Technical Analysis
XAUUSD: Support Holds, Breakout Ahead?Looking at XauUSD's 4 -hour chart, we can see that the price is being blocked by the decreasing resistance line and there is no clear breakthrough through this level. EMA 34 (yellow) is currently acting as a short -term resistance close to the current price, while the EMA 89 (blue) continues to be below, supporting the price if the batch occurs sharply.
An important support area (purple area) has been determined from 2,630 to 2,645, this is where the price has reacted in previous times. This area can be a point to track the purchase signals if the price continues to decrease and touch this area.
Scenario 1: If the price continues to be resisted from EMA and the resistance line decreases, the price may check the support area again. There will be a possibility of a batch from here, creating opportunities for the buyer. This is supported by the potential "Double Bottom" model, which can be clearly seen in case the price check the support and maintain.
Scenario 2: If the price can break the resistance line above, especially when closing the candle above 2,652, this will be a strong signal for the continued trend of increasing and opening the potential to 2,670 or higher.
USDJPY Set to Surge Higher – Targeting 150.00?Dear traders!
USDJPY is currently maintaining a fairly steady uptrend, hovering around 147.64 despite a slight 0.34% adjustment downwards during the day. In my personal view, this correction is largely due to the pair encountering the upper boundary of the short-term rising channel. However, upon closer inspection, technical factors such as the rising wedge and the EMA 34.89 remain strong, indicating that the appeal of this pair is far from over.
Considering these factors, Ben’s personal opinion is that USDJPY will likely continue its upward momentum, with a potential target around 150.00.
Wishing you all successful and prosperous trading!
UNI Futures Analysis: Key Triggers Amid Bullish Momentum✨ Welcome to Today's Uniswap (UNI) Futures Analysis
In this analysis, I’ll be examining the UNI token, highlighting potential entry and exit points for futures trading based on both daily and 4-hour timeframes.
🥸 About Uniswap (UNI)
Before diving into the charts, here's a quick overview of Uniswap. As one of the largest decentralized exchanges (DEX) in the DeFi ecosystem, Uniswap operates on Ethereum and its layer-2 solutions, facilitating asset swaps and enabling users to earn through liquidity provision. The platform's native token is UNI, which I'll be analyzing today.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, UNI hit a peak of $15.398 before beginning a downtrend, culminating in two major bearish waves that brought the price down to $5.59 support. Throughout this decline, volume steadily decreased, with a notable high-volume selloff candle at $5.59 signaling the start of a corrective phase. The price then climbed to the $7.667 resistance, where it was rejected once but is currently making another attempt to break through.
📊 Concerns Around Decreasing Volume
A key issue during this phase is the declining volume on both buying and selling sides, suggesting a lack of active participation from both bulls and bears. This may indicate that large investors or "whales" are temporarily pulling funds from UNI, reducing its attractiveness for spot buying.
🔽 Stop-Loss Strategy for Existing Holders
For current holders looking to manage risk, I recommend setting a stop-loss if the price falls below the $5.59 support level. A close below this zone could lead to further declines toward $4.816 and $3.868. Personally, I would trigger my stop-loss on a confirmed candle close below $5.59.
📈 Futures Trading Triggers
For futures trading, a breakout above $7.667 could be a good long entry trigger, with targets at $8.668 and potentially as high as $11.983. If the RSI moves into overbought territory and holds, we might see a strong price surge as market excitement builds.
📉 Short Position Triggers
On the short side, a break below $6.369 is a valid trigger, as this level has been tested twice before. A third touch and break could offer a solid opportunity for momentum traders. Another short trigger lies at $5.59, and if the price settles below this level, a sharp drop may follow.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, UNI has been trading within a range of $5.59 to $7.829. Trading within this box requires careful risk management, as the price could move unexpectedly before a position is activated.
📈 Long and Short Triggers on the 4-Hour Chart
For long positions, a break above $7.387 within this range is a suitable trigger, targeting the top of the box. On the short side, a break below $6.511 would be a valid trigger, aiming for the bottom of the range.
📝 Bullish Momentum Prevails
Currently, bullish momentum is stronger than bearish, as reflected in Bitcoin’s price action. As long as Bitcoin maintains its upward trend, I prefer focusing on long positions over short ones in UNI futures.
❌ Disclaimer
This analysis represents my personal opinions and is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Potential Downside Breakout📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Rectangle Formation on D1 Timeframe, Potential Downside Breakout
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a rectangle formation on the D1 timeframe , which typically signals consolidation before a significant price move. While the price remains range-bound, there’s a high probability of a downside breakout , with critical targets at $2,580 and $2,490 . Here's a detailed analysis of the setup:
🔲 What is a Rectangle Formation?
A rectangle formation occurs when the price moves between two horizontal levels, creating a box-like pattern 📊. This shows a period of indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are in control. A breakout typically happens when the price moves decisively above or below the rectangle.
🔻 Downside Breakout Targets
Gold breaking below the rectangle's lower boundary could signal a bearish trend continuation. Here are the critical downside targets to watch:
1. First Target – $2,580 :
A downside breakout would likely drop the price to $2,580 , the first central support zone and a logical profit-taking area for short-sellers.
