Bull Signals for Apple StockBased on my calculations, the most distant point at the predictory period shown by the blue line is an ideal time to begin dollar cost averaging into AAPL stock; Based on Fibonacci calculations (with 10 week constraints ), a strong bullish sign is evident within the coming weeks. Now's the time to buy the dip.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently in a primary dip period, meaning it is a prime opportunity for the outlooked wealth transfer towards retail investors like us.
AAPL has been on a tear since its lows in early 2016, and has more than doubled in price. However, the stock has pulled back in recent months and is now trading around its primary dip period lows. This could be a sign that the wealth is starting to transfer towards retail investors, and now may be a prime opportunity to buy AAPL.
Apple is a technology giant and is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the global technology sector. The company has a strong brand and a loyal customer base, and is well-positioned to continue to grow in the years ahead.
Apple is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18, which is a bit higher than the broader market, but the company is expected to grow at a rate of around 10% in the years ahead, which justifies the premium.
Overall, Apple is a strong company with a bright future, and now may be a good time to buy the stock. The wealth appears to be transferring towards retail investors, and AAPL is trading at a discount to its fair value.
Executing a long position with a minimum of a 6 month time-frame.
Technology
NASDAQ - Powell Pow WowLast words from the last analysis were: " be cautious as volatility will spike! "
And Powelll delivered a strong stance which blew volatility to a monthly high, up 17% for the VIX.
The weekly NASDAQ chart completed the bearish candlestick pattern on a 55EMA failure, and sliced through the 13K support. This is totally not bullish for the next couple of weeks.
Downside targets now appear the last low (in October) or a more ominous symmetry projection farther down at 9.5K. The weekly technical indicators currently do not suggest enough bearish power to reach there (yet) and 11.5K higher low appears plausible at the moment. Thing is... next month's Fed meet will firmly provide enough volatility for the next few weeks.
The NASDAQ daily chart demonstrates how a reality statement could drive home a message. It can in the form of a Bearish Engulfing, that broke down the 13K support and 55EMA, forming a lower high. Bearish technical indicators have been suggesting this for the past week or two, so should not be much surprise here.
Both daily and weekly charts are aligned in bearish tones (as expected earlier), so perhaps an early week technical bounce, and then later week, or the week after, push down is likely...
The MARA-ETH relationship goalsA good buddy gave some heads up about MARA, and we had a short discussion about MARA. He mentioned that MARA and Crypto had some relationship and I was a little skeptical that MARA would be close enough in relation to crypto, and also wondered if there was any relationship, what might it be.
So, from purely a technical perspective, I pulled up MARA and overlaid ETHUSD on the weekly chart. Some adjustment requires for the overlay and it appeared that my buddy was perhaps onto something! Honestly, I have not enough research into MARA, but for what it is worth, it appears that MARA leads ETHUSD, in a somewhat casual open relationship IMHO (pun not intended).
You see, as MARA rallies, it does this ahead of ETHUSD. And it also appears to lead in the downside aspects too. Both have about 1-2 week lead.
Currently, it does appear that MARA is in bearish stance, with a bearish candle last week that closed a gap. Technical indicators apparently struggle to mitigate the bearishness.
In the daily MARA chart, the recent rally is oer, with a solid gap down end of last week. Technical indicators also support a bearish stance, with more downside expected.
Immediate support levels are about 12, and then 8.50. Resistance is clearly at 14.
Given this casual relationship, if it is sufficiently robust to hold, we might co-relate that ETHUSD is having some downside risk for the rest of August, and into early September, with a possible bounce off later in September, perhaps on the back of The Merge?
I would keep an eye out on MARA... just to see if this relationship achieves some longer term goals.
Tell me what you think, and if this makes sense to you too?
AAPD AAPL LONG (inverse) SETUPAAPL is pulling back today, and so setting up AAPD for a swing long.
As can be seen on the 15 minute chart, AAPD had a pullback for consolidation and is now showing
some green candles. The Williams alligator is showing divergence on the short time frame moving
averages. The RSI indicator topped out pulled back and is now in uptrend showing bullish confirmation.
I have entered this trade to participate in the AAPL pullback which as a titan of the NASDAQ
affects the whole market. a decent position in AAPD ( along with SQQQ) will serve
to hedge the market a bit.
Amazon monthly may need reworkingthe long term picture for amazon.com, and really the whole dotcom sector has looked bleak until recently. i would wait to cross above this pivot and trama to turn up before i thought we could continue recovering in technology. id aim for upper horizontals as we cross above levels and lower horizontals as we cross below.
short at key resistance levelsthis ramge will continue to tighten, and we will likely get a bear break. above pivot target upper horizontals below pivot aim for lower horizontals. semiconductors have been a major focal point of this bear market, and they will be a big recovery story when we exit it.
NASDAQ retracement ONThe NASDAQ over-extended its upside target and the later part of last week stalled and started to retrace. Nothing exciting here as it was expected for weeks. lol
So the NASDAQ Futures Weekly chart how a (breakout) failure of the 55EMA, and somewhat of a bearish reversal top candlestick pattern in the likes of a Dark Cloud Cover of sorts, or two-thirds of a Three Inside Down. Both suggest that the upcoming week would more likely be a down week. Notably, this past week completes the patterns symmetry of the NASDAQ fall magnitudes, as mentioned in previous earlier post.
The Daily chart shows the completed trend reversal pattern (wave 1-5) of a series of higher lows and higher highs. And now, a retracement is in order, in a somewhat expected fashion. MACD and RPM both clearly indicate the retracement. This drawback should be looking for the 13K (or rather 12,900) support. A weaker market is more likely to bring it down to 12,000 or lower instead... perhaps later in September.
I am in two minds at this point and here is why...
The Daily chart appears to have turned around the trend into a bullish recovery. BUT, the weekly chart is in need of a higher low, which may have a 2000 point range at least. The two things that bugs me bad is the failure of the weekly 55EMA, and the distance from breaking above 14,400 for a weekly bullish clearance. Overall, the weekly chart is not ready (yet) to launch the next bull trend despite having pretty decent technical indicators.
Stay safe and well... be cautious as volatility will spike!
Cisco Systems bullish scenario:The technical figure Channel Down can be found in the daily chart in the US company Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO). Cisco Systems, Inc., commonly known as Cisco, is an American-based multinational technology conglomerate corporation. Integral to the growth of Silicon Valley, Cisco develops, manufactures, and sells networking hardware, software, telecommunications equipment and other high-technology services and products. Cisco specializes in specific tech markets, such as the Internet of Things (IoT), domain security, videoconferencing, and energy management with leading products including Webex, OpenDNS, Jabber, Duo Security, and Jasper. The Channel Down has broken through the resistance line on 17/08/2022, if the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 49 days towards 50.14 USD. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 41.03 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Cisco stock pops on fourth-quarter earnings beat. Cisco has been on the top and the bottom line for its fourth quarter results, with the networking equipment maker beating on adjusted earnings per share. Those came in at $0.83. The Street was expecting $0.82. Revenue for the fourth quarter came in at $13.1 billion. The Street was expecting $12.73 billion. But the Street really likes its first quarter revenue guidance because the company guiding anywhere between 2% and 4% growth year over year for the first quarter. The Street was expecting a decline of 0.24%.
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$HUB.TA Outpaces CyberSecurity Sector Ahead of NASDAQ ListingAfter hitting dramatic lows in June that saw the ^IXIC (Nasdaq Comp. Index) down >30% YTD, Nasdaq and the tech sector as a whole has witnessed a bullish rally over the past month. Despite some of the tech giants missing the mark on Q2 earnings, Nasdaq has enjoyed robust capital inflows in the past month as investor sentiment begins to improve. The passage of the US CHIPS Act last week was seen by many tech investors as a windfall for the semiconductor, chips, and computing industry thanks to upcoming subsidies and governmental incentives for domestic manufacturers; this legislative action has infused some confidence into the broader market.
One area of the broader tech space that has consistently traded strongly despite poor performance this year are cyber security stocks. The rising trend of offensive cyber operations targeting public and private actors alike has reinforced the critical need for cyber defensive architecture. The HXR Cyber ETF as well as RDWR are +12% and +8.3% respectively, closely tracking QQQ's +12% jump the past month. Other have shown more modest growth, such as PANQ (+2%) and CHKP (+2.6%).
And then onto the outliers. FTNT got hammered in August with 12% losses due to erroneous revenue guidance issued by management on top of some analyst downgrades to overvalued. In other words, looks like Fortinet is going through a short-term correction.
Our bullish outlier is HUB Security, as Israeli confidential computing equity that is in the final stages of completing a SPAC-driven NASDAQ listing. HUB shares on TASE are up 38% in the past month and continuing to climb as more investors jump on board in anticipation of the company's much-vaunted US listing.
8/10/22 ZSZscaler Inc ( NASDAQ:ZS )
Sector: Technology Services (Packaged Software)
Market Capitalization: $23.182B
Current Price: $180.41
Breakout Price: $186.75
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $169.90-$144.00
Price Target: $218.00-$224.00 (1st)
Estimated Duration to Target: 54-57d
Contract of Interest: $ZS 10/21/22 180c
Trade price as of publish date: $21.25/contract
aapl showing how broader market will fareim depending on this large cap value in tech to lead the way for the rest of the market as a bellweather in technology. if we fall beneath pivot to start testing sss signal as resistance and it turns red were headed for daily consolidation in tech and the broader market, probably testing that ma as support. if we keep a green signal, and hold pivot testing as support we should move toward upper horizontals as long as we do not h/s around potential neckline.
NASDAQ near upside targetThe NASDAQ just about reached the weekly 55EMA and retraced slightly . It cleared the 13K resistance and 13.2K resistance as well. Still bullish in the weekly technical indicators.
The daily chart breaks down the week, with a early week pull back and some volatility and a weak retest of the gap; and then the mid-week bullish spike to break 13K. These were expected last weekend in the previous post. Similarly, the technical indicators were waning in acceleration and this is observed again in the last week. What makes it a little uncomfortable is the Friday candle... one that is suggesting indecision. So, I would start being cautious really.
Reading two things now: a pop up spike to about 13,500, and then some retracement should set in.
8/3/22 CFLTConfluent, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CFLT )
Sector: Technology Services (Packaged Software)
Market Capitalization: $8.079B
Current Price: $29.02
Breakout Price: $31.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $27.65-$19.45
Price Target: $33.50-$36.30 (1st), $45.10-$49.20 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 26-29d, 73-76d
Contract of Interest: $CFLT 8/19/22 30c, $CFLT 10/21/22 35c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.55/contract, $2.60/contract
$MNDT Outpaces its Sectorial Peers The technology sector has played a leading role in powering the market's gains over the past couple of decades. Tech's ability to shape almost every industry means the sector remains one of the best starting places for investors seeking big gains, even during this bearish market.
My top pick for this sector is MNDT, a cybersecurity disruptor that is a winner for your growing portfolio today. As seen in the chart, MNDT (+31.94% YTD) is far-outperforming its sectoral peers as tech has taken a double-digit tumble in recent months. For instance, mega cap tech companies such as MSFT (-17.90% YTD), APPL (-12% YTD) and GOOGL (-20.60% YTD) have all underperformed relative to MNDT. This is the case too for FTNT, a fellow cybersecurity player, which has registered a 9% decline YTD despite outpacing the broader tech sector as a whole. Sectoral cybersecurity ETF’s like BUG (-16%), XLK (-18%) and CIBR (-18%) also lag far behind MNDT’s YTD gains. Relative to QQQ, MNDT has outpaced the Nasdaq baseline by some 50%, indicating just how bullish this stock is against the backdrop of an ongoing bear market.
$HUB.TA Outperforms Sectoral and Market Indices YTD Despite the market's emergent rally in July, 2022 has been a punishing year for tech equities worldwide. Recent Q2 earning from megacap tech players in the US deepen concerns about diminishing margins and slowed hiring moving into Q3/4 and beyond. YTD, Nasdaq is down -21%, and unerperformed the DOW, S&P500, and Russell2000.
One sector with more bullish short-to-intermediate term prospects is cyber security and confidential computing. HUB.TA, which is headed for a NASDAQ listing this year via SPAC merger with RNER has clearly outperformed sectoral peers such as IBM (-1.38%) and CYBER (-22.8%) YTD with its gains of +32% despite some heightened volatiity surrounding its imminent merger. HUB likewise outperformed sectoral ETFs like BUG (-17.8%) and CIBR (-19.17%), making this Israeli confidential computing equity an attractive watchlist item for those eyeing its TASE delisting and the initiation of trading on NASDAQ.