GBPJPY Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = GBPJPY
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPJPY is exactly on the way as predicted. Getting a good bounce from this trend line support. Already 600 Pips + gain. Here we can see small retesting and after that again it will give us a gain UpTo 500 Pips + . Currently a small retesting period because JPY is getting stronger
Bullish Target:-
203.000
204.000
Technical Analysis
GBP/USD--> Just One Step Away from a Further DeclineHello everyone, Ben here!
Today, GBP/USD continues to face significant challenges. The pair remains under pressure due to a negative fundamental backdrop, the strengthening of the US dollar, and the emergence of a critical resistance zone. These factors all point to the likelihood of a sustained bearish trend.
Yesterday, the UK GDP figures were released, showing no change. This lack of improvement leaves the British pound without any meaningful upward catalysts. Meanwhile, the US dollar finds support from recent market dynamics. Despite rate cuts, the dollar is gaining momentum, bolstered by hawkish rhetoric and expectations of economic growth. Against the backdrop of Trump-era policy shifts, the medium-term outlook for the greenback appears favorable.
From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is currently testing a high-risk resistance zone. If a false breakout occurs, it could trigger a short-term rebound. However, this reaction is likely to be temporary. Following such a move, the pair may target a retest of local resistance levels. Yet, the real focal point lies in the support test within the next 1–3 days, which could set the stage for a deeper decline.
A crucial level to watch is 1.2488. Should a base form at this point before any significant breakout, it would reinforce the bearish outlook and pave the way for further downward movement.
Stay sharp and trade wisely!
Yours truly, BenTradeGold.
USDJPY | Hidden Bearish Divergence | 1HCurrently, the USDJPY chart shows the formation of a hidden bearish divergence and a double top pattern, both indicating that the uptrend is shifting into a downtrend. Additionally, new lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) are forming, confirming the change in market structure. These factors suggest the presence of a potential reversal zone (PRZ), where the price is likely to continue its downward movement.
Explanation:
1: Hidden Bearish Divergence:
The price is formed higher highs (HH), while the RSI is showing lower highs, signaling weakness in the uptrend and a potential reversal.
2: Double Top Formation:
A double top is a strong reversal pattern, indicating that the price has struggled to break through a resistance level and is now likely to move downward.
3: Market Structure Shift:
The formation of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) indicates a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, confirming bearish sentiment.
4: Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
The confluence of divergence, the double top, and the structural change points to a PRZ where sellers are likely to dominate, pushing the price further down.
This setup suggests a bearish bias, and traders could look for sell opportunities after proper confirmation, such as a retest of the PRZ or a bearish candlestick pattern.
NASDAQ Is Close To The Main Trend And Support!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 20,500 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 20500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.25500 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.25500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: The Dollar Continues to Take OverHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04700 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold vs. Silver: Is the Ratio Signaling a Major ShiftIntroduction:
Precious metals are displaying promising price action, warranting a closer look at the gold AMEX:GLD to silver AMEX:SLV ratio. This ratio provides valuable insights during bull markets:
Bullish Silver: In a strong bull market, silver typically outperforms gold, causing the ratio to decline.
Gold Leading: Recently, gold has taken the lead, advancing in a corrective rally, but there are signs this could change.
Analysis:
Inverted Saucer Formation: On the gold-to-silver ratio chart, a large inverted saucer formation is emerging. This bearish pattern indicates a potential breakdown below key support levels, signaling silver’s outperformance in the months ahead.
What to Watch:
A confirmed breakdown of support in this ratio could signal a major shift in favor of silver.
If silver outperforms, prices could surge to retest its 2011 highs of $48-$50 next year.
Gold Outlook: Despite the shift in favor of silver, gold remains bullish. A breakout could target significant upside, with price projections of $3,300-$3,400.
Trade Setup:
Silver Bullish Setup:
Trigger: A breakdown in the gold-to-silver ratio, confirming silver’s relative strength.
Target: SLV retesting $48-$50.
Stop Loss: Manage risk by placing stops near recent support levels in silver.
Gold Bullish Setup:
Gold continues to show strength, targeting $3,300-$3,400. Monitor for breakouts in gold prices alongside silver’s potential surge.
Conclusion:
The precious metals setup looks increasingly bullish. The gold-to-silver ratio is hinting at a shift toward silver outperformance, a hallmark of true bull markets. If this scenario plays out, silver could retest its 2011 highs, while gold targets new all-time highs. This is a chart and setup worth keeping a close eye on in the coming months. Which metal do you think will lead the charge? Share your thoughts below!
Charts:
(Include charts showing the gold-to-silver ratio with the inverted saucer formation, key support levels, and projected breakdown targets. Add gold and silver price charts highlighting bullish setups.)
Tags: #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #GLD #SLV #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
Interest Rates Are Falling, So Why Is the EUR/USD Declining?Hello everyone,
Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading with a slightly negative bias around 1.0360 in early Friday’s Asian session. The major currency pair remains defensive as the US Federal Reserve adopts a less dovish stance despite cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting on Wednesday.
In summary: The Fed’s hawkish tone has delivered its intended impact: the dollar has strengthened, and markets have weakened.
Today, all eyes are on the November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Meanwhile, the EU will release its preliminary estimate of December Consumer Confidence.
Technical Perspective:
After the initial decline, the price attempted to recover but faced resistance at key levels, highlighted by the blue liquidity zones on the chart. If the price fails to break through the liquidity zone at 1.03894, we could see further bearish pressure. The first target lies at 1.03502, and a break below this level could drive the price toward 1.03000, marking a significant move for the pair.
Wishing you all successful trades and great profits!
BTCUSDT: Consolidation After Uptrend Break. What's Next?Hello, dear traders. Brian here!
When analyzing the 4-hour chart, we can see an intriguing setup that indicates the possibility of continued bearish momentum if critical support levels fail to hold. Let’s dive deeper into the analysis.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $97,547, reflecting a slight pullback from recent highs. The price has recently broken the ascending trendline, which had provided support for a prolonged period. This break, combined with the rejection at the Fibonacci retracement zone, signals a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the $95,713 level and the EMAs to confirm the next move.
If Bitcoin continues to decline, the next major support levels are at:
$95,713 (1.0 Fibonacci Extension)
$93,085 (1.272 Fibonacci Extension)
$89,742 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension)
Wishing you all great profits in the coming days!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 20/12/2024Flat or slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23950 level then possible strong downside rally upto 23750 level. Any bullish rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24050 level. 23950-24050 levels are the consolidation zone for nifty.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(20/12/2024)Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain abover 51550 level then expected consolidated movements in between 51550-51950 level. Strong downside fall expected below the 51450 level. This downside rally can goes upto the 51050 level.
GOLD --> The Downtrend Persists. What’s the Next Target?Dear Friends,
Gold has seen a modest rise amidst a broader bearish trend, currently trading around $2,617, up 1.27% on the day.
This slight uptick can be attributed to sellers pausing their pressure, coupled with the fundamental appeal of gold increasing. As the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding precious metal decreases due to lower interest rates, gold becomes more attractive.
However, the Federal Reserve's cautious outlook on rate cuts—suggesting smaller reductions than expected next year—could weigh on gold's upward momentum.
Additionally, US Treasury yields edged higher on December 18, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level since May. Treasuries, often considered a direct competitor to gold due to their interest-bearing nature, could diminish gold's appeal if yields continue to rise.
Ben personally advises waiting for a decisive candle close below the 2636 liquidity zone before taking further advantage of the market trend.
USDCHF: The Dollar Continues to dominateHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.89400 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.89400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD--> The downtrend is not over yet!Hi guys.
Today, gold prices are trending lower with the current price hovering around $2,600.
Accordingly, this decline is due to the Fed signaling a cautious policy easing path next year, still supporting higher US bond yields and supporting the USD to stand near a two-year high.
Therefore, in the short term, it would not be surprising if Brian prioritizes a short strategy and targets at least $2,538.
AMD - Weekly ChannelsLooking at AMD for potential long position. Previous times playing downward channels AMD usually breaks out of the channel on the 4th retest of bottom part of channel.
Could Enter on 3rd test with tight stop and early scales marked in orange.
With recent hawkish Fed on 12/18, we may see more downside (a 4th test) before a breakout from the channel.
GOLD - Should I sell?Brian, hello everyone!
Gold prices “plunged” and fell more than 2% to a one-month low in mid-week trading after the Fed decided to cut interest rates as expected, but noted that it would slow the pace of borrowing cost reductions in the near term. The Fed’s stance boosted the USD and bond yields.
Based on the performance of gold on the 4-hour time frame, along with indicators from EMA and RSI, a bearish trend is expected in the coming period. With the current unfavorable situation for gold, the price of gold is likely to reach $2,537 in the near future.
GBPUSD - continue its downward trendDear Investors,
The GBP/USD pair has rebounded after losing over 1% following the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cut on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.2590 during Thursday's Asian session.
From a technical perspective, this recovery is likely to be short-lived, stemming from the strong support zone at 1.2567, rather than signaling a sustained rebound. Sellers could easily regain control, especially after breaking below the key level of 1.2645. Moreover, the 34-period EMA shows no signs of a significant reversal, suggesting the price might accelerate towards the next support level at 1.2486.
Attention remains on the immediate resistance at 1.2615, as any failure to hold this level could lead to an earlier-than-expected decline. Stay alert and plan accordingly!
BTCUSDT: Consolidating below key resistance. What next?Hello, dear friends!
BTC/USDT is currently on a bearish trajectory, with the price hovering around $101,200. This decline follows comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opposing the establishment of a national bitcoin reserve fund.
From a theoretical perspective, the outlook suggests further downside potential, as the price is currently near critical resistance levels around the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracements, while the descending trendline remains intact. It is anticipated that the decline could extend to the designated support zones.
Wishing you all profitable trades ahead!
Fri 20th Dec 2024 GBP/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
What I Expect Through The New Year Absent A Government Shutdown.Traders, minus a government shutdown, I do expect another altcoin pump. However, the possibility of a shutdown is throwing a big wrench into my thesis. We'll talk about how price action would look in both scenarios as well as discuss the new crypto cycle rotation. You should get to know this new rotation to remain most successful in your trading.
As always, we'll start with the DXY, VIX, SPY, and NVDA and discuss future direction and what it means for our crypto space.
TradeCityPro | MAGICUSDT Market Correction and Fear!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s take a look together at a so-called bloody day in the market, as some friends call it, with a quick glance at the chart to analyze the events and help you make more thoughtful decisions without acting on your emotions.
🌟 Bitcoin Overview
Before starting the analysis, as usual, let’s take a look at Bitcoin. On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is experiencing red candles with high volume, indicating that it is currently correcting on its higher timeframe.
However, this event is accompanied by an increase in Bitcoin dominance, leading to more significant altcoin sell-offs. Naturally, altcoins are seeing larger red candles and experiencing steeper declines. But does this mean that the trend is changing?
From my perspective, no, and as long as Bitcoin remains above $80,000, we are still bullish and have no reason to exit. These red candles are merely corrections, which are entirely natural, as the market hasn’t seen any significant profit-taking since Bitcoin broke above $73,000. Make logical decisions, and during a bull market, don’t sell your assets prematurely unless they hit your predefined levels.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, MAGIC broke out of its 112-day range and resistance at $0.4302, moving toward the $0.7130 resistance, almost matching the size of its previous range.
Typically, the risk-to-reward ratio of patterns leads to the formation of significant support or resistance levels, shaping collective decisions.
After facing rejection and forming a lower high, MAGIC broke below $0.5573 and returned to the weekly box and support at $0.4302, which can act as a strong support for slowing down the bearish momentum and reversing it.
Currently, bearish momentum remains strong, and I refrain from buying during declines. However, if the support fails or the RSI re-enters its range, this could serve as a trigger for entry. For now, I prefer to watch, and if there is a significant reversal candle, it will be a pleasant surprise due to the strong momentum, with my stop-loss level already defined.
These conditions occur in bull markets and are completely natural. So, avoid FOMO and don’t let your emotions guide your decisions.
Practice risk and capital management, follow the analyses, and define your levels. For example, as long as Bitcoin remains above $80,000, I won’t sell and will even look for entry triggers. Futures positions currently make little sense, but if you have any, be sure to take profits and avoid greed!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Gold Market Update:Corective Phase Set Stage for Further DeclineGold has entered a corrective phase following yesterday's substantial decline, with price action consolidating within a defined range. This period of consolidation is expected to persist, allowing the market to recalibrate before the prevailing bearish momentum likely resumes. Downside targets remain intact, with the next leg lower anticipated once the correction concludes. Engage with this analysis by liking, sharing, or sharing your perspectives in the comments below.