Technical
$CEI T.A.$CEI trend analysis. Looks very bullish imo. 10-K is about to come out within a few weeks max, as the CEO James Doris has stated. That will launch a squeeze.
BTC next probable movementHello dear traders.
This is BTC chart in 4h time frame.
Bitcoin recently touched top of the rising channel and subsequently had a sharp fall down to the mid-line of the channel and yet,the price is ranging there.
So what we expect now is the continues slow-fall of the price to bottom of the channel that is also coincided with 17220-17360 support area shown with the white box in the pic.After that,we can expect a rise of price.
Our first target can be mid-line of channel and the second target can be top of the channel.
If you think this idea helps you,please like and comment your idea.
KROMATIKA 1 week timeframeKROM is so undervalued and under the radar that it's not even funny.
.10 cents incoming and it's only the beginning for KROMATIKA.
Ethereum technical analysis with USDT pair on BinanceHello,
Today I will take a look at ETH / USDT pair on Binance in the 4h timeframe. Ethereum is right now trading at $1250. The demand zone is sitting around $1100, and the strong supply zone is around $1250. Even if we had a few days of slightly upward movement, I believe a pullback will occur and the bearish cycle will continue to be strong. I can spot the formatting of a rising wedge bearish continuation pattern, and this is the reason why I am expecting the price to move in the direction of a downtrend. I am expecting that Ethereum will be around $1100 until the end of the year, maybe sooner. My signal for trading ETH / USDT is to go short.
Enjoy and have an amazing day!
BF
BTC Weekly Death Cross Incoming What Is a Death Cross?
The "death cross" is a market chart pattern reflecting recent price weakness. It refers to the drop of a short-term moving average—meaning the average of recent closing prices for a stock, stock index, commodity or cryptocurrency over a set period of time—below a longer-term moving average. The most closely watched moving averages are the 50-day and the 200-day.
- Investopedia
Death crosses reflect significant decline in stock or market prices, and have in some cases pointed to further downturns. Death crosses have previously signaled bearish behavior across the broader markets (think: 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008).
- Fortune
A moving average (MA) is the average price of the given lookback period. The higher the timeframe of the lookback period, the more influential the moving average is.
Here, we are looking at the 50-week MA and the
200-week MA which are very influential and weighty averages.
Bitcoin will need significant upward price action if it is to negate the Death Cross from printing on the weekly timeframe.
Will BTC make a reversal? Or is the Bear Market just getting started?
S&P 500 @ 6 Dec 2022S&P 500 @ 6 December 2022
- Rejection of strong counter-trendline (orange line)
- Last night, tested the previous Head-and-Shoulder's (blue line) Neckline (red line)
If Index rebounds from here (and there's favourable news from the FOMC meeting on 15 Dec), we will likely see a break of the strong counter-trendline (blue arrow). I would be bullish for the mid-term.
If the current support breaks (red line), we might see the Index falling towards 3700-3800 levels again (red arrow).
The Impact of Economic Factors on the Stock MarketHi there! So, I heard that the economy is in a bit of a rough patch because the FED is raising rates, there's some quantitively tightening happening, and there's a potential recession on the horizon due to a supply shock from the Russia-Ukraine war and China's pandemic restrictions.
It looks like we might be heading into a recession, which is sooo not good news. The stock market will definitely be feeling the effects if the index falls below its moving average of 200 days. It's not looking great, I have to say. But don't worry, there are still ways to protect your investments. Some technical indicators you might want to keep an eye on include the relative strength index (RSI), the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator, and the Bollinger bands. These can help you evaluate the strength of the current trend and potentially identify opportunities to buy or sell.
Also, outside the SPX index there are still ways to further protect your investments. For example, you might want to consider reducing your exposure to risky assets and increasing your holdings of safe-haven assets like government bonds. Just remember to stay positive and keep an eye on the market!
CADJPY BEARISH BIASCurrently on the 4HTF, price have been making a series of lower highs and lower lows which signifies a bearish trend, in conjunction with this also price is breaking structure and retesting it. So I'm looking forward for a retest of the previous support level before going lower to the recent support.
You can also share your view on this.
I'm open to ideas.
#Head&Shoulder chart pattern in action
Head and shoulder definition: A simple head and shoulders top formation is characterized by a peak representing
the left shoulder, followed by a higher peak which is referred to as the head of the formation. A lower peak representing the right shoulder is found on the right‐hand side of the head. The head should be the highest peak in the formation. The neckline is a trendline that connects the troughs that lie on either side of the head. Necklines may be horizontal or inclined which in our case is inclined. In an inverted head and shoulders formation (also referred to as a head and shoulders bottom), the head is the lowest
trough within the formation.
Head and shoulder pattern completion: The head and shoulders formation is completed with a valid breakout of the neckline Until a valid penetration has occurred, the formation is regarded as merely tentative. But as you can see in our case the pattern is completed since we can see upside breakout of the chart pattern neckline.
Head and shoulder pattern target: The minimum one‐to‐one price objective or target for a head and shoulders top formation is simply the vertical distance between the head and the neckline projected downward from the neckline breakout level. For an inverted head and shoulders formation, the vertical distance is projected upward from the neckline breakout level. You can see this vertical line in the chart.