2. Second Target – $2,490 :
Should bearish momentum persist, the next target would be $2,490 , a deeper support level where further selling pressure could ease.
⛔ Stop Loss – $2,702
A stop loss at $2,702 is recommended for those considering a short position. This level is just above the upper boundary of the rectangle and would invalidate the downside scenario if breached.
🚀 Upside Breakout Target
If gold breaks out above the rectangle, bullish momentum could push prices toward $2,841 . This would signal a strong reversal, and traders should consider this level the next significant resistance zone.
🔍 Factors to Watch
Several factors could influence the direction of the breakout:
Inflation Data : Higher inflation tends to support gold prices as a hedge, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout.
US Dollar Strength : A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, favoring a downside breakout.
Geopolitical Events : Uncertainty in global markets can boost safe-haven demand for gold, potentially triggering an upside move.
🛠 Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on the potential breakout, consider the following:
Downside Setup : If gold breaks below the rectangle, short positions with targets at $2,580 and $2,490 may offer solid risk/reward opportunities, with a stop loss at $2,702 .
Upside Setup : In the case of an upside breakout, targeting $2,841 could provide a good opportunity but ensure that risk is managed carefully.
💡 Conclusion
Gold’s rectangular formation in the D1 timeframe suggests a significant price move is on the horizon. While the likelihood of a downside breakout seems stronger, with targets at $2,580 and $2,490, traders should remain alert to the possibility of an upside breakout towards $2,841. Proper risk management, including a stop loss of $2,702, will be crucial in navigating this market opportunity.
🔔 Stay updated with real-time price action to make the most of this technical setup.
Share your opinion in the comments.....
Crude Oil Technical Analysis - October OutlookCrude oil is showing a notable recovery from its recent lows, currently trading around the $72 mark. A few key observations based on the price action and indicators:
Price Pattern and Trend:
The chart shows a classic descending wedge pattern, which signals a potential bullish reversal. The breakout from the wedge is accompanied by a price surge above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, suggesting a short-term trend change.
Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support : Around $70.64, marked by the breakout level.
Strong Support : At $68.23, where significant buying interest has been observed in the past, reinforced by a bullish consolidation zone.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: $72.11, which has been tested, with potential room for the price to move higher if momentum sustains.
Critical Resistance : $77.23, which coincides with a strong historical supply zone. A close above this level would signal further bullish momentum
.
Volume Profile Insight:
A noticeable shift in the volume profile near the $70 mark suggests accumulation by institutional investors, hinting that buyers are stepping in to defend this level.
RSI Indicator
: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back from oversold levels and is now showing early signs of positive divergence, supporting the case for an upward move.
Geopolitical Factors:
With rising tensions in the Middle East, as highlighted in the annotation, traders and investors are pricing in potential supply disruptions, contributing to the recent spike in oil prices.
Conclusion:
Oil prices may continue to rise in the short term, with $72.11 being a key level to watch. If sustained above this, the next target would be $77.23. However, if prices fall back below $70, we could see a retest of support at $68.23. Given the geopolitical uncertainty, traders should remain cautious of potential volatility.
SasanSeifi| Will It Rebound or Drop Further?Hey there, ✌In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, Atom's price has been in a downtrend from the $8.50 range and has now corrected to the crucial weekly support level at $4. Currently, the price is trading around $4.
In the long-term timeframe, maintaining the $4 level is crucial. The price has reacted to this important support, and if it consolidates here with confirmation on lower timeframes, we could expect a potential rebound with positive fluctuations toward the $5 and $6.50 levels.
If positive momentum develops, we should watch how the price reacts to the $6.50 level. To continue the bullish trend and reach the target supply zone of $7 to $8, breaking the $6.50 level is necessary.
On the other hand, if the $4 level breaks and the price stabilizes below it, the likelihood of further correction increases, with potential downside targets of $3.20 to $2.30.
🔶The chart is in logarithmic scale.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
SasanSeifi|Will It Break Resistance or Test Lower Supports?Hey there, ✌ On the weekly timeframe, BINANCE:LTCUSDT price movement, after ranging around $84, faced a downward trend and corrected to the $50 level. Currently, the price is trading in a range around $63 with limited fluctuations.
In the long-term weekly timeframe, key support levels for Litecoin are at $50 and $42. To continue the upward trend, it’s essential for the price to break the critical resistance at $85 and hold above it. If this resistance is broken, the likelihood of further price growth increases.
For a clearer understanding of the price movement, it’s crucial to closely monitor Litecoin’s reaction to the $70 to $85 range. If the price fails to sustain above these levels, we may see a correction and a potential return to the major support zones.
🔶The chart is in logarithmic scale.
This analysis reflects my personal view and is not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Will the Price Bounce or Break?1H Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: 0.67940
Bearish Outlook:
1. 1W Chart: Bearish Engulfing (Reversal)
2. 1D Chart: Shooting Star (Reversal)
3. 4H Chart: Rising Wedge (Reversal)
4. 1H Chart: Pennant (Continuation)
The price is currently at the lower trendline of the Rising Wedge. With the Pennant pattern in play, we expect a drop to 0.67755. If strong support is found here, the price may bounce back to the major resistance at 0.68350. Due to this resistance, a reversal could push the price down to 0.67444, with potential bounces at support levels before aiming for ultimate support.
