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CENTRAL DEPO SER (I) LTD – Supply Zone Test Price has entered a major supply zone (₹1,390–₹1,440). Strong BOS (Break of Structure) confirms bullish momentum. RSI supports strength; breakout looks likely on volume surge.📌 Trade Plan (Swing/Positional): Buy above: ₹1,445 (on breakout + closing basis) Stoploss: ₹1,365 Target 1: ₹1,580 Target 2: ₹1,720 Sell Below (Rejection): ₹1,360 (if price gets rejected at supply) 🔍 Technical Highlights: BOS and CHoCH indicate structure shift from bearish to bullish Currently testing supply zone after BOS Volume increasing with bullish candles RSI approaching overbought — breakout likely, but confirmation needed For Education Purposes Only
NSE:CDSLLong
by rmhetre15
JPY/USD Breakout from Curve Line – Targeting Upper Resistance JPY/USD presents a classic curve bottom formation, which is a powerful technical structure indicating accumulation by smart money. It’s supported by key price action behaviors like support/resistance flips, retesting confirmation, and a well-defined target zone. Let’s break it down piece by piece. 📉 1. Curve Formation – Accumulation Phase The most noticeable element here is the parabolic (curve) structure formed between October 2024 and March 2025. This kind of structure often reflects a slow accumulation process: Price dips over several months form a rounded bottom — also called a saucer pattern. This shows institutional players are quietly accumulating, while retail traders are often trapped in sell-side positions. As the curve matures, the volume and momentum begin to shift, signaling the beginning of a bullish breakout. This accumulation curve is bullish by nature and becomes even more potent when followed by a breakout and retest. 🔄 2. SR Flip Zone (Support-Resistance Interchange) One of the most critical concepts in price action is the SR flip — where old resistance turns into new support. In this case: The yellow-shaded zone previously acted as resistance — confirmed by multiple rejections. After the breakout, this same zone is being retested as support — a healthy technical confirmation that the market has accepted higher prices. This flip zone is a launchpad for continuation to the upside. 📍 3. Retest Confirmation – Smart Entry Opportunity Zooming into recent price action: The market pulled back cleanly into the SR zone and the curve line. The confluence of horizontal support and the curved trendline makes this an extremely strong retest zone. Buyers stepped in with force, suggesting that demand is active at this level. This retest is where risk-to-reward is optimized. The ideal entries usually happen when price confirms structure after a breakout — not before. 🎯 4. Target Zone – Next Bullish Objective The next logical target is shown in the blue box above (~0.00705–0.00710). Here's why this zone is important: It marks a previous supply/resistance area. It aligns with psychological round numbers and past consolidation. A measured move from the bottom of the curve also aligns with this target. In essence, it is the profit-taking zone where the market is likely to pause or reverse temporarily. 🔎 5. Insider Supply & Central Zone – Institutional Traces The chart labels an “Insider Supply” area at the base of the curve. This implies: Hidden accumulation likely occurred at this level. Institutions tend to trap retail sellers during these periods with false breakdowns. Once they’ve loaded up, price shifts upward in a controlled fashion — exactly what has happened here. The Central Zone is the battlefield — the area where prior indecision took place, which has now turned into a stepping stone for upward movement. 💡 Strategy Recap: Parameter Value Entry Retest of SR Flip (0.00680–0.00685) Stop Loss Below curve base (~0.00670 or lower) Target 0.00705–0.00710 R/R Ratio 1:2 or better This strategy is technically sound, supported by structure, and has strong reward potential. 🧠 Market Psychology: Smart money accumulates when price is quiet and sentiment is bearish. After accumulation, a controlled markup begins, with retests engineered to confirm the breakout. Retail traders tend to enter late or get faked out — while institutions already hold positions. This chart is a textbook example of how professional traders operate and manage structure-based risk. 🏁 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability technical setup built on multiple layers of confluence: Curve structure SR flip Demand zone retest Momentum shift If momentum continues, the 0.00710 zone is a very realistic short-term target. Traders should manage risk tightly and monitor price behavior near the upper resistance box.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Double Top Breakdown & Target – Bearish Reversal in Play?In today’s analysis, we focus on Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, which is currently presenting a high-probability bearish reversal setup. The price action has completed a Double Top pattern — a classic reversal formation — and has broken down below its neckline support, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. This chart setup is particularly valuable for swing traders, pattern traders, and anyone seeking to anticipate mid-term directional moves in the commodities market. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔷 1. Double Top Formation: The Double Top pattern forms after a sustained uptrend and is identified by two peaks at nearly the same level. In this case: Top 1 formed near $35.5. Top 2 retested the same zone but failed to break above. The neckline support — drawn across the $28 zone — was eventually broken. This price action confirms the classic M-shaped structure, signaling distribution and potential bearish continuation. 🔷 2. Neckline and Breakdown: After failing at Top 2, price dropped below the neckline, breaking critical horizontal support. This move completed the pattern, triggering many technical sell signals. Price is now retesting the neckline zone, a common phenomenon where broken support becomes resistance (known as a "retest"). This retest offers a textbook short opportunity if bearish confirmation follows. 🔷 3. Curve Resistance: The upper curved blue line represents dynamic resistance. It has successfully capped price action across multiple attempts and aligns with the pattern's second top — enhancing the strength of this rejection area. 🧱 Support & Resistance Zones: Resistance Zone: $34.50–$35.50 Strong resistance from both peaks (Top 1 & Top 2) and historical sellers. Neckline / Retest Zone: ~$28.00 Now acting as resistance — this is the critical level to watch for rejection or breakout. Support Zones / Take-Profit Levels: TP1: ~$26.40 — aligns with recent horizontal structure and minor support. TP2: ~$22.58 — matches major historical support and measured move projection from the Double Top pattern. 📉 Measured Move Target (Pattern Projection): To calculate the target from a Double Top: Measure the height from top to neckline. Project that downward from the neckline’s breakout point. In this case: Height: ~$35.5 – $28 = $7.5 Breakdown point: $28 – $7.5 = Target near $20.5–22.5 The TP2 at $22.58 matches this logic — further validating the downside potential. 🔄 Market Psychology & Sentiment: This pattern reflects a shift in sentiment: Bulls tried and failed twice to push through resistance. The eventual breakdown shows bearish conviction, and the ongoing retest represents a decision point. If sellers hold this level, we could see a cascade of downside pressure as stops are triggered and momentum builds. 🛠️ Trade Setup & Scenarios: 📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (High Probability): If price fails to reclaim the neckline (now resistance) and forms bearish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, rejection wick, breakdown below $31), this confirms a likely move toward TP1 and TP2. Entry Idea: Short on rejection from the $28–$29 zone Stop-Loss: Above $30 TP1: $26.40 TP2: $22.58 📌 Scenario 2 – Invalidated Pattern: If bulls push price back above the neckline ($29–$30 zone) with strong volume and daily close, this invalidates the setup and may lead to: Bullish continuation toward $32–$34 Possible trend resumption if curve resistance breaks 🧠 Educational Notes: Double Tops are most reliable when: Formed at the top of strong uptrends. Followed by a neckline break with volume. Retested with rejection. The retest phase is often the best risk/reward entry because: It confirms resistance. Offers clear invalidation levels. Keeps your stop tight while targeting deeper moves. 📢 Final Thoughts: Silver is currently at a critical technical juncture. The Double Top breakdown has played out, and now all eyes are on the retest. If bears defend the neckline, this setup provides a strong case for continued downside, offering a clean structure with well-defined targets. ⚠️ Risk Management is crucial — always manage your position size and respect invalidation zones.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD - Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge Pattern | Target Bitcoin has broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a bullish reversal that aligns with the broader market sentiment. Let’s examine this setup in detail, from pattern recognition to key support/resistance levels and trade planning. 🧠 Pattern Analysis – Falling Wedge Formation The chart displays a textbook Falling Wedge, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It’s characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, showing a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal point. Formation Period: This wedge developed over a multi-week period (Feb–April 2025). Structure: Each swing high and swing low forms lower highs and lower lows inside the wedge. Breakout Confirmation: Price has decisively broken above the upper trendline of the wedge, validating a potential bullish continuation. 