Silver Eases Despite Weaker DollarSilver slipped below $31.90 on Thursday, pressured by easing safe-haven demand after the U.S. and China agreed in Switzerland to cut tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively for 90 days. While the deal briefly lifted sentiment, uncertainty looms over what comes next.
The drop in geopolitical tensions has also dampened expectations for aggressive Fed cuts. However, weak U.S. inflation data from earlier this week supported silver by softening the Dollar and improving its appeal to international buyers.
Silver faces resistance at $32.50, followed by $33.80 and $34.20. Support is found at $31.40, with lower levels at $30.20 and $29.80.
Technical Analysis
Risk Appetite Weighs on GoldGold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
Risk Appetite Weighs on GoldGold hovers near $3,155, attempting to stabilize after falling more than 2% the previous day. The metal trades below $3,200, pressured by improved risk appetite following U.S.-China tariff reductions and upcoming U.S. data releases, including PPI and Retail Sales.
Fed Chair Powell’s speech is also in focus, as markets seek clues on interest rate policy. While the weaker Dollar has lent gold some support, traders remain cautious ahead of potential rate-cut signals.
Key resistance is seen at $3,235, followed by $3,300 and $3,350. On the downside, support begins at $3,120, then $3,030 and $2,956.
UK Data in Focus as Pound Tests 1.3300GBP/USD trades near 1.3280 early Thursday, recovering recent losses as the dollar softens with ongoing trade policy discussions. Optimism over reduced U.S. tariffs on British goods like cars and steel helps strengthen the appeal of the Pound.
However, weaker UK employment data and slow wage growth may increase pressure on the BoE to consider further easing. Traders now await UK Q1 GDP and U.S. CPI data. Despite global uncertainties, improving trade conditions have reduced bets on aggressive Fed cuts, with markets now pricing a 74% chance of a 25 bp cut in September instead of July.
The pair faces resistance at 1.3320, with higher levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support sits at 1.3160, then 1.3000 and 1.2960.
Euro Rises Near 1.1200 on Reserve StatusEUR/USD traded around 1.1200 during Thursday’s Asian session, rebounding ahead of the Eurozone’s Q1 2025 GDP report. The Euro remains supported by its rising role in global reserves, with Capital Economics noting its strongest position in years. U.S. policies under President Trump set this shift in motion, which is seen as weakening the dollar’s appeal as a popular asset. Germany’s increased fiscal spending has also lifted euro demand.
Despite ECB officials signaling more rate cuts, the Euro holds steady against a softer U.S. Dollar, which remains pressured by lingering trade uncertainty. Markets are now focused on U.S. retail sales and PPI data, while speculation grows that the U.S. might allow a weaker Dollar to aid exports.
EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside near 1.1460 and 1.1580. Support begins at 1.1040, followed by 1.1000 and 1.0960.
GBPUSD: Bearish Move Confirmed?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bearish after a release of UK GDP this morning.
I see a strong bearish imbalance after a test of a key horizontal resistance
and a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH as a confirmation.
I expect a bearish continuation at least to 1.3224
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US Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Setup in PlayThe market has spoken and it’s whispering a potential bullish breakout .
As seen in the chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out from a short-term consolidation zone after forming a solid base near the 99.00 region. Currently, it's retesting a minor support level (highlighted by the yellow horizontal line).
Key Observation:
Price is holding above this support zone with strength. If this level holds, I anticipate a continuation to the upside as marked by the white arrow.
Target: The next major resistance zone lies near the 103.00 area, where price previously reversed. This becomes the logical next stop if the bullish momentum continues.
What I’m Watching:
Reaction from the current support zone
Strength of buyers stepping in
Any fundamental catalysts from USD-related news/events
In trading, it's not about predicting, it's about preparing. This chart reflects a classic "break-and-retest" scenario often seen before major moves.
Let’s see how this plays out over the coming days.
MKVENTURES CAPITAL – Positional Breakout Setup📈 Buy Above: ₹1,700 (Breakout Zone)
Stoploss: ₹1,630
Target 1: ₹1,790
Target 2: ₹1,880
🔹 RSI is bullish, above 60
🔹 Strong volume build-up
🔹 Near resistance zone – breakout likely
📉 Sell Below: ₹1,630 (Trend Reversal)
Stoploss: ₹1,700
Target: ₹1,550
📊 Chart: Daily
📌 Strategy: Resistance Breakout with RSI & Volume Confirmation
💡 Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Good for swing trade)
For Education Purposes Only
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/05/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 55050 level then expected bullish movement in index. This movement can goes upto 55450 level and can extend further upto 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading above 55550 level. Below 54950 negative movement expected. 54550 level will act as a downside support for banknifty. Major downside movement expected in banknifty below 54450 level.
AVAX Potential UpsidesAVAX/USDT is currently trading within a broader uptrend and is in a corrective phase. The price is approaching the 24.60 level, a key support and resistance area that aligns with the prevailing trend structure. This zone may offer insight into potential market reaction and the strength of the ongoing trend.
TradeCityPro | VETUSDT The Best Entry Opportunity Awaits👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive in and analyze one of the veteran coins in the cryptocurrency space, VET, which has a high potential for movement. Together, we’ll identify its entry triggers.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, VET is one of the coins that’s in a relatively good position compared to other altcoins. While most altcoins have recorded new lows, VET has never lost the 0.01430 level!
After being supported at 0.01922 and closing a green weekly candle, we experienced an upward move. Currently, we’re stuck at the resistance of 0.03176, and it seems we’re pulling back to this resistance.
📉 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, after an upward wave that didn’t quite reach the 0.09 resistance, a fake candle occurred, and we entered a box between 0.04197 and 0.05253. Seller presence and a rejection from the middle of the box led to losing the 0.04197 support.
After breaking this support, we experienced a sharp decline. When we reached the 0.01925 support, the bearish momentum hit its lowest point, and we saw reactions from buyers, leading to an upward move.
Currently, we’re below the key resistance at **0.03233**. After breaking this level, we can expect a sharp upward move. You can take a position in both **futures and spot**, with the safest stop loss for your buy at 0.01925
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
What Makes a Chart Tradable – Part TwoIn the previous post , we explored the foundations of technical trading. We examined how market behavior can appear structured even when it results from randomness, how bias affects interpretation and how volatility persistence helps explain why certain moves tend to cluster rather than appear in isolation. This post builds on that foundation by focusing on how to recognize meaningful movement and determine whether a chart structure is tradable.
Technical charts often present a wide range of setups, patterns, and interpretations. But a core distinction must be made between coincidental formations and actual price behavior driven by imbalance. Not all movements are equal, and recognizing the difference between random fluctuation and purposeful structure is essential.
A common assumption in technical analysis is that certain patterns or shapes inherently provide a specific outcome. This assumption is problematic without a defined context. The ability to recognize a flag or wedge does not imply statistical validity. For a price movement to be tradable, there should be characteristics that suggest underlying buying or selling pressure.
Unusual Movement
To determine whether a price move is meaningful, it must be assessed in relation to what is typical for that market. All assets have their own average range, pace and rhythm. When price breaks from that baseline through unusually strong or sustained movement, it can signal momentum or imbalance.
What makes these moves relevant is not their size alone, but the fact that they differ from normal behavior. This kind of shift may reflect changes in supply and demand or a reaction to new information. Such movements could mark a change in behavior and can serve as reference points. Their value lies in being statistically uncommon, which may suggest that market conditions have changed.
Pullbacks as Rebalance
Following strong directional movement, price tends to enter a state of reversion or pause. This is known as a pullback, a controlled retracement .It is not merely a pause. It reflects a psychological reset and the temporary rebalancing of order flow in response to imbalance.
Not all pullbacks are viable. For a setup to be considered tradable, the retracement must occur in the context of a meaningful prior move. When the underlying trend is intact and the pullback is controlled, the structure can offer a more reliable opportunity.
The Role of Standardization
Trading should be based on discretion. It involves interpretation, context and deliberate decision-making. But without structure, it risks becoming inconsistent and reactive.
Therefore movement and momentum should be measurable. What appears meaningful must be evaluated relative to the asset’s own historical behavior, not assumed based on surface-level appearance. Without a reference, the evaluation may lack foundation.
Measurement supports model building. Standardization supports disciplined execution. A trader might believe a move is strong based on visual cues or pattern familiarity, but if it lacks historical context or fails to meet defined criteria, that evaluation could be flawed.
Framework and Models
There are categories of tools that can be incorporated to support standardization. The choice is not fixed and should be based on personal preference, methods and research. Example:
Volatility Measure: Could be used to confirm when price moves outside a volatility-based envelope, indicating movement beyond the average range.
Momentum Measure: Could be used to confirm whether current price action is faster or stronger compared to recent historical behavior.
Such models are used to define context, not to predict outcomes. They help standardize analysis and filter out questionable movements and patterns.
Conclusion
The textbook patterns often referenced on their own do not create edge. Tradable charts are those where meaningful movement, defined by momentum, imbalance and structure, can be observed and evaluated using standardized methods. The purpose is not precision but repeatability. Discretionary trading is built on contextual evaluation supported by consistency and objective tools.
Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Double Top pattern on the daily chart. After hitting an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase and is now hovering dangerously close to key psychological support at $3,200.
Technical Analysis Breakdown:
A clear Double Top pattern is forming on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks near the same resistance level — a classical bearish signal indicating bullish exhaustion.
If today’s daily candle closes below the $3,200 level, we could see a rapid decline toward $3,000 in the short to medium term.
The neckline for this pattern aligns with the critical support zone between 3196–3200, which is the key area to monitor for potential breakdown confirmation.
What’s the Smart Money Doing?
Investors are currently pulling out of gold and rotating into higher-risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies, looking for higher yields and growth potential.
This shift in investment suggests that the current sell-off might not just be a technical correction, but also a sign of changing macro sentiment — particularly if the Fed continues with a hawkish stance and delays rate cuts.
Suggested Trade Scenarios:
🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200:
High probability sell setup based on the Double Top pattern
Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000
🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces:
Watch for a retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals
Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with a tight SL below 3190
What to Watch This Week:
Keep an eye on key US economic data, including CPI, PPI, and a Fed Chair speech, which could cause significant volatility.
The market is highly reactive right now — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear confirmation from the charts.
Risk management is essential, especially during these uncertain times.
Final Thoughts:
The Double Top pattern on Gold is becoming a significant technical signal for a potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,000.
📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical insights, and trading setups during every market session.
Bitcoin Is Final Stages Of A Bullish CycleBitcoin is still bullish and the rise looks impulsive on the monthly chart, but cyclically, we are in the late stages of a 3-year bull run that can end this year, ideally around October 2025. There’s actually still about 5 months of a bullish trend to complete 35 monthly bars, like in previous bullish cycles, so we may easily see more gains this year from a technical perspective.
Next year we should be aware of a bear market that can last at least 12 monthly bars or one year.
Wyckoff distribution on FET/USDI noticed this Wyckoff distribution pattern that has formed on the 1h time frame for FET/USD and it convinced me this might be a good time to step out and wait.
The crypto market has been going sideways since last week now and we didn't really get a strong rebound after the selloff a few days ago. Even with the positive Macro news it's starting to feel like there's just not enough buyers around right now to push BTC and everything else to higher highs. My advice is to be cautions now and wait for a correction, then enter at more favorable prices.
EURCAD Bearish Breakdown – More Downside Potential Ahead?# EURCAD Bearish Breakdown – More Downside Potential Ahead?
**Analysis:**
EURCAD has broken below a key support level at **1.5710**, which previously acted as a consolidation base. This breakdown could signal the start of a deeper bearish move.
The market structure is clearly shifting to the downside, with **lower highs and lower lows** forming. If bearish momentum continues, the price could drop toward the psychological zones around **1.5000** and potentially **1.4500**.
---
**Key Technical Highlights:**
- **Breakdown level:** 1.5710 (former support)
- **Structure:** Bearish
- **Target zone:** 1.5000 – 1.4500
- **Invalidation:** Bullish recovery above 1.5710
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**Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):**
Watch for retests below 1.5710 to confirm bearish continuation. Short positions may be considered with proper risk management.
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> **Disclaimer:**
> This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
NBCC (India) Ltd (NSE: NBCC) – Breakout Trade Setup🧾 Equity Research Summary – NBCC (India) Ltd.
Sector: Construction & Infrastructure – Government PSU
Technical Setup: Trendline breakout + Base retest + Volume surge
Support Zone: ₹68–₹75
Breakout Zone: ₹100–₹103
Upside Potential: Strong move expected due to order book + infra push
Catalyst:
Government infrastructure spending
Order wins from CPWD, NBCC contracts, redevelopment projects
📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–4 weeks)
📊 Risk-Reward: 1:2.5
🟢 Buy Setup
Buy above: ₹107 (confirmation above resistance zone)
Stoploss: ₹100 (below breakout support)
Target 1: ₹115
Target 2: ₹124
Target 3 (Swing): ₹130–₹135
🔻 Short Setup (if breakout fails)
Sell Below: ₹99
Stoploss: ₹103
Target: ₹91, ₹82
For Education Purposes Only
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming?
Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend.
🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone?
📌 Support Zones to Monitor:
3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure.
3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur.
⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops.
As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today.
Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330
📊 Key Support Levels:
3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158
🎯 Scalping BUY Zones:
BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
🎯 Scalping SELL Zones:
SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220
SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230
🔎 Key Insights:
The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!
Vadilal Industries – Equity Trade Setup & Research View🟢 Long Trade Setup (Bullish Reversal Play)
Current Price: ₹7,346.50
Fibonacci Level Tested: 38.2% at ₹7,361 — a crucial breakout level
Trendline Breakout: Price has broken above falling trendline with volume confirmation
RSI: Near 60 – bullish momentum building
🔼 Buy Zone
Entry (Buy above): ₹7,375 (confirm above 38.2% Fib resistance)
Target 1: ₹7,825 (Fib 0.5 level)
Target 2: ₹8,291 (Fib 0.618)
Target 3: ₹8,953 (Fib 0.786 for aggressive swing)
Stop Loss: ₹6,785 (below 23.6% Fib retracement)
🔻 Short Trade Setup (if rejection happens)
Sell Below: ₹7,200
Target: ₹6,785
Stoploss: ₹7,375
📅 Timeframe: Daily (1D)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.5+
🔁 Valid for: Next 2–4 weeks
For Education Purposes Only
BTC Bullish Pennant Breakout – Eyeing $107K TargetBitcoin (BTC/USD) has recently demonstrated strong bullish structure following an extended consolidation phase. The current price action suggests a textbook bullish pennant breakout, which often indicates trend continuation in strong markets. This technical setup follows a period of accumulation and consolidation between March and April, with a well-defined pennant formation leading into the breakout in early May.
Technical Analysis:
Historical Context & Structure:
From mid-February to March, BTC experienced significant downward pressure, eventually finding major support in the $76,000–$78,000 zone, which is clearly outlined on the chart as a key support level.
This support zone initiated a reversal, forming the base of a new bullish leg that marked the beginning of the next trending phase.
Consolidation Phase – The Ellipse Region:
The price action within the elliptical region (mid-March to late April) reflects accumulation behavior, with multiple rejections on both upper and lower bounds, indicating balance between buyers and sellers.
This phase formed a foundational structure, setting up the stage for a breakout pattern.
Pennant Formation (Late April – Early May):
The price sharply rallied in late April, breaking out of the consolidation and moving into a tight triangular pennant pattern — a classic continuation formation.
This bullish pennant features converging trendlines, lower volume, and diminishing volatility as price consolidates — all typical characteristics.
Breakout and Retest:
The breakout from the pennant occurred on high momentum with strong bullish candles.
Post-breakout, the price approached the resistance zone (~$103,000–$105,000) and is currently attempting to establish support at this level.
This retest adds validity to the breakout and opens the door for further upside continuation.
Trade Parameters:
Entry Zone: Breakout above the pennant (~$99,000–$100,000), confirmed by momentum.
Resistance Zone: $103,000–$105,000 (currently being retested).
Target (Measured Move):
Using the height of the pennant pole (~$20,000 move from $80K to $100K), the projected target lies near $107,307, aligning with horizontal resistance.
Stop Loss:
Set at $93,344, just below the pennant’s lower boundary. This level also aligns with recent structural support and invalidation of the pattern.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:2.5+, offering a favorable setup assuming trend continuation.
Additional Notes:
Volume:
Although not shown, breakouts from pennants are ideally confirmed by an increase in volume, indicating market conviction. Volume confirmation is highly recommended for trade confirmation.
Market Context:
This setup aligns with broader bullish sentiment in the crypto space and may be reinforced by macroeconomic or ETF-related developments. However, risk management remains key, especially around psychological levels and news-driven volatility.
Conclusion :
Bitcoin is currently in a strong technical position. The breakout from the bullish pennant pattern following prolonged consolidation signals continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Traders should watch for sustained price action above $103K for confirmation. A pullback or retest toward this level can present re-entry opportunities before a potential move toward $107K. Tight risk management is advised with stops below $93K.
XAUUSD Bearish Pennant Breakdown | Retest in Play – 3090 TargetGold (XAUUSD) has been in a corrective phase after reaching the resistance zone around 3370–3420 USD, where the price was previously rejected with strong selling pressure. Over the past sessions, price action has developed into a Bearish Pennant pattern, typically seen as a continuation pattern in a downtrend.
Following a sharp drop from the highs, the price consolidated between converging trendlines, creating lower highs and higher lows. This structure resembles a pennant or triangle formation, which traders often interpret as a pause before the next leg down.
🔍 Key Technical Features:
1. Resistance Zone (3370–3420 USD):
Strong institutional selling observed here.
Multiple rejections confirm this zone as a significant supply area.
This area also serves as a risk management reference point for stop-loss placement.
2. Support Zone (3210–3230 USD):
The price bounced multiple times from this level, making it a key demand area.
A clean break below this zone would confirm bearish continuation.
3. Trendline Resistance:
A descending trendline has been respected consistently since May 8.
Price recently retested this trendline after a minor pullback, aligning with the bearish pennant structure.
4. Bearish Pennant Pattern:
Forms after a strong downward impulse.
The consolidation is narrowing within converging trendlines.
A breakdown with high volume typically leads to a continuation of the prior trend.
5. Breakout & Retest:
Price has already broken below the pennant's lower boundary.
The current move is a retest of the broken trendline—a classic setup for entering a short position upon rejection.
🎯 Bearish Target Projection:
The measured move from the pole of the pennant suggests a target around 3090 USD.
This level is derived by taking the height of the initial drop before the pennant and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
🛑 Stop Loss Strategy:
A conservative stop loss can be placed just above the 3370 USD resistance zone.
Alternatively, a tighter stop could be placed slightly above the trendline (~3240–3250) for aggressive entries, though this increases the risk of a false breakout.
✅ Trading Plan Summary:
Aspect Level / Detail
Entry Zone After retest & rejection (near 3230–3240 USD)
Target 3090 USD
Stop Loss Above 3370 USD
Risk-Reward Approx. 1:3 or higher
Pattern Type Bearish Pennant
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook bearish continuation setup with strong confluences:
Trendline resistance
Bearish pennant formation
Breakdown with retest
Clear resistance and support zones for managing risk
If momentum sustains to the downside after the retest, we could see a swift drop toward 3090 USD, offering a favorable shorting opportunity for swing and intraday traders alike.
Always confirm with volume and candlestick confirmation before execution. Stay updated with fundamental drivers such as CPI, PPI, or FOMC comments, which can inject volatility.