BTC Detailed Top-Down Analysis - Day 129Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard Nasr, as known as theSignalyst.
I truly appreciate your continuous support everyone!
Let me know if you like the series, and if you would like me to change or add anything.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Technology
SQQQ Simple Chart AnalysisSQQQ - Rst 40.17 Supp 33.2
Vice versa of TQQQ, current chart looks supported here. So if Nasdaq retrace, this will rise.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
AAPL Take a bite out of the big aapl.03 contracts going bonkers today on dailies. Entry was early morning at open or within minutes of the open field. Shares from 141 very well protected. Get your live hedge fund money every single day we trade. Tesla was called at $105 for entry. You can't make this up. No one can compete with the crew. We are going to start a private money hedge soon if more don't realize the potential. Acquire the licensing and gone
--stikstockitslive
MATIC - Still Strong!💪Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), we have been waiting for MATIC to approach the blue support 0.7 to look for buy setups.
MATIC rejected the support, traded higher and now approaching the green resistance around 1.3
For the bulls to remain in control, and take over long-term, we need an aggressive break above 1.4
Meanwhile, we are bullish trading inside the orange channel.
UNLESS , the bears kick in, which would be confirmed by breaking below the orange channel and last major low from H4, then a bearish correction would be expected.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Sunview Simple Chart AnalysisSunview - Rst 0.645 Supp 0.515
Very likely a repeating pattern here. Base on the movement, it will retest 0.645 level again.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
what would a turnaround in tsla look likeim using the same lines i did when i was short. im just switching directions. this is a companion post to related idea. all ma and oscillators are also bullish here, leading to the conjecture continuation is likely along trend lines and the following swing based strategy using these support and resistance is feasable.
Microsoft: You can do it 💻Despite the recent outage, Microsoft is fighting its way back to the top and should exceed the resistance line at $265.00 soon to continue its upwards slope. Our alternative scenario with a probability of 40% implies that the stock could tire and drop below the support line at $212.25, instead of rising to the top. In this case, the course would sink into the grey target zone to fulfill the superior grey wave alt. IV before heading back North in the longterm.
Growth stock's hiatus ?Growth stocks outperform value stocks most of the time on a weekly chart of $VUG / $VTV, Vanguard's growth and value elf's respectively.
Since the start of the 2022 bear market that relationship has reversed and, in August 2022, broke both horizontal support as well as a 14 year long diagonal support.
These breakouts are being retested now, in January 2023. The outcome can impact both trading and long term investing strategy.
For reference:
$SPY in the bottom pane. Today's close: 400.35
Fib tool (not formal analysis)
Big picture look at NASDAQ (QQQ)One of my ideas where I zoom out and look at the bigger picture for the NASDAQ using QQQ on the weekly timeframe. The technical analysis is pretty simple with a focus on the main trading channels and how the major peaks align. Hard to guess the markets direction, but there is definitely room to go lower to the support of the green channel.
With 20 and 200 week SMA
Daily
Daily with 20 and 200 day sma
Recovery for Malaysia Technology SectorWatch the video to see why 2023 will be a recovering tech stock for bursa Malaysia.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
NVIDIA and AMD Are Breaking Important Bullish LevelsAMD and Nvidia stocks are breaking higher this week, possibly ready for more gains as the recent corrective pullback to 140 and 60 USD appears completed. More upside here can be positive for cryptos about I talked in our webinar this Monday, here on tradingview.
Grega
I put link below if anyone is interested in recording.
www.tradingview.com
BB | Great Opportunity to Enter | LONGBlackBerry Limited provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cybersecurity, IoT, and Licensing and Other. The company offers BlackBerry Cyber Suite, which provides Cylance AI and machine learning-based cybersecurity solutions, including BlackBerry Protect, an EPP and available MTD solution; BlackBerry Optics, an EDR solution that provides visibility into and prevention of malicious activity; BlackBerry Guard, a managed detection and response solution; BlackBerry Gateway, an AI-empowered ZTNA solution; and BlackBerry Persona, a UEBA solution that provides authentication by validating user identity in real time. It also provides BlackBerry Spark Unified Endpoint Management Suite, such as BlackBerry UEM, a central software component of its secure communications platform; BlackBerry Dynamics that provides a development platform and secure container for mobile applications; BlackBerry AtHoc and BlackBerry Alert secure and networked critical event management solutions; and SecuSUITE for Government, a multi-OS voice and text messaging solution, as well as BBM Enterprise, an enterprise-grade secure instant messaging solution. In addition, the company offers BlackBerry QNX, which provides Neutrino operating system and BlackBerry QNX CAR platform, and other products; BlackBerry QNX, an embedded system solution; BlackBerry Jarvis, a cloud-based binary static application security testing platform; BlackBerry Certicom cryptography and management products, and BlackBerry Radar asset monitoring solution; and BlackBerry IVY, an intelligent vehicle data platform, as well as enterprise and cybersecurity consulting services. Further, it is involved in the patent licensing and legacy service access fees business. As of February 28, 2022, it owned approximately 38,000 worldwide patents and applications. BlackBerry Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
Two hidden problems with the recent mega-cap tech layoffs Disclaimer: I have never worked in investment banking in any capacity, and the following ideas are merely my speculations
Current Macroeconomic and Technical Context
Inflation and interest rate hikes cooling down are common knowledge. As such, the market has become more bullish over the past weeks, creating rounded support and strong support on the NASDAQ around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. There have also been rallies across tech companies, like meta, unity, grab, and para from their lows. However, now the NASDAQ has formed a descending triangle and so it remains possible that there will be a sharp breakdown through support.
Why mega-cap tech rallied off layoffs
Massive layoffs have occurred in mega-capitalization tech firms in recent months to respond to the current recessionary economic environment, with firms like Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and other tech companies laying off more than 70,000 employees in the last year. Under the typical theory of firm economics, this is efficient behavior for the firm, decreasing variable costs to respond to reduced demand for products, thereby increasing profits for shareholders.
Problems which some have not considered
There are two important problems with the layoffs, which are summarized as:
Firing tech employees results in unfinished projects and unpatched bugs
Former employees may need to sell their shares to cover living expenses
Firstly, unlike in a factory, or place where a smaller of employees is a feasible solution to cutting costs, these technology companies are not small and are instead mega-capitalization companies, they have thousands of employees working on projects and addressing security issues. Logically, the remaining employees can't easily take over the role of the thousands of fired employees, so there will be less work done to maintain the systems, and the big projects which fired employees were working on are likely to be abandoned or take a long transition time, meaning there will be a slower rate of growth for tech companies. This issue of losing valuable employees was shown most clearly with Twitter, which almost immediately started losing functionality after it had layoffs, and even needed to rehire employees.
Secondly, it is well-known that the retail investors who put their money in stocks are mostly individuals with high salaries, since they have the money to put into stocks without worrying about expenses in the short term. It is also well known that tech employees in the USA have an incredibly high average salary, averaging above six figures in 2021, according to SHRM. For these tech investors, who are now no longer employed, many of whom are living in costly areas of the United States like Washington, California, or New York, they no longer have the income to put into purchasing stocks, and rather they may have to sell off their shares to cover their high costs of living. In other words, tech layoffs are likely to cause a significant drag on the stock market in the coming months caused by a decrease in income investment and increased selling pressure.
NASDAQ bottomed or fall 20% by March?Here is my chart combining channels, trend lines, and waves.
You can see that the NASDAQ has been fighting to stay inside the blue channel since mid-October, but has been trapped under the black channel. If it is going to hold, then this would be a good place. That would keep the blue channel bull rally intact.
However, this week's rejection off the top of the channel is not a great sign. There is still a good possibility that we still need to complete the wave C of the larger ABC correction before this is over. Right now, Wave C stands at a 0.618 fib extension of Wave A which is pretty small. If it goes lower, then a bounce and support at 0.786 seems logical, which is around the peak before the COVID crash. That could be a good long entry.
I would not rule out something closer to the 1.0 level before we are done. If that does come to be, then that takes us down to the red trend line created off the bottoms of the 2018 and 2020 corrections. That is the 9000 range (could overshoot down to 8700) and would be a great place for a big long entry. Anything lower than that, and, well, lets not think about.
Shopify: Shopping Spree 🛍️The Shopify stock is currently wandering off to a shopping spree in the South and could get dangerously close to the alternative scenario, if it crosses the support line at $32.35. This would implicate further downward pulses until the turquoise wave alt. B hits its low. Primarily, we expect the course to get back in the saddle to exceed the resistance line at $45.43, which should be followed by the completion of the pink wave (A).
ETH : Fees, ZK Protocol and.. SPACE ?? Things YOU Should KnowHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Chart📈📉
There are some exiting developments in the crypto space other than the bullish price action on charts. If you've been missing out on some of it, this one's for you!
Thanks to their distributed structure, blockchains tend to be slow. If a single transaction has to be verified across thousands of Ethereum’s nodes, this also makes the network expensive to use. Layer 2 systems are a potential answer to this issue, with rollups as the most popular scaling method. Zero-knowledge (ZK) rollups use the minimum data necessary to verify transactions by unburdening Ethereum from excess network workload. This makes Ethereum both faster and cheaper. Okay now hold up - wat is ZK?
In cryptography, a ZK or zero-proof protocol means one party (the prover) can prove to another party (the verifier) that a given statement is true without giving any additional statement. To give a practical example; consider how you would have to prove your citizenship. If you say “I am Bob from Canada”, you would need to prove that with a legal document such as a passport, an identity document etc. The problem with this approach up until now, is privacy. This information is often shared to third parties without your consent. Identity theft also thrives in this environment.
So how could you prove that what you’re saying is true, without giving away any information or legal documents? Let’s take a look at this example provided by Wikipedia:
Imagine your friend is red-green color-blind (while you are not) and you have two balls: one red and one green, but otherwise identical. To your friend they seem completely identical and they are skeptical that they are actually distinguishable. You want to prove to them they are in fact differently-colored, but nothing else; in particular, you do not want to reveal which one is the red and which is the green ball.
Here is the proof system. You give the two balls to your friend and they put them behind their back. Next, they take one of the balls and bring it out from behind their back and display it. They then place it behind their back again and then choose to reveal just one of the two balls, picking one of the two at random with equal probability. They will ask you, "Did I switch the ball?" This whole procedure is then repeated as often as necessary.
By looking at their colors, you can, of course, say with certainty whether or not they switched them. On the other hand, if they were the same color and hence indistinguishable, there is no way you could guess correctly with probability higher than 50%. Since the probability that you would have randomly succeeded at identifying each switch/non-switch is 50%, the probability of having randomly succeeded at all switch/non-switches approaches zero ("soundness"). If you and your friend repeat this "proof" multiple times (e.g. 20 times), your friend should become convinced ("completeness") that the balls are indeed differently colored.
The above proof is zero-knowledge because your friend never learns which ball is green and which is red; indeed, they gain no knowledge about how to distinguish the balls.
Now that you have an understanding of ZK, let's look at how this affects blockchain and cryptocurrencies, Ethereum specifically:
Gas fees have been a huge problem for ETH. But there are a number of ways to improve performance . Rollups are by far the most popular scaling technology. So wait wait wait.... What Are Rollups or ZK-Rollups? Rollups are smart contracts that reduces computing and storage requirements for validating a transaction block. As noted previously, they do so by rolling up hundreds of transactions into a single one. Zero-knowledge proof is one of the methods to accomplish that.
When a network is overburdened with information, the fees increase. That’s because public, decentralized blockchains have limited block space to contain transactions. Accordingly, when the network traffic is higher, the demand for block space increases, leading to validators charging more for each transaction to be validated.
Rollups are divided into two types: Optimistic and Zero-Knowledge (ZK). Both types do one job — rollups reduce the Layer 1 network’s (Ethereum) workload by scooping up, or rolling, hundreds of incoming transactions as a single transaction. This bundled single transaction is then verified and added back to Ethereum, as another data block on its public ledger. Because of this continuous offloading of transactions from Ethereum, the Layer 1 network remains uncongested. And when Ethereum is not congested, it is much cheaper to use because its ETH gas fees fall down drastically. After all, every computer network requires some bandwidth/computational resources to be expended. In the case of decentralized blockchain networks, that cost falls onto users themselves. This is why Layer 2 networks are so important. Rollups, in particular, have a dual impact — granting fast and affordable user experience to the Ethereum ecosystem.
So now that you have a better understanding of Blockchain verification and gas fees, we can take it to SPACE ✨🚀
I live in a country where electricity blackouts (or loadshedding as they call it) is part of everyday life. We usually experience 3 sets of loadshedding a day, each ranging from 2 - 4 hours at a time. One of many disruptive results of this, is that the signal drops during loadsheding. This is because the signal towers have back up batteries for when the electricity cuts but - since there has been loadshedding for months, the batteries do not get to charge fully. You might be wondering why I'm telling you this (and I'll give you a clue, it's not for sympathy). One word - SIGNAL. You would be surprised to know how many things are affected by the ready availability of electricity, and signal. When the signal drops, it not only drops for your phone but also for transactions. Think card machines, financial services, banking etc.
Now again, Mr Elon Musk has been working on Starlink, something you may have heard of to address this issue. Starlink is a satellite internet constellation operated by SpaceX, providing satellite Internet access coverage to 45 countries. It aims for global mobile phone service after 2023. SpaceX started launching Starlink satellites in 2019. The purpose of using satellites for signal would basically make signal towers null and void, with a direct link form the satellite to the receiving point such as the phone and eventually card machine etc. This is where the exciting news now becomes relevant. ZK - tested on satellites.
Recently, in a collaboration between crypto-satellite developer Cryptosat and global hackathon organizer DoraHacks, the first successful experiment to launch a ZK (Zero-Knowledge) proof system in space recently occurred onboard the International Space Station (ISS). According to DoraHacks and Cryptosat, the experiment performed onboard the ISS showcased the capability of a satellite-based computation environment to successfully perform part of the trusted setup process required to use a ZK proof protocol. According to Cryptosat, which is attempting to launch a constellation of cubesats into orbit and build out its satellite fleet, the success of the ZK proof experiment is a crucial component in demonstrating the efficacy of space-bound computational environments. The procedure entailed sending pre-uploaded open source programs to the ISS through a secure link in order to generate a string file for the ZK proof-based voting program. Cryptosat has also already launched two mug-sized satellites, Crypto1 and Crypto2, the latter of which is currently being tested.
💭Final Thoughts...
We're not there yet. The two legs that go with connection is signal.. and device. The one without the other is useless. Many people around the globe still do not have access to devices and even if they did, what happens if you lose your device? Just how vulnerable would you be if your device is stolen? Those are questions for another day perhaps....
Thanks for reading this far ! Interested in a technical and chart analysis of Ethereum? Check out this idea :
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