Watch out! XAUUSD Spot Gold in a ranging zone . Ranging move ..XAUUSD Spot gold has been in a ranging zone with low downward momentum sideway moves since 18 June 2025 till date (23 June) .
Short term traders - watch out from getting stuck in trades. This is a time to Analyse - wait and watch the region for next major break outs.
Next upward break out : USD 3394.75
Next downward break out : USD 3340.45
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones.
🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold?
📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold.
💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors.
⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market.
📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume.
Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond.
Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback.
✅ Trade Setup
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
⚠️ Final Thoughts
The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike.
Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
NZDCAD: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
There is a high chance that NZDCAD will bounce
after a false violation of a significant daily support cluster.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
leaves a strong bullish clue.
Goal - 0.818
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 23/06/2025A flat opening is expected in Nifty today. If Nifty sustains above the 25,050–25,100 zone after the open, we can expect an upside rally toward 25,150 → 25,200 → 25,250+ levels. This bullish momentum may continue if Nifty remains strong above 25,100.
However, any downside momentum may begin if Nifty starts trading below 24,950, which is a crucial support zone. In such a scenario, the index could slip toward 24,850 → 24,800 → 24,750- levels.
For intraday trades, focus on breakout or breakdown levels, and manage risk with trailing stop-losses in place.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(23/06/2025)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty today. After the open, if Bank Nifty sustains above 56,050, an upside rally is likely toward 56,450+. A further continuation of this rally could occur if the index trades above 56,550–56,600, with extended targets up to 56,750 → 56,850 → 56,950+.
On the downside, if Bank Nifty trades below 55,950, some selling pressure may emerge. However, 55,550 will act as strong support for today’s session. A major downward move is only expected if this support breaks, opening potential targets of 55,250 → 55,150 → 55,050-.
Can XAUUSD Continue to Go Up?Last week was a bearish one for XAUUSD, following a strong bullish surge the week prior. The key question now is: can gold reclaim the highs it reached two weeks ago?
From a macro perspective, institutions remain net long and have even increased their long positions, signaling continued confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. On the geo-economic front, tensions in the Middle East persist, with growing involvement from the U.S., adding to the uncertainty that typically supports gold prices.
Personally, I maintain a bullish bias on XAUUSD for now, supported by both fundamental and geopolitical drivers. However, if the landscape changes — whether through technical invalidation or shifts in sentiment — I’m prepared to adapt accordingly.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🌐 Geopolitics Add to Risk Aversion
The S&P 500 is up about 0.9% so far in June, but analysts warn it’s facing a “precarious” phase amid renewed Middle East conflict and looming U.S. tariff deadlines in July–August. Elevated oil prices could fuel inflation, while fiscal and debt ceiling pressures weigh on sentiment
🎙️ Powell Heads to Capitol Hill
Fed Chair Powell will testify before Congress this week. His remarks on inflation and rate outlook—particularly regarding the Fed’s recent dot-plot revisions and monetary policy uncertainty—will be central to market direction
📈 Nike, FedEx & Micron Earnings Under Focus
Key corporate earnings (Nike, FedEx, Micron) could provide fresh insight into how tariffs and supply-chain disruptions are impacting major U.S. businesses
🛢️ Oil Prices Elevated
Oil remains range-bound at multi-week highs near $75–80/bbl following U.S.–Israel military action in Iran, which briefly spiked prices ~7–11%. Continued dependence on Middle Eastern supply may keep energy complex volatile
⚖️ NATO Summit Tightens Security Focus
NATO leaders meet in The Hague, marking an elevated global defense posture amid geopolitical uncertainty. Defense and aerospace stocks may remain pressured or volatile depending on summit outcomes
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 23
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services & Manufacturing PMI (June)
10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales (May)
📅 Tuesday, June 24
10:00 AM ET: Consumer Confidence Index (June)
Testimony: Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears before Congress
📅 Wednesday, June 25
10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales (May)
📅 Thursday, June 26
8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP (Final Estimate)
📅 Friday, June 27
8:30 AM ET: Core PCE Price Index (May) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #oil #charting #technicalanalysis
EURUSD: Important Supports & Resistances For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these supports and resistances for breakout/pullback trading.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Move After Opening?!
I think that there is a high chance that Gold will have a bullish opening.
The market closed, breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern
on an hourly time frame.
Fundamentals strongly support this bullish outlook.
Resistance 1: 3392
Resistance 2: 3420
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EUR/CAD BuyEntry – Buy-limit 1.5560 (front-run zone); back-up bid 1.5520 if you ladder.
Stop-loss – Hard stop 1.5410 (below 1.5500 break-fail line).
Targets
TP1 1.5750 – lock ~1.5 R; trail stop to break-even.
TP2 1.5900 – cash majority.
Runner 1.6000 – only if momentum is strong.
Expiry: cancel if not filled after 5 trading days.
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live)
Sell Limit 146.00
Stop Loss 146.80
Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days
2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00)
Sell Limit 145.20
Stop Loss 146.00
Take-Profit 1 144.00
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed
Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
XAUUSD – Weak consolidation near 3,357, eyes on 3,443 retestYesterday, gold traded within the 3,344 to 3,371 USD range and closed at 3,368.75 USD (+0.72%). Despite the slight rebound, price action remains weakly consolidative within a broad ascending channel, repeatedly rejected at the 3,443 USD resistance area — where multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled.
On the H4 chart, price is holding above the key confluence support at 3,357 USD, which aligns with the medium-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a technical bounce back toward 3,443 USD is likely.
However, it's worth noting that recent upward moves have lost momentum near the upper FVG zones. Traders should wait for a clear confirmation signal — particularly a strong bullish candle at the current support — before considering entry.
GBPUSD: Bearish After Opening 🇬🇧🇺🇸
There is a high chance that GBPUSD will drop after the market opening.
I see a strong bearish confirmation after a test of a recently broken trend line.
The price formed a head & shoulders pattern and violated its neckline
on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 1.3425
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BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further?
Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution.
🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty
US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy.
Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution.
📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4)
BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108.
A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586.
However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume.
✅ Suggested Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300
Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800
Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk.
💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders
The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum.
For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
GBPUSD: Bearish pressure persistsGBPUSD is consolidating below a key medium-term resistance zone, with a rounding top and a minor head-and-shoulders pattern forming. The price is currently retesting the Fair Value Gap near 1.34900 — a potential reversal zone if it fails to break higher.
On the fundamental side, the Bank of England's decision to hold interest rates on June 19 disappointed the market. Meanwhile, the US dollar remains supported by safe-haven demand and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, adding further pressure on GBP.
If GBPUSD fails to hold the trendline support near 1.33700, the risk of a deeper decline increases. Both the technical structure and macro fundamentals favor the bears.
EUR/CHF Parallel Channel Breakout WatchThe EUR/CHF pair has been trading within a well-defined parallel channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The price action is contained between a strong resistance zone near 0.9420–0.9425 (marked in red) and a support zone near 0.9365–0.9370 (marked in green). Multiple rejections from both the top and bottom of the range indicate solid market structure and participation from both buyers and sellers.
This type of formation often leads to explosive moves when the price eventually breaks out of the consolidation range. The current chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the channel once again, and now attempting a bullish breakout.
📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario
If the price sustains above the resistance zone (confirmed breakout), we could see a continuation of bullish momentum toward the projected breakout target near 0.9475. This target is calculated using the height of the channel added to the breakout level, a classic price projection method. A strong candle close above the resistance with volume would validate this move. Traders may look for long entries on breakout confirmation or on a successful retest of the resistance zone as new support.
📉 Bearish Reversal Scenario
However, if the breakout fails and price gets rejected again from the red zone, a sharp reversal back toward the support zone around 0.9370 may occur. This would keep the channel intact and suggest continued range-bound movement. A breakdown below support would then be required for further bearish confirmation, leading toward deeper downside targets.
