Bitcoin Potential DownsidesBINANCE:BTCUSDT Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSD for a selling opportunity around 89,500 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89,500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
VIX – “Liquidity Pool Bounce & Reversal Setup”🟢 VIX – “Liquidity Pool Bounce & Reversal Setup”
📅 Date: April 22, 2025
⏰ Multi-Timeframe Analysis (12h, 1D, 1h, 30m, 5m)
🔎 Global Context:
The Volatility Index (VIX) is reacting to a clear institutional liquidity zone (blue area) across multiple timeframes (12h, 1D, 1h), aligning with a mean reversion move following the explosive rally earlier this month. We’re seeing multiple signs of a potential bullish reversal:
Previous lows + demand zone confluence
Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) events on lower timeframes
Implied divergence from equities (not shown here, but inferred)
Strong rejection from the institutional block (26.345–26.600)
🔍 Technical Analysis & Justification:
📌 Wyckoff & Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
On 30m and 1h charts, we observe several CHoCH and BOS events suggesting a transition from redistribution into accumulation.
The latest bearish move failed to break the weak low zone (26.345), indicating a liquidity grab trap.
📌 Fibonacci & Moving Averages:
Price touched the 78.6%–88.6% retracement from the previous bullish leg.
EMAs 8/21 (Orange/Blue) are about to cross bullish on 5m and 30m – a typical trigger for a new impulsive move.
EMA200 (White) still hovers above – likely target of the first bullish push.
📌 Volume Profile (implicit):
Most of the recent consolidation occurred in the 27.00–27.40 imbalance zone, which now acts as a magnet for price during retracement.
📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Concepts:
The 26.345–26.600 range served as a Weak Low and was swept clean – classic liquidity trap behavior.
📈 Trade Parameters:
🟢 Entry (Buy): 26.795
🔒 Stop-Loss (SL): 26.345 (below last liquidity sweep)
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 27.390 (inefficiency zone + EMA200)
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 28.150 (1h/30m order block)
🧮 Risk-Reward Ratio (RR):
TP1: ~1.6
TP2: ~3.0
📊 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High-probability setup)
🧠 Strategic Summary:
This is a classic reversal play based on liquidity absorption and structural shift (CHoCH), supported by multi-timeframe alignment. A bullish engulfing or strong reaction inside the blue zone confirms the entry bias. If price breaks above 27.00 with volume, momentum may carry it towards 28.00+ swiftly.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always manage your exposure wisely.
💬 What do you think of this setup? Do you see confluence with your strategy? Let’s discuss below! 👇
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 141.600 zone, USDJPY is trading in downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 141.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
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Educational Video: How Technical Analysis worksThe chart is explained in the video and we can see how you can get an Alpha over the market by knowing when to invest in a stock. Selecting fundamentally strong company is very important but why investing in a Fundamentally strong company when it has a technical breakout can give you a better yield on your investment is explained in the video.
Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation to buy Tata Consumer Product stock but we are using it as an illustration to understand what Technical analysis is and how it works.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
US30 – Descending Channel intact after False BreakoutFX:US30 is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price action continuously being restricted by the upper trendline. The recent decline indicates that sellers are in control, suggesting the possibility of continuation.
Price has recently broken through a key support area and may come back to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bearish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 34,100 target, which aligns with the boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains below this support area, the bearish outlook remains intact. A false breakout may occur to "trap" buyers, so it is necessary to wait for clear reversal candle confirmation before entering a trade.
Remember, always confirm your setup and use appropriate risk management.
GOLD SMASHES THROUGH $3,450🚨 GOLD SMASHES THROUGH $3,450 – IS THIS THE START OF A GLOBAL FINANCIAL RESET? 🚨
🔥 Unstoppable Surge in Motion 🔥
Gold has soared past $3,450 as Asian markets opened, climbing over $100 a day!
In just two weeks, gold is up by over $500 — this isn’t just a rally, it’s a major structural breakout.
A surge in demand from Chinese funds appears to be fuelling the rise, with increasing evidence that Asia is leading a strategic shift away from fiat risk.
💷 Is the Dollar in Decline? Investors Flee the Old System 💷
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has taken a sharp downturn — confidence in USD is clearly under pressure.
Capital is flowing out of the United States, signalling a move away from the traditional financial order dominated by the dollar.
This gold rally isn't just about price — it's a global vote of no confidence in the status quo.
📉 Implications for the UK
With the pound holding relatively stable against the dollar, this gold spike presents a unique hedge opportunity.
For UK investors, rising gold prices could help offset currency risk and inflation concerns — especially in the face of persistent market uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
📊 Technical Overview 📊
Gold is currently testing critical resistance around $3,519.
A pullback may see it retest support at $3,416 or as low as $3,210.
Fibonacci levels indicate a likely consolidation zone around $3,416.
The momentum is strong — we could be in the early phase of a global asset rotation.
📈 2-Hour Gold Chart Insight
Recent charts show a parabolic move with significant volume, primarily from Asia-based buyers.
This is not a short-term speculative move — it's likely a long-term strategic repositioning.
🌍 What Comes Next? 🌍
Should gold maintain levels above $3,450, a move towards $3,600 and beyond looks increasingly likely.
Talk of a financial "reset" is no longer just fringe theory — it’s entering the mainstream conversation.
From a UK perspective, now could be the time to:
Re-evaluate gold as a portfolio stabiliser
Reconsider exposure to US-denominated assets
Anticipate further volatility across fiat currencies
📌 Key Price Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,519 / $3,601
Support: $3,416 / $3,210
Upside Target: $3,600+
📈 Suggested Trading Zones:
Buy Zone
Entry: $3,424 – $3,422
Stop Loss: $3,418
Take Profit Targets: $3,428 / $3,432 / $3,436 / $3,440 / $3,450
Sell Zone
Entry: $3,604 – $3,606
Stop Loss: $3,610
Take Profit Targets: $3,600 / $3,596 / $3,592 / $3,588 / $3,584 / $3,580
💬 What’s your take? Is gold signalling the end of USD dominance?
Is the UK prepared for a global monetary shake-up? Let’s discuss. 🪙
NZDCAD: Break & Retest Setup 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD broke and closed above a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
We see a strong bullish reaction to that after its test
and, from a current perspective, we see that it turned into support now.
I expect a bullish continuation at least to 0.8327
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CADCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring CADCHF, which is currently trading around 0.588. The pair has been in a strong downtrend, reflecting the broader weakness in the Canadian dollar against the Swiss franc. Technical indicators, including moving averages and momentum oscillators, suggest continued bearish momentum.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is under pressure due to declining oil prices and a cautious stance from the Bank of Canada regarding interest rate hikes. In contrast, the Swiss franc benefits from its safe-haven status amid global economic uncertainties. The Swiss National Bank's relatively stable monetary policy further supports the franc's strength.
Key support levels to watch are at 0.57 and 0.58, while resistance levels are at 0.6050 and 0.6100. A break below the support could signal further downside potential, whereas a move above the resistance might indicate a reversal. Traders should remain cautious and consider macroeconomic developments when making trading decisions.
In conclusion, CAD/CHF presents a bearish outlook in the near term, influenced by both technical and fundamental factors. Monitoring economic indicators and central bank policies will be crucial for identifying potential trading opportunities in this pair.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Long From Support Explained
There is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will go up
from the underlined key daily support.
As a confirmation, the price violated both a neckline of an inverted
head & shoulders pattern and a resistance line of a falling wedge
on an hourly time frame.
Goals: 63.780 / 64.275
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WHY EURUSD IS STILL BULLISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring EUR/USD, which is currently trading around 1.0430. The pair has shown resilience after rebounding from the 1.0220 support level, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 3-day chart. This pattern suggests potential for a bullish reversal, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovers from oversold conditions. The price action aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating a possible shift in trend.
Fundamentally, the euro is under pressure due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent rate cut to 2.25%, marking the seventh reduction since mid-2024. This move aims to counteract the economic slowdown exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on EU imports. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces its challenges, with political tensions arising from President Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates swiftly. These dynamics have led to increased volatility and a weakened dollar, influencing EUR/USD movements.
Technically, the ascending triangle pattern observed on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish outlook. A decisive break above the 1.0625 resistance could pave the way for targets at 1.0760 and subsequently 1.0850. However, traders should remain cautious, as a drop below the 1.0220 support might signal a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially testing parity levels.
In the current market environment, it's crucial to stay updated with economic indicators and geopolitical developments. Key events, such as U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation data, will provide further insights into the pair's direction. Employing sound risk management strategies and staying informed will be essential for navigating the EUR/USD landscape effectively.
Waaree Energies Ltd (WRTL)🛒 Buy Recommendation
Buy Zone: ₹2,180–₹2,230
The stock is trading close to a support zone near the 23.6% Fib level (₹2,305) and trying to break out of the falling trendline.
RSI has bounced from the oversold region and is near 50, indicating a possible reversal.
🎯 Targets (Short to Medium-Term)
Target 1 – ₹2,585 (38.2% Fibonacci level)
Target 2 – ₹2,810 (50% Fibonacci level)
Target 3 – ₹3,036 (61.8% Fibonacci level – major resistance)
Swing Target – ₹3,766 (100% Fibonacci level – recent high)
🛑 Stop Loss
SL: ₹2,050 (Below recent swing low & below trendline support)
Risk is around ₹180 from entry; ideal for a reward of 1.5x–3x on targets.
🔎 Additional Technical Signals
Volume: Increasing volume on green candles shows buying interest.
RSI: Forming a bullish divergence and heading upward.
Breakout Point: A daily close above ₹2,305 would confirm a breakout of the trendline and strengthen the bullish case.
for educational purposes only
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/04/2025Today slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24250 level then expected further bullish rally upto 24500+ level in today's session. 24000-24200 level will act as a consolidation zone for today's session. Any major downside only expected below 24000 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(22/04/2025)Today will be flat or slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening it will face immediate resistance at 55450 level. If banknifty gives breakout of this resistance zone and starts trading above 55550 level then expected strong bullish rally towards the 55950+ level in today's session. Downside 55050 will act as an important support level for banknifty.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 22, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🚗 Tesla's Q1 Earnings on Watch: Tesla is set to report Q1 earnings after market close. Analysts expect EPS of $0.58 on $23.4B revenue. Investors are focused on delivery guidance, cost-cutting measures, and updates on the robotaxi program and Optimus robot. CEO Elon Musk faces pressure to refocus on Tesla amid concerns over his political engagements.
📉 Market Volatility Amid Tariff Concerns: U.S. markets remain volatile due to ongoing trade tensions. The S&P 500 has declined 14% from its February high, with investors closely monitoring corporate earnings for insights into the economic impact of recent tariffs.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, April 22:
🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 4.20 million
Previous: 4.38 million
Provides insight into the housing market's health and consumer demand.
📘 IMF Global Financial Stability Report (10:15 AM ET):
The IMF will release its latest assessment of global financial markets, focusing on systemic risks and financial stability.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Nasdaq (NQ1!) Weekly Chart Analysis – What’s Next? (Week 16)📌 Title:
NASDAQ – 18,000 Holding, But Downside Risk Remains
Review of Last week's outlook:
I said that buying between 18,600 and 18,700 on the 12-hour chart would be reasonable,
but if a 12-hour candle closed below 18,500, it would be a major warning signal.
That strategy was valid at least until Tuesday.
But then three more 12-hour candles formed,
and Tuesday's closing price was 18,938.
The market opened Wednesday with a gap down at 18,790.
Looking at the chart at that time,
price had dropped below the 200-day line on the 2-day chart,
and the 12-hour chart was also not looking good.
So the strategy of buying near 18,600 on the 12-hour chart was no longer valid.
I had mentioned that if a 12-hour candle closed below 18,500,
it could get very dangerous.
And on the 4-hour chart, I had suggested short-term scalping was possible in the low 18,000s.
As expected, there was one bounce from that level,
but the price continued to fall after that.
📋 Description:
Now, NASDAQ is currently hovering near 18,000.
Although volatility remains low, price action continues to drift lower with weak momentum on higher timeframes.
Key Technical Observations:
• 📉 Still inside the 5-day bullish Ichimoku cloud
• 📍 17,000 = Bottom of the Bi-weekly Kumo + 3D 200SMA
• 📍 16,500 = Previous swing low, potential double bottom area
• 📈 18,400 = Needs to be reclaimed by weekly close to consider range recovery
A clean break below 17,700 could open the path toward 17,000, and possibly lower.
For now, this is a watch-and-react zone not yet a clear buy or sell signal, but conditions are forming for the next move.
🔁 Bias: Neutral to Bearish
⏳ Strategy: Wait for confirmation at 17,700 or breakdown
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%!
More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office.
While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more.
EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore!
The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform.
I have another post up you may want to follow.
META Screaming CAUTION!The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price.
As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION!
Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade.
Bulls should take their profits and smile.
Bears short as high as possible with the internet to short more should it form a double top.
The chart has spoken. Like it or not.
Remember I am a macro trader so don't expect tomorrow to play out. My trades take time but have much bigger moves. ;)
EURGBP Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84290 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 0.84290 is broken.
OANDA:EURGBP
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.83220 on 04/03/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.86175, 0.86923, 0.87647 and more heights is expected.
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team