BTCUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup | Short OpportunityBitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading inside a rising wedge pattern on the 4H chart—typically a bearish reversal structure. Price is currently hovering near the wedge resistance and a previous supply zone, presenting a clean short opportunity with solid risk-to-reward.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Wedge Formation
The price action has formed a clear rising wedge, a pattern often associated with a bearish breakout.
Current price action shows momentum fading near the wedge top, aligning with historical resistance.
2. Key Sell Zone
The 88,600–89,000 region marks an ideal short-entry zone.
This overlaps with a prior consolidation/supply block and wedge resistance—making it a high confluence zone.
3. Bearish Target & Projection
Breakdown of wedge support could drive price down toward the target zone near 78,000, a potential -8.89% move.
This target zone acted as a strong demand area in mid-March and is likely to attract buy interest again.
📌 Trade Plan
Sell Entry: Around 88,600–89,000
Stop Loss: Above 92,923 (beyond wedge + supply zone)
Target: 78,000 zone, prior demand and technical projection
Risk-to-Reward: High conviction R:R setup with structured invalidation
⚠️ Watch for Confirmation
Ideal confirmation would be a strong bearish 4H candle below wedge support or bearish divergence on RSI/MACD.
Technicalanalysisexplained
XAUUSD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle on the 1H timeframe, indicating that a high-probability breakout or breakdown is imminent. Price is consolidating after a strong bullish trend, but volatility is compressing—typically a precursor to explosive movement.
📊 Technical Analysis
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price has been tightening within a symmetrical triangle, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
These patterns typically resolve in the direction of the preceding trend—but can also serve as reversal zones, especially at key highs.
2. Dual Scenarios Mapped Out
Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above the triangle, bulls may push toward the psychological resistance and Fibonacci extension target near 3,101.642, continuing the trend.
Bearish Breakdown: A rejection at triangle resistance and clean break below the support line could send gold down to the demand zone around 2,929, a 2.6% potential move, aligning with previous structure support.
3. Key Support Zone
The highlighted yellow block shows a strong demand zone, previously respected during a mid-March consolidation.
Price could seek this level if the triangle resolves to the downside.
🧠 Trade Setup Ideas
Bullish Bias: Break and hold above 3,020, potential long entry with TP around 3,101
Bearish Bias: Breakdown and close below 3,000, targeting the 2,930–2,915 zone
Invalidation Levels: Above 3,035 for bearish, below 2,995 for bullish
BTC/USDT Bearish Setup – Sell Limit & Target ZonesMarket Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel after an extended bullish rally. The price action shows signs of a lower high formation, indicating a possible continuation of the downtrend. This setup aligns with a sell limit strategy, anticipating a rejection from a key resistance level before a potential decline toward lower support areas.
Technical Breakdown:
📉 Descending Channel Formation:
BTC has been trading in a downward-sloping parallel channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower boundaries.
The price is currently attempting to retest the upper trendline of the channel, which could act as strong resistance.
💰 Sell Limit Placement at Resistance ($88,907):
The chart highlights a key resistance level at $88,907, which aligns with:
The upper boundary of the descending channel.
A previous supply zone, where sellers were active.
A potential area of rejection, leading to further downside.
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Handle Trendline:
The D1 Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked on the chart, suggests an imbalance in price that may get filled before any reversal.
Additionally, BTC is hovering around the upper trendline of the handle formation, making this a crucial confluence zone for decision-making.
📊 Bearish Target Levels:
Primary downside target: $74,431 – A strong historical support and previous reaction zone.
Secondary target: $73,829 – This level coincides with the mid-level of the fair value gap.
Final bearish target: $68,972 – The lowest target inside the demand zone, potentially acting as a key reversal point.
🚨 Bearish Confirmation:
If BTC gets rejected from the sell limit zone ($88,907) and breaks below support structures, it could trigger a further decline.
Break of trendline support + volume confirmation will strengthen the bearish bias.
Trading Plan:
✅ Sell Limit Entry: $88,907
🎯 Target 1: $74,431
🎯 Target 2: $73,829
🎯 Target 3: $68,972
❌ Invalidation: A strong breakout above $88,907 with volume could invalidate this setup.
