Silver Slips as Fed Holds RatesSilver rose more than 1% to approach the $33 mark on Thursday, supported by renewed interest on precious metals with ongoing trade and economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, with Chair Powell citing heightened risks while dismissing the need for early rate cuts. Sentiment was also influenced by President Trump’s announcement of an imminent trade deal, reportedly with the UK, and his firm stance on maintaining tariffs against China ahead of upcoming negotiations.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.
Technical Analysis
Gold Dips Toward $3,360 as Fed HoldsGold slipped to around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, pressured by the Fed’s cautious tone after keeping rates unchanged. Chair Powell dismissed preemptive cuts and highlighted inflation and labor market risks, dampening demand for non-yielding assets. However, gold's downside was limited by trade uncertainties as Trump reaffirmed tariffs before U.S.-China talks in Switzerland.
Resistance is expected at $3,460, followed by $3,500 and $3,550. Support sits at $3,320, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,265.
GBP Steady Near $1.33, BoE Rate Cut ExpectedThe British pound hovered near $1.33 as traders awaited the BoE’s decision, with a 25 bps cut to 4.25% widely expected. Markets are also eyeing new economic forecasts for signals of further easing. While Trump’s tariff plans have stoked global slowdown fears, the UK is less exposed due to a U.S. goods surplus. A fresh trade deal with India, expected to generate £4.8 billion annually by 2040, may also cushion the economy.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels come in at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Euro Strengthens on Political ShiftsEUR/USD traded just above 1.1300 on Thursday, staying in a tight range as reduced political uncertainty in Europe and a softer U.S. dollar offered mixed cues. The euro was supported by news of Friedrich Merz becoming Germany’s chancellor, while the dollar struggled despite a hawkish Fed pause, as Powell flagged tariff-related risks. Traders are focused on Trump’s press conference at 14:00 GMT and U.S. jobless claims for near-term direction.
Resistance is seen at 1.1460, with higher levels at 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Yen Firms with BoJ CautionThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143.6 per dollar on Thursday, recovering as rising global trade uncertainty stimulated demand for gold. The move followed President Trump’s announcement of a deal with a “big” country, reportedly the UK, and his refusal to cut tariffs on China ahead of U.S.-China talks in Switzerland. U.S.-Japan negotiations continue, with Tokyo aiming to finalize a bilateral deal by June. Meanwhile, BoJ minutes showed policymakers remain open to rate hikes if inflation targets are met, though they flagged external risks from U.S. trade policy.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD, USDCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a huge head and shoulders pattern.
The price is currently testing its horizontal neckline.
Bearish breakout of that and a daily candle close below
will confirm a bearish reversal and push the prices lower.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is breaking a solid falling trend line.
Its violation is an important bullish signal that
indicates a strength of the buyers.
We can expect even more growth.
3️⃣ #NZDUSD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇳🇿
The pair is consolidating within a horizontal range.
The price is going to reach its support soon.
I suggest looking for a pullback trade from that then.
4️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price is stuck within a horizontal parallel channel.
I expect a bullish continuation within that and a test
of its upper boundary.
Then, look for a confirmation to see and try to catch a retracement from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Price Drops: A Great Buying OpportunityFenzoFx—Gold formed a new bearish wave after the price dipped below $3,360. As of this writing, XAU/USD is testing the $3,323 support, which could potentially offer a favorable entry point into the bull market.
The price will likely rise toward $3,360 if this level holds. Please note that the market outlook remains bullish as long as the price stays above the $3,323 support.
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DXY Rebounds on Fed Pause and Trade Deal Hopes.Macro approach:
- DXY edged higher, recovering earlier losses as the Fed held rates and Powell was cautious.
- Jun cut hopes faded, though markets expect three cuts this year, potentially lifting DXY short-term.
- A potential US-UK trade deal also helps ease bearish sentiment on the dollar.
Technical approach:
- DXY is hovering around the key resistance at around 100.200, confluence with EMA21, indicating a potential short-term correction.
- If DXY closes above the resistance at 100.200, the price may continue to claim to retest the following resistance at 101.800.
- Conversely, closing below the current trendline may lead DXY to retest the swing low at around 98.000.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/05/2025)Flat opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 54550 level then expected upside movement upto 54950+ level in opening session. Downside movement expected if banknifty starts trading below 54450 level. Downside 54050 level will act as an important support for today's session. Any major downside only expected below this support level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/05/2025Flat opening expected in index. After opening it will face major resistance at 24500 level. If reversal from this level can give downside movement upto 24250 support level. Strong upside rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24500 level. Currently nifty consolidating in between range of 24250-24450 levels.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 8, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 8, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Economic Uncertainty
The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%, citing concerns over rising inflation and economic risks. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a cautious approach, indicating no immediate plans for policy changes.
🤝 U.S.-China Trade Talks Scheduled
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and chief negotiator Jamieson Greer are set to meet China's economic head He Lifeng in Switzerland, marking a potential step toward resolving trade tensions. The announcement has positively influenced global markets.
📈 Record $500 Billion Share Buyback Plans
U.S. companies have announced a record-breaking $500 billion in share buybacks, reflecting growing hesitation to make capital investments amid economic uncertainty driven by President Trump's trade policies. Major contributors include Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Visa ( NYSE:V ).
⚠️ Recession Warnings from Economists
Former IMF chief economist Ken Rogoff warns that a U.S. recession is likely this summer, primarily driven by President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies. He suggests that markets are overly optimistic and not adequately accounting for the risks.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 8:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 AM ET: Continuing Jobless Claims
8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Productivity (Q1 Preliminary)
8:30 AM ET: Unit Labor Costs (Q1 Preliminary)
10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (March Final)
10:30 AM ET: Natural Gas Storage
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Thu 8th May 2025 USD/CAD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a USD/CAD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EUR/AUD Forms Bearish Lower High for Next Leg Down!Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
Ideal for swing or position-based intraday trades.
Entry Area (Supply Zone):
Price is reacting from 1.75850 – 1.75970 — strong resistance from prior structure.
Bearish Pattern:
Clear lower highs and supply test failure with rejection — confirms sellers' control.
Stop Loss:
Placed just above the resistance zone near 1.75976.
Target Zone (Demand):
Final green demand zone around 1.73880 – 1.74000 — key support and recent low.
Bearish Wave Projection:
Marked by consistent lower lows and tight bearish continuation structure.
Risk-to-Reward:
Very healthy setup with approx. 1:3+ RRR (ideal for professional entries).
==================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Natural Gas Slowed Down For A Correction Within UptrendEU Commission will propose in June banning Russian gas and LNG imports under new deals and existing spot contracts by end-2025.
Natural gas slowed down recently, but despite that retracement, we see it as an ABC correction after a potential leading diagonal formation from the lows. It actually stopped perfectly at the former wave 2 swing low and 61,8% Fibonacci support area, from where we may now see a bullish continuation, especially if it recovers back above 4.15 bullish confirmation level.
EURJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??EURJPY is currently trading around 162.800 and showing clear bullish momentum after a clean bounce off a strong support zone. Price has been consolidating above a well-established demand area, and today's candle confirms renewed buyer interest. The reaction from this level highlights a potential shift back to the upside, with 169.000 marked as the next significant target. The rejection wicks and structure suggest accumulation, with the market gearing up for a bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of better-than-expected economic data across the eurozone, while the Japanese yen continues to face broad pressure due to the Bank of Japan's dovish stance. The BOJ remains committed to ultra-loose monetary policy, which puts the yen at a disadvantage against stronger currencies like the euro, especially when inflation expectations in Europe remain sticky.
Technically, EURJPY has respected this support zone multiple times, creating a solid base of demand. Each test has been met with higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias. The price action is forming a classic support-retest continuation pattern, and if this structure holds, we could see a swift move toward 169.000. Volume and momentum indicators are also beginning to align in favor of the bulls.
Looking forward, as long as price holds above the 162.200 area, the path of least resistance remains upward. Traders will be watching for continuation signals and breakouts of minor resistance zones to confirm the move. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward structure, and with market sentiment tilting toward euro strength, EURJPY has the potential to deliver solid gains in the coming sessions.
Equity Research - TATA MOTORS LTD 📈 Buy Zone: ₹670.50 – ₹680.30
🎯 Target: ₹740.00
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹641.70
💹 CMP: ₹680.30
Technical Highlights:
✅ Bullish volume spike
✅ RSI above 60 – strong momentum
✅ Price above 20EMA & 50EMA
✅ Breakout and retest on 15m & 1H chart
✅ Good risk-reward setup
📊 Strategy: Wait for confirmation candle on 15min TF above ₹681 for entry.
📉 Stop loss below recent swing low at ₹641.70.
For Education Purposes Only
POWERGRID – Breakout Setup with Volume Spike📍 Entry Zone: ₹310.10 – ₹311.10
🎯 Target: ₹330.00
🛑 Stoploss: ₹302.00
📈 RSI has crossed above 60, volume confirms breakout momentum (🔵 arrow), and price is supported above key EMAs.
🔍 Strong bullish structure with clear higher lows and a clean breakout candle. Momentum shift confirmed with increasing volume.
For Education Purposes Only
Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges⚠️ Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges
Gold (XAU/USD) is facing a pivotal moment after a dramatic correction from $3,435 down to the 3,360s, triggered by a combination of surprising policy moves and rising macro uncertainty.
🧭 Macro Recap: Why Did Gold Drop?
🇨🇳 China unexpectedly cut interest rates by 10 basis points ahead of a key trade dialogue with the US.
➤ This supports global liquidity sentiment but simultaneously strengthens the USD in the short term.
💵 DXY surged, taking advantage of China's rate cut — adding pressure to gold.
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in South Asia (India–Pakistan) resurfaced but failed to lift gold.
➤ This hints that the current correction is more dollar-driven than risk-off in nature.
🏛️ All eyes now shift to FOMC later today, where Fed policy will dictate gold’s next major move.
Will Powell surprise markets with dovish signals, or does this China cut hint at coordinated central bank play before a wider easing cycle?
📊 Technical Outlook – Gold in Volatile Expansion
Despite the macro volatility, gold continues to respect key liquidity zones and high-volume clusters on the chart. However, momentum is broad and inconsistent — requiring traders to react to confirmed breaks, not early assumptions.
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3390 → 3402 → 3416 → 3425 → 3432 → 3444 → 3468
🔻 Support Levels:
3365 → 3356 → 3332 → 3314
🎯 Trade Strategy – 7 May 2025 (FOMC Day)
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3355
SL: 3350
TPs: 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3376 → 3380
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Opportunity)
Entry: 3332 – 3330
SL: 3326
TPs: 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3358 → 3365
⚠️ Key BUY Level: 3314 – 3312
This is a critical level for bulls — aligned with 0.5 FIBO retracement and previous demand flip zone. However, a move here could invalidate structure and signal deeper bearish pressure. Use caution.
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3430 – 3432
SL: 3436
TPs: 3425 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3400
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Risk Short)
Entry: 3468 – 3470
SL: 3474
TPs: 3464 → 3460 → 3455 → 3450 → 3445 → 3440 → 3430
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold remains range-bound but extremely reactive to macro news.
Today’s FOMC meeting could be a game changer. Whether the Fed maintains its current stance or signals dovish pivot will determine the direction for the rest of the week.
🎯 In times like this, it’s not about picking tops or bottoms — it’s about trading the reaction and protecting your capital.
✅ Stick to SL.
✅ Let price confirm.
✅ Be prepared for high volatility spikes.
Good luck, traders — and stay sharp.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 7, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 7, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏛️ Fed Decision Day Amid Tariff Pressures
The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day meeting today, with expectations to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%. Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, the Fed remains cautious due to inflationary risks from new tariffs and migration policies.
📈 U.S.-China Trade Talks Resume
U.S. stock futures rose overnight on news of upcoming high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China, marking the first discussions since the imposition of 145% tariffs on Chinese goods. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are set to meet with senior Chinese officials later this week.
🛢️ Oil Prices Rebound on Demand Hopes
Oil prices climbed as U.S. production declined and demand in Europe and China showed signs of recovery. Brent crude rose 0.6% to $62.52 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate increased 0.74% to $59.53 per barrel.
💼 Key Earnings Reports Ahead
Several major companies, including Uber ( NYSE:UBER ), Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), and Novo Nordisk ( NYSE:NVO ), are scheduled to report earnings today. Investors will be watching these reports for insights into corporate performance amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, May 7:
2:00 PM ET: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Announcement
2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference
3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit Report (March)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Wed 7th May 2025 XAU/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAU/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Note: This isn’t a great setup as price is already at the previous high and the MACD is just below the zero level. But I had to take it because I am committed to my MSH (multi sequence hedging) strategy. So if you are a traditional type trader, then standing aside on this trade would probably be the smart thing to do.
FARTCOIN Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring FARTCOIN for a selling opportunity around 1.1650 zone, FARTCOIN was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.1650 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
"Nifty 50 Eyes Breakout from Key Support Zone"**Support Zone (Red Rectangle)**:
* Strong support between ₹24,290 – ₹24,340.
* Multiple price bounces have occurred here, indicating demand presence.
**Resistance Levels**:
* **Immediate resistance**: ₹24,409.65 (horizontal red line)
* **Next resistance**: ₹24,494.45
**Support Levels**:
* **Immediate support**: ₹24,290
* **Next support**: ₹24,240.65
**RSI (Relative Strength Index) – 14 Period**
* RSI is at **36.25**, near the oversold region.
* Indicates the index may be poised for a short-term bounce.
* Positive RSI divergence is not yet confirmed but should be monitored.
---
**Bullish Scenario**:
* A breakout above the black descending trendline (\~₹24,360) with volume can lead to:
* First target: ₹24,409.65
* Second target: ₹24,494.45
* Supported by wedge breakout and RSI recovery.
**Bearish Scenario**:
* Breakdown below ₹24,290 zone can trigger a fall to:
* First target: ₹24,240.65
* Second target: Lower bound of ascending channel (\~₹24,060)