EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 162.100 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 162.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
BITCOIN Supply Demand Short ALERT1) See picture for full analysis...
Higher Timframe:
-Price inside supply
-Trend = downtrend
-Stochastic RSI overbought
Lower Timeframe:
-Need break to break support + break upward trend-line + quality supply created.
- IF price does the following then possible pullback for short OR look for scalp/day-trade shorts
to the downside with 1TF setups.
#supplyanddemand #supportandresistance
Sundaram Finance | Falling Wedge Breakout with Strong Volume Pattern: Falling Wedge breakout followed by consolidation (bullish continuation).
Breakout Confirmation: Clean breakout from both the wedge and the consolidation box with strong volume.
Indicators:
Volume: Spike visible (🔵 arrow) – confirming strength.
RSI: Crossed above 60 – entering bullish momentum territory.
EMAs: Price trading above all major EMAs – trend supportive.
Buy Recommendation:
Entry Range: ₹340–₹350
(Post-breakout retest may offer ideal entries if available)
🎯 Target Levels:
Short-Term Target: ₹375
Mid-Term Target: ₹410–₹425
(Based on previous swing highs and wedge height projection)
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL Level: ₹320 (below the consolidation box low)
for educational purposes only
ICICI Prudential Life – Turning the Corner?After months of steady decline inside a falling channel, ICICI Prudential Life is showing early signs of reversal. The stock has recently broken out of its channel with a strong bullish weekly candle, closing at ₹571.70 with a +4.5% gain. Volume is picking up, and RSI is curling up above 40 with a bullish divergence—indicating momentum is building. Price is now near a key resistance zone (~₹590–₹610); a clean breakout here could confirm trend reversal.
📊 Financial Snapshot
Net Premium Income: ₹10,169 Cr vs ₹9,465 Cr ⬆️
PAT: ₹226 Cr vs ₹221 Cr (flat YoY)
VNB Margin: Healthy at 26.7%
Embedded Value: ₹47,020 Cr
Solvency Ratio: Strong at 211%
AUM: ₹2.88 Lakh Cr
💡 Why Consider Buying?
Reversal setup after long correction
Attractive risk-reward near base
Steady premium growth, strong solvency
Long-term growth play on India’s underpenetrated life insurance sector
🚫 Risks / Why to Wait:
Resistance at ₹590–₹610 still intact
PAT growth has been flat
Sector sentiment can be sensitive to interest rate trends
🎯 Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: ₹565–575
Target 1: ₹610
Target 2: ₹660
Stop Loss: ₹540
for educational purposes only
Bearish Momentum Eases at 141.70 Support in USD/JPYFenzoFx—The USD/JPY currency pair resumed its bearish trend after breaking below 144.56 but steadied at the 141.70 support level. Indicators show sideways movement, reflecting a lack of momentum.
With the price below the 50-period moving average, the bearish outlook persists. If the pair stabilizes below 141.70, the downtrend may deepen, while surpassing 144.56 could pave the way for a rise toward 148.20.
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USDCHF: Your Next Bearish Signal 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is consolidating after a massive selloff that we saw last week.
The price formed inside bar candlestick pattern and is currently
stuck within the range of the mother's bar.
Your next confirmation to sell will be a violation and a candle close
below 0.8098.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling then
and reach at least 0.8 psychological level.
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GBP/USD Breaks $1.3202: Bullish Market InsightsFenzoFx—The GBP/USD currency pair shows strong bullish momentum, breaking above $1.3202 yesterday. With overbought signals from the Stochastic indicator, a consolidation phase may lead to declines toward $1.3144 and $1.3030.
Traders should watch for bullish candlestick patterns near these support levels.
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Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈
Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders.
As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go?
🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak
A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50.
Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points.
In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups.
This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones:
3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230
Resistance Zones:
3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330
⚙️ Trading Zones
🔽 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3,330 – 3,332
SL: 3,336
TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #1:
Entry: 3,270 – 3,268
SL: 3,264
TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300
📈 Buy Zone #2:
Entry: 3,240 – 3,238
SL: 3,234
TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN
⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory
With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning.
This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times.
💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
Oil slumps as demand outlook dims and supply risesMacro:
- Oil prices stay weak as trade war fears weigh on global growth and energy demand.
- The IEA cut its 2025 oil demand growth forecast to just 730k bpd, the slowest pace in five years, down from 1.03 mln.
- Meanwhile, OPEC+ output is rising, with Saudi Arabia set to boost exports to China in May and Russia maintaining steady production, fueling oversupply concerns.
Technical:
- USOIL is in a clear downtrend fueled by lower highs and lows. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent downward momentum.
- If USOIL closes above the resistance at 63.30, the price may retest the following resistance at 65.80.
- On the contrary, remaining below 68.30 may pave the way to retest the support at 57.25 and 53.85, respectively.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
EUR/GBP – Trendline Break & Retest: Reversal Confirmed?Technical Outlook:
EUR/GBP has broken above the descending trendline and is now retesting it from above near 0.8540–0.8560. This zone is critical — holding it confirms a trend reversal. If successful, the next upside targets are 0.8625 and 0.8680. RSI remains above 50, and MACD continues to support bullish momentum.
Fundamentals:
Dovish expectations from the BoE weigh on the pound. The euro gains support from improving inflation outlook and capital inflows. Interest rate differentials now favor EUR.
Scenarios:
📈 Main: bounce from 0.8540–0.8560 → move to 0.8625 and 0.8680
📉 Alt: break below 0.8540 → retracement to 0.8500–0.8480
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/04/2025Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 23300 level then possible upside rally upto 23500 in opening session. This rally can be expected for further 200+ points in case nifty gives breakout and starts trading above 23550 level. Any major downside only expected below 23250 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading above the 52550 level then this bullish rally can goes upto 52950 level in opening session. This can be extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty gives breakout of 53000 level and sustain above 53050 level. 52950 level will act as a resistance for today's session. Any reversal can gives downside movement upto 52550 level. Any major downside only expected below 52450 level.
AUD/USD⚔️ Strategy Options:
🟢 Bullish Tactical Play (Range Swing):
Only valid if price closes weekly above 0.6450.
Entry: Buy limit on retest of 0.6310
SL: 0.6150
TP1: 0.6500
TP2: 0.6850
This is a short-term retracement play against a longer-term bearish trend.
🔴 Bearish Trend Continuation:
Ideal if weekly closes below 0.6200
Entry: Sell retrace at 0.6300
SL: 0.6460
TP1: 0.6000
TP2: 0.5800–0.5650
This aligns with macro pressure (risk-off + China slowdown) and offers clean structure.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 16, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🗣️ Federal Reserve Speeches: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 1:30 PM ET, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments. Additionally, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will speak at 12:00 PM ET, and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan will speak at 7:00 PM ET.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, April 16:
🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +1.2%
Previous: +0.2%
Measures the total receipts of retail stores, reflecting consumer spending trends.
🏭 Industrial Production (9:15 AM ET):
Forecast: -0.1%
Previous: +0.7%
Indicates the output of the nation's factories, mines, and utilities.
🏠 Homebuilder Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 37
Previous: 39
Assesses the confidence of homebuilders in the market for newly built single-family homes.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Wed 16th Apr 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave,
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334
1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
💡 H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
H1 Trading Idea:
Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334.
SL: Above 1.1334
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
Will Gold Retest 3170 ATHs in Sight Amid Rising Global TensionsXAU/USD has decisively broken above the significant 3170 resistance level, confirming bullish momentum and signaling a potential continuation of its long-term uptrend. This breakout is not just technical—it's backed by a growing fundamental storm.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, the ongoing trade war rhetoric surrounding Trump’s tariff policies, and persistent global macro uncertainty, gold is once again asserting its role as a premier safe haven asset. These drivers are creating the perfect backdrop for further upside, possibly pushing gold toward new all-time highs.
Currently, price is in a healthy correction phase, pulling back toward the former resistance zone at 3170, which now acts as strong support. A retest and confirmation in this area may offer a high-probability long setup for trend-followers and breakout traders alike.
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point.
Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs.
A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
GBP/JPY Awaits a Bearish BreakoutFenzoFx—GBP/JPY trades slightly above the 50-period SMA at 188.4, but the trend remains bearish below the 50.0% Fibonacci resistance level. The Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought state, suggesting short-term pressure.
A downtrend may resume if GBP/JPY closes below 187.6, targeting 186.0. Conversely, a break above 190.2 resistance could extend momentum to 192.0.
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EURGBP Potential downsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.86000 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.