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Technical Analysis

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 9, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 Implementation of New U.S. Tariffs: As of April 9, the U.S. has imposed a 104% tariff on Chinese goods, escalating trade tensions and raising concerns about a potential global economic slowdown. 🛢️📉 Oil Prices Decline Sharply: In response to escalating trade tensions, oil prices have fallen nearly 4%, reaching their lowest levels since early 2021. Brent crude dropped to $60.69 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined to $57.22. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 9: 📦 Wholesale Inventories (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3%​ Previous: 0.8%​ Indicates the change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers, reflecting supply chain dynamics.​ 🗣️ Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin Speaks (11:00 AM ET): Remarks may shed light on economic conditions and policy perspectives.​ 📝 FOMC Meeting Minutes Release (2:00 PM ET): Provides detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy deliberations from the March meeting.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
#VOXELUSDT is in an uncertain zone📊 BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P Scenario – Potential for Movement in Both Directions! 🚀 BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P is forming a bullish Falling Wedge pattern — a breakout to the upside could provide a great risk/reward long opportunity! At the current stage, the BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P market is shaping a scenario where both directions — long or short — are possible, depending on the reaction to key levels. ✅ Overview ➡️ The chart shows two key formations:  🔻 Bearish Pennant – a bearish continuation pattern, which has already played out to the downside.  🔻 Falling Wedge – a potentially bullish pattern, and price is now near the lower boundary of the wedge. ➡️ A weak bounce on volume is visible, and price is approaching a key resistance zone — a potential target if the wedge breaks out upward. ➡️ If the wedge plays out, a bullish impulse is expected. Timeframe: 1H 📈 LONG BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P from $0.03406 🛡 Stop loss: $0.03322 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.03456 💎 TP 2: $0.03526 💎 TP 3: $0.03586 ➡️ This scenario becomes viable if price breaks and consolidates above the $0.03126–$0.03200 zone, opening the path toward the POC zone at $0.03676. ➡️ Volume should increase on the breakout to confirm momentum. 📉 SHORT #VOXELUSDT from $0.03016 🛡 Stop loss: $0.03126 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.02960 💎 TP 2: $0.02900 💎 TP 3: $0.02860 ➡️ This scenario activates if the price fails to rise and pulls back below $0.03000. ➡️ Volume should confirm seller pressure. ➡️ The chart shows lower highs — risk of further decline remains. 📍 The price is currently in a critical decision zone , between the short entry level and the potential breakout zone for a long. 📍 The support below is strong — it has held the price several times already. No clean breakdown has occurred yet, which increases the chances of the wedge breaking upward. 📍 Avoid rushing into a position — wait for a clear confirmation in either direction (e.g., strong impulse on volume and consolidation above/below key levels). 📢 General advice on this asset: 📢 Wait for direction confirmation — both long and short setups are valid. 📢 Stay flexible and adjust to the move. 📢 Manage your risk carefully — do not enter without a signal. 🚀 BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P is in an uncertain zone — the signal could play out in either direction. Watch the key levels and enter only after confirmation!
