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XAUUSD Breakout from Bullish Flag – Eyes on $3,387Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe is exhibiting a strong bullish continuation setup, supported by multiple confluences that suggest the uptrend is far from over. The chart clearly shows the market breaking out from a Bullish Flag Pattern, respecting curve support, and targeting the major resistance zone near $3,387. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 1. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation After a sharp bullish impulse, price consolidated in a tight downward-sloping channel — the classic bullish flag. This pattern typically appears mid-trend and signals a healthy pause before the next leg higher. The breakout from the flag confirms bullish continuation, often offering a high-probability trade entry. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) The breakout above minor resistance marked a Break of Structure (BOS), which is a key bullish signal. It indicates a shift in market sentiment and validates the end of the corrective phase (flag) and beginning of the next impulse wave. 3. Curve Support (Parabolic Trajectory) A parabolic curve support is now guiding price upward, showing increasing bullish pressure and higher lows forming consistently. This type of dynamic support often appears in strong trending markets where buyers step in aggressively at every pullback. 4. Liquidity Sweep & Smart Money Behavior Before the breakout, price dipped below recent lows within the flag, likely sweeping liquidity and triggering stop-losses. This move provided institutional players with the liquidity needed to push price higher — a classic smart money trap-and-break scenario. 5. Volume & Momentum Confirmation The breakout occurred with strong bullish momentum and rising volume (if checked on the volume profile), reinforcing the credibility of this move. A momentum-based continuation is likely as long as price remains above previous resistance (now support). 🎯 Target & Resistance Levels: Short-Term Target: $3,387 — aligned with the previous major resistance area Support Zone: $3,260–$3,275 (previous flag breakout + structure support) Major Resistance Zone: Around $3,360–$3,387 (historical supply zone) 🧠 Trade Idea / Strategy: As long as price holds above the curve support and retests the previous breakout zone (flag top or minor resistance), bullish entries on pullbacks are favored. ✅ Buy on dips into curve support or minor resistance retests. ❌ Avoid shorting into a strong parabolic structure unless signs of exhaustion appear. 🎯 Potential RR setups: 1:2 and beyond if entry is timed well. 💬 Conclusion: The market structure, pattern confirmation, and strong bullish momentum all point toward a continuation move toward the $3,387 level. This setup provides a solid technical case for bullish trades with multiple entry options and well-defined risk levels. Keep an eye on curve support and potential higher timeframe resistance reactions for dynamic trade management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD – Short-term bounce, major trendline still in play!Hey everyone, looking at the chart, we can see that gold is still moving within a larger uptrend. However, it's now testing a key resistance trendline that has repeatedly caused price to reverse in the past. The recent bounce from the $3,170 zone looks strong on the surface, but in reality, it's just retesting the $3,400 resistance area – where selling pressure could reappear. Price behavior is also showing signs of losing steam as it approaches previous highs. If the price fails to break through the upper trendline, a pullback to the $3,400 support zone is the first likely scenario. A deeper move toward the $3,170 area – which previously triggered strong buying – could also unfold. Summary: Price is currently testing a strong resistance zone. If it fails to break above, the likelihood of a corrective reversal increases. Watch the trendline reaction closely and plan accordingly!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 21, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 21, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 G7 Finance Ministers Convene Amid Tariff Tensions Finance ministers from G7 nations are meeting in Banff, Alberta, focusing on restoring global stability and growth. Discussions are expected to address excess manufacturing capacity, non-market economic practices, and financial crimes. Tensions may arise due to recent U.S. tariffs affecting multiple G7 nations. 🛢️ Oil Prices Rise on Geopolitical Concerns Oil prices increased over 1% following reports that Israel may be preparing a military strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. Such actions could disrupt Middle East oil supplies, particularly if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for crude exports. 📈 Retail Earnings in Focus Major retailers, including Lowe's ( NYSE:LOW ), Target ( NYSE:TGT ), and TJX Companies ( NYSE:TJX ), are set to report earnings today. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid ongoing economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, May 21: 10:00 AM ET: State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for April 2025 10:30 AM ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
PYTH 4H ANALYSIS – Bullish Setup in PlayAfter completing a 5-wave impulse to the downside, PYTH has shown signs of a trend reversal. The first upward impulse displayed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure, breaking out of the descending channel — a strong bullish signal. Following this, a classic A-B-C zig-zag correction occurred, which acted as a retest of the broken channel resistance, now turned support. This confluence increases the probability of a bullish continuation. With market structure aligning and correction likely complete, PYTH is showing potential for a 50%+ move to the upside. 🟢 Entry Zone: 0.1400 – 0.1500 🔴 Stop Loss: 0.1272 (Below wave C & structural support) 🎯 Target Price: 0.2235 💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
by TheWaveHunter
4
SHAILY ENG PLASTICS LTD – Breakout Watch | High Volume Spike📌 Trade Plan (Short-Term Swing): Buy above: ₹1,805 (Breakout confirmation) Stoploss: ₹1,756 (Below breakout zone) Target 1: ₹1,849 Target 2: ₹1,943 Sell below: ₹1,756 (Breakdown or failed breakout) 🔍 Technical View: Volume spike with bullish close – institutional interest likely Breakout zone near ₹1,804 now acting as immediate support RSI breakout supports momentum entry Resistance: ₹1,849 and ₹1,943
NSE:SHAILYLong
by rmhetre15
EVLV 1WEVLV — a rectangle pattern has formed, and the 100 MA has crossed above the 200 MA, signaling the start of a potential trend reversal. Targets: $8.29 and $12.94. As of May 2025, the fundamental outlook for Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (ticker: EVLV) is as follows: The company continues to show strong revenue growth and improving key financial metrics, despite remaining unprofitable. Revenue for 2024 reached $103.9 million, up 31% from 2023, while the net loss was halved to $54 million. EBITDA improved to -$21 million from -$51.8 million the year before. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 39% to $99.4 million. The company maintains a strong financial position with $51.9 million in cash and zero debt. The stock is currently trading at $4.44, above its estimated intrinsic value of $2.76 according to AlphaSpread. Analysts remain optimistic, giving EVLV a “Strong Buy” rating and forecasting an average price target of $5.31, suggesting about 19.6% upside potential. However, investors should keep in mind that the company is still unprofitable, and the current market valuation exceeds its fundamental value.
NASDAQ:EVLVLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Equity Research Report – NEWGEN SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIESShort-Term View: A strong breakout above key resistance at ₹1,100 with volume surge indicates bullish momentum. Price reclaimed the 50 EMA after consolidation. RSI at 60.87 supports strength; next resistance lies near ₹1,193.90. Long-Term View: Structurally strong after correction. Sustaining above ₹1,020 (50 EMA) may attract fresh buying. Long-term targets can stretch to ₹1,300+ if earnings and demand trends remain favorable. Conclusion: Bullish momentum likely to continue both short and long term. Watch for volume confirmation and hold above ₹1,100. For Education Purpose only
NSE:NEWGENLong
by rmhetre15
ONT ANALYSIS 📊 #ONT Analysis ✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and retest and currently trading around its support zone🧐 Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after the confirmation of retest 👀Current Price:  $0.1483 🚀 Target Price:    $0.1940 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #ONT price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️ #ONT  #Cryptocurrency  #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Bitcoin Rally Stalls Below Resistance as Uptrend Faces Key TestBitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in an aggressive uptrend but is showing early signs of hesitation near a major resistance level: Trendline Intact (for now): Price is still riding an ascending trendline, but today's bearish candle hints at momentum cooling. Resistance at 108,500: This level has capped multiple rallies; rejection here could signal a short-term top. MACD Losing Momentum: Though still above zero, MACD histogram is flattening, hinting at a possible fade in bullish momentum. RSI Near Overbought: RSI is hovering just under 70, not yet divergent but worth monitoring for reversal signals. Watch for Break or Bounce: A close below the rising trendline (~103,500) could trigger a deeper pullback toward the 50-day SMA near 90,000. Conversely, a breakout above 108,500 could unlock fresh upside toward prior highs. Price action in the next 2–3 days will be crucial to determine whether bulls maintain control or profit-taking accelerates. -MW
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
USD/MXN Eyes Breakdown Toward Key Support LevelsThe USD/MXN daily chart is displaying signs of continued weakness: Downtrend Intact: The pair trades firmly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing bearish control. MACD Bearish: Momentum remains to the downside with the MACD line below zero and the signal line. Key Support Zones: Price is approaching horizontal support at 19.07; a break could expose 18.58 as the next downside target. Resistance to Watch: Former support near 19.49 now acts as initial resistance. RSI Holding Lower: The RSI is drifting below 40, showing bearish momentum without reaching oversold territory. If the pair closes below 19.07, it may accelerate the bearish trend toward the 18.58 handle. -MW
by FOREXcom
Gold Bounces Modestly from Trendline Support – But Is It Enough?Gold is holding just above rising trendline and 50-day SMA support (~$3,175), but the rebound has been tepid so far: 📉 Price action: Small-bodied candles reflect indecision 📊 RSI stuck near 50, suggesting a lack of directional momentum 📉 MACD still trending lower, though starting to flatten 📍Support: Rising trendline and 50-day SMA: $3,175–$3,180 Below that: $3,100 (psychological + former resistance) 📍Resistance: Initial resistance near $3,300 Heavier resistance back at $3,400+ ⚠️ Big picture: The longer gold churns sideways near trendline support, the more vulnerable it becomes. Bulls need a strong move above $3,300 to reassert control. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
USDCHF Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? Full Trade Plan TodayUSDCHF – Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? | Full Trade Plan Today 🔥 🌍 Macro Overview USDCHF remains in a short-term bearish correction, reflecting current macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding US interest rate expectations and safe-haven demand for CHF. USD is under pressure after softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data last week, increasing speculation that the Fed may cut rates in Q3. CHF continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and fragile European growth. However, the key support around 0.8318 has acted as a major demand zone. If bulls react strongly here, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. 📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H2) USDCHF is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows. Price is now testing the lower boundary of the channel around 0.8318, which also aligns with a key liquidity area. EMAs (13 and 34) still slope downward, but momentum is slowing — a possible signal that sellers are losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones: 0.8395 → Recent swing high & supply zone 0.8459 → Medium-term structural resistance 🔻 Support Zones: 0.8318 → Major confluence zone (channel bottom + demand block) 0.8230 → Final support level before deeper drop 🎯 Trade Setups ✅ Scenario A – Bullish Reversal from Support (Preferred): Entry (Buy): 0.8318 – 0.8322 (after bullish rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: 0.8288 Take Profits: 0.8395 → 0.8430 → 0.8459 ✅ Scenario B – Bearish Breakdown Below Support: Entry (Sell): 0.8300 – 0.8310 (only if price closes below 0.8310 on H2) Stop Loss: 0.8340 Take Profits: 0.8260 → 0.8230 → 0.8200 ⚠️ What to Watch Today: Market may see higher volatility during the US session, especially with housing data (Existing Home Sales) and Fed speakers lined up. Watch for clean price action around 0.8318 — no need to rush entries until confirmation appears. This is a reactive market, not a predictive one. Let price speak first. 📌 Follow for real-time market updates and actionable strategies during US trading hours.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
7
GBP/USD Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum FadesGBP/USD Trading Plan – May 20th | Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum Fades 🌐 Macro Overview GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces: USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut. The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation. Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging. 📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart) GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However: 1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term. A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off. EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Major Resistance: 🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top 🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2) Key Support: 🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection 🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support 🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE 🎯 Trading Scenarios 📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation) Stop Loss: 1.3460 Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250 📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest) Stop Loss: 1.3340 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174 📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174 Stop Loss: 1.3140 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility. Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones. 📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EURCHF: Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭 I think that EURCHF is going to resume a bullish rally soon. A strong bullish reaction to a rising trend line on a daily, triggered a formation of a buying imbalance on a 4H time frame and a Change of Character. I expect a growth at least to 0.941 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/JPY 1H: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout + Target 🧠 Overview of the Setup The EUR/JPY currency pair has recently completed a Falling Wedge pattern, a classic and powerful bullish reversal formation. This chart structure typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential beginning of a strong upward impulse. In this setup, multiple confluences point toward a bullish move, including pattern breakout, structure shift, retest of a dynamic support level, and alignment with major supply/resistance zones. 🔍 Pattern Analysis: Falling Wedge Definition: A falling wedge is a technical pattern formed by two downward-sloping trendlines — one representing resistance and the other support — that converge. It signals a slowdown in bearish momentum, often preceding a bullish reversal. Chart Observation: The wedge is well-defined, spanning several trading sessions. As price action tightened toward the apex, bearish momentum began to weaken. Breakout Trigger: Price broke convincingly above the upper wedge boundary, suggesting the start of a bullish reversal. ✅ Implication: The breakout confirms that buyers have taken control, especially as this move is supported by a structural Change of Character (CHOCH). 📈 Price Action Structure & Key Zones 1. Minor Resistance (Broken) After the breakout, price encountered a minor resistance zone just above the wedge. This area is now likely to flip into support (a classic breakout retest). 2. Major CHOCH (Change of Character) A CHOCH indicates a break in market structure — from lower highs and lower lows to higher highs and higher lows. The break above this level confirms a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. 3. Curved Support (Black Min Curve) A rising curved trendline has formed below current price, acting as a parabolic support structure. This suggests not just a trend reversal, but increasing bullish momentum, as buyers step in at higher levels with each correction. 4. Major Resistance Zone (Target Area) Price Target: ~164.50 – 165.50 This zone has historically acted as strong supply and is marked for potential take-profit or observation for reversal signals. The target is derived from both horizontal resistance and the projected height of the wedge pattern. 🎯 Trading Strategy Component Details Entry Zone 162.50 – 162.60 (retest of minor resistance + curve support) Stop Loss Below 162.00 (beneath wedge and curve) Take Profit 164.50 – 165.50 (major resistance) Risk/Reward Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3 🔸 Conservative Entry: Wait for bullish confirmation (bullish engulfing candle or pin bar) on the support retest. 🔸 Aggressive Entry: Market buy after confirmation of curve bounce or on lower timeframe bullish signals. 📊 Volume & Momentum Consideration Although volume isn’t shown on this chart, volume confirmation on the breakout would significantly strengthen the bullish bias. Look for: Increasing buy volume on breakout Lower sell volume on pullbacks Bullish divergence (if using RSI or MACD) ⚠️ Risk Management & Event Awareness Be cautious of unexpected JPY-related economic releases (e.g., BOJ announcements, inflation data) that may cause volatility. If the curved support is broken decisively, this could invalidate the setup, suggesting further consolidation or downside risk. 🧠 Psychological Perspective The Falling Wedge reflects a market where sellers are gradually losing control — pushing price lower, but with less conviction. As the wedge tightens, bulls prepare to step in. The breakout confirms that sentiment has shifted, and many traders use such setups as entry points for swing or momentum trades. The curved support line suggests a transition from accumulation to markup phase, which typically leads to faster price expansion as confidence in the uptrend grows. ✅ Summary ✅ Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish) ✅ Breakout: Confirmed with CHOCH ✅ Support: Curve trendline acting as dynamic support ✅ Target: 164.50 – 165.50 major resistance ✅ Bias: Bullish (until curve support is broken) 📣 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish continuation setup backed by price structure, pattern breakout, and support alignment. The risk is well-defined, and reward potential is strong — making this a favorable setup for swing traders or short-term position traders. 💬 Let me know what you think in the comments — are you going long EUR/JPY? 👍 Like and Follow for more setups and breakdowns.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP – Bearish Breakout Expected & Triangle Pattern + TargetThe EUR/GBP pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, often considered a neutral pattern that precedes a breakout in either direction. However, when placed in context with the prevailing downtrend, surrounding key support/resistance zones, and price action behavior, this pattern strongly hints at a bearish continuation. This is a textbook setup where market compression within a triangle leads to a volatility expansion, offering traders a clear breakout structure with manageable risk and high reward potential. 🔺 Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle A symmetrical triangle forms when the price creates lower highs and higher lows, converging toward an apex. This indicates market indecision or consolidation. The price is being squeezed between buyers and sellers, leading to reduced volatility. In the current EUR/GBP chart: The triangle is forming after a strong bearish impulse, which suggests the probability favors a breakout to the downside (trend continuation). The triangle’s boundaries are respected with multiple touches, increasing the reliability of the pattern. 🧭 Key Technical Levels: 🔴 Resistance Zone: The 0.84290 level has acted as strong resistance, capping bullish attempts multiple times. This zone aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle and the prior rejection point. 🟢 Support Zone: The 0.83915 - 0.83710 zone is a previous support structure that saw multiple reactions. This is the projected take-profit region if the breakdown follows through. 🔵 Breakout Retest Area: If price breaks the lower triangle trendline (~0.84100), a retest of the broken line may offer a high-probability short entry. This is a common occurrence in technical setups — former support becomes new resistance. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight: Triangle patterns often reflect a period of balance — bulls and bears are temporarily equal in strength. However, when the price is compressing inside a triangle after a strong directional move (in this case, downward), the market is typically building pressure to continue in the same direction. The inability of bulls to push past the resistance and the repeated rejection at lower highs is a psychological signal that buyers are weakening, and a bearish breakout is imminent. 📋 Bearish Trade Plan: Entry: After price breaks below the lower triangle boundary (~0.84100) and retests it. Enter on confirmation of bearish candle rejection or strong volume. Stop Loss (SL): Above resistance and triangle top: ~0.84290 This invalidates the setup if breached. Take Profits: TP1: 0.83915 — minor support zone and realistic first target. Final TP: 0.83710 — major support and historical price reaction level. Risk-Reward Ratio: With SL around 20 pips and TP1 around 30 pips, and TP2 near 50 pips, this setup offers an excellent risk-reward profile (>1.5 to 2.5 R:R). 📅 Upcoming Events & Volatility Watch: There are multiple economic events shown on the chart (Euro and UK flags). These could impact price action significantly: Eurozone announcements UK economic data releases Ensure you monitor the economic calendar and avoid entering just before high-impact events unless you're managing your trade closely. 📝 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability breakout setup for swing or intraday traders who favor trading patterns with clear structure and back-tested success. The market is compressing, and the squeeze is tightening. Volume is likely to surge on breakout, especially during London or early US sessions. Keep in mind: Confirmation is crucial — wait for a decisive breakout and retest before committing capital. Risk management is non-negotiable — place SL logically beyond structure and respect it. 📌 If the breakout happens to the upside, reevaluate the bias and wait for fresh confirmation. The structure itself remains valid either way — it’s how price reacts at those boundary levels that will dictate the move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation. 🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by: Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control. Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout. This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses. In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern. 🧱 2. Key Structural Zones: Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285): Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone. Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area. The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance. Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow): Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase. Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge. 🔁 3. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge. This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move. The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation. Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities. 🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup: Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals. Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance. TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10). 🧠 5. Confluence Factors: Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish. Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory. Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels. Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation. ⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips: Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule). Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering. Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target🧠 Overview: The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows. The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📌 1. Rising Wedge Formation A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend. As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs. This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers. 📌 2. Minor Resistance Zone Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before. This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area. The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance. 📌 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance) Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange). Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it. This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again. 📌 4. Break & Retest Structure As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline. This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions. 🎯 Trade Plan & Price Levels: 💼 Bearish Scenario Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar). Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920). Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 – First key support zone. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 – Next major support / liquidity zone. 🧩 Why This Setup Makes Sense: ✅ Multiple Confluences: Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern. Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection. SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest. Retest confirmation = high-probability entry. Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure. 🛑 Risk Management: Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest. Avoid jumping in early — wait for confirmation. Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries. 📊 Summary: This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity — assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering. 🔔 What to Watch: Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary. Reaction on retest — do bulls defend or do bears take over? Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks). Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news. ✍️ Final Thoughts: This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard — so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Price Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting BreakoutGold Price Drops Amid Hawkish Fed Comments - Market in a Sideways Phase Awaiting Breakout Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a sharp drop following recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve. The continuation of tight monetary policy has unsettled investors, leading to strong sell-offs during both the Asian and US trading sessions today. 📊 Technical Analysis: Currently, gold is forming a new sideways range, and if you zoom out to higher timeframes, you'll notice a classic bearish flag pattern developing. This suggests that gold is in a period of consolidation before a potential large-scale breakout. While the upward momentum from both the Asian and European sessions was strong, gold failed to break the critical 3250–3255 zone. This area remains vital for determining the next direction in gold's price action. Should the bearish trend continue, if we break the support trendline below the current price, the likelihood of the bearish flag pattern playing out rises to around 80%. This could lead to further price corrections. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 3205, 3194, 3280, 3262 Resistance Levels: 3244, 3262, 3278, 3286 📈 Trading Strategy: BUY SCALP: Entry: 3294 - 3292 Stop Loss (SL): 3288 Take Profit (TP): 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3272 - 3270 SL: 3266 TP: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3330 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3242 - 3244 SL: 3248 TP: 3238 → 3234 → 3230 → 3226 → 3220 → 3210 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3276 - 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240 ⚠️ Risk Management: As we approach the close of the week, the volatility in gold could intensify, especially with the Fed’s actions, market sentiment, and geopolitical developments. Always follow your TP/SL to safeguard your investments and avoid unnecessary risk. 🧠 Final Thoughts: The market is in a consolidation phase, and it's essential to wait for confirmation before taking significant positions. If gold fails to break the 3250–3255 resistance zone, the chances of a more significant move downwards increase. However, be cautious, as the market is volatile, and things can shift rapidly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading