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Technical Analysis

EURJPY Potential Longs - Short & Long Term (Technical Analysis)Technical Outlook: Looking at previous price movement, we see it's been trending up since August 2024, with the last reaccumulation phase ending in early 2024. We recently saw a demand chain, but the last push couldn't quite hit new highs. Supply then took over, driving the price back down to a daily demand level. At this point, we've seen some strong bullish reactions on the lower timeframes, which is interesting and here's why - Potential Scenarios & Probabilities: Scenario 1 (High Probability) – Demand should regain control, leading to a bullish breakout. Scenario 2 (Medium Probability) - Price could range within the ascending channel for a while. Scenario 3 (Low Probability) – The bulls might disengage, resulting in a bearish break and continuation thereafter. Trading Considerations: Price is currently in a discounted zone within the ascending channel (158.000 – 168.000) . We can look for trading opportunities within this range, focusing on strong supply and demand areas, anticipating the eventual bullish breakout. A long position closer to the bottom of the range could turn into a swing trade. If you're trading inside the range on lower time frames, it's smart to keep an eye on volume, overbought/oversold levels, and relative currency strength. Final Notes: With the price moving sideways for a good six months, range trading is definitely a possibility. But the real goal is to catch that bullish breakout when it happens, and it looks like it's getting close. As always, manage your risk carefully, and don't hesitate to take the trade when the setup is right – assuming you've got a solid plan and a clear target in mind. OANDA:EURJPY
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
Crypto Market Is Still Bullish Despite A New Sell-OffCrypto market faced some deeper decline, but still looks like a complex W-X-Y correction in wave 4 within a bullish trend for wave 5. A drop came from a stock market slowdown due to end of the month flows last week on Friday and due to US tariffs. However, now that US tariffs for Mexico and Canada are delayed, we can see a strong stabilization and recovery, which can be an indication for a bullish continuation within a new five-wave bullish cycle for wave 5, at least for the first half of 2025.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by ew-forecast
Why USDCHF is in Retesting Phase? and Expected Trend ReversalUSDCHF is currently trading at 0.91000, with a target price of 0.89900, indicating a short-term bearish movement. The expected price drop of 100+ pips suggests a potential short-selling opportunity. The pair is in a retesting phase, meaning it is re-evaluating a previously broken trendline. This retest occurs after a downtrend, confirming bearish momentum. However, after this small decline, a strong bullish wave is anticipated. The price is expected to recover and move upward toward the 0.93000 level. This suggests a trend reversal after the retracement phase. Traders may consider shorting until 0.89900, then looking for bullish confirmation. Risk management is crucial due to potential market volatility. Analyzing support, resistance, and market sentiment can help refine entry and exit points.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUD/JPY: Bearish Reversal in Play, A Long Downtrend Awaits?Hey Realistic Traders, OANDA:AUDJPY has no chance for a Bullish Outlook? Let's dive into the analysis... After a prolonged consolidation phase, the Aussie Yen has once again traded below the EMA-200 line, forming a new lower high along the way. This bearish signal marked the beginning of a continued downward movement, which was further confirmed by a breakout from a rising wedge pattern. Such breakouts typically indicate strong bearish momentum, especially when accompanied by multiple bearish marubozu candlesticks. Further strengthening this outlook, a falling wedge breakout occurred on the JPYBASKET, signaling a continuation of its prevailing bullish trend. This divergence between Aussie Yen and JPYBASKET adds weight to our bearish analysis. Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move downward toward the first target at 94.651 or potentially the second target at 93.716. However, this bearish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at 98.478. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. "Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Aussie Yen".
Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
2
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮 📅 Tue, Feb 4 🌎 Market-Moving News: 📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods. 🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M) 🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization. #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisSell Bias Explanation Risky Entry Zone: Observation: Price entered the "RISKY ENTRY" zone. Explanation: This area indicates a potential entry point for short trades. Traders should be cautious and ensure they have confirmation before entering, as it is labeled "risky." Resistance Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "RESISTANCE ZONE." Explanation: This area acts as a barrier for the price to move higher. The presence of a resistance zone suggests that the price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for sellers to step in Price Closed Below the Protected High: Observation: An annotation states, "PRICE CLOSED BELOW THE PROTECTED HIGH." Explanation: This indicates that the price failed to break a critical high point, only sweeping and hunting stops suggesting a bearish sentiment. It reinforces the sell bias as buyers are unable to push the price higher. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Confirmation Entry Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "confirmation entry zone." Explanation: This area provides additional confirmation for entering short trades. Traders looking for a safer entry can consider entering here once the price confirms the bearish setup. P.R Area (Secure Position): Observation: "P.R AREA(Possible rejection area) = secure position" is marked on the chart. Explanation: This area suggests a point where traders can consider securing their positions, either by taking partial profits or tightening stop losses to minimize risk. Disclaimer 📢 Remember, trading involves risk. Past successful setups do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies.
