Technical-analysis
GBP JPY LONG From the 4 hr , a downward trend is seen , in confluence with the daily
Going to the one hour , price broke above 152.340 and forming a resistance at 152.340
Two plans can be made , if the 9.00 30 min candle closes above the resistance region and on the 15 min , the 9.30-9.45 min candle closes bullish then we can anticipate a long towards 152.550
If it loses below , then a long is invalid then we may look for shorts around 152.300 area
NZDUSD Pattern completionNZDUSD showing some textbook price action providing us with a potential opportunity to go short. A double top M pattern completing the retest of the neckline, lining up with key fib levels. We can now see momentum starting to shift with the current formation of candlesticks (shorter bodies + longer wicks). If we are to see this area hold as resistance and break below, on a retest we will be looking to enter short and for price to continue the downside move. Note that we will only be entering on retests as it will provide us with the confirmations we need and superior R/R. Targets set at 1.272 extension of the previous swing. A break above our key area will invalidate this set up.
If you have any questions please comment. - Nick
Large Bullish Falling Wedge BreakoutA breakout of a downward sloping supply line has been broken to the upside on the daily and weekly timeframes. The supply line serves as the over head slope to a falling wedge pattern with lower sloping support that goes all the way back to March.
This is a very large structure so the price action to the upside we require some patience. A retest of 32328 could be in store as that would give us a confirming backtest of the falling wedge patter which we hope will now flip to support. Bullish confluence can be found at 32328 as there is a strong support level. If this level gets broken Bitcoin will most likely retest 30k.
In the meantime, short term support/stop loss for me will be 33312 and 33870. Again, this is on the weekly. This requires patience to wait for each weekly candle close every Sunday before rushing to make any drastic decisions.
GBPUSD larger retracement due?On the left hand side, we can see from the weekly timeframe that bulls have failed twice to hold above 1.42. Bears seem to be in control now and from a COT perspective we can also see long positions being taken off while shorts are being added. We can expect price to retrace back to previous resistance that is now support before we can see some larger moves to the upside.
From a 4hr perspective we can see the completion of an inverted M formation and a retracement to the neckline of this structure, including a 61.8 retracement. All of this indicates a further move to the downside. Personally, I am waiting for further validation including a cut of moving averages to confirm the market environment but I feel confident that we will see a deeper pullback to 1.33.
I am fundamentally bullish on GBPUSD but short term I think it's very fair to see a sell off. Longer term, Cable is in a massive uptrend and 1.33 would be a great entry price to continue this trend with high R/R.
If you have any questions please comment below. - Nick
BTC/USDBTC ANALYSIS
Dominance of Bitcoin made a strong spot for good entry
we are at bullish so a new moon in market is expected soon
1- This pattern likely monitories the next spot which could breakdown the resistance of 2.98%.
2- Breakout upward then we can see more correction in altcoins and dogeusdt
–Mostly Dogecoin consider entry this period
–this pattern usually bearish ( bearish angles )
So the dominance is more likely to breakdown according to this informations we can have good green days in altcoins
Use risk management and be ready for all scenarios
Dont forget likes and follow for more ideas and signals
Best of wishes ❤️
Correlation of price movementTHESE ARE TWO THEORIES. THE FIRST IS ACCORIDNG TO WYCKOFF, THE SECONS IS THE DOW THEORY
1) Accumulation begins with the price stopping and the formation of support, followed by the end of sales, the opposite level is gradually formed - resistance
and the price goes into a sideways movement. It has a name - Accumulative flat or consolidation. Dow says that it is impossible to trade in flat, this is not a place to trade
2) Consolidation ends when there is an update of the tops and someone from the sides - buyers or sellers, starts winning in the market, but it is quite difficult
to break through from the first time and often a large player deceives the players in this way by making a false breakout.
3) Wyckoff's theory mentions retests of the support level, a sequential movement that follows a stop. Assessment of the state of the lower limit of accumulation,
after which the market reverses and moves in the opposite direction to the previous movement. The accumulation is exited and the trend is reversed.
TREND
In essence, a trend is the direction of the predominant movement of indicators. Usually considered in the framework of technical analysis, where the direction
of price movement is implied. Charles Dow noted that in an uptrend, the subsequent peak on the chart should be higher than the previous ones, in a downtrend,
subsequent downturns on the chart should be lower than the previous ones. There are upward, downward and sideways trends. A trend line is often drawn on the chart,
which connects two or more price troughs in an uptrend, and connects two or more price peaks in a downtrend.
What is impulse and how to make money on it?What is momentum and how to make money on it?
Momentum is a sharp paranormal price movement in one direction or another, unusual for average daily fluctuations of an asset
How to build zones from which impulse movement is most likely to occur?
1) The price is pushed back from the previously built level
2) There is an impulse movement in the other direction
3) Correction to the level, from which the price pushed a little
4) consolidation, consolidation below the level, from which there will be an impulse movement
How it works?
1) the level above which the price consolidates and repels
2) Rollback from the price level at the moment
3) Impulse that breaks the level
4) We need to extend the level to understand where the key point will be
5) Fixing the price below the level
6) In anticipation of an impulse movement, at the very beginning of the movement, after fixing, we open an order
*** Works in the same way in long
What do you need to do, what to earn on this?
1) If you use impulses not all in a row, but the very first one after a trend reversal, then we have a chance to pick up all the movements, it all depends on your benchmarks, where you exit the market, according to your strategies.
2) Not every impulse level is the first, we estimate the situation from strong levels, from which the price can reverse
3) We focus on the opening of the session, the chance that the market will reverse at the end of the working day and give you less profit if it is at the beginning.
It is important to understand:
Price moves from level to level
The price does not always fix directly below / above the level
You can work both on the younger (m5, m15, m30, h1, ch4) and on the higher timeframes (d1, b1, m1)
The older the timeframe, the stronger the level from which an impulse can follow
During an impulse, funds are injected, a large player enters the market or a major player exits the market, stops-losses are collected, i.e. removal of market participants.
Our goal is to follow a major player who leads the price and get profit from it
What is impulse and how to make money on it?What is impulse and how to make money on it?
Momentum is a sharp paranormal price movement in one direction or another, unusual for average daily fluctuations of an asset
How to build zones from which impulse movement is most likely to occur?
1) The price is pushed back from the previously built level
2) There is an impulse movement in the other direction
3) Correction to the level, from which the price pushed a little
4) consolidation, consolidation below the level, from which there will be an impulse movement
How it works?
1) the level above which the price consolidates and repels
2) Rollback from the price level at the moment
3) Impulse that breaks the level
4) We need to extend the level to understand where the key point will be
5) Fixing the price below the level
6) In anticipation of an impulse movement, at the very beginning of the movement, after fixing, we open an order
*** Works in the same way in long
What do you need to do, what to earn on this?
1) If you use impulses not all in a row, but the very first one after a trend reversal, then we have a chance to pick up all the movements, it all depends on your benchmarks, where you exit the market, according to your strategies.
2) Not every impulse level is the first, we estimate the situation from strong levels, from which the price can reverse
3) We focus on the opening of the session, the chance that the market will reverse at the end of the working day and give you less profit if it is at the beginning.
It is important to understand:
Price moves from level to level
The price does not always fix directly below / above the level
You can work both on the younger (m5, m15, m30, h1, ch4) and on the higher timeframes (d1, b1, m1)
The older the timeframe, the stronger the level from which an impulse can follow
During an impulse, funds are injected, a large player enters the market or a major player exits the market, stops-losses are collected, i.e. removal of market participants.
Our goal is to follow a major player who leads the price and get profit from it
Bitcoin Technical Analysis (BTC/USDT) for the upcoming months.Here a short analysis of BTC/USDT on Binance using key levels, trendlines, EMA's and Trendlines. This is purely technical analysis and you should be aware that crypto's can move very suddenly and neglecting technical analysis.
In this analysis, I highlighted a potential path Bitcoin can take, where it will first drop down with a retest to the strong key level it is at right now, after which it might hit 20.000 and I think that this value can be the cataclyst for the new bullish move for BITC/USDT. The limit of this move is virtually infinite, but I would look at a move to atleast 40.000 in a few months.
I also highlighted a sell area, but this is only valid if it reaches it in the timeframe of the rectangle and if Bitcoin will not fullfill the other drawn path. This is purely a short-term trading setup while the buy area is more of a hold zone.
EURUSD - 4H - DOWNTREND - SHORT/SELL
As per Today's EURUSD analysis, it's very clear to understand that
price has been moving in the channel in the 4H time frame.
Also, it is resisting the upper channel with nice rejection.
In this situation, we can place nice short trade as soon as we get a bearish confirmation in M15 or above.
Happy trading.!
Best Regards,
The MorningStar Forex