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Technical Analysis

Gold (XAU/EUR) – Potential Sell Setup from Rising Wedge📉 Market Structure & Pattern: The chart shows a broadening wedge pattern followed by a rising wedge formation. Price has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, where a potential sell-off could begin. 📉 Bearish Outlook: The sell signal is indicated near 2,811 EUR, suggesting a possible reversal. The target area is around 2,769 - 2,700 EUR, aligning with previous support zones. If the price breaks below the wedge structure, further downside momentum is expected. 📌 Trading Plan: Bears may look for short opportunities around resistance. A break below 2,794 EUR could confirm further downside. Bulls should monitor price action for any rejection near support zones for potential buying opportunities. ⚠️ Risk Management: A break above 2,815 EUR could invalidate the bearish setup. Stop-loss placement above resistance is advisable to minimize risk.
OANDA:XAUEURShort
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal (Inverse Head & Shoulders)📌 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders 📌 Analysis: The chart showcases an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. The price has successfully broken out of the downward trendline, indicating potential upside movement. 🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed during the previous retracement. 🔹 Head: The lowest point of the pattern, marking strong support. 🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed with a breakout above resistance. 📈 Trading Plan: ✅ Entry (Buy): After a confirmed breakout and possible retest. 🎯 Target: 153.988 - 154.672 (2.74% potential gain). 🔻 Support: 149.883 - 148.837 (Stops should be placed accordingly). 📊 Conclusion: If the price maintains above the breakout level, we may see a strong rally toward the resistance target. Watch for volume confirmation and pullback retests before entering a trade.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900. However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300. We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Luiz_soares
GBP/USD Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Ahead?This 4-hour chart of GBP/USD shows a clear bearish setup: 🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown – The pair has broken below a rising wedge pattern, signaling potential downside pressure. 🔹 Support and Resistance Levels – Resistance at 1.29206 - 1.30275 Support at 1.28000 - 1.28437 Strong support at 1.27539 🔹 Sell Confirmation – A sell signal is indicated, suggesting further downside movement towards the target zone. 📉 Trading Plan: ✅ Possible short entries below the 1.28956 level. ✅ Target price: 1.27539 ✅ Stop-loss above 1.29206 for risk management. ⚠️ Risk Note: Always manage risk properly and watch for any trend reversals before entering trades. What are your thoughts? Are you bearish or bullish on GBP/USD? 🤔💬
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
(ETH/USD) Poised for a Major BreakoutMarket Structure & Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout: Ethereum previously broke out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal. Ascending Triangle Formation: Price is currently forming an ascending triangle, indicating potential for a breakout. Support Levels: $2,021 – Local support. $1,926 - $1,873 – Strong demand zone. Resistance Levels: $2,120 - $2,251 – First resistance zone. $2,531 - $2,564 – Final bullish target zone. Trading Plan: Buy Setup: Enter long on breakout above $2,120 with strong momentum. Stop Loss: Below $2,021 (support level). Take Profit Targets: TP1: $2,251 (first resistance). TP2: $2,531 (main target). TP3: $2,564 (extended bullish target). Risk Factors: A failure to break $2,120 could result in a pullback to $1,926. Macroeconomic factors or Bitcoin’s movement may impact Ethereum’s trend.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Retest SetupMarket Structure & Analysis: Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows. Resistance & Retest: The price recently hit a resistance zone around $3,054 and pulled back for a retest. Support Zone: A key support level is marked at $3,010, which has held multiple times. Bullish Retest Setup: If the price successfully retests this support level and confirms bullish momentum, we can anticipate a potential move toward the next resistance level. Target Levels: First Target: $3,054 (recent high) Final Target: $3,089 (next major resistance) Trading Plan: Buy Setup: Enter after confirmation of bullish price action at the support level ($3,010). Stop Loss: Below $3,010 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: TP1: $3,054 TP2: $3,089 Risk Factors: If the support at $3,010 breaks, price may drop toward the next major support at $2,911, invalidating the bullish setup. Economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI data, or geopolitical risks) may cause unexpected volatility in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
1
EUR/JPY Triple Bottom Breakout – Bullish SetupThis chart represents the EUR/JPY currency pair on the daily timeframe. It highlights a Triple Bottom pattern, a bullish reversal formation that signals a potential upward trend after testing strong support multiple times. 1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Triple Bottom Formation The Triple Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend and consists of three distinct lows at nearly the same level. This indicates that sellers attempted to push the price lower but failed three times, suggesting that buying pressure is increasing. Bottom 1 (August 2024): The price reached a low near 150.344, forming the first support zone. Bottom 2 (September 2024): The price dropped again to the same support level but bounced back, indicating strong demand. Bottom 3 (March 2025): The price retested the support for the third time and rebounded, confirming the pattern. 💡 Key Takeaway: The repeated failure to break below the support level suggests that sellers are losing control, and buyers are preparing for a strong move up. 2. Support & Resistance Levels Understanding support and resistance levels is crucial for identifying entry and exit points: Support Level (150.344 - 150.125): This zone has acted as a strong demand area where price consistently bounced back. Resistance Level (167.500 - 170.000): This is the neckline of the Triple Bottom pattern. A breakout above this level confirms the bullish trend. If the price breaks above the resistance level, it will trigger buying momentum and open the doors for further upside. 3. Trading Strategy & Price Targets ✅ Entry Criteria The ideal buy entry is after the price breaks above the resistance level (~167.500 - 170.000) with strong bullish momentum and increased volume. Wait for a daily candle close above the resistance level to confirm the breakout. 🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit - TP) TP1 (173.001) – First profit-taking level, as the price may encounter some resistance. TP2 (179.266) – Final bullish target if the breakout holds strong. 📉 Stop Loss (Risk Management) Stop Loss (SL): Below 150.125, just below the previous support level. This minimizes losses if the price fails to break out. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup offers a high risk-reward ratio, making it a favorable trade. 4. Market Psychology & Confirmation Signals The Triple Bottom indicates a strong shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Confirmation signals to watch for: ✅ Bullish breakout above resistance ✅ Increase in trading volume ✅ Formation of bullish candlesticks (e.g., Engulfing, Marubozu, or Breakout Retest Confirmation) 5. Summary & Final Thoughts 🔹 The Triple Bottom pattern signals a strong reversal with clear upside potential. 🔹 The breakout above resistance (~167.500 - 170.000) will confirm a bullish trend. 🔹 Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation with volume support. 🔹 TP1: 173.001, TP2: 179.266 🔹 SL: Below 150.125 to protect capital. 🚀 Conclusion : This setup presents an excellent long opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward strategy. If the breakout holds, EUR/JPY could see a strong uptrend in the coming weeks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Double Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup1. Market Structure & Context The EUR/GBP daily chart presents a well-defined double bottom reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend shift from a prolonged downtrend to an uptrend. The pair has been in a bearish phase, as reflected by the descending trendline. However, price action suggests a possible trend reversal, as buyers are stepping in near a key demand zone. A successful neckline breakout would confirm the bullish reversal, potentially leading to significant upside movement. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Technical Levels A. Double Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) The double bottom is a powerful reversal pattern, often signaling the end of a downtrend. It consists of two similar low points, forming a "W" shape. Bottom 1: The first low was established around 0.8200 - 0.8250, where buyers initially stepped in to push prices higher. Bottom 2: Price retested this demand zone, but sellers failed to push it lower, confirming a strong support level. Bullish Significance: The inability of sellers to break below the support zone suggests the exhaustion of selling pressure and increasing buy-side interest. B. Neckline Resistance & Potential Breakout Zone The neckline resistance is drawn around 0.8450 - 0.8500, a key level where previous price rallies were rejected. A breakout above this zone, ideally with strong bullish volume, would validate the double bottom pattern and trigger a bullish breakout trade. C. Descending Trendline Breakout Attempt The long-term downtrend resistance (trendline) has been holding since mid-2024. Price is currently testing this trendline; a clear breakout and retest would add further confidence to the bullish bias. 3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan A. Entry Strategy There are two possible entry strategies, depending on risk appetite: Aggressive Entry: Buy immediately upon a breakout above 0.8500, anticipating a strong rally. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout + retest of the neckline before entering, ensuring confirmation. B. Stop Loss & Risk Management Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the recent swing low at 0.82029. This level acts as the last line of defense for bulls; if price drops below it, the bullish thesis is invalidated. C. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 0.86122 (first resistance zone, a previous swing high). TP2: 0.87284 (higher resistance level, next supply zone). These levels serve as potential profit-taking areas where sellers may re-enter the market. 4. Additional Technical Confluences Supporting Bullish Bias ✔ Key Support Zone Holding Strong – The price has bounced twice from the demand zone (0.8200 - 0.8250), confirming strong buyer interest. ✔ Volume Confirmation Needed – A breakout with high volume increases the probability of sustained bullish momentum. ✔ RSI & Momentum Indicators – If RSI crosses above 50, it would further confirm bullish momentum, supporting the breakout trade. ✔ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – A well-defined stop loss & take profit strategy ensures an optimal trade setup. 5. Summary & Final Trading Plan Current Market Bias: Bullish if neckline breaks (Double Bottom Confirmation). Entry Confirmation: Look for a breakout above 0.8500 with strong volume. Profit Targets: TP1: 0.8612 TP2: 0.8728 Stop-Loss Level: Below 0.8202 to protect against fake breakouts. 🚀 Final Tip for Traders: Monitor price action & volume closely. A breakout without volume may lead to a false move. Confirmation with bullish momentum is essential for a high-probability trade setup.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
1
EUR/USD Triple Bottom Reversal | Bullish Breakout SetupChart Overview This is a EUR/USD 1-hour chart showing a classic Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. The price has tested a key support level multiple times, forming three distinct bottoms, indicating that sellers are losing momentum while buyers are stepping in. This setup suggests an upcoming breakout, with well-defined entry, take profit, and stop-loss levels to capitalize on the potential upward move. Technical Breakdown 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking below, confirming strong buying interest. Each time the price touched this level, it rebounded, indicating accumulation by buyers. Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige) The price previously reversed from this level, making it a key area to watch for a breakout. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger strong upward momentum. 2. Triple Bottom Formation A Triple Bottom is a strong bullish reversal pattern. It consists of: Bottom 1: First rejection from support. Bottom 2: A retest of support with buyers defending the level. Bottom 3: The final touch before an upward move, confirming the pattern. This pattern signals that selling pressure is diminishing and buyers are preparing for a strong breakout. 3. Bullish Reversal & Breakout Zone A breakout above the neckline resistance (around 1.0843) will confirm the pattern. Traders should wait for a confirmed candle close above the resistance before entering a long position. A retest of the breakout zone can provide an additional entry opportunity. Trade Setup & Key Levels 🔹 Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter at the breakout level (above 1.0843) with volume confirmation. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout retest before entering long. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: 1.08868 (First resistance zone) TP2: 1.09642 (Major resistance zone, strong price reaction expected) ❌ Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: Below 1.06786, under the support zone. This ensures that if the price breaks below the key level, the trade is invalidated. Market Sentiment & Expected Move If the price breaks the resistance → Expect a strong bullish move toward TP1 and TP2. If the price fails to break out → It may consolidate further or retest support. Watch for increased volume on the breakout to confirm strength. 📌 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish setup based on a well-formed Triple Bottom Reversal pattern. Traders should monitor price action near the breakout zone and manage risk effectively with proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
NZDUSD - H4, H1 Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasTechnical analysis is on the chart! No description needed! OANDA:NZDUSD __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
17
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Retest📌 Overview of the Chart The chart illustrates a classic Rising Wedge pattern that has broken down, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The price action respected technical structures, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, and key psychological zones. The breakdown of the rising wedge led to a sharp decline, followed by a retest of the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside momentum. Traders analyzing this setup can identify clear entry points, stop-loss placements, and target objectives based on price action behavior. 🔹 1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern A Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that forms when price moves upward within converging trendlines. It indicates that buying momentum is slowing, and a potential reversal or breakdown is imminent. ✔ Characteristics of the Rising Wedge on This Chart: 📈 Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price was trending upwards, but the narrowing structure indicated exhaustion. 📊 Decreasing Momentum: Volume likely started declining as the price approached resistance. 📉 Bearish Breakdown: Price broke below the lower trendline, confirming the pattern’s bearish nature. 🔻 What Happened Next? The price dropped sharply after the wedge breakdown. A retest of the broken trendline acted as a confirmation of resistance. The downtrend continued, targeting a lower support level. 🔹 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔵 Major Resistance – 34.27 USD (All-Time High & Supply Zone) This level served as a strong supply zone, rejecting multiple bullish attempts. Price struggled to break this level, leading to a sell-off. The stop-loss for short trades is placed above this zone to minimize risk. 🟠 Support Level – 32.80 USD (Previous Support Turned Resistance) This was a key support zone before the wedge breakdown. Once broken, price retested this level and faced rejection, confirming a trend shift. ⚫ Trendline Support (Now Broken) The lower support trendline was a crucial guide for bulls. Once price broke below, it signaled strong bearish control. A retest of the trendline was unsuccessful, confirming a bearish continuation. 🟢 Target Zone – 31.93 USD (Projected Breakdown Target) The measured move target of the rising wedge aligns around 31.93 USD. If selling pressure continues, price may reach this level. 🔹 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – Short Setup & Execution This setup provides a high-probability short trade based on the pattern breakdown. 📉 Short (Sell) Entry Criteria: ✅ Entry Zone: After the price broke below the wedge and retested the trendline (~33.80 USD). ✅ Confirmation: Bearish candlestick formations (Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bars). Increased volume on bearish moves. 🚫 Stop-Loss Placement: 🔹 Above the resistance level (34.27 USD) – If price breaks above this, the setup is invalid. 🔹 Reasoning: Protects against unexpected bullish reversals. 🎯 Take-Profit Target: 🔻 Target Price: 31.93 USD (based on measured move projection). 🔻 Risk-Reward Ratio: At least 2:1 (adjusted based on volatility). 🔹 4️⃣ Market Psychology & Price Action Analysis Understanding trader sentiment is crucial: 📌 Before the Breakdown: Bulls were in control, pushing price higher. However, momentum slowed down, forming the rising wedge. Traders who identified this pattern anticipated a potential trend reversal. 📌 After the Breakdown: Sellers overpowered buyers, causing a rapid break of structure. The price retested the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside. The market sentiment shifted to bearish, aligning with technical confirmations. 🔹 5️⃣ Alternative Scenarios & Risk Factors 🔄 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation of Bearish Bias) 🚨 If price reclaims 34.00-34.27 USD, it invalidates the bearish setup. 📌 A break above this level could trigger a new bullish wave, targeting higher highs. ⚠️ Key Risk Factors: Unexpected macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed policy, inflation data, geopolitical tensions). Strong bullish rejection at lower support zones (~32.00 USD). Volume divergence (if selling volume dries up, bears may lose control). 📢 Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Trade with Clear Risk Management This rising wedge breakdown provides a strong short setup, with technical confirmations and price structure supporting further downside movement. 📉 Bearish Bias Until 31.93 USD A breakdown retest suggests sellers remain in control. Price is expected to continue lower unless bulls regain 34.00+ levels. 🔍 Key Trading Question: Will Silver (XAG/USD) continue to its measured target of 31.93 USD, or will bulls defend key support and push prices higher? Let’s discuss! 🚀👇
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD – Bullish Breakout from Triangle | 3,090+ in SightGold (XAUUSD) has broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation on the 1H chart, signaling bullish continuation. With solid technical structure and momentum building, the path toward 3,093+ remains firmly in play. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation Price coiled within a classic symmetrical triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs—typically a continuation pattern in trending markets. A breakout has now occurred to the upside, confirming bullish bias. 2. Breakout Projection The measured move from the triangle projects a 2.62% upside, targeting the 3,093 zone. 3. Clean Market Structure Bullish impulse followed by healthy consolidation reflects market strength. Expectation: Price will print higher highs and higher lows on its way to upper targets. 🎯 Bullish Targets TP1: 3,047.652 TP2: 3,058.038 TP3: 3,093.957 These levels are based on recent structure highs and the measured move from the breakout. 📌 Trade Plan Entry Idea: On triangle breakout retest or momentum continuation above 3,025 Stop Loss: Below triangle support (~3,000) Risk-to-Reward: Favorable on breakout continuation setups 🔎 Confluences ✅ Symmetrical Triangle Breakout ✅ Strong Bullish Trend ✅ Measured Move & Clear Targets ✅ Consistent Market Structure Gold bulls are stepping in with strength. As long as price holds above the breakout zone, expect further upside toward 3,090+. Want a version with SL-to-BE logic or trailing TP adjustments? Just let me know!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
JPY/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeIntroduction The JPY/USD chart showcases a classic falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating a weakening bearish momentum. Eventually, buyers stepped in, leading to a breakout to the upside. This analysis breaks down key elements, including support and resistance zones, trendlines, trading strategy, and risk management. 1. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern A. The Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) A falling wedge is a bullish technical pattern that forms when the price consolidates within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time. This signals that selling pressure is decreasing and a reversal may be near. Downtrend Structure: The price was previously in a consistent downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows, which formed the wedge. Breakout Confirmation: Once the price broke above the upper trendline, the pattern was confirmed, indicating the start of a bullish move. Retest Possibility: Often, after a breakout, the price retests the upper trendline before continuing higher. If it holds, it strengthens the bullish outlook. B. Key Levels Identified in the Chart 1. Support Zone (Buying Area) The price found strong support in the 0.006291 – 0.006500 region. Buyers stepped in, preventing the price from dropping further. This support level coincides with the bottom of the wedge, further validating its importance. 2. Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The 0.007100 – 0.007200 area is a major resistance level where sellers have previously dominated. If the price reaches this level and consolidates, traders will look for either a breakout or a rejection. A break above 0.007200 would indicate further bullish continuation. 3. Trendlines & Curve Formation A curved trendline in the chart suggests a gradual transition from bearish to bullish momentum. The dotted ascending trendline now acts as dynamic support, helping the price sustain its bullish move. 2. Trading Strategy & Risk Management A. Entry Strategies Traders have two primary ways to enter this trade: Aggressive Entry: Enter immediately after the breakout of the wedge. Higher risk but captures early momentum. Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the trendline before entering. Lower risk as it confirms trend continuation. B. Take Profit Targets Primary Target: 0.007117 (Resistance level from previous highs). Extended Target: 0.007200 (Next significant resistance). C. Stop Loss Placement Below the recent swing low at 0.006291 to protect against false breakouts. Ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 3. Market Sentiment & Confirmation Signals ✅ Bullish Confirmation Breakout from the falling wedge Price holding above the trendline Higher highs and higher lows formation Increased buying volume ⚠️ Bearish Risks & Invalidations A break below the trendline would indicate weak momentum. If the price fails to hold support, it could reverse downward. Low volume on the breakout could signal a fake breakout. 4. Final Thoughts This setup provides a high-probability trading opportunity following the breakout from a falling wedge pattern. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making it an ideal setup for trend-following traders. However, patience is key—waiting for a successful retest before entering can minimize risks. If the price maintains momentum, we could see a rally toward the 0.007100 – 0.007200 resistance zone in the coming weeks. 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move. 🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup. 1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis 📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness. However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase. This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge. 🔹 Key Observations: ✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers. ✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. ✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend. ⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum. The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957) The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout. This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength. The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000) The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels. If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support. A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower. 3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning! 🔍 What is a Rising Wedge? A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines. It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control. Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop. 📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis: BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing. The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline. The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600. 4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios 📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500). ✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation. ✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level). ✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management. 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!) If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid. A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000. Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions. 5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts ⚠ Risk Factors to Consider: If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown. Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior. Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively. 🔎 Conclusion: The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000. 🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation! Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Overview of the Chart This chart presents a daily timeframe (1D) analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) and highlights a well-defined bullish trend supported by a breakout from a triangle pattern. The overall price action suggests a strong uptrend continuation, with clearly marked support and resistance levels, trendlines, and potential trade setups. Gold has been consistently respecting key technical levels, forming higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic indicator of a strong bullish market. Traders can use this analysis to identify entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets for a strategic trading approach. Key Technical Components in the Chart 1. Triangle Pattern Formation – The Setup for Breakout One of the most crucial formations in this chart is the triangle pattern, which acts as a continuation pattern. The triangle pattern (highlighted in green) represents a period of consolidation where price action was squeezing between higher lows and lower highs before a breakout occurred. This pattern suggests that buyers and sellers were in equilibrium, building up momentum before gold made a decisive move to the upside. The breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle confirms the bullish continuation, leading to a strong rally. 