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
1
TradeCityPro | DOGEUSDT End of the Downtrend👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together into a turbulent day in the market, which was accompanied by the opening of global markets, Trump’s side events, and economic sanctions on Canada and Mexico. Let’s take a look at the chart together. 📣 How did this happen? The event that occurred last night with the market opening in the Tokyo session was that Trump suddenly increased import tariffs from China, Canada, and Mexico to 25%, causing economic conflicts among these countries. Along with this, we saw an increase in USDCAD, the dollar index, gold, and cryptocurrency, leading to market fluctuations. However, today it was announced that these changes will take effect next month. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the Bitcoin analysis, let’s first examine Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe as usual. We had already opened our short position after breaking 101,654 in previous analyses, and this morning, due to sell-off candles around the 92,000-dollar range and excessive overselling, we secured a lot of profit and completely exited the position. This drop caused a severe shock to most people, leading to the liquidation of $2 billion in long futures positions. This price drop was accompanied by an increase in Bitcoin dominance, reaching my psychological ceiling, and a very long shadow up to 64.30% was recorded. In my opinion, this is the Bitcoin dominance peak, but we will wait for confirmation. The reason I say this is the peak is that a large volume of other coins is staked and locked outside the cycle. This makes it unlikely that we will go above these numbers, and we will likely experience corrections and declines gradually. However, Bitcoin itself has completely recovered its drop, which is a very good sign for upward movement and momentum because a momentum shift has practically occurred. The reason for this shift was the announcement that these economic events will be implemented next month, not now, which brought calm to the markets. But Bitcoin still has good momentum, and you shouldn’t feel left out. Feeling left out is for those who lack risk management and enter positions recklessly, not us. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, Dogecoin, Elon Musk’s favorite coin that has practically established itself as an entity in the U.S. and made him the second most influential person in the country, has had an outstanding performance recently. It has both recorded a higher low compared to 2023 and has not undergone significant price corrections—just a rejection from its ATH, which is entirely logical. I am not buying for now and prefer to miss a move, or if I do buy, it will be very low-risk. But if you want to buy a coin, be very careful about how it performed during this correction and what its Bitcoin pair looks like. Most coins that experienced more decline, like NOT, had a bearish Bitcoin pair, while some coins that held up well were either ranging or bullish. With this weekly candle, you can take a risk and make your purchase, but you must consider that it has merely bounced off support and made a pullback. Therefore, it may range for a few weeks before continuing its momentum, as the high volatility at the beginning of the month means the market may need some rest—unless we enter a bull run. For selling, hold on for now and do nothing. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, however, DOGE is one of the coins that has reacted well to recent events and is behaving almost like Bitcoin. It has rebounded from this range and is closing a strong candle with high volume, preventing the daily RSI from entering oversold territory. On the other hand, DOGE is among those coins that are positioned at higher levels compared to the daily range that most altcoins have formed, showing its relative strength against Bitcoin. If you check Ethereum on the daily timeframe, you will understand what I mean. After breaking the important 0.31019 support and the 0.236 Fibonacci support, we saw a sharp candle that rebounded between the 0.382 and 0.5 range, which is not a bad reaction at all. Most likely, some purchases will be made upon the closing of this candle. If this aligns with your strategy, it is not a bad entry point, but I personally prefer to wait a little longer and enter with a better trigger and a smaller stop-loss. Or, I might wait for the 0.466 resistance break and take the trade with more certainty or higher risk. First, when the market becomes range-bound and boring, that is exactly when the highest probability of movement occurs. Second, take risk and capital management very seriously. I know 90% of our community follows this, but I need to repeat it repeatedly to make it universal and prevent people from being liquidated unnecessarily by opening reckless positions based on mere hope. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
12
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK1H Trading Analysis - The Quantum Trading Mastery Hi Traders, We successfully reached TP1, TP2, and TP3 in our previous 1H chart analysis. Below are the updated levels and targets for the coming week. Market Overview Gold reached an all-time high at 2,817, and is currently trading between two key levels, with a gap above 2,817 and a gap below 2,778. As seen on the chart, EMA5 crossed and locked below the KEY LEVEL of 2,796, and TP1 has just been hit. To further validate the price direction and range, we’ll monitor EMA5 at various target levels, along with the GoldTurn support levels. What’s Next for GOLD in the 1H Timeframe? A resistance level has formed at 2,817. EMA5 failed to cross and lock above this point, triggering a reversal. The FVG might reinforce another resistance level, pushing prices further down towards TP2 (2,761). Additionally, EMA5 crossing below MA21 and MA50 signals a bearish trend. Key Levels * Resistance Zones: The FVG resistance at 2,782–2,888 is expected to push prices down to TP2 (2,761). * Support Levels: Strong support is anticipated at Gold Turn Levels around 2,778, 2,761, 2,744, and 2,740 (Retracement Range). ⚠️ Downside Risks * If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,778, the next target is 2,761. * If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,761, the downside extends toward 2,744. * A break below 2,744 could drive prices down to 2,740 (retracement range). 📈 Bullish Path A bounce from support levels could trigger a retest with potential upside. * If EMA5 crosses and holds above 2,778, the next bullish target is 2,796. * If EMA5 holds above 2,796, the upward extends to 2,807. * A further break above 2,807 could push prices upward to 2,819. 🔹 Long-Term Outlook Our bullish bias remains, viewing pullbacks as opportunities to buy. Buying dips from key levels offers better risk management rather than chasing tops. Final Thoughts Trade with confidence and discipline—our detailed analysis ensures you're equipped to navigate market fluctuations. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights. Best regards, 📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TheQUANTUMTraders
DXY Analysis & ConsiderationsOverall Trend & Context: Long-Term Uptrend: The DXY exhibits a clear uptrend from late 2023, indicating persistent USD strength. Key Levels: Resistance Zone (109.50 - 110.00): This zone has proven a challenge for the DXY to break decisively. A sustained break above this level is crucial for further upside. Support Zone (107.00 - 108.00): This zone has provided support during pullbacks. EMAs (25, 50, 100, 200 - 4-Hour Chart): The DXY is trading above all EMAs, a bullish sign. The 25 EMA is acting as dynamic support, and a bullish crossover (25 above 50) has occurred. Potential Scenarios & Probabilities: Bullish Breakout (High Probability) : The bullish EMA alignment favor an upside breakout above 110.00. Increased volume would confirm this scenario. Pullback to Support/EMAs (Medium Probability) : A pullback towards the support line or the 25 EMA (around 108.80 - 109.00) is plausible, especially given the overbought RSI. This could offer a good long entry opportunity. Breakdown Below Support (Low - Medium Probability) : A break below the support line and the EMAs would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to a deeper correction. Trading Considerations: xxxUSD pairs - If the dollar goes up we should look for short positions. USDxxx pairs - If Dollar goes up we can look for long positions. A pullback to the support zones or the 25 EMA could offer a lower-risk long entry, provided these levels hold and there is sufficient demand on the USDxxx pair you're trading. (technicals should always be prioritized) Consider placing stop-loss orders below key support/demand levels to manage risk. Look for increased volume during breakouts or bounces off support to strengthen signals. Watch for bearish divergence on the RSI as a potential bearish warning sign on the DXY. Geopolitical Factors: De-dollarization Efforts: Some countries are exploring alternatives to the US dollar for trade and reserves. While this is a long-term trend, any significant announcements or actions could impact the dollar's value.   Sanctions and Trade Policies: US sanctions and trade policies can influence the dollar's strength, particularly against the currencies of targeted countries. The US imposed tariffs are creating ripples right now. Let's quickly look at what 'tariffs' are - By now you should all know about the US imposed tariffs on several major trading partners including China, Canada and Mexico (and that they've retaliated with their own tariffs on US goods). What does this all mean? In the US any goods that are imported from Canada for example, will now cost more to the general public. To put it simply, the US is now charging a "handlers fee" and that will increase the overall price. These tariffs are intended to encourage these countries to change their trade practices. The tariffs have disrupted global supply chains, increased costs for businesses, and created uncertainty. Make no mistake, this is without a doubt, a trade war. Potential Impacts on the US Dollar: Positive Impact: Safe-haven demand: Increased global economic uncertainty due to the trade war could drive investors towards the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, increasing demand and its value. People will flock to the take no s#it protocols implemented by the Trump administration. Reduced imports: If tariffs lead to a significant decrease in US imports, there could be less demand for foreign currencies to purchase those imports, indirectly increasing demand for USD. This means that trade conducted by the US will increase the overall Dollar output - thus making it seem more valuable. (If we assume the Trump administration is playing petty games, we're badly misinformed, we should assume that these are well calculated risks) Negative Impact: Reduced US exports: Tariffs can make US goods less competitive, leading to a decrease in exports. This can reduce foreign demand for USD, as fewer foreign buyers need dollars to purchase US goods. Economic slowdown: The trade war could negatively impact economic growth in the US and globally. A slowdown in the US economy could make the dollar less attractive to investors. Retaliatory tariffs: If other countries retaliate with their own tariffs on US goods, it can further dampen US exports and reduce demand for the dollar. Trade Wars and Uncertainty: The uncertainty and potential for escalation associated with trade wars can negatively impact investor confidence and lead to a flight to safety. While the USD is often seen as a safe haven, extreme uncertainty could lead investors to seek other safe-haven assets or reduce their overall exposure to USD (Right now Gold is something you should be looking into as a trader and investor). Final Notes: The technical picture is strong and does favour a breakout. But the geopolitical risks reduce the probability. Be prepared for fundamentals to override technicals in the short term. Given the heightened risks, traders should be cautious and wait for clear confirmation signals before taking positions. Closely follow news related to the debt ceiling, economic data, and geopolitical events. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TVC:DXYLong
by Apexfx_Alpha
Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders! Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August. ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate. One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend. However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days. The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets. The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections. Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month. Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time. If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory. For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance. A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
by Real_CryptoRoy
7
Tariffs, tariffs and more tariffs... What's next for the Dow?It seems like we are stepping into Tariff Wars 2.0, with the announcement of the tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. But is the outlook really that bad? Let's take a look at the MARKETSCOM:US30 scenario. TVC:DJI 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US30
by Marketscom
5
SOLUSDT: Long or Trap? Breaking Down the Setup 🔥 ** BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P ** is bouncing off the support zone, showing strength from the bulls! After a sharp dump, price held a key level and is now pushing up. The big question — is this a true reversal or just a "bearish retest" before another drop? --- 🔑 **Key Levels:** **Support:** **171.06 USDT** — strong demand zone. **160.23 USDT** — critical level, breaking below could trigger more downside. **Resistance:** **199.55 USDT** — local resistance; breaking above could accelerate movement. **272.53 USDT** — key target for profit-taking. **295.16 USDT** — strong supply zone; breaking above opens the door to 300 USDT+. --- 🚀 **Trading Strategy:** **Entry Point:** - Long from **171.06 USDT** with volume confirmation. - Conservative entry after a breakout of **199.55 USDT**. **Stop-Loss:** - Below **160.23 USDT** to avoid stop hunts. **Take-Profit Targets:** **198.45 USDT** — first target to reduce risk. **272.53 USDT** — primary target for the bullish move. **295.16 USDT** — extended target if the uptrend continues. --- 📈 **Technical Analysis:** Increasing volume on the bounce signals strong buyer interest. A breakout above **199.55 USDT** confirms bullish momentum. If price drops below **171.06 USDT**, expect a potential retest of **160.23 USDT**. --- 💡 **Conclusion:** SOLUSDT.P is showing bullish reversal signs, but without breaking **199.55 USDT**, we can't confirm a full trend shift yet. Is this just a retest before another sell-off or the start of a new uptrend? Let’s discuss! 🚀💬
Long
by Max_Pr0fit
USDCHF H4 | FOREX BEEHey Traders, Looking at the USD/CHF H4 chart, here's my technical analysis: Observations: 1. Descending Channel: - The pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, indicating bearish momentum. - The price recently touched the upper boundary of the channel and appears to be pulling back. 2. Key Levels - Support Zone (Red Box): Around 0.8965, coinciding with the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement, acting as a strong potential demand zone. - Resistance Zone (Red Line): Near 0.9140, where previous price reactions and the channel's upper boundary converge. 3. Potential Scenarios: - Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the descending channel and clears 0.9140, it could signal a reversal to the upside. - Bearish Continuation: If rejection continues at the upper boundary, the price may head toward the 0.8965 zone, potentially retesting the 0.50 Fibonacci level or even lower near 0.8840 (0.236 Fibonacci). ### My Thoughts: This setup currently favors short-term bearish momentum unless a breakout above 0.9140 occurs. A sell opportunity may arise on rejection near the current level, while a clean break out of the descending channel offers a potential bullish reversal signal.
by forexbeesignals