SNB cuts again, CHF weakensThe Swiss National Bank came out again with another cut. This move weakened the CHF against its major counterparts.
#usdchf FX_IDC:USDCHF EASYMARKETS:USDCHF
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Technical
xauusd high volatilityFundamentals
Over the past six months, despite the Fed holding off on rate cuts, high US bond yields, and a strong dollar, both gold and silver have set multiple records. Even skeptics must acknowledge the impressive performance of these metals. Much of this resilience is attributed to sustained central bank buying, with further purchases expected to characterize the second half of the year.
Notably, central bank purchases are coming from various countries, enhancing gold's relevance as a reserve asset. Should the Fed and other major central banks initiate rate cuts, it would improve the overall sentiment for gold by year-end. Meanwhile, broader risks that could stimulate safe-haven demand remain, including the US presidential elections, escalations in Middle Eastern or Russo-Ukrainian conflicts, and potential volatility in globally bullish stock markets if their robust performance falters.
Can Gold Prices Continue to Rise Despite Repeated Pressure on Bulls?_1
Technical Analysis
Gold prices edged slightly higher on Wednesday, but remained below the critical resistance level of $2,345. While further upside is constrained, bulls continue to maintain positive momentum.
Technical studies on the daily chart indicate bulls have successfully held above the upper boundary of a triangle consolidation pattern, suggesting any price retracements in the short term will find support at this level. Meanwhile, the sideways consolidation is expected to sustain upward momentum from this level.
On the flip side, breaking below $2,324 could open the path to retesting support near the lower Bollinger Band around $2,306. A drop below $2,286 could trigger a stronger downward acceleration, as this would complete a failed swing pattern and an asymmetric head-and-shoulders pattern.
Overall, bulls face repeated pressure but the upward structure remains intact. We continue to anticipate opportunities for bulls to push higher before bears take control. Buying on dips remains the preferred trading strategy
Silver climbs back above the 30-dollar markLet's see if EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD can break the downside line and go further north. The first part of moving back above the 30-dollar mark is done, now we just have to overcome the downside line.
#silver TVC:SILVER
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Will Ethereum continue its correction lower?Currently, we are seeing some outflows of funds from the major crypto funds. Let's see if the slide continues.
#ethereum #ethusd CRYPTO:ETHUSD EASYMARKETS:ETHUSD
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Looking forward to the RBA decision on TuesdayWatch out for the RBA interest rate decision, which is coming out on Tuesday. Strong moves in AUD are possible.
#AUDUSD EASYMARKETS:AUDUSD
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The yen continues to weaken as BoJ keeps rates unchangedThe BoJ came out this morning saying they will keep the rates unchanged. The market took that as a negative and we are seeing weakness in the yen across the board against all its major counterparts. Also, the weakness of the Japanese currency might continue, as long as indices are rising.
#usdjpy EASYMARKETS:USDJPY
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Is DAX showing something interesting for the bulls?#DAX EASYMARKETS:DAXEUR
DAX seems to be showing some positive signs for the bulls, however, we cannot get comfortable with that idea yet until we see a clear breakout.
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GBPAUD potentially Bullish continuationFX:GBPAUD broke out of the consolidation phase and doing a retest at the moment, are we going to see a bullish continuation?
I will wait to see if the retest is concluded and a bullish confirmation candle before going in for a long. #GBPAUD just might deliver on a 1:2 RRR.
European instability causing weakness in the euroAfter the EU Parliamentary elections, there is a rise of nationalism and protectionism among some individual EU states. The euro is feeling the heat, as EU stability is under threat.
EASYMARKETS:EURGBP #EURGBP
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An increased inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFBitcoin moved higher lately, breaking some key resistance barriers. This might have been initiated by the inflow of new funds into the Bitcoin ETF.
#BTCUSD EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD
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Is Litecoin showing signs of weakness? #LTCUSD EASYMARKETS:LTCUSD
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Is GOLD ready to slip lower?#Gold #XAUUSD EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
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Soybeans with an attractive technical set-up#Soybeans EASYMARKETS:SOYUSD
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GBPJPY near the current highest point of this year#GBPJPY EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY
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Let's see if it can climb back above the 78-dollar markEASYMARKETS:OILUSD
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xauusd weekly reviewxauusd faced the largest one week drop in last 5 months. the exact reason for this can be elicited as many.
1) soon there will be no change in interest rate of us dollar and its decided as it is may happen by september not in june
2) strong us job data
3) lot of positive economic news from usa which powered dollar
4) in last two months xauusd was over brought and now a correction is happening in that price.
5) market manipulation.
What you feel please comment us
Market Gets Spooked, FOMC and INterest RatesEASYMARKETS:NDQUSD
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USOIL - Short or Buy? Break down or retracement up? Technicals
1. We have been stuck in a range on a higher time frame for quite some time now.
2. On a higher time frame we failed to confirm a break-up from a trendline dating back to March 2022, which was the COVID-19 highs. A failed break-up of this mega trendline is normally a sign of big reversal or retracement. & we did just that ;-) question is, is this a reversal or just a retracement because I see also a trendline from DEC 2023 which we trade just under. IMO we have not fully confirmed that break down.
3. Visible in my chart we see that we are since then on a big down sloping channel which is still respected.
Fundamentals
1. My bias is slightly bearish long term because I think the US economy & other major economies will be in a recession which will give downside pressure on the price of OIL
2. Conflict in the Middle East seems to have not a significant impact as of now on the price of USOIL. Will this change? Till I see major escalation happening I don't see that it will have greater impact than it already has. US also is less energy dependent so therefor geopolitical will impact less.
3. Bullish sign is that OPEC is still holding strong on OIL cuts and China is still strong. Summer season will also give some upside pressure because of demand.
Trade
1. The first trade, which is a buy option, I will take if I see buyers really taking over to push price up
2. The second trade, which is a sell, I will take if we confirm a break and retest of the weekly low.
Great trading all of you
Greetingz,
Simba Trades
Dogecoin still looks positiveEASYMARKETS:DOGUSD
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Canadian CPI Today, British CPI Tomorrow#GBPCAD EASYMARKETS:GBPCAD
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CADCHF at an interesting spot. Watch out for CAD data this week!#CADCHF EASYMARKETS:CADCHF
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