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Technical Analysis

DreamAnalysis | Technical Analysis Dow Theory EP03📚 Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel: Technical Analysis Training 👋 Recap of the Previous Session: In the previous session, we covered the middle two principles of Dow Theory. Make sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us in the comments. 📖 Today’s Focus: Let’s dive into Principles 5 & 6 of Dow Theory and explore their significance in market analysis. 🎨 What is Technical Analysis? Technical analysis is more of an art than a science. Just like art, there is no definitive right or wrong. Instead, we create rules based on experience to navigate the lawless market. Patterns in life can reflect in the markets, but we must always approach it with an artistic perspective. 📑 Principles of Dow Theory: 1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto) 2 - The Market Has Three Trends 3 - Trends Have Three Phases 4 - Trends Continue Until a Reversal is Confirmed 5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other 6 - Volume Confirms the Trend 📊 Principle 5: Volume Confirms the Trend Typically, when the price moves in the direction of the main trend, the trading volume increases. The same applies to bearish trends, where declining prices are supported by increasing sell volume. Low volume suggests weakening momentum. For example, in a bull market, buying volume should rise with the price, and during corrections, volume should remain steady. 📉 However, if volume increases during a correction, it may signal that more investors are turning bearish on the asset. Therefore, volume acts as a crucial indicator of the strength or weakness of a trend. 📉 Principle 6: Trends Continue Until a Reversal is Confirmed 🔄 Dow Theory emphasizes that trends continue until a clear reversal signal is observed. This means that despite short-term fluctuations or corrections, the primary market trend remains intact until there is unmistakable evidence of a change in direction. 🚩 It’s important to distinguish between temporary corrections and true trend reversals. Misinterpreting short-term declines in a bull market or temporary rallies in a bear market can lead to confusion and poor decision-making. 🎯 Conclusion: This concludes our breakdown of the 6 principles of Dow Theory. In the next session, we will review and summarize the entire Dow Theory to solidify your understanding. 📝 Important Note: These principles were developed over 100 years ago, and with today’s diverse markets, there are many different perspectives on their application. ⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and are not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Education
by DreamAnalysis
SWING IDEA - REDINGTON LTDA potential swing trade opportunity in Redington Ltd , a leading distributor of technology products and supply chain solutions. Reasons are listed below : The stock has broken above a significant resistance zone of 180-190, and it has successfully retested this level, indicating potential upward momentum. Redington Ltd recently broke out of an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a bullish continuation pattern. A hammer candlestick has formed on the weekly timeframe, indicating potential bullish reversal sentiment among traders. The stock found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, adding further confirmation to the bullish outlook. Redington Ltd has broken out of a 3-year consolidation phase, signaling a potential shift in long-term trend direction. The stock has been forming constant higher highs, indicating a consistent uptrend. Redington Ltd is currently trading above both the 50 and 200 EMA on the weekly timeframe, suggesting sustained bullish momentum. Increased trading volumes have accompanied the recent price movements, validating the strength of the breakout. Target - 242 // 288 StopLoss - weekly close below 187 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:REDINGTONLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - ENDURANCE TECHNOEndurance Technologies , a prominent player in the auto components industry, is exhibiting technical signals that indicate a potential swing trade setup. Reasons are listed below : Break of Flag and Pole Pattern : The stock has broken out of a bullish flag and pole pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern signaling further upward momentum. 50 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is holding support above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), suggesting that the trend is intact and providing a strong base for potential gains. Bullish Marubozu on Daily Timeframe : The formation of a bullish marubozu candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure, further confirming the upward movement. Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volumes signals heightened investor interest and adds credibility to the breakout. Target - 2820 // 3060 Stoploss - daily close below 2400 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:ENDURANCELong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - CEAT LTDCEAT Ltd , a major player in the tire industry, is currently showing technical signals that suggest a potential swing trade opportunity. Reasons are listed below: Break of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern : The stock has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential shift in momentum and the beginning of a new bullish trend. Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily chart, signaling strong buying pressure and a possible continuation of the upward movement. Support of 50 EMA on Daily Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing a strong support level for the current trend. Spike in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the breakout, indicating strong investor interest and participation in the move. Constant Higher Highs : The stock has been consistently making higher highs, a classic sign of a strong uptrend, suggesting continued momentum in the upward direction. Target - 3000 // 3170 Stoploss - Daily close below 2575 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:CEATLTDLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - JMFINANCIALJM Financial , a diversified financial services group offering services in investment banking, brokerage, and asset management, is currently presenting a potential swing trade setup. Reasons are listed below : 120 Zone Resistance Break : The 120 level has acted as a strong resistance since 2018. The price is now attempting to break through this zone, indicating possible continued upward movement. Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish Marubozu candle on the weekly chart suggests strong buying pressure and a potential shift towards higher levels. Massive Volume Increase : The surge in trading volumes supports the price movement, indicating strong market participation. Constant Higher Lows : The formation of higher lows signals a consistent upward trend, reflecting increasing bullish sentiment. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, which supports the overall bullish trend and indicates long-term strength. Target - 150 // 170 // 190 Stoploss - weekly close below 105 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:JMFINANCILLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - PCBLNSE:PCBL is about to form a MACD Cross on the weekly charts. If the market favor this move and if it completes its crossover, the stock should easily be able to go all the way at least until its Swing High Levels. Fundamentally speaking, the company has received a patent from the Indian Patent Office for its invention titled "hybrid carbon black grade comprising Graphene to improve performance of rubber compounds". This could further add as a factor to get this moving in the upward direction.
NSE:PCBLLong
by thepranam
2
Salesforce (CRM): Potential bearish flag formingOne of our members asked for an analysis on Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), and we've taken a closer look at it. Initially, it's a bit challenging to see the full picture, but if our Elliott Wave count is accurate, we marked the end of wave (2) at $115.29 after establishing wave B, which was exactly between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci levels. It appears that wave 1 was put in with a new high slightly above wave B, taking out the resting liquidity (likely due to profit-taking and closing of long positions). Following this, there was a 33% drop, and here's where it gets tricky. Normally, we would expect this decline to continue, suggesting that the current rise is merely a relief pump. However, wave ((a)) perfectly touched the HVN POC, which indicates a slight chance that this could be the bottom. That said, we still believe that a continuation down to the 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci level is more likely. Zooming in on the blue-circled area, we notice a textbook bear flag pattern developing. While we don't typically trade based on chart patterns, it is difficult to ignore this one given its clear structure. It becomes even more significant if there is a wick above the upper trend line of the flag, which could trigger another sell-off by taking out the liquidation levels. Such a wick would also fully close the gap and enter our targeted area where we anticipate a possible reversal. To be clear, we are not trading this bear flag pattern or the targeted area just yet. Instead, we are using this setup as a means to validate whether our bearish outlook is correct or not. We’ll continue to monitor the development closely and provide updates as we gain more clarity.
NYSE:CRMShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
McDonald's (MCD): Time for a Correction!We predicted it back in March, and sometimes you have to give yourself a pat on the shoulder when things play out exactly as expected. A little over six months ago, we said that Wave (A) would likely hit $245.88, and what did we get? $244, which is less than a 1% difference from our target. After that, the stock surged by 24% to what now seems like another high. Now we find ourselves back at the range high, and we must treat it with caution. Since March, we've been hoping for this exact scenario to unfold, but we're not ready to jump into a short position on NYSE:MCD just yet! The rise has been pretty strong, and we're seeing the RSI hovering around the overbought area. Given this price level, we could either see a smaller pullback before heading higher—possibly up to the 127.2%-138% Fibonacci extension—or NYSE:MCD could fall lower after losing the mid-range level. In both scenarios, we would like to see lower prices as we still haven't concluded Wave II. We’ve zoomed in on the chart now, but whether we’re right or wrong, we’ll zoom back out to reevaluate when the time is right. This serves as the perfect reminder that good things take time 🚀.
NYSE:MCDShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
4
Pros and Cons of Forex Trading with Robots Hey traders, Forex trading robots (EA) are commonly perceived as a sort of magic button. Once it is clicked, the system starts trading automagically, generating consistent profits. What can be better? However, many pitfalls are hidden behind its simplicity. In this educational article, we will discuss the advantages and disadvantages / pros and cons of trading with Expert Advisers (EA) / robots. Advantages of Forex Trading Robots Let's start with the positives ➕: 1. The first major advantage of EA is the fact that it works 24/7 , without delays and coffee breaks. Once it is launched, it will keep working till you stop it. 2. The second advantage of EA is that it is non-emotional and objective . It strictly follows the algorithm and rules determined by a program. It is not influenced by psychological biases, making each trade extremely precise. 3. The third strength of trading robots is the processing speed and its limitless scalability . EA can monitor dozens of trading instruments on multiple time frames simultaneously, not missing any bit of information. Hence, it requires less time for decision-making and trade execution. 4. The fourth advantage of EA is the simplicity of its backtesting . Once the algorithm is written and the order of execution rules are described, it can be quickly and easily tested on a historical data. Disadvantages of Forex Trading Robots So far, sounds like a panacea, right?! But now, let's discuss the negatives ➖: 1. Similar to any software, app or program, the EA is vulnerable to bugs, and may occasionally lag . Therefore, it requires a constant oversight and maintenance . In order to fix the bugs and maintain that, a high level of experience is required . One should have the advanced skills both in coding and in trading. 2. Moreover, admitting the fact that the market is constantly changing and evolving, one should regularly update the EA and adapt it. In comparison to humans, trading robots are not learning, they do not evolve, update themselves. 3. Leaving the robot without supervision, updates and patches, it may blow the entire account in a glimpse of an eye without any embarrassment. 4. One more important thing to add about EA, is the fact that it is technical analysis based . For now, there are no solutions on the market that would allow the integration of fundamentals in the algorithm. Unfortunately, most of the traders overestimate the strengths of trading robots, completely neglecting its obvious weaknesses. If you decide to apply EA in Forex trading, always consider its pros and cons that we discuss in the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
XAU/USD: Break Resistance at $2,680 or Correct to $2,645?The analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows that gold is currently priced at $2,658.550, with strong support at $2,645.331. From the chart, it is clear that the upward trend is still being maintained, thanks to the support of the EMA 34 and EMA 89 levels at $2,658 and $2,633.502, respectively. The key resistance at $2,680.809 is the barrier that the price needs to break through if it is to continue reaching higher levels, with the next target at $2,701 However, if the price fails to maintain its upward momentum and drops below the $2,645.331 support level, a deeper correction may occur. In the current market context, important economic news from the U.S. and statements from Fed officials will be key factors that could significantly impact gold price movements in the coming days.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zola_Hello
Alphabet (GOOGL): Gap Fill and the Future of Wave (2)We remain convinced that Alphabet is currently in Wave (2) after the well-defined end of Wave (1) at $197. Following that, we saw a sharp and fast sell-off, which looks more like a Wave A rather than the full Wave (2). This is further supported by the fact that the sell-off respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level perfectly, a typical level for Wave A. We still have an open gap above, and we believe this should get filled, especially considering the nature of Wave A. We're expecting Wave B to reach between the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. Right between these two levels lies the gap, making it highly likely that this gap will get filled before we continue the downtrend. Looking further ahead, if you're asking where we would consider buying shares, there are two potential opportunities. The first is around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC), and the second is lower in what we call the "Great Buy" zone, between $116 and $100. While this might seem like a significant drop, we saw a similar decline in 2022, so nothing is off the table. We'll keep monitoring this closely for you.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Crude Oil (CL1!): Waiting for the perfect entry after declineWe have continued to see crude oil prices fall lower and lower since we first analyzed it five months ago. The recent price decline is largely attributed to a worsening demand outlook. According to Commerzbank, the post-pandemic normalisation of demand growth in China has sharply deteriorated. Between April and July, oil demand was even lower than the previous year, and data released last weekend offers little hope for improvement in Chinese crude oil processing for August. Additionally, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its forecast for global oil demand down to 900,000 barrels per day, with China accounting for just 20% of that growth. What was once a driver of demand is now seen as a drag on the market. The IEA projects that oil demand in China will rise by 260,000 barrels per day by 2025. With the continued struggles of global oil demand on one side and Middle East tensions on the other, it makes sense to set a limit order on crude oil as we closely watch how well NYMEX:CL1! respects the key levels on the chart. We're still targeting the $63.23-$57 range for a potential buy-in as we continue to monitor the market for an ideal entry point.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
4