Technicals
$IDXG On The Run Again and this time it will be sustainedLet's recap $IDXG CC:
1. New York State and AETNA approvals of ThyraMIR®, microRNA assay
2. Talked about the Debt being restructured
3. No more offerings
4. Reduced operating costs
5. Talks of doing business with their BarreGen model
6. Talks of partnering with another bio he didn't discuss.
7. EPS value of $3.25 vs -($12.04) same quarter last year
8. Sales of $3.122 million.
9. Goldman, Rodman and Renshaw, Barclays were on the CC too big boys will be here soon enough count on it.
10. 64% of the S/S is SHORT
11. Raised $14 million in gross equity and restructured over $9.3 million of secured debt
12. Revenue increased 39%
Also most importantly the Patent Approval!!!
$IDXG European Patent Decision data.epo.org
ALSO FULL YEAR HIGHLIGHTS READ HERE: ih.advfn.com
$RGSE CEO Bought 15,000 shares on 17th No Debt and $18 Mil CashThis chart is a thing of beauty, if you blow it up on the daily and weekly and monthly you'll see why. It has cupped perfectly off the bottom and is ascending with higher and higher volume. Expecting much higher PPS Sooner rather than later.
My First Chart on $NSAV No R/S and Merger News/Acquisitions$NSAV Catalysts:
1. No R/S Announced
2. Reduction of A/S
3. Company merging with $CHIF to create a large MJ Recreational Spa and Resort at Naomi Villages in Colorado
4. Acquisition News on the horizon
5. Medical Cannabis Technology Business Announced
Chart:
Right now there was massive volume on Friday after no R/S was announced by the CEO in addition to the MJ merger news that was announced a few days before that. He also said that there will be more updates available and audited Fins to be announced soon as well.
$ENDV Update on Upcoming Catalysts and Pennant Breakout$ENDV Upcoming Catalysts:
1. Pre-Clinical Studies To Be Completed in first quarter of 2017
2. Application for IND Orphan Drug Status for its Cytotronics Product
3. Over 20 Patent Applications OWNED by the CEO and the Company
4. 10 Form 4s filed since Dec 2016 for Insider purchases of stock
5. A "Strategic Healthcare" Institutional Investor has Ponied up $15 mil to buy back Converts
6. Company paying off the rest of its debt with $2.2 million
7. Uplistment to a "National" exchange being considered
8. Has won their injunction against Kodiak Capital and other Financiers for diluting the stock
Chart:
There is now a clear pennant forming on the chart, support has held tremendously and the RSI and Fibs have reset to levels corresponding with a second major move up. All marks are checked and it looks ready. Pre-Clinical trials expected in the first quarter of this year.
Short (EUR/CAD). Looking for more downsideTechnically speaking
Found resistance at 1.44
My first target on the downside is 1.41.
I am holding a long EUR/JPY position and have around 200 pips locked in.
So this EUR/CAD short is a hedge(somewhat) against my long but I didn't take the trade for that reason.
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TLT-Looking to buy if support holds.Technically speaking
The ~116 level contains a confluence of support. The trendline going back to 2011 and the low prints going back to 2015 should provide support. We shall see.
On the updside, 128 is the first level of resistance.
What to do?
I will be looking to dips around the 116 level, targeting a move back toward 128. My willingness to buy will depend on price action around the 116 level.
I will update this chart when things change.
Oil has broken down. Will it last?Technically Speaking
The $52 level was important to hold, in my view.
We will have to wait and see where buyers come in, but I will be watching the $40 level.
There were a near record amount of spec long positions. So the potential for more downside is likely.
What to do?
As long as 52 holds the upside, I will be looking to sell rallies.
I will be targeting the $40 area.
AUD/USD at important support.Will (7500) hold?Technically Speaking
The 75 level has been an important pivot going back to September of 2016.
A weekly close below the 75 level and the 100(red line) and 200(green line) DMA's would likely lead to further losses.
If the 7500 level holds, I will be looking for long positions.
GBP/USD - LONGLooking for a potential long on GBPUSD.
Still awaiting confirmation but these are the key confluences so far and the key confluences i will be looking for prior to an entry:
Key Confluences:
Daily rejection from 61.8% retracement.
Yellen speech on Friday caused dollar to weaken in anticipation for rate hike
Entry Criteria:
Wait for a break and retest of 1.23400 support/resistance level
1.23400 also coincides with 50% fib retracement,
MA crossover on lower time frames
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AUDUSD POSSIBLE SETUPSWe do not like to take un-calculated risks. The analysis really speaks for itself. However, we can possibly see a retest of the broken trendline (red trendline) and a continuation to the upside where we have our Daily/Weekly resistance zone. We can take short position from that position to our downside target of 0.7600 then 0.7545 around 180-210 pips. We can also take a long position on the retest of the trendline if bullish PA is presented.
We can take the risk and enter a short position from current price but we have the risk of price reaching the daily/weekly resistance zone. However, we have placed a short position below 0.76100 just in case price does not extend further. We trap the trade. We do not chase them.
***TRADE AT OWN RISK***
GBP/AUD - SHORTMy view of GBP/AUD - as we can see we have respected a key level of 1.64300 on multiple occasions and currently we are retesting this resistance. 4H candles show lots of indecision and a possible exhaustion of the previous bullish run from recent lows of 1.62000. Daily TF also adds confluence with a doji formed on yesterdays daily candle. On the 1H TF it is clear that we are stuck between a price range of 1.64000 - 164300. A break and close below the neckline of 1.64000 on the 4H TF will trigger a short entry for me. However a break above 1.64300 will invalidate this short setup.
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TECHNICALS | USDINR Uptrend-Line.Another interesting trend-line presents as the reality dawns upon markets that the dollar may be rolling over.
Here's the level to watch with Facebook(FB).The Technicals
As noted in the above chart, FB ended the week in the red despite a great earnings report.
Is this just a blip before the next new high? Possibly. However, I believe these are not attractive levels for initiating a long position.
I will be watching the $110 level on the downside if it ever gets there as a POTENTIAL buy.
The Quarter
Per Yahoo finance, these are FB results.
Adjusted earnings per share: $1.41
Revenue: $8.81 billion
Monthly active users: 1.86 billion
Daily active users: 1.23 billion
% of ad revenue from mobile: 84%
Via Bloomberg, here’s a quick snapshot of what investors were looking for from the social media giant:
Adjusted earnings per share: $1.31
Revenue: $8.5 billion
Monthly active users: 1.84 billion
Daily active users: 1.21 billion
% of ad revenue from mobile: 85%
In % terms, here is how they fared vs expectations.
Adjusted earnings per share: +7%
Revenue: +3.5%
Monthly active users: +1%
Daily active users: +1.6%
% of ad revenue from mobile: -1%
They beat all the metrics save for % of ad revenue from mobile.
They don't break down their % of revenue from whatsapp, instagram, and occulus or at least I could not find it. Safe to say whatsapp and occulus % would be tiny if any and monetizing instagram is still in the early stages.
I will say, I hear more of my friends complaining about the number of ads shown in their facebook news feed. I read somewhere that FB will address this, though I could not find the article.
Facebook and TV
Per Bloomberg-
"That means the next big technology prizefight isn't Facebook versus Google versus Snapchat, but the digital world duking it out against television. All of them have their eyes on the roughly $190 billion spent each year on TV commercials. If Facebook grabs just 3 percent of ad dollars spent on TV in the U.S., it would add more than $2 billion, or about 7 percent, to its annual revenue."
Can we expect to see original content from Facebook in the coming years?
According to Recode-
"Facebook is starting to talk to TV studios and other video producers about licensing shows, with the hope of boosting the social network’s video efforts.
The talks, which include discussions for scripted shows, game shows and sports, are being led by Ricky Van Veen, the College Humor co-founder who joined the company earlier this year."
I get it, people like watching videos. Youtube has pushed into original content. I see the shows often when I open the app, but for some reason, I have never clicked on it. It will be interesting to see how Youtube original content does.
In my mind, I have Netflix, Amazon, and maybe HBO or showtime. That is all my mind handle.
Facebook has the money and the audience, I just wonder if they aren't entering into too many categories?
I get the move to VR, it's a platform, where no dominant player has captured mindshare. Original content is different, everybody is either into it or getting into it. If they are going the original content route, I would not be surprised if they pushed into live sports.
So, what's the trade?
Every investor has different time frames. For me, I am in wait and see mode. Like I noted earlier, I will watching the $110 level if it ever gets there.
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Thanks and have a good weekend.
Caleb
$52.50-(A key support level for Starbucks).As I noted in the above chart, closing below the 100 WMA again is a troubling sign for the bulls.
I am watching the 52.50 level. If that level goes, the 200 WMA is up next at ~47.50.
The last time Starbucks fell below the 200 WMA was in 2007. It fell another 70% bottoming out around $4. Granted, that period was an extreme event and the company is more mature and in a better position today. I am in now implying it will fall 70% Just pointing out long it has been since the last move under the 200 WMA.
Now, a look toward some data.
Same store sales is slowing. See image below.
assets.bwbx.io
Jennifer Bartashus, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence notes-
“Starbucks is really starting to hit the saturation point in the U.S.,” she said. “The question with that is how are they going to continue to grow same-store sales.”
To achieve growth, it will mean growing same store sales at a better rate and pushing into new markets.
Per Bloomberg again-
"Starbucks has been trying to improve its food in the U.S. to lure more customers, especially beyond morning hours. This year, the company is adding fancier items to its menu, including Sous Vide Egg Bites and a gluten-free breakfast sandwich. To attract the on-the-go crowd, Starbucks also is expanding its snack-based meals called Bistro Boxes."
In other words, they are expanding to other categories besides coffee(line extension). They are hoping to gain a bigger share of the customer's wallet while they are in the store. Will it work or could those resources better be used elsewhere? The jury is still out.
I have no position in this stock but will be watching the levels noted on the chart closely.
Let me know what you think. Agree/disagree? Would love to hear your thoughts.
2nd try, first chart was off:)
$52.50-(A key level of support for Starbucks).As I noted in the above chart, closing below the 100 WMA again is a troubling sign for the bulls.
I am watching the 52.50 level. If that level goes, the 200 WMA is up next at ~47.50.
The last time Starbucks fell below the 200 WMA was in 2007. It fell another 70% bottoming out around $4. Granted, that period was an extreme event and the company is more mature and in a better position today. I am in now implying it will fall 70% Just pointing out long it has been since the last move under the 200 WMA.
Now, a look toward some data.
Same store sales is slowing. See image below.
assets.bwbx.io
Jennifer Bartashus, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence notes-
“Starbucks is really starting to hit the saturation point in the U.S.,” she said. “The question with that is how are they going to continue to grow same-store sales.”
To achieve growth, it will mean growing same store sales at a better rate and pushing into new markets.
Per Bloomberg again-
"Starbucks has been trying to improve its food in the U.S. to lure more customers, especially beyond morning hours. This year, the company is adding fancier items to its menu, including Sous Vide Egg Bites and a gluten-free breakfast sandwich. To attract the on-the-go crowd, Starbucks also is expanding its snack-based meals called Bistro Boxes."
In other words, they are expanding to other categories besides coffee(line extension). They are hoping to gain a bigger share of the customer's wallet while they are in the store. Will it work or could those resources better be used elsewhere? The jury is still out.
I have no position in this stock but will be watching the levels noted on the chart closely.
Let me know what you think. Agree/disagree? Would love to hear your thoughts.
$72.00level holding. (XLE) entering the buy zone.The pivot level at $72 is being tested and holding, for now.
I feel the line of least resistance is higher. I am looking for $84 eventually.
I will be looking to buy dips b/w 72-65.
A move under 65 and I would rethink my position.
No position at the moment.