Bullish Target:
0.68350
Bearish Targets:
0.67755
0.67444
0.67139
Good luck, traders!
Footsie Hasn’t Topped Yet; Shows Bullish PatternWe talked about Footsie back in May 2024, where we mentioned and highlighted an ongoing 5th wave in the weekly chart with space up to 8800 – 9400 target area.
Footsie a.k.a. FTSE100 or UK100 stock market index is still bullish with nice and clean inverted H&S pattern on a daily chart. After a higher degree A-B-C correction in wave (4), it can be getting ready for a bullish continuation within wave (5) by a new lower degree bullish setup formation. With sharp leg up into wave 1, we are actually tracking an a-b-c pullback in wave 2, where subwave »c« is coming out of subwave »b« triangle, so ideal support is at 8100 – 8000 area, from where we should be aware of a bullish resumption for wave 3 of a five-wave bullish cycle.
QTUMUSDT BULL?this pair on 1h time frame was break a structur of hight and now this price stil a make correction, potential buy on the deep its can happen cause we look before the price make its the same. im believe the price can break the high and if this price break potential to green line its coming.
*disc On
USD/JPY Under Pressure Below Resistance at $149.066The USD/JPY chart shows the formation of a key trend with the price fluctuating around $147.712, just below the strong resistance level at $149.066. If this resistance fails to break, USD/JPY may reverse and correct towards key support levels at $146.163 or even deeper at $143.432.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines provide stable support, but selling pressure is weighing heavily on the price. A breakout scenario will require strong confirmation from technical factors, while investors should closely monitor key economic news from the U.S., which could cause significant market volatility.
At present, technical factors combined with the short-term downtrend could continue to push the price lower unless a strong breakout from buyers occurs.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/10/2024Slightly gap up opening expected in nifty near 24900 level. 24950-25000 will act as a strong upside resistance for nifty. Possible nifty gives reversal from this level towards the 24700 level and this can be extend upto 24500 in case nifty gives breakdown of 24700 level. Any strong bullish side rally only expected above 25000 level.
BANK NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 08/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 51000
SL - 50600
TARGETS - 51340,51650,51820
SELL BELOW - 50300
SL - 50600
TARGETS - 49930,49700,49530
NO TRADE ZONE - 50300 to 51000
Previous Day High - 51820
Previous Day Low - 50300
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 08/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 24890
SL - 24800
TARGETS - 24990,25060,25120
SELL BELOW - 24700
SL - 24800
TARGETS - 24600,24530,24460
NO TRADE ZONE - 24700 to 24890
Previous Day High - 25120
Previous Day Low - 24700
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/10/2024)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 50950 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at 50950 level and there will be downside movement possible from this level. This downside can further extend for 400-500 points in case banknifty starts trading below 50450 level in today's session. Any upside movement only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 51050 level.
Gold Price Today: Struggling to Break Free!At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, gold (XAUUSD) is hovering around $2,646, with a modest increase of 0.17% on the day. However, the precious metal lacks strong momentum, as the U.S. jobs report exceeded expectations, dampening hopes of a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This has driven up U.S. Treasury yields and strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
From both a fundamental and technical perspective, a further decline in gold could be expected, especially if it reacts to the trendline or resistance levels. A selling strategy could be considered if sellers capitalize on the price correction influenced by the 34 and 89 EMA indicators.
Long-Term Gold Price Channel Analysis (Gold Spot / USD)FX_IDC:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
This is a candlestick analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) for 6 months that goes through historical data from the 1930s . It makes use of a logarithmic scale and appears key support and resistance levels, as well as regression trendlines, that facilitate long-term price continuity.The purple trendlines depict varying channels in Fibonacci from -1 to 1.5 so that one can observe the key zones of support and resistance that gold has usually adhered to in the past.The center line (0) is represented in black and is the median of all the previous actions, where the price usually stays.Spring lines denote the significant price levels: $1,345.42 is a long-term lower support and $3,736.64 is an upper resistance level if we take into account the historical track record for a particular stock .The current price index is around $2,647.99 , with the stock having moved in a dominant upward trend (+13.82% this quarter).The vision of the future: If we are seeing a downtrend period in gold’s history, there is a fairly good possibility of a developing uptrend that will take gold near resistance price at the upper channel which is expected around 2030. This format is combined with historical trends and is a projection of the future price movements that all together provide a broader perspective to investors.
USDollar Is In Higher Degree Recovery ModeDollar Index with ticker DXY has turned bearish after the corrective rally stopped at 105.70-106, an important resistance area at the end of June. Since then, the price even accelerated lower through summer so it appears that a bearish impulse, but with current sharp bounce out of an ending diagonal on 4h TF, we believe that correction is now in play. Notice thats a very sharp leg up, so its wave a, still first leg of a minimum three-wave a-b-c recovery that can take index back to 61.8% Fib, near 104 which can be very strong resistance for the next sell-off, especially if we consider that this can be wave 2 rally.
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now.
PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back.
For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