Head and shoulder pattern entry:
■■ Short at a break of the right shoulder’s uptrend line with a stop placed above the right shoulder or head (see Point 1 in Figure 13.9)
■■ Short at the peak of the right shoulder with a stop placed above the right shoulder or head, especially when there is a significant resistive confluence comprising of significant Fibonacci retracement levels, Floor Trader’s Pivot Point levels, and
psychologically important price levels associated with double and triple zeros
■■ Short at the right shoulder when it is testing the left shoulder’s resistance level, with a stop placed above the resistance level or head
■■ Short on a valid penetration of the neckline with a stop placed above the neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 2 in Figure 13.9)
■■ Short on a retest of the neckline after a valid penetration with a stop placed above the neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 3 in Figure 13.9)
■■ Short on the penetration of the price associated with the trough created by the retest action, with a stop placed above the trough, neckline, right shoulder, or head (see Point 4 in Figure 13.9)
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Source: the handbook of technical analysis by Mark Andrew Lim
Dow Jones Industrial Average - higher for longerNew analysts claim that the S&P 500 provides a better picture of the markets compared to the Dow. Although the S&P 500 obviously has a larger catalog, the Dow is a direct reflection of international capital flows. Look toward the Dow to see where big money is moving.
The S&P 500 is domestic-oriented, and fund managers and institutions tend to focus on this index. The NASDAQ typically reflects retail, tech-heavy, and usually is the last to the peak. Each index offers a completely different perspective. The Dow Jones Industrials is the big money. You will notice that this index leads the way. It is the first out of a key low because it is typically the foreign capital that comes in based on currency. You will also notice the Dow tends to top out first because the big money tends to pull out first also due to currency.
Capital is flowing like never before, and the smart money is on the move. The USD remains the last safe haven, and money is pouring into the US – for now. Look to the Dow for the best international perspective. ©Martin Armstrong
The trend is higher on the DJIA and stops are being trailed to lock in profits. The PA has taken out the August highs and is now looking for liquidity above the double top around March 2022. The idea is always to look to buy a high and sell higher. I would expect the rest of the major US indices to follow suit.
GU BIAS: SHORT; ANALYSIS CHART: H1 & H4Hello traders, I believe some of you lost money yesterday thinking the cable would continue the bullish move, but unfortunately, the cable changed the direction.
Today, the question is, will the cable continue the down move? Yes, there is an 85% probability that the pair could down to the level of 1.19418 or below. The bearish reversal signal is expected from the level of 1.20295. I think a resistance zone Is expected to occur around this level. I mean fake out, big banks, and smart money manipulation for the stop-loss hunt. Be careful when selling there. Look for the opportunity to sell from this level in the H1 or the smaller timeframe like M15 or M5.
Finally, we remain bearish in the cable market as long as the price is below the trendline.
USD JPY -Awaiting the fresh buying zoneG'day,
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon a long term trading strategy looking for Fresh Demand/Supply zones.
This is tagged Long due to the overall monthly demand in control, until the opportunity of a rejection of the PCP has occurred or a long opportunity from a break and retest of the trend. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers. Until this criteria is met - no trade is taken until reactive, break or curve is confirmed. Long term investment strategy rated, bullish.
Monthly
Price has established a zone of interest, where price has reached the 1998 Departure level.
Yet to test the completed supply of 1987 Supply zone as marked on the chart.
The 152 level was tapped which looking at the QTR chart which highlights this easier on the chart. This supply zone is a fresh touch - showing a strong level as the sell imbalance has reacted upon the Daily, weekly chart.
This fresh supply to many was not a level for-seen for many traders, however the technical correction now is a strong pivot position as marked.
As the sequence has not completed (overall long) price is using this sell opportunity to now look for new zones for purchasing (especially on the weekly and monthly).
- Three month chart - this assists here with
Weekly
Price has established a technical zone from a fresh supply in place from 152-146. Although the opportunity here is a 600pip zone. Short sellers will have taken over in the smaller time zones. Again reference to the three month chart against the weekly below - Weekly/QTR chart.
The weekly distal has been established - with the 152.00 being the stop loss or slightly above for sells. The left chart - weekly shows the key retest of the QTR zone and successfully rejects this level.
Looking for buys on the chart offers two zones - 1. The PCP or FL demand ranging between 135-130.5 (est). Now having this zone in place - imbalance traders will need to follow the rules of a break of curve - clear rejection upon a reactive wick or await an engulfing move in favour of a squeeze or (descending triangle), consolidation and or a pattern interchangeable of both.
The second zone of interest here offers the combo box of the monthly and weekly zones - pointed out with the 'Green' eclipse and the monthly zone. For a market structural cycle - price can net out here (revert to chart - with the Fibonacci extension which points towards the imbalance alignment.
Weekly/QTR Chart
- Fibonacci Extension
Daily chart
The daily shows the price is now shifting from the pivot point from 137.5 (est) - creating now a bullish reaction towards the range top of 142.** this will be the prime range of establishing a bull and sell position within a range formation.
The down trend is still prominent with down and right on the overall short term basis from the from chart with the daily supply zones added with a price looking to pivot towards 141.3X area which is the next zone of interest from the view of a lower high formation.
A Bearish chart option - where price can break the pivot.
Adding
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Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
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To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXII