XAU/USD Chart"Do you think gold can give us a profit before it closes its weekly candle, reaching from the current price of 2958?"
"Do you think gold can give us a profit before it closes its weekly candle, reaching from the current price of 2958? And if you were in this trade, where would you set your take profit and stop loss?"
Technical Analysis
AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH ??? DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently trading around 0.62900 and forming a **bearish flag pattern**, a well-known continuation pattern that suggests further downside momentum. After a sharp downward move, price action is consolidating within a parallel channel, indicating a potential breakdown. If the bearish flag confirms with a breakout below the support zone, we could see a strong move toward 0.60900.
Technically, the **0.62500 level acts as a critical support**, and a breakdown below it could accelerate selling pressure. The next key support zone aligns around 0.62000, followed by the ultimate target of 0.60900. Volume confirmation and a decisive close below the flag's lower boundary will strengthen the bearish outlook. Traders should watch for price rejection near resistance levels and any signs of increased selling pressure.
From a fundamental perspective, the **us dollar remains strong amid hawkish Federal Reserve policy**, while risk-off sentiment is weighing on the australian dollar. Factors such as weaker economic data from China, declining commodity prices, and lower demand for high-yielding currencies could further drive audusd lower. Additionally, expectations of **RBA's monetary policy stance** and global risk trends will play a crucial role in shaping the pair’s direction.
In conclusion, audusd is on the verge of breaking out of a **bearish flag pattern**, signaling potential downside movement toward 0.60900. Traders should stay alert for a confirmed breakout with strong bearish momentum, as this setup offers a high-probability trade opportunity.
EURUSDEURUSD has gotten to the Daily OB where we are looking for possible reversal confirmations. And here on the 15mins - price has Changed Character and also confirmed with a new BOS, before the BOS, we can see how price has reacted, creating even more liquidity - equal highs close to our entry zone which is above 50% fib retracement. I am looking to short price from the 1.09048 zone targeting the 1.08416 zone where we have a possible roadblock for price to stop and continue the buys on the 1H TF, or sell all the way to the 1.06068 zone to facilitate a new buys.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Pullback From Resistance
In comparison to Gold, Silver looks bearish after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame confirms a local
bearish sentiment and overbought state of the market.
The price may continue retracing at least to 3291 level.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 13/03/2025Flat opening expected in index. After opening if nifty starts trading above 22500 level then expected upside rally upto 22650+ in today's session. 22650 level will act as an immediate upside resistance. Expected reversal from this level. Major downside expected if nifty not sustain above 22500 and starts trading below 22450 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(13/03/2025)Today will be flat opening expected in index. Currently market consolidating in small range. Expected breakout of this consolidation zone in today's session. If banknifty sustain above 48050 level then possible upside move upto 48450. Also, In case banknifty starts trading below 47950 level can gives sharp downside rally of 400-500+ points. Downside 47550 level will act as a support for today's session.
Thu 13th Mar 2025 EUR/AUD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/AUD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 13, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇰🇷🇺🇸 South Korea's Trade Minister Visits U.S. 🇰🇷🇺🇸: South Korea's Trade Minister, Cheong In-kyo, is visiting Washington, D.C., from March 13 to 14 to discuss trade issues, including reciprocal tariffs and investment opportunities, with U.S. counterparts. This visit aims to address concerns about tariffs following President Trump's comments regarding disparities between U.S. and South Korean tariffs. The outcome of these discussions could impact sectors reliant on U.S.-South Korea trade relations.
🇩🇪🛠️ German Debt Reform Debates 🇩🇪🛠️: Germany's Bundestag is set to begin debates on debt reform plans starting March 13, focusing on increasing infrastructure spending and reforming state borrowing rules to fund defense. The proposed creation of a €500 billion infrastructure fund aims to stimulate the economy. These reforms could influence European economic stability, indirectly affecting U.S. markets through global economic interconnections.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Thursday, March 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI) (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:The PPI measures the average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers, offering insights into wholesale inflation trends.
Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month
Previous: +0.4% month-over-month
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health.
Forecast: 226K
Previous: 221K
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
#BANANAUSDT maintains bearish momentum📉 Short BYBIT:BANANAUSDT.P from $14.905
🛡 Stop loss $15.490
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 16.112, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 15.490 level acts as a local resistance, as the price previously faced selling pressure there.
➡️ The volume and market profile highlight areas of high trader activity, especially in the 14.250 – 15.500 range.
➡️ The chart shows a potential decline after an impulse move and profit-taking.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $14.580
💎 TP 2: $14.250
💎 TP 3: $13.920
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 15.490 is broken upward, the trade may be invalidated.
📢 If the price continues to decline and breaks through TP 1, the downside potential remains.
BYBIT:BANANAUSDT.P maintains bearish momentum — expecting further downside movement!
#RUNEUSDT is showing signs of growth📈 Long BYBIT:RUNEUSDT.P from $1.161
🛡 Stop loss $1.140
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 1.08, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 1.154 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone.
➡️ The volume and market profile highlight areas of high trader activity, especially in the 1.100 – 1.161 range.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $1.174
💎 TP 2: $1.185
💎 TP 3: $1.195
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 1.140 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated.
📢 If the price holds above 1.161 and continues rising, the bullish momentum remains intact.
BYBIT:RUNEUSDT.P is showing signs of growth — expecting further upside movement!
#XLMUSDT is showing signs of growth📈 Long BYBIT:XLMUSDT.P from $0.26325
🛡 Stop loss $0.25955
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 0.25511, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 0.25955 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone.
➡️ The volume and market profile highlight areas of high trader activity, especially in the 0.24984 – 0.26325 range.
➡️ The chart shows a forming bullish structure, confirming the potential for further upward movement.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.26630
💎 TP 2: $0.26930
💎 TP 3: $0.27240
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 0.25955 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated.
📢 If the price holds above 0.26325 and continues rising, the bullish momentum remains intact.
BYBIT:XLMUSDT.P is showing signs of growth—expecting further upside movement!
EURCAD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasOANDA:EURCAD
💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI, The Euro also reached our TP7 at 1.5777 by breaking the resistance at 1.5156.
The broken resistance area will serve as our new support area and Buy Zone.
As long as this area is not broken down, there is a possibility of a resumption of the uptrend.
If the price enters our new buy zone with a corrective wave and is rejected from it, we will enter with buy trades.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.5857
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
1.5729 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
__________________________________________________________________
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TradeCityPro Academy | Dow Theory Part 3👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel Technical Analysis Training
We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to predict price movements in financial markets by analyzing past data, especially price and trading volume. This approach is based on the idea that historical price patterns tend to repeat and can help traders identify profitable opportunities.
🔹 Why is Technical Analysis Important?
Technical analysis helps traders and investors predict future price movements based on past price action. Its importance comes from several key benefits:
Faster Decision-Making: No need to analyze financial reports or complex news—just focus on price patterns and trading volume.
Better Risk Management: Tools like support & resistance, indicators, and chart patterns help traders find the best entry and exit points.
Applicable to All Markets: Technical analysis can be used in Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and even real estate.
In the previous session, we explained Principles 3 and 4 of the Dow Theory. Be sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, let us know in the comments.
📑 Principles of Dow Theory
1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto)
2 - The Market Has Three Trends
3 - Trends Have Three Phases
4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed
5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
6 - Volume Confirms the Trend
📈 Principle 5: Trends Persist Until a Clear Reversal Signal Appears
Full Explanation:
Dow Theory says that once a market picks a direction—like going up (bullish trend) or down (bearish trend)—it keeps moving that way until something big and obvious says, “Nope, we’re turning around!” Think of it like momentum: the market’s lazy and sticks to its path unless it gets a solid reason to switch.
What’s a Trend? It’s the market’s overall direction. Uptrend means higher highs and higher lows (prices keep climbing). Downtrend means lower highs and lower lows (prices keep dropping). Sideways means it’s stuck in a range.
What’s a Reversal Signal? In an uptrend, if prices stop making new highs and start forming lower highs and lows, plus break a key level (like support), that’s a sign the trend’s flipping. In a downtrend, it’s the opposite—higher highs and lows plus breaking resistance mean it’s turning up.
Why Does This Happen? Markets reflect crowd behavior. When everyone’s buying or selling, the trend builds steam and doesn’t stop until the crowd’s mood shifts big-time.
Key Point: Small dips or spikes don’t count. A little drop in an uptrend? Normal. You need a clear pattern or a big break to call it a reversal.
Practical Use: Traders use this to avoid panic-selling on tiny moves and wait for strong signals before jumping ship.
Simple Example:
It’s like riding a bike downhill—you keep rolling fast until you hit a wall or slam the brakes.
📊 Principle 6: Trends Must Be Confirmed by Volume
Full Explanation:
This principle says a trend isn’t legit unless trading volume backs it up. Volume is how much is being bought or sold. If the trend’s real, volume should match it—high volume means lots of people are in on it, low volume means it might be fake or weak.
Uptrend: Prices rising with growing volume? That’s a strong bull run—buyers are all in. Prices up but volume’s tiny? Could be a fluke or manipulation.
Downtrend: Prices falling with big volume? Sellers mean business—bear trend’s solid. Falling prices with low volume? Might just be a quick dip, not a real crash.
How Volume Confirms: It’s like a lie detector for trends. Big volume says, “This move’s for real!” Low volume says, “Eh, don’t trust it yet.”
Extra Detail: In an uptrend, if volume starts dropping, it’s a warning—buyers might be losing steam. In a downtrend, low volume could mean sellers are running out of ammo, hinting at a bounce.
Why It Matters? Dow believed volume shows the market’s true energy. No crowd, no power—simple as that.
Practical Use: Traders check tools like OBV (On-Balance Volume) or volume bars. If a stock jumps but volume’s dead, they might skip it it’s a trap.
Simple Example:
It’s like a party if tons of people show up dancing, it’s a real vibe. If just two guys are there, it’s probably lame.
🎉 Conclusion
We’ve reached the end of today’s educational segment! We’ll start by explaining all of Dow Theory’s principles, and in the future, we’ll move on to chart analysis and the strategy I personally use for trading with Dow Theory. So, make sure you fully grasp these concepts first so we can progress together in this learning journey!
💡 Final Thoughts for Today
This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis.
⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed 🇦🇺🇯🇵
On a today's live stream, we spotted a confirmed bullish reversal on AUDJPY.
The price formed a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern on a 4H
and violated its neckline during the London session today.
A bullish movement is now expected at least to 94.0
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #31Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's move on to Bitcoin analysis and important crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the triggers of the New York Futures Session for you.
1-hour time frame
In the 1-hour time frame, after the price reached 77598, the fall ended and we witnessed an upward correction to the 83281 area.
The 83281 area has become a very important resistance and the price is reacting well to it. A reverse head & shoulder pattern is visible on the chart that has not yet been activated, and with the failure of the 77598 area, we will confirm the activation of this pattern.
If 77598 is broken, the price can move at least to the 83281 area. The next resistances are also within reach of the price, and if strong momentum enters the market, the price can register higher targets.
The buying volume in the market is much less than the selling volume, and the sellers' power is still greater than the buyers'. However, if the 83281 area is broken, this volume can be more in favor of the buyers and the price can move up.
For a short position, if the price rejects the 83281 area or if the failure of this resistance is faked, you can enter a short position with the trigger 81466 to the target 77598.
I have no more talk about Bitcoin, let's move on to the analysis of the indicators so that we can also check the conditions of the altcoins.
BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Bitcoin Dominance, Dominance has finally stabilized above the 61.61 area and reached the 62.19 area. If this area is broken, Dominance can start its new upward leg.
If Dominance rejects this important ceiling, Dominance's downward leg can continue to 61.61. Dominance's main support is currently 61.08.
Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to Total2 analysis, as you can see, this indicator is at a lower level and has not yet reached the ceiling in the 1.04 area and has recorded its new resistance in the 1.01 area.
The reason for this is Bitcoin's dominance, which has become bullish and more money has entered Bitcoin than altcoins. However, if Dominance breaks 1.01, you can enter a position if Dominance falls.
For short, the first trigger is 984 and the main trigger is 953.
USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the Tether Dominance analysis, as you can see, Dominance has broken the trend line it had and is now ready to fall. If it breaks 5.30, you can get confirmation of Tether's Dominance falling.
To confirm Dominance's bullishness, we can get confirmation if it breaks 5.49, which means the market can fall and if these triggers overlap with the Total2 trigger, you can find an altcoin and open a position.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
WHY GBPJPY BULLISH, DETAILED ANALYSIS GBPJPY is currently trading at 192.200 after successfully breaking out of a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This technical breakout suggests the pair is set for a significant upside move, with a potential target of 195.000 and beyond. The falling wedge is known for its bullish implications, indicating that sellers are losing control while buyers are stepping in with increased demand. If momentum continues, we could see a gain of over 500 pips in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, GBPJPY has cleared key resistance levels and is now forming a strong bullish structure. A retest of the breakout zone around 191.500-192.000 has already provided support, reinforcing the likelihood of further upward movement. The next major resistance lies at 194.000, followed by 195.000, which aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels and previous price action zones. If buyers maintain control, a push towards 196.000 and beyond is also possible.
Fundamentally, GBPJPY remains bullish due to the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The BoE's firm stance on interest rates, coupled with the BoJ’s continued ultra-loose monetary policy, favors a stronger GBP against the JPY. Additionally, risk sentiment plays a crucial role in GBPJPY's movements, and with equity markets showing strength, the yen's safe-haven appeal weakens, further boosting the bullish case for this pair.
