Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions.
More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow.
The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
Technical Analysis
Will AUDJPY rebound?FX_IDC:AUDJPY had recently corrected lower, but continues to trade above a broken downside resistance line. Will we see a push back up anytime soon?
Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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XLMUSDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XLM/USDT for a buying opportunity around 0.2730 zone, XLM/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.2730 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 100,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 100,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum.
As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on:
Key Technical Factors:
Rejection from a prior structure zone
Clean lower highs forming
Breakdown and retest of minor support
Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line)
This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions.
Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?
💥 Market Outlook:
Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence?
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend.
If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained.
Trend Continuation or Reversal?
From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously.
There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3237
3251
3261
3276
3287
📉 Key Support Levels:
3205
3188
3170
3143
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news.
Conclusion:
Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves.
📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?
🧠 Market Context:
After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum.
The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.
Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves.
👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend.
📊 Trade Scenarios for Today:
✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%):
Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone.
⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline)
🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100
🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200)
🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%):
Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal.
🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume)
🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350
🛑 SL: 1.1215
🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA:
Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247
Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110
🎯 Execution Strategy:
Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume.
Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation.
Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels.
⚠️ News to Watch:
No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines.
Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction.
✅ Final Thoughts:
The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers.
Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions.
Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
Silver Retreats on Semiconductor TensionsSilver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment.
Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward.
Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Gold Slides Toward $3,220Gold fell to approximately $3,220 per ounce, on track for a weekly loss of more than 3% as appetite for the precious metal diminished with easing global trade tensions. The 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China reduced fears of a drawn-out trade war, while geopolitical concerns also eased with a stable India-Pakistan ceasefire.
Talks between Russia and Ukraine are losing momentum. Although soft U.S. inflation data has reinforced expectations for at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, Fed Chair Powell cautioned that future inflation may be volatile due to persistent supply shocks.
Key support is located at $3,120, followed by $3,030 and $2,956. Resistance levels are seen at $3,250, then $3,300 and $3,350.
Pound Gains on Strong UK GDPThe British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum.
GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.
Yen Strengthens Despite Japan’s Q1 ContractionThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 145 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth straight day, despite Japan’s economy shrinking by 0.2% in the first quarter, worse than forecasts. While the Bank of Japan acknowledged the risks posed by U.S. trade policies, it remains confident that rising wages and prices will support eventual policy normalization. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, with Japan insisting that any deal must include the auto sector and that the 25% U.S. tariff on Japanese cars be removed.
Resistance is noted at 148.60, with further barriers at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support levels lie at 139.70, 137.00, and 135.00.
NZDJPY: Strong Bullish Signal 🇳🇿🇯🇵
I spotted a nice example of the application of SMC trading
with multiple time frame analysis on NZDJPY pair.
After a test of a significant daily demand zone,
first, we see a liquidity grab where the price went beyond
the underlined zone.
A consequent bullish imbalance and CHoCH confirm
a real strength of the buyers and indicate a highly probable
bullish continuation.
Next goal - 86.43
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Golds Correction Is Over!Gold corrected itself all the way down to 3120 yesterday which is a significant demand level by institutions. Price then rebounded and closed at 3150. If it creates a confirmed HL by the end of Friday, the odds and probability XAUUSD will go back to its supply area at 3500 is highly probable. Price will also depend on macro fundamentals. The weekly shows a strong uptrend and so as the monthly chart. Institutions started buying back and increased their long positions.
ENDURANCE – Breakout from Supply Zone | Target ₹2136 ⚙️ ENDURANCE TECH LTD (NSE:ENDURANCE)
Time Frame: 15min / 1 Hour
📊 Trade Type: Positional / Intraday Momentum
📌 Buy Zone: ₹2042 (Above supply zone breakout)
🎯 Target 1: ₹2136
🎯 Target 2: ₹2287
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1915
📈 CMP: ₹2022.60
📌 Chart Insights:
✅ Strong volume breakout from horizontal resistance
✅ Cleared EMA 9/13/26 crossover
✅ RSI > 60 indicates bullish momentum
✅ Bollinger Band breakout (BB %B > 1.00)
✅ Breaking above pivot R2 zone (₹2042) opens room to R3
⚠️ Strategy:
Enter on confirmation above ₹2042 with volume support on 15min or 1H timeframe.
Stop loss below breakout candle or EMA cluster around ₹1915.
Trailing stop as it approaches targets.
For Education Purposes Only
EICHERMOT (NSE) – Bullish Setup on 15min & 1H🔑 Trade Plan:
📥 Buy Above: ₹5485 (above current resistance & candle body highs)
🎯 Targets:
T1: ₹5527 (Pivot R1)
T2: ₹5555
🛡️ Stop Loss: ₹5380 (below 13 EMA & Supertrend support)
📊 Technical Signals:
RSI: 58.08 – Bullish momentum, still room to run
%B (BB): 0.77 – Close to breakout from upper band
EMA Crossover: 9 EMA > 13 EMA – Short-term bullish crossover confirmed
Supertrend: Support at ₹5322, aligning with bullish reversal
Volume: Spike during recent green candles signals strong buying interest
⚙️ Strategy Notes:
Use 15min chart for entry timing post breakout
Tighten SL to cost after T1 hits
Ideal for short-term intraday/swing traders
For Education Purposes Only
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/05/2025)Flat opening in banknifty. After opening if any downside movement can goes reversal from 55050 level. Strong upside rally expected if banknifty starts trading above 55550 level. This upside rally can goes upto 55950+ level in today's session. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Jamie Dimon Warns of Possible Recession
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that a U.S. recession remains a real possibility amid ongoing uncertainty from the Trump administration's tariff policies. Speaking at JPMorgan’s Global Markets Conference in Paris, Dimon stated that while he hopes a recession can be avoided, it should not be ruled out.
💵 Stablecoin Legislation May Bolster U.S. Dollar
U.S. policymakers are advancing legislation to regulate dollar-linked stablecoins, aiming to reinforce the strength and global status of the U.S. dollar. The proposed Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025 (GENIUS Act) seeks to regulate stablecoins and their issuers, potentially anchoring the dollar's influence in the global financial ecosystem.
🏠 The Great Property Sell Fest Begins in India
The Great Property Sell Fest, a first-of-its-kind property festival in the Indian real estate market, is scheduled to take place from May 16 to 18, 2025. The event will be hosted across key locations including Gurugram, Noida, and Panipat, offering a unique platform for homeowners looking to sell their properties at premium prices.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 16:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for April
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
$U $20 support, flagging in ascension Interesting setup here. Looks pretty good IMO. Software is a great name to look at in this market environment. It has a nice support at $20, even at large volume here it’s holding nicely so it shows relative strength. This name is definitely bullish long term. I’m in $21.5c for 2 weeks out, this is a high IV% name. Can run 10% in a day, 20% in a week, etc. We will see how it plays out.
WSL.
Gold Price Action Analysis – 1-Hour ChartThis 1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) illustrates recent price action using key technical concepts such as Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH). The chart shows a clear downtrend with marked supply and demand zones, trendlines, and potential reversal areas. Price is currently consolidating near a support zone around the 3,190 level, with indications of market indecision. This setup may signal a potential breakout or continuation move, depending on how price reacts to the highlighted zones and trendline resistance.
NIFTY Resumes Its Bullish TrendHello traders! Today we will talk about an Indian stock market exchange NIFTY 50, as we see nice and clean pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
As you can see, NIFTY is in an impulsive bullish rise on the weekly basis, which looks like a higher degree wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse by Elliott wave theory.
After recent corrective slowdown in subwave (4), which perfectly tested channel support line and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement, we can now see it extending even higher, ideally for subwave (5) of a higher degree wave 3 that can push the price even up to 28k-30k area this year, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
LINK/USDT is Nearing The UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring LINK/USDT for a buying opportunity around 15.20 zone, LINK/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 15.20 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.