USDJPY --> Retesting key level. Attempting trend reversalFX:USDJPY during the correction phase, the market is retesting the boundaries of the downward trend channel that price previously broke through. The market is attempting to shift its trend based on the dollar's adjustment.
The dollar faces challenges due to economic and geopolitical nuances related to the United States, as well as high inflation. Theoretically, the index could continue deeper corrections, with prolonged interest rate cut rhetoric potentially putting pressure on the market.
Technically, this currency pair has attempted to overcome the previous downward trend resistance level and succeeded, but this alone is insufficient for a trend change - it requires confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
Focus remains on 148.92 - 149.5, if buyers maintain their defensive position above these levels, we have excellent opportunities to catch up with the trend change. This would signal readiness to approach the resistance threshold in the 150.16 range, and a breakthrough of this level with price fixation above it would confirm the trend reversal.
Technical Analysis
GOLD: The rally is getting stronger. Growth after a false crashOANDA:XAUUSD breaking upward and attempting to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of the adjustment process. This will serve as an ideal support level for buyers. The price increase, against the backdrop of political and geopolitical issues, only intensifies.
Tariff increases are driving gold demand higher. Trump has rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary has named 15 countries on the list for new measures. This has weakened the dollar and increased concerns about stagflation, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset.
Additionally, tariff tensions are unlikely to end after April 2, especially with auto tariffs taking effect on April 3, and this combined with growth uncertainty will keep buyers interested in gold if prices decline.
Technically, we have a strong upward trend, selling carries risk, and we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if prices consolidate above 3127 or after breaking through the false 3119/3111 levels.
Before continuing growth, there may be adjustments to key support areas to normalize market imbalances and capture liquidity. Consolidation above levels after false breakouts will be a positive signal for growth.
But! There is upcoming news and high volatility potential!
Gold waited for a clear move!Currently, gold prices are attracting some dip buyers after the previous day's pullback from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns over a global economic downturn due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of a Fed rate cut and the lack of USD buying interest provide additional support for FX:XAUUSD
From a technical perspective, we see the Bollinger Bands showing signs of price narrowing, indicating that long-term buying or selling at this moment is risky. We are looking for key areas to buy or sell as the main trend remains sideways. For instance, if the price drops below 3145, we might consider selling, while a rise above 3105 could signal a buying opportunity.
Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable!
FXAN & Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:AUDNZD
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of AUDNZD, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
RENDER ANALYSIS📊 #RENDER Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a good breakout and currently retests from the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout of major resistance zone
👀Current Price: $3.455
🚀 Target Price: $4.4-6.0
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #RENDER price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#RENDER #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
USDJPY Technical AnalysisFenzoFx—USDJPY tested 150.25, a trading range below this level and the 50-period simple moving average. A close above 150.25 can trigger the uptrend, targeting 151.2.
Conversely, a dip below 148.2 invalidates the bullish outlook, with 148.2 as the first target and 147.43 as the secondary target.
Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD.
Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
EURUSD: Further decline continues!Hello dear EURUSD traders, let's dive deeper into this currency pair with Smith!
Today, EURUSD couldn't resist the downward trend, aligning with our predictions from yesterday.
This pair is under pressure as USD begins to regain strength, significantly impacting this major currency pair. On the analysis chart, EURUSD is struggling to break through the resistance level of 1.080 and the nearby 34.89 EMA. Additionally, a bearish wedge is gradually forming, signaling the likelihood of this downward trend continuing soon. With the breakdown of the 1.078 level, we may not encounter any significant support until reaching 1.076.
Let's closely monitor EURUSD's upcoming movements and prepare for the next investment opportunities!
Nifty - Awaiting the Fifth Wave for a BreakoutNifty recently hit a low of 21,905 , marking a key reversal point in the trend. A well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern is emerging, with the right shoulder currently forming. The ongoing pullback has retraced to the 38.2% level, but there is potential for it to extend towards the 50% mark at 22,906 . However, the upward move appears to be losing momentum, with buying interest remaining subdued.
Based on the chart, the head of the pattern signifies the beginning of a new impulse wave. This appears to be the fourth wave within the larger first wave. Once Nifty completes this corrective phase, the fifth wave is expected to present a trading opportunity. If wave equality holds, Nifty could potentially rise to 24,857 .
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/04/2025Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23200 level then expected sharp downside upto 23050 level in opening session. Upside 23450 level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any bullish side rally can reversal from this level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(02/04/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in index near 51000 level. After opening it will face strong resistance at this level and expected reversal direction towards the 50550 level. This downside rally can extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading below 50450 level. Any bullish side rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 51050 level.
Wed 2nd Apr 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bitcoin Rejection from Resistance – Short Setup with Bullish PotBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone around $85,500, where previous price action showed strong selling pressure. A rejection from this level could lead to a short-term pullback towards $83,750 - $83,250 , aligning with a retest of the broken trendline before a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 Entry: $85,200 - $85,500
🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): $86,000
🔹 Take-Profit (TP): $83,750, with potential long re-entry from this zone targeting $86,000+
📊 Watch for price action confirmation within the resistance zone before entering. If BTC holds above $85,500, the bullish breakout could accelerate. 🚀
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3150.00
3200.00
__________________________________________________________________
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
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ForecastCity Support Team
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level.
Technical Outlook:
Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity.
1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence.
Targets:
– TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level
– TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support
$3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation.
Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025):
Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact
Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:
– Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization
– Real yields remain negative across key regions
– Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure
Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility
– Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing
– Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)
– Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises
Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential
– BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution
– Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving
– Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold
Conclusion:
Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback.
$3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside.
Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg.
Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200:
Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Zinc (ZINC) – Technical Analysis 1WThe price has broken below the 1W trendline, confirming a bearish scenario. After a fake breakout, the price moved downward and is now targeting 2551 and 2283. A breakdown below these levels could accelerate the decline. RSI shows weakening momentum, MACD signals a bearish crossover, and EMA 50/200 suggest further downside. Fundamentally, zinc prices depend on industrial demand, macroeconomic conditions, and USD strength. The main scenario is a drop to 2551 and 2283, while a recovery above 2900 could push prices toward 3100.
TradeCityPro | INJUSDT Best Trade Setup of the Week?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the most popular cryptocurrency coins, which is in a more favorable situation than the majority of altcoins together!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
On the weekly time frame, I see that the seventh period is stable, inj, and compared to the majority of altcoins that have their own low price levels, it is in a better space and is engaged in its own supports!
After breaking the primary trend ceiling, namely 9.28, we experienced a sharp upward movement and formed a historical ceiling at $53, and after forming a distribution box and breaking the important floor of 16.20 and pulling back to it, we experienced a continued decline.
We have now reached support again, which was previously a very important resistance, and now, as a result, it is probably not lost, but the weekly candle is a very good and bearish candle! Don't forget to save your profit, your strategy booklet and your positions, otherwise you will have made a 450% move without adding anything to your capital!
📉 Daily Time Frame
On the daily time frame, our trend is completely bearish as you can see and the events are completely accompanied by the formation of a downward bottom and top, but we are likely to suffer for a while.
After getting rejected from 34.16 and forming a box between 20.16 and 25.93 and losing the bottom, it made a move and then while pulling back with low volume and the next conversion to red, it became an inverted Sharpe, we experienced a decline!
Currently, we are forming a box between 8.63 and 10.68, and for selling and short positions, you can do this by breaking 8.63, and for the trigger spot risk and buying, if you feel the price is good, it is better to wait for the trend to break and do the trigger at 10.68. Let it structure.
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
#TRUMPUSDT — Breakdown or Reversal Confirmation🚀 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P — Breakdown or Reversal Confirmation? Full Breakdown on 1H & 4H!
Let’s start by analyzing the charts on different timeframes:
✅ On the 1H chart , we clearly see a reversal pattern — Inverted Head & Shoulders — and the neckline breakout has already occurred. The volume on the breakout is high, which confirms the strength of the signal.
➡️ The target for this pattern is around $10.75–$10.80, which also aligns with the upper VPOC level from the previous range.
➡️ The POC level for BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P is $10.159, which may now act as support — this can be a potential entry zone.
➡️ Nearest resistance is at $10.40. A breakout above this level could trigger an impulse move towards $10.75–$10.80.
✅ On the 4H chart , a bearish flag is forming, which could potentially push the price lower — but this scenario hasn't played out yet.
➡️ There's also a local double bottom, confirmed by a price bounce. A retest of the flag’s lower boundary will be a key moment.
Let’s break down the patterns:
✅ 1. Inverted Head & Shoulders (1H) – A classic bottom reversal formation.
➡️ The neckline breakout occurred on increased volume — a key confirmation for a long setup.
✅ 2. Volume (Volume Profile & Bars) – Strong volume spike during the breakout confirms buyer interest.
✅ 3. Price broke out of consolidation – We’ve seen an impulsive breakout and the price is holding above the neckline.
✅ 4. Local Market Structure Break (MSB) – A shift from local downtrend to an emerging uptrend.
📍 Key Point: If the price holds above $10.40, this confirms a breakout from the descending channel, increasing the chance of reaching $10.75–$11.00.
📍 Price must also stay above $10.15 and not fall back into the previous range. A retest and bounce from this level would serve as further confirmation.
📢 If the price drops back below $10.15 and breaks $9.87, the “Inverted Head & Shoulders” pattern will be invalidated. In that case, a bearish trend will likely resume and a short toward $9.50–$9.00 could be considered.
📢 On the 4H chart, the risk of the bearish flag playing out still remains. We are monitoring the structure closely — a sharp pullback is possible.
📢 The volume zone around $10.15–$10.20 is key. As long as the price stays above it — the long scenario remains dominant.
🚀 As of now, BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P has strong technical reasons to support a long bias, especially if it holds above $10.40 — that would open the door to $10.75–$11.00.
Risks remain — particularly around the 4H bearish flag — but for now, bullish momentum prevails.
🚀 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P still holds upside reversal potential — LONG scenario remains the priority!
USD/CAD Pulls Back After Hitting 1.4400FenzoFx— The USD/CAD pair hit 1.4400 but lost momentum, pulling back from resistance. Technically, USD/CAD may dip toward the 50-period SMA near 1.4330 before resuming its uptrend.
However, if USD/CAD drops below 1.4330, the bearish momentum may extend to the 1.4250 support, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Triangle Breakout in JPY/USD – Bullish Move Ahead?This TradingView chart represents a detailed technical analysis setup for the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The main focus of the chart is a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout, a common formation that signals potential price movement.
In this detailed breakdown, we will analyze the following aspects:
Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Support and Resistance Levels
Breakout Confirmation
Trading Setup Explanation
Risk Management Strategy
Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios)
Conclusion & Trading Plan
1. Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The chart showcases a symmetrical triangle, which is a continuation pattern that typically occurs in trending markets. It indicates a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers struggle for dominance, leading to an eventual breakout.
Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle in This Chart:
Converging Trendlines:
The upper trendline (resistance) is sloping downward, showing lower highs.
The lower trendline (support) is sloping upward, showing higher lows.
Apex Formation:
As the price moves closer to the triangle's apex, volatility decreases, creating a squeeze effect.
Breakout Possibility:
Once price reaches a critical point, a breakout is expected in either direction.
Why is This Pattern Important?
Symmetrical triangles suggest that the market is indecisive, but once a breakout occurs, it can trigger a strong price movement.
Traders wait for the breakout direction to confirm the trade before entering a position.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support and resistance levels are crucial for identifying potential entry, stop-loss, and target areas.
Resistance Level:
A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in beige) is drawn at the top.
This zone represents historical price rejection levels, where sellers have previously stepped in.
A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate strong bullish momentum.
Support Level:
The lower support zone (marked in blue) acts as a buying interest area.
Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, confirming it as a strong support level.
A break below this zone would signal a bearish reversal.
Trendline Support:
The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle also acts as dynamic support.
If price respects this trendline, it suggests bullish strength leading to a breakout.
3. Breakout Confirmation & Market Reaction
The most important part of the setup is the breakout, which occurs when the price successfully moves beyond the triangle's trendline resistance.
Key Observations from the Chart:
Breakout Zone:
The breakout occurs near the right edge of the triangle (circled in red).
The price breaks above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish breakout.
Confirmation Candle:
A bullish candle follows the breakout, confirming buying pressure.
Traders should wait for a retest of the trendline before entering.
Volume Consideration:
Strong breakout moves are typically accompanied by a rise in volume, increasing the likelihood of follow-through.
4. Trading Setup Explanation
This trade follows a trend-following breakout strategy, where traders capitalize on price momentum after confirmation.
Entry Point:
The ideal entry is just above the breakout candle.
Traders can also wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering.
Stop Loss Placement:
The stop loss is placed slightly below the previous swing low at 0.006652.
This prevents excessive drawdowns in case of a false breakout.
Profit Target Calculation:
The profit target is set at 0.006795, which is calculated based on:
The height of the triangle formation projected from the breakout point.
The next major resistance level, aligning with historical price action.
5. Risk Management Strategy
Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. Here’s how it is applied in this setup:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
A good trade setup maintains an RRR of at least 2:1.
If the stop loss is 33 pips (0.000033) and the target is 112 pips (0.000112), the RRR is 3:1, making this a high-probability trade.
Position Sizing Consideration:
Risk per trade should be limited to 1-2% of the total account balance.
Leverage should be used cautiously, as breakouts can sometimes retest the breakout zone before continuing.
6. Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios)
Bullish Scenario (Successful Breakout):
✅ If price sustains above the breakout level, it will likely continue to rally toward the target at 0.006795.
✅ A strong bullish momentum candle would confirm further buying pressure.
✅ If volume supports the breakout, trend continuation is highly probable.
Bearish Scenario (False Breakout or Reversal):
❌ If price falls back inside the triangle, it indicates a false breakout.
❌ If price closes below 0.006652, bears take control, and price may drop further.
❌ A breakdown below the support level would shift the market sentiment bearish.
7. Conclusion & Trading Plan
This chart presents a classic symmetrical triangle breakout trade with a clear entry, stop-loss, and target strategy.
Summary of Trading Plan:
Component Details
Pattern Symmetrical Triangle
Breakout Direction Bullish
Entry Point Above the breakout confirmation candle
Stop Loss 0.006652 (below support)
Take Profit (Target) 0.006795
Risk-to-Reward Ratio Favorable (3:1)
Market Bias Bullish (if price sustains above breakout)
Final Considerations:
Always wait for confirmation before entering.
Monitor volume and price action for additional validation.
Stick to the risk management plan to minimize losses.
If executed correctly, this setup offers a high-probability trade with a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making it a profitable trading opportunity in the JPY/USD market.
Gold heading for New ATHRowan, hello everyone!
Currently, today's gold price continues to demonstrate strength as it trades around $3,133. Clearly, this precious metal is maintaining its robust performance, having risen significantly since breaking through the $3,100 mark.
However, today's gold price has yet to achieve a major breakthrough as the market appears cautious and awaiting announcements regarding reciprocal tariffs from US President Donald Trump. At that point, a clearer picture of gold's direction will emerge.
Today we have several important milestones:
Support level at 3127
Resistance level at 3148, followed by the upper boundary of the bullish channel
Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions🟡 Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Quarter-End Volatility
Gold started April with a strong bullish gap, reaching another all-time high during the Asian session. Price is now trading near the upper bound of a multi-day structure, supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, macro uncertainty, and flight-to-safety flows.
European and UK traders should remain cautious today, as end-of-month volatility may lead to fake breakouts, stop hunts, and liquidity grabs – especially ahead of key U.S. economic data later this week.
🧠 Market Context:
Risk sentiment remains fragile as global equities faced pressure overnight.
Safe haven demand is elevated following weekend headlines tied to geopolitical conflict and natural disaster risks in Asia.
Traders are also watching the market’s reaction to Trump’s softened tone on tariffs — potentially shifting macro flows in risk assets.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price action remains bullish overall, but the pair is extended at current levels.
Expect high volatility today as monthly candles close — with a chance of both upside wicks and liquidation dips.
Scalping or reacting at well-defined zones is preferred over chasing.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3158 – 3166 – 3172 – 3180
🔻 Support: 3133 – 3122 – 3111 – 3100
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3122 – 3120
SL: 3116
TP: 3126 – 3130 – 3134 – 3138 – 3142 – 3146 – 3150
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3170 – 3172
SL: 3176
TP: 3166 – 3162 – 3158 – 3152 – 3148 – 3144 – 3140
⚠️ Final Note:
Today’s session could be chaotic with month-end flows and low liquidity pockets.
Stick to clean setups. Wait for confirmation. Always use SL/TP.
📌 If you found this plan helpful, like & follow for daily setups and institutional-level insights.
📊 Trade with structure, manage your risk, and let the market come to you.