Technicals
Pidilite - Cup & Handle Formation
PIDILITE IND LTD (JULY23 - CMP RS 2662.80)
Cup Pattern
#Phase1 - saw a sharp down move from Dec22 to Jan23
#Phase2 - Formed a slow base between Jan23 to Apr23
#Phase3 - From May23 - Jun23 it steadily moved up
When you add up the 3 phases - the Cup Pattern is visible in the Price Action.
Handle Pattern
#Phase4 - Between Jun23 and Jul23 the Price of Pidilite underwent the next small phase of correction
Phase#5 the Stock price saw a gradual upmove.
When you look at the full move of #Phase4 and #Phase5 - it resembles the Handle of the Cup
The Cup & Handle is a bullish continuation pattern which means that it is usually indicative of a future increase in price once the pattern is complete. Willing Buyers take exposure after the formation of the Handle is complete and push the Price upwards.
If the Pattern is successful, the Price can be expected to rally towards the life time highs of Rs 2918.95 implying a potential 9.6% up-move from the CMP of Rs 2662.80 as on July 21, 2023. The Price appreciation could play out over the next 3-4 months.
USDJPY bullish week = more upsideDay 47/100
Contrary to popular forecasts, my current USDJPY outlook is leaning to the upside
Fundamental Catalysts:
- Fed rate hikes
- BoJ policy updates
Bullish base-case:
- Fed remains hawkish using tight jobs markets as reason to continue on "hawkish" path
- BoJ will remain dovish // not as hawkish as expected
If base-case is wrong, only then I'll be considering further downside
Technicals
- This week rejecting 138 key pivot area
- If it closes bullish this week, more upside is to come; a push back into 145
🥂
$TSLA Down on Over-SpeculationNASDAQ:TSLA reported earnings after market close yesterday. Pro traders took profits before the close as the run became technically overextended. It gapped down today, but not on the extreme volume we'd expect from the usual HFT activity around earnings.
Profit and Operating margins are decreasing quarter over quarter, but revenues and net income are increasing.
This is not so much an onslaught of sellers but profit-taking along with a lack of buyers at this price range. As occurs often for this high-profile yet important EV company, the stock is over-speculated and needs to pattern out the excess. It could test the next support levels, but ultimately it's likely to head sideways as it challenges the resistance from Aug-Oct of last year...barring any surprises from Musk ;)
Dark Pool Buy Zones are in the bottom formation. The question is: will those buy zones be moved up or not?
CHFJPY Try to understand the movementAs we can see, at 2h Timeframe it is very clear that the price made a channel pattern, and yesterday it has broken through the resistance. where will the price go? from my point of view and how the candle moves ( you can see the daily candle ), the price will go to the strong area and will come back again. what's unique from here is that I found the possibility of a triple top pattern occurring
let see,
dyor
USD crucial week ahead... 😏Hey Traders! 👋
For Day 32/100 of our challenge, we will take a jab at USD and where it could head to next week
Technicals:
- Last week has been aggressively bearish
- We're now at potential support at 102.2
- Also the 62% fib retracement from swing high
> Can possibly see USD gain some strength on rebound at these levels
> Or at 101 support
BUT: Invalidation Area
- If 101 is breached to the downside, expect further bearish conviction
NETSOL - initial target of 10% upside
After witnessing a rapid recovery in IT stocks worldwide, especially on the NASDAQ, it seems that a similar trend may be expected in Pakistan's IT sector in the near future. The IT sector is poised to be a significant beneficiary of the current economic environment, with the government likely to provide further tax rebates. Given this outlook, I hold a bullish stance on the IT sector and have identified NETSOL and TRG as top picks.
Currently, NETSOL is trading at $80. I have set an initial target of 10% upside, and once this target is achieved, we can review and discuss the next set of targets.
Please note that the above analysis represents my personal opinion as a financial analyst. It is important to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
#BABA #ALIBABA LONGALIBABA is nearing support and should be ready for some big upside in the coming weeks/months. Analyst price targets are downside HKEX:72 upside median HKEX:150 and long HKEX:220 , considering the market is a bit shaky and volatile i would be more conscious to the downside and put an even lower downside target of about 45/50 range. however, the recent news coming out of BABA on splitting the business is a very solid news for the stock and is definitely the one to hold on to for big gains.
GBP/USD Trade setup (Short Position) Potential trade setup on the 1-hour timeframe for GU. Price action is creating a nice "expanding bearish triangle" pattern which could make another retest towards the price level (1.24000) before continuing in the sellers direction. Going back to April 10th, you will notice the support that was created multiple times before price created indecision candles closing above & below that support zone. Finally, both EMA's are confirming sellers momentum is slowly shifting over to a bearish selloff. Updates will be posted when price enters our area of interest. Stay tuned.
30 year yield: Bullish as everThe long end yields have been climbing recently and many stock market participants are not recognizing this.
The long end yields market may be signaling to us that inflation is going to be entrenched longer than what mainstream experts are calling for.
On a technical basis the 30 year has now recaptured all the key daily moving averages and looks primed to head higher.
CHTR Potential Trade AlertThis is a top short target. Keep this name on your watchlist as its been lagging the communications sector.
If the communication sector sees weakness which we think it will, this name will be a relative weakness trade to the downside.
Earnings approaching is the major outlier event.
CAD-CHFThe price of this currency pair has been moving in a downward trend on the D1 chart since June 2022. On the H4 chart, the price has reached a resistance level that previously served as an important support level. In addition, the price is very close to the upper line of the descending trend channel, which is another indication of an opportunity to open a SELL position.
Breaking News! Gold just broke a crucial support level (15min)Hello Traders
Tell me what you think about Gold in the comments
Gold has been showing signs of bearish momentum in the 15 min time frame as indicated by the breakout of the support level. This suggests that there may be a potential trading opportunity for sellers in the short term.
Regards,
The Mehdi
BITCOIN What Will Happen Next? Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN did not yet manage
To break the key decisive level
And I think that before the
FED's first rate cut we will
See BTC consolidating
Between the two levels
But after the breakout
And 1W candle closing
Above the level we will be
Able to say that BTC will
Go higher and sky is the limit
Before that and before the
FED acts, I am inclined to
Expect consolidation
Analysis!
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P2P | DXY - Long Term AnalysisGreetings to all who can decode this message lol thank you for tapping in with the content!
This look into #DXY has not changed much from my last few videos, just some minor tweaks. I explain a few things on why I am #bullish on the #dollar and how I plan to #trade opposing pairs like Euro/USD or NASDAQ100.
So yeah gang, not too much to get descriptive over because everything is explained in the video. Enjoy the rest of your week, trade well, and keep crushing it for 2023!
USD-CHFThe currency pair of the franc against the dollar is now moving around an important resistance price level on the H2 chart. Based on the previous move, where the price bounced off the support and started form a short-term uptrend, we think the price could continue to rise and break through the resistance. The target price would be at the next resistance level. In our opinion, an ideal opportunity for a "long" position.
S&P500 Inflection PointThe spy has closed below a key support which has now become resistance. Closing Below this level for 2 consecutive weeks leaves it vulnerable to retracing lower to the next major support. A retrace down to to the major trendline breakout will be very healthy consolidation if it manages to hold that level.
DXY possible breakoutThe DXY is on watch for an hourly breakout.
This is coming on the back of China inflationary numbers.
2.1% YOY inflation
0.8% MOM inflation.
The Month over month came in slightly hotter than expected which could be signaling maybe a hotter US CPI next week.
The China Reopening may be the cause of this.