Swedbank Just Did Something It Hasn't Done in 18 Years!Hi all,
A few weeks ago, at the Estonian finance conference, I pointed out that Swedbank needs a Monthly candle close above a historically significant level to confirm further upside into "open waters".
Before I dive deeper - if someone still claims that "price has no history" or "price doesn't repeat itself," just show them Swedbank’s chart. Back in 2007, Swedbank attempted to break the 215–228 SEK level for the first time. The result? A complete failure. Sellers took control and smashed the price down.
Fast forward 7–10 years: “Let’s try again a few more times!” Still nothing. The level remained unbreakable, draining all momentum. Over the past 18 years, this zone has been tested 7–9 times, and every single attempt ended in failure.
Now, today, things are changed. Today, we have that Monthly close, and the price has now entered a potential buying zone. Technically, Swedbank is ready - optimal zone 215 to 237 SEK!
Do your homework; this is just my opinion and my analysis!
Do not forget to "Boost" the idea - all the best,
Vaido
Technical
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Analysis: Critical Support Test –(caption)🚀 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis (Feb 2, 2025) 📊
🔍 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Strong Support Zone (Red Box) 🛑
BTC is currently testing the $98,000 - $99,000 support zone.
This level has previously acted as a demand area, meaning buyers might step in.
2️⃣ 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Resistance (Red Line) 📉
The 200 EMA at $100,718 is acting as dynamic resistance.
A break and close above this level would indicate bullish strength.
3️⃣ Key Resistance Levels 🚧
$100,718 (200 EMA Resistance)
$102,884 (Major Horizontal Resistance)
If price breaks these levels, next targets: $104,000 - $106,000.
4️⃣ Key Support Levels 🛠️
$98,000 - $99,000 (Current Demand Zone)
$90,000 - $89,184 (Next Major Support Below)
📈 Possible BTC Price Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case (Price Bounces from Support) 🟢
If BTC holds above $98,000 - $99,000, a move toward $102,884 and higher is possible.
Breaking above $102,884 could trigger a rally toward $104,000 - $106,000.
Watch for volume increase & bullish candlestick confirmation.
❌ Bearish Case (Break Below Support) 🔴
If BTC breaks below $98,000, we could see a drop to $90,000 - $89,184.
A break below $90,000 could lead to further downside toward $88,000.
Watch for strong selling pressure & breakdown candle.
📊 Final Thoughts: BTC at a Critical Level!
🚨 Decision Point: BTC is at a key support level—will bulls step in, or will bears take control?
🔹 For Bulls: Need to reclaim $100,700+ for bullish continuation.
🔹 For Bears: Losing $98,000 could open the door for a drop toward $90,000.
👀 Keep an eye on price action & volume for the next big move!
🔥 What’s your bias? Bullish 🚀 or Bearish 📉? Let’s discuss!
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis: Bearish Breakdown or Rebound?📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
🔴 Overview:
Bitcoin is trading at $101,847 (-0.22%) on the 4-hour timeframe.
The price is moving within a descending wedge/pennant pattern.
Key EMA (200): Currently at $100,781, acting as dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels & Analysis:
Resistance Zone (~$102,000 - $103,000): Price is struggling to break above this level.
Support Zone (~$97,500 - $98,500): A key demand zone where buyers may step in.
⚠️ Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Breakdown ⬇️
If BTC loses the $100,800 EMA support, a drop towards $98,000-$97,500 is likely.
The marked arrow suggests this bearish move.
Bullish Rebound ⬆️
If BTC holds above EMA 200 and reclaims $102,000, a breakout towards $104,000-$106,000 could follow.
🧐 Final Thoughts:
Short-term trend: Bearish bias unless price reclaims resistance.
Watch for a break below $100,800 for further downside.
RSI & Volume Confirmation Needed for stronger signals.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown?📉 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
🔴 Current Price: $3,220.06 (-0.95%)
📊 Indicators & Patterns:
Downtrend Resistance: A descending trendline is acting as resistance.
Support Zone: The red highlighted area (~$3,220) is a key support level.
200 EMA: At $3,320, acting as resistance.
🔮 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Case 🚀: If ETH holds the support and breaks the descending trendline ($3,320), it could test higher levels around $3,400 - $3,500.
2️⃣ Bearish Case 📉: A breakdown below the support ($3,220) could trigger a fall towards $3,100 or even $3,000.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $3,320 (EMA 200), $3,400 (Trendline)
Support: $3,220 (Zone), $3,100 (Next Major Support)
⏳ Conclusion
ETH is at a critical decision point. A bounce could lead to a breakout, but failure to hold could trigger more downside. Watch for a reaction around $3,220! 🚦
USDCAD Bullish Flag Breakout and Uptrend PotentialUSDCAD is currently trading at 1.45200, showing a bullish outlook. The expected target price is 1.48590, indicating a potential gain of 300+ pips. A bullish flag pattern has already broken out, confirming strong upward momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control and may push the price higher. The price action aligns with technical analysis, supporting a continued uptrend. Traders anticipate further bullish movement toward the target. Proper risk management is essential to navigate any pullbacks. Monitoring key resistance levels and market conditions is crucial. A sustained rally above the breakout zone can strengthen bullish confidence. Patience and discipline will be key in managing this trade effectively.
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀
📊 Current Price Action:
The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅.
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average.
📌 Key Levels & Market Structure:
🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery.
📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements.
💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present.
📈 Trend & Potential Direction:
The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈.
The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000.
If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅.
🏆 Conclusion:
🐂 Bullish Bias:
Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️.
🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀.
💡 Trade Idea:
A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
EUR/GBP Bearish Momentum – Eyes on Support Zone!📊 EUR/GBP Daily Chart Analysis (28th Jan 2025)
🔹 Overview:
Pair: EUR/GBP
Current Price: 0.83855 📉 (-0.10%)
Key Indicators:
200 EMA (Red Line): 0.84129 (Price is below the EMA, indicating bearish sentiment)
Resistance Zone (🟠 Orange Box): ~0.84200 - 0.84400
Support Zone (🟢 Green Box): ~0.83200 - 0.83400
🔻 Bearish Outlook:
Price recently rejected the resistance zone and started declining.
It is now trading below the 200 EMA, suggesting potential further downside.
Next Target: The support zone (~0.83200 - 0.83400) is likely the next major level.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation ⬇️
If the price maintains momentum, it may head toward the support zone (~0.83200).
A break below support could trigger further downside.
2️⃣ Bullish Rebound 🔄
If the price finds strong buying interest at support, a rebound toward the resistance (~0.84200) is possible.
A breakout above 200 EMA could shift momentum back to bullish.
🎯 Trading Considerations:
Short Opportunity: Below 0.83800, targeting 0.83400.
Long Opportunity: If support holds around 0.83200, aiming for a move back to resistance.
Breakout Watch: A move above 0.84200 could trigger bullish momentum.
🔥 Conclusion: Currently, the trend is bearish, and price action suggests further downside toward the support zone. Keep an eye on price behavior around 0.83400 for potential reactions.
AUD/JPY At a Breaking Point – Big Move Loading!AUD/JPY is sitting at a crucial level right now. We're seeing a descending triangle pattern forming, with price getting squeezed between lower highs and key support around the 200 EMA (94.64).
A breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp drop, with targets around 90 and possibly 85-87 in the coming weeks. The bearish momentum is building, and today's red candle isn't looking too promising for bulls.
On the flip side, if buyers step in and push it back above 97.50, we might see a recovery towards the 100 level. But for now, the bias leans bearish unless we get a strong reversal signal.
Keep an eye on that 94 level – a breakdown could mean more downside ahead. 🔻
Gold (XAU/USD) Reverses from Resistance – Is a Sell-Off UnderwayGold (XAU/USD) Hits Resistance and Faces Reversal – Is the Sell-Off Beginning?
Gold surged to test the upper boundary of its ascending channel, touching key resistance. However, bullish momentum seems to be fading as sellers step in, pushing prices lower. This could signal the start of a pullback, potentially targeting mid-channel support or even the 200 EMA.
If buyers fail to reclaim control, we may see a deeper correction. Eyes are now on the next key support levels—will gold find strength, or is a larger sell-off underway?
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Bullish Momentum Towards $2,780?📊 XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Momentum 🚀💰
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Current Price: $2,754.16 (+0.19%)
🔹 Support Zone: $2,740 - $2,750 (Previous resistance turned support ✅)
🔹 Resistance Zone: $2,780 (Next potential target 🎯)
🔹 200 EMA: $2,687.43 (Price is above = Bullish signal 📈)
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past a key level and might retest before moving higher 🔄📊
📉 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: If price holds above $2,750, we could see a rally towards $2,780+ 🚀
❌ Bearish Case: If price drops below $2,740, we might see a correction back to $2,720 ⚠️
🔥 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum and may continue its uptrend towards $2,780+ if it sustains above the breakout level! Keep an eye on support at $2,750 for confirmation. 👀💎
Would you like further indicators or a different timeframe analysis? ⏳📊
UPS at a Make-or-Break Zone – Will Buyers Step In?Hi you all,
United Parcel Service (UPS) has recently entered a potential buying zone. In its latest earnings report, the company announced a reduction in business with Amazon by more than 50% by the second half of 2026, aiming to focus on more profitable ventures. Despite a slight revenue miss, UPS beat profit expectations for the fourth quarter.
From a technical perspective, several factors suggest a potential buying opportunity, so do your homework. If fundamentals will align then you should be ready...
- Trendline: The stock is approaching a long-term trendline, third touch.
- 50% Retracement: UPS has retraced approximately 50% from its all-time high.
- Previous Yearly Highs as Support: Former resistance levels from previous years are now acting as support, indicating potential liquidity.
- Psychological Support at $100: The round number of $100 serves as a psychological barrier, potentially providing additional support.
Do your homework because this is just half of the story: technical analysis. From my side, this is inside a potential area, but do fundamentals support it?
Good luck,
Vaido
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(30/01/2025)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 49050 level then expected upside movement upto 49450 level in today's session. But in case banknifty starts trading below 48950 level then possible sharp downside move of 400-500+ points possible in index to the negative trend.
XAU/USD: Potential Reaction at Supply Zone*On the 4H timeframe, XAU/USD has shown a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), with the previous Higher Low (HL) being broken, taking out Buy-Side Liquidity near the highs. Price is now trading within a supply zone, aligning with bearish order flow.
On the 30M timeframe (see chart):
• A CHoCH has been identified within the supply area, signaling a potential shift in direction.
• Price looking to clear the inducement (IDM) before tapping into the zone, strengthening the likelihood of a sell-off.
• I’m anticipating a reaction and continuation to the downside, targeting lower liquidity levels around $2,730.500.
Key Points:
• Bearish Bias from the 4H Supply Zone.
• Liquidity grab + CHoCH on the 30M confirms bearish intent.
• Targeting the lows near $2,730.500 for a high-probability trade setup.
Trade Idea:
Wait for confirmation within the 30M supply zone (e.g., a lower timeframe entry such as a CHoCH or breaker structure). Maintain discipline and proper risk management.
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts below!
Bless Trading!
EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Gap Fill Incoming?EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis 🏆📊
🚀 Current Price: 162.308
📍 200 EMA: 162.099 (Dynamic Support)
🔥 Key Levels & Insights:
🟥 Major Support Zone (Red Area - 162.000)
✅ Price recently bounced off this level, showing strong buying pressure.
✅ If price holds above 162.000, a bullish continuation is likely.
📈 Gap Zone (Orange - 163.000 - 163.500)
🔍 There’s a price imbalance above, meaning price could be drawn towards it.
🔼 Gaps act as magnets! A move up to fill the gap is likely.
📊 200 EMA (162.099) - Crucial Level
🚦 Price is hovering above the 200 EMA. If it remains above, we can expect further bullish momentum.
🔮 Price Prediction & Trade Idea
📌 If price breaks and holds above 162.500, expect a 🚀 move towards 163.500.
📌 Rejection from 163.500 could bring a pullback 📉 back to 162.500.
🚨 Risk Alert:
🔻 If price drops below 162.000, bears might take control, pushing it to 161.500 or lower.
💡 Final Thoughts:
👉 Bulls 🐂 need to break 162.500 to push towards 163.500.
👉 Bears 🐻 will gain control if price loses 162.000.
🔥 Verdict:
✅ Bullish Bias if price stays above 162.000.
🚀 Target: 163.500 (Gap Fill).
🔻 Invalidation: Below 162.000.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Symmetrical Triangle Analysis: Next move?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
Key Observations:
1. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, characterized by converging trendlines.
This pattern typically signals a breakout, but the direction (up or down) depends on market momentum.
2. Current Price Action:
BTC is trading around $102,979.98 at the time of the chart.
It is above the 200 EMA ($100,003.64), indicating bullish strength.
The price recently bounced off support and is moving towards resistance.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: Around $97,785.55 (blue line).
Resistance: Around $109,636.60 (blue line).
4. Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If BTC breaks above the upper trendline, it may rally towards $109,636.60 or higher.
A confirmed breakout could push BTC to $112,500+.
Bearish Breakdown:
If BTC rejects at resistance and breaks downward, it could retest the $100,000 level or lower.
A breakdown could target $97,785.55 or even $95,000.
Final Thoughts:
Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the triangle pattern.
Volume is crucial—a high-volume breakout confirms strength, while low volume can indicate a fakeout.
If BTC stays above $100,000 (200 EMA support), the bullish bias remains intact.
BoC Rate Decision. Is the path for USDCAD is further up?With the upcoming BoC and Fed rate decisions, we are wondering, what may happen with FX_IDC:USDCAD pair? CAD has been on a sharp decline and continues to devaluate further. Let's dig in and see what might be the near-term outcome.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
AUD/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookAUD/USD represents the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in the forex market. The current price is 0.62300, with a target price of 0.60000, indicating a bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 200+ pips if the trade moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, a key concept in technical trading. The price has reached a strong resistance level and is facing rejection, signaling selling pressure. A rejection at resistance often indicates a shift in momentum, leading to a possible downward move. Traders anticipate the price to decline toward the next support level at 0.60000. This setup suggests bearish dominance as long as resistance holds. If the price fails to break above resistance, further downside movement is likely. Proper risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/01/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 49000 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 49050 level then expected upside rally of 400-500+ points in index. If reversal from this level then banknifty can move upto the 48550 level in today's session.
GBPAUD Retesting Resistance with a Potential for Price ReversalGBPAUD is currently trading at 1.981, with a target price set at 2.000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The market analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, which suggests key price levels where the pair may react. Currently, the pair is in a retesting phase, meaning it is testing the resistance level after a previous breakout or price movement. This retesting phase helps confirm whether the resistance holds or breaks. If the resistance holds, it signals a potential reversal, leading to a price drop. Traders are advised to closely monitor this retesting period for confirmation before taking positions. A rejection at the resistance level could trigger a bearish move. Patience during this period is critical to avoid premature entries. This setup reflects a potential opportunity for experienced traders following technical analysis strategies.
Technical Analysis on BloomZ Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMZ)The current price of BLMZ stands at 0.500, marking a 3.85% decline for the day. The stock is trading below all key moving averages, including the short-term MA5 (0.509) and MA10 (0.545), as well as the longer-term MA20 (0.562), MA30 (0.561), and MA60 (0.650). This suggests a sustained bearish trend, with selling pressure dominating the market.
Support is evident at 0.450, which aligns with recent lows, while a stronger support level can be identified at 0.392, reflecting a prior low. On the upside, immediate resistance lies at 0.520, which coincides with the previous day’s close. Beyond that, the next significant resistance zone is around 0.560-0.562, where the MA20 and MA30 converge, potentially attracting sellers.
The trading volume is relatively subdued, indicating weak buying interest or a lack of market participation at current levels. Overall, the stock remains bearish but is approaching a critical support level. A breakdown below 0.450 could lead to further downside towards 0.392, whereas a rebound may struggle to overcome resistance at 0.520-0.562. Neutral positioning is advisable until a clear directional move is confirmed.
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD Using Support and Resistance LevelsXAUUSD represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD). Its current price is 2724, and the target price is set at 2800. This suggests a bullish outlook, with an expected price increase of 76 points. The analysis is based on the "support and resistance" pattern, where the current price is rebounding from a strong support level. Support levels act as a price floor, where buying pressure typically overcomes selling pressure, preventing further decline. The strong support indicates high confidence among traders that the price will rise. A move toward the target of 2800 aligns with the historical price behavior near this level. Traders may monitor for confirmation signals, such as higher highs or increased volume, to validate the upward momentum. However, market conditions and external factors like economic data or geopolitical events could influence the pair’s movement. Proper risk management is essential.
Is ASX 200 waiting for a catalyst?Looking at the technical picture of the MARKETSCOM:AUS200 Cash index, we can see that the price remains on an uptrend, while balancing above a medium-term tentative upside support line taken from the lowest point of August 2024. Despite seeing a relatively strong correction lower throughout the whole of December, the index remains resilient to downside pressure. That said, in the short-run, at the time of writing, MARKETSCOM:AUS200 is struggling to break above a key resistance area, around the 8370 barrier.
In order to shift our attention to some higher areas, a break above that key resistance area would be needed. That’s when we may see some more bulls entering the field. If such a move occurs, we might start aiming for the current highest zone, near the 8522 hurdle.
For the downside scenario, we will take a more conservative approach and wait for a break below the previously mentioned upside line. Additionally, a drop below the current lowest point of January, at around 8131 area may invite more bears into the market, potentially opening the door for a move towards the 200-day EMA and the psychological 8000 mark. If that hurdle is unable to withstand the pressure from the sellers, further declines might be possible.
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription:
This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan:
Analysis:
Market Structure:
Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key Zones and Liquidity:
Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance.
Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity.
Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower.
Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for Short Entry:
Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point.
The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control.
Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias.
Trade Plan:
Short Entry Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone).
Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level.
TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity.
TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling.
Additional Notes:
Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character).
Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision.
Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve