Cup and Handle Breakout | Strong Trend Reversal in PlayNSE:PREMEXPLN
Analysis:
This chart showcases a classic "Cup and Handle" breakout pattern — a powerful bullish reversal setup. After a prolonged downtrend, the stock formed a rounded base, retested the neckline zone near ₹500, and broke out with strong momentum and volume.
Trendline Breakout: A long-term descending trendline has been broken, signaling a trend reversal.
Cup Formation: A smooth, rounded bottom formed over several months indicates accumulation and base-building.
Breakout Confirmation: A sharp breakout above the neckline resistance (around ₹500–₹510) with volume confirms the breakout.
Target Levels: Price has already moved toward ₹606 and is now approaching ₹678 — the measured move target from the depth of the cup.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Ideal entry was near breakout of ₹510.
Targets: ₹606 (hit), ₹678 (approaching).
Stop-loss: Below ₹500 or trailing below recent swing lows for momentum trades.
Outlook:
The chart signals a strong reversal and momentum continuation. If ₹678 is broken, further upside potential opens up.
HAPPY TRADING !!
Techincalanalysis
USOIL Weekly Analysis – Major Breakdown and Retest in PlayAfter several months of holding firm, USOIL has finally broken below its key support zone around $67–$70, which had acted as a floor since mid-2021 . This is a significant technical development, and the current price action is showing a classic bearish retest of that broken structure.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken:
The $67–$70 zone was tested multiple times over the past 2 years. Price has now cleanly broken through it and is struggling to reclaim it.
Retest in Progress:
Price is currently hovering around $62.36 and failing to push back above the broken support. This retest is textbook and could confirm further downside.
Market Structure:
Lower highs and lower lows dominate the weekly chart = clear bearish trend.
Bearish Targets:
Target 1: $53.50 – Previous minor demand zone from 2021.
Target 2: $41.50 – Strong historical support and potential major bounce area.
Invalidation Zone:
If price closes above $70 on the weekly chart, the breakdown would be invalidated and we’ll reconsider our bias.
Confluence:
Broken multi-year support
Bearish retest on weekly timeframe
Clear downside liquidity below
Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Short on confirmation of rejection below $67
Timeframe: Weekly / Daily
This is a high-probability setup if the rejection continues. Look for further bearish price action on the daily or 4H chart for refined entries. As always, manage risk carefully .
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If Trend Reverses, We'll Most likely See 106-109k FirstTrading Fam,
We'll bring our knowledge of liquidity to the chart here today. You guys know that my new indicator utilizes liquidity as a prime factor in helping to alert us when to buy and sell any given asset. In our chart here today, I have also brought over the liquidation map from Glassnode, which will help us gain further insight into what Bitcoin's next move might be.
First, let me explain a few of the drawing here.
For those who may be new, those liquidity blocks are printed by LuxAlgo's "Liquidity Swings" indicator. I have incorporated them into my indicator and have combined it with another to alert me as to exactly when it might become a good time to buy or sell. Typically, I set the blocks to have a 15 day life cycle. When we are overbought and enter into a sell-side liquidity block, my indicator will flash a red dot. When we are oversold and enter into a buy-side liquidity block, my indicator will flash a green dot. These are typically super-accurate signals and are, at least, a good time to start your exits and/or entries but unfortunately, these DOTS DO NOT APPEAR in this chart due to this being a private indicator distributed by invite only.
I use additional indicators for confirmation and to support what my indicator is showing me, such as the VRVP. You can see the VRVP Point of Control (PoC) is at 96,425 in this chart, meaning that most of our recent traded volume is to the underside of us right now. This is positive. However, it is important to recognize that sometimes that PoC can act as sort of a magnet to pull price back to that area before further directional price trend movement. Keep this in mind as we continue to consider price movement here.
Back to the liquidity blocks. I've extended our last big liquidity block from Jan-Feb of this year out past the normal 15 day life cycle that I usually set. I think this is important as it appears to align with the data that I've brought over from Glassnode's Liquidation Map. Notice that on the map you see large liquidity pools both below the current price and also, above it. But the larger liquidity pool remains above us at the time of this post. This aligns with the resistance levels I have drawn on the chart in white which remain above us. And currently, we are also forming a bull flag pattern. So, are greatest probability of price movement right now remains to the upside. I am targeting that 106-108k area. Once hit, trend reversal could occur.
Here's what I expect.
We hit 106-108k. Then, at this point, the market must make a critical decision; do we continue up, beating previous highs, or do we first drop down and liquidate all those late longs from 93-104k?
Now, since we know that big money is in this game and wants as much as they can get at the best price possible, it is easier to determine what might occur. I suggest that once liquidation occurs up to 106-108k, sell-side pressure will be placed on the market in hopes of driving price back down to clean out all of those late long entries. That PoC level at around 96k is a good target here. Once this price has been hit, freeing up hundreds of millions in liquidated Bitcoin, the big buyers (smart money) will step back in to swoop up the loot and Bitcoin will be free to trend back up again.
Now, as always, I could be wrong. Let's talk about what happens if we beat our 106-108k overhead resistance levels. In this case, we could see Bitcoin pump as high as 125k before any local trend reversal begins to occur. I will re-assess at this point.
BLUF: 106-108k is key resistance. Mark your charts and keep your eye on what price does there. It will be key to what happens next.
✌️Stew
US30 MAY 15What kind of birds stick together? Velcrows! And we shall stick together as we conquer this market. Today price is stuck between 2 key areas (41,973 and 41797).
I am going to wait for price to break and retest one of those areas before I get into a buy or sell respectfully. on the 1m timeframe.
And I'm trading level to level. If it goes for the sell, it is evident that price will try to fill in the price gap that it left behind and few days ago. 41,527 level
And if price decides that it wants to go for the buy, I'll buy up to the next level where price last stopped on the hourly, 42,139 level.
But, like a 21-year-old girl, 5 shots in off of Tequilla, price will do whatever it wants, so trade responsibly. And have fun!!!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/05/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near 24750 level. After opening if nifty starts trading and sustain above this level then expected upside movement upto 24950 level. Below 24700 level there will be downside expected upto 24550. 24550 level will act as a strong and important support for nifty. Any major downside only expected below this support level.
Thu 15th May 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning, and this is a BTC/USD Sell trade. As usual, you can see the details of the trade/s on the chart. Keep in mind that I am generally looking to buy when the MACD is below the zero level & sell when it is above the zero level. The red/blue QMP Filter dots on the price chart produce the actual trade signal. I am also considering things like divergence, support/resistance, round numbers etc, and these will be marked up on the chart. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
XAU/USD 14 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisHi everyone — thanks for stopping by.
I’m Amin, a London-based technical analyst-in-training, currently preparing for the CMT Level I exam (June 2025) and building towards a career as a Market Strategist/Analyst.
I post daily/weekly analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) soon to be blended with CMT-aligned tools like RSI, Moving Averages, trend structure, and market phase models.
My Goal: To secure a strategist or analyst role in London.
Recent highlight: One of my TradingView ideas was featured by an editor.
If you're in the industry, a fellow learner, or hiring, feel free to reach out — I’m open to opportunities and connections.
Let’s keep growing and learning!
Amin.
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
Technical Analysis Overview:
Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill.
Current Viewpoint:
At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying.
We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee.
Short-Term Strategy:
In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328
Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156
Buy Opportunities:
Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
Sell Opportunities:
Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280
Upcoming Key News:
In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market.
Important Notes:
Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions.
Good Luck!
Mon 12th May 2025 GBP/AUD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. This trade being a GBP/AUD Buy. As usual, you can see the details of the trade/s on the chart. Keep in mind that I am generally looking to buy when the MACD is below the zero level & sell when it is above the zero level. The red/blue QMP Filter dots on the price chart produce the actual trade signal. I am also considering things like divergence, support/resistance, round numbers etc, and these will be marked up on the chart. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
NZDJPY LONGHey everyone we looking for a long NZDJPY, we were having a uptrend for an quiet a while so this is what i see and why i will taking a buy
1) break and retest to daily support and reject few times
2) reject from a 50% Fib level
3) break our counter trend line on 4h which shows us buyer is taking over
4) shift from bearish to bullish market after break of structure on1h
5) reject Daily and 4h 50 EMA
6) engulfing bullish on 4h
Im aiming 1:2 risk to reward Ratio
#SEIUSDT remains in bullish continuation mode📉 LONG BYBIT:SEIUSDT.P from $0.2747
🛡 Stop loss: $0.2640
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
✅ Market Overview:
➡️ Falling Wedge pattern has played out — confirmed breakout to the upside.
➡️ A strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is visible — neckline broken with momentum.
➡️ Volume increases on upward impulse — bullish confirmation.
➡️ Current price is consolidating slightly — likely preparing for the next leg up.
➡️ POC at $0.1697 is far below — market structure flipped bullish.
➡️ Clear upward projection toward the $0.2810–$0.2910 range.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.2810
💎 TP 2: $0.2870
💎 TP 3: $0.2910
📢 Holding above $0.2740 confirms bullish structure.
📢 Watch for minor resistance near TP1, then potential continuation to TP2 and TP3.
📢 Secure partial profits at TP1, and let the rest ride toward higher targets.
📢 It’s advisable to partially take profits near the specified resistance levels.
📢 A retest of the breakout zone (around $0.22) is possible — this can be used for adding to the position.
🚀 BYBIT:SEIUSDT.P remains in bullish continuation mode — targets still active!
NAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RRNAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RR. After the TP hit from yesterday Im still expecting more bullish momentum so Im waiting to see if I can get this 1-10RR or at least 1-5RR from this. Remember we need confirmations to enter the trade. It has to brake structure in 5min before we enter.
Lets see
EUR/JPY LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY is making a bearish pullback on the 3H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 163.264 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURCHF Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.9315 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9351
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA Eiffel Tower Not CompleteEiffel tower patterns are rare but very powerful TA structures when they develop.
They are very hard patterns to short since we can never know when the wave up ends. However, there is so much information we can extract from them during and after the collapse.
When they are rising and going vertical, and you happen to be in it. The benefits will be great! As the price action sucks in everyone all at once with virtually no sellers.
So, what info can we learn?
On the way up, when this is happening, you should have the ability to recognize it at some point without worrying if you got the top. Take your money and RUN!
Never try to get back in and try to chase it up!
Never try to short it, thinking it is too high, this is the top!
When it tops out, never buy the dip! Bc you know how this structure will end.
Never buy based on some silly FIB or bc it's down too much!
Never buy the base thinking it will go back to new all-time highs, and it is now safe to get back in bc it will only keep going lower, more through time, frustrating you until you puke it up.
So remember this gimmicky sound bite.
"If they don't scare you out, they will wear you out!"
Ain't nobody got time for that! Your money has a much better place to be allocated to make you money instead of being fixated on a chart like this.
The reason people get stuck is bc the move provoked emotion! Then, when they get involved thinking they will be Buffett tomorrow from this one trade, they will experience Euphoria, sadness, anger etc., further provoking even more emotions to the point they become obsessed! Guessing, waiting, hoping, doubling down on and on...
Ask me how I know! hahaha!
While I made a lot of money shorting GME, here is an example of an Eiffel tower with many, many people that have this trading disease I just spoke about.
In conclusion, anyone who believes that TSLA will hit $1,000 blah blah blah and suckered into buying it. You now know you are being honey dicked by a bunch of armatures and bots on X. Beyond TSLA there are many such charts out there tight now that have formed the beginnings of ET. As such, you should know how to recognize it quickly and avoid the pitfalls out there.FYI I called the Top on TSLA ))
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