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Crude Oil Eyes 65.40 Support Amid Middle East Uncertainty!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USOIL for a potential buying opportunity around the 65.40 zone. The commodity remains in an overall uptrend, and is currently undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key support/resistance area near 65.40. This level aligns well with the broader trend structure and may offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup. On the fundamental side, geopolitical tensions are on the rise. Reports indicate that U.S. embassy personnel are being evacuated from parts of the Middle East amid growing regional instability. Allegedly, Israel is preparing for potential military action against Iran should nuclear deal talks collapse. If these tensions escalate further into military conflict, oil prices could spike in response to the heightened risk to regional supply chains. Trade safe, Joe
TVC:USOILLong
by JoeChampion
2
DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release | Is the Market Pricing in a Fed Pivot? 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Context As we head into the New York session on June 12, the market’s attention shifts to one critical data point: the US PPI (Producer Price Index). Following the softer-than-expected CPI reading of 2.4% YoY (vs. 2.5% forecast), the Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply—signaling fading inflation pressure and reigniting rate cut expectations. ✅ Bearish Fundamentals Building for the USD: CPI miss fuels Fed rate cut bets (currently ~65% chance for September per FedWatch Tool). US Treasury yields are easing, reflecting the market’s pricing of a less aggressive Fed. Risk assets rallying as capital flows rotate away from USD into gold, equities, and long-duration bonds. If today’s PPI also comes in below forecast, it could confirm a deeper correction in DXY. Conversely, a surprise PPI upside might trigger a short-term pullback. 📉 Technical Analysis – H4 Timeframe 🔹 Overall Trend: DXY is locked within a clearly defined descending channel, with a consistent Lower High – Lower Low structure holding since late May. 🔹 Key Technical Zones: Short-term resistance: 98.548 – likely to act as a ceiling unless PPI surprises to the upside. Immediate support: 97.966 – a break below opens the door toward the key support zone at 97.191, which aligns with previous FVG imbalance and multi-timeframe demand. 🔹 EMA Structure: Price remains below all major EMAs (13 – 34 – 89 – 200), confirming persistent bearish pressure. EMA13 is currently acting as dynamic resistance on H4, pressing down on price. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Flow Insight Investors are rotating out of USD as inflation fears fade and Fed easing expectations increase. Risk-on sentiment is returning, benefiting gold and stocks while weighing on DXY. However, a hot PPI print could spook the market briefly, leading to a corrective bounce in the Dollar before the trend resumes. 🔍 Scenarios to Watch: PPI comes in lower than expected: DXY may retest 98.548 resistance and reject lower. Next targets: 97.966 → 97.191 PPI surprises to the upside: Technical bounce toward 98.5–98.8 possible. But trend remains bearish unless price reclaims 99.2+ zone. ✅ Conclusion DXY remains under pressure from both macro and technical angles. The PPI report will be the next catalyst that determines whether this is a short-term dip or the continuation of a broader USD downtrend. 🎯 Tactical view: Favour short positions on DXY if price bounces into resistance and PPI supports the disinflation narrative. Target: 97.1 and below.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Bull Trend Pausing or Reverse🧠 GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis GOLD has been trading in a broad bullish trend, supported by global uncertainty and consistent interest in safe-haven assets. However, today’s intraday structure shows signs of potential exhaustion after a clean tap of a major resistance/QFL zone. In this analysis, I break down the key zones, trader psychology, market structure, and potential playbook for upcoming moves. 📊 Technical Structure Breakdown: 🔷 1. SR Interchange Zone – The Flip Level Marked early in the chart, the SR Interchange area served as a major resistance, which was broken and then retested — confirming a classic S/R flip. This level added confluence to the uptrend that followed. Trader Insight: This is where buyers got confident after the retest. Smart money often leaves footprints at such interchange zones. 🔷 2. Ascending Channel – The Guiding Rail GOLD has been respecting an upward channel for several days. Price bounced multiple times off both upper and lower channel boundaries. This gives a clear roadmap for intraday traders to watch for bounces, midline reactions, and possible breakouts. Channel dynamics: Right now, price has rejected from the top of the channel, suggesting possible movement back toward the midline or bottom rail. 🔷 3. QFL Rejection – Trap Zone Activated Price recently hit the QFL zone, which aligns closely with previous highs and liquidity pools. This level acted as a liquidity trap where buyers got over-leveraged or late entries piled in — only to see a strong rejection right after. This sharp drop from the QFL area signals institutional sell pressure or heavy profit-taking. It’s not just a pullback — it’s a signal. 🧱 Key Zones to Watch: Zone Type Relevance $3,380 - $3,400 QFL / Resistance Rejection point, likely full of stop-losses and liquidity $3,340 - $3,320 Reversal Area / Demand Potential buyer re-entry and bounce zone $3,300 and below Liquidity Pool If demand fails, price could slide into this liquidity zone 📉 Bearish Case: Reversal in Motion? If the current rejection from QFL continues without any strong bounce at the reversal zone: Expect price to retest the lower channel and possibly breakdown. Sell pressure could increase due to trapped long positions trying to exit. Target: $3,320 → $3,300 → possible $3,280 extension. ✅ Entry: Look for failed retests of the QFL zone or lower highs 📍 SL: Above $3,385 🎯 TP: First target near $3,320, then trail stops. 📈 Bullish Case: Controlled Pullback Before Lift-Off If price finds strong support in the Reversal Area: Look for bullish engulfing, hammer, or double bottom patterns in the area. Could be a healthy pullback before continuation to $3,400+. Target: $3,380 → $3,420 and even higher if breakout is strong. ✅ Entry: Confirmation after bullish reaction at $3,340 zone 📍 SL: Below $3,315 🎯 TP: $3,380+, trail if breakout holds 🔄 Trader Psychology in Action: Late buyers entered after the breakout toward $3,380. Smart money exited near the top or flipped bias near QFL. Retail panic selling might happen if support fails, offering re-entry for institutions at better prices. Discipline Tip: Let price confirm your bias. Don’t chase. 📌 Final Thoughts & Trade Plan: GOLD is at a decision point. Whether you're trading intraday or swing, your focus should be on: Watching how price reacts to the Reversal Area Identifying fakeouts vs true breaks at channel boundaries Staying patient for confirmation (don’t jump in on impulse) This setup provides an excellent opportunity for both bullish and bearish traders — just stay unbiased and reactive, not predictive.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move XAUUSD – Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move 🌍 Macro Pulse: CPI Sparks Momentum, But Will PPI Sustain It? Gold surged following softer-than-expected US inflation data on Tuesday, with the CPI rising just 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—both below forecasts. This triggered a broad sell-off in the USD, a pullback in Treasury yields, and a renewed appetite for non-yielding safe havens like gold. Markets are now increasingly pricing in a rate cut by the Fed in September, adding further fuel to the rally. However, Wednesday’s US PPI data could either reinforce this bullish sentiment or reverse it sharply. 📉 Technical Landscape – H1 & H4 View 🔹 Trend Bias The bullish structure remains intact, with price carving out higher highs and higher lows since the 3312 level. The recent breakout above 3370 confirms bullish momentum. 🔹 Price Channels Gold continues to track within a defined ascending channel. A potential retest of the lower trendline near 3345–3350 could provide a dip-buying opportunity. 🔹 EMA Structure The price trades comfortably above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs. Short-term EMA crossovers are supportive of continued upside. 🔹 Critical Resistance Ahead: 3392 – 3395 A key technical zone combining Fibonacci extension levels and recent rejection wicks. A decisive break or rejection here will set the tone for the next 48 hours. 🧠 Market Psychology & PPI Scenarios The market is currently optimistic, but still cautious. The PPI report due later today will likely serve as the next directional trigger: If PPI prints below estimates → reinforces disinflation narrative → potential breakout above 3,400 with upside targets towards 3,420+. If PPI comes in hot → raises concerns about sticky input costs → possible short-term reversal or consolidation. Expect volatility to spike during the New York session. 🎯 Today’s Tactical Trade Setups – 12 June 🟢 Buy Zone: 3324 – 3322 Stop Loss: 3318 Take Profit Targets: 3330 – 3334 – 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 🟢 Buy Scalp Zone: 3337 – 3335 SL: 3330 TPs: 3341 – 3345 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔴 Sell Zone: 3392 – 3394 Stop Loss: 3398 Take Profit Targets: 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 ✅ Final Take Gold bulls are in control, but the PPI data will likely dictate whether momentum continues or stalls. With key resistance just ahead and macro risk on the table, this is not the time to trade blindly. 🧭 Strategy Tip: Let price confirm the reaction to PPI. Don’t pre-position into volatility. Play the breakout or the fade—but wait for clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?XAUUSD – Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent? Gold (XAUUSD) is compressing within a well-defined rising wedge pattern on the 1H chart, signaling that a decisive move is near. With the U.S. CPI report due on June 12th, traders should prepare for volatility driven by macroeconomic catalysts. Whether gold breaks higher or reverses depends on how the market digests inflation data. 🌍 Macro Backdrop: All Eyes on Inflation 📌 U.S. CPI (June 12): A softer-than-expected reading could revive Fed rate cut expectations and send gold higher. A hotter-than-expected CPI could strengthen the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, putting pressure on gold. 📌 U.S.–China Trade Sentiment: Diplomatic progress in trade talks reduces safe-haven demand in the short term, weakening gold's defensive appeal. 📌 DXY & Bond Yields: A breakout in DXY or a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields post-CPI may lead to a corrective leg lower in XAUUSD. 📈 Technical Overview – Multi-Layered Structure Pattern: Gold is forming a rising wedge between higher lows and converging highs, typical of breakout scenarios. Fibonacci Levels (retracement from 3,400 to 3,296): 0.382: 3,336 – intermediate support 0.618: 3,360 – significant resistance, near current swing highs Moving Averages: Price is currently above EMA34 and EMA89 Struggling below EMA200 (red), which acts as dynamic resistance FVG Liquidity Zone: An open Fair Value Gap between 3,360 – 3,374 could act as a magnet before any reversal. 🎯 Trade Strategy Scenarios 🟢 Buy Scenario – Bounce from Support Zone Entry: 3314 – 3312 | Stop-Loss: 3308 | Take-Profit: 3318, 3322, 3326, 3330, 3335, 3340 Ideal if CPI comes in lower than expected or aligns with a bullish technical rejection from wedge support. 🔴 Sell Scenario – Rejection from Resistance Zone Entry: 3374 – 3376 | Stop-Loss: 3380 | Take-Profit: 3370, 3366, 3362, 3358, 3352, 3348, 3340 Valid if price taps into the upper liquidity zone (3,374–3,394) and fails to break, especially on CPI surprise to the upside. 🧠 Tactical Conclusion A dovish CPI → favors BUY setup off lower wedge support A hawkish CPI → favors SELL near upper resistance and liquidity zones 📌 The market is compressing and gearing up for a breakout. Patience is key — wait for confirmation at key zones and manage risk precisely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 12/06/2025Today, a gap-up opening is expected in Nifty near the 25250 level. If Nifty sustains above this zone, we may see bullish momentum extending toward the targets of 25350, 25400, and potentially 25450+ during the session. However, if Nifty fails to hold above 25250 and begins reversing below 25200, it could trigger a pullback move. A reversal short opportunity may arise in the 25250–25200 range with potential downside targets of 25150, 25100, and 25050. Overall sentiment remains bullish above 25250, but volatility is likely near resistance levels. Traders are advised to keep tight stop-losses and trail profits cautiously, as the market may remain range-bound with occasional spikes.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
1
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/06/2025)Today, a gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 56550–56600 zone. If the index manages to sustain above this range, it may trigger an upside move toward 56750, 56850, and 56950 levels. A further breakout above 57050 could extend the bullish rally toward 57250, 57350, and possibly 57450+ during the session. However, if Bank Nifty fails to hold above 56550 and begins to trade below 56450, a downward move could unfold toward 56250, 56150, and 56050 levels. Any sustained weakness may increase selling pressure, dragging the index further down intraday.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge. On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale. Technically, the setup remains strong: – Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200) – EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact – Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation – RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion Targets remain aligned with the structure: – tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag – tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure. LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
NYSE:LMNDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Slides on Trade Truce Hopes & Fed Outlook The U.S. dollar dropped 0.4%—its lowest level since April 22—after President Trump signaled flexibility on a July 8 trade deadline and U.S.–China talks showed renewed progress, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts 📊 S&P Shiller CAPE Hints at Overvaluation Risk Stocks and bonds rallied following rebound, but valuation metrics flash caution: the S&P 500 now sits in the 94th percentile of Shiller CAPE, and equity risk premium has dropped to zero. Analysts warn these levels often precede corrections 🛢️ Oil Holds at Seven-Week Highs Oil prices remain near seven-week highs (~$66–67/barrel), supported by gradual OPEC+ output increases and hopes that easing trade tensions will aid demand 📈 CPI Cools Again, Bonds Climb U.S. consumer inflation rose just 0.1% in May (2.4% YoY), easing expectations for tighter Fed policy. Consequently, Treasury yields softened and bond markets outperformed equities 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 12: 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) An early gauge of inflation at the wholesale level—may reinforce the cooling trend seen in CPI. 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims Weekly updates on unemployment filings. Key to monitor for labor-market tightening or softening. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is for educational and informational purposes only—it does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
DXY Ready to Reload? Eyes on 99.100 as Tariff Tensions Ease!!Hey Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, we're closely monitoring the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 99.100 zone. After trending lower for a while, the dollar index has successfully broken out of its downtrend and is now entering a corrective phase. We’re watching the 99.100 support/resistance area closely, as it aligns with a key retracement level making it a strong candidate for a bullish reaction. On the fundamental side, Friday's NFP data came in slightly above expectations, which is typically USD-positive. In addition, recent Trump-led de-escalation in U.S.-China tariff tensions is another supportive factor for the dollar. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
11
BTCUSDT – Strategy and Trend Probabilities for 2025In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) has become less interesting — there isn’t much room left for significant movement, and most of the “cream” has already been skimmed off. However, since it's essentially the index of the crypto market, I’m sharing this trading idea for context - to show where we currently are and what scenarios might unfold. The price is globally moving within an ascending channel. A secondary triangle pattern is forming. Within this triangle, we can see the outlines of an inverse head and shoulders pattern - or possibly a cup and handle - both aligning with the channel’s resistance. Potential scenarios: a) Price breaks out of the triangle. b) Price moves toward the triangle’s support, forming another wave inside it. c) Price moves to retest the main ascending channel’s support. d) Price fluctuates within the central range of the channel. There aren't many options, and none of them would break the primary trend. Altcoin movements will largely depend on BTC’s behavior. Therefore, it’s crucial to build a trading strategy that considers both the likely and less likely (but possible) outcomes. Looking at the broader picture: The previous minor altseason (winter 2024) was short and weak, except for a few coins. There was no real secondary altseason in spring 2025. Statistically, summer tends to be quiet - due to holidays and so on. The first two points contradicted the expectations of most traders - so we’ll see how things play out with the third. If there's no altseason in summer either, then logically, winter might turn out to be quite aggressive.
by KECapital
Ethereum bulls are enjoying the momentAfter violating the upper side of the range, MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM is now aiming for the 3000 zone. Will the buyers have enough steam to drag it there? Let's have a look. CRYPTO:ETHUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
by Marketscom
2
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan 👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier) Sell Limit: 164.90 SL: 165.90 TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3 (optional): 155.00 Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept. ✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended) Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection. Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00) SL: 165.50 (above recent highs) TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3: 155.00 Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength 📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly) Buy Stop: 165.60 SL: 164.30 TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance) Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
Short
by tradercat2025
XAUUSD | 1H Chart Analysis | Uptrendurrently, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum after breaking previous market structure to the upside. Price has formed a clear Higher Low (HL) and Higher Highs (HH), indicating that short-term structure has shifted into an uptrend. 🔼 Key Technical Observations: The previous LL (Lower Low) got broken, and price created a new HL, showing buyer pressure. The bullish structure is supported by an ascending trendline. Price is currently trading near PDH (Previous Day High) and approaching a key supply/resistance zone (highlighted in red). RSI is still not in extreme zones but steadily climbing, showing strength in the current bullish move. 📊 Current Market Structure: Shift from previous downtrend into short-term uptrend. Formation of clear HL & HH. Price respecting trendline support. Clean bullish break of internal resistance levels. 📌 Potential Scenarios: Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation): If price holds above the PDH and supply zone gets broken, we may see continuation toward TP1 and higher. Scenario 2 (Rejection & Short-term Pullback): If price faces strong rejection from the current supply zone, short-term retracement is possible toward the previous demand zones or trendline support. Possible pullback zones: 3340 → 3320 → 3310 area. ✅ Bias: Short-Term Bullish As long as price holds above the HL zone and trendline, bulls are in control. But keep an eye on price reaction around current supply zone for any signs of weakness or reversal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by awaisulabdeen
Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPIDXY 11/06 – Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPI | Reversal Risk After 100.31? The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to consolidate within a rising channel on the H2 timeframe, with price tightening just ahead of a key macro event — the US CPI report. DXY is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, where liquidity hunts and potential reversals become highly probable. 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT 📌 US CPI (June 12): The main macro driver for DXY this week. A hotter-than-expected print → strengthens the Fed’s hawkish stance → DXY likely to spike. A weaker-than-expected CPI → boosts rate cut expectations → downside pressure on DXY. 📌 Risk Sentiment: Institutions are readjusting their exposure ahead of CPI and FOMC. This has caused DXY to hover near EMA89 — a sign of indecision. 📌 Cross-asset Flows (Bonds & Gold): Treasury yields are stable, but surprises in CPI could lead to capital rotation between gold and USD, increasing volatility in XAUUSD and DXY simultaneously. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Trend Structure: DXY is following a clean ascending channel on H2, with higher lows respecting the lower trendline. EMA Confluence (13–34–89–200) Price is consolidating near EMA89 and below EMA200 (99.40), forming a neutral short-term bias. A clean breakout above EMA200 could trigger acceleration into the FVG zone. Key FVG Zone (H2): 99.63 – 100.31 is an unfilled Fair Value Gap. This zone may act as a magnet for price before any meaningful rejection or breakout. Potential Reversal Area: A rejection at 100.31 could trigger a sharp pullback toward the liquidity zone around 98.68. 🧠 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK CPI will set the tone for DXY’s mid-term trend. Watch the 99.63 – 100.31 FVG zone for liquidity sweeps and potential rejection. Wait for confirmation, not prediction — especially in macro-sensitive environments.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
“Gold Eyes 4‑Hour Demand at $3,322” 11 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) has consolidated near $3,332 after an SMC-style structure sweep above $3,338, which likely captured institutional liquidity before a clean CHoCH and pullback toward a key demand zone at $3,322–$3,328. This demand zone held firmly—on a bullish 4‑hour candle—indicating underlying strength. Key technical confluences: CHoCH above $3,322 confirms bullish structure. Price above 200‑SMA and mid-Bollinger Band on 4H. RSI (~55‑60) and MACD showing resumed bullish momentum. ✅ 4H Entry Strategy Breakdown Bullish Retest Wait for price to revisit $3,322–$3,328 with bullish candle formation → enter long. SL just below $3,312; targets at $3,345 and then $3,355. Breakout Option If momentum pushes price above $3,353 resistance, follow the breakout with target zones extending to $3,365–$3,380. Supply Rejection Alternatively, watch for reversal patterns near $3,345–$3,353. A confirmed rejection opens a short trade down to $3,322. Scalp Play For quicker profits, scalp the bounce from the demand zone with tight stops and targets within the 4‑hour upper range. Risk note: US CPI and trade headlines may inject volatility. Waiting for candle confirmation is critical to validate setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512