This setup provides a high-probability opportunity in either direction with clearly defined levels and structure. Wait for breakout confirmation before entering to avoid false moves.
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HYPER ANALYSIS🔮 #HYPER Analysis - Update 🚀🚀
💲 We can see that there is a formation of Falling Wedge Wedge Pattern in #HYPER and we can see a bullish movement after a good breakout. Before that we would see a little retest and and then a bullish movement.
💸Current Price -- $0.1087
📈Target Price -- $0.1358
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#HYPER #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Nikkei 225 Coiling in Ascending Triangle – Breakout Imminent?The Japan 225 (Nikkei) is consolidating just beneath a major resistance level around 38,776, forming a classic ascending triangle pattern. Price has been compressing into higher lows while repeatedly testing the horizontal ceiling, hinting at a potential bullish breakout.
Key Technical Observations:
Pattern Structure: The ascending triangle, defined by rising trendline support and horizontal resistance, suggests bullish pressure is building.
Moving Averages: Price trades above both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, reinforcing the medium-term bullish trend.
MACD: Remains flat but in positive territory, indicating underlying strength even amid consolidation.
RSI: At 58.7, RSI is neutral to bullish, showing room for further upside before entering overbought territory.
A confirmed breakout above the 38,776 resistance would validate the ascending triangle and potentially trigger a fresh bullish leg. Conversely, a break below the rising trendline would invalidate the pattern and suggest deeper consolidation or correction.
This setup favors bulls as long as the higher lows remain intact. A decisive daily close above resistance could accelerate momentum toward new highs.
-MW
EUR/JPY Breaks Fibonacci Barrier – Room to RallyEUR/JPY has broken convincingly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 167.42, clearing a major technical hurdle and reaffirming bullish momentum. This breakout also aligns with the pair's broader uptrend supported by the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, which are upward sloping and stacked in bullish order.
Technical Highlights:
Trend & Structure: Strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows; today's close above the 167.42 Fibonacci level confirms continuation.
Moving Averages: Price is comfortably above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, with both acting as dynamic support zones.
MACD: Rising and bullish, with widening histogram bars indicating strengthening momentum.
RSI: At 70.4, the RSI has just entered overbought territory. While this signals strength, traders should also stay alert for signs of potential short-term consolidation or cooling.
Key Level to Watch: The next upside target lies near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 170.93. That level could act as a magnet in the coming sessions if bullish momentum persists. Any retest of the breakout zone around 167.4 could serve as a launchpad if defended.
EUR/JPY remains technically strong, with bullish continuation favored unless price breaks back below the 50-day SMA.
-MW
EUR/USD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Bulls Break Through?EUR/USD continues to trade within a strong uptrend, respecting the 50-day SMA while pressing against a key horizontal resistance level around 1.1576. The pair has recently pulled back modestly after testing this level but remains above the short-term moving average, suggesting buyers are still in control.
Technicals provide a mixed, but slightly bullish picture:
Trend Structure: Price action shows a series of higher highs and higher lows since mid-February, confirming a bullish trend.
Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA (golden cross), and price continues to close above both, reinforcing the bullish bias.
MACD: While flattening, it remains in positive territory – momentum is cooling but not reversing.
RSI: Currently near 59, suggesting bullish momentum without overbought conditions – a healthy zone for a potential continuation higher.
A breakout above the 1.1576 resistance could open the path toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1745. However, failure to clear this barrier may invite consolidation or a minor pullback toward the 50-day SMA.
Traders should watch for a daily close above 1.1576 or a bounce from the 50-day SMA to confirm the next directional move.
-MW
GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Analysis & Important Pattern to Watch
For some known reason, Gold remains bearish this entire week.
The market is currently correcting within a falling channel - a bullish flag on a 4H time frame.
Ahead, I see a bunch of strong intraday supports.
From one of these structures, a bullish rally may resume.
A trigger that you should look for is a bullish breakout of
a resistance line of the flag and a 4H candle close above that.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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