by MoriartyTrading
Foundation of Technical Trading: What Makes a Chart Tradable?The Foundation of Technical Trading There is an abundance of information on price charts, technical methods, indicators, and various tools. However, the required first step is to understand basic market structure. Without this foundational knowledge, technical applications risk becoming inconsistent and disconnected from broader market behavior. It is also important to question whether technical charts and tools are effective at all. What makes the market responsive to a trendline, a pattern, or an indicator? And why, at other times, do these tools seem entirely irrelevant? Is the market random? If certain events are predictable, under what conditions can such occurrences be expected? Experiment: Random Charts Here is an illustration of four charts; two showing real price data and two randomly generated. While some visual distortion gives away subtle differences, there are more refined methods to construct this experiment that makes telling the difference between real and random almost impossible. All these charts show viable patterns and possible applications. When presented with these, even experienced people tend to construct narratives, whether or not structure is present. This raises a fundamental question; how can one distinguish real occurrences from coincidental formations on a chart? In case all movements are considered random, then this should indicate that applied methods perform no better than coincidence? Bias and Distortion It’s also important to comprehend the influence our perception. As humans we are wired to find patterns, even in random data, which can lead to various cognitive biases that distort our interpretation. For example, confirmation bias may lead us to focus only on evidence that supports our expectations, while apophenia causes us to see patterns where none exist. Similarly, hindsight bias can trick us into believing past patterns were obvious, which can develop overconfidence in future decisions. Awareness of these biases allows us to approach technical tools and charts with greater objectivity, with more focus on probabilistic methods and calculated risks. Experiment: Random Levels Perform the following experiment; open a chart and hide the price data. Then draw a few horizontal lines at random levels. Then reveal the price again. You’ll notice that price can touch or reverse near these lines, as if they were relevant levels. The same thing can happen with various indicators and tools. This experiment shows how easy it is to find confluence by chance. It also raises an important question, is your equipment and approach to the markets more reliable than random? Market Disorder Financial markets consist of various participants including banks, funds, traders and algorithmic systems. These participants operate with different objectives and across multiple timeframes resulting in a wide range of interpretations of market behavior. Trades are executed for various reasons such as speculation, hedging, rebalancing, liquidation or automation; directional intent could be unclear. For instance, the prior may serve to offset exposure, and portfolio rebalancing could require the execution of large orders without directional intent. Technical and chart-based trading likely makes up a minor segment of the overall market; even within this subset, there is considerable variation in perception and interpretation. There could be differences in timeframe, reference points, pattern relevance and responses to similar information. The market is broader, more complex and less definitive than it appears. The point is that markets contain a high degree of structural disorder, which means most assumptions should be questioned and perceived as estimative. The effect of buying and selling pressure on multiple timeframes sets the foundation for oscillation in price movements, rather than linear and monotonic movements. This pattern of rising and falling in a series of waves sets the points for where the current structure transitions between balance and imbalance. An overall equilibrium between buying and selling pressure results in consolidative price movement, whereas dominance leads to trending or progressive movement. Volatility Distribution To answer the main question: What differentiates real market behavior and charts from random data, and ultimately makes it tradable, is the distribution of volatility. This forms the basis for the phenomenon of volatility clustering, where periods of high volatility tend to follow high volatility, and low volatility follows low volatility. It is rare for the market to shift into a volatile state and then immediately revert to inactivity without some degree of persistence. Research supports the presence of this volatility persistence, though with the important caveat that it does not imply directional intent. Volatility Cycles These phases tend to occur in alternation, known as volatility cycles, which set the foundation for tradable price structures. This sequence consists of a contractive phase, marked by compression in price movements, followed by an expansive phase, characterized by increased volatility and directional movement. The alternation reflects shifts in underlying buying and selling pressure. This behavior offers a practical approach to interpret market behavior. A more detailed explanation of the concept could be explored in a future post. Conclusion While the idea of profitability through technical trading is often questioned, it remains a viable approach when based on sound principles. The edges available to the average trader are smaller and less frequent than commonly presumed. The concepts of volatility and the ability to locate areas of imbalance forms the basis for identifying conditions where market behavior becomes less random and more structured. This sets the foundation for developing technical edges. The content in this post is adapted from the book The Art of Technical Trading for educational purposes.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
NZDUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis and Key Levels 🇳🇿🇺🇸 Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports & resistances on NZDUSD. Support 1: 0.5506 - 0.5538 area Support 2: 0.5470 - 0.5479 area Resistance 1: 0.5644 - 0.5683 area Resistance 2: 0.5796 - 0.5854 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
Levi Strauss Drops to $13.5 Despite Strong Q125 Earnings Report Levi Strauss & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:LEVI ) closed at $13.50 on April 7, falling 2.81%. Despite strong Q1 results, macroeconomic pressures and tariff-related uncertainties weighed on the price. In its Q125 earnings report released on April 07th, 2025, the company reported a 9% organic net revenue growth in Q1 2025. Direct-to-consumer sales rose 12%, driven by strong e-commerce activity. Wholesale revenue increased 5%, with the U.S. segment growing by 8% and international sales rising 9%. Levi achieved a record gross margin of 62.1%, up 330 basis points from last year. Adjusted EBIT margin expanded by 400 basis points to 13.4%. The adjusted diluted EPS came in at $0.38, marking a 52% year-over-year increase. SG&A expenses grew 2% to $744 million while inventory levels were up 7% from last year. The company also declared a dividend of $0.13 per share, up 8%. In regional performance, the Americas led with an 11% increase in revenue. The U.S. segment alone contributed an 8% rise. Europe posted a 3% gain, led by growth in the UK and Germany. Asia saw a 10% revenue increase, with a 14% boost in direct-to-consumer sales. Despite strong numbers, challenges persist. The company shut down 21 net stores, including 51 franchisee locations in China. The China business was flat year-over-year. Moreover, tariff-related risks remain a concern, potentially impacting pricing and margins. Technical Analysis: Stock Near Double Support in Descending Channel NYSE:LEVI is trading within a descending channel from its $24.34 high recorded in June 6th 2024. Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the stock is approaching a double support zone around $12.0 to $13.0. This area has acted as a strong floor in past cycles. Its 3-day RSI currently reads at 26.32, signaling oversold conditions. This could indicate a potential bounce if the support zone holds. If the price breaks below the $12.0 level, the next downtrend could open and target the $11 or $10 psychological level. Next Move: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Continuation? Should the price hold support, a short-term reversal may follow, with resistance at $15.25, and then the descending channel upper band at around $17.00. A confirmed break above $17.00 would shift momentum to the upside. Until then, the downtrend remains intact. Volume during the recent drop reached 10.7 million shares, showing strong selling interest. The next earnings report is expected between June 24 and June 30. Watch for signs of reversal or further decline near this key support.
NYSE:LEVIShort
by DEXWireNews
Ethereum Future: Limited Upside Ahead?Ethereum price dropped roughly 25% since April 2 due to an overall market crash following Trump’s tariffs implementation. Compared to the almost 40% drop back in February after the first tariff announcement, this time the correction wasn’t as harsh or brutal. So what can we expect next from Ethereum in the coming weeks? The main hope for ETH price remains the upcoming Pectra upgrade. Historically, major Ethereum upgrades have acted as bullish catalysts — for example, ETH roughly doubled in price ahead of both the Merge and the Shanghai upgrade. If history rhymes, we could see a similar pre-upgrade pump this time too. However, even if that rally materializes, I expect it to be limited to the $3,000–$3,400 range. The market lacks the kind of momentum or macro tailwinds needed to push ETH beyond 4k in this cycle — unless there’s a major shift in sentiment. Overall, I remain cautious. The broader crypto market seems to be rolling over, and Ethereum hasn't even reclaimed its ATH. With the next bear cycle approaching, long-term bullish targets might need to be revised — at least for now. Short-term bounce possible thanks to Pectra hype, but don’t expect miracles. ETH likely capped below 3.4k unless something big changes.
by Real_CryptoRoy
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Investor Panic After Fake News🟡 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Investor Panic After Fake News, Bearish Bias Remains 📉 Current Strategy: Focus on SELL setups at key resistance zones – short-term bearish outlook remains valid 📌 US Session Recap: Gold saw a sharp sell-off after a fake news report circulated about the US delaying its planned tariff policy. → While the White House later confirmed it was misinformation, the damage was done — panic selling hit across global markets. 💥 As a result, gold dropped aggressively and reached the 295x zone, aligning perfectly with AD’s previous short bias. Meanwhile, US equities also continued to bleed red. 🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash is King” is Back With global instability and fear on the rise: 🔹 Investors are hoarding cash 🔹 USD demand increases, along with inflows into US government bonds 🔹 Risk assets like gold, stocks, and crypto are being dumped 💡 This could be part of Trump’s larger play — forcing global capital to flow back into US Treasuries while applying pressure on speculative markets. 🔮 AD’s View: Unless we see a clear shift in investor sentiment, the base case remains: → Sell rallies through midweek, then reassess. 🧭 Key Technical Zones to Watch: 🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076 🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912 🎯 TRADE PLAN: 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928 SL: 2924 TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036 SL: 3040 TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ??? 📌 Keep an Eye on DXY: The US Dollar Index is currently testing a major 3-year support level. → If equities fail to recover and fear persists, DXY could bounce — and gold would likely continue its correction lower. ⚠️ Final Note: We’re in a highly volatile and uncertain environment. → Stick to the plan. Respect your SL/TP levels. Avoid emotional decisions. — 📣 Found this perspective useful? Follow for daily macro-backed trade ideas and real-time market structure breakdowns. Clarity. Consistency. Risk Management. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
3
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level. Technical Outlook: Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity. 1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence. Targets:  – TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level  – TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support $3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation. Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025): Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:  – Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization  – Real yields remain negative across key regions  – Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility  – Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing  – Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)  – Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential  – BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution  – Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving  – Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold Conclusion: Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback. $3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside. Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg. Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200: Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100): Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
IGSB:USCGCShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
2
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Building Up?**Gold (XAU/USD) | 4H Chart | Bullish Bias** Gold continues to shine as it builds a solid bullish structure on the 4H timeframe. After a healthy pullback, price has bounced back strongly, holding above key support zones and aiming higher. **What's happening now?** - Price is forming *higher highs and higher lows*, respecting the bullish trendline. - Strong demand kicked in around the *$2,950* zone — a key level to watch for potential pullbacks. - The next resistance lies near *$3,050*, a psychological and technical level that could act as the next target for buyers. **Technical Confluence:** - *Fibonacci retracement* aligns with recent pullbacks around $2,950 – offering strong support. - *RSI* is hovering above 50, confirming ongoing bullish momentum. - Price remains above the *50-period EMA*, supporting the uptrend. --- **Bullish Scenario:** If gold holds above $2,950 and breaks above $3,010 with volume, we could see a push toward *$3,050–$3,070* in the short term. **Invalidation:** A confirmed break below *$2,940* could weaken the bullish outlook and shift momentum. --- **Educational Insight:** In trending markets, pullbacks to key zones like Fibonacci levels or prior support often offer higher-probability trades. Instead of chasing breakouts, look for *retests* with confirmation. --- What’s your take on gold right now? Are we headed toward new highs or due for a pause?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Saeed966
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 8, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Release: The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) will release its Small Business Optimism Index for March at 6:00 AM ET. This index provides insights into the health and outlook of small businesses, which are vital to the U.S. economy. 🗣️ Federal Reserve Speeches: ​San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly is scheduled to speak at 8:00 AM ET. ​ ​Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee will deliver remarks at 7:00 PM ET. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, April 8: 📈 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (6:00 AM ET): Forecast: 100.7​ Previous: 102.8​ Assesses the health and outlook of small businesses, which are vital to the economy. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Bitcoin Signal for Short Lets Make Some Real GameThis is an educational trading setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), focusing on a short position opportunity between the $82,000 and $80,000 price levels. The analysis is based on technical indicators, price action strategies, and current market sentiment. Please note: this is not financial advice, strictly for learning purposes! 📉 Trade Concept: Entry Zone: $82,000 Target Zone: $80,000 Setup Type: Short / Sell Timeframe: Short-term / Intraday Market Context: After an extended bullish rally, BTC/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance. High probability retracement expected towards the $80,000 support area. 🔍 Educational Insights: Technical Indicators: Overbought RSI levels, bearish divergence, and candlestick reversal patterns around $82,000 zone. Psychological Levels: $80,000 is a major psychological number where buyers may step in. Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and proper risk-reward ratios in live trades. 💡 Purpose of Sharing: This setup is shared purely for educational purposes to help traders understand how to spot potential short opportunities in volatile markets like Bitcoin. Learn how to analyze resistance zones, manage risk, and read price action effectively. 📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making financial decisions. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortTrade #BitcoinSignal #PriceAction #Educational #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoEducation #LearnTrading #RiskManagement
Short
by ss7trader
Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war. Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks. The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%. Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710. Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion. Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements. However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date. Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward. BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines. Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DEXWireNews
USDSGD – Technical Analysis (1D)USDSGD has broken out of a descending trendline on the daily timeframe – signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. Price has held above 1.3510, confirming the breakout and opening the door to resistance zones at 1.3565–1.3638 (aligned with 0.382 and 0.236 Fibonacci levels). If bulls stay in control, next targets lie at 1.3723 and 1.3750. However, a short pullback toward the 1.3450–1.3480 support zone (0.618 Fibo) is also possible. 🔹 Main scenario: continuation to 1.3565 → 1.3638 → 1.3723. 🔹 Alternative scenario: drop below 1.3450 toward 1.3376 or 1.3274.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades