BTC/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Retest Before the Fall?🔍 Technical Breakdown – BTC/USD 3H Timeframe
Bitcoin is displaying a textbook Double Top pattern formation on the 3-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong bullish run. This classic pattern suggests buyer exhaustion and sets the stage for a downward move. Let's break down the analysis:
🧠 Pattern Insight: Double Top Reversal
A Double Top is one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, especially when it forms after a sustained uptrend — just like we're seeing here.
Top 1 and Top 2 both formed inside a strong Resistance Zone between $106,500 and $107,000, showing repeated rejection from buyers to push price higher.
The formation of lower highs and long wicks near Top 2 further reinforce the weakening bullish momentum.
💥 Neckline Breakdown & Bearish Trigger
The Neckline, aligned with a horizontal Support Zone (~$103,300–$103,800), was decisively broken, confirming the pattern.
This breakdown acts as the trigger for bearish entries, and we are now in the "Retest Phase", where price often pulls back to the neckline or a nearby trendline before continuing lower.
📐 Trendline Confluence – Retest Opportunity
A short-term descending trendline drawn from Top 2 intersects near the neckline zone.
Price is now approaching this confluence area, offering a potential high-probability short entry if bearish price action confirms (e.g., a rejection candle like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
🎯 Price Targets & Trade Setup
Parameter Value
📍 Entry On bearish confirmation near neckline/trendline retest (~$105,300)
❌ Stop Loss (SL) Above recent swing high / Top 2 (~$107,100)
🎯 Target ~$97,126 (based on measured move from top to neckline projection)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3 or better (depending on entry timing)
Measured Target Calculation:
Height from neckline to peak (~$107,000 - $103,500 = $3,500)
Target = Neckline break - height = ~$103,500 - $3,500 = $97,000–$97,100
🔥 Market Context & Psychological Edge
This chart structure reflects a shift in market sentiment. What was once strong bullish momentum is now hesitating — with buyers failing to make higher highs and sellers stepping in aggressively. The double top is not just a pattern, it's a narrative of exhaustion and reversal.
“Let price confirm your bias. Don't just predict; react to structure and behavior.”
Being patient and letting the retest play out is crucial. Don’t rush in early — let the market give you a clean signal. This is where technical discipline pays off.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Crypto markets are highly volatile — avoid oversized positions.
A failed double top can lead to a bullish continuation, so SL discipline is key.
Wait for confirmation — candlestick patterns, momentum shifts, or bearish volume spikes can add confidence.
📌 Summary
✅ Pattern: Double Top
✅ Confirmation: Neckline Break
🔄 Current Phase: Retesting Neckline/Trendline
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: ~$97,100
❗ SL: Above Top 2
💬 What do you think? Are we headed to GETTEX:97K or is this just a fakeout? Drop your thoughts below and don’t forget to like and follow for more trade setups!
Technical Analysis
THETA Token Is In A Larger Flat CorrectionTheta Token with ticker THETAUSD made a deeper retracement in the last year, but it’s actually still above 2023 lows, so it can still be a larger regular 3-3-5 A-B-C flat correction in play. After recent projected five-wave impulse into wave (C) of a three-wave (A)(B)(C) decline in blue wave B, it can be now on the way back to March 2024 highs for blue wave C, which could be a five-wave impulsive cycle. Currently, it can be still unfolding a lower-degree five-wave impulse into wave (1), so more upside is expected for wave (3), especially if breaks above 1.74 bullish level, just be aware of wave (2) pullback.
Theta Token (THETA) is the native cryptocurrency of the Theta Network, a blockchain-powered platform designed for decentralized video streaming and content delivery. It aims to improve the efficiency and cost of streaming by allowing users to share bandwidth and computing resources on a peer-to-peer basis.
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity.
🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation
We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent.
📌 Key Technical Elements
🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone
A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support.
🔷 2. Retesting Zone
After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk.
🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support
There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup.
📍 SL & Risk Management
The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility.
🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%.
🎯 Projected Target: $3,342
If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with:
The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move)
Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones
This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
What’s happening under the surface?
Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows.
Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last.
Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy.
Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected.
💡 How to Trade This Setup
Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance.
Entry Options:
Breakout entry on confirmation candle
Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R)
Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205)
Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+
📣 Final Thoughts:
This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting.
🔖 Tags:
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers.
The price went way below a recently broken resistance.
With the absence of impactful fundamental news,
the market may continue falling for now.
2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily.
Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance.
I will look for selling from that.
Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher.
3️⃣ #NZDJPY 4H time frame 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Before an Australian interest rate decision at night,
the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan.
I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
I think that growth will resume soon
4️⃣ #CADCHF 4H time frame 🇨🇦🇨🇭
The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start
of a new bullish wave.
A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Silver Holds Near $32.60 on CeasefireSilver hovered around $32.20 per ounce during Tuesday’s Asian session, easing for a third consecutive day as safe-haven demand faded. The hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, announced by U.S. President Trump after a call with President Putin, tempered market uncertainty and weighed on silver’s appeal.
However, losses were limited following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and a series of weak economic data, including CPI, PPI, and retail sales. These reinforced expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, likely starting in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool projections.
Strong industrial demand, especially from the solar sector, continues to support silver’s longer-term outlook. Markets now look for upcoming Fed speeches for further direction.
XAG/USD faces resistance at $32.50, with higher levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slips with Ceasefire HopesGold declined below $3,320 per ounce as hopes for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine reduced the appeal of safe-haven assets. The drop followed a statement by US President Donald Trump announcing that both nations had agreed to "immediate" talks, potentially without US involvement, after a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
On Monday, gold had gained 0.6% in response to Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, which raised concerns about long-term debt sustainability. However, with geopolitical tensions easing and investors awaiting fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials, gold reversed course.
XAU/USD now finds resistance at $3,250, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support is seen at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956.
Pound Climbs Above $1.336 on Strong UK DataThe British pound rallied past $1.336, reaching a one-week high and inching closer to its April peak of $1.34. The move was fueled by renewed optimism after the UK and EU reached a comprehensive post-Brexit agreement covering energy cooperation, defense partnerships, and fisheries rights through 2038.
Supporting the pound further, recent UK data exceeded expectations. GDP rose 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% annually, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut interest rates aggressively. Although rate reductions remain on the table, the strength of the economic rebound gives policymakers more flexibility.
Despite some concerns about rising unemployment and slowing wage growth, the upbeat GDP print has helped offset fears of an impending recession. Meanwhile, the US dollar continued to weaken following Moody’s credit downgrade, providing additional support to the pound.
GBP/USD now faces resistance at 1.3450, with higher targets at 1.3550 and 1.3700. Support is located at 1.3160, followed by 1.3000 and 1.2960.
US Credit Downgrade and Brexit Progress Lift EuroThe euro approached the $1.13 mark on Tuesday, extending its rebound from the one-month low recorded on May 12. The rally followed a broad-based weakening in the US dollar after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade sparked investor concerns about long-term US economic stability and pressured dollar-denominated assets.
The EU and UK finalized a provisional agreement addressing key post-Brexit issues such as defense, fisheries, youth mobility, and security cooperation. The deal may pave the way for UK companies to participate in major EU defense projects, marking a potential turning point in EU-UK relations.
The European Central Bank is expected to initiate a rate cut in June, with additional easing possible later in the year. Despite these expectations, the euro has held firm, buoyed by both geopolitical developments and dollar weakness.
EUR/USD now faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside barriers at 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support lies at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
Yen Steadies on US Credit DowngradeThe Japanese yen held firm near 144 per dollar, marking its fourth straight session of gains, bolstered by a weaker US dollar in the wake of Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The move, prompted by fiscal concerns and rising deficits, dented dollar confidence globally.
Despite this, Japan’s own economic data weighed on sentiment, with GDP shrinking by 0.2% in Q1, its first contraction in a year and worse than anticipated. Investors are also closely watching the upcoming Japanese trade data with concerns about the impact of potential new US tariffs. A third round of US-Japan trade talks is set to begin in Washington by the end of the week, led by Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa.
USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at 148.60, with higher levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support is seen at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
EURNZD Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone (1H Chart)✅ 1. Market Context & Structure Analysis
The pair (EUR/NZD) was in a short-term downtrend before forming a higher low, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
A W-shaped structure is visible, suggesting a double bottom around the 1.8960–1.8970 zone.
The price has bounced multiple times from the demand zone (green box), confirming strong buying interest.
The recent price action shows the market respecting structure with a clean impulse–correction–impulse pattern, creating a potential continuation leg.
📍 2. Entry Criteria
Entry Price Range: 1.8960 – 1.8970
Why?
This area coincides with a tested support zone, from where price previously rallied.
The current pullback to this area presents a low-risk buying opportunity.
Candlestick confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) would further validate the entry.
🔐 3. Stop Loss (Risk Management)
Stop Loss Placement: Below 1.8930
Reasoning:
Keeps SL below the structure low and the demand zone.
If price breaks this level, it invalidates the bullish setup and prevents deeper losses.
🎯 4. Take Profit Levels (Targets)
TP1 -1.9050 Minor resistance / partial booking
TP2 -1.9100 First key resistance zone
TP3 -1.9140 Swing high and strong supply area (red zone)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1:2.5 to 1:3+
You can trail your stop as price moves toward these levels.
📊 5. Technical Confluences
✅ Support Zone: Price bounced multiple times from 1.8960
✅ Bullish Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows are forming
✅ Chart Pattern: Double bottom / W-pattern breakout potential
✅ Fibonacci (optional): The zone may also align with a 61.8% retracement (not shown but often observed)
⚙️ 6. Trade Management Strategy
🔄 Partial Exit: Book 50% profits at TP1
⏫ Trail SL: Move SL to entry after TP1 hit to make trade risk-free
🔚 Full Exit: At TP3 or if strong bearish reversal candle forms near resistance
⚠️ 7. Risk Disclaimer & Notes
Avoid overleveraging. Only risk 1–2% of your capital.
Reconfirm the trade setup during the London or early NY session for better volatility.
News events (like RBNZ or ECB speeches) could increase volatility — always check the economic calendar before entry.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – Is the “Death Triangle” About to Break Down?Hey everyone, looking at the 8H chart, we can see that gold is tightening inside a narrow triangle – a sign of both consolidation and a potential major breakout coming soon. However, what's worth noting is that the price structure leans toward a bearish breakout, as gold continues to form lower highs and gets repeatedly rejected around the $3,250 resistance zone – which also aligns with the upper edge of the triangle.
Below, the long-term ascending support line is under significant pressure. If sellers maintain control and push the price below this trendline, the next potential target could be the $3,080 zone – aligning with the most recent swing low and acting as a possible support area.
Summary:
The $3,250 zone is the “checkpoint” to watch for selling pressure. If the price fails to break above this level, the downtrend is likely to continue.
The lower edge of the triangle is the “lifeline” for buyers. If it breaks, the likelihood of a deeper drop increases significantly.
What’s your take on this setup? Let’s share our views and spot the best trading opportunities together!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 20/05/2025Flat opening expected in nifty in consolidation zone of 24950-25050 level. No major changes in yesterday's levels. Any strong rally only expected after breakout or breakdown of this zone. Upside bullish rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 25050 level this upside rally can goes upto 25250+ level in today's session. Any major downside rally possible below 24950. Downside 24750 level will act as a strong support for today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(20/05/2025)Today will be flat opening in index. Currently index trading in the consolidation zone. Upside movement can expected if banknifty sustain above 55550 level in today's session. Similarly, Downside expected below 55450 level. Downside 55050 will act as a strong support for today's session.
Is Gold About to Enter a Sharp Downtrend?Hey traders, looking at the chart, it’s quite clear that gold is currently undergoing a clean technical pullback – with the main objective being to fill the GAP around the $3,200 zone. This area is a strong confluence with the EMA34, and also marks a level where decisive selling pressure was previously observed.
Technically speaking, the overall structure remains bearish. Gold is still neatly confined within the descending channel, and recent rebounds appear to be nothing more than setups for sellers to "reload." The EMA34–EMA89 continue to serve effectively as dynamic resistance, and price action is already showing signs of fading bullish momentum as it approaches this key barrier.
The market is also responding to growing concerns over new U.S. tax policies, combined with a waning sense of defensive positioning. From my observations and feedback from various sources, the general sentiment leans toward gold continuing to weaken in the short term – not because of any sudden shock, but due to a lack of compelling bullish catalysts.
AVAX/USDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AVAX/USDT for a buying opportunity around 21.00 zone, AVAX/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 21.00 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Ripple is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XRPUSDT for a buying opportunity around 2.28 zone, Ripple is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.28 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TradeCityPro | INJUSDT Best Position Among Altcoins! 👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive in and analyze one of my favorite coins in the cryptocurrency space, INJ, which is showing strong potential. We’ll check the new entry triggers together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
On the weekly time frame, I see that the seventh period is stable, INJ, and compared to the majority of altcoins that have their own low price levels, it is in a better space and is engaged in its own supports!
After breaking the primary trend ceiling, namely 9.28, we experienced a sharp upward movement and formed a historical ceiling at $53, and after forming a distribution box and breaking the important floor of 16.20 and pulling back to it, we experienced a continued decline.
Currently, we’ve bounced from the key support at 6.54 and experienced a 90% move, which highlights the importance of this resistance. If we form a higher low above 6.54, the 13.54 trigger will be excellent for a spot buy, and I’ll personally add another buy position at that level.
📉 Daily Time Frame
On the daily time frame, our trend is completely bearish as you can see, and the events are completely accompanied by the formation of a downward bottom and top, but we are likely to suffer for a while.
After getting rejected from 34.16 and forming a box between 20.16 and 25.93 and losing the bottom, it made a move and then while pulling back with low volume and the next conversion to red, it became an inverted Sharpe, we experienced a decline!
After breaking the daily trendline and activating its trigger at 8.54, we saw a move and got stuck at the 10.32 resistance. After forming a higher low, we moved up to 13.76. Currently, the 13.76 trigger, and even better, 16.25, can serve as our futures long and spot long triggers, respectively. We’re still holding the position opened at 10.32.
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
STYRENIX PERFORMANCE LTD – Near Resistance 🔍 Technical View:
Multiple BOS/CHoCH indicate structure shift
Strong low formed at ₹2,100 zone
Demand zones tested & respected between ₹2,400–₹2,600
RSI near breakout level (~70), indicating building momentum
📌 Trade Plan (Positional Swing):
Buy above: ₹3,010 (Breakout + closing confirmation)
Stoploss: ₹2,860
Target 1: ₹3,180
Target 2: ₹3,450
Sell below: ₹2,850 (If resistance holds or breakdown happens)
AUDCHF: More Growth Ahead 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF strongly reacted to a rising trend line on a daily.
The price formed an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H time frame
and is now breaking its horizontal neckline.
I expect a bullish continuation to 0.540 / 0.543 levels.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For This Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.1250 - 1.1295 area
Resistance 2: 1.1368 - 1.1381 area
Resistance 3: 1.1420 - 1.1427 area
Resistance 4: 1.1510 - 1.1574 area
Support 1: 1.1051 - 1.1093 area
Support 2: 1.1085 - 1.1089 area
Support 3: 1.1073 - 1.1078 area
Consider these zones for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?
🧠 Macro Overview
This week’s trading landscape is influenced by both European and U.S. developments:
EU Side: There are no major macroeconomic releases ahead, but expectations are growing that the ECB may adopt a more dovish tone in upcoming meetings. If inflation continues to cool, the euro may face downside pressure.
U.S. Side: Last week’s CPI and PPI data showed signs of cooling inflation, yet not enough for the Fed to shift gears. The U.S. dollar remains supported by the prospect of “higher for longer” interest rates.
Global Sentiment: Ongoing U.S.–China tensions and trade policy updates in Europe are keeping risk appetite cautious. The EUR/USD pair is testing a key zone and may break out of the descending channel soon — or reject hard if buyers fail to hold.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
EUR/USD bounced strongly from the 1.1160 – 1.1180 demand zone and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1237 — a confluence of descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the 1H chart.
A clean breakout above and sustained hold of 1.1237 could pave the way toward higher resistance levels at 1.1270 and 1.1325.
However, if the pair gets rejected at 1.1237, it may fall back to test the lower support at 1.1160 – 1.1180, possibly forming a range before a larger move.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels:
1.1237 → Key confluence zone (EMA200 + trendline)
1.1270 → Previous swing high
1.1302 – 1.1325 → Upper resistance zone with Fibo confluence
🔻 Support Levels:
1.1180 → Immediate demand area
1.1160 → Critical trendline support
A break below 1.1160 could trigger stronger bearish momentum
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout Above 1.1237
🔹 Entry: 1.1240 – 1.1250
🔹 SL: 1.1210
🔹 TP: 1.1270 → 1.1302 → 1.1325
2. Bearish Rejection at 1.1237
🔻 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1225
🔻 SL: 1.1255
🔻 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1160
3. Buy-the-Dip at Key Support
🔹 Entry: 1.1165 – 1.1170
🔹 SL: 1.1135
🔹 TP: 1.1200 → 1.1230
⚠️ Key Notes:
Avoid entering trades during chop between 1.1215 – 1.1237 unless breakout confirmation appears.
Be cautious of liquidity grabs during London and NY session opens.
Stick to tight risk management as market remains uncertain and range-bound.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a decision point. Whether bulls take control or sellers defend key resistance will determine short-term trend direction. Trade the breakout or the reaction — not the prediction.
Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊
📊 Market Overview:
✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include:
✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold.
✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge.
✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH).
📉 Technical Analysis:
✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout.
✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist.
✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163
🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288
💰 Trading Strategy for Today:
✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout & Bullish Continuation🔍 Overview
The EUR/USD pair has presented a classic and high-probability trading setup based on a symmetrical triangle formation, which recently experienced a bullish breakout. This pattern has formed after a period of compression and consolidation, creating a coiled spring scenario. Technical traders often watch for such breakouts as they signal the resumption of momentum with clear entry, stop-loss, and target zones.
This chart combines pattern recognition, key price action levels, psychological curve mapping, and structured trade planning. Let’s dive deeper into each component.
🧱 1. Chart Structure and Pattern Analysis
🔷 Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern formed when price action contracts between two converging trendlines.
This represents market indecision — both buyers and sellers are cautious, gradually narrowing the price range.
In this setup, the triangle has been forming since May 11, 2025, with a visible tightening of price action.
The chart shows well-respected upper and lower trendlines, confirmed with multiple touches on both sides.
🔼 Breakout Confirmation
A breakout occurred from the triangle's upper boundary around May 19, with a strong bullish candle closing above the structure.
Breakouts from symmetrical triangles often lead to sharp movements due to built-up pressure during the consolidation phase.
The volume typically expands at breakout zones (although volume is not displayed, price behavior implies it).
🔁 Retesting Area
Price may revisit the broken trendline (previous resistance → now support) for a retest before continuing higher.
This "retesting area" provides an ideal entry for those who missed the initial breakout.
Retests validate the breakout and confirm buyer strength.
🧱 2. Key Levels and Market Dynamics
🔻 Minor Resistance Zone (~1.13700–1.14100)
This zone has previously acted as a supply area where sellers pushed price down multiple times.
Price may hesitate or range within this area before breaking higher.
If bulls maintain control, breaking through this resistance zone will add confirmation to the bullish momentum.
📈 Target Projection: 1.14662
The target is derived by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
It also aligns with a previous horizontal resistance level and psychological round number area.
This zone could act as a medium-term profit-taking level for swing traders.
🧠 3. Black Mind Curve – Market Psychology in Play
The "Black Mind Curve" is a representation of anticipated market sentiment and price flow.
It reflects a wave-like journey post-breakout — early breakout, pullback, bullish continuation, minor consolidation, and final push toward the target.
Such curves are used to forecast crowd behavior patterns, capturing how traders typically react post-breakout:
📌 Initial breakout ➜ Profit taking ➜ Retest ➜ Re-entry ➜ Final impulsive move.
🧮 4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Trade Setup
Entry:
Breakout Entry (already active)
OR Retest Entry near the triangle’s upper boundary for conservative traders.
Stop-Loss (SL) :
Placed just below the triangle’s lower boundary at 1.11726.
This level invalidates the breakout and prevents deeper drawdowns.
Take-Profit (TP):
Final target at 1.14662, offering excellent risk-to-reward potential.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Depending on the entry (breakout or retest), the RR can range from 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, which is ideal for swing or short-term position traders.
📚 5. Educational Insight
This pattern illustrates the importance of:
Price compression zones (triangles and wedges) as precursors to momentum trades.
Confirmation via breakout candles before entering high-conviction setups.
Patience during retests, which allow re-entries with defined risk and improved pricing.
Blending technical structure with psychological forecasting to stay aligned with market sentiment.
🔚 Conclusion
EUR/USD is showing a technically sound and psychologically supportive setup for bullish continuation. The symmetrical triangle has broken with strength, and price is heading toward key resistance with momentum.
If you're already long — consider holding until the target is hit or trailing stops to protect profits. If you're not in yet — watch for a retest to join the move with precision.
🔔 Always remember to manage risk effectively. No setup is guaranteed, but trading based on structure, confluence, and price behavior improves your edge