Analyzing XAUUSD: Support and Resistance Dynamics Driving a BullXAUUSD, representing the price of gold against the US dollar, is currently trading at 2635 with an anticipated target price of 2800. The price movement is based on the support and resistance pattern, where the current price is bouncing off a strong support level. This suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further declines and creating upward momentum. The support level at 2635 is critical, indicating strong buying interest, while the target price of 2800 reflects bullish sentiment. This pattern demonstrates the interplay of technical levels, with the price expected to rise as it moves toward resistance zones. Traders anticipate a potential breakout above intermediate resistance levels as the price progresses toward the target. The market sentiment is supported by gold's status as a safe-haven asset, attracting investors during uncertain economic conditions. To confirm the upward move, traders may use additional technical indicators like RSI or MACD. However, risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders below the support level, are essential to mitigate potential losses. Overall, XAUUSD is poised for an upward trajectory, highlighting the importance of support and resistance dynamics in forex trading.
Technical Analysis
Textbook Reversal Setup: Liquidity Zone + Channel BreakReversal Setup Analysis: HTF Liquidity Zone + Ascending Channel Breakdown
This chart highlights a high-probability bearish reversal setup based on key technical confluences. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the analysis:
1. High-Timeframe (HTF) Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
- The red zone marks a major HTF supply area where price previously rejected with a strong impulsive move downward. This liquidity zone is critical as it represents an area where institutional players have shown activity, creating a high-probability region for a potential reversal.
- As price approached this zone again, it did so in a corrective manner (via an ascending channel), which indicates weakening bullish momentum.
2. Impulsive vs. Corrective Structures:
- Impulsive Move: The strong move away from the HTF LQZ (highlighted earlier in the chart) confirms bearish intent, serving as a key reference point for this trade idea.
Corrective Structure: The price forms an ascending channel on the way back to retest the HTF LQZ, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
- The third touch of the channel’s trendline coincides with the HTF LQZ, adding confluence for a potential bearish reversal.
3. Liquidity Zones in Play:
- HTF Liquidity Zone (Supply): Serves as the key resistance level and primary rejection zone.
- 15-Minute Liquidity Zone (Demand): Acts as a potential target for bearish momentum post-breakdown.
- This multi-timeframe liquidity alignment strengthens the trade idea by providing clear areas of interest for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit placement.
4. Breakdown Entry and Structure:
- Entry Trigger: The trade is triggered on the break of structure, where price falls through the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum resuming after the corrective phase.
- Stop-Loss Placement: Ideally placed above the HTF liquidity zone and beyond the third touch of the channel to account for potential fake-outs.
- Take-Profit Levels: Targets can be set near the 15M liquidity zone or prior swing lows for a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Key Takeaways:
- This setup offers an excellent example of combining HTF liquidity zones, structural patterns, and market context to develop a high-probability trade idea. The rejection from the HTF LQZ aligns with the broader bearish narrative, while the ascending channel acts as a corrective structure leading to a continuation of the downward move.
- By focusing on confluence factors like liquidity zones, impulsive vs. corrective moves, and structural breaks, this trade idea demonstrates a disciplined and strategic approach to trading reversals.
Educational Insights:
- Always zoom out to identify HTF zones of significance to ensure alignment with the larger market context.
- Differentiate between impulsive and corrective structures to gauge the strength and intent of price movements.
- Use pattern confluences (e.g., ascending channels) in combination with key zones to identify high-probability entries.
- Prioritize patience and discipline by waiting for clear structural breaks to confirm your setup.
USDJPY → Consolidating Before the Next Rally.Hello, dear friends! Ben here!
USD/JPY is consolidating after a strong bullish run, fluctuating around the 157.75 level.
The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid wavering expectations regarding a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI was revised lower to 50.9 from 51.4 in December. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains near a two-year high, supported by the Fed's hawkish shift, further bolstering the USD/JPY pair.
Currently, the focus is on the consolidation phase, which has been forming over the past few weeks. We have clear boundaries, trends, and key levels to guide our trading decisions.
For me, the trigger lies at the 158 resistance level. A breakout and price consolidation above this level would confirm that the pair is ready to push higher. This rally is expected to reach the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 159, completing wave 5 within the channel.
Regards !
GOLD Update: Should I buy it?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to attract attention even as the US dollar strengthens, fueled by ongoing geopolitical and economic crises that drive demand for safe-haven assets. Prices are consolidating above previous resistance levels and are pushing toward establishing new local highs.
As for gold's price volatility, the upcoming week will feature several key US economic data releases, including employment reports and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes. These updates are expected to provide investors with greater clarity on the Fed's monetary policy, especially following projections of interest rate cuts in 2025.
Regarding the gold strategy for the new week, Ben personally prioritizes buying strategies if the price remains within the wedge, targeting at least the upper boundary of the price channel. This anticipated upward move is expected to reach the level of 2690.
GBPUSD Analysis: Falling Wedge Pattern and Potential 500+ Pips The forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.247, with a target price set at 1.290, presenting a potential gain of 500+ pips. The market is forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that often signals a potential breakout to the upside. This pattern indicates a gradual narrowing of price movement, with sellers losing momentum and buyers preparing for a reversal. Traders are closely watching for a breakout above the wedge, which would confirm the bullish bias. A breakout could trigger significant upward movement, aligning with the target price. This setup provides an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity for buyers. However, confirmation through price action and volume is essential before entering a trade. Risk management is critical due to forex market volatility. Monitoring momentum indicators can help validate the expected breakout. The next move depends on how the pair reacts at key resistance levels.
Ripple Is Still Eyeing All-Time HighsRipple is in strong and impulsive rise after we spotted a bullish break out of a larger weekly bullish triangle pattern. It's actually already at 2.9 area and there can be easily space up to 3.3 all-time highs area. Looking at the 4-hour time frame, we saw a nice extension higher within wave (3), so after current wave (4) correction that can be completed as a nice and clean A-B-C flag pattern with textbook support from 2021 highs, be aware of another push to the upside for (5).
Just in case if Ripple stay sideways for a longer period of time, then we might even consider a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), but sooner or later we can expect further rally within wave (5) towards all-time highs area.
Why XRP Is higher?
The reason for this push higher on ripple, which has been outperforming in the last few weeks, is the upcoming launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD). Ripple USD (RLUSD) is a new stablecoin aimed at bridging blockchain and traditional finance. "Designed for enterprise use, RLUSD focuses on stability, efficiency, and transparency, enhancing Ripple’s cross-border payments and meeting the demand for USD transactions".
Analyzing AUDCAD Falling Wedge Breakout and 200+ Pips Target The forex pair AUDCAD is currently trading at 0.89700, with a target price of 0.91500, indicating an upward potential of 200+ pips. A falling wedge breakout has occurred, which is a bullish technical pattern that often signals a trend reversal or continuation of an uptrend. The breakout suggests buyers have taken control, pushing the price higher. The retesting phase has also been completed, confirming the breakout's validity and strengthening the bullish outlook. Traders often wait for retests as confirmation to enter trades with reduced risk. The target price aligns with the expected upward momentum post-breakout. With the breakout confirmed, buyers might find this setup attractive. Price action and momentum indicators should be monitored for sustained movement toward the target. Risk management is crucial, given forex volatility.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bullish Signal
Crude Oil was in a deep consolidation since October.
The market was stuck within a huge horizontal range on a daily.
With the market opening after holidays, Oil looks strongly bullish.
A breakout of a resistance line of the range, indicates the completion
of a bullish accumulation.
It opens a potential for more growth.
Next resistance on focus is 75.55
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AGLD/USDT, Ascending Channel with 2:6 Risk-Reward SetupThis chart displays an Ascending Channel Pattern where the price is trending upward within parallel support and resistance lines. The long position designed here follows a 2:6 risk-reward ratio , indicating a calculated trade setup with a potential 50% profit at the target price of $3.717 and a controlled 18% loss at the stop-loss of $2.016 .
The ascending channel suggests bullish momentum, and the strategy aligns with a breakout continuation toward the upper resistance level. However, if the price fails to sustain above the lower trendline, the trade could hit the stop-loss. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile for traders looking to capitalize on the channel's upward trajectory.
LTC/USDT Short-Term Breakout Confirmed !LTC/USDT has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, signaling a bullish breakout. The price is now retesting the $115-$116 zone, flipping it into support. A successful hold above this level could lead to a rally toward the next resistance at $140-$147. Traders should monitor the $100-$105 support zone in case of a pullback. This breakout shows strong potential for upward momentum in the short term.
USD/CAD Breakout OpportunityTrading Idea: USD/CAD Breakout Opportunity
USD/CAD has paused its four-day rally, trading near 1.4400 during the Asian session. The Canadian Dollar is supported by rising oil prices, with WTI nearing $73.50 per barrel, while US Dollar strength from the Fed’s hawkish stance limits the downside.
Technical Outlook:
The pair is consolidating within a rectangle pattern. The best trading approach is to wait for a confirmed breakout:
Upside breakout: Indicates continued bullish momentum.
Downside breakout: Signals a potential CAD-driven correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 1.4430–1.4450
Support: 1.4360–1.4380
Risk management is essential—always use stop-loss orders and manage your position size to protect your capital.
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(06/01/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if it's sustain above 51050 level then possible upside rally upto 51450 in opening session. 51450 level will act as a resistance for upside movement. If banknifty gives breakout of this level and starts trading above 51550 then further bullish movement expected upto 400-500+ points. Major downside expected below 50950 level.
BONK/USDT, Falling Wedge Breakout with Retest #BONK formed a Falling Wedge pattern on the BONK/USDT pair, which is typically a bullish formation. A breakout has already occurred, and the price is now retesting the upper trendline of the wedge.
The area between 0.0000333 and 0.000032 appears to be a good entry zone for potential longs. If the retest holds, the price may aim for the expected target of 0.000046. However, confirmation of support around the retest level is crucial before entering a long trade. Keep an eye on the price action in this region and implement proper risk management strategies.
TradeCityPro | FLOWUSDT New Weekly Move?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze the weekly crypto watchlist together during the final hours of the market holiday.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before diving into today’s altcoin analysis, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin. In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken its trendline but remains below the key resistance level of 98606, which it has been rejected from twice, highlighting its significance.
At the start of the new week, I anticipate a potential upward move, likely during the U.S. session. If Bitcoin breaks 98606, a long position can be opened. If Bitcoin dominance is breaking 57.08 simultaneously, long positions on Bitcoin itself are preferable. Otherwise, if dominance faces rejection or forms red candles, a quick switch to altcoins is recommended.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, this altcoin, like most of the crypto market, is still in its range box, continuing its oscillation within this boundary.
After breaking 0.674, FLOW attempted to reach the range’s upper boundary but faced rejection. Even RSI was rejected at 70, preventing FLOW from reaching the resistance at 1.460.
On the positive side, during this pullback, the volume of red candles decreased, and FLOW is now at a previous resistance-turned-support level, suggesting the potential for a rebound.
Keep in mind that the main support level is 0.463. If it breaks, exiting this coin would be wise. A re-entry can be considered upon a breakout above 1.460 with momentum confirmation.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after a fake breakdown below the key support level of 0.509, FLOW bounced back strongly, initiating a move toward the resistance at 1.169.
If we use Fibonacci levels (ignoring fakeouts), the 0.7 level emerges as a key support. It acts as a previous resistance-turned-support and aligns with the significant 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
The 0.7 level has been tested twice, with the price bouncing each time. If FLOW breaks 0.809, it could start a move toward 0.969 and eventually 1.169.
For spot buying, wait for a breakout above 0.809, with: Risky Stop-Loss: 0.7 Conservative Stop-Loss: 0.509 For futures trading, consider a position after a breakout above 0.809.
The resistance level at 0.809 is crucial, offering a solid opportunity for both spot and futures trades.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
EURGBP Potential Upsides Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.82800 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook: Key Support, Resistance, and Potential Sen this video, we dive into the Nasdaq’s recent price action and highlight the major support and resistance zones to watch in the coming week. We’ll review key swing levels, discuss possible bullish and bearish scenarios, and explore the importance of volume profiles in anticipating trend shifts. Whether you’re new to trading or looking for fresh perspectives, this breakdown will help you plan your trades with added clarity
RAYUSDT is breaking out!RAYUSDT is breaking out!
The current price is $5.66, with a target price of $7.90, representing a potential gain of 40%+. The Bullish Flag pattern has confirmed a breakout, indicating a strong upward momentum. This setup suggests that RAYUSDT is poised for a significant price surge. The breakout above the flag's resistance level confirms the bullish trend. We're confident in our analysis, and this could be a lucrative trading opportunity. Keep a close eye on RAYUSDT, as it's ready to moon! Get ready to ride the bullish wave!
ARBUSDT is poised for a massive breakout!ARBUSDT is poised for a massive breakout!
The current price is $0.89, with a target price of $2.20, representing a potential gain of 150%+. The Support Resistance retesting is now completed, indicating a strong bullish reversal. This setup suggests that ARBUSDT is ready to surge towards our target price. The retest of the support level has confirmed the strength of the bullish trend. We're confident in our analysis, and this could be a lucrative trading opportunity. Keep a close eye on ARBUSDT, as it's preparing for a potential price explosion!. Get ready to ride the bullish wave!
HIVE is Looking Bulish HIVEUSDT is looking bullish!
The Falling Wedge pattern has been completed, and the breakout is done. Current price is $0.62, with a target price of $1.06, representing a potential gain of 175%+. This breakout indicates a strong bullish reversal, and we expect HIVEUSDT to surge towards our target price. The setup is high-probability, and we're confident in our analysis. Stay tuned for further updates. Keep a close eye on HIVEUSDT. This could be a lucrative trading opportunity. Get ready for a potential price explosion!