👉 Falling Wedge patterns are often seen near the end of a corrective move and suggest accumulation before a rally. 🔎 Key Technical Zones 🔸 Resistance Zone (~$103K–$105K) This area has historically acted as a strong resistance zone. Price is currently consolidating just below this region, indicating a possible breakout retest or a temporary pause before the next leg up. 🔸 Trendline Support A new rising trendline has emerged post-breakout, acting as dynamic support. Price has respected this trendline multiple times, forming higher highs and higher lows — a strong bullish signal. 🔸 SR Interchange Zone (~ GETTEX:92K –$94K) Previously acted as resistance; now flipped to support. This makes it a critical level where bulls may defend positions, and a good place for a stop-loss. 🔸 Support Zone (~$75K–$78K) Major historical support area where the wedge bottom formed. Buyers stepped in aggressively in this zone during the final leg of the wedge. 🎯 Trade Plan This setup offers a clearly defined risk-reward profile based on breakout trading principles. 📌 Entry Idea: Current consolidation near resistance offers two entry strategies: Aggressive Entry: Near current price, anticipating breakout continuation. Conservative Entry: On a confirmed breakout above $105K or a pullback to trendline support around GETTEX:98K –$100K. ✅ Target: $112,116 Measured by projecting the height of the wedge from the breakout point. Also aligns with a previous key structural high, adding confluence to the target. ⛔ Stop Loss: $93,294 Strategically placed just below the SR interchange zone and rising trendline. Protects against potential fakeouts or trendline breaks. 📉 Risk Management Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2:1 or higher depending on entry point. Always use proper position sizing. Be prepared to cut the trade if price closes below trendline and SR zone on high volume. 🔮 Outlook and Strategy This breakout suggests Bitcoin may be entering a renewed bullish phase. If macro conditions remain favorable and price sustains above key support zones, we could see continuation toward the $112K region. However, it’s important to monitor: Volume: Watch for rising volume on any breakout above the resistance zone. Market Sentiment: External factors (e.g., news, ETF flows, regulatory updates) may influence the move. Trendline behavior: A break and close below the rising support line may invalidate the setup. 💬 Final Thoughts This is a technically clean setup combining a bullish pattern breakout, supportive structure (trendline & SR zones), and a logical target based on classical charting. If Bitcoin maintains current momentum, traders may see significant upside in the coming weeks.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD – Bullish Flag Breakout & Black curve Line | Target Gold (XAUUSD) is currently shaping a textbook bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, signaling a potential continuation of the strong uptrend that started late last year. This setup, when combined with the custom-drawn Black Mind Curve, provides a structured and disciplined approach for identifying entry, retest, stop loss, and profit targets. Let’s break it down in detail: 🔍 1. Flagpole: The Impulse Move The rally from around $2,550 in December 2024 to nearly $3,330 in April 2025 formed a steep and aggressive uptrend, which now serves as the flagpole of our pattern. This impulsive wave represents strong buying momentum and is the backbone of the entire bullish flag structure. It shows institutional interest and heavy volume participation in gold, likely driven by macroeconomic factors such as inflation hedging, USD weakness, or geopolitical uncertainty. 🔷 2. Bullish Flag: The Consolidation Zone Following the peak, gold entered a consolidation phase, forming two parallel descending trendlines, indicating healthy profit-taking and temporary market indecision. This is not a reversal but rather a pause in the trend, often seen before the next leg higher. This down-sloping consolidation resembles a flag pattern—a reliable bullish continuation formation where the price temporarily contracts before a breakout. The flag pattern is still valid as long as price remains inside or breaks above the upper boundary with momentum. 📈 3. Breakout Signal and Retesting Level As of now, price is testing the upper boundary of the flag. A bullish breakout is anticipated once price closes above the $3,300–$3,350 resistance zone. Following the breakout, a pullback to retest this same level is expected, forming a new support zone—a classic "breakout–retest–rally" setup. 💡 Retest Zone: $3,300 to $3,350 This is your key zone to watch for confirmation. A bounce here could offer the best risk-reward entry. 🛡️ 4. Stop Loss Placement: Protecting Your Capital To manage risk effectively, the stop loss should be placed below the lower boundary of the flag, and ideally just under the psychological round number at $2,970. This protects your trade from a false breakout or sudden trend reversal while keeping the risk/reward ratio favorable. 🎯 5. Target Projection: Measured Move Strategy We use the height of the flagpole (approximately $750) and project it upward from the breakout point to estimate the target price. 📌 Target Level: $4,318 (approx.) This aligns with technical confluence and psychological resistance above the $4,300 level. If momentum remains strong and the macro environment continues to support gold prices, this level is a very realistic short-to-medium-term target. 🧠 6. The Black Mind Curve: A Unique Trend Framework The chart features a custom “Black Mind Curve”, a smooth parabolic line following the overall trend structure. This curve acts as a visual guide for trend strength, suggesting that gold is respecting a higher time frame uptrend trajectory. It helps reinforce that the bullish structure is still intact—even during short-term pullbacks—by mapping the psychological rhythm of market participants. This curve is especially useful for swing traders who need to maintain conviction during consolidations. 🧠 Trading Psychology (Mind Framework): "Charts show the facts; your mind interprets the truth." Here’s the psychological approach for this trade: Recognize the Setup: Bullish flag is forming—observe, don’t rush. Wait for Confirmation: Let price break out and retest—avoid FOMO. Act on Logic: Enter with defined stop and target—keep emotions out. Stay Disciplined: Don’t move stop loss irrationally—trust your setup. Let the Market Work: Once the trade is active, manage it calmly. 🔁 Summary of Trade Plan: ✅ Entry: On confirmed breakout and successful retest of $3,300–$3,350 ✅ Stop Loss: Below $2,970 ✅ Target: $4,318 ✅ Pattern Type: Bullish Flag + Trend Curve Support ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ (Ideal setup) 📝 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability bullish continuation pattern supported by strong technical structure and psychological market behavior. The breakout is likely to attract institutional flows, especially if it aligns with fundamental tailwinds like falling interest rates or rising inflation. Stay patient, wait for the retest confirmation, and trade with discipline. Gold is poised for a potential new leg higher—and this setup provides a structured roadmap to ride that move confidently.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSDT: The ‘Parabolic Channel’ Play – $250 K to $500 K … then?⚙️ Chart Specs Ticker / Pair: BTCUSDT Time-Frame: 1W (log scale) Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (default), 7-year logarithmic channel, long-term trend-lines & Fib extensions Date of publish: 17 May 2025 1️⃣ Macro Context Bitcoin just printed a decisive weekly close above the mid-line of its 2017-2025 log channel while the Ichimoku Cloud has flipped full-bull (span A > span B). Post-2024 halving supply shock + macro liquidity rotation = strong tail-wind. 2️⃣ Projected Path Phase Target zone % from breakout Key confluence Break & sprint $255-270 K ~+140 % Vacuum above former ATH; minimal supply Euphoria stretch $375 K ~+250 % Channel ceiling + 2.0 Fib Blow-off wick $500-520 K ~+380 % 2.618 Fib extension + typical overshoot Dashed white arrows on the chart sketch the base-case impulse and an optional “melt-up” extension. 3️⃣ Post-parabola Retrace Historical cycles point to a -50 ~ -60 % draw-down once the upper red rail is tagged. I’m watching: $255-250 K → first liquidity pocket / mid-channel $215-210 K → 0.5 Fib retrace of the entire move Either zone could reset weekly momentum while preserving the uptrend. 4️⃣ Invalidation Levels Weekly close < $92 K → breakout failure → bias flips neutral, potential slide to red mid-line ~$75 K. Close below channel base $60 K → macro thesis void, shift to bear bias. 5️⃣ Illustrative Trade Plan (not financial advice) Leg Entry TP(s) Stop Impulse swing Weekly close > $120 K $255 K / $375 K Weekly close < $92 K Blow-off punt Break > $375 K on volume Trail toward $500 K 2-week trailing low Retrace reload Bullish SFP at $255-210 K Ride next cycle Close < $200 K 📝 Take-aways Base target sits in the $250 K region; exuberant extension eyes $500 K. Expect aggressive mean reversion once the upper rail is hit. Clear invalidations help keep emotions in check amid extreme volatility. ⚠️ This is an educational study,
Long
by AKAmaestro
Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions. More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow. The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Will AUDJPY rebound?FX_IDC:AUDJPY had recently corrected lower, but continues to trade above a broken downside resistance line. Will we see a push back up anytime soon? Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom