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GOLD BUY NOW! TA & FA confirmed!SAXO:XAUUSD Technical Analysis gives us clue for GOLD to move higher and higher. We can see in M30 chart that bullish pennant already made and GOLD continue to make a breakout movement. In H4 chart we can see a trendline resistance also already tested. Now GOLD just test a fibbo daily resistance at 2675-2677. Confirm BUY if it's body in H4 already break it. As middle east war remain in uncertainty and Syria President's Assad knocked down, also Russia - Ukraine potentially cause more intentions, investors looking for safe haven assets like GOLD. We also must remember that Trump Supply Side Economic will take control again and it gives optimism in US macro-economic conditions. Inflation currently in path to go down 2.00% but Trump second era would potentially increase inflation for a longer projection. Although now investor and traders in CME bet 86% for FED Cut Rate this month and this is something that makes GOLD moves higher Any idea? just leave your comment below. Thanks
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by vicariuzchrist
What Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use ThemWhat Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use Them in Trading? Leading indicators are essential tools for traders aiming to analyse market movements. This article explains what leading indicators are, how they work, and their practical application across different asset classes. Read on to discover how tools like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, On-balance Volume, and Fibonacci retracements can enhance your trading strategy. What Are Leading Technical Indicators? Technical indicators are divided into leading and lagging. Leading indicators in trading are tools used to identify potential price movements before they occur. Lagging indicators confirm trends after they begin, helping traders validate price movements. The difference between leading and lagging indicators is that leading indicators aim to give traders an edge by signalling when a new trend or reversal might be on the horizon while lagging indicators confirm trends after they've developed. Leading trading indicators work by analysing price data to identify patterns or extremes in buying and selling behaviour. For instance, popular leading indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator measure momentum in a market. These indicators help traders spot overbought or oversold conditions, where RSI tracks recent price movements relative to historical performance, while the Stochastic Oscillator compares a security's closing price to its price range over a set period. However, it’s important to note that leading indicators can produce false signals, meaning they may suggest a price move that doesn’t materialise. Because of this, traders often combine them with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, or use them alongside lagging indicators to validate the signals they receive. Types of Leading Indicators in Trading Leading indicators are divided into various types, each serving a unique role in analysing potential market movements. Three common types include momentum indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators: - Momentum Indicators: These track the speed or rate of price changes. They are used to assess the strength of a trend and determine potential reversals when the momentum slows. Momentum indicators help traders when an asset is overbought or oversold. - Oscillators: These indicators fluctuate between fixed values (usually 0 and 100) to reflect the market’s current momentum. They help traders pinpoint potential reversals by highlighting when an asset is overbought or oversold. Oscillators are particularly useful in range-bound markets where price movement is confined within support and resistance levels. - Volume Indicators: These focus on the amount of trading activity, rather than price movement. By analysing the flow of volume in or out of an asset, traders can gauge the strength behind price movements. Increasing volume in the direction of a trend often confirms its continuation, while the divergence between volume and price can indicate potential reversals. Below, we’ll take a look at a list of leading indicators. If you’d like to explore these indicators alongside dozens more, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular leading indicators examples. RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps traders evaluate the strength of an asset’s price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, it measures the speed and change of price actions over a set period—typically 14 candles—on a scale from 0 to 100. The primary signals RSI produces revolve around overbought and oversold conditions. When the indicator breaks above 70, it suggests that an asset may be overbought, reflecting the potential for a reversal or correction. Conversely, when RSI falls below 30, it signals that an asset may be oversold, which can indicate a potential recovery. These thresholds provide traders with insight into whether the price has moved too far in one direction and is poised for a change. RSI can also highlight trend reversals through divergence. If the price of an asset continues to rise while the RSI drops, it indicates bearish divergence, signalling potential weakening momentum. On the other hand, bullish divergence occurs when the price falls, but the RSI rises, suggesting that the downward trend may be losing strength. Another useful RSI signal is when it crosses the 50-level. In an uptrend, RSI remaining above 50 can confirm momentum, while in a downtrend, staying below 50 reinforces bearish sentiment. However, RSI is not foolproof. During a strong trend, the indicator can signal overbought or oversold for a long while and lead to false signals. This is why it’s often paired with other indicators to confirm signals. Stochastic Oscillator The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum-based indicator that assesses the relationship between an asset's closing price and its price range over a specific number of periods, typically 14. It consists of two lines: the %K line, the primary line, and the %D line, which is a moving average of %K, providing smoother signals. This oscillator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and those below 20 signalling oversold conditions. Traders utilise these signals to determine potential reversals in price. For example, when the oscillator rises above 80 and then drops below it, a potential sell signal is generated. Conversely, when it falls below 20 and climbs back above, it might indicate a buy opportunity. The Stochastic Oscillator also provides crossover signals, where the %K line crosses above or below the %D line. A bullish crossover occurs when %K rises above %D, indicating that upward momentum may be increasing. A bearish crossover happens when %K falls below %D, suggesting that momentum is shifting downward. In addition to overbought/oversold and crossovers, the Stochastic Oscillator can identify divergence, which signals potential trend reversals. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the oscillator shows a higher low, indicating a weakening downward momentum. On the other hand, a bearish divergence happens when the price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high, suggesting the uptrend might be losing steam. While the Stochastic Oscillator can be powerful in range-bound markets, it can be prone to false signals in trending markets. On-Balance Volume (OBV) On-Balance Volume (OBV) is an indicator that tracks the flow of trading volume to assess whether buying or selling pressure is dominating the market. It was introduced by Joseph Granville in 1963, and its primary concept is that volume precedes price movements. This makes OBV a useful tool for analysing potential trend reversals. While the absolute value of OBV is not crucial, its direction over time provides insight into the market’s underlying sentiment. OBV offers several key signals: - Trend Direction: A rising OBV supports an upward price trend, indicating strong buying pressure, while a falling OBV reflects a downtrend with selling pressure. - Divergence: Traders use OBV to identify a divergence between price and volume. If the price is making new highs while OBV is falling, it suggests a weakening trend, potentially signalling a reversal. Conversely, rising OBV with falling prices can hint at a potential bullish reversal. - Breakouts: OBV can also be used to spot potential breakouts. For instance, if OBV rises while prices are range-bound, it may indicate an upcoming upward breakout. However, like any indicator, OBV has limitations. It can produce false signals in choppy markets and is used alongside other technical tools, such as Moving Averages or support and resistance levels, to improve reliability. Fibonacci Retracement Fibonacci retracements are a technical analysis tool that helps traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels during price fluctuations. The tool is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers that produce key ratios like 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent levels where the price of an asset might retrace before continuing its trend. Traders apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting two extreme points on a price chart, such as a recent high and low. The tool then plots horizontal lines at the Fibonacci levels, indicating possible areas where the price might pause or reverse. For example, in an uptrend, a price pullback to the 38.2% level could signal a buying opportunity if the trend is likely to resume. Fibonacci retracements are often used in conjunction with other indicators, such as the MACD or RSI, to confirm signals and enhance reliability. While they provide valuable insight into potential turning points, it's crucial to remember that these levels aren't guarantees—prices may not always behave as expected at these points, especially in volatile markets. How Traders Use Leading Indicators in Practice Traders use leading indicators to gain insights into potential price movements before they occur, helping them position themselves early in a trend. Here’s how leading indicators are typically applied: - Identifying Overbought or Oversold Conditions: Indicators like RSI or Stochastic Oscillator are used to spot extreme price levels. When these indicators signal that a market is overbought or oversold, traders analyse the situation for potential trend reversals. - Combining Indicators for Confirmation: It’s common to pair multiple leading indicators to strengthen signals. For example, a trader might use both the RSI and OBV to confirm momentum shifts and avoid acting on false signals. - Spotting Divergences: Traders look for divergence between an indicator and price action. For instance, if prices are rising, but the indicator is falling, it can suggest weakening momentum, signalling a potential downward reversal. - Clear Entry and Exit Points: Leading indicators often provide clear entry and exit points. For instance, the Stochastic Oscillator signals a bearish reversal and entry point when it crosses back below 80, with traders typically exiting the trade when the indicator crosses above 20. Likewise, Fibonacci retracements can provide precise levels where a trend might stall or reverse. Potential Risks and Limitations of Leading Indicators for Trading While leading indicators offer valuable insights into potential price movements, they come with risks and limitations. - False Signals: One of the biggest challenges is that leading indicators can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets. For instance, an indicator might signal a reversal, but the price continues in its original direction, leading traders to take positions prematurely​. - Limited Accuracy in Trending Markets: It’s common that in strong trends, such indicators remain overbought or oversold for extended periods, causing traders to misinterpret momentum. - Overreliance on One Indicator: No single indicator is foolproof. Relying heavily on one without considering other factors can lead to poor decisions. Traders need to combine leading indicators with other tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines to validate signals​. - Lagging in Fast-Moving Markets: Even though they are called "leading" indicators, they can sometimes lag in rapidly changing markets. By the time a signal is generated, the opportunity may have already passed​. The Bottom Line Whether trading forex, commodities, or the stock market, leading indicators offer valuable insights to help traders anticipate potential price movements. By combining these tools with a solid strategy, traders can better navigate market conditions. To start implementing these insights across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of our high-speed, low-cost trading conditions. FAQ What Are the Leading Indicators in Trading? Leading indicators are technical analysis tools used to determine potential price movements before they happen. Traders use them to anticipate market shifts, such as reversals or breakouts, by analysing price momentum or trends. Common examples include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Fibonacci retracement levels. What Are the Three Types of Leading Indicators? The three main types of leading indicators for trading are momentum indicators (e.g., Momentum (MOM) indicator), oscillators (e.g., Stochastic), and volume indicators (e.g., On-Balance Volume). These tools help determine market direction by assessing price action or trading volume. Is RSI a Leading Indicator? Yes, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a leading indicator. Considered one of the potentially best leading indicators for day trading, it measures momentum by comparing recent gains and losses, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions before potential reversals. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
4
GOLD--> Consolidation. Waiting for new move to change trend.OANDA:XAUUSD mild fluctuations on Friday and a second consecutive weekly decline were recorded. Accordingly, the precious metal lost approximately 0.5% this week, after hitting its lowest level since November 26 at the start of the trading session. So, do you wonder what factors have impacted XAUUSD? Talking About Influencing Factors: The sentiment among short-term traders and technical positioning in the gold market has clearly cooled, with efforts underway to find momentum to improve sentiment in the short term. Throughout the day, gold showed little reaction to the much-anticipated employment data of the week. The latest report revealed that although job growth remains relatively stable, cracks in the U.S. labor market have begun to emerge, suggesting potential vulnerabilities. Regarding U.S. monetary policy, midweek, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that the U.S. economy is stronger than it was in September and adopted a more cautious stance regarding rate cuts. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, with two rate cuts already this year, traders predict a 68% probability that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points at its December 17–18 meeting. Theoretically, it remains unclear whether gold can sustain an uptrend as prices approach a strong resistance level. Talking About Technicals: Gold is currently in a sideways trend, so we are considering trading within the range's boundaries. Our focus is on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2615. At this point, gold is heading toward the upper zone of interest. A false breakout of the main resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling area may lead to a price decline toward the lower boundary of the sideways range. Assess, share your thoughts and questions, and let’s discuss what’s happening with OANDA:XAUUSD :))
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
TradeCityPro | CFXUSDT Analysis: Don’t Fear the Red Candles!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive into the first day of the week where we’ve seen red candles and minor corrections. This is a good time to review our coins and prepare our triggers. 🌍 Market Overview Before analyzing CFX, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin. It faced a strong rejection at 100,400 and printed a significant red candle. But what should we do in such cases? For now, nothing. The trend remains bullish, and Bitcoin dominance is also correcting. If Bitcoin’s dominance continues to drop and forms a lower high on the daily timeframe while the market remains bullish, keep an eye on the charts for potential altcoin entries. This scenario could signal the start of a bull run. 🕒 Weekly Time Frame CFX stands out as an older coin with prior bull-run experience. It’s trading above last year’s lows and hasn’t experienced steep declines. Yesterday, we analyzed this coin briefly, but today, we’ll go into more detail. Unlike most altcoins that began their bullish moves from their lowest levels, CFX has already started its upward trajectory from 0.1219. Fibonacci analysis shows that 0.1219 aligns with the 50% retracement level—a significant support both in Fibonacci terms and Dow Theory. After forming a range around this level and breaking the 0.1810 trigger, the coin moved toward its first target at 0.2596. For further targets, use Fibonacci extensions from the same 0.5 range. Once 0.5171 is broken, potential targets include 0.7385, 1.21, and 2.26. If you entered at 0.181, holding your position is advised. For re-entry, consider buying after the 0.2596 breakout with a stop-loss at 0.1219. RSI confirmation above 76.18 would also validate the entry. 📊 Daily Time Frame On the daily chart, CFX was in a ranging box, forming higher lows. A breakout above 0.1851 was accompanied by a strong entry candle with buyer momentum, an RSI entry signal, and volume confirmation. Stop-loss was set at the daily low of 0.14. If you followed this trigger, you’re likely in profit despite the current red daily candle. This correction is healthy, as an uptrend without pullbacks or red candles is often unsustainable. For re-entry, consider buying after the 0.2596 breakout with a stop-loss at 0.14. Alternatively, a pullback to 0.1851 with confirmation from a bullish candle could also provide a good entry point. 🕒 4-Hour Time Frame Let’s discuss how you could have entered positions earlier. After the 0.1905 breakout, a bullish engulfing candle (covering the prior two candles) marked the entry trigger. The stop-loss was set below the previous low, ensuring a secure long position with a good risk-reward ratio. But would you really use a 14% stop-loss in futures trading? Yes, in volatile conditions like this, a larger stop-loss ensures safety and increases win rates. It’s better to risk 1% with higher win rates than repeatedly hit small stop-losses, which could harm your trading psychology. 📈 Long Position Trigger wait for the 0.2596 breakout or RSI returning to its range, coupled with momentum confirmation in lower timeframes. In bullish markets, an RSI recovery from oversold levels and breaking above 30 can also serve as an early long trigger. 📉 Short Position Trigger For shorts, I still advise against them. For example, shorting the 0.2412 breakdown with a stop-loss at 0.2596 would’ve only offered a 1:1 risk-reward ratio, going against the primary trend. 💡 BTC Pair Insight Against Bitcoin, CFX has held its 0.00000164 support and found strength. After breaking the 0.00000294 trigger, the coin is expected to deliver its main moves in the USDT pair. If the market remains bullish, CFX could showcase significant upward momentum. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
4
TradeCityPro | EURAUD : A 627-Day Consolidation Zone👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I want to review the EURAUD forex pair for you. The analysis is conducted on the daily timeframe. 📅 On the daily timeframe, the pair has been ranging between the support level of 1.60295 and the resistance level of 1.68538 for a very long time. The duration of this range has now reached 627 days. 🧩 Currently, the price is facing resistance at 1.65286, and if this resistance is broken, it could move toward the top of the box. A break of 66.57 on the RSI could introduce bullish momentum into the market and increase the likelihood of breaking this resistance. 📈 If the price reaches the top of the box, the resistance at this level is 1.68538, which is a very strong resistance. If this level is broken, the next area to watch is 1.72457. 🔽 In the event of a decline, the first area of support is at the bottom of the box. If this level is broken, the next support is at 1.58785, which is close to the bottom of the box. The major support levels to watch after that are 1.56542 and 1.52961. ✨ Considering the prolonged duration of this box, if it breaks on either side, it could act like a compressed spring, moving sharply and powerfully in the direction of the breakout. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
2
#BTC - Is the bull run over?Is the bull run over for #BTC? As I mentioned in my last post, I don't think BTC is ready for a more ample correction, only once we reach the extended zone of 105-108k There are multiple confluences that sustain this hypothesis: 1. On the Pitchfork price touched the 1.618 low and rejected 2. All the liquidity was taken from 90-91k 3. There is now more and more liquidity forming above 104k, as people believe that the huge wick sweep signalled a change of character (reversal) 4. Looking at the Fibonacci time levels, we see multiple pivots in the past that were almost perfectly on the time levels, the next one being tomorrow Even if price keeps correcting a bit lower to 93-96k, don't be fooled and sell early, because the next sweep of highs will be very impulsive, close to inflation news.
by tamastery
2
Pfizer Ltd. - Short Position AnalysisChart Overview: The chart indicates that the stock is in a clear downtrend, following a descending channel pattern. The price is nearing a key horizontal support level (marked in black), and a breakdown below this level may present a shorting opportunity. Trade Setup for Short Position: 1.Entry Trigger: Below ₹5,028 on a daily closing basis. 2.Targets: Target 1: ₹4,885 (first demand zone). Target 2: ₹4,760 (strong support and lower boundary of the descending channel). 3.Stop Loss: Above ₹5,187 (recent swing high and red-dotted resistance level). 4.Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable ratio of at least 1:2. Alternate Scenario: If ₹5,028 holds as support, the stock might see a pullback toward ₹5,187, where selling pressure could resume.
NSE:PFIZERShort
by AngshumanSaikia
Polycab India Ltd. - Short Position SetupAnalysis for Short Position Condition: 1.Key Breakdown Level: ₹7,282 is a critical horizontal support level. A decisive breakdown below this level could trigger a bearish move. 2.Volume Profile Analysis: Below ₹7,282, the volume profile shows limited buying interest until ₹6,997, suggesting a potential drop to this level. Further weakness could see the stock test ₹6,746, where significant buying activity has previously occurred. 3.Trendline Breakdown: The stock is trading within an ascending channel. A breakdown below ₹7,282 will confirm the failure of this channel, indicating a trend reversal. 4.Moving Averages: The 20-day EMA is currently acting as dynamic support near ₹7,282. A breakdown will likely push the stock toward the 50-day EMA around ₹6,997. The 200-day EMA near ₹6,746 is a long-term support level to monitor. 5.RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is neutral but could head toward oversold levels if the breakdown occurs, strengthening the bearish view. 6.Volume Confirmation: Watch for an increase in sell-side volume during the breakdown for confirmation. Trade Plan for Short Positions: Entry Trigger: Below ₹7,282. Targets: Target 1: ₹6,997 Target 2: ₹6,746 Stop Loss: Above ₹7,438 (previous high near resistance). Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure an ideal ratio of at least 1:2 for the trade. Alternate Scenario: If ₹7,282 holds and the stock bounces, the immediate upside resistance is ₹7,654, above which the stock may resume its bullish trend.
NSE:POLYCABShort
by AngshumanSaikia
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd. - Technical Analysis UpdateSupport and Resistance Zones: 1.Key Support Zone: ₹1,385-₹1,463 This zone aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 retracement level and the recent reversal point, making it a strong support. 2.Immediate Resistance Levels: ₹1,555 (Fibonacci 0.382 retracement). ₹1,630 (Fibonacci 0.5 retracement). ₹1,705 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement), a crucial level to watch. 3.Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The stock has retraced sharply from its high of ₹1,943 and is showing signs of reversal near the 0.236 Fibonacci level. A breakout above ₹1,500 could confirm bullish momentum toward higher Fibonacci levels. 4.Volume Analysis: Volume appears to be increasing near the support zone, indicating buying interest from market participants. The Volume Profile indicates strong accumulation between ₹1,400-₹1,500. 5.Moving Averages: The stock is attempting to reclaim the 20-day EMA as a dynamic support. A crossover above the 50-day EMA could signal further bullish strength. 6.RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is recovering from oversold levels, indicating a possible trend reversal. A move above 50 would strengthen the bullish case. 7.Projection: If the stock sustains above ₹1,463, it could aim for ₹1,555 in the short term and ₹1,705 in the medium term. A break below ₹1,385 would invalidate this view and could lead to further downside. Conclusion: SBI Life Insurance is poised for a potential bounce-back. Traders can consider entries near the ₹1,450-₹1,470 range, targeting ₹1,555 and ₹1,705 with appropriate stop losses below ₹1,385.
NSE:SBILIFELong
by AngshumanSaikia
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (NSE: SBILIFE) - Technical Analysis Price Action and Fibonacci Analysis SBI Life is currently trading at ₹1,628.85, which is near a crucial Fibonacci retracement level: 1. Fibonacci Levels: The price previously peaked around ₹1,935.10, forming a possible double-top pattern. It has since retraced, approaching the 50% retracement level at ₹1,624.75, a significant support zone. This level often acts as a key point for potential rebounds. Below this, the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50 is the next major support. If the price declines further, this level could provide strong support. 2. Volume Profile: The Volume Profile on the right suggests a high volume node around ₹1,450, indicating strong accumulation in this zone. This level, if reached, could serve as a significant support area and potential bounce point. 3 . Moving Averages: The stock is currently trading near the 200-day moving average (black line), which may act as a long-term support level. The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (red) moving averages are above the current price, indicating that the stock has broken below its short- and medium-term trend lines. Technical Indicators 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is showing signs of being in the lower half of its range but hasn’t reached oversold territory, suggesting there may be further downside before a potential rebound. 2. Volume Trends: There has been a significant increase in volume during the recent pullback, indicating strong selling pressure. Conclusion and Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If the stock holds the 50% Fibonacci level at ₹1,624.75 and the 200-day moving average, we could see a recovery toward the 38.2% level at ₹1,698.00, with further resistance at ₹1,788.60. Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹1,624.75 could lead the price toward the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50. A further decline might see the price test the high-volume node around ₹1,450. Trading Strategy For Long Positions: Watch for a bounce near ₹1,624.75 or ₹1,551.50 with confirmation from volume and RSI improving from lower levels. For Short Positions: A breakdown below ₹1,624.75, particularly with strong volume, could present a shorting opportunity down to ₹1,551.50 or potentially lower. Note: Always consider market conditions and use proper risk management techniques.
NSE:SBILIFE
by AngshumanSaikia
Ethereum Price Near Breakout: What's next?Hello traders, Exciting news for Ethereum enthusiasts! ETH price has surged to its highest point since March and approaching a crucial resistance level of $4,080. Breaking this resistance could pave the way for Ethereum to retest its ATH. A breakout above $4,080 could signal a strong bullish trend, potentially opening the road to $4,800. This isn't just great news for Ethereum - it could also spark momentum for other altcoins, creating more trading opportunities across the market. After touching resistance level at 4080, ETH price started to correct a little bit and can drop up to 3740 support level, from where it can resume its uptrend. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and don’t forget to boost this idea. Happy trading!
by Real_CryptoRoy
XAUUSDOver the past week, spot gold prices (XAU/USD) have shown little significant movement, continuing to trade sideways within the narrow range of 2613 to 2656. Market sentiment has weakened following U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs on certain countries. Despite the Nonfarm Payrolls report bolstering the U.S. dollar, investor sentiment remains cautious, with focus shifting to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut on December 19. Interestingly, the dollar's upward momentum mirrors gold's movements, reflecting a unique dynamic in the current market environment. Technical Analysis On the H4 timeframe, gold prices remain trapped in a sideways channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are moving in parallel and remain close together, indicating that the price is likely to continue ranging within this zone in the short term. This week, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a critical event that could act as a catalyst for breaking out of this sideways pattern. If the price breaks out, gold could either rally or fall further to key support levels at 2593-2595 and potentially deeper to 2540-2545. Key Levels to Watch BUY : 2610 - 2615 ; 2592 - 2594 SELL: 2660 - 2665 ; 2680 - 2685 Specific Trade Strategy XAU/USD SELL Zone: 2654 - 2656 Stop Loss (SL): 2659 Take Profit (TP): 2652 - 2649 Given the current sideways trend, it is advisable to wait patiently for prices to reach clearly defined support or resistance zones to maximize the risk-reward ratio. Additionally, closely monitoring this week’s CPI release will help refine strategies as the market reacts to new data. Wishing everyone a productive and successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader-Briannnn
1
GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here! The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic. A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound. From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals. What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
Long
by Bentradegold
11
USOUSD (OIL), key support remains in play Thanks for checking our latest update. Today we are looking at oil on its daily chart. The key questions we are asking today from a technical perspective are: Will we see key support continue to hold, and will the rough looking ending diagonal pattern confirm, setting off a new rally? Or could sellers finally break the discussed key support area, setting off a new leg lower? Key support: $67 - $66.50. As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market. Good trading from Eightcap.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Eightcap