EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07800 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
How the U.S. Election Outcome Could Shape DXY's pathHey Traders!
In today’s trading session, we’re closely watching the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 102.800 zone. Recently, DXY has been trending downward but managed to break out of that downtrend, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Right now, it’s in a corrective phase and approaching the retracement level near the 102.800 support and resistance zone.
Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Election Impact on the Dollar
Today’s election could significantly impact the U.S. dollar, with the outcome likely to shape future economic policies. Here’s how each candidate’s policies might influence DXY:
If Trump Wins:
A Trump victory is expected to strengthen the dollar. Here’s why:
Higher Inflation and Interest Rates: Trump’s policies, including potential tariffs and stricter immigration, are seen as inflationary. Tariffs can increase the cost of imported goods, while reduced immigration may create labor shortages, both driving inflation higher.
Federal Reserve’s Stance: Higher inflation would prompt the Fed to reconsider future rate cuts and possibly lean toward raising rates to control inflation. Higher interest rates make the dollar more attractive, as investors seek better returns.
Tax Cuts and Economic Boost: Trump’s proposed tax cuts are likely to stimulate economic growth in the short term. A booming economy typically supports a stronger dollar as investors favor a robust market.
In this scenario, DXY would likely respond positively, and we could see a strong upward movement.
If Harris Wins:
On the other hand, a Harris victory could weaken the dollar due to different policy priorities:
Lower Inflation and More Fed Flexibility: Harris’s policies are expected to focus more on economic support, potentially through spending programs and fewer tariffs. Lower inflationary pressure gives the Fed more room to keep rates low or even consider cuts.
Market Reaction: Investors may anticipate a slower economic rebound, favoring a weaker dollar, as demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar could decrease.
Your vote is very important!
Joe.
Bitcoin is on the verge of breakoutHello traders,
Recently Bitcoin price broke important resistance levels and reached its highest point since late July. Bitcoin has a good chance to rise above 70k in the coming weeks but before that it should break a huge resistance area at 69k-70k.
Let's dive into what we can expect from BTC price action in the coming weeks.
First of all, historically, Q4 is the time when BTC performs best. This becomes even more true in the year of halving. If history repeats itself then we can expect the beginning of the bull run in coming weeks.
Secondly, Bitcoin always starts a bull run after the US election, regardless who wins.
This was true in 2012, 2016 and 2020. Most likely this will remain true in 2024.
Also, Bitcoin price broke out from a downtrend channel in which it was trading for over six months. Whether this was a false breakout or not time will tell but in any case this is a very important sign for bulls as before BTC price couldn't do it for a prolonged period of time and finally managed. At the moment it's highly important for the BTC price to stay above 66k in order to continue the rise. Until BTC is trading above 66k I consider it to be bullish.
What can go wrong?
The main thing that can hinder Bitcoin price rise is the political situation in the Middle East. Mostly possible war between Iran and Israel. If there won't be an escalation between Iran and Israel then we should see the BTC price rise to new highs soon.
Another thing to consider is that Bitcoin struggles to break the 69k area for three years. Even though BTC set a new ATH at 74k, the main resistance still lies at 69k and this might be a big problem for bulls. Let's see if the BTC price manages to rise above 70k but if history repeats then we should see a strong breakout above that area.
Please, do not forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below, thanks.
Let the Market Calm Down a Bit After Elections
I guess you saw the many forex pairs and other assets quite
impulsively reacted to the polls this night.
The best strategy to follow after such movements is to let
the market calm down and find the balance.
Quite often, the first reaction is always driven by emotions
and overestimate a real short-term and mid-term impacts.
For that reason, be patient for now and do not rush trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold Dips After Rally: Is This the Perfect Buy Opportunity?Hello wonderful friends!
Today, gold prices are showing signs of correction after a period of strong growth, currently hovering around the support level of 2750 USD. Profit-taking pressure after the recent surge has dragged gold prices lower, but the precious metal has maintained its growth momentum for the fourth consecutive month thanks to safe-haven demand.
In Ben's view, gold may enter a consolidation phase, fluctuating between 2750 - 2716 USD before entering a tense period with the US election and the important Fed meeting. Moreover, geopolitical factors and uncertainty ahead of the election results will continue to support gold, while investors seem to be taking advantage of the opportunity to "buy on correction".
Short analysis GBP/USD todayGBP/USD has just broken the channel in the long term, confirming the current decline. If the momentum continues, the main support levels for monitoring Fibonacci are:
1,2809 (Fibo 0.382): The first closing support level.
1,2662 (Fibo 0.618): The important support level, may have a stronger purchase force.
1,2425 - 1,225 and 1,2042: Lower target if the decline continues.
GBPUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 1.304 - 1.310 area
Resistance 2: 1.331 - 1.332 area
Resistance 3: 1.341 - 1.343 area
Support 1: 1.284 - 1.286 area
Support 2: 1.277 - 1.280 area
Support 3: 1.266 - 1.269 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Gold Price Is About To Hit Lao Doc? Opportunity To Take Profit!Today, gold is showing signs of a potential bearish move on the technical front, highlighted by a significant crossover between the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA on the hourly chart. This crossover point, in theory, often indicates a potential trend reversal, suggesting a shift from recent bullish momentum to a potential bearish trajectory.
Technical Analysis Overview:
As illustrated on the provided chart, gold is currently trading around $2,736, with key support levels identified below. Targets for a bearish move are charted at approximately:
Target 1: Near $2,720, which aligns with recent support zones.
Target 2: Around $2,710, which provides deeper support if price falls below the first target.
Key Factors:
USD Strength: The recent strengthening of the US dollar has put downward pressure on gold prices, as investors typically view the dollar and gold as having an inverse relationship. Any further strengthening of the dollar could reinforce the bearish move for gold.
Interest Rate Expectations: Market participants are closely watching for any indications from the Federal Reserve regarding future interest rate hikes. Higher interest rates typically weigh on non-yielding assets like gold, making them less attractive to investors.
Geopolitical Tensions: While geopolitical factors have supported gold prices in recent weeks, any easing of tensions could lead to reduced safe-haven demand for the metal.
Trends and Strategy:
With the recent EMA crossover signaling a potential trend reversal, traders may consider a short position with conservative targets, initially focusing on the $2,730 level. If the price breaks below this level, the next support level at $2,720 could act as a secondary target.
$1500 in Competition Profits: Strategizing the Sell PointWith $1500 in profit from a recent trading competition, it's time to evaluate the optimal exit strategy. I'll analyze potential sell points based on key resistance levels, current market trends, and any recent price action signals. Additionally, I'll consider both technical indicators and fundamental factors to identify an ideal spot for locking in gains. Follow along as I assess where to take profits and manage risk effectively.
Hashtags: #TradingStrategy #ProfitTaking #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #CryptoTrading #StockMarket #Forex #TradingCompetition #SellSignal #TradingView
1 hour XAUUSD analysisGold price chart (XauUSD) in the current 1 hour frame reveal a potential picture with key price areas as follows:
Strong support area: The area around $ 2,730 has proved the role of a "wall" of solid support, where the price many times found the thrust up. This price is creating great expectations for investors to buy, hoping to take advantage of the increase in this area.
Signs of weakness of the downtrend: Trendline reduces the green color that has been slightly broken, referring to that selling pressure shows signs of slowing down. However, in order to officially confirm the price increase signal, the chart should show that the price exceeds the next resistance threshold.
Expect the upper resistance area: If the purchasing force appears and pushes gold prices up, the first resistance levels to be observed will be $ 2,747, followed by $ 2,758 and 2,760 USD. These are the "walls" of the price that the buyer needs to conquer to strengthen the trend of short -term increase.
Potential trading strategy: Investors can consider the purchase strategy if they see clear recovery signals from the $ 2,730 support area. The goal will be the above resistance areas. But if the price does not hold this support level and decreases deeper, the short -selling strategies may be considered with the expectation of the price continued to go down.
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisFxNews —The EUR/USD currency pair stabilizes above the 100-period simple moving average and the 1.084 immediate support level. This occurs as Stochastic records show a reading of 82, indicating that the Euro is overpriced in the short term. Additionally, the Awesome Oscillator histogram is red, suggesting that the bear market is strengthening.
Forecast
From a technical perspective, the bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the 1.085 support level. In this scenario, the next target could be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.093.
Please note that the bullish outlook should be considered invalid if the price dips below 1.084.
Potential Correction Ahead for Waaree Energies Ltd After Strong Analysis:
1.Price Surge and Overextension: Waaree Energies Ltd has witnessed a sharp upward move, pushing prices significantly higher in a short period. This steep ascent could indicate an overextension, making the stock vulnerable to a pullback or consolidation phase.
2.Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is observed around the 3,600 level, with another support/resistance flip level near 3,300. Price nearing these levels might trigger profit-taking or selling pressure from short-term traders.
3.Overbought RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently in overbought territory, signaling an overvalued condition. Historically, an RSI above 70 often suggests a cooling-off period might be near, as buying momentum may slow down.
4.Volume Insights: The recent price rally has been accompanied by high volume, which validates the strength of the trend. However, any decrease in volume while the price stays elevated could indicate waning buying interest, strengthening the case for a correction.
Conclusion: Given the steep rise, overbought RSI, and proximity to resistance, caution is advised. A healthy correction could provide better entry opportunities. Monitor for potential reversal signals and volume changes to gauge the sustainability of this trend.
Trade Idea: Consider waiting for confirmation of a pullback or consolidation before entering new positions. Key support areas for potential retracement include 3,300, 2,625, and 2,280.
EURUSD continues uptrend from 1.0700Dear Friends.
Overall, EUR/USD made an impressive recovery ahead of yesterday’s election news and broke above 1.090. But! the price was quickly rejected following the news and fell back to 1.076, now down 1.47% on the day. This decline comes as polls show Trump leading in battleground states, supporting the USD’s bullish momentum.
As can be seen on the daily chart, EUR/USD is approaching a strong support zone at 1.061 – a level that has held back the decline on several occasions. If the price reaches and recovers from this level, we could see a strong recovery, opening up a potential short-term buying opportunity as the price rebounds from this support bottom.
EURUSD Analysis: Reversal Signs From Rising ChannelOn the 1-hour chart of EURUSD, the price is trading within an ascending channel, with clear resistance and support levels formed by trend lines. Currently, the pair is hovering around the $1.0890 area, close to the upper resistance line of the channel. The continuous increase has pushed EURUSD close to this resistance level, however, there is a high probability of a correction when the price approaches the upper zone of the channel.
Prediction Scenario: If EURUSD encounters strong selling pressure at the upper resistance level, the price may correct to the support area around $1.0800.
What do you think about this scenario?
XAUUSD Faces Resistance: Pullback or Breakout?The 4-hour chart of XAUUSD on November 6 shows gold encountering strong resistance at 2,756.216 USD/oz, with the 34 and 89 EMA lines forming a major barrier.
If the price fails to break through this level, there is a high probability of a pullback to the support zone around 2,729.381 USD/oz, potentially dropping further to 2,717.105 USD/oz if selling pressure increases.
Investors should watch the price action at these support and resistance levels for informed decisions, especially as the USD remains strong due to monetary policy factors and geopolitical risks.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/11/2024Gap up opening possible in nifty near 24300 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24350 level then this bullish rally can extend upto 24500 level. Below 24300 level possible downside movement upto 24050 support level. Above 24500, Nifty will indicating strong bullish rally in upcoming sessions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(06/11/2024)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty near 52500 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading above 52550 level then possible strong upside bullish rally of 400-500+ points occurs in index. Downside 52050 will act as a strong support for today's session. Now any major downside only expected below 51950 level.
USDJPY continues downtrend from 153.06Looking at the USDJPY chart on the 4-hour time frame, we have a clear uptrend in a parallel price channel. However, the market is showing signs of weakness as it approaches the resistance zone near 153.067. This could be a potential turning point with the possibility of a sharp correction to the downside.
Detailed technical analysis:
Main trend: The chart shows USDJPY is in an uptrend channel, however, the price has started to break the lower channel line. This shows that selling pressure is increasing as the price approaches the resistance zone of 153.067.
Resistance & Support: The 153.067 area is a strong resistance zone, and if USDJPY fails to break above it, there is a high possibility of a correction to the support levels below.
Correction targets: There are two major support targets if the price continues to decline:
Target 1: Around the 151.000 price zone, where there is short-term support. If the selling pressure is strong, this is the first area that the price can test.
Target 2: Around 149,000, stronger support. This is the area where the price can correct deeply if there is a strong selling wave.
Trading strategy: If you are looking for a selling opportunity, consider selling when the price touches the 153,067 area and fails to break through. Set the first profit target at 151,000 and the second target at 149,000. This requires patience and close monitoring for signs of strong price declines.
Wed 6th Nov 2024 AUD/CHF Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/CHF Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66450 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a down trend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66450 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.