Gold price today continues to be forecast to increaseBrian greets everyone, let's discuss the gold price forecast for next week from 03/31/2025 - 04/04/2025.
Global Situation:
Last week, the market witnessed intense volatility in gold prices as it continuously broke previous highs to establish new records. The precious metal closed the final trading session at a new all-time high of $3,085 per ounce, approximately $60 higher than the previous week's closing.
In the Wall Street survey, 20 analysts participated, with 85% forecasting continued upward movement in gold prices, only 5% predicting a decline, and the remaining 10% expecting sideways movement.
Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 202 investors responded, with 64% anticipating further price increases, just 19% expecting prices to cool down, and the remainder predicting sideways movement.
Analysis:
Gold prices are rising, with early April expected to see a breakthrough to NEW all-time highs.
Forecast:
Strong buying demand persists from central banks, Chinese consumers, and North American investors - particularly from the US, where potential remains untapped.
Additionally, concerns about tariffs and inflation will drive investors toward gold as a safe haven. Gold prices could potentially reach $3,200 or $3,300 if tariff measures are implemented.
Technical Analysis:
Based on gold's resistance and support zones on the H4 timeframe, Brian identifies these key areas:
Resistance: $3100, $3132, $3150
Support: $3070, $3050
IMPORTANT NOTES:
Note: Brian emphasizes proper capital management for traders:
Use appropriate lot sizes based on your capital
Take profits at 4-6% of account balance
Set stop losses at 2-3% of account balance
The winner is the one who stays in the market the longest.
Technical Analysis
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 31 – April 4, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report: The March employment data, set for release on Friday, April 4, is expected to show a slowdown in job growth, with forecasts predicting an increase of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 151,000 in February. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%. This report will be closely monitored for signs of economic momentum and potential impacts on Federal Reserve policy.
🇺🇸💼 President Trump's Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is scheduled to unveil his "reciprocal tariffs" plan on Wednesday, April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day." The announcement is anticipated to include a 25% duty on imported vehicles, which could significantly impact the automotive industry and broader market sentiment. Investors are bracing for potential volatility in response to these trade policy developments.
🇺🇸📊 Manufacturing and Services Sector Updates: Key indicators for the manufacturing and services sectors are due this week. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, scheduled for Tuesday, April 1, is expected to show a slight contraction with a forecast of 49.5%, down from 50.3% in February. The ISM Services PMI, set for release on Thursday, April 3, is projected at 53.0%, indicating continued expansion but at a slower pace. These reports will provide insights into the health of these critical sectors.
MarketWatch
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, March 31:
🏭 Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) (9:45 AM ET):
Forecast: 45.5
Previous: 43.6
Measures business conditions in the Chicago area, with readings below 50 indicating contraction.
📅 Tuesday, April 1:
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: -0.2%
Indicates the total amount spent on construction projects, reflecting trends in the construction industry.
📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 7.7 million
Previous: 7.7 million
Provides insight into labor demand by measuring the number of job vacancies.
📅 Wednesday, April 2:
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.6%
Previous: 1.7%
Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, indicating manufacturing demand.
📅 Thursday, April 3:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 226,000
Previous: 224,000
Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into labor market conditions.
📊 Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -$123.0 billion
Previous: -$131.4 billion
Indicates the difference between exports and imports of goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.
📅 Friday, April 4:
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: 0.3%
Measures the change in earnings per hour for workers, indicating wage inflation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
WHY GBPUSD BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSThe GBP/USD currency pair is currently trading around 1.2950, exhibiting a bullish pennant pattern—a continuation signal that often precedes further upward movement. This pattern forms after a strong price surge, followed by a consolidation phase marked by converging trendlines. A breakout above the pennant's upper boundary could propel the pair toward the target price of 1.3100, indicating a potential gain of 150 pips.
Fundamentally, the British pound has demonstrated resilience, bolstered by the UK's robust economic performance and the Bank of England's measured approach to interest rate adjustments. Recent data indicates that the UK economy has maintained steady growth, with inflation rates aligning closely with the central bank's targets. Conversely, the US dollar has experienced fluctuations due to mixed economic indicators and evolving monetary policy expectations from the Federal Reserve. These dynamics contribute to the supportive environment for the pound against the dollar.
Technical analysis reinforces the bullish outlook for GBP/USD. The pair has been trading above key moving averages, with oscillators indicating strong upward momentum. The formation of the bullish pennant suggests a continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Key resistance levels to monitor include 1.3000 and 1.3040, with a sustained break above these points potentially paving the way toward the 1.3100 target. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in bullish territory, suggesting that the current uptrend has room to continue.
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
XAGUSD Silver outlookThis is my current view on XAGUSD. I have a trade running which has a lose target starting around $36, but will be subject to change as the price action develops. I'm in silver for the chance that we see much higher prices than that!!. Trading spot is a small part of my exposure to the silver sector.
Gold price next week will continue to conquer the new peak?Brian Hello Everyone, Let's Comment on Gold Price Next Week From 31/03/2025 - April 5, 2025
World situation:
Gold prices continue to reach new highs as investors flock to this safe-haven asset, amid growing concerns about the global trade war triggered by US tariff policies. Currently closing at $3,085, up 0.94%, the yellow metal remains the optimal choice in the face of mounting worries about tariffs, trade tensions, and geopolitical instability.
US trade policy, fiscal policy, geopolitical factors, and growth slowdown will support gold prices. Forecasts suggest that $3,100 per ounce will be the next important milestone for gold prices.
Identify:
The upward trend will continue into next week, with support levels indicated on the chart providing backing for gold. Pay attention to the new all-time high, from which the upward momentum will continue to be triggered.
Technically:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
NOTE:
Note: Brian wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Mon 31st Mar 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Buy. This is not a valid Buy set up as per my rules but it is assisting with my original Sell trade dated 24th Mar as I go into my multi sequence hedging technique. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Elliott Wave | Final Bullish Push Before the Big Drop? | (C) of MEXC:SOLUSDT
🔵 Elliott Wave Setup | Complete structure - Final move incoming?
The current wave structure suggests we're approaching the end of the corrective (B) wave. Price is now testing the 78.6%–88.7% Fibonacci support zone, which is a typical launch area for a bullish (C) wave.
➡️ My Outlook:
- (B) correction is nearly completed at the key Fibonacci support.
- Expecting a bullish move up into the 78.6%-88.7% target box to complete wave (C) of (b).
- After that, a strong bearish move is likely towards the "End of the bear" zone.
➡️ Trading Idea:
1️⃣ Long entry within the 78.6% – 88.7% retracement support.
2️⃣ Target: Red box area (potential top of wave (C) of (b)).
3️⃣ Prepare for a short setup after confirmation of reversal from that zone.
‼️ Risk Note:
- If the price breaks below the 88.7% level, the setup becomes invalid.
- Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation.
💬 What do you think? Is wave (B) already complete or are we getting one more push?
#ElliottWave #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Crypto #Forex #Trading
#ETHUSDT is showing a reversal pattern📊 BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is showing a reversal pattern — we expect the uptrend to continue if the breakout level holds!
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
➡️ BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P has formed a potential Double Bottom (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) around $1,785–$1,809, indicating a possible trend reversal.
➡️ The key trading range (POC — Point of Control) is at $1,881.71, making it a major resistance level.
➡️ The price is also bouncing off the support zone, which aligns with the previous consolidation area.
➡️ Volume is increasing during the bounce, confirming buyers’ interest.
⚡️ Considering a potential long entry
⚡️ Maximum target based on the pattern — $2,522
📍 A breakout and hold above $1,849.71 will confirm the bullish scenario and attract more long liquidity.
📢 If the price drops below $1,785, the setup will be invalidated — high chance of a continued downtrend.
📢 The rise of BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is possible due to reactions to the strong support zone and the forming Double Bottom pattern.
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
➡️ BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P has formed a Falling Wedge , which is a bullish pattern.
➡️ A second bottom ( Bottom 2 ) has formed, confirming a potential reversal.
➡️ The upper boundary of the wedge has already been broken, accompanied by a spike in volume.
➡️ A strong consolidation zone exists around $1,808–$1,820 — a retest could confirm a long entry.
⚡️ Holding above the wedge breakout is a signal for further upside.
📢 If the price falls back below $1,800 and buying momentum weakens — the scenario should be reconsidered.
📉 LONG BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P from $1851.0
🛡 Stop loss: $1835.00
🕒 Timeframe: 1H
🎯 Targets (TP):
💎 TP 1: $1860.00
💎 TP 2: $1871.00
💎 TP 3: $1882.00
💎 TP 4 (long-term target): $1890.00
🚀 BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P is maintaining a potential reversal pattern — we expect upward movement if volume confirms!
FLSR - Bulls Will control an Impending Advance---Elliott wave analysis---
As you can see on the daily chart, There is an impulsive cycle from the low of 5960 that validates all the required rules of the Elliott wave principle given below:
Wave (2) can never exceed the starting point of wave (1).
Wave (3) can never be the shortest wave among (1), (3) & (5).
Wave (4) can never enter the price territory of wave (1).
So, we have a valid reason to validate the wave count. In addition, FSLR's wave cycle has the following formation in the wave with Fibonacci levels:
Wave (1) is an impulse wave.
Wave (2) retraced 100% of wave (1). It has formed A-B-C zigzag.
Wave (3) is an extended wave.
Wabe (4) is a complex correction W-X-Y, that retraced to 0.382 level.
Wave (5) is an ending diagonal.
Wave A retraced 0.382 of wave (5), which extended to 1.618 level.
Wave (B) retraced 100% of wave A.
FLSR had accomplished impulsive structure at 232 and started corrective formation. It looks like the correction phase occurred at 132.19 . We can expect a new motive cycle from 132.19 . Traders should carefully watch the breakout of wave 4 of wave (c).
Target projection:
Using Reverse Fibonacci of wave (B)
Reverse Fibonacci Of correction
resistance and pivot levels
From the above projections, we can find a cluster of levels to measure our targets. Traders can follow cluster targets: 168 - 188 - 192 or higher. It can extend up to 100% at 232.
Alternatively, Failure can continue correction to the final support level of 115.58, which is less likely to happen.
---Indicator Study:---
Average true range:
ATR of the FLSR rose to 7.79 when the price was rising. It suggests that we can get a rapid upward move after the breakout of wave (4).
RSI:
The RSI of the FLSR surged from 31.09 to 49.5 . RSI surge along with price suggests that bulls have a strong grip on the stock. We can also see a divergence from the previous move.
Exponential Moving averages:
Major EMAs, such as the 200-day and 100-day , are trading above the price, but the 20-day Exponential Moving Average is being broken by FSLR. Its possible for security to reach quickly to 50 EMA soon.
Thank you!
By @moneydictators on @TradingView Platform
GBPUSD TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on GBPUSD
The price has successfully retested a very strong support after the 3-week rally it exhibited in March.
However there has been little to no pullback after the rally, and currently, it is firing a possible divergence at 1.2970
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a break below the support area at 1.2960 to take a possible short-term sell trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the bottom of the 50% fib at 1.2700.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading
"ETH/USD: Breakout Incoming? Buy Signal from Falling Wedge!"It illustrates a downward trend with a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
Key Observations:
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel.
The wedge pattern suggests a potential breakout to the upside.
Breakout Opportunity:
The price is currently near the lower boundary of the wedge, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
A buy signal is indicated at a key support level.
Target Price:
The chart has a target zone around $2,531 – $2,562, which suggests an expected upward move.
Technical Indicators:
The price is currently around $1,815, indicating a possible bottom formation.
A bullish move from this level is expected.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Buy near the current price ($1,815).
Target: $2,531 – $2,562.
Stop-Loss: Below $1,723 for risk management.
This analysis suggests a bullish reversal with a potential breakout from the falling wedge. However, traders should confirm with volume and other indicators before entering a trade.
NVDA 2 The????NASDAQ:NVDA
Outlook - -GEX and -DEX but +OI This week. NASDAQ:NVDA ’s price action will likely hinge on broader
market sentiment rather than company-specific releases, given no major NVIDIA events are slated.
Weekly -- 2nd consecutive down week with increasing volume
Daily -- Downtrend to next HVL under 106 possible
Hourly -- Consolidating at support zone
10m -- Consolidating
Bias -Monitoring U.S. trade policy updates and technical levels for short-term direction.
Volatility remains high, so caution is warranted.
Pivot - 109.65
Upside Targets:
* 111.47--112.91--113.66--115.01
Downside Targets:
* 109.62--108.45--105.05--104.34
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge – Buy Setup!Introduction
This EUR/GBP 4-hour chart analysis presents a high-probability bullish trading setup based on a falling wedge breakout. A falling wedge is a reliable bullish reversal pattern, signaling that selling pressure is fading, and buyers are regaining control. The price has now broken out of the wedge, confirming potential upside momentum.
This setup provides a well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target level, allowing traders to capitalize on the bullish breakout while maintaining a proper risk management strategy.
1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
The primary pattern on the chart is a falling wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating that sellers are gradually losing momentum.
🔹 Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern:
Lower highs & lower lows within a narrowing price range.
Decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential shift in trend.
A bullish breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal.
Typically followed by a strong price surge, aiming for previous resistance levels.
The price action confirms this pattern as it broke above the wedge's upper boundary, signaling the start of a bullish trend.
2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level (Target) – 0.84183
This level marks a previous strong resistance zone, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
It serves as the primary profit-taking area for this setup.
A successful breakout and close above this level could lead to further upside movement.
🔹 Support Level – 0.83154
This is the major demand zone where price previously bounced.
Strong buying pressure emerged at this level, leading to the recent breakout.
It serves as an important level to define risk and set stop-loss orders.
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement – Below 0.83154
A stop-loss is placed slightly below the support zone, ensuring a logical exit if the market reverses.
This prevents unnecessary losses while allowing room for normal price fluctuations.
🔹 Entry Point Consideration
Ideal entry: Around 0.83700, just after the breakout confirmation.
Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closing above the wedge.
3. Trade Execution Plan: Long Setup
📌 Trade Idea – Bullish Setup
📈 Buy Entry: 0.83600 – 0.83700 (After wedge breakout)
🎯 Target: 0.84183 (Major resistance level)
❌ Stop-Loss: 0.83154 (Below support level)
🔄 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:1
📊 Risk Management Strategy
Trade with discipline: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Adjust position size: Based on risk tolerance and account balance.
Use trailing stops: To secure profits if price continues upward.
4. Market Sentiment & Price Action Analysis
Prior Uptrend: The price previously had a strong bullish rally, indicating overall bullish strength.
Corrective Move: The market entered a falling wedge correction, allowing for a healthy pullback before resuming the trend.
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge's upper trendline confirms bullish momentum.
📊 Factors Supporting a Bullish Move:
✅ Breakout confirmation above the wedge pattern.
✅ Higher buying volume supporting the move.
✅ Support level holds strong, preventing further downside.
5. Trading Psychology & Risk Considerations
⚠️ Key Considerations Before Entering the Trade:
✔ Wait for confirmation – Ensure a strong breakout candle before entering.
✔ Avoid chasing the price – Enter at a reasonable pullback level post-breakout.
✔ Monitor economic events – Watch for news that could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
✔ Follow a strict risk-reward ratio – Stick to your predefined stop-loss and target.
6. Conclusion – Bullish Outlook
This falling wedge breakout on EUR/GBP suggests a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long trade setup. The price is expected to move towards the 0.84183 resistance level, with 0.83154 as the key stop-loss level.
✅ Bias: Bullish
🎯 Target: 0.84183
❌ Stop Loss: 0.83154
📊 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:1
📌 TradingView Idea Title & Description
Title:
🚀 EUR/GBP Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Move Incoming!
Description:
📈 Bullish breakout confirmed! EUR/GBP has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a trend reversal. A long position above 0.83600 targets the 0.84183 resistance level with a stop-loss at 0.83154. Watch for strong bullish momentum! 📊💹
💡 Risk Management: Stick to your stop-loss, and don’t chase price action. Manage your trade wisely! 🔥
EUR/USD Double Top Analysis - Bearish Reversal Trade Setup This analysis highlights a Double Top pattern forming on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. The pattern signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a downtrend, providing traders with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and target levels.
1. Understanding the Double Top Pattern
A Double Top is a trend reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It consists of two peaks (Top 1 and Top 2) at approximately the same resistance level, followed by a break below the neckline (support level), confirming the pattern.
Pattern Breakdown:
Top 1 & Top 2: These peaks represent failed attempts to break higher, showing strong selling pressure at resistance.
Support (Neckline): The price found support at a key level, where buyers initially stepped in, but eventually, this level was broken, triggering a potential downtrend.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level (Bearish Rejection Zone)
The resistance level is marked in the 1.09500 - 1.09600 range.
Price action tested this zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to sustain above it.
The repeated rejection indicates that sellers are dominant in this zone.
📌 Support Level (Neckline Breakout Confirmation)
The support level is marked in the 1.07700 - 1.07800 zone.
The price bounced off this area initially, but later broke below it, confirming a bearish move.
The breakout suggests selling momentum is increasing.
3. Trading Strategy – Bearish Setup
🔴 Entry Point (Sell Trigger)
A short trade is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline (support level) after forming the Double Top.
The breakout confirms seller dominance and signals potential downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss is placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.09575.
This ensures protection against false breakouts or price retracements.
🎯 Target (Take Profit Projection)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the Double Top pattern.
Target Level: 1.06639, aligning with the measured move from the resistance to the neckline.
4. Market Outlook & Risk Management
📉 Bearish Scenario (High Probability Move)
✔️ The market structure shows a strong bearish reversal with price failing to break above resistance.
✔️ The confirmed neckline break indicates sellers have taken control.
✔️ If the price continues lower, we can expect a move toward 1.06639.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Trade)
❌ If price closes back above resistance (1.09575), it would invalidate the bearish setup.
❌ This would indicate that buyers are regaining control, and the trade setup should be re-evaluated.
5. Final Thoughts & TradingView Tags
Summary of Trading Setup:
✅ Pattern: Double Top (Bearish Reversal)
✅ Sell Entry: Below the support neckline
✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.09575
✅ Target: 1.06639
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
📌 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#EURUSD #DoubleTop #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #SupportResistance #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders Breakdown & BearishThis detailed technical analysis covers a Head & Shoulders pattern formation on the 4-hour chart of JPY/USD, highlighting a potential bearish reversal setup. The pattern suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend, supported by a trendline breakdown and key resistance & support levels.
1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Pattern: Head & Shoulders (H&S)
📉 What is the Head & Shoulders Pattern?
The Head & Shoulders (H&S) is a classic bearish reversal pattern that appears after a prolonged uptrend, signaling a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. It consists of three main parts:
Left Shoulder: A peak followed by a retracement.
Head: A higher peak, indicating the last strong bullish attempt.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak, failing to reach the height of the head, showing weakening momentum.
Neckline: A crucial support level that connects the lows of the shoulders. A confirmed break below this neckline is the trigger for a bearish continuation.
📊 Breakdown of the Pattern in This Chart
Left Shoulder (First Peak): The price made a high and then pulled back.
Head (Higher Peak): The market made another higher high but failed to sustain it, indicating exhaustion.
Right Shoulder (Lower Peak): A weaker attempt to push higher, but price failed to break previous highs, confirming the loss of bullish strength.
Neckline Breakout: The dotted trendline shows the ascending support that was eventually broken, confirming bearish momentum.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
Understanding the important levels in the market is crucial for setting up an effective trade.
🟧 Resistance Zone (Supply Area)
The resistance level, marked in a beige box, is located around 0.006800.
Price was rejected multiple times from this zone, confirming strong selling pressure.
The head of the pattern was formed in this region before a sharp drop.
🔵 Support Level (Neckline & Demand Area)
The neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern was acting as support before being broken.
This level was tested multiple times before the final breakdown.
Once broken, it turned into a resistance level, meaning price may pull back to this area before continuing downward.
📉 Trendline Breakout (Bearish Confirmation)
A dashed trendline was previously supporting the uptrend but was broken, confirming the bearish shift in market structure.
This signals a trend reversal and a possible extended move lower.
3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution
A well-planned entry, stop loss, and take-profit strategy is essential for managing risk effectively.
📌 Entry Strategy (Short Setup)
Ideal Entry: Look for price to pull back to the neckline (previous support turned resistance).
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candlestick patterns such as:
Bearish engulfing
Pin bar rejection
Shooting star
Lower highs forming near the neckline
A rejection in this zone confirms seller dominance and a high-probability short setup.
📌 Stop Loss Placement
The Stop Loss is placed above the right shoulder at 0.006725.
This ensures protection from false breakouts or unexpected bullish moves.
📌 Profit Target Projection
Take-Profit Target: The projected move suggests a target at 0.006493.
This aligns with previous structural support, increasing its significance.
The measured move for Head & Shoulders suggests that price could fall further after confirmation.
Risk-Reward Ratio
The Risk (Stop Loss): Around 50 pips.
The Reward (Profit Target): Around 180 pips.
This results in a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:3, making it an attractive trade.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Expected Price Movement
📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely)
Price retests the neckline but fails to break above it.
Sellers step in, rejecting the resistance level, leading to further downside.
Price targets the next major support at 0.006493, completing the Head & Shoulders move.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
If price reclaims the neckline and moves back above 0.006725, the pattern is invalidated.
This could lead to a bullish continuation back toward previous highs.
In this case, traders should cut losses early and avoid forcing a short trade.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Best Practices
1️⃣ Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of your account per trade to maintain long-term profitability.
2️⃣ Confirmation Before Entry:
Wait for price to reject the neckline resistance before entering short.
Avoid entering too early without clear bearish signs.
3️⃣ Monitor News & Fundamentals:
Major economic events, interest rate decisions, or central bank announcements could impact JPY/USD price action.
🔎 Final Conclusion: Bearish Outlook on JPY/USD
The Head & Shoulders breakdown signals a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
The neckline breakout confirms seller control over the market.
The best short entry is on a pullback to previous support (now resistance).
Target at 0.006493, with a Stop Loss at 0.006725 ensures controlled risk.
📢 Trading Bias: Bearish 📉
💡 Watch for a retest & rejection before entering short.
"Bitcoin Breakout Setup: Potential Rally Towards $94K!"Key Observations:
Support Zone: A crucial support level is marked below the broken channel, indicating a potential area for a price reversal.
Bullish Projection: A breakout above this support level could push BTC higher towards the target price of 94,101.24 USD.
Technical Patterns: The price initially showed a strong downtrend, followed by a recovery forming an ascending channel, and now a potential bullish breakout is expected.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the support level, a strong move upwards toward 94,101.24 USD could be expected.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold support could result in further downside toward lower key levels.
Conclusion:
Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support zone with a potential upside target of 94,101.24 USD while managing risk in case of further breakdown.
Would you like to refine this further or add specific indicators? 🚀
XAG/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown To Bearish Trade Setup1. Overview of the Chart
This chart represents Silver (XAG/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe from the OANDA exchange. The price action has formed a Rising Wedge pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal formation. This suggests that a potential breakdown could lead to a significant decline in price.
2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge consists of a narrowing price range with higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the support line (bottom trendline) is steeper than the resistance line (top trendline).
This signals weakening bullish momentum, as buyers are struggling to push the price higher, and sellers are stepping in.
Rising Wedges typically break downward due to the loss of buying strength.
3. Key Technical Levels and Market Structure
A. Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige Box - $34.50 to $34.80)
This zone has acted as a supply area, where price struggles to break higher.
The price touched this level multiple times, failing to hold above it, which increases the probability of a reversal.
B. Support Level (Highlighted in Blue Box - Around $33.50)
This is a critical short-term support where buyers previously stepped in.
A break below this zone would indicate a confirmation of the wedge breakdown and further downside potential.
C. Stop Loss Level (Marked at $34.80)
Placed above the resistance zone, ensuring protection if price invalidates the pattern and moves higher instead.
This aligns with a logical risk-management strategy to minimize losses if the setup fails.
D. Bearish Breakdown Projection & Target (Marked at $30.46)
The projected target aligns with previous structure support, meaning price may find buyers around this level.
This level is determined by measuring the height of the wedge and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
📌 Short (Sell) Trade Setup:
Entry:
Enter a short position once price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with strong bearish momentum (e.g., a big red candle closing below support).
A possible retest of the broken support could provide a second entry opportunity.
Stop Loss:
Set at $34.80, above resistance, to ensure the trade is protected against invalidation.
Take Profit (Target):
First target: $32.50 (psychological level and minor support).
Final target: $30.46 (major support and full pattern breakdown projection).
5. Market Psychology & Confirmation Signals
Why This Setup is Bearish?
Price action shows higher highs but with decreasing strength, signaling bull exhaustion.
The Rising Wedge is a well-known bearish structure, and its breakdown typically leads to a strong sell-off.
Volume confirmation: If the breakdown happens with high volume, it strengthens the bearish case.
What to Watch For?
A decisive bearish candle closing below the wedge support confirms the short setup.
If price retests the broken trendline and fails to reclaim it, it provides a second opportunity for entry.
Avoid entering if price consolidates near resistance instead of breaking down.
6. Conclusion: Bearish Bias & Trading Edge
The Rising Wedge formation suggests that Silver is losing bullish momentum and could break down.
Key levels and structure provide a well-defined trade setup, ensuring a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakdown before entering a short position.
📉 Bearish Outlook – Price likely to drop toward $30.46 target
⚠️ Risk Management is crucial – Stop Loss at $34.80
🎯 Breakdown confirmation needed before entering short positions
Would you like me to refine any part or add more insights? 😊
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakdown – Rising Wedge Signals Further Drop!1. Chart Overview
This 4-hour BTC/USD chart from BITSTAMP presents a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern, which is a bearish reversal structure typically signaling an upcoming price decline. After a strong upward movement, Bitcoin formed a wedge pattern with higher highs and higher lows converging. This indicates weakening bullish momentum, leading to a confirmed breakdown.
2. Key Technical Elements & Market Structure
A. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern)
A rising wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that appears after an uptrend, showing gradually weakening buying pressure.
The chart shows that price action was following an upward sloping support and resistance trendline.
The higher highs and higher lows formed within the wedge indicate a loss of bullish momentum.
Eventually, the price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown.
B. Breakdown Confirmation
A decisive bearish candle broke below the wedge's lower trendline, confirming the downward move.
After breaking down, the price attempted a small retest of the wedge’s support, which has now turned into resistance.
This successful rejection from the previous support adds to the bearish confirmation.
C. Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level ($88,547):
This zone acted as a strong supply area, where previous bullish moves were rejected.
If BTC/USD attempts to recover, this area may provide selling opportunities.
Support Level ($79,193):
This is the next downside target, aligned with previous price consolidation zones.
A break below this support could trigger further selling pressure.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
A. Short Trade Setup
Entry Point: After BTC/USD confirmed the breakdown of the rising wedge.
Stop Loss: Placed slightly above the $88,547 resistance level to limit risk.
Target Price: A decline towards $79,193, which aligns with the previous major support zone.
B. Bearish Market Sentiment
BTC/USD is currently trading below the wedge, reinforcing bearish bias.
A successful retest of the broken wedge support would validate further downside continuation.
If price remains below the $85,000 level, sellers are likely to maintain control.
4. Market Outlook & Next Price Action
Bearish Scenario
If BTC fails to reclaim the wedge breakdown level, further downside is expected.
A breakdown below $80,000 psychological level could increase selling momentum toward $75,000-$77,000 levels.
Volume analysis suggests that selling pressure is increasing.
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation)
If BTC/USD reclaims the $88,547 resistance and closes above it, the bearish bias could weaken.
Bulls need to break above the rising wedge resistance trendline for a reversal.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
The Rising Wedge pattern breakdown confirms a bearish outlook for BTC/USD.
The risk-reward ratio for a short trade is favorable, targeting a move down to $79,193.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation and trend continuation signals before entering.
Key Takeaways
✅ Bearish Bias confirmed after the Rising Wedge breakdown.
✅ Short Position setup with entry, stop loss, and target defined.
✅ Resistance at $88,547 - Failure to break above it strengthens the bearish case.
✅ Target at $79,193 - A strong support area where buyers may step in.
6. Tags for TradingView Post
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BearishPattern #RisingWedge #Breakdown #ShortTrade #PriceAction #SupportResistance #MarketAnalysis
Would you like any further refinements or additional insights? 🚀
"Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching 3,110 – Sell Setup in Play?"The price is in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
A potential reversal zone is identified around $3,110, marked as a possible sell entry.
The chart suggests that after reaching $3,110, the price may decline towards the support zone at $3,010 - $2,999.
Confirmation of the sell trade can be considered if price action forms a bearish structure around resistance.
Key support levels are at $3,010, $2,999, and $2,981, which could act as potential take profit targets for short positions.
Trading Strategy:
Sell Entry: Around $3,110, if resistance holds.
Target: $3,010 - $2,999 zone.
Stop Loss: Above $3,120 to manage risk.
This idea follows technical price action, making it crucial to watch for confirmation signals before executing a trade. 🚀📉
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Analysis: Bullish Pennant Breakout to Target1. Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a bullish pennant pattern, which is a strong continuation formation, indicating that the price is likely to continue its upward trajectory. The price action has followed a clear trend structure, and we can identify key support and resistance levels, breakout points, and potential profit targets.
This analysis provides a comprehensive breakdown of the chart setup, including:
The technical pattern formation
Key support and resistance zones
Trade setup with an ideal entry, stop loss, and profit target
Risk management considerations
Market conditions and external factors to monitor
2. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern: Bullish Pennant Formation
Understanding the Bullish Pennant Pattern
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that occurs after a strong upward movement (known as the "flagpole"). The market then consolidates within a small triangular shape, forming the pennant. This consolidation is seen as a temporary pause before the next bullish move.
Key Characteristics of the Pennant in this Chart
Flagpole Formation:
The steep rally before the pennant formed represents a strong bullish impulse, driven by increased buying pressure.
This rapid price increase set the foundation for the pennant pattern.
Consolidation (Pennant Formation):
Price action moved within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangular pattern.
The market temporarily paused, as some traders took profits while others awaited further momentum.
This type of consolidation is common before the price resumes its trend.
Breakout from the Pennant:
The bullish breakout above the upper trendline of the pennant confirms the continuation of the uptrend.
A strong breakout suggests renewed buying interest, likely pushing prices toward the next resistance level.
3. Key Technical Levels on the Chart
A. Resistance Level (Potential Selling Zone)
A critical resistance zone is marked between $3,100 - $3,125, where selling pressure could emerge.
If the price faces rejection in this zone, a temporary retracement could occur before another push higher.
A breakout above this resistance level would further strengthen the bullish case, possibly pushing gold toward the $3,175 - $3,200 range.
B. Support Level (Demand Zone)
The support zone is around $3,025 - $3,017, which is the last significant swing low.
This level represents a strong buying area where traders may look for re-entry on a pullback.
A break below this support could invalidate the bullish setup, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
C. Trendline Support (Dynamic Support)
The dashed black trendline represents an uptrend support.
If price retraces toward this level and holds, it may offer another buying opportunity before resuming its uptrend.
A break below this trendline would be a warning signal, suggesting a weakening of bullish momentum.
4. Trade Setup and Execution Strategy
A. Entry Strategy
The ideal entry point was upon the confirmed breakout above the pennant, around $3,075 - $3,085.
Aggressive traders may have entered at the breakout itself.
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to retest the breakout zone before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management)
A stop loss is placed below the support zone at $3,017 to minimize downside risk.
This placement protects against false breakouts or unexpected market reversals.
Keeping a tight stop loss allows for a higher risk-to-reward ratio while maintaining a disciplined approach.
C. Profit Target Projection (Expected Price Movement)
The target price is determined using the measured move approach, where the height of the flagpole is added to the breakout point.
The expected profit target is in the range of $3,175 - $3,200, offering a potential upside of 4.29% from the breakout level.
If price maintains its bullish momentum, further gains could be expected beyond the target zone.
5. Risk Management & Considerations
A. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
With an entry near $3,085, a stop loss at $3,017, and a target around $3,175, the trade offers a reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 3:1.
This ensures that even if the trade does not succeed, the risk is controlled while allowing significant upside potential.
B. Factors That Could Invalidate the Setup
Failure to sustain the breakout: If price falls back below the pennant, the setup may be invalid.
Break below the support zone ($3,017): This would signal a possible trend reversal.
Weak volume on breakout: A lack of volume could indicate a false breakout, leading to price retracement.
C. Alternative Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1: Retest & Continuation:
If price pulls back to retest the breakout zone ($3,075 - $3,085) and holds, traders can look for another buying opportunity.
Scenario 2: False Breakout & Reversal:
If price falls below the support level ($3,017), traders should exit long positions and re-evaluate market conditions.
6. Market Conditions & External Factors to Monitor
A. Gold’s Correlation with USD & Interest Rates
Stronger USD → Downward Pressure on Gold
Weaker USD → Bullish Gold Trend
Interest rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve play a significant role in gold prices.
B. Economic Events & News Impact
Inflation Reports: Higher inflation often supports gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability can lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Stock Market Movements: A weaker stock market can drive capital into gold.
7. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with Cautious Optimism
Key Takeaways:
✔ Bullish pennant breakout confirmed – strong continuation signal.
✔ Price is above key support & trendline – maintaining bullish structure.
✔ Clear trade plan with entry, stop loss, and target levels.
Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Stop Loss Target Risk-Reward Ratio
$3,075 - $3,085 $3,017 $3,175 - $3,200 3:1
📌 Final Recommendation:
Maintain a bullish bias as long as price holds above the support zone ($3,017).
Watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is valid.
Adjust stop loss or secure profits if price reaches key resistance levels ($3,100 - $3,125).
If you need further clarification or alternative trade scenarios, let me know! 🚀
#AUCTIONUSDT shows continued buyer weakness📉 Short BYBIT:AUCTIONUSDT.P from $16.370
⚡️ Stop loss $16.735
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The POC (Point of Control) is located at $17.734, indicating the highest volume area and now acting as a strong resistance.
➡️ Price BYBIT:AUCTIONUSDT.P continues to trade below the accumulation zone, confirming sellers' control.
➡️ After a local bounce, the chart shows a breakdown below $16.370 — this triggers a potential short setup.
➡️ Target zones are set near previous reaction levels, making them suitable for profit-taking.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $16.165
💎 TP 2: $16.040
💎 TP 3: $15.850
📢 Watch for solid confirmation below $16.370 — this would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
📢 If price moves back above $16.735, the short setup is invalidated.
BYBIT:AUCTIONUSDT.P shows continued buyer weakness — downside movement is expected if pressure remains.
TradeCityPro | TONUSDT From Pavel’s Release to Blockchain Events👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive into the analysis of TON, one of the most efficient and widely used blockchain projects that is making significant waves in the space.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you that we have moved the Bitcoin analysis to a separate section based on your requests. This allows us to discuss Bitcoin’s status in more detail and analyze its charts and dominance separately.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
🚀 Pavel Durov’s Release!
Pavel Durov, Telegram’s founder, has returned to Dubai after months of restrictions in France. He was detained in August 2024 over content monitoring allegations but announced on March 17, 2025, that he has finally returned to his main residence and Telegram’s headquarters in Dubai.
Durov thanked his team and lawyers, emphasizing that Telegram had gone beyond its legal obligations. While investigations in France continue, this return could be a turning point for Telegram’s future.
At the same time, the TON blockchain is gaining attention with its NFT ecosystem, including projects like GetGems and TON Diamonds. From Telegram usernames as NFTs to event tickets, TON is building a fast, scalable, and practical ecosystem that’s making headlines.
🔍 Deep Research
In our previous analysis, we conducted an in-depth fundamental review of TON—covering team background, blockchain developments, and ecosystem growth. Since investing requires a full understanding of a project, make sure to check out the previous analysis if you haven’t already.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
TON is one of the strongest altcoins in the market right now. While most altcoins have reached or formed new lows, TON is still holding above major supports.
After forming its all-time high of $8.288, TON entered a distribution zone. Due to overall market corrections, it lost the $4.765 support, leading to a sharp drop that reached the $2.650 support an area we previously identified for entries.
This support level is crucial, as it represents nearly 50% of the chart’s structure. Additionally, the 0.786 Fibonacci level and previous long-term resistance reinforce its importance. As seen on the chart, after touching this level, TON bounced sharply.
There is no clear spot buying trigger at this time frame yet. However, if TON forms a higher low, the chart will turn fully bullish.
For exit strategies, I am currently utilizing my TON within its ecosystem (NFT trading, etc.), so I do not plan to sell unless the price drops below $1.914.
📉 Daily Time Frame
After getting rejected at $6.912, TON entered an ascending triangle pattern—which is typically a bearish continuation pattern. The chart continued forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating that selling pressure outweighed buying interest.
After breaking down from this triangle, TON experienced a sharp 50% drop from the breakout point. However, upon reaching the $2.512 support, the price suddenly pumped, partly influenced by Pavel Durov’s release and new TON blockchain developments.
Even without the fundamental catalysts, this support level was critical, and a bounce was likely. This move has now formed a V Pattern, which is bullish.
If TON breaks above $3.857, we could see further price increases, making this a potential buy opportunity. Confirmation signals include RSI entering overbought territory and increased volume.
⏳ 4H Time Frame
TON is on my watchlist for long positions due to its strong hype and ecosystem developments.
🟢 Long Position:
We are currently testing a major resistance at $4.076. If this level breaks, we can safely enter a long position. If a lower time frame trigger appears, it may be worth entering early.
🔴 Short Position:
I generally don’t recommend shorting TON, but if it breaks below $3.569, it could trigger a decent short trade. However, since TON is still ranging in the daily time frame and market volume is low at the end of the month, be cautious—unpredictable wicks are likely.
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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