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Technical Analysis

Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks 📌 Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks – Political Noise Drives Volatility 🧨📉 Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp intraday drop following comments from President Trump, who confirmed that trade talks with China are “ongoing” — despite China denying any official negotiations had taken place. The market interpreted this as a signal of de-escalation, prompting a short-term price correction. Gold had previously rallied past $3,500/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong demand from bargain hunters after last week’s sharp decline. However, the current political contradictions and tariff headlines are creating erratic moves across all asset classes. 🌍 Fundamental Context The USD weakened, stocks lost momentum, and risk sentiment shifted after a confusing round of statements from the US and China. Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose slightly, reflecting a resilient labour market amid tariff-related headwinds. Today’s Core Retail Sales data in the US could add more volatility heading into the weekly candle close. It’s Friday — expect possible liquidity sweeps and aggressive price spikes as the market prepares for weekend risk-off moves. 📊 Trading Outlook – 26 April We're seeing signs of a tactical pullback, but long setups should be delayed until political headlines stabilise. Focus on intraday reaction zones — not aggressive positioning. 🔻 SELL ZONES 3384 – 3386 • SL: 3390 • TP: 3380 → 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → ??? 3406 – 3408 • SL: 3412 • TP: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🟢 BUY ZONES 3288 – 3286 • SL: 3282 • TP: 3292 → 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3310 3270 – 3268 • SL: 3264 • TP: 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 🛡️ Final Notes & Strategy Avoid rushing BUY entries — allow Price to complete its corrective phase and wait for structure and confirmation. Today’s Core Retail Sales (US) could trigger a fresh wave of volatility. It’s also weekly close Friday, so prepare for potential false breaks and stop hunts. ✅ Stick to your TP/SL. Protect your capital first — clarity will come when the dust settles. 💬 Are you watching for a short-term bounce or planning to fade strength near resistance? Let us know in the comments below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 25.04.25)Overall Trend & Context: This pair is in an overall uptrend and has reacted off the 140.00 support levels (as well as the 200 EMA on the Daily chart). Technical Findings: Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on intraday charts. Powerful break of structure which leaves no question about bullish force. Current consolidation - Demand needs to be built before continuation. Notes: Price is currently at a historic support level however has not closed above daily supply, we are still in the area of doing so. Manage your risk, take the trade with confirmations only.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, right after posting the analysis, the price quickly hit the first target at $3307, then experienced a bounce and rallied to the $3369 supply zone. From there, gold faced more downward pressure and eventually reached the targets at $3303, $3297, and nearly $3285. Currently, gold is trading around $3291, and if $3285 is broken, we could expect further downside toward levels below $3259. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
13
GBP Rebounds on Retail Sales – But USD Still in Control📌 GBP Bounces on Strong Retail Sales, But USD Strength Keeps Pressure On 💷📉 The British Pound (GBP) rebounded on Friday after UK Retail Sales data surprised to the upside. According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), retail sales rose by 0.4% in March, beating expectations of a -0.4% decline. On a yearly basis, growth accelerated to 2.6%, outpacing the forecast of 1.8%. However, despite the positive data, traders remain confident the Bank of England (BoE) may still cut interest rates by 25 bps to 4.25% in the May meeting, due to persistent global uncertainties and softer inflation expectations. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) gained ground across the board as trade tensions between the US and China appeared to ease. Durable Goods Orders in the US jumped by 9.2% in March — a clear sign of business confidence and policy impact. 📊 Technical Outlook – GBP/USD GBP/USD briefly recovered from an intraday low of 1.3280 but remains under pressure near key resistance. On the upside, the psychological barrier at 1.3500 remains a major hurdle. To the downside, the April 3rd high around 1.3200 now acts as strong support. 💼 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 1.32500 SL: 1.32000 TP: 1.33300 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.34180 SL: 1.34700 TP: 1.33500 📌 Stay alert ahead of key BoE guidance and further US-China headlines — volatility may increase as we head into May.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Silver Holds Ground on Mixed Trade SignalsSilver is trading around $33.50 on Friday morning, continuing to show greater sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and trade news due to its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal. Recent price movements were shaped by mixed signals in U.S.-China trade relations. Although the Trump administration reportedly considered tariff reductions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that no formal proposals have been made and negotiations have not yet begun. Technically, silver faces initial resistance at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if the upward move continues. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $33.15, followed by $31.40 and $30.20 if further weakness occurs.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Investors Turn to Gold as Tariff Tensions PersistGold is trading near $3,330 on Friday and is on track to record its third consecutive weekly gain. The increase in prices is primarily driven by heightened safe-haven demand, as uncertainty surrounding a potential U.S.-China trade agreement continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Although Chinese officials have publicly denied the continuation of negotiations, President Trump stated that discussions are still in progress. Adding to the cautious outlook, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that any progress would depend on the reduction of existing tariffs, reinforcing market skepticism about a near-term resolution. Key resistance is at $3410, followed by $3,500 and $3,600. Support stands at $3315, then $3290 and $3250.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Trump Reassures on Trade and FedThe EUR/USD traded near 1.1350 on Friday, while the US Dollar Index rose above 99.5, recovering from earlier losses. The dollar strengthened after President Trump reassured markets that trade talks with China would continue, despite Beijing’s denials. Optimism also grew on reported progress with Japan and South Korea. Earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessent said US-China tariffs must be reduced significantly for real progress, increasing hopes for a deal. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by stating he never planned to remove Fed Chair Powell. Although Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack mentioned a rate cut in June if needed, renewed trade optimism lifted the dollar. Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
by ChartMage
BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady. Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
AUDNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD has finally broken out of a well-formed falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained downtrend, price consolidated within the wedge, indicating decreasing bearish momentum. The recent breakout confirms buyer strength and opens the door for a fresh upside swing. The current price sits around 1.072, and based on technical structure and projected pattern targets, we could be heading towards the 1.105 zone. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian Dollar is gaining support due to rising commodity demand and hawkish tones from the RBA, hinting at a possibility of sustained higher interest rates. On the other hand, the New Zealand Dollar has been under pressure due to softer-than-expected CPI data and growing speculation that the RBNZ might be done with its tightening cycle. This divergence in central bank stance adds fuel to the AUDNZD bullish narrative. Today’s macro releases show stable Australian employment data and a dip in New Zealand’s retail figures, which further supports the bullish view. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, especially with a clean invalidation below 1.062. If the momentum sustains, price may accelerate quickly toward the 1.105 target. Market participants should also keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) correlations and global risk sentiment, which could amplify volatility across AUD and NZD pairs. As a professional trader, I’ll be monitoring price action closely near lower timeframes for confirmation entries and managing the trade with dynamic stop-loss adjustments. This breakout is technically clean, fundamentally supported, and strategically aligned with the current macro backdrop – making it a high-probability swing setup worth sharing.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
9
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 25, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Procter & Gamble Cuts Outlook Amid Consumer Pullback: P&G shares declined after the company lowered its full-year earnings guidance, citing reduced consumer spending due to economic uncertainty and higher tariffs. CFO Andre Schulten noted significant consumer hesitation, linking it to volatility in mortgage rates and declining stock markets affecting retirement savings. ​ 📊 Durable Goods Orders Surge, Core Spending Stagnant: March durable goods orders jumped 9.2%, driven by a spike in aircraft demand. However, core capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, rose only 0.1%, indicating cautious business investment amid ongoing tariff uncertainties. ​ 🏠 Existing Home Sales Decline Sharply: Existing home sales fell 5.9% in March to an annual rate of 4.02 million units, reflecting affordability challenges associated with high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, April 25: 🗣️ Fed Governor Neel Kashkari Speaks (5:00 PM ET): Remarks may provide insights into the Federal Reserve's perspective on current economic conditions and monetary policy direction.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels. Current Situation: The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement. Potential Bullish Scenario: A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245. Potential Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322. Conclusion: The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
SKILLING:US100
by AccumulationPro
Market Analysis: #BTCUSDT💰 On the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart, a clear symmetrical triangle pattern has formed and already broken down, leading to a confirmed bearish impulse. Price has now returned below the POC level at $93,370.4 (Point of Control by volume), indicating weakness from buyers. 📊 Key Levels 🔴 POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $93,370.4 — This is the highest volume area, now acting as strong resistance. As long as price remains below, short bias is favored. 🔵 Support BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $91,905.5 — A short-term target if the bearish momentum continues. 🎯 Lower Target Zone — Indicates the full depth of the breakdown move, aiming at the $90,800–$91,000 range. 📈 Volume ➡️ Volume increased during the breakdown, then dropped as price revisited the $93,000 zone — this signals a weak retest and seller control. 📍 Important Notes ➡️ Currently, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading between two key zones — the POC above and the $91,900 support below. ➡️ Failure to break and hold above $93,370 keeps the bearish scenario in play. ➡️ A move below $92,600 will confirm continuation of the downtrend. 📢 Strategy Recommendations: 🚨 SHORT Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P Entry: on a retest of $93,000–$93,200 and rejection Stop Loss: above POC ($93,450) Targets: $92,100 → $91,900 → $90,800 🚨 Alternative LONG Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P (only if POC is broken): Entry: after a solid breakout and hold above $93,400 with volume Target: $94,200–$94,800 Stop Loss: below $93,000 🚨 Conclusion : BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has completed the triangle pattern and is now in a retest phase. So far, signs still point to bearish continuation, with final confirmation coming from a break below $92,600.
by MoriartyTrading
OFSS Weekly | Bullish Harmonic Reversal & RSI Breakout | Short-T📈 Swing Trade Recommendation (Short-Term): Buy Zone: ₹8,600–₹8,750 (on dips or on strength) Target 1: ₹9,300 (initial resistance and round number) Target 2: ₹10,200–₹10,500 (next harmonic resistance zone) Stoploss: ₹8,050 (below recent swing low) 🔍 Technical Highlights: Bullish Harmonic Structure forming with strong reversal from "C" to "D". Volume breakout supports the current leg of momentum. RSI bullish divergence and breakout confirms potential trend reversal. For Education purpose only
NSE:OFSSLong
by rmhetre15
1