EURUSD ---> Correction is getting stronger. Next is 1.040CAPITALCOM:EURUSD testing a key support level after a free fall. Short sellers continue to resist, relying on key fundamental aspects of the global economy.
The US Dollar strengthened following the release of last week’s Initial Jobless Claims data. Specifically:
US Initial Jobless Claims fell to 213,000 for the week ending November 15th, down from 219,000 (revised from 217,000) in the previous week and below the forecast of 220,000. This development has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve's pace of rate cuts may slow down.
Attention now shifts to the Manufacturing and Services PMI from the Eurozone, Germany, and the United States...
Technically, EURUSD confirms the descending trend channel, providing us with a primary trend to monitor in our trading decisions. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of its main range, breaching a key support level. If there is a false breakout around the 1.047 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with the price testing strong support, we may see a false breakout and a corrective move to the areas to watch at 1.048-1.049 (0.618 fib line) before the downtrend continues.
Technical Analysis
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important support & resistance levels/zones on EURUSD for next week.
Support 1: 1.030 - 1.033 area
Support 2: 1.016 - 1.024 area
Support 3: 1.008 - 1.009 area
Support 4: 0.994 - 0.997 area
Support 5: 0.962 - 0.975 area
Support 6: 0.953 - 0.960 area
Resistance 1: 1.045 - 1.053 area
Resistance 2: 1.060 - 1.062 area
Resistance 3: 1.066 - 1.069 area
Resistance 4: 1.094 - 1.094 area
Resistance 5: 1.099 - 1.101 area
Resistance 6: 1.120 - 1.128 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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CRM potential Breakout to 424+CRM is setting up for a classic bullish breakout trade, showing multiple strong technical patterns that align with a high-probability long setup. The short-term moving average has crossed above the long-term moving average, a strong bullish signal indicating sustained momentum. CRM has shown strong bullish momentum, confirmed by multiple technical patterns. Look for increased volume on the breakout above $348 to confirm the move. The trade offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, depending on the stop placement.
Ascending Triangle
Higher lows are forming as buyers step in at increasing levels, while resistance remains flat at $348. This shows accumulation and strong bullish sentiment.
Breakout Target: $348 + $76 = $424
Targets:
First Target: $ 400 (psychological level).
Final Target: $ 424
Trail stops once the first target is hit to lock in profits.
I will enter this week a position (options) and will update this post accordingly.
Dow Jones Is Approaching Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 44,000 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 44,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Correction on the Horizon?Bitcoin has been on a parabolic rally, recently crossing the critical 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at $96,232. As BTC edges closer to the psychological $100,000 mark, questions arise about whether this momentum can be sustained or if a correction is imminent. Here's a detailed analysis:
Key Observations:
1.Fibonacci Extension Levels
The price has decisively broken above the 1.618 Fibonacci level at $96,232, a critical milestone often associated with overextension in trends.
Historically, price corrections tend to occur after such steep rallies, especially near extended
Fibonacci levels.
2.Overbought RSI
The daily RSI is in overbought territory (>70), signaling that the asset may be due for a cooling-off period.
A potential bearish divergence could emerge if the price forms higher highs while RSI fails to do so, which is a classic precursor to corrections.
3.Volume Dynamics
While volume supported the initial breakout, it has been relatively muted as Bitcoin approaches $100,000.
Declining volume in an uptrend often signals waning momentum and increases the likelihood of a pullback.
4.Psychological Resistance
The $100,000 level is a key psychological barrier, likely to trigger profit-booking by traders and long-term holders alike.
5.Potential Support Zones
In case of a correction, watch for support at the previous Fibonacci levels:
$90,000 (minor support)
$74,296 (1.0 retracement)
$66,700 (0.786 retracement)
Scenarios to Watch:
1.Short-Term Correction Likely
If BTC fails to hold above the 1.618 level ($96,232), we could see a pullback toward $90,000 or even deeper to $74,296.
Bearish RSI divergence or a decline in volume on higher prices would confirm this scenario.
2.Continued Rally
Consolidation above $96,000, supported by strong volume and neutralizing RSI, could indicate sufficient strength for a breakout beyond $100,000.
A confirmed breakout with volume could pave the way toward $110,000 and beyond.
Conclusion:
A correction appears increasingly likely in the short term as BTC approaches the psychological $100,000 resistance with overbought conditions. However, the broader trend remains bullish, and any pullback to key Fibonacci support levels could present a buying opportunity for long-term traders.
Key levels to watch: $96,000 (immediate support), $100,000 (resistance), and $74,296 (major support).
Stay cautious and monitor the RSI, volume, and price action around $100,000 to gauge the next move.
Let me know your thoughts! Is BTC primed for a pullback or ready to shatter $100,000? Comment below!
NZDUSD Is Nearing 0.58400 Key ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.58400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.58400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Potential Continuation Of The Bearish MomentumHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.05100 area, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.05100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Is Approaching Key Retrace Area After Trend's BreakoutHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.65050, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.65050 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
TradeCityPro | NZDJPY Weekly Close and Key Outlook👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channe l!
Let’s quickly analyze the current NZD/JPY setup as the market closes and prepare for an important upcoming week.
📉 F undamental Outlook
NZD/JPY has been under pressure, with the RBNZ maintaining a dovish stance amidst an economic slowdown, while the JPY gains strength due to potential BoJ tightening and safe-haven demand.
📊 Weekly Chart Insight
The pair rejected 99.090 and moved down toward the 87.093 support zone before bouncing back to 91.864, marking a pullback.
Recent weekly candles with upper shadows indicate strong seller dominance and lack of buyer momentum. Continuation of this pattern could increase the likelihood of breaking 91.864 resistance.
📅 Daily Chart Perspective
Price is consolidating between 90.095 and 91.892, reflecting indecision among traders.
We remain breakout-focused:
Above 91.892 signals a bullish continuation , Below 90.095, support levels at 88.862 and 86.680 come into play.
Stay tuned for updates, and let us know your thoughts on the week's outlook!
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Beautiful $SPX price action, ascending triangleLONG TERM TREND: Neutral/Bearish
TIMEFRAME: Intraday
What a textbook ascending triangle pattern we're witnessing on SP:SPX today! 👀
Price action has been absolutely pristine, giving us multiple touches on both the ascending support trendline and the horizontal resistance. Each bounce off support has been getting progressively higher, while sellers continue defending that key overhead level - classic ascending triangle behavior.
The swings within this pattern have been a trader's dream - offering clean entries and exits for those playing the range. We've seen buyers step in with conviction at each test of the rising support, leading to predictable bounces.
However, there's a concerning development here... While ascending triangles are typically considered bullish continuation patterns, the momentum on each bounce is getting noticeably weaker. Volume has been declining throughout the pattern formation (a bearish divergence), and the last two tests of resistance showed significant rejection wicks.
If this declining momentum continues, watch for a break below the ascending support line. Such a break would likely trigger a cascade of stops and could lead to an accelerated move lower. Key levels to watch would be 5950, 5940 and ultimately 5925.
Remember to always manage risk and size positions appropriately. No pattern is guaranteed to play out as expected.
What are your thoughts on this setup?
#SPX #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns
TradeCityPro | XAIUSDT - Buying Opportunity for a New Coin👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let's dive into XAI and analyze its technical structure, entry points, and potential scenarios.
🌍 Bitcoin’s Impact on Altcoins
Bitcoin has set another new high since yesterday, attracting global attention.
Its dominance in the global financial system now surpasses major banks like JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and ICBC China.
However, Bitcoin's dominance has started to decline on lower timeframes, creating opportunities for altcoins to rise, as mentioned in our previous analysis.
🕒 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
XAI has retraced nearly 90% from its ATH, typical for newly listed coins. These large corrections often result in the formation of accumulation boxes, where the price consolidates for an extended period.
With the current weekly candle nearing a breakout from the accumulation zone, there’s potential for an uptrend to begin. If this breakout fails, a stop-loss near 0.1680 can minimize losses.
Buy if the weekly candle closes above the current range , Set a stop-loss at 0.1680 for better risk management , Utilize XAI in DeFi platforms after a breakout for additional yield opportunities.
📆 Daily Timeframe Analysis
XAI remains range-bound between 0.1699 and 0.2583, showing clear signs of accumulation.
Higher lows indicate buying strength and the absence of strong sellers.
Each test of resistance (0.2583) is accompanied by increased volume, signaling interest from buyers.
After breaking 0.2583, consider a spot buy with a stop-loss at 0.2142 for a riskier but calculated entry.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
sharp upward move has brought the price close to 0.2497, where immediate resistance lies.
📈 Long Position:
Buy after a confirmed breakout above 0.2497.
Watch for RSI to enter the overbought zone, as this often precedes sharp upward moves.
📉 Short Position:
Avoid shorting. Instead, wait for corrections and look for long opportunities at lower entry points near 0.2102.
🔄 XAI/Bitcoin Pair Analysis
The XAI/BTC pair shows a downtrend but with significant weakening momentum in recent times.
On lower timeframes, the pair may begin a new uptrend, which could result in faster and sharper moves in the XAI/USDT chart.
Break and confirm above 0.00000299 on the XAI/BTC chart to signal a stronger bullish move.
📝 Final Thoughts
XAI is showing promising signs of an impending breakout on multiple timeframes. Monitor key levels closely and manage risk with appropriate stop-loss settings.
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
ETHUSDTBINANCE:ETHUSDT After making a strong rebound from the well-tested support zone around $3,000, Ethereum has demonstrated impressive resilience, steadily climbing through key resistance levels. It is now trading around $3,372, with the focus on a critical trigger point near $3,445.63, which could pave the way for a significant rally.
Personal Insight: Since the price is reacting around a strong resistance level, there is a high probability of a pullback to attract liquidity from buyers before the price is expected to continue its upward movement.
Gold: Structure change ... The focus is the speech of the FedHello, dear friends, Ben here
Gold prices are surging strongly after breaking through the resistance channel at 2650, as investors turn to this safe haven amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty due to escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions.
It’s evident that geopolitical tensions have heightened interest in safe havens, including the yellow metal. However, this inverse correlation has resurfaced in recent weeks, and the strength of the dollar is likely to hinder gold's momentum moving forward.
All eyes are on several Fed officials scheduled to deliver speeches this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped significantly, with current odds at 55.7%, down from 82.5% just a week ago.
From a technical perspective, gold has confirmed a trend and shifted sentiment, giving us a major movement to follow in shaping our trading decisions. A false breakout around the local resistance level at 2643 is forming. Price consolidation above this area could trigger further bullish momentum. However, I haven’t ruled out the possibility of a fake move around 2622 to accumulate before a stronger rally.
What are your thoughts on this?
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/11/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty near 23450 level. After opening possible it will face resistance at this level and reversal towards the downside upto 23200 support level. Major upside rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 23550 in today's session. This upside rally can be goes upto 23750+ level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(22/11/2024)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 50550 level then possible upside rally upto 50950+ level in today's session Downside 50050 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside only expected below this support level.
Gold: Uptrend to continue from 2650...Hello everyone, Tom here!
As I predicted earlier, gold is becoming more attractive after the dollar entered a consolidation phase... currently at $2657.
Accordingly, expectations of additional stimulus measures from China also supported the growth of the metal's price.
The focus this week remains on the Fed's speech after signals that tensions in the Middle East are easing a bit.
From a technical perspective, gold investors need to watch the range around $2650. Because Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the resistance to stop this increase at the next resistance level. I am assuming its formation With wave 5 and the priority is to target profit taking at 2685 - 2700 respectively.
GBPUSD: Sell Positive. Emphasis on 1,262FX:GBPUSD falling and reaction to the "flag" model. The price is checking the strong support level around 1,262 ... The basic context still supports the dollar.
Theoretically, the currency briefcase after breaking the channel increases, the price has formed a adjustment and now is decreasing. The areas of interest in our case may be 1,260, 1,257, 1,252.
Basically, the trend of this pair of money may be due to the weaker US dollar and the market environment is psychologically avoiding risks. Traders are still cautious in the context of geopolitical tensions and mild economic calendar. Fedpeak is noticed.
There is no news until the Fed speaks, so the basic context remains the same. The market may stop and go into the consolidation process, but with the high possibility that the decline after a breakthrough 1,262 will continue ...
Tech on the Edge: SMH vs. QQQ Signals Caution Amid Bull MarketIntroduction:
While we remain enthusiastic about the strength of the current bull market, emerging signs of stress in capital flows warrant a closer look, particularly in the tech sector. One key metric to monitor is the ratio between semiconductors (SMH) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). This ratio acts as a barometer for tech sector health: when SMH outperforms QQQ, it indicates a risk-on environment; conversely, QQQ outperforming SMH raises caution flags.
Analysis:
Tech Sector Barometer: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a reliable indicator of momentum in the tech sector. Outperformance by SMH reflects strong demand for semiconductors and broader tech health, while underperformance signals potential concerns.
Emerging Concern: Currently, we’re observing the potential development of a rounding top formation in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio. While this formation isn’t confirmed, a breakdown below key support would validate it, signaling broader weakness in the tech sector.
Critical Inflection Point: For now, chip bulls must take control and push this ratio higher to maintain sector strength and prevent a broader pullback in the market. Failure to do so could signal a shift in sentiment and increased vulnerability in tech stocks.
Conclusion:
The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is at a critical juncture, with the potential to dictate near-term momentum in the tech sector. While the bull market remains intact, any confirmed weakness in this ratio could signal broader vulnerability in tech stocks. Will chip bulls step up to defend the sector, or are we on the cusp of a pullback? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the potential rounding top formation, and key support levels)
Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis