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Trading Setup for CHF/USD – Triple Bottom Breakout Strategy📌 Chart Pattern: Triple Bottom with Trendline Breakout This CHF/USD chart showcases a triple bottom formation, a bullish reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after three consecutive lows at a strong support level. The price action respects this support zone and attempts a trendline breakout, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 📊 Full Chart Breakdown & Professional Analysis 1️⃣ Key Levels & Structure: ✅ Support Level (1.1300 - 1.1270): The price has tested this region three times, indicating strong buying interest. This forms a triple bottom, a reliable reversal pattern in technical analysis. ✅ Resistance Zone (1.1400 - 1.1420): The price previously reversed from this zone, making it a key short-term resistance level. ✅ Target Level (1.1457): A breakout above resistance could drive the price toward this measured move target, representing a 1% potential gain. ✅ Stop Loss (1.1269): Placed below the support zone to minimize risk in case of a breakdown. 2️⃣ Price Action & Trendline Breakout: 📌 Triple Bottom Formation: Price hits the same support level three times, signaling strong demand. Each bounce from support indicates a gradual weakening of bearish momentum. 📌 Trendline Breakout: The price broke a downward-sloping trendline, suggesting a potential bullish move. A successful retest of the trendline could confirm further upside. 📌 Expected Move: Scenario 1: Price confirms the breakout, retests, and moves toward resistance. Scenario 2: If resistance is broken, price targets the next major level at 1.1457. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? 🎯 Buy Entry: Enter long after a confirmed breakout and retest of the trendline. 📉 Stop Loss: Below 1.1269 (beneath triple bottom support) to limit downside risk. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: Target 1: 1.1400 (Resistance Area) Target 2: 1.1457 (Measured Move Projection) 💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:3, making it an attractive setup for traders. 4️⃣ Market Psychology Behind This Move: Bears losing strength: Multiple failed attempts to break support indicate sellers are exhausted. Bulls gaining momentum: Trendline breakout shows buyers are stepping in with confidence. Breakout confirmation: If resistance breaks, a strong rally toward 1.1457 is likely. 📌 Summary: Bullish CHF/USD Trade Idea 🔹 Pattern: Triple Bottom + Trendline Breakout 🔹 Entry: Buy on retest confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1269 🔹 Target: 1.1400 & 1.1457 🔹 Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3 setup 🚀 This is a high-probability trade setup with strong technical confirmation, making it a great opportunity for breakout traders! 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Full Professional Analysis1. Introduction to the Chart Pattern The JPY/USD chart on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe displays a well-defined Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. This pattern signals the potential end of the previous uptrend and the beginning of a downward move. A Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components: Left Shoulder: The price rallies to a peak, then retraces. Head: The price rises higher than the left shoulder, marking the highest point before declining. Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish strength. Neckline: The horizontal support level that, once broken, confirms the bearish trend. 2. Key Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The blue box at the top represents the resistance area, where price action was repeatedly rejected. This indicates strong selling pressure at this level, preventing further bullish momentum. 🔹 Support Level (Neckline) The horizontal blue line acts as the support level or neckline of the H&S pattern. Price has tested this area multiple times, confirming it as a crucial level for trend continuation or reversal. 🔹 Trend Line (Dynamic Support) The black dashed trend line represents the previous uptrend, which provided support before being violated. The break of this trend line suggests a weakening bullish structure and increased chances of a bearish move. 3. Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern Initial Uptrend: The market was in a strong uptrend before forming the Head & Shoulders pattern. Buyers pushed the price higher, making higher highs and higher lows. Formation of Left Shoulder: Price reached a peak and then retraced, forming the left shoulder as sellers entered the market. Formation of the Head: A strong rally followed, breaking the left shoulder’s peak and reaching a new high, forming the head. However, buyers started losing momentum, leading to another retracement. Formation of Right Shoulder: The price made another attempt to move upward but failed to surpass the head’s high, forming the right shoulder. This signaled a reduction in bullish strength and potential trend exhaustion. Neckline Breakdown (Bearish Confirmation): The price dropped below the neckline (support level), confirming a bearish reversal. This is the official entry signal for traders looking for a short setup. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Trading Setup 📉 Bearish Confirmation Steps: Neckline Retest: The price might retest the broken neckline before continuing downward. Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Look for rejection signals like bearish engulfing or shooting star formations. Volume Increase on Breakdown: Strong selling pressure confirms the trend continuation. 🎯 Potential Take Profit Levels: 1️⃣ Target 1 (TP1): 0.006492 – This is a short-term support level, where the price might pause before further decline. 2️⃣ Target 2 (TP2): 0.006430 – A stronger support zone, where sellers may take profits. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement: A stop-loss should be placed above the right shoulder to protect against false breakouts. This ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions ✅ Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the neckline for a higher probability short trade. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ideally, aim for 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability. ✅ Market Catalysts: Be cautious of fundamental news events, as they can cause unexpected volatility. 6. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for JPY/USD 🔸 The Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown suggests a strong bearish trend reversal. 🔸 If the neckline holds as resistance, a short trade offers a high-probability setup. 🔸 Price may reach TP1 first, then potentially extend to TP2 if selling pressure persists. 📢 Final Verdict: Bearish trend confirmed; watch for short opportunities on retest. 📊 TradingView Tags: #JPYUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakout #ShortTrade
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart. 📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) 🔹 What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside. 🔹 Key Observations in the Chart The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows. The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone. A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action. Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 📊 Important Technical Levels 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here. 📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level. 📈 Trading Strategy & Setup 🔹 Entry Confirmation To enter a long position, traders should wait for: ✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout). ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case. A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move. 🔹 Target Price Projection Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000. This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone. Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone. This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility. 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry around breakout level (~$87,000) Target: $118,000 (35% upside) Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside) Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup. 📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment Why This Pattern Matters? A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally. Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs. Potential Risks ❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt. ❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action. ❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move. 🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup ✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside. ✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up. ✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection. 🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop. Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD – Triple Top Formation & Bearish Breakdown Potential📌 Overview of the Chart This chart presents the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe, highlighting a classic Triple Top pattern. The Triple Top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It signals that buyers have attempted to push the price higher multiple times but failed, indicating weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is crucial for traders as it often precedes a trend reversal. The breakdown below the neckline (support level) confirms that selling pressure is taking over, leading to a potential decline. 📊 Identifying the Triple Top Formation A Triple Top pattern consists of three peaks (Top 1, Top 2, and Top 3) at nearly the same resistance level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its formation: 🔹 Step 1: Price Uptrend Leading to Resistance Before the pattern develops, the price follows a strong uptrend with buyers dominating. The price reaches a key resistance level and faces rejection (Top 1), signaling initial weakness. 🔹 Step 2: Repeated Attempts to Break Resistance After pulling back slightly, buyers make another attempt to break through resistance (Top 2), but fail again. This signals that sellers are actively defending this price zone. 🔹 Step 3: Final Rejection & Breakdown Setup The third attempt (Top 3) fails to break resistance once more. This repeated rejection confirms a Triple Top formation. The price then moves toward the neckline (support level), which is a critical area for the bearish breakdown. 📉 Trading Setup & Execution Strategy ✅ Entry Point – When to Open a Short Position? A short position is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline with a strong bearish candlestick. A breakdown with high volume strengthens the bearish confirmation. Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the broken neckline before entering. ❌ Stop Loss Placement – Managing Risk The stop loss should be placed above the highest peak ($3,039.076), ensuring protection against false breakouts. If the price moves above this level, the Triple Top pattern fails, and the bearish setup is invalidated. 🎯 Profit Targets – Where to Exit? After the breakdown, price action usually follows a measured move based on the height of the pattern. The following target levels are identified: 1️⃣ First Target: $3,000.962 → A key support level where price may pause. 2️⃣ Second Target: $2,991.766 → A deeper support area that aligns with the price projection from the pattern. Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive opportunity for short sellers. 📈 Confirmation Signals to Strengthen the Setup To increase the probability of a successful trade, look for additional confirmations: 🔸 Volume Analysis: A spike in selling volume at the neckline breakdown suggests strong bearish conviction. Low volume breakdowns may indicate a false move, requiring extra caution. 🔸 Retest of the Neckline: Sometimes, after breaking below the neckline, the price retests the level before continuing downward. This provides a secondary entry opportunity for traders who missed the initial breakdown. 🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: If RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows bearish divergence, it adds confidence to the downside move. Momentum indicators like MACD crossing bearish further confirm selling pressure. 📍 Key Considerations & Risk Management 🔹 False Breakout Risk: If price bounces back above the neckline after the breakdown, it could be a false move. Waiting for confirmation reduces this risk. 🔹 Macro Fundamentals: Gold prices are sensitive to economic news, interest rates, and geopolitical events. Unexpected fundamental shifts can impact the pattern’s reliability. 🔹 Trailing Stop Strategy: To protect profits, traders can use a trailing stop-loss, adjusting as the price moves toward targets. 🔍 Summary & Trading Plan 📊 Pattern: Triple Top (Bearish Reversal) 📉 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup) 🛠️ Entry: Sell below neckline confirmation 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $3,000.96 Target 2: $2,991.76 🚨 Stop Loss: Above $3,039 💡 Final Thoughts The Triple Top pattern on XAU/USD suggests a high-probability bearish setup. A confirmed neckline breakdown signals selling pressure, with price targets well-aligned with historical support zones. Patience and confirmation are key—watch for a clean breakdown or a potential retest before entering. Would you like any modifications or additional insights? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Adyen (ADYEN) – Technical Analysis and 1W OutlookTechnical Analysis Adyen's stock is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout. The recent price surge confirmed the pattern's breakout, but a correction toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level (1457.2 EUR) is possible, acting as a key buying zone. Key Levels: Resistance: 1720.8 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci), 2311 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci) Support: 1457.2 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci), 1081.8 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci) Target: 2838 EUR Indicators suggest a potential continuation of the uptrend: MACD is signaling bullish momentum Stochastic indicates a possible correction before further upside Fundamental Analysis Adyen is a leading player in the payment technology sector, serving major companies like Uber, Spotify, and Microsoft. Key Factors Impacting the Stock: Financial Performance: Recent earnings reports showed revenue growth driven by increased payment volumes. Macroeconomics: Lower inflation and potential interest rate cuts could benefit the tech sector. Competition: Pressure from PayPal and Stripe remains a key risk. Adyen maintains bullish potential following the triangle breakout. The 1457-1500 EUR zone is crucial for trend confirmation, with a possible long-term target at 2838 EUR. However, a short-term correction remains possible.
EURONEXT:ADYENLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Wingstop Inc. (WING) 1WTechnical Analysis 1W The chart shows a breakout of the weekly uptrend line, signaling potential further downside. Key Levels: -Support: 206.49 USD (0.382 Fib), 152.93 USD (0.236 Fib), 66.36 USD (0 Fib) - Resistance: 249.78 USD (0.5 Fib), 293.07 USD (0.618 Fib), 354.70 USD (0.786 Fib) Indicators suggest weakness. Fundamental Analysis: Wingstop specializes in chicken wings. Key Factors: - Financials: Revenue growth, but high valuation increases correction risk - Macroeconomics: Interest rates impact consumer spending - Competition: Pressure from McDonald's and KFC Conclusion: A break below 152.93 USD could lead to 66.36 USD. Bulls need a recovery above 249.78 USD for trend reversal.
NASDAQ:WING
by TotoshkaTrades
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 24–28, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Inflation Data 📈: The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February on Friday, March 28. This index, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase, maintaining a 2.5% year-over-year growth. These figures will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments. 🇬🇧💼 UK's Spring Statement and Economic Outlook 💼: Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to deliver the UK's Spring Statement to Parliament this week, addressing revised growth forecasts and fiscal policies. The Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to lower growth estimates, potentially impacting global markets, including the U.S., due to economic interlinkages. 🇨🇳📊 China's Manufacturing and Services PMIs 📊: China will release its official Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) for March on March 28. These indicators will provide insights into the health of China's economy, with potential implications for global trade and U.S. markets. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Monday, March 24: 🏭 S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET) 🏭: Forecast: 51.5 Previous: 52.7 This index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. 📅 Tuesday, March 25: 🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 🛒: Forecast: 95.0 Previous: 98.3 This index measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions, with higher readings indicating greater confidence. 🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏘️: Forecast: 679,000 annualized units Previous: 657,000 This report indicates the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month, reflecting the health of the housing market. 📅 Wednesday, March 26: 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Forecast: -1.0% Previous: 3.2% This data reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity. 📅 Thursday, March 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Forecast: 226,000 Previous: 223,000 This report provides the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market. 📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth Previous: 2.3% This release provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024. 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Forecast: 1.0% Previous: -4.6% This index measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales. 📅 Friday, March 28: 💵 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💵: Forecast for Personal Income: 0.4% Previous: 0.9% Forecast for Personal Spending: 0.6% Previous: -0.2% This report indicates changes in personal income and spending, providing insights into consumer behavior. 💹 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💹: Forecast: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year Previous: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year This index measures changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, serving as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. 🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️: Previous: 592 rigs This report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the oil and gas industry's activity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
1
EUR/USD | Bearish Breakdown & Retest | Short Setup EUR/USD VIP Short Setup | Smart Money Move 🔥📉" Chart Analysis: Ascending Channel Breakdown: EUR/USD broke below a well-respected bullish channel, signaling a potential downtrend. Retest & Resistance: Price is currently retesting the broken structure near 1.08565, a key resistance zone. Sell Confirmation: The rejection at this level suggests bearish momentum. Target: The next major support lies at 1.06513, aligning with previous price action levels. Trading Plan: ✅ Entry: Around 1.08155 - 1.08565 (after rejection confirmation) ✅ Take Profit: 1.06513 ✅ Stop-Loss: Above resistance for risk management Summary: Smart money is eyeing this short trade after a strong bearish breakout. A retest of resistance gives a prime entry for sellers. 📉🔥
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY Premium Trade Setup | High-Probability Short OpportunityKey Elements in the Chart: Uptrend Channel: The price was moving inside an ascending channel but recently broke downward. Resistance Zone: Marked near the 150.000 level, indicating a key rejection area where sellers are strong. Sell Zone: A potential short-selling opportunity is identified around 149.300 after a breakdown from the channel. Support Zone: Located around 148.500, where the price may find temporary buying interest. Target: The final target for the bearish move is near 147.000, suggesting a further downside potential. Trading Idea: Bias: Bearish (selling opportunity after a trendline break) Entry: Near 149.300 (confirmed rejection) Target: 147.000 Risk Management: Stop-loss can be placed above the resistance area. This setup suggests that USD/JPY may continue its downward move after failing to sustain the uptrend. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
BTC/USD Trading Analysis – Double Bottom & Rising Wedge BreakoutThis BTC/USD 4-hour chart showcases a potential bullish breakout setup based on technical patterns, key support and resistance levels, and price action analysis. The chart suggests a trend reversal following a downtrend, with signs of bullish momentum building up. Let's break down the full technical analysis, covering the chart structure, key levels, price patterns, and trading strategy. 1. Market Structure & Identified Patterns A. Double Bottom Reversal – Strong Bullish Signal A double bottom pattern has formed, which is a bullish reversal signal that indicates the end of a downtrend. This pattern consists of two significant low points (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) near the $80,000 - $81,000 support zone. The pattern confirms strong buying interest at this level, preventing further price drops. A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern’s validity, signaling a move toward higher targets. B. Rising Wedge Formation – Potential Bullish Breakout The price action is consolidating in a rising wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing range. A rising wedge often suggests a potential breakout. Since this wedge forms after a double bottom, the breakout is expected to be bullish, rather than a bearish breakdown. If the price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline, it will confirm a strong upward momentum. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Levels: Major Support Zone (80,000 – 81,000): This level has been tested twice, confirming buyer strength. It serves as the foundation for the double bottom pattern. Stop Loss Level (72,921): If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup. This level is strategically placed to manage risk and protect against potential downturns. Resistance Levels: First Resistance Zone (95,000 – 100,000): This is a critical level, as the price has faced multiple rejections here. A breakout above this zone would confirm a strong bullish trend continuation. Take Profit Targets: TP1 (108,481): The first take-profit target aligns with previous highs and is a logical point for partial profit booking. TP2 (114,372): This is the second profit target, calculated based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price movements. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan A. Entry Strategy To execute a successful trade, we need to wait for confirmation of the breakout. Ideal Entry: After a strong breakout above 95,000 – 100,000, indicating bullish momentum. Confirmation Factors: Increased trading volume → Signals strong buying interest. Candle close above resistance → Confirms breakout. Retest of broken resistance as support → Strengthens bullish continuation. B. Risk Management Stop Loss Placement: Below 72,921, ensuring limited downside risk. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup aims for a 1:3 or better risk-to-reward ratio. C. Potential Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks and holds above 95,000 – 100,000, we can expect a rally toward 108,481 (TP1) and 114,372 (TP2). ❌ Bearish Rejection: If BTC fails to break resistance, it could retest 80,000 or drop lower, invalidating the bullish setup. 4. Final Thoughts – What to Expect? This BTC/USD 4-hour chart analysis provides a high-probability bullish trade setup, supported by: ✅ Double Bottom Formation → Strong Reversal Signal ✅ Rising Wedge Breakout Potential → Momentum Building ✅ Key Resistance Breakout Levels Identified 📌 Conclusion: If Bitcoin breaks above 95,000 – 100,000, expect a major bullish move toward 108,481 and beyond. However, if resistance holds, we might see a retest of lower support levels. Risk management is essential for a successful trade execution. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Breakdown SetupThis chart presents a bearish trading setup for GBP/USD on a 4-hour timeframe from OANDA. Key Observations: Ascending Channel Breakdown: GBP/USD was previously trading inside an ascending channel, but it has now broken below support, signaling a potential downtrend. Retest Level: The price is currently retesting the broken support at 1.29645, which may act as a new resistance. Resistance Zone: The key resistance level is at 1.30261, marking the last swing high before the breakdown. Bearish Target: The expected downside target is at 1.26827, aligning with a previous demand zone and support level. Trading Plan: Entry: Consider short positions after rejection from the 1.29645 retest. Stop Loss: Place above 1.30261 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: First target at 1.26827, with the possibility of further downside. Market Outlook: If the price fails to reclaim the broken support and starts dropping, it could confirm a bearish trend continuation, making this a strong short setup.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months. A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal. The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline. 2. Retest Zone Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below. This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support. The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down. 3. Market Structure & Momentum Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure. A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area) Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown) Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+) Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift ⚠️ Key Watch Levels Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest) Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move) Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
(XAU/USD) Forming a Bearish Reversal–Key Short Setup Unfolding!Chart Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation The chart shows a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bearish reversal setup. The head is the highest peak, while the two shoulders form lower highs on both sides. The price has already broken below the neckline, indicating a sell opportunity. Key Levels: Resistance Levels: $3,055.29 – Major resistance $3,046.10 – Key level near recent highs $3,030.58 – Short-term resistance where price is currently retesting Support Levels (Potential Targets): $2,981.18 – First support level $2,939.81 - $2,931.99 – Strong demand zone $2,881.49 – Major support level Trade Setup: Entry: The price has broken below the neckline and is currently retesting the breakdown zone (~$3,030.58). If the retest holds, it confirms a sell entry opportunity. Target: First target near $2,981.18 Second target around $2,939.81 - $2,931.99 Final target at $2,881.49 for a deeper correction Stop-Loss: A stop-loss above $3,046.10 to minimize risk Market Sentiment: The break below the neckline and a possible rejection at the retest area suggest further downside potential. If buyers push the price above $3,046.10, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. This setup presents a high-probability short trade if confirmation follows through after the retest. Traders should monitor price action around the retest zone before entering a position. 🚨📉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD; Resistance 1: 1.0944 - 1.0955 area Support 1: 1.0804 - 1.0834 area Support 2: 1.0598 - 1.0630 area Support 3: 1.0515 - 1.0533 area Support 4: 1.0359 - 1.0377 area Support 5: 1.0727 - 1.0290 area Support 6: 1.0717 - 1.0240 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/JPY Chart Analysis - Falling Wedge Target with Bullish SetupThis EUR/JPY 1-hour chart reveals a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal formation. Additionally, we see key support and resistance levels, a double bottom, and a breakout potential that traders can use to plan an entry. Let’s dissect this chart in a professional and detailed manner to understand the trade setup and market psychology. 🔹 Market Trend & Structure Analysis The market was previously in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows, until it faced strong resistance at the 163.500 level. Upon reaching this zone, the price reversed downward, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, which resulted in a falling wedge pattern. This downward movement was accompanied by a trendline break, signaling a shift in momentum. The price has since reached a strong support level and is showing signs of potential bullish reversal. 🔹 Key Technical Patterns & Indicators 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge is a pattern characterized by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, indicating that selling pressure is weakening. This pattern is considered a bullish signal because: ✔️ The declining price movement shows exhaustion of sellers. ✔️ Volume typically decreases as the wedge forms, indicating a breakout is coming. ✔️ Once price breaks out of the wedge, a strong bullish move often follows. The key here is to wait for a breakout above the upper trendline, which will confirm the bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Double Bottom Formation at Support (Reversal Confirmation) The price tested the 160.500 support level twice, forming a double bottom pattern. This is another bullish sign, as it indicates: ✔️ Buyers are actively defending this level. ✔️ There’s strong demand around this price zone. ✔️ If price breaks above the wedge resistance, it could trigger a significant rally. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels Identifying support and resistance is crucial for defining entry and exit points. ✅ Support Levels: 160.500 – Strong horizontal support (Price tested this twice). 158.982 – Stop-loss level (Below this, the bullish setup is invalid). ✅ Resistance Levels: 163.500 – Major resistance (Previous high and supply zone). 165.090 – Final target (Key breakout level). If the price successfully breaks out of the wedge, it has room to rise significantly, with 163.500 as the first target and 165.090 as the ultimate goal. 🔹 Trade Setup & Execution Plan 🎯 Bullish Breakout Trade Strategy Since this setup signals a potential reversal, here’s how traders can execute a high-probability trade: 🔹 Entry Points: ✅ Aggressive Entry: Enter as soon as price breaks above the wedge resistance. ✅ Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout and a retest of the resistance-turned-support before entering. 🔹 Target Levels: 🎯 First target: 163.500 (Previous resistance level). 🎯 Final target: 165.090 (Major resistance zone). 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement: ❌ Place the stop loss below 158.982, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup. 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Justification 📈 Why This Trade Has a High Potential Reward? Low-risk, high-reward: The stop loss is tight, while the upside potential is large. Confluence of bullish signals: Falling wedge + Double bottom + Strong support. Institutional interest likely: Buyers are stepping in at key levels. A proper risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this trade would be at least 1:3, meaning for every 1% risk, there’s a 3% profit potential. This makes it a great swing trading setup. 🔹 Market Psychology Behind the Setup The falling wedge represents a market correction after a strong bullish trend. The double bottom shows that sellers are exhausted and buyers are gaining control. If price breaks out, many traders will enter, triggering a strong upward rally. This bullish breakout setup aligns with the smart money concept, where institutions accumulate positions before a big move. 🔹 Final Thoughts & Trade Outlook This EUR/JPY setup presents a high-probability trade opportunity with a bullish breakout scenario. The combination of: ✅ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish reversal) ✅ Double Bottom at Support (Buyers stepping in) ✅ Key Resistance Targets (Clear trade exit points) …creates a great trading setup. 📌 Trading Plan Summary: ✔️ Buy on breakout above the falling wedge. ✔️ Target 163.500 & 165.090 for profits. ✔️ Stop-loss below 158.982 for risk management. 🚀 If executed correctly, this trade has the potential for strong bullish momentum. Would you like a real-time update once the price confirms the breakout? Let’s keep an eye on this trade! 📊🔥
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD Trading Setup – Triple Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup🔍 Overview of the Chart Setup The CHF/USD (Swiss Franc vs. U.S. Dollar) 1-hour timeframe chart reveals a classic Triple Bottom pattern, which is a well-known bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that sellers have attempted to break the support level three times but failed, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watch this structure as it often leads to a strong upward breakout once key resistance levels are breached. The current setup provides an excellent risk-to-reward trading opportunity, especially for those looking to capitalize on the breakout. 📊 Key Levels in the CHF/USD Chart 1️⃣ Support and Resistance Zones 🟢 Support Level (~1.1300 - 1.1280 Zone) This zone has been tested three times, confirming strong buying interest at this price level. The formation of long wicks on candlesticks signals strong demand and buyer dominance. A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. 🔴 Resistance Level (~1.1415 - 1.1430 Zone) This level acts as a price ceiling, where previous bullish attempts were rejected. A break and retest above this zone would confirm the Triple Bottom breakout. 🎯 Target Level (~1.1457 Zone) The projected target is based on the height of the pattern, which is measured and added to the breakout point. This level aligns with previous price action zones and acts as a natural take-profit area for traders. 🚨 Stop-Loss Level (~1.1243 Zone) A stop-loss is placed below the support zone to protect against false breakouts or an invalidation of the pattern. 📉 Understanding the Triple Bottom Pattern The Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal formation that occurs at the end of a downtrend. It signals that sellers are exhausted, and buyers are gradually taking control. 🔹 Breakdown of the Triple Bottom Formation ✅ Bottom 1 (First Low) The first bottom forms when the price hits the support level and bounces back. Sellers are still active, so price declines again to test the same support zone. ✅ Bottom 2 (Second Low - Confirmation of Support) The second test of the support zone validates the demand area. Buyers step in again, pushing the price upward. The market still lacks enough momentum for a breakout, leading to a third retest. ✅ Bottom 3 (Final Low and Strong Rejection) The third bottom is crucial because it signals the last test of support before a breakout. The failure to break lower creates a higher probability of an upside move. 📌 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action Signals 🔵 The breakout is confirmed when: The price closes above the resistance zone (1.1415 - 1.1430) with strong momentum. Volume spikes during the breakout, indicating institutional buying interest. A successful retest of the resistance zone as new support further validates the trend reversal. If the breakout lacks volume or gets rejected, traders should be cautious of a fakeout or potential retracement. 📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 🔹 Conservative Entry (Safe Approach) Enter after a confirmed breakout above 1.1415, ensuring a strong candle close above resistance. Look for a retest of the breakout level before entering the trade. 🔹 Aggressive Entry (Early Positioning) Enter near the third bottom (~1.1300 - 1.1320) with a tight stop-loss. Higher risk but better reward if the price moves upward without retesting. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement Conservative traders: Place the stop-loss below the support zone (~1.1243). Aggressive traders: Place a tight stop below the recent swing low for better risk management. 📌 Profit Target Projection Take Profit Target: 1.1457, based on the height of the pattern. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Risk: ~60 pips (from entry to stop-loss). Reward: ~150 pips (from entry to target). Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3, making it a high-probability trade. 📡 Additional Confirmation Indicators for Stronger Trade Setup 📊 1. Volume Analysis A spike in volume at the breakout level suggests strong buyer interest. Low volume on the breakout may indicate a potential fakeout. 📈 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Confirmation RSI should be above 50 and trending upward to confirm bullish momentum. If RSI is overbought (>70), watch for a pullback before entering the trade. 📉 3. Moving Averages Support If the 50-period or 200-period moving average supports the breakout level, it adds extra confirmation. A moving average crossover may further validate the trend reversal. 🔍 4. Beware of Fake Breakouts If the price briefly moves above resistance but fails to hold, it may be a bull trap. Always wait for a candle close above resistance and a potential retest before confirming the entry. 🛠️ Alternative Scenarios & Market Risks 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Breakout & Rally to Target) Price breaks above 1.1415, confirming a trend reversal. A retest of resistance as support gives additional buying confidence. Price reaches 1.1457 target before facing new resistance. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Fakeout & Breakdown Below Support) Price fails to hold above resistance and falls back below support. A breakdown below 1.1243 invalidates the pattern, triggering a bearish continuation. Traders should cut losses quickly if the setup is invalidated. ⚠️ Fundamental Risks to Watch U.S. Dollar news events (FOMC, NFP, CPI reports) can increase volatility. Swiss economic data may impact CHF strength. Unexpected geopolitical events can influence currency movements. 🔎 Summary of the Trading Plan 📌 Trading Strategy Checklist ✅ Pattern: Triple Bottom (Bullish Reversal). ✅ Entry Strategy: Buy after breakout confirmation above 1.1415. ✅ Take Profit Target: 1.1457. ✅ Stop-Loss Level: Below 1.1243. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (High-Profit Potential with Proper Risk Management). 💡 Final Thought: This setup provides a high-probability bullish trade with strong technical confluence. However, always remain cautious of market news, economic reports, and sudden volatility that could influence price action. 🚀 Patience & discipline are key—wait for confirmation before entering! 📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Trading Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyChart Overview The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a classic falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup indicating that selling momentum is weakening and a breakout to the upside is imminent. This chart provides a structured trading plan, highlighting support and resistance levels, entry points, stop-loss placement, and a target price. Traders can use this setup to capitalize on the potential bullish move while effectively managing risk. Let’s break it down step by step. 1. Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern A falling wedge is formed when price action moves within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge. It signals decreasing bearish pressure, as the price forms lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing range. The decreasing range indicates that sellers are losing control, and an upside breakout is likely. In this chart, we observe the following key characteristics of a falling wedge: ✅ Two converging downward trendlines that contain price movement. ✅ Lower highs and lower lows showing seller exhaustion. ✅ Decreasing volume as the price approaches the breakout zone. ✅ Support near 1.08000, which has held price several times before. A breakout above the wedge signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, making this a strong trade setup. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔹 Support Level (Demand Zone) The horizontal blue zone at 1.07898 – 1.08000 is a critical support level. This level has been tested multiple times, making it a strong demand zone where buyers step in. The falling wedge bottom aligns with this area, reinforcing its importance. If price stays above this zone, it confirms the potential for a bullish breakout. 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The resistance zone at 1.09300 - 1.09839 has acted as a barrier to upward movement. Price previously reversed from this zone, making it a logical take-profit area. If the breakout happens, this level will be tested again. A break above 1.09839 would signal further bullish momentum. 3. Trading Strategy – Step-by-Step Execution 📌 Entry Confirmation To enter this trade with confidence, traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge. A strong bullish candle breaking above the wedge’s upper trendline signals entry. Ideally, a pullback and retest of the breakout level would provide additional confirmation before entering long. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement Risk management is key, and stop-loss placement should be strategic to avoid unnecessary losses. A stop-loss is set just below 1.07898, slightly under the recent low. This placement ensures protection against false breakouts. 📌 Take-Profit Target The take-profit target is set at 1.09839, aligning with key resistance and the projected wedge breakout distance. This level has historically acted as resistance, making it an ideal zone to exit profits. Partial profit-taking can be considered near 1.09300, before the final target. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio With a tight stop-loss and a higher profit target, this trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio (RRR). A minimum RRR of 1:3 is recommended, meaning potential reward is three times the risk taken. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Possible Scenarios 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀 If price breaks and closes above the wedge, we expect a rally towards 1.09300 - 1.09839. Pullback to retest the breakout zone would further confirm bullish strength. Strong volume would validate the breakout, leading to a high-probability move. 📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Invalidation) ❌ If price breaks below 1.07898, the bullish setup is invalidated. A downside move could push the price lower, possibly towards 1.07500 or below. Traders should exit long positions if this scenario unfolds. 5. Additional Technical Indicators for Confirmation To strengthen this trade setup, traders can use: ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Look for RSI divergence or a move above 50, confirming bullish strength. ✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – A bullish crossover on MACD would reinforce the breakout. ✅ Volume Analysis – A spike in volume at the breakout level adds confidence in the move. 6. Conclusion & Trading Plan This falling wedge setup suggests a high-probability bullish breakout if the price confirms above the resistance zone. 🔹 Trading Plan Summary: ✅ Wait for a breakout above the wedge before entering. ✅ Confirm breakout with a retest or strong bullish candle. ✅ Set stop-loss below 1.07898 to limit downside risk. ✅ Take profit at 1.09839, securing profits at resistance. This strategy offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a well-structured trade setup. Always manage risk and avoid premature entries without confirmation. 📌 TradingView Tags for Maximum Visibility #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #Breakout #PriceAction #ForexSignals #SupportResistance #TradingSetup #DayTrading #SwingTrading
Long
by GoldMasterTrades