Bitcoin-TA-2023, Bearish PossibilityHello everyone, hope you all are doing good.
Recently i made a short-term Bitcoin analysis about the Bullish scenario of Bitcoin .
Since in trading we have to think in two ways (both upside and downside).
So, this time am making the Bearish scenario of Bitcoin . As of now the way Bitcoin is moving somewhat similar to 2014 Bear market.
The action or movement in the RSI is little similar:
The Drops = 1+2+3+4
DoubleTop = A+B
BullishDivergence = 2+3
RSI pump from x to y roughly 40 to 70 level to create "B" of DoubleTop
Important Point: Divergences are something like "slow transformation of trend" ex: converting Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish .
Bullish action in price = lowerLow->again->lowerLow(slowly Drop percent reduces gradually)->next->DoubleBottom or small higerLow->next->higherLow->next->higherLow(slowly percent increases gradually).
In 2014 after BullishDivergences formed "2+3" the result of next move after Divergences formed, the price+RSI has to normalize, so it made DoubleBottom in Price and higherLows in RSI .
Currently Jan2023 Bitcoin moved a massive pump right after Bullish Divergences formed "2+3", so the conclusion here is the Price+RSI has to normalize.
In RSI pullback has to happen means HigherLow has to be created. So, what will be the price action I can't say exactly but it can be doubleBottom or small LowerLow/small higherLow.
Not financial Advice, but IMO based on the above analysis Bitcoin may move up little and finally Bottom out to in a range of 17k to 14k.
Note:
The above Analysis is only Bearish scenario of current Bitcoin action. (Only If Head and Shoulders Pattern fails.)
Bitcoin-TA-2023 Short Term Analysis
Thank you, stay samrt n safe.
Technical_analysis
BTC Surprises and Market Analysis: Navigating the Current RangeAs we approached the weekend, I was expecting Bitcoin to get the Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) of $21,647 and continue to the range, I was expecting liquidity to leave the market, but I was wrong as BTC had different plans and did a great job of surprising me. Initially, BTC did precisely what I was expecting. I took the short trade and stopped out (Refer to my last post). I patiently waited for some reaction from $21,827.5 to play out as it was a significant weekly level along with a 0.66 Fibonacci level. The bullish momentum was so strong and rapid that it managed to break through the weekly level, leaving several single prints behind us. My next resistance level was a daily level of $22,393. Price broke through this level without difficulty and stopped at the monthly level of $23,301.
As of now, MS is bullish, and if we want any move toward the downside, we need MS to change in 30min to 1-hour charts first before we take any new swing short trades. We're still in the 6-month range; before getting excited and sending BTC to the moon, we must reclaim the $25,211 level. We currently have the Monthly $23,301 level acting as a current resistance and a Weekly $24,297.5 level, along with a 0.886 Fibonacci level right above us. We also have an SFP at the $25,211 level.
Currently, we are right above the VAH of the entire range.
For the downside, I would like BTC to get accepted below the VAH of the range, Claiming a daily naked point of control level at $22,612. I would like to see at least two 30 minutes candle closes before getting into any short trades. This move up was rapid, so once we get acceptance below VAH of the entire range, we can expect the price to have a quick fall to the $20,673- $20,957 level, as we have several new daily levels, which can act as a great support.
For Upside, I will expect the price to reclaim the monthly level before getting into any long trades. All my trades will be scalps with a tight stop loss.
Range Bound: Analyzing Key Levels in the Bitcoin MarketYesterday, the Bitcoin market experienced significant volatility; however, Today's activity was relatively subdued as the price of bitcoin fluctuated between $20,646.5 and $21,179.5. This trend persisted throughout the Asia and London trading sessions; BTC struggled to claim the Point of Control of the current range and spent most of the time between $20,650- $20,964. After the NY Open, we saw BTC start grinding upwards, and before the NY close, the price finally reached the level at which I had intended to enter a short trade, allowing me to enter at $21,144.5.
Currently, the market remains within the developing range of $21,481 to $20,400, with key levels including the Value Area High at $21,237, the Point of Control at $20,908.5, and the Value Area Low at $20,677. (These numbers can vary slightly based on price action)
In terms of future market activity, there are several potential scenarios to consider.
Scenario no.1: Point of Control may act as a form of support, allowing the price to continue upward to reach the 0.66 Fibonacci level and the Value Area High, then get accepted into the range and begin to move towards the Value Area Low of the range.
My trading strategy would be to enter a short trade, as soon as it appears that the price is being accepted in the Value area High of the range, my TP1 would be the Point of Control, and I would allow the trade to run as I anticipate that price will break through Value area Low and grab the liquidity from $20,000 level.
Scenario no.2: Price continues ranging and takes the liquidity below $20,000, fills the CME gap, gets accepted back in the range, and then continues the bull trend. It is worth noting that entering a long trade in this scenario may be challenging, as it can be a continuation of a downtrend on a long-term time frame. To minimize risk, I will be monitoring the price action closely. I will wait for the price to get acceptance within the Value Area Low of the range and at the level of $20,246 before entering a conservative long position.
Based on my analysis, there are several key levels to consider before jumping into any trade.
On the upward trend, key levels to consider include the 0.618 fib level and an untapped weekly level at $21,827.5. f the price manages to break through this resistance, the following significant levels to watch are the daily level at $22,393, the monthly level at $23,301, and the weekly level at $24,297.
On the downward trend, a consolidation area around $18,375-$18,850 may serve as support, as it previously acted as resistance before the breakout. f the price breaks through this zone, it is advisable to look for support at levels between $17,450 - $17,750, as there are several daily Naked Point of Control levels, untapped daily levels, and a 0.66 fib level from the low to the current high.
I have set alerts for all these important levels and will approach potential trades with patience, carefully observing market reactions before making any decisions. If the levels do not hold, I will remain patient and look for potential opportunities at the following levels.
BTC Analysis and Key Levels to WatchBYBIT:BTCUSD.P
As traders, we must always start our analysis with higher-term timeframe ranges. Recently, we saw the price break to the upside, and currently, it is testing the value area low of the previous range. The horizontal fib 0.618 from the high to the current low acts as a resistance.
If we zoom in on the lower-term time frame, we can see that we are forming a range that started on Friday and continued over the weekend. A fixed range tool gives us significant levels ranging between 20700- 21250, which is almost a 4% range. This should be our main trading idea.
Yesterday, we saw a push to the downside, which touched the value area low of the range, a swing failure pattern of the previous low, and followed with a nice buyback. The price started to claim the point of control and daily VWAP, and after some consolidation near VWAP, the price started pushing toward the top of the range, where we got another swing failure. After getting accepted back from the SFP level price continues ranging.
However, sooner or later, we all know this range will break to either upside or downside. As a trader, we need levels, both to the upside to back up the bullish scenario and to the downside for the bearish scenario. At this point in time, I expect more upside price action. On the upside, we have the NSPOC (Naked Session Point of Control) level at 21725, the weekly level, the fib level 0.618, and the previous range VAH (Volume area high) level around 21827.5.
But if the price breaks to the downside, we have a little consolidation around the 18375-18850 area; we do have VAL of the previous range along with the last support area. So we can expect a reaction here. But if the momentum is strong, then we can expect lower. We have daily naked points of control at $17,725 and $17450, along with 0.618 fib level around $17,550. I will expect some reaction here.
In conclusion, it's crucial to constantly keep an eye on critical levels such as Current range volume areas and horizontal fib levels, as they can be important in determining the market's direction. Always have a plan and be prepared for bullish and bearish scenarios. Happy trading!
SHORT EURAUD BASED ON TECHNICAL VIEW started from december 20th the price broke the lower high,and started forming higher low and lower lows that indicates the bears are in control(based on 4HR Timeframe).
Currently the price is also below 50ema and 200ema that act as dynamic support.
At Around 1.56000 there is multiple Wick rejections it seems as the strong flipzone RESISTANCE.
If to go short levels to watch has TP are TP1 1.55000,TP2 1.54500 and TP3 1.54000
Dont forget to put stop loss for your positions,
Please follow your strategy,This isjust my idea,and I will be glad to see your Ideas in this post.
please don not forget the like button and share with your friend,thanks and trade safe.
Bitcoin-TA-2023 Short Term AnalysisHello everyone, hope you all are doing good,
Not Financial Advice though.
It was a massive pump to 21300 something as i said in my yearly and other Bitcoin Analysis that Bitcoin will definitely test 30k zone somewhere in Q2/Q3-2023.,
So What next??? lets check the possibilities what will happen.
In chart i explained the 2 possibilities mostly can play out.
Possibility1: Reverse Head n Shoulders Pattern
pullBack = 18800k roughly
target = 29k roughly.
(Orange color)
Possibility2: If this move is failed move,
than target = 14700 roughly
(Red color)
I mostly expecting Bitcoin to move in upside direction with in this year 2023.
Thank you, stay safe and stay smart.
GBPUSD (Cable) H4 Reversal likely here if this HappenGBPUSD, the cable is finding resistance at a price range of 1.19428 to 1.19140, as highlighted in our previously shared idea.
We anticipate that the GBPUSD pair will reverse at the critical support level. See the chart image for clarity.
The market is expecting some volatility later today due to the ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, and FOMC Meeting Minutes reports. The details of these reports will determine to a very large extent if the support levels at 1.19428 and 1.19140 will hold or not.
Let's keep our fingers crossed. Please like this idea to help reach others and also follow me for support.
Many thanks for your time, and I hope to report back soon.
Cardano - ADA Bullish ideaCardano enters a verticalization proving how strong and stable it is by losing only a 7% meanwhile BTC is down more than 10%
ADA is creating higher highs and higher lows - BULLISH signal
MACD just created a death cross on the EMA not looking very good - BEARISH signal
RSI looking fine, just above the 50 NEUTRAL signal
I think that cardano is going lo retest the supports (red line on chart) at that point is going to be ready for a new ATH
I am buying ADA in a price range from 1.40$ - 1.50$
$OP - Ranging inside the Symmetrical TriangleHello my Fellow TraderZ,
#Optimism $OP is looking on the 4 HTF.
Price has been ranging inside the Symmetrical Triangle for 2 months and I'm soon expecting a breakout.
I'm kind a bias towards #Bulls only if wee breakout of the Upper TL. But still if you wish to trade then $0.96-1.15 would be a good trading range for quick gains.
Buy zone (yellow circle) is around EMA 50 & 200 and perhaps wee would see bullish cross.
Happy Trading. CHEERS!!!
Going Long On USD CAD Found support zone at 1.34841 as price had bounced off this area previously. I have taken a long position to see if price can get to 1.36723!
If price breaks below the support zone than we can assess that price is probably heading to the down side! Each circle shows where price had previously hit!
Only the future can tell!
Let me know your thoughts!
Bulls and Bears zone for 01-04-2023Even-though, ETH session market is trying to rally, but price action suggests otherwise.
Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 3867 ---3865
Reports to watch:
US:ISM Manufacturing Index
10:00 AM ET
US:JOLTS
10:00 AM ET
US: FOMC Minutes
2:00 PM ET
Bitcoin TA - Bottom and Next Cycle -> from 2023 to 2024 Hello everyone, hope you all are doing good.
This Bitcoin technical analysis is not a financial advice. Cryptocurrency is a very high volatile and high-risk market, so please do research on your own before trading.
Previously shared analysis of Bitcoin was about observing the overall life cycle. (Elliotte wave theory and its own patterns)
This analysis is only for the year 2023 and 2024 about finding possible Bitcoin Bottom and the next counter move/next Top until next Halving.
1.The Tools I used for Analyzing:
Various Patterns and channels
Fibonacci retracement
Volume Profile
RSI, MFI and other indicators/oscillators.
Observation1:
As explained inside the chart, generally in trading, price moves in patterns whether it is triangle or parallel or cup shape or V-shape or zigzag or head and shoulders or any kind.
Patterns get created in a concentric way one inside the other based on lower time frames to higher, in general if the price breakout or breakdown from one shape it will enter into other bigger shape/parent shape.
Currently we are trading inside a smaller Descending triangle (Green) which in turn inside a bigger Descending triangle (Red). Price respects this Green Descending Triangle,
so technically Bitcoin will not Breakdown, perhaps it keeps testing the bottom line. If Bitcoin Breakdown it will be a disaster, then we have to think about it.
Conclusion1:
I personally think 15473usd is the Bitcoin Bottom of the year 2023.
Currently if Bitcoin puts another lower low, still it will be on the bottom line of this green Descending triangle (may be 14345usd, so mostly price will be above 14k).
Observation2:
RSI and MFI are cooling down and showing Bullish Divergences. Even other indicators like OBV and Stochastic made a slight Divergence.
Not compulsory but these indications can invalidate/negate at any time if there is a forcible sell off, but as of now showing some good signals.
Conclusion2:
Technically due to Divergences created, soon Bitcoin may Breakout from this Descending Green Triangle and enter/start trading in the larger Red Triangle.
After Breakout, there should be a counter move/rally and make until Fibonacci ratio at 0.618 level (roughly 50k) or at 0.5 level(42k).
Finally, after rally Bitcoin puts a new lower low somewhere in the year 2024.
(Since in a bigger picture Bitcoin is trading in a Red Descending Triangle so definitely it will test lower line of the triangle, so it will be lower low in 2024.)
Please give a like and put a comment if u have any questions.
Thank you, cheers.
what will happen to MANAUSDT after 100% fallinghello
as you can see MANAUSDT is in the support key level and after nearly 5 months of falling it may be time to increase a little after touching the lowest level of the channel
all you need to know is in the chart
good lock
The information provided on this Page does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. this page does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions
Don't miss opportunity for short position NZDUSDhello
as you can see a flag pattern for NZDUSD and it has potential to downward from the point that we showed in chart
all you need is in chart
good lock
The information provided on this Page does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. this page does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions
What is the next movement of BITCOINHello everyone
If this support is lost, we can consider the next point of 15500
Otherwise, an upward trend up to 18,000 can be predicted in the 4-hour time frame
all you need to know is in the chart
good luck
The information provided on this Page does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. this page does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions
TATA STEEL Broken the Trend LineTATA STEEL took support on this trend line 3 times and now it broken with some big red candle in 1-day time frame.
Overall it looks like a bearish trend in weekly time frame and reverse in Fibonacci retracement tool at 61.8% level confirms the correction has finished and now ready to come down the mentioned levels. NSE:TATASTEEL