EURUSD UPLet me start by saying I'm not a financial expert, I mostly publish these things for myself, and to see if anyone else can see what I'm seeing.
This is what I feel will happen, what the market is showing me.
Also I have a long history of losing money to EURUSD so take that for what it is worth.
Technical
Looking back price ranged from about July to November before going up.
Strong bullish movement occurred, with little consolidation.
Price dropped to an area of support.
The D TF has a COW formation, it is a reversal pattern, every candle is different like spots on a cow, at least that is how I've come to know it.
Fundamentals
I am looking for aggressive bullish movement on Monday, as we have news events that should impact the EURO positively.
I am bearish on USD
Knowing all of this, I'm looking for price to break this trendline, continue upwards to face the resistance of the previous high created, and eventually continue up to 1.25 to test those highs created in 2018
Simple right? We shall see.
I'm already in a trade, I'm looking to close a quarter of the position if price breaks past 1.23447
Personally, I feel it is going to be a great wk to trade the forex market. Lets hope we can all secure some bags, and if you see the same thing as I do let me know, also if you feel like price is going down, let me know that as well.
Technicals
EURGBP: Are Bulls Back?Daily Time Frame: Starting on the higher time frame we can see price is testing a strong area of demand as price has reacted multiple times from this zone in the past. Reading the last few daily candle closures, we can see price is showing signs of slow down and potential reversal if we hold.
4hr Time Frame: Scaling down a time frame we can see price has had a bullish run and is potentially setting up for a reversal formation. If price manages to hold above .88500 key psychological support, we can see price rally to .90800. Due to the uncertainty of market fluidity, risk management is highly recommended.
The Yen has been underperforming for the most part...The Yen has been underperforming for the most part, but is now in danger of a more pronounced reversal towards 103.50 vs 102.60 or so at the other extreme, while the Franc has recoiled back through 0.8800 and Loonie is losing touch with buoyant oil prices due to the scale of its US counterpart’s revival to trade nearer 1.2720 than 1.2630 peaks in the run up to Canadian data tomorrow. Euro on the other head looking optimistic after 1.1bn expiries rolled off at the NY cut.
Profit Target Hit: BitcoinBitcoin has made new highs yet again. It came just shy of our projected profit target of $38.6K. This appears to be the first leg of the next Elliott Wave impulse. Watch for a small retracement soon. If so, $34.4K will provide support. The Kovach OBV is still very bullish, so there is no reason to anticipate a reversal any time soon. However, the longer it continues to moon without any significant retracement or ranging, makes it look more and more like 2017.
Profit Target Hit: LitecoinLitecoin has been a bit more modest in its ascent. It has reached our profit target of $173. We are likely to face some resistance here, and there are lots of support levels below. A significant dip could take us to $153 or even $140, and this would still be considered bullish. There seems to be a divergence between the Kovach OBV and the price, which is a bit concerning, but there is hardly anything fundamental or technical which should cast doubt on this product.
GBPCHF H4 - Long Trade SetupGBPCHF H4 - Broken resistance price of 1.19, quite a big price to break, currently looking to retest as support to confirm a change in s/r, this would effectively act as our buy zone pending PA confirmation, slower moving pair, we can hold out for candle closure for that extra bit of certainty.
AUDUSD is trending in a pennant flag pattern - more upside?AUDUSD is trending to the upside today ahead of US elections. A break above the resistance trendline could signal for buyers to drive price higher, likewise a rejection of the resistance line could signal further selling. We are bullish AUDUSD today as traders may look to reduce USD exposure approaching the elections. It is worth taking into account the RBA's rate cute today, from 0.25% to record lows of 0.1%. This would typically be bearish for the AUD.
USDMXN - Peso technical analysis! Peso! It's an EM currency that I enjoy trading the most, it's the behaviour the MXN moves. It's important to seek out how currencies behaviors are.
Now let's dive into the technicals:
Pattern: Wedge
Support: 19.79294 - 19.71330
Resistance: 19.93628 - 20.07432
Long: Above 1st resistance area and close above 20.07400 areas Target areas: 20.4000 - 20.37660 (200 EMA Area)
Short: Below support areas 19.71330 and confirmed close Target: 19.54620 - 19.30700
Key tip: It's important for confirmed closes, as you could get a fake a break out as well.
Remember: Just a trade idea, not a recommendation.
All the best,
Trade Journal
A choppy day for the Buck with the earlier Sterling...A choppy day for the Buck with the earlier Sterling-influenced impetus waning heading into the US cash open with State-side players eyeing events at Capitol Hill as expectations mount for Congress to pass an interim stopgap bill and kick the can down one week to Dec 18th, whilst the bipartisan group continues to haggle over COVID relief with liability overhaul a sticking point. Nonetheless, the Buck was propelled in early European hours from its 90.686 overnight base to a peak at 91.241 but has since the Index has lost traction to stabilise below the round figure heading into the European close. Meanwhile, tomorrow’s State-side docket remains light with Fed officials also observing the blackout period, but with focus likely to remain on Capitol Hill developments.
GBP/USD: 1.3650 Target.
Gold: 1930 Target.
DXY: 90 Target.
EUR/JPY: 129.00 Target.
Stay tuned for more posts to come this week! It will be a good week ahead!
BTCUSD SELL PRICE REVERSAL ZONE LOOKS WINDYHello All!!
I AM going to be SELLING BTCUSD at Approximately 22000 with these Technicals
1:1.618 Alternate Wave Equality Projection
2nd Peak Butterfly Harmonic Price Reversal Zone
Elliot 5 Wave Cycle Completion
Volume Consumption To The Level
Good Luck out There!!!
USDCHF H4 - NeturalUSDCHF H4 - Major support and resistance range marked on showing a 180 pip potential, please listen to the above voice note, we don't want to be caught on the wrong side of big fundamental moves! Try and work from higher timeframes if you're comfortable as this would allow breathing space for intraday highs and lows, effectively meaning we can ride some of the less detrimental headlines. Market risk is heavy, hence USD strength, although we are at major resistance on a 180 pip range setup.