $27Palantir looking strong breaking from its downward channel, a solid green candle to complete todays close gives me full confidence for a move back towards $27.
$TWTR Update - Reversal ConfirmationMACD Reversal confirmed as well as increasing relative strength I believe will allow this to continue trading towards the $65 range, my first price target where I will trim position. Depending on whether it can break this channel assuming the top of the trading range is reached, I would put a second price target of near $70 if it can break above the $65 Level.
Entered this one a little too early, but respected my stop loss and let it ride out for a week or so.
$NVDA Earnings Anticipation Nvidia cruising towards the top of its trading range as the company reports earnings this Wednesday May 26th, the report could definitely allow a breakout to happen near $700 if expectations and future projections are strong. High demand for graphics cards within not only the crypto community, but gaming community as well. Nearly impossible to get your hands on a 30 series card near MSRP these days. Watching closely.
$SNAP Update - Position Up 12%, Important Price Level & Paths An update on Snapchat from last week, we have now reached the top of the bullish pennant formation, an important level to see where the market wants to bring this in the short term. Currently sitting on the top of the pennant, representing a resistance level, watch closely today and tomorrow to see where traders want to bring this. There are two path predictions I have for the short term, a green candle closing above this pennant would give me confidence for a breakout towards $70. The second path would indicate if the top of this channel acts as resistance, meaning the market would continue to consolidate within the channel and attempt to breakout at a later date.
An answer for where this will go will likely be answered by the close tomorrow.
Catching the waveSometimes catching a wave is hard and other times it's about as easy as buying double A batteries from Woolworths. You pick when and where.
Jokes aside, Appen is setting itself up to bounce off of the 8/1 gann ratio and longer term trend we've seen building over a 12+ month period. The weekly RSI is ticking oversold territory and could work in the favour of this trade.
With an upcoming quarterly report it will be worth watching how it reacts.
Best of luck out there!