📌 Technical Significance: Triangle patterns are a reliable technical structure used by traders to anticipate breakouts. The breakout direction (upward in this case) determines the next trend phase. 2. Trendline Analysis – Defining Market Structure The dashed black trendline represents the primary ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times, indicating that the market remains in an uptrend. Several minor support levels (highlighted in blue) have acted as strong demand zones, preventing price breakdowns and helping sustain the bullish momentum. A major support zone (highlighted in beige at $2,300-$2,400) serves as the base of the uptrend, where price action historically reversed strongly, indicating heavy institutional buying. 📌 Technical Significance: As long as the price remains above these support levels, the uptrend remains intact. 3. Breakout & Price Action Structure – Momentum Confirmation The breakout from the triangle pattern signaled the beginning of a new bullish impulse wave, and the price action structure confirms this move. Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The black zig-zag pattern represents a strong bullish structure where each retracement finds support before continuing higher. Price Movement Post-Breakout: After breaking above the triangle’s resistance, gold started forming higher highs at an accelerated pace. Minor pullbacks are bouncing off key support levels, providing re-entry opportunities for traders. 📌 Technical Significance: A breakout followed by sustained higher highs and strong buying pressure is a key bullish signal. Trading Plan & Strategy 1. Entry Strategy – Ideal Buying Zones Buy on Pullbacks: Enter near minor support levels to take advantage of retracements. This improves the risk-to-reward ratio and reduces exposure to sudden reversals. Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars, hammer candles). Increased trading volume on bullish moves supports trend continuation. 2. Stop-Loss & Risk Management 📍 Stop-Loss: $2,661 Placed below the most recent minor support level to protect against downside risk. If price breaks below this level, it may signal a trend shift or deeper correction. 📍 Why this Stop-Loss Level? It ensures a tight risk control while allowing room for natural price fluctuations. 3. Take-Profit & Target Projection 📍 Target Price: $3,170 The measured move projection from the triangle breakout suggests a target near $3,170, which aligns with historical resistance. If the price approaches $3,100-$3,170, traders should monitor for potential reversals or further breakouts. 4. Key Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias ✅ Uptrend Structure: The market is making higher highs and higher lows, which is a textbook sign of bullish momentum. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of the triangle pattern and is sustaining higher levels. ✅ Support Levels Holding: Each pullback is being absorbed by buyers at well-defined support zones. ✅ Momentum & Volume: Increased volume and strong buying pressure indicate that the bullish trend is likely to continue. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions Market Sentiment: If gold continues to hold above the support zones, further upside momentum is likely. If price starts breaking below key support levels, it may signal a trend reversal or deeper correction. Geopolitical & Economic Factors: Gold prices are often affected by inflation data, interest rate changes, and global uncertainties. Traders should monitor economic news that could impact gold’s trend. Conclusion – A High-Probability Trade Setup This analysis confirms that gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong bullish uptrend following a successful triangle breakout. 🚀 Trade Setup Summary: ✅ Entry: Buy on pullbacks at minor support levels ✅ Stop-Loss: $2,661 (Below support) ✅ Target Price: $3,170 (Next resistance level) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with strong trend confirmation 🔹 Final Verdict: As long as gold remains above the minor support levels, the bullish bias remains strong, making this a high-probability long trade setup. Would you like to add any additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation? 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 26, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📉 Consumer Confidence Hits Four-Year Low: The Conference Board reported that the Consumer Confidence Index fell to 92.9 in March, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline and reaching its lowest level since January 2021. Rising concerns over tariffs and inflation are major contributors to this decline. 🇺🇸🏠 New Home Sales Rebound: New home sales increased by 1.8% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 676,000 units, slightly below the forecasted 679,000. The median sales price decreased by 1.5% to $414,500 from a year earlier, indicating potential affordability improvements in the housing market. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, March 26: 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -1.0%​ Previous: 3.2%​ Reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
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