With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, GBPJPY presents a strong buying opportunity. Traders should watch for a sustained move above 193.000 for confirmation of further gains, with the potential to reach 195.000 and beyond. A breakout continuation could trigger even stronger bullish momentum, making this a high-probability setup for traders looking to capitalize on the trend.
NAZDAQ - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasNASDAQ:NDX IG:NASDAQ
Midterm forecast:
20796.85 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 22254.20 on 02/18/2025, so more losses to support(s) 19337.48, 18815.60, 18313.47 and more depths is expected.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Trend Hunter Sell Zone (20554.38 to 20796.85).
We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
We would set sell orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (20554.38)
Ending of entry zone (20796.85)
Take Profits:
19901.88
19337.48
18815.60
18313.47
17841.19
16988.69
16247.08
__________________________________________________________________
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Your Stock, My Analysis – Key Levels Straight to Comments!Hey-hey
I want to give back to this amazing community! If you need a technical analysis (TA) on almost any asset, here’s all you have to do:
📌 Like this post & Follow me
📌 Comment your ticker
📌 Tell me what you want – Buying zones? Selling zones?
I’ll personally send you my TA straight to comments as soon as possible! 📩
Let’s spot the best setups together – Drop your request below! 👇
💡 Does Technical Analysis Work?
🔗 I picked 75 stocks from the S&P 500 purely based on technicals – and they outperformed the index.
Cheers,
Vaido
GBPCHF: Bullish Wave Continues 🇬🇧🇨🇭
As I predicted yesterday, GBPCHF went up from support.
I see one more bullish pattern today:
this time we have a confirmed breakout of a neckline of a double bottom.
The market is going to rise and reach 1.148 level soon.
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Gold Breaks Out – Is a Major Rally Ahead or Just a False Alarm?🌟 Gold Surges 1% as USD Weakens Amid Growing Recession Fears
💰 Market Overview
Gold continues to be a safe-haven asset, benefiting from heightened market uncertainty. However, any positive developments in the ongoing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine could lower risk premiums, potentially affecting gold’s upward momentum.
🌍 The trade policies imposed by former US President Donald Trump on key global trading partners previously caused major volatility in the global markets, fueling concerns about economic growth.
📊 Key Economic Data on the Horizon
The focus now shifts to the upcoming US inflation reports:
📅 CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) are due for release on March 12 and 13.
📌 According to a Reuters poll, the CPI for February is expected to rise by 0.3%. These crucial data releases could have a significant impact on gold’s movement, making it vital for investors to remain vigilant.
📈 Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
✅ Gold has broken out of a parallel downward channel around the $2898 - $2900 range, showing a strong breakout and forming a continuation pattern (CP), surging 15-20 points afterward.
📌 The break of the bearish structure yesterday followed by the sharp rally suggests that gold still has strong buying momentum, underpinned by fundamentals favourable for both USD and gold.
📊 Key Support and Resistance Levels
📍 Major Resistance Levels: $2927 - $2944 - $2954
📍 Major Support Levels: $2899 - $2884 - $2873
📌 Trading Zones
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2884 - $2882
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2878
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2888 - $2892 - $2896 - $2900 - $2906 - $2910
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2943 - $2945
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2949
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2940 - $2936 - $2932 - $2928 - $2922
📢 Final Thoughts
🕵️♂️ Tonight, the crucial CPI report will be released, and it could have a significant effect on gold’s direction this week. At the moment, gold’s movement seems erratic on lower timeframes, swinging between highs and lows as the market transitions from Winter-Spring to Summer-Fall.
📌 Traders should remain cautious, waiting for a clearer trend to emerge before making more aggressive moves. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your capital.
Best of luck and trade safely! 🚀
EURCHF: Correctional Movement Started 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF started a correctional movement after a test of a key daily resistance.
Inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame on that
provides a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
We can expect a bearish continuation at least to 0.96 today.
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USD Weakens as Fed Cuts Loom, Safe-Haven CHF GainsMacro:
- Economic concerns in the US, including slowdown risks and trade policy uncertainties, have weakened the US dollar against the swiss franc, benefiting from its safe-haven status.
- Traders expect 0.75% in Fed rate cuts this year, with a Jun cut fully priced. Investors now await Wed's US inflation report for further cues.
- Meanwhile, net long dollar positions in currency futures markets have significantly dropped from Jan's nine-year high, which may reduce the further extreme reallocation away from USD.
Technical:
- USDCHF bounced after reaching the support cluster of 0.8770-0.8800, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci Extension. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent bearish momentum.
- If USDCHF remains above the support area of 0.8770-0.8800, the price may retest the resistance area of 0.8900-0.8915.
- On the contrary, a closing below 0.8770 may prompt a continuous decline to retest the following support area of 0.8617-0.8650, confluence with the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness