Technical Analysis
Amazon losing weekly trendline – watch these Fibo levels nextTechnical Analysis
Amazon (AMZN) has broken below its weekly ascending trendline and failed to reclaim the key 0.618 Fibonacci level (180.52). Strong bearish volume and a weakening RSI suggest downside continuation. Key support targets lie at 161.55, 151.21, and 142.58, with extended downside to 119.12.
Fundamentals
Macro pressure from high interest rates and a slowdown in consumer spending weighs on Amazon. Intense competition in AWS and e-commerce adds uncertainty. Upcoming earnings may serve as a catalyst for directional clarity.
Scenarios:
Base case – move down toward 151.21, 142.58, 119.12
Bullish case – break above 180.52 → rally toward 207.52, 241.92
How to Analyze a Technical Chart: Practical Guide (BTC EXAMPLE)Hello, traders! ✍🏻
Understanding a chart isn't about predicting the future — it’s about recognizing what’s already happening. Whether you're evaluating a Bitcoin breakout or watching a new altcoin pump, technical chart analysis is one of the most powerful tools traders use to make sense of price movements. But how exactly do you read a technical analysis chart? What matters most — and what’s just noise?
Let’s break it down.
1. Look at the Big Picture: Price Trends and Structure
Before zooming in, zoom out. Start with the daily or weekly chart to identify the primary trend. Is the asset making higher highs and higher lows (an uptrend)? Or is it stuck in a sideways channel?
In Price Analysis, Market Structure Is Your Anchor:
Uptrend: Higher Highs and Higher Lows
Downtrend: Lower Highs and Lower Lows
Consolidation: Sideways Moves with Clear Support/Resistance
This high-level view helps you avoid common traps, like going long in a downtrend or shorting near long-term support.
2. Use Support and Resistance Like a Map
Support and resistance levels form the backbone of chart technical analysis. They show you where price reacted in the past — and likely will again.
Support: A Price Level Where Buyers Previously Stepped In.
Resistance: A Level Where Sellers Pushed Price Down.
The more times a level is tested, the more important it becomes. These zones can act as entry/exit points or as signals for potential breakouts or reversals.
3. Add Indicators — But Don’t Overload!
Indicators are helpful — if used right. The key is to complement price action, not replace it. Start Simple:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Detect Overbought/Oversold Conditions
Volume: Confirms Strength Behind Price Moves
Moving Averages: Help Identify Trends and Dynamic Support/Resistance
Avoid piling on too many indicators. If your technical analysis chart looks like a control panel, you might be overcomplicating your decision-making.
4. Timeframes Matter — And So Does Context
Don’t mix signals across timeframes without context. A bullish setup on the 15-minute chart can collapse under a bearish daily trend.
Watch for Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Weekly: Macro Trend
Daily: Trading Bias
4H/1H: Entry and Exit Planning
This layered approach helps you stay aligned with momentum while avoiding short-term noise.
Full Breakdown: Technical Chart Analysis of BTC/USDT (1W)
The BTC/USDT weekly chart presents a textbook example of how price evolves through well-defined market phases, structural levels, and momentum shifts. Let’s walk through each component in detail — not just what is shown on the chart, but also why it matters and how it’s typically identified in technical analysis.
We begin by examining the market structure. From mid-2020 to late 2021, Bitcoin followed a strong uptrend, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This kind of price action is characteristic of bullish expansion phases, where momentum builds gradually and pullbacks are shallow. Technically, an uptrend is confirmed when each new peak surpasses the previous, and support continues to form above former lows. In this case, the trend accelerated rapidly into the $60K–$70K zone before exhaustion set in.
The shift occurred in late 2021, as the market transitioned into a macro correction. From a structural standpoint, the pattern reversed — lower highs began to form, and key support levels were breached. This downtrend, lasting through 2022, is a typical bear phase in a market cycle, where distribution outweighs accumulation. Price made several failed attempts to reclaim previous highs, confirming bearish control and increased selling pressure.
What followed was an extended period of sideways movement between late 2022 and early 2023 — a classical accumulation zone. This phase is often overlooked but is critical in technical chart analysis. Here, price consolidated in a narrow range, with volatility contracting and RSI hovering near oversold territory. This kind of stabilization often signals that selling pressure has subsided and that larger players may be building positions ahead of a breakout. It is identified not just by price flattening, but by volume dropping and the absence of directional follow-through in either direction.
By mid-2023, a recovery structure began to emerge. Bitcoin started printing higher lows and eventually broke above prior resistance zones, indicating the formation of a new trend. As of early 2025, this trend appears to be unfolding, though price is once again facing historical resistance near its all-time highs — the $69K–$74K zone. This region has acted as a ceiling in both the 2021 and 2024 cycles, making it a well-established historical resistance level. In technical terms, the more times a level rejects price, the more significant it becomes, as market participants tend to place orders around such zones in anticipation of repeated behavior.
One of the most important structural zones on the chart lies around the $50K–$53K range. This mid-zone has acted as support during the 2021 bull run, flipped into resistance during the 2022 downtrend, and has once again returned to functioning as a support area in the current recovery. This phenomenon — where old support becomes new resistance and vice versa — is a classic concept in technical chart analysis, signaling that market memory is active and that this level is psychologically and technically significant.
At the lower end, the $30K level has held repeatedly across multiple market phases, establishing itself as a long-term support zone. Its durability, despite heavy corrections, suggests significant accumulation and investor interest at that level. This zone has marked major bottoms and remains a key threshold that, if broken, could signal a structural shift in sentiment.
Momentum analysis further confirms these phases. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), plotted beneath the price chart, hovered in overbought territory during both the 2021 and 2024 peaks, exceeding 70 and signaling potential exhaustion. In contrast, the RSI dipped into the 30s in 2022, aligning with the end of the downtrend and beginning of accumulation. These signals are not to be taken in isolation, but when combined with structure and volume, they add powerful confirmation to trend shifts. At the time of writing, RSI sits around 48 — neutral ground, indicating the market has not yet committed to a new directional move.
This layered approach — combining trend structure, support and resistance zones, and momentum indicators like RSI — is fundamental to technical chart analysis. It enables traders to navigate through market noise and identify phases of expansion, correction, and re-accumulation with greater clarity. Each of these elements, when aligned, increases the probability of high-conviction setups and helps avoid emotionally driven decisions in volatile environments.
Final Thought
Mastering technical chart analysis isn’t about memorizing patterns — it’s about training your eyes to read structure, sentiment, and context. And like any skill, the more charts you read, the sharper you get.
This is only an isolated analysis of the macro trend — a high-level look at Bitcoin’s price structure using weekly timeframes. In reality, technical analysis can be performed across multiple timeframes, combining far more indicators, chart patterns, and volume-based tools depending on your strategy and goals.
Platforms like TradingView offer a wide range of features for deeper technical insight — from advanced oscillators to custom scripting and community-driven indicators. The chart above serves as a historical case study, not a trading signal. It provides a reference point for how sentiment shifts can be visualized over time through structure and momentum.
If you’d like to explore other educational breakdowns or real-time analysis, feel free to check out more content on our TradingView page. This post is not financial advice, but 100% a technical perspective on past price action and market behavior.
💬 What’s your go-to indicator or setup when doing token price analysis?
This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
ETHUSDT – Eyeing a Potential Rejection Near 1650 ResistanceEthereum is currently in a downtrend, and the recent upward move appears to be part of a correctional phase. Price is now approaching the descending trendline and a key resistance area around $1650, which previously acted as support.
This zone could serve as a potential rejection area, especially if the broader bearish structure holds.
BTCUSDT – Watching for a Potential Short Near 87KBitcoin is currently trading within a broader downtrend, and the recent bullish move appears to be a correctional phase within that structure. Price is approaching a key resistance zone around $87,000, which aligns with the descending trendline and a previous support-turned-resistance level.
This confluence zone could act as a strong rejection area, offering a potential selling opportunity if bearish confirmation is seen. I’ll be watching for reversal signals (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, momentum divergence) around that level to validate a short setup.
NATGAS is Bearish: A Consolidation Phase Could be AheadFenzoFx—NATGAS dipped below $3.43 support on April 14, trading at approximately $3.22. The Stochastic Oscillator exited oversold territory, signaling possible consolidation before a downtrend resumes.
Bearish trends persist below $3.66, with potential price dips toward $3.08.
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Ethereum Trades Sideways Testing Critical Support FenzoFx—Ethereum trades sideways, unable to surpass $1,690 resistance. Currently, it hovers at $1,565, testing this level as support.
The bearish trend persists below $1,755. Stabilization under $1,565 may lead to dips toward $1,470 and potentially $1,370 if selling pressure increases.
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Crude Oil AnalysisFenzoFx—Crude Oil started a bullish wave from $55.15, trading at around $62.20. Momentum slowed near $63.90 resistance.
The Stochastic Oscillator indicates short-term overpricing as Crude Oil remains below $63.90, keeping the bearish trend intact. Price may dip toward $58.90 support, with further pressure potentially driving it to $55.15.
If Crude Oil surpasses $63.90, the bearish outlook invalidates, targeting $65.10 resistance.
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GBPUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Ahead! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
I see 2 strong intraday price action signals
on GBPUSD on an hourly time frame.
The price formed a double bottom pattern after a test of the underlined support.
Its neckline and a resistance line of a falling channel were broken
with London session opening.
We can expect a bullish continuation now.
Goal - 1.3271
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#PARTIUSDT is showing signs of a reversal🚀 The price BYBIT:PARTIUSDT.P is showing signs of a reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
🚀 The scenario becomes more likely if the price holds above $0.1520 with increasing volume.
🚀 Watch for a breakout and confirmation above the $0.1500–$0.1520 zone — this would strengthen the bullish setup.
🚀 If volume picks up during the continuation of the move, a quick push toward $0.18 is possible.
📈 LONG BYBIT:PARTIUSDT.P from $0.1533
🛡 Stop loss: $0.1492
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
✅ Overview:
➡️ The price has broken out above the Bearish Flag, confirming a break in the downtrend structure.
➡️ The Double Bottom formation increases the likelihood of an upward move.
➡️ Entry at $0.1533 is just above the resistance zone and confirms the breakout.
➡️ The upward potential remains toward $0.1600 and beyond, aiming for the POC volume area.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.1555
💎 TP 2: $0.1575
💎 TP 3: $0.1600
📢 Support zone: $0.1500–$0.1510 — must hold to maintain the bullish structure.
📢 If price consolidates above $0.1555, expect a potential acceleration toward $0.1600.
📢 A drop below $0.1492 invalidates the scenario — stop is mandatory.
🚀 BYBIT:PARTIUSDT.P breaks key level — bullish signal confirmed! Watch for continuation!
Sanathan Textiles | Breakout After Rounded Bottom Setup Overview:
The stock has formed a rounded bottom pattern, indicating accumulation and a potential breakout.
Strong bullish weekly candle with a 10% gain and breakout above resistance box.
RSI showing an upward breakout from oversold zone = bullish momentum building.
Recommendation
Buy Zone: ₹410–₹420 (current market price ₹417.60)
Stoploss: ₹378 (below last higher low and box bottom)
Target 1: ₹480
Target 2: ₹525
Target 3 (swing): ₹600+
⏳ Ideal for swing to medium-term traders (1–8 weeks holding time).
for educational purposes only
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/04/2025Slightly gap down expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 23300 level then expected nifty will consolidated between 23300 to 23500 level in today's session. Any strong rally in index only expected breakout of this level. Strong upside rally expected if nifty starts trading above 23500 level in today's session.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 17, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇪🇺 ECB Expected to Cut Rates Amid Trade Pressures: The European Central Bank is anticipated to reduce its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% during its meeting on April 17. This expected move aims to counteract the economic impact of recent U.S. tariffs and a strengthening euro, which have contributed to disinflationary pressures in the eurozone.
📉 German Inflation Decline Supports Easing: Germany's inflation rate fell more than expected in March, dropping to 2.3% from 2.6% in February. This decline, driven by falling oil prices and a sluggish economy, bolsters the case for further interest rate cuts by the ECB.
🤖 AI Enhances ECB Policy Predictions: A study by the German Institute for Economic Research indicates that artificial intelligence significantly improves the accuracy of forecasting ECB monetary policy decisions. By analyzing ECB communications, AI models can better anticipate policy shifts.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, April 17:
🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 1.420 million
Previous: 1.501 million
Indicates the number of new residential construction projects begun, reflecting housing market strength.
🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 3.7
Previous: 12.5
Measures manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region, providing insights into sector health.
📈 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 223,000
Previous: 223,000
Reports the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, reflecting labor market conditions.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
FUN/USDT In an Uptrend, Watching for Correction at Key SupportFUN/USDT has been in a solid uptrend, but we are now seeing a correction phase. The price is approaching a critical support zone around 0.007460, where previous price action has shown both support and resistance. This level is important to watch, as it could provide a potential buying opportunity if price reacts here. A break below could suggest further downside, but if support holds, a bounce toward the recent highs is possible. Monitoring closely for confirmation at this key level.
EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 162.100 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 162.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BITCOIN Supply Demand Short ALERT1) See picture for full analysis...
Higher Timframe:
-Price inside supply
-Trend = downtrend
-Stochastic RSI overbought
Lower Timeframe:
-Need break to break support + break upward trend-line + quality supply created.
- IF price does the following then possible pullback for short OR look for scalp/day-trade shorts
to the downside with 1TF setups.
#supplyanddemand #supportandresistance
Sundaram Finance | Falling Wedge Breakout with Strong Volume Pattern: Falling Wedge breakout followed by consolidation (bullish continuation).
Breakout Confirmation: Clean breakout from both the wedge and the consolidation box with strong volume.
Indicators:
Volume: Spike visible (🔵 arrow) – confirming strength.
RSI: Crossed above 60 – entering bullish momentum territory.
EMAs: Price trading above all major EMAs – trend supportive.
Buy Recommendation:
Entry Range: ₹340–₹350
(Post-breakout retest may offer ideal entries if available)
🎯 Target Levels:
Short-Term Target: ₹375
Mid-Term Target: ₹410–₹425
(Based on previous swing highs and wedge height projection)
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL Level: ₹320 (below the consolidation box low)
for educational purposes only
ICICI Prudential Life – Turning the Corner?After months of steady decline inside a falling channel, ICICI Prudential Life is showing early signs of reversal. The stock has recently broken out of its channel with a strong bullish weekly candle, closing at ₹571.70 with a +4.5% gain. Volume is picking up, and RSI is curling up above 40 with a bullish divergence—indicating momentum is building. Price is now near a key resistance zone (~₹590–₹610); a clean breakout here could confirm trend reversal.
📊 Financial Snapshot
Net Premium Income: ₹10,169 Cr vs ₹9,465 Cr ⬆️
PAT: ₹226 Cr vs ₹221 Cr (flat YoY)
VNB Margin: Healthy at 26.7%
Embedded Value: ₹47,020 Cr
Solvency Ratio: Strong at 211%
AUM: ₹2.88 Lakh Cr
💡 Why Consider Buying?
Reversal setup after long correction
Attractive risk-reward near base
Steady premium growth, strong solvency
Long-term growth play on India’s underpenetrated life insurance sector
🚫 Risks / Why to Wait:
Resistance at ₹590–₹610 still intact
PAT growth has been flat
Sector sentiment can be sensitive to interest rate trends
🎯 Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: ₹565–575
Target 1: ₹610
Target 2: ₹660
Stop Loss: ₹540
for educational purposes only
Bearish Momentum Eases at 141.70 Support in USD/JPYFenzoFx—The USD/JPY currency pair resumed its bearish trend after breaking below 144.56 but steadied at the 141.70 support level. Indicators show sideways movement, reflecting a lack of momentum.
With the price below the 50-period moving average, the bearish outlook persists. If the pair stabilizes below 141.70, the downtrend may deepen, while surpassing 144.56 could pave the way for a rise toward 148.20.
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USDCHF: Your Next Bearish Signal 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is consolidating after a massive selloff that we saw last week.
The price formed inside bar candlestick pattern and is currently
stuck within the range of the mother's bar.
Your next confirmation to sell will be a violation and a candle close
below 0.8098.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling then
and reach at least 0.8 psychological level.
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GBP/USD Breaks $1.3202: Bullish Market InsightsFenzoFx—The GBP/USD currency pair shows strong bullish momentum, breaking above $1.3202 yesterday. With overbought signals from the Stochastic indicator, a consolidation phase may lead to declines toward $1.3144 and $1.3030.
Traders should watch for bullish candlestick patterns near these support levels.
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