Bullish Reversal with Inverse Head & Shoulder + QuasimodoEthereum is currently showing strong bullish potential on the 1-hour chart, forming a powerful confluence of reversal patterns—Inverse Head & Shoulders and the Quasimodo Pattern. These patterns often indicate trend exhaustion and signal a shift in momentum.
📊 Pattern Analysis
1. Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
This pattern is a classic bullish reversal setup.
The structure is well-defined:
Left Shoulder: Forms after a local downtrend.
Head: Makes a deeper low.
Right Shoulder: Higher low indicating reduced selling pressure.
The neckline has just been breached, suggesting the breakout has begun.
2. Quasimodo Pattern (QM)
Often forms at key reversal points.
Characterized by a head and shoulders structure with a lower low (head) and a higher low (right shoulder).
Acts as additional confirmation of a reversal with tight invalidation zones.
The Quasimodo zone also aligns with strong demand just below $1,970.
🎯 Target Projection
The projected minimum target is measured from the bottom of the head to the neckline, then added to the breakout point.
Target: ~$2,121.41
This implies a 5.38% potential move from the breakout zone.
The yellow highlighted area marks a potential supply zone, where price could face resistance.
🧠 Trade Considerations
Entry: On breakout above neckline (already triggered).
Confirmation : Look for bullish candles + volume spike.
Retest Entry: If price revisits the neckline (~$2,000 zone) and holds as support, it provides a second chance entry.
Invalidation: A break below the right shoulder (~$1,965) would invalidate the pattern setup.
Stop Loss Idea : Below the head or right shoulder depending on risk tolerance.
📌 Confluence Factors
Dual bullish reversal patterns (H&S + QM)
Breakout in progress with bullish momentum
Strong price reaction from the higher low confirms buyer interest
Room to run into previous supply zone around $2,120–2,140
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Strong Falling WedgeBitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential breakout from a strong falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
The falling wedge has been forming since late January, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Price action is now consolidating near the wedge resistance, indicating an impending breakout.
A previous bullish leg saw a price rally of 25,428.16 (+30.29%), suggesting strong historical momentum.
If BTC breaks out cleanly, we could see a similar or stronger move—projecting a potential rally of 28,086.24 (+31.12%).
📈 Expected Target : ~$118,141, aligning with the measured move from the wedge breakout.
🧠 Trading Insigh t: Watch for a confirmed breakout with strong volume above the wedge resistance zone. Retests of the breakout area can offer ideal entries for continuation trades.
XAUUSD - Bearish Quasimodo Pattern Triggered Gold (XAU/USD) has formed a classic Quasimodo pattern on the 1H timeframe, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong uptrend.
🔍 Pattern Breakdown:
The structure resembles a Head & Shoulders, with a more complex formation known as the Quasimodo Pattern.
We see a clear Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, followed by a breakdown below the neckline.
A successful retest of the neckline as resistance confirms the bearish momentum.
🎯 Target Zone:
Based on the height of the pattern, the projected target lies in the 2960–2970 region, aligning with a previous demand zone.
The expected drop is approximately -2.10%, matching the prior rally before the reversal pattern.
📌 Key Levels:
Breakdown Level: ~3030
Current Price: ~3024
Target: ~2960–2970
⚠️ Watch for:
Bearish follow-through after the retest.
Potential reaction in the highlighted target zone (yellow box).
This setup provides a great opportunity for short sellers if momentum continues to the downside. Risk management is key as always!
How to Draw Trendlines Like a Pro – Rulers Out, Rules In!Hi everyone!
If you don’t have any rules for drawing a trendline, then this is by far the most subjective technical analysis criterion of all. So, grab your ruler, and let’s dive in! ;)
Without clear guidelines, you can draw it however you want, shaping the narrative to fit your bias. This makes it the perfect tool to talk yourself into a trade or justify staying in a bad one—there’s always a new “support” coming…
If you don't have rules, you can always find some dots to connect, making it look "perfect" for you.
In this post, I'll discuss buying opportunities using trendlines, share key rules for drawing them correctly, and highlight common mistakes to avoid - all with a focus on mid- and long-term investment opportunities.
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The Basics: How to Draw a Trendline
The trendline is a highly effective tool for mid- and long-term investors to find an optimal buying zone for their chosen asset. I always take a full view of the chart, analyzing its entire history to find the longest trendline available. The longer the trendline, the stronger it is!
To draw a trendline, we simply connect two points and wait for the third touch to confirm it. Easy, right?
The strongest trendline comes from points that are easily recognizable—you should spot them in a split second.
Maximum view, if possible Monthly chart, connect the dots and wait for a third one.
For me, the third and fourth touches are the most reliable.
If you have to look deeply to find where to draw a trendline, then it's already a first sign that it’s not strong! The best ones appear instantly.
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Two Myths About Trendlines
Myth #1: "You cannot draw a trendline without three touching points."
Don’t even remember from where I heard that kind of bs but as you see in the images above, yeah I can. If I have a correct lineup, the third touch is the strongest.
Myth #2: "The more touches, the stronger the trendline."
Yes, a trend appears stronger with more touches, but each additional touch increases the odds of a break or trend change. To buy from, let’s say, the sixth touch, there must be strong confluence factors, and fundamentals should support the investment.
“The trend is your friend, until the end when it bends.” — Ed Seykota
Sure, I’ve had great trades from the fifth or seventh touch, but as said, the area has to be strong, combining multiple criteria. Think of a trendline like 3-5 cm thick ice on a lake. You can’t break it with one hit, or the second, or the third. But after the fourth or fifth, it starts to crack, and by the sixth—boom!
From my psychological perspective, the more touches, the weaker the trendline becomes.
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Rule #1: Wick to Wick or Body to Body
If there aren't any anomalies, the trendline should always be drawn from wick to wick (image below) or body to body.
Here was the trendline draw from wick to wick
I mostly use body-to-body when there is a lot of noise on the chart and many large wicks that don’t show the real price behavior—whether from a panic sell-off or other unexpected market moves.
Candlestick chart, the trendline drawn from body-to-body
Tip! Body-to-body means drawing trendlines from closing prices to remove unnecessary noise from the chart. To make the chart even clearer, I often use a line chart (it tracks closing prices), which filters out the noise and gives a cleaner view of the price action.
The same chart as above using line chart.
Mistake to avoid: If you start from the wick but the second point is from the body, it's wrong. This can lead to misleading breakout trades or confusing rejection trades.
If there are no significant large wicks, go from wicks.
If a chart offers a lot of huge panic-sell wicks, use bodies instead to get a cleaner setup.
Quite often, I use a hybrid version as well. We are investors, not traders. We need a price zone, not an exact price!
In these cases, I combine wicks and closing prices to find the optimal trendline, which stays somewhere between them.
Light-blue is the zone
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Rule #2: Higher Highs Strengthen the Trendline
A trendline is more reliable if the price makes a new higher high (HH) after the previous rejection, and before it approaches a trendline.
The third and fourth touch came from higher high (HH) levels
This confirms that the recent trend is strong. If it all lines up, we can step in!
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Rule #3: Even Timing Between Touches
A trendline rejection works best when the timing between touches is symmetrical. They don’t have to be perfectly equal but they also shouldn’t be wildly different - one touch being very small and another very large can weaken the trendline’s reliability.
A good combinations is when the price comes from higher high levels, the next touch has an equal or fairly similar distance between previous ones.
Yeah, there are quite a lot of touches, but you get the point; market symmetry plays an important role in making decisions.
Warning: If the next touch comes too soon, especially from a lower high (LH) levels, which signals that momentum may be fading, and the touch happens at an uneven distance, it weakens the trendline’s reliability. So, watch out for that.
Two alerts: uneven length between touches & comes from lower highs.
Next red alert: When there are huge uneven gaps between touches, as shown in the picture below.
The first and second touch compared to the second and third touch are out of balance, weakening the trendline's reliability.
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Trendline Summary: Key Criteria for Mid- to Long-Term Analysis
Open the maximum chart view – analyze all available data for the asset.
The higher the timeframe, the stronger the trendline.
A trendline needs two clean and clear points to be drawn.
The highest probability rejection happens at the third and fourth touch.
If there are large wicks or panic sell-offs, use closing prices (body-to-body).
Remove noise and wicks by using a line chart for a clearer view.
A trendline touch is strongest when the price approaches from a higher high (HH).
A trendline touch is strongest when the distance between touches is symmetrical.
A slight flex in the trendline is ideal; it should be between 20 to 35 degrees, not too steep in its climb. ;)
These are the main criteria for a trendline that I use when analyzing stocks or any asset from a mid-to long-term perspective.
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Trendlines Alone Are Not Enough
Now, here’s the interesting part. Even if a trendline looks perfect and meets all criteria, I still won’t rush to share an analysis. Why? Because a trendline alone isn’t enough.
A trendline is just one piece of the puzzle. We need multiple confluence factors in a single price zone to make the setup truly strong and reliable. Usually, I need at least 3-7 criteria to align before making a move or recommendation.
So, that's it! A brief overview and hopefully, you found this informative. Feel free to leave a comment with your thoughts!
Before you leave - Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Trade smart,
Vaido
Looking Back on My BTC Chart Projection – How Did It Play Out?Months ago, I shared this Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart, outlining key levels, potential breakouts, and crucial support zones. Now that time has passed, it’s time to reflect on how the market has reacted and whether my predictions held up.
Support & Resistance Levels Held Strong
One of the most significant aspects of my analysis was the importance of the $100,000 psychological level. The price has been hovering around crucial zones, showing strong resistance just under six figures while respecting lower support areas.
The Consolidation Phase Was Key
The chart displayed a large accumulation and consolidation phase, where BTC traded within a range before breaking out. This played out similarly to past bull cycles, where extended sideways movements built up momentum before major moves.
Upside Targets Were Within Reach
While BTC has not yet hit the highest projected level of $131,799, it did get close to some of the intermediate targets, such as $108,420 and $118,441. This suggests that the trend remains bullish, but we may see some corrections before another leg up.
Potential Pullbacks to Watch
The projected support levels at $68,424 and $52,596 remain critical. If BTC experiences a correction, these levels could serve as major buying opportunities. The 200-day moving average (blue line) also continues to act as strong dynamic support.
What’s Next?
With BTC consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, a breakout could be imminent. Whether we see another push to new highs or a retracement first, the long-term trend remains intact.
Final Thoughts : Patience has been key in this market, and looking back on this chart confirms the importance of planning long-term. Did you follow a similar strategy, or were your targets different? Let me know your thoughts below!
EURUSD Potential Shorts (Technical Analysis)Overall Context:
The dollar's been flexing its muscles lately, and EURUSD is feeling the pressure. We saw some crazy gaps when the markets opened on Monday morning – a sign of shaky liquidity, which usually snaps back. But with the trade war rumbling on, who knows?
As traders, we've got to stay prepared, expecting a correction but ready with our contingency plans if it doesn't happen. Let's dive in -
Technical Outlook:
Failure of the previous accumulation cycle - Classic Wyckoff stuff, cycles run their course.
A re-distribution is likely on the horizon, especially if the lower timeframes agree with the bigger picture. (Fractally, we need to see the LTF accumulation fail and for distribution to align with the HTF sentiment and cycle).
Price has broken to the downside and has created multiple lower highs.
Trading below the 200 EMA and has recently tested and bounced of the 50 EMA (at a correlating level of supply)
Keep in mind that USDJPY and EURUSD are inversely correlated and are currently in line - While the inverse correlation is a significant factor, it's not the only thing that influences these currency pairs. Interest rates, economic data, and global events can also play a role and we know how that story looks at present so this is just additional confluence for us.
Potential Scenarios & Probabilities:
Scenario 1 (High Probability) - Price will pull back into the supply and drop from there.
Scenario 2 (Medium Probability) - Price will continue to plummet and break structure to the downside.
Trading Considerations:
If price fills the gap and reaches supply levels above, you should wait for bearish confirmations to get involved.
If price drops past the previous low, identify new levels of supply and trade accordingly. (I'll try to post an update if this happens).
Final Notes:
Strong technical picture but this week has a lot of upcoming economic events (NFP, anyone?).
With the Tariffs imposed so close to the NFP release one can only assume there will be a power play by the Trump administration which we may not see coming.
All we can do for now is follow the money flow to stay in the know!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY FX:USDJPY
Solana Retests Golden Fib Levels – Next Leg Up?CRYPTOCAP:SOL has successfully retested the golden Fibonacci levels (0.618 - 0.5) and is now showing signs of strength.
The price has bounced from a strong demand zone, indicating potential for another bullish leg.
DYOR, NFA
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Trading MRI comprehensive trade analysis for BNZIBanzai International, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BNZI ) is a marketing technology company that provides essential marketing and sales solutions for businesses of all sizes. Recent acquisitions, financial restructuring, and a reverse stock split signal strategic shifts aimed at enhancing the company’s market position. However, its financial metrics reflect significant challenges, including negative operating, profit, and gross margins.
Recent Stock Performance
Closing Price (Dec 20, 2024): $1.71 (+5.56% from previous close of $1.62).
Daily Trading Range: $1.63–$1.85.
Volume: 4.07 million shares (below the 4.23 million average).
Volatility:
5-day fluctuation: 16.33%.
30-day fluctuation: 11.04%.
Moving Averages:
+11.89% above 20-day SMA.
-19.48% below 50-day SMA.
-82.60% below 200-day SMA.
52-Week Range:
-99.23% from 52-week high.
+32.05% above 52-week low.
Recent Company Developments
Acquisitions:
Vidello: Adds 6.5M in revenue and 2.3M in EBITDA (announced Dec 20, 2024).
OpenReel: Enhances AI-powered marketing with enterprise video solutions (completed Dec 19, 2024).
Debt Restructuring (Sept 2024): 5.6M liabilities written off; 19.2M restructured.
Reverse Stock Split (Sept 19, 2024): 1-for-50 split to meet Nasdaq listing requirements.
These developments indicate strategic efforts to stabilize operations and capture growth in the video marketing sector.
Analysis Overview
Daily Timeframe:
Setup: Green Setup 3 progressing toward Green Setup 4.
Trend: Bullish short-term, supported by price action above the 20-day SMA.
Key Levels:
Resistance at $1.85.
Support at $1.60.
Weekly Timeframe:
Setup: Transition from Red Setup 8 to Green Setup 1.
Trend: Strong reversal potential.
Key Levels:
Resistance at $1.80–$1.95.
Support at $1.35.
Monthly Timeframe:
Setup: Red Setup progression from 2 to 4.
Trend: Bearish continuation.
Key Levels:
Breakdown below $1.45 signals bearish dominance.
Support at $1.30 and $1.20.
snapshot
Risk Assessment
1. Probabilities:
Daily (Bullish): ~50.7% success rate.
Weekly (Bullish Reversal): ~90% success rate.
Monthly (Bearish Continuation): ~55.6% success rate.
2. Risk-Reward Ratios:
Daily: 1:1.5 (moderate).
Weekly: 1:2 (favorable).
Monthly: 1:1.5 (moderate).
3. Trade Risks:
Financial instability and operational losses may limit upside potential.
Reverse stock split suggests efforts to manage compliance rather than growth.
Trade Recommendations
Daily Chart:
Action: Long on confirmation of Green Setup 4.
Entry: Above $1.75.
Stop-Loss: Below $1.60.
Targets: $1.85, $1.90.
Weekly Chart:
Action: Long on confirmation of Green Setup 2.
Entry: Above $1.80.
Stop-Loss: Below $1.35.
Targets: $1.95, $2.00.
Bold Prediction for Q1 2025 NASDAQ:BNZI
Optimistic Scenario:
If bullish reversals on daily and weekly charts are confirmed, supported by revenue growth from recent acquisitions:
Target Price: $2.10–$2.20.
Drivers: Growth in video marketing demand and operational cost savings from debt restructuring.
Target Price: $2.10–$2.50 by Q2 2025.
Pessimistic Scenario:
If bearish continuation dominates, compounded by financial challenges:
Target Price: $1.15–$1.25.
Conclusion and Bold Prediction
BNZI's stock performance in 2025 will hinge on the successful execution of its strategic initiatives and the market reception of its enhanced video marketing solutions.
Optimistic Scenario: Integration of Vidello and OpenReel drives growth and operational efficiencies, potentially lifting the stock to $2.50 by mid-2025.
Pessimistic Scenario: Continued financial losses and market volatility may push the stock to a low of $1.10 by mid-2025.
Investors should monitor quarterly updates on revenue growth, profitability improvements, and operational synergies from recent acquisitions. This will provide crucial insights into the company's trajectory in 2025.
S&P Hits All-Time Highs: Reversal Incoming?The S&P has hit an all-time high, breaking previous records. However, the chart suggests a potential reversal as it struggles to break the resistance at the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($6,019.68). Currently, the S&P is holding at the support level of $5,862.46. To maintain its bullish momentum, it must stay above this support. If it fails, the next support level is $5,772.72. A breakdown below these levels could trigger a broader market decline.
This analysis is for educational purposes, and I hope the TradingView moderators respect that. My goal is to educate and build a strong community, providing transparent insights into the stock market. If you find this content valuable, please hit the like button. Feel free to ask any questions in the comments I'm happy to help. Thank you!
JYOTICNC (Metal Fabrication)📈 The stock has formed a falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential breakout. Watch for a buy above ₹1,223 with a target of ₹1,629 (potential upside of 33%).
📊 Key Levels:
Buy Zone: ₹1,223
Resistance/Target: ₹1,629
Support: ₹1,054
🧩 Fundamentals: ROE at 20.9%, strong quarterly growth (EPS YoY +83% in March '24).
Note: DYOR, this is not financial advice.
HDFC - The Controversy UnleashedHere is the HDFC Chart published on July 22nd (inside my article) - "Nifty Analysis - The No-Nonsense "0" Indicator Strategy"
Now - compare HDFC's price action on Sep 24th - Precisely following the defined Path in Blue and rising like a Phoenix from the bottom of 1600 levels and breaking the ATH created on Jul 2023
Now by next week - End of September, HDFC would have the a Final Dip to test 1757 levels and then blast beyond the ATH of 1795 lifting Nifty to New Heights and the Target of 26,430
In this entire analysis - we didn't use any Indicators and No "Ifs & Buts". The Top 10 heavy weight constituents of Nifty were decoded, the Nifty's Daily, Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly Charts were analyzed for both Candlestick Patterns and Chart Patterns with Targets.
Once Targets were identified - and basis the status of each of the Top 10 heavy weights, the probable timeline required to reach the target was identified
1. From the Index's (Nifty) price action - the future of individual stocks were determined
2. From the Stock's price action - The Nifty's direction was determined
Only when both matches - the prediction is accurate - just like how we do Division / Multiplication in Maths to re-confirm our arithmetic
We don't depend on ANY NEWS or ANY Expert Opinion or ANY Technical Indicators to guide us. Because, these factors don't handle both Internal and External elements. Either they talk about a Sector but not a stock or they talk about the historical values of a Stock (example: RSI, MACD, EMA, DMA, Bollinger Bands uses historical values of stock).
The Indicators become handicapped when it has to consider the outside elements and hence loses it accuracy and value.
Learn to Stand on your Own 2 Legs...
Ignore the Noise...
Don't follow the Wise...
Make your Own Spice...
BTC Daily Chart Bears Last Push Before Bulls Take Off!BTC is forming A Descending triangle on the daily, it's a huge bear formation. The Price Target of the triangle being so slow to the 200day MA gives me a lot of reason to believe we'll see at least 35k. Maybe in a few days after the MA Catches up to the price target
On the weekly we had a golden cross on the 50/200 moving averages. So this being a final correction on the Daily is no surprise before things really get interesting
Nifty - Surgical Precision Target & CorrectionOn Weekly Chart - After the Cup and Handle BO - Nifty retested the BO zone and bounced forming a Rounding Bottom BO. The Target for RB is 21820. The Multi-year trendline resistance is likely to cross around 21900-22000. Given India Vix BO, Nifty might face sharp correction after testing 21820-21900 levels. Keep a tab on individual stocks and their support levels
After reaching the Target of Rounding Bottom BO at 21,820 - Nifty faced with a Sharp Correction Precisely from the target level
This is the speciality of Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is NOT based on Hope / Expectation / Trust on Management / Company / not a Future Forward state. A Chart Pattern is formed by "Herd Consensus" - How Majority People Behave, How Big Players / Operators create a situation of Demand / Panic Selling manipulating the minds of Majority Retailers.
Technical Analysis is simply a Scientific & Mathematical model of Human Behaviour and I see it as my Bhagavad Gita / Holy Bible / Quran. It already encompasses Hyped News messages from Media, Fraudulent attempts of some company management, Actions by Regulators, Company's product focus, future vision everything and is engraved in stone and hence cannot be changed.
This is why and how Technical Analysis works successfully
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT a SEBI registered company. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments
-Team Stocks-n-Trends
#Banknifty Trading Near Important Support ZoneOn Daily Timeframe, BANKNIFTY trading at important support zone. Time to wait for either breakdown or reversal for the Banknifty.
Case 1: Consolidation Move
- Banknifty can consolidate near this support level before the strong movement
- Consolidation zone is nearly 500 points from 44000 to 44500 level
Case 2: Breakdown Move
- Confirmation for breakdown will be if Banknifty starts trading and sustain below 43500 level
- Downside rally nearly 2500+ points expected in case of breakdown
- Intermediate support expected near 42500 level
- Short Trader can place there stop loss if banknifty starts trading above 44550 level
Case 3: Long Side Move
- Long side movement expected in case banknifty starts trading and sustain above 44550 level
- Above this level banknifty can go upto the 46400-46500+ level.
- Intermediate resistance expected near 45500 level
- Long trader can place there stop loss if banknifty starts trading below 43500 level.
To be continue. We will keep posting next update in comment section....
Learn the KEY PRINCIPLES of Technical Analysis
In the today's article, we will discuss the absolute basics of trading - 3 key principles of technical analysis.
1️⃣History Repeats
History tends to repeat itself in the Forex market.
Certain trends are cyclical and may reemerge in a predictable manner, certain key levels are respected again and again over time.
Take a look at the example:
Silver perfectly respected a historical horizontal resistance in 2011 that was respected in 1980 already. Moreover, the price action before and after the tests of the underlined zone were absolutely identical.
2️⃣Priced In
All relevant information about a currency pair: economical and political events, rumors, and facts; is already reflected in a price.
When the FED increased the rate 26th of July by 25 bp, EURUSD bounced instead of falling. Before the rate hike, the market was going down on EXPECTATIONS of a rate hike. The release of the news was already price in.
3️⃣Pattern DO Work
Some specific price models can be applied for predicting the future price movements.
Technicians strongly believe that certain formations - being applied and interpreted properly, can give the edge on the market.
Depending on the trading style, different categories of patterns exist: harmonic patterns, price action patterns, wave patterns, candlestick patterns...
Above, I have listed various price action patterns that are applied by many traders and investors as the main tool for analyzing the financial markets.
If you believe in these 3 principles , you are an inborn technician!
Study technical analysis and learn to apply these principles to make money in trading.
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Technical Analysis and Price Action example and it worksCheck the example chart that I am sharing that shows how beautifully stock moved in the trend line and also did a reversal from that high.
How to draw a trend line is important.
The stock is currently moving within a channel and is now undergoing a correction from its peak.
disc: No recommendation nor is the position, sharing for educational purpose
How To Find Trend Trading OpportunitiesTrend trading is a style of trading. It specifies what you are looking for when trading a specific market.
Style
Trend trading sets you on a path to looking for a clear and defined uptrend and downtrend. Anything outside of that realm is no longer considered trending.
A clear uptrend defines price forming a path of repetitive high prices called higher highs (last highest price to buy an asset before price declined) and higher lows(last discounted price to buy an asset before the price increased).
While a clear downtrend defines price forming a path of repetitive lower prices called lower highs
(last highest to buy an asset before price declines to a new discounted price) and lower lows(last highest(cheapest) price to buy an asset before price increased.)
If you desire to be a trend trader you want to see the market creating a clear and defined uptrend or downtrend to call it an opportunity.
Ignore the drama
The next best thing to do is to avoid assets that are not trending. I prefer to trade the forex market. So, if I see any currency pairs absent of a clear trend, I immediately move on to the next pair.
It's better on my mind to wait for my opportunity than to create one out of thin air.
The more pairs that are not trending the better. This way, I have a small group of currency pairs to watch and trade.
Limit the small mindset
I have no idea what trades will win or lose. When I'm in my right frame of mind I don't think about the opportunity not working instantly. Which is why I swing trade. I like to lose my money slowly vs. fast as a day trader.
It helps me stay clear of telling myself I'm wrong on a daily basis.
I found I focus better on the outcome of the trade when I remind myself the market will tell me that I'm wrong.
This way, as every outcome plays out I can handle each winning trade and losing with little emotion as possible.
Is this always easy to do? Nope! I'd dare not fool you.
But it does make it easier to setup for the next series of trades when I only focus on my "trend trading" opportunities.
Quick recap
You'll do better to find trend trading opportunities by focusing solely on currency pairs that are trending and ignoring the ones that are not.
Its wise to limit your mindset by believing you're wrong choosing to trend trade. Let the market tell you when your setup is wrong vs. you telling yourself you're wrong before the trade plays out.
This allows you to focus on the outcome of the trade to being overly emotional.
I really hope this helps and that you were able to find a gentle takeaway.
If you enjoyed this read, please like the post and comment on what your takeaway was.
Happy trading 🧡
Shaquan
GJ - DAILY PROJECTION + ANALYSISFor me to enter i would need GJ to come down and hit the current fib and 158.500 or 157.500 to buy it up.
At 164.500 I'll need to assess what price wants to do to there because it can drop from there or it can retrace temporarily and fake everyone into selling at that fib only to continue bullish and raid everyone's stop losses. (I would if I was a bank)
This is probably my 1st choice of outcome as it just screams pure evil and hedge funds. Now as you can see - there are 2 bullish options and they both just depend on the depth of the retracement at the fib.
Basically, it depends on how pissed off the banks are on a Monday morning (today). If they feel like running everyone out of the market, they will flood the market and cause that deep retracement at about 156.500 or 157.500 or lower and THEN continue bullish.
Or they will only cause a shallow liquidity raid and let some of us live at roughly 162.500 or slightly lower and then continue bullish.
Remember - whatever I say here is not verbatim.
ANYTHING and everything can happen. I am always re assessing and readjusting my analysis's - as some of my projections will change mid-week and I'll then have a new projection depending on how price plays out and also depending on this week's news as there's a lot. (I don't trade news)
I will say this again and again - you MUST adapt to the market. Just because your projection at the beginning of the week says one thing it doesn't mean you need to stick to it just to prove to everyone on trading view and on your Instagram that you are 'right'. You will end up losing all your money and end up deleting your insta and blocking everyone.
During the week, if your analysis plays out differently to your Sunday projection so be it! Who cares if your wrong? Change it and adapt to the market conditions and be confident.
That is the difference between professional and amateur traders. There is no shame in being wrong in your analysis. What's wrong is being stubborn and wanting to always be right just to prove a point. The market doesn't give a f*ck if you are right or wrong it will just eliminate you with everyone else. The traders who adapt and evolve with the market conditions are the ones that make it and thrive. The sooner you can do that, the sooner you will make money consistently. :)