Ready to Skyrocket? Story/USDT at Key Level!The chart shows a strong uptrend, respecting an ascending trendline with three confirmed touches (1, 2, and 3). The price is currently testing a minor resistance zone, which has previously acted as a rejection point.
At this moment, the price is near the trendline for a potential fourth retest (marked as "4?"). If the trendline holds, it could act as a springboard for another upward move, potentially breaking the minor resistance and continuing the bullish trend.
Technical Analysis
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.26.2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸🤔 U.S. Consumer Confidence Dives 🤔: American consumer confidence fell to 98.3 in February (down from 105.3 in January), The steepest one-month drop since 2021.
🇩🇪📉 German GDP Contracts 📉: Germany’s economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4 2024 (quarter-on-quarter), confirming a downturn in Europe’s largest economy. Recession concerns in the Eurozone could influence global growth sentiment as exports and industry show signs of weakness.
🇺🇸💱 Fed Rate Cut Bets Trimmed 💱: Markets are now pricing in only one 25bps rate reduction in 2025 (versus two previously expected),
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Wednesday, Feb 26:
🏠 MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00 ET) 🏠: Last week’s applications fell -6.6% amid rising interest rates. Traders will watch if lower demand continues, as higher borrowing costs cool the housing market.
🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 ET) 🏠: Consensus expects around 680K units (vs 698K in December). This Jan report will show if higher mortgage rates are slowing home sales or if housing demand remains resilient to start 2025.
🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 ET) 🛢️: Last week, inventories rose to about 432.5 million barrels. A larger-than-expected draw could boost oil prices, while a build might ease price pressures (and inflation concerns).
💬 Fed’s Bostic Speaks (12:00 ET) 💬: Markets will monitor his commentary for any hints on monetary policy or growth/inflation views.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
BTC/USDT Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Ahead?📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
🔻 Trend Breakdown:
BTC is in a descending triangle pattern, with lower highs forming resistance.
The price has broken below the trendline, indicating bearish momentum.
📊 Key Levels:
📍 EMA 200 (Red Line): 100,411.25 USDT – Acts as major resistance.
📍 Current Price: 97,815.98 USDT – Trading below the 200 EMA, confirming bearish sentiment.
📍 Support Zone: 95,000 USDT – A retest could occur before further downside.
📍 Target: 89,351.53 USDT – The chart suggests a potential drop to this level.
⚠️ Bearish Signals:
✅ Price rejected from descending resistance.
✅ Below the 200 EMA – Bearish confirmation.
✅ Breakout from the structure, signaling further downside.
💡 Conclusion:
If BTC stays below the resistance zone, expect further decline toward 89,350 USDT.
If bulls regain control above 100,400 USDT, trend reversal could happen.
🚨 Trade Caution: Monitor volume and price action near the key support! 🧐
EUR/JPY Tests Key Support at 156.00 – Breakdown or Bounce?📉 EUR/JPY edges lower to 156.38 (-0.22%) as sellers pressure key support.
🔎 Technical Setup:
156.00 major horizontal support holding for now.
Bearish bias intact below 50-day EMA (160.08) & 200-day EMA (161.87).
Break below 156.00 could open downside toward 152.50-153.00.
📊 Momentum Indicators:
RSI at 36.62 → Not oversold yet, but approaching key levels.
MACD remains bearish, confirming ongoing downside pressure.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Bulls must defend 156.00 or risk further selling pressure.
A break & close below 156.00 could accelerate losses toward 152.50.
Bulls need a reclaim of 158.50-160.00 for trend reversal.
🚀 Decision point for EUR/JPY – will 156.00 hold?
📌 Watching daily close for confirmation.
- MW
Bitcoin Breaks Key Support: What’s Next?📉 BTC/USD plunges -5.48% to 86,539, breaking below 91,000 support
🔎 Key Technical Breakdown:
Massive rejection at 91,000, flipping it into resistance.
Price is now testing the 200-day EMA (85,641) → Crucial for short-term trend.
Fib retracement levels:
38.2% @ 86,672 (in play now)
50.0% @ 79,616 (next major support)
61.8% @ 72,559 (deeper pullback scenario)
📊 Momentum Shift Bearish:
RSI at 27.26 → Deeply oversold (potential short-term bounce?)
MACD accelerating downward → Bearish confirmation.
⚠️ What’s Next?
Bulls must hold the 200-day EMA or risk a drop toward 79,616 (50% Fib).
A recovery above 91,000 would be needed to shift sentiment bullish again.
Critical moment for BTC – will buyers step in here?
📌 Watching reaction at 86,500-85,600 zone closely.
- MW
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.600 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 149.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
My Long-term BTC Idea March 2025 IMPORTANT MONTH FOR BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) Analysis - Not Financial Advice
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are real trend lines that you can draw yourself. While the current trend appears bearish, it might also present a good buying opportunity. Personally, I’ve struggled to trade Bitcoin successfully because emotions often get the better of me. For instance, I saw WIF at $0.02 but didn’t buy because I had also seen it at $0.00002. This example highlights that the current price isn’t always a reason to avoid buying. That said, I am currently holding off.
Key Insights from the Chart:
Current Price Action: BTC is around $86,845, correcting after hitting a high near $96,500. It appears to be testing a support line within an ascending channel.
Trend Channels:
The broader ascending channel (orange lines) suggests a long-term bullish trend.
Mid-range correction lines and resistance levels (purple lines) highlight key price zones.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support: $69,077, $64,877, and $49,673.
Major resistance: $109,087 (upper boundary of the orange channel).
Buying Zones:
Golden Buy Zone: Around $15,446, ideal for long-term entries during deep corrections.
Perfect Buy Zone: Slightly above $29,166, a strong buy area if BTC pulls back.
Bear Market Bottom: Approximately $40,147, a solid long-term support level.
Market Outlook:
Short-term: The correction might continue until BTC tests the mid-level purple line or the $73,721 level. A bounce from these levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially pushing toward the $109,000 target.
Long-term: If BTC stays within the ascending orange channel, a long-term target above $109,000 remains realistic.
Risk Factors: A break below the correction line or falling outside the channel would indicate a bearish reversal.
Personal Perspective:
With the monthly candle closing in three days, BTC needs to push upward to form a wick, signaling bullish potential. If not, attention shifts to the weekly candle. Predicting the outcome is uncertain—this could either be a buying opportunity or a liquidation zone. Remember, back in 2021, BTC hit FWB:65K , then dropped to $30k, which turned out to be a great buying opportunity as it later surged to $67k.
Altcoin Season:
Some believe altcoin season is coming, but I think it already happened in 2024. Raydium (RAY) soared from $0.12 to $9, and coins like WIF and Fartcoin also surged. Unfortunately, many low-quality coins have been pumping, with less-experienced investors driving the trend.
Conclusion:
Despite the current bearish sentiment, this market phase might offer solid buying opportunities if key support levels hold. The next few days are crucial—watch how the monthly candle closes and monitor the weekly candle for further signals. As always, trade carefully, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
BTC Potential Drop to $72K: 3 Signs Indicating a Trend BreatherBitcoin has been on an incredible run, but I believe we may be heading for a pullback toward $72K. There are three key signs that suggest a breather is due:
Double Top Formation – We've seen a clear double top pattern forming, signaling a potential reversal.
RSI Divergence – The RSI is showing divergence from price action, often a sign that the momentum is weakening.
Overbought Conditions – Bitcoin has been in overbought territory for a while now, suggesting that a correction could be on the horizon.
Keep an eye on these factors as they could play a big role in where BTC goes next. Stay cautious and be prepared for potential volatility.
I hope you find it helpful!
Take care and keep it shiny.
Kina ♥
Dollar Index (DXY): Pullback From Resistance
I think we may see a local bearish continuation after a test
of a key daily/intraday resistance.
A local Change of Character on an hourly clearly shows the strength of the sellers.
The index may retrace at least to 106.53
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Federal Bank Close To Fib LevelsAs of 25th Feb 2025, The Federal bank, on a monthly timeframe is heading towards its 50% fibonacci levels on monthly timeframe.
However, on daily and weekly timeframe, the stock might look bullish but the major timeframe is contrarian to both daily and weekly timeframe.
Disclaimer: I am an NISM XV Certified research analyst, I am not SEBI registered. Hence, kindly consider this as learning about fibonacci and not a recommendation.
Please consult your investment advisor before investing.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/02/2025Slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 22500 level then possible sharp downside of 150-200 points occurs in nifty. This downside rally can goes upto the 22300 level. Upside 22750 will act as a major resistance for today's session. Any upside rally can be reversal from this level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(25/02/2025)Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in banknifty near 48550 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 48450 level then possible strong downside rally in index towards the 48050 level. Any bullish side rally only expected if it's sustain above 48550 level. Upside 48950 level will act as a strong resistance. Any bullish side rally can be reversal from this level.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs on Canada and Mexico 📈: President Donald Trump has confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will proceed on March 4, 2025. This decision may impact trade relations and market dynamics.
🇰🇷💰 Bank of Korea Rate Cut 💰: The Bank of Korea is expected to reduce its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on February 25, aiming to support economic growth amid recent slowdowns.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, Feb 25:
🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities, offering insights into the housing market trends.
📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.1 from January's 104.1, indicating potential shifts in consumer behavior.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis