XAU/USD: Tension Builds Gold Awaits Breakout from Narrow Range📌 XAU/USD: Tension Builds as Gold Awaits Breakout from Narrow Range 📈📉
📊 Technical Snapshot
Gold (XAU/USD) has spent the past sessions trapped in a tight consolidation zone between 3,274 and 3,336, carving out a potential breakout structure.
Price continues to trade below the 200 EMA on H1, keeping near-term pressure tilted slightly bearish.
However, buying interest is emerging at key support zones, hinting that bulls may not be entirely out of the picture yet.
A clean break above 3,301 could ignite a move toward 3,352 – 3,366 resistance levels.
This compression phase suggests that a larger directional move could be imminent.
🔥 Key Price Zones to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3,336
3,352
3,357
3,366
🔻 Support Levels:
3,301
3,291
3,274
🎯 Trade Opportunities
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,274 – 3,276
Stop Loss (SL): 3,270
Take Profit (TP): 3,284 → 3,291 → 3,301 → 3,336
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,357 – 3,366
Stop Loss (SL): 3,370
Take Profit (TP): 3,336 → 3,301 → 3,291
📰 Fundamental Focus
No major economic releases scheduled today.
Traders are gearing up for ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) later this week.
Watch for any unexpected remarks from Fed officials or geopolitical tensions (especially South Asia and Middle East headlines) that could spark volatility in gold.
🧠 Strategy Outlook
Until a confirmed breakout occurs, range-bound trading strategies remain in play.
Breakout above 3,366: Bullish extension likely.
Breakdown below 3,274: Deeper correction on the cards.
⚡ Pro Tip: Stay nimble. Manage risk tightly. Big moves often emerge after low-volatility traps like this.
Technical Analysis
Gold Retreats as Investors Eye Key Economic DataGold fell below $3,330 per ounce on Tuesday as investors monitored tariff talks and awaited key economic data. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said many top U.S. trading partners made "very good" tariff proposals and noted China’s tariff exemptions signal de-escalation efforts. He stressed it is now up to China to act. A modest rebound in the U.S. dollar also pressured gold. Markets are focused on upcoming reports, including Q1 GDP, March PCE inflation, and April nonfarm payrolls, for clues on the economy and Fed policy.
Key resistance is at $3365, followed by $3,405 and $3,500. Support stands at $3250, then $3165 and $3050.
Pound Pressured by BOE Cut ExpectationsGBP/USD dipped to approximately 1.3425 during early Asian trading on Tuesday, as a slight rebound in the U.S. dollar put pressure on the pair. The dollar was supported by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, following China’s decision to exempt certain U.S. imports from tariffs, despite its denial of ongoing negotiations.
Meanwhile, expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Bank of England in May continue to weigh on the pound. Markets are now focused on an upcoming speech by BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, with any dovish remarks likely to add further downside pressure on the GBP.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Euro Slips as ECB Rate Cut Bets GrowThe EUR/USD dipped to around 1.1415 in early Asian trading Tuesday as the Euro weakened on rising expectations of an ECB rate cut in June. Reuters cited growing confidence among policymakers, with Olli Rehn suggesting rates could fall below neutral.
Investors are also watching US-China trade developments ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls. President Trump claimed progress, but Beijing denied active talks. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed recent contact but said China must act. Trade tensions continue to pressure the dollar, potentially supporting the Euro.
Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Yen Under Pressure Ahead of BOJ DecisionThe Japanese yen edged closer to 144 per dollar on Monday, continuing last week’s decline as global trade sentiment improved and the dollar strengthened. Markets responded to a private meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent, during which both parties stressed the importance of ongoing discussions on currency matters. Meanwhile, Japan’s trade negotiator is set to visit Washington this week, as the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain interest rates at 0.5%, amid concerns over the economic impact of U.S. tariffs.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
ICP/USDT Breakout Potential: Descending Trendline Under PressureThis is the 4-hour chart for ICP/USDT, and it’s showing some interesting action. Over the past few months, ICP has been stuck in a downtrend with a clear descending trendline acting as resistance. However, each time it formed a falling wedge pattern, we saw a breakout to the upside, followed by short rallies.
Right now, the price is hovering around $5.10 and seems to be testing that same long-term trendline again. If it breaks above this level with strong volume, it could be the start of another bullish move. Definitely a chart to keep an eye on for a potential breakout in the coming days.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/04/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55550 level then expected further upside rally upto 55950+ level in today's session. 55050-55450 zone will be consolidation for banknifty. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
Bitcoin Analysis Anticipated Bullish Rebound Toward $95,000! This 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) recent price action around key support and resistance zones. After a sharp dip to the lower green support area (~$92,500), the price is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The forecasted trajectory (highlighted in yellow) anticipates a corrective move before resuming an upward climb toward the $95,000 resistance target. Previous consolidation phases and a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern are also noted, suggesting a technical recovery is underway. Traders are watching for confirmation of this bullish setup.
EURUSD is Switching to a Bearish Trend!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.14200 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.14200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Will Gold Reject This Important Resistance?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Gold for a selling opportunity around 3,355 zone, Gold is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,355 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Litecoin (LTC) - Long Setup📋 Context:
🔵 Open Interest stable or slightly increasing → healthy position building.
🔵 Top Traders Ratio strongly rebounding → top traders are re-accumulating long positions.
🔵 CVD Spot rising → real spot buying support is coming back.
🔵 CVD Futures rebounding → shorts being squeezed and absorbed.
🔵 Funding Rate neutral → no immediate risk of short squeeze against longs.
🔥 Liquidations:
🔵 95% of potential liquidations are shorts → strong imbalance to exploit.
🔵 Optical Map shows a wall of short liquidations just above the current price → objective is to grab them.
📈 Technical Structure:
🔵 Clean bullish structure on the 15-minute timeframe.
🔵 Stop Loss placed just below the recent swing low.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Current price zone 85.7
Immediate Target (TP1): 87 $ → grabbing short liquidations.
Extension Target (TP2): 88 $ → if momentum remains strong.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 84 $ → invalidation if clean break of structure.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for April 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Anticipation Builds for Key Economic Data: Investors are on edge as they await a series of critical economic reports this week, including GDP growth figures and the April jobs report. Concerns are mounting that recent tariff policies may have begun to weigh on economic performance, with forecasts suggesting a significant slowdown in growth.
💼 Earnings Season in Full Swing: Major corporations are set to report earnings today, including AstraZeneca, Honeywell, Regeneron, PayPal, PACCAR, Kraft Heinz, Ares Capital, SoFi, Zebra Technologies, Incyte, Repligen, and Commvault. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into how companies are navigating the current economic landscape.
📉 Market Volatility Persists Amid Trade Tensions: The stock market continues to experience volatility as investors grapple with the implications of ongoing trade disputes and tariff implementations. Analysts warn that prolonged trade tensions could further dampen economic growth and corporate profitability.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, April 29:
📦 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET):
Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. These figures provide early insights into trade balances and inventory levels, which are critical for assessing economic momentum.
📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET):
Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. A decline in confidence could signal reduced consumer spending, impacting overall economic growth.
💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. This data helps assess the health of the job market and potential wage pressures.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
GOLD bulls ready to break higherHere we are looking at the 240/4hr chart. I am seeing price make a push higher from a previously well respected support zone and a possible triangle pattern forming after pushing down from previous highs.
Currently we're waiting for bears to push the price down either to the bottom of the triangle pattern, or breaking out to the highs for entries higher.
Plan for bears is to sell back into the triangle and in current resistance.
Plan here for bulls is to look for entries at a better price breaking this pattern, or into the highs.
[TechnoFunda]IDFC FIRST BANK – DEEP DIVE INTO MULTI-YEAR SUPPORTTECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Ascending broadening channel structure
– Since the Aug-20 low (~₹15) price has traced a steady up-sloping trendline, touching in Mar-21, Feb-22 and now Apr-25
– Parallel resistance capped rallies in Feb-18 and Sep-23, defining a ~₹80–100 supply zone
– Channel slope averages ~30% annualized gains from support to resistance
EMA confluence and momentum
– April formed a bullish engulfing candle that closed above the 50 EMA (₹63.8), signalling renewed buyer conviction
Elliott-style wave count
– Wave 1: Aug-20 to Feb-23 advance into channel top (₹100)
– Wave 2: Feb-23 to Apr-25 retrace back to support/200 EMA (₹55)
– Wave 3 (projected): expected to carry price toward channel top again, targeting ₹95–100
Measured-move & targets
– Channel height (~₹85–15 = ₹70) added to support gives a potential target near ₹125 – bullish scenario only on a clean break above channel resistance
– Shorter-term target zone: ₹75 (minor swing highs) → ₹85 (channel midline)
Risk management
– Invalidation: monthly close below ₹55 erodes the uptrend and negates wave-count
– Use a stop 1.5× ATR below the Apr-25 low (₹50) for defined risk
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Revenue & earnings trajectory
– Quarterly revenue up from ~₹40 B in 2020 to ₹113 B in Q1 ’25, reflecting strong loan book growth and fee income diversification
– Net income swung from losses in 2018–19 to a peak of ~₹12 B in 2023, and stays positive at ₹3 B in the latest quarter
Asset-quality improvement
– GNPA ratio down from ~2.2% in 2020 to ~1.3% in Q1 ’25; PCR steadily rising above 75%
– Slippages have trended lower quarter-on-quarter, supporting margin stability
Margin & capital metrics
– Net interest margin at ~4.2%, above industry average, driven by retail and SME lending
– CET-1 ratio comfortably above 13% with Tier-1 capital buffer, enabling healthy credit growth
Valuation & catalysts
– Trades at ~0.4× book value and 10× trailing P/E vs sector averages of 1.5× and 15× respectively
– Potential rerating catalysts: continued NIM expansion, sustained reduction in credit cost, digital customer growth
MACRO & SENTIMENT CONTEXT:
- RBI rate cycle poised for cuts in H2 ’25, which could support credit demand
- Bank Nifty outperforming broader markets; institutional flows have rotated into midcap banks
- Relative strength vs Nifty: RSI on a monthly sits near 50, rising from oversold – room to run before overbought
TRADING PLAN:
- Enter partial long near current price (₹66–70)
- Add on break above ₹75 with conviction
- Targets: ₹75 → ₹85 → ₹95–100 (channel top)
- Stop-loss: ₹50–55 zone (monthly close basis)
- Trail stops above each new swing low to lock in profits as price advances
BTC Breaks Out Above Key Resistance Bullish Momentum AcceleratesClassic Technical Breakout:
Bitcoin has surged past the critical $91,607 resistance level, which had capped its upside since February. This breakout marks a major shift in market momentum.
Broader Bullish Structure:
The move confirms a larger bullish structure, defined by a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs since the March lows, signaling strong market health.
Accumulation Zone Cleared:
Bitcoin’s breakout from the well-established $76,000–$92,000 accumulation zone further strengthens the bullish outlook, highlighting robust underlying demand.
Road to Six Figures:
Now trading above key psychological and technical levels, Bitcoin appears poised for a potential move toward six figures and a retest of all-time highs above $108,000 — as long as it holds above the breakout zone.
Conclusion:
Momentum is clearly favoring the bulls. Bitcoin’s breakout could mark the beginning of its next major rally phase. 🚀📈
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Resistance #CryptoMarket #MarketUpdate
AON: Quiet Compounder Preparing Its Next Move!?ROE: 46.3% — top-tier profitability backed by real cash flow.
Net Margin: 16.9% — significantly above industry average.
Free Cash Flow: $2.8B+ annually — strong ability to cover dividends, buybacks, and debt obligations.
Dividend Growth: 11 consecutive years — low payout ratio (~25%), very sustainable.
--------------
🏢 Company Snapshot:
Market Cap: ~$72.5 billion
Employees: ~50,000
Founded: 1982
Headquarters: London, United Kingdom
🌎 What Aon Does:
Aon plc is a global leader in risk management, insurance brokerage, and human capital solutions, helping organizations safeguard their assets, people, and long-term value in an increasingly complex world.
🛡️ Risk-Focused Excellence:
Through cutting-edge data analytics, consulting services, and integrated solutions, Aon supports businesses across commercial risk, reinsurance, health, and retirement sectors.
📚 Fun Facts:
The name "Aon" comes from the Gaelic word for "oneness", reflecting its mission to deliver unified solutions to clients.
Aon was a key broker for insuring the World Trade Center and played a critical role in redefining corporate risk coverage post-9/11.
The company was portrayed in the movie The Big Short as one of the key firms advising institutions during the financial crisis.
🔹 Key Strengths:
ROE: 46.3% — top-tier profitability backed by real cash flow.
Net Margin: 16.9% — significantly above industry average.
Free Cash Flow: $2.8B+ annually — strong ability to cover dividends, buybacks, and debt obligations.
Dividend Growth: 11 consecutive years — low payout ratio (~25%), very sustainable.
🔹 Concerns:
Debt-to-Equity: 2.58 — leverage higher than peer average; manageable but worth monitoring.
Valuation: P/E 26.5× — trading at a premium compared to Marsh & McLennan (MMC) and Willis Towers Watson (WTW).
📈 Current Technical Setup: Break&Retest
For nearly three years, the $320–$350 zone acted like a stone wall for AON, a major resistance barrier where every breakout attempt failed.
The price consistently struggled to break through... until late 2024, when a decisive breakout finally occurred, fueled by strong earnings momentum and resilient cash flow generation.
Now, AON has pulled back to retest this critical area — a former resistance that may transform into supercharged support.
This is a textbook example of Break & Retest behavior: price breaking a multi-year resistance, then returning to find liquidity and new buyers at the same key zone.
Fundamentally, AON continues to deliver high ROE (46%), strong margins (17%), and solid free cash flow, making it an attractive name for investors looking for stability and compound growth — exactly the kind of stock that buyers often defend during technical retests.
📋 Final Thoughts:
Aon is a quiet powerhouse in risk and advisory services, compounding cash flows year after year.
If you're looking for steady long-term growth, resilient profitability, and shareholder-aligned management, AON deserves a spot on your watchlist.
Patience matters though — at current prices, buying on weakness could offer better long-term returns.
Always do your own analysis and make sure it matches your risk profile.
If your view aligns with mine — you're basically ready to go. 😉
Cheers,
Vaido
GBPJPY: More Growth Ahead?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
For some unknown reason, I received a lot of requests from
the members of my free channels to share my thoughts about GBPJPY.
Well, from a daily time frame perspective, the pair still looks bullish to me.
I do believe that the market has unrealized potential to go higher.
A bullish breakout of a neckline of a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern
was a very bullish event. It now turned into a strong support from where
I will look for buying.
The closest resistance is 191.95.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Range Tightens on Gold – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📌 Trading Plan for April 28, 2025: Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy 🧠📈
📊 Technical Analysis
Following the sharp drop in previous sessions, gold is now consolidating around the 3260–3270 support zone.
Price is moving within a tight triangle formation on the M15 timeframe, indicating compression ahead of a breakout.
The MA 13 – 34 – 200 still suggests a short-term bearish bias, but selling momentum has noticeably slowed down.
Expectation: gold may retest the 3299–3313 resistance zone before a stronger directional move.
🎯 Key Price Levels for Today
Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313
Major Support: 3260 – 3258 – 3239
🧩 Updated Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3260 – 3258
Stop Loss (SL): 3254
Take Profit (TP): 3264 → 3268 → 3272 → 3276 → 3280
🔴 SELL ZONE: (after price retests resistance)
Entry: 3299 – 3301
Stop Loss (SL): 3306
Take Profit (TP): 3295 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3275
📢 Important Notes
Expected daily range: 60–80 pips.
No major economic news today, but stay alert for unexpected political headlines (especially from the US, China, India-Pakistan tensions).
Strictly follow TP/SL levels to protect your capital — avoid FOMO chasing after sharp intraday moves.
✅ Conclusion
Gold remains in a sensitive consolidation phase.
The best strategy today is buying at support and selling at resistance, only scaling in after clear confirmations!
💬 How are you planning to trade gold today? Share your views and setups below! 👇👇👇
CADCHF: Still Bullish 🇨🇦🇨🇭
Last week, I shared a very bullish outlook for CADCHF
based on a breakout and a retest of a key daily structure.
I keep holding a long trade on the pair and still expect growth.
Goal - 0.602
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURCHF: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇭
There is a high chance that EURCHF will bounce
from a recently broken horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, it turned into support with a high probability.
As a confirmation signal, I see a tiny cup & handle pattern
on an hourly time frame and intraday bullish imbalance.
Goal - 0.9422
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Downtrend Continues- Is 3,175 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflects sustained bearish momentum, and sellers continue to dominate the overall direction.
The recent upward move appears to be a technical rebound, with price approaching a potential resistance zone near the upper boundary of the channel. This area may now serve as a supply zone after acting as previous support, making it an important region for potential rejection.
If the resistance holds, a rejection here could lead to the continuation of the bearish trend, with a potential move targeting the support area around 3,175, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
However, failure to hold below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a retest toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Traders should monitor for clear rejection signals at resistance, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, or alternatively, wait for breakout confirmation before considering a trend shift. As always, proper risk management remains essential.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 28/04/2025Nifty will open gap up in today's session. Expected opening near 24200 level. After opening if 24150-24250 zone will act as a consolidation for today's session. Any strong upside rally only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24250 level. Downside movement expected if nifty starts trading below 24150 level. Below this level downside move expected upto 23850 support level in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(28/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 54950 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level and possible downside movement in index. Downside 54450-54550 zone will act as a support for today's session. After breakdown of this support zone can lead banknifty further downside upto 54050 level in today's session. Any strong bullish side rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55050 level.