Silver Retreats on Semiconductor TensionsSilver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment.
Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward.
Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Technical Analysis
Gold Slides Toward $3,220Gold fell to approximately $3,220 per ounce, on track for a weekly loss of more than 3% as appetite for the precious metal diminished with easing global trade tensions. The 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China reduced fears of a drawn-out trade war, while geopolitical concerns also eased with a stable India-Pakistan ceasefire.
Talks between Russia and Ukraine are losing momentum. Although soft U.S. inflation data has reinforced expectations for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, Fed Chair Powell cautioned that future inflation may be volatile due to persistent supply shocks.
Key support is located at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956. Resistance levels are seen at $3,250, then $3,300 and $3,350.
Pound Gains on Strong UK GDPThe British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum.
GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.
Yen Strengthens Despite Japan’s Q1 ContractionThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 145 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth straight day, despite Japan’s economy shrinking by 0.2% in the first quarter, worse than forecasts. While the Bank of Japan acknowledged the risks posed by U.S. trade policies, it remains confident that rising wages and prices will support eventual policy normalization. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, with Japan insisting that any deal must include the auto sector and that the 25% U.S. tariff on Japanese cars be removed.
Resistance is noted at 148.60, with further barriers at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support levels lie at 139.70, 137.00, and 135.00.
NZDJPY: Strong Bullish Signal 🇳🇿🇯🇵
I spotted a nice example of the application of SMC trading
with multiple time frame analysis on NZDJPY pair.
After a test of a significant daily demand zone,
first, we see a liquidity grab where the price went beyond
the underlined zone.
A consequent bullish imbalance and CHoCH confirm
a real strength of the buyers and indicate a highly probable
bullish continuation.
Next goal - 86.43
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ENDURANCE – Breakout from Supply Zone | Target ₹2136 ⚙️ ENDURANCE TECH LTD (NSE:ENDURANCE)
Time Frame: 15min / 1 Hour
📊 Trade Type: Positional / Intraday Momentum
📌 Buy Zone: ₹2042 (Above supply zone breakout)
🎯 Target 1: ₹2136
🎯 Target 2: ₹2287
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1915
📈 CMP: ₹2022.60
📌 Chart Insights:
✅ Strong volume breakout from horizontal resistance
✅ Cleared EMA 9/13/26 crossover
✅ RSI > 60 indicates bullish momentum
✅ Bollinger Band breakout (BB %B > 1.00)
✅ Breaking above pivot R2 zone (₹2042) opens room to R3
⚠️ Strategy:
Enter on confirmation above ₹2042 with volume support on 15min or 1H timeframe.
Stop loss below breakout candle or EMA cluster around ₹1915.
Trailing stop as it approaches targets.
For Education Purposes Only
EICHERMOT (NSE) – Bullish Setup on 15min & 1H🔑 Trade Plan:
📥 Buy Above: ₹5485 (above current resistance & candle body highs)
🎯 Targets:
T1: ₹5527 (Pivot R1)
T2: ₹5555
🛡️ Stop Loss: ₹5380 (below 13 EMA & Supertrend support)
📊 Technical Signals:
RSI: 58.08 – Bullish momentum, still room to run
%B (BB): 0.77 – Close to breakout from upper band
EMA Crossover: 9 EMA > 13 EMA – Short-term bullish crossover confirmed
Supertrend: Support at ₹5322, aligning with bullish reversal
Volume: Spike during recent green candles signals strong buying interest
⚙️ Strategy Notes:
Use 15min chart for entry timing post breakout
Tighten SL to cost after T1 hits
Ideal for short-term intraday/swing traders
For Education Purposes Only
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/05/2025)Flat opening in banknifty. After opening if any downside movement can goes reversal from 55050 level. Strong upside rally expected if banknifty starts trading above 55550 level. This upside rally can goes upto 55950+ level in today's session. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Jamie Dimon Warns of Possible Recession
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that a U.S. recession remains a real possibility amid ongoing uncertainty from the Trump administration's tariff policies. Speaking at JPMorgan’s Global Markets Conference in Paris, Dimon stated that while he hopes a recession can be avoided, it should not be ruled out.
💵 Stablecoin Legislation May Bolster U.S. Dollar
U.S. policymakers are advancing legislation to regulate dollar-linked stablecoins, aiming to reinforce the strength and global status of the U.S. dollar. The proposed Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025 (GENIUS Act) seeks to regulate stablecoins and their issuers, potentially anchoring the dollar's influence in the global financial ecosystem.
🏠 The Great Property Sell Fest Begins in India
The Great Property Sell Fest, a first-of-its-kind property festival in the Indian real estate market, is scheduled to take place from May 16 to 18, 2025. The event will be hosted across key locations including Gurugram, Noida, and Panipat, offering a unique platform for homeowners looking to sell their properties at premium prices.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 16:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for April
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
$U $20 support, flagging in ascension Interesting setup here. Looks pretty good IMO. Software is a great name to look at in this market environment. It has a nice support at $20, even at large volume here it’s holding nicely so it shows relative strength. This name is definitely bullish long term. I’m in $21.5c for 2 weeks out, this is a high IV% name. Can run 10% in a day, 20% in a week, etc. We will see how it plays out.
WSL.
Gold Price Action Analysis – 1-Hour ChartThis 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) illustrates recent price action using key technical concepts such as Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH). The chart shows a clear downtrend with marked supply and demand zones, trendlines, and potential reversal areas. Price is currently consolidating near a support zone around the 3,190 level, with indications of market indecision. This setup may signal a potential breakout or continuation move, depending on how price reacts to the highlighted zones and trendline resistance.
NIFTY Resumes Its Bullish TrendHello traders! Today we will talk about an Indian stock market exchange NIFTY 50, as we see nice and clean pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
As you can see, NIFTY is in an impulsive bullish rise on the weekly basis, which looks like a higher degree wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse by Elliott wave theory.
After recent corrective slowdown in subwave (4), which perfectly tested channel support line and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement, we can now see it extending even higher, ideally for subwave (5) of a higher degree wave 3 that can push the price even up to 28k-30k area this year, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
LINK/USDT is Nearing The UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring LINK/USDT for a buying opportunity around 15.20 zone, LINK/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 15.20 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SHYAM METALICS – Breakout Zone Alert Price is approaching a key resistance zone (~₹950) after breaking out of a descending channel with strong volume and RSI confirmation.
This setup indicates potential bullish continuation.
📌 Trade Plan:
Buy above ₹955
Stoploss: ₹915
Target 1: ₹1,010
Target 2: ₹1,065
Sell below: ₹915 (only if price rejects resistance with volume)
Reasoning:
Price broke long-term downtrend
Strong volume and RSI > 60
Clean resistance breakout in sight
For Education Purposes Only
Silver Eases Despite Weaker DollarSilver slipped below $31.90 on Thursday, pressured by easing safe-haven demand after the U.S. and China agreed in Switzerland to cut tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively for 90 days. While the deal briefly lifted sentiment, uncertainty looms over what comes next.
The drop in geopolitical tensions has also dampened expectations for aggressive Fed cuts. However, weak U.S. inflation data from earlier this week supported silver by softening the Dollar and improving its appeal to international buyers.
Silver faces resistance at $32.50, followed by $33.80 and $34.20. Support is found at $31.40, with lower levels at $30.20 and $29.80.
Risk Appetite Weighs on GoldGold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
Risk Appetite Weighs on GoldGold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
UK Data in Focus as Pound Tests 1.3300GBP/USD trades near 1.3280 early Thursday, recovering recent losses as the dollar softens with ongoing trade policy discussions. Optimism over reduced U.S. tariffs on British goods like cars and steel helps strengthen the appeal of the Pound.
However, weaker UK employment data and slow wage growth may increase pressure on the BoE to consider further easing. Traders now await UK Q1 GDP and U.S. CPI data. Despite global uncertainties, improving trade conditions have reduced bets on aggressive Fed cuts, with markets now pricing a 74% chance of a 25 bp cut in September instead of July.
The pair faces resistance at 1.3320, with higher levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support sits at 1.3160, then 1.3000 and 1.2960.
Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve StatusEUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.
Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.
EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
GBPUSD: Bearish Move Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bearish after a release of UK GDP this morning.
I see a strong bearish imbalance after a test of a key horizontal resistance
and a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH as a confirmation.
I expect a bearish continuation at least to 1.3224
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US Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Setup in PlayThe market has spoken and it’s whispering a potential bullish breakout .
As seen in the chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out from a short-term consolidation zone after forming a solid base near the 99.00 region. Currently, it's retesting a minor support level (highlighted by the yellow horizontal line).
Key Observation:
Price is holding above this support zone with strength. If this level holds, I anticipate a continuation to the upside as marked by the white arrow.
Target: The next major resistance zone lies near the 103.00 area, where price previously reversed. This becomes the logical next stop if the bullish momentum continues.
What I’m Watching:
Reaction from the current support zone
Strength of buyers stepping in
Any fundamental catalysts from USD-related news/events
In trading, it's not about predicting, it's about preparing. This chart reflects a classic "break-and-retest" scenario often seen before major moves.
Let’s see how this plays out over the coming days.