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SPY Cycle Patterns are incredible.Have you ever seen anything that can attempt to predict price trends 30 to 60+ days in advance? Other than Japanese Candlesticks, and quite possibly Elliot Wave, I've never seen anything have the predictive qualities of my short-term & long-term Cycle Patterns. This is a Daily SPY chart highlighting the cycle patterns that aligned with certain days. As I'm watching these cycle patterns unfold, I'm seeing more and more details emerge. For example, the current week showed the following: 9-4: Temp Bottom 9-5: Top/Resistance 9-6: Breakdown 9-7: Carryover 9-8: Inside-Breakaway 9-9: Breakaway 9-10: Rally 9-11: N/A 9-12: N/A A temporary bottom, followed by a top/breakdown in trend on 9-5/9-6. The "carryover" pattern can act like a reversion price trend, or a continuation price trend. Today it resulted in a reversion higher. Tomorrow the cycle patterns are predicting an Inside-Breakaway followed by a Rally on Friday (9-9 & 9-10). I expect the US markets will rally higher on some news related to some moderate global crisis. This may send Gold/Silver higher and may drag Bitcoin higher as well. What I expect is a flood of moderate buying to close out this week - catching traders by surprise.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
NASDAQ continues tumble towards targetJust a quick review on the week after Powell's Pow Wow speech that sent markets off a cliff... The weekly NASDAQ futures chart had a rather uncommon gap down that failed a close attempt. The week closed down near the lows as well. MACD turned down and is about to cross under the MACD Signal, and well as into the bear territory. All these happening after a failure of the 55EMA three weeks ago. Taken together, it is not looking good at all, and the technical structure warns badly for the next 7 to 8 weeks. A target area of 11-11.5K is expected, but with such initial momentum, it appears that the NASDAQ is more likely to dip below 10K level within the next 8 weeks. This is observable only form the weekly chart itself! Turning to the daily chart, we can see that the last week had bulls struggling with an early but futile attempt to close the gap. This created top tails by mid-week which indicated more downside probability (as expected), and despite a rally on some good data later in the week, the bearishness overwhelmed into closing on Friday. The technical indicator RPM is showing a strong momentum, and the MACD signal is already in bearish territory. 11750 appears as an immediate support, which is not likely to hold out long, but is likely to offer a breather of the bear charge next week. The gap range formed in the week's opening is now a resistance zone. Overall, there is a strong bearish background, but the week incoming should offer a pause, and some sort of a muted technical bounce. Thus far, the modelling targets the NASDAQ below 10K. Until there is a clear break of this model projection, which might take at least a month to form, the NASDAQ is following the projection; heads up.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Auguraltrader
TESLA Bull Flag almost completed. Strong chances for $340 in OctTesla (TSLA) is trading within a Channel Down ever since the August 04 High, which following the rally since June 16, whose Higher Lows trend-line is intact, can be viewed as a technical Bull Flag formation. This pattern is common after strong rallies and Tesla's has been more than +50% within a 3 month span, with profit taking on the medium-term coming as a natural reaction. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) are intact and still supporting. In fact the MA50 is about to cross above the MA100 for the first Bullish Cross pattern since August 12 2021. With the MACD on the 1W time-frame still on a strong Bullish Cross, as long as the June 16 HL hold, it is more likely to see a new rebound towards the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the top of the long-term Channel Down. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
6
AMAZON formed a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross. Accumulation ahead.It's been only 1.5 month since our long-term buy call on Amazon (AMZN): The price rose aggressively after weeks of accumulation within the 1W MA200/300 and as we projected broke out hitting almost the first important long-term Resistance (1W MA50). On August 16 the price was rejected exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which was the point of rejection on the previous Lower High (March 29) of this 2022 correction phase. The stock rose almost +45% from its June 14 Low, so profit taking was expected. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level broke and the price is just above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). The former crossed today above the latter forming a technical Bullish Cross, the first such formation since December 03 2021. That was a far from ideal pattern as it broke the uptrend's Higher Lows trend-line and basically was at the start of the 2022 correction phase. This time the Higher Lows trend-line is much lower (currently around $114.40) so on the medium-term we remain on a downtrend, until the 1W MA50 and Lower Highs Zone break. However, it is the first time we have such a strong and long uptrend on the 1W RSI, with its Higher Lows trend-line still intact. Practically, as long as the 1D MA50/100 hold, we can expect a re-test of the 1D MA200. If they break, there is still a chance of finding Support on the 0.618 Fib. Further selling can be done below the Higher Lows trend-line. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by TradingShot
1
Bull Signals for Apple StockBased on my calculations, the most distant point at the predictory period shown by the blue line is an ideal time to begin dollar cost averaging into AAPL stock; Based on Fibonacci calculations (with 10 week constraints ), a strong bullish sign is evident within the coming weeks. Now's the time to buy the dip. Apple Inc. (AAPL) is currently in a primary dip period, meaning it is a prime opportunity for the outlooked wealth transfer towards retail investors like us. AAPL has been on a tear since its lows in early 2016, and has more than doubled in price. However, the stock has pulled back in recent months and is now trading around its primary dip period lows. This could be a sign that the wealth is starting to transfer towards retail investors, and now may be a prime opportunity to buy AAPL. Apple is a technology giant and is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of the global technology sector. The company has a strong brand and a loyal customer base, and is well-positioned to continue to grow in the years ahead. Apple is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18, which is a bit higher than the broader market, but the company is expected to grow at a rate of around 10% in the years ahead, which justifies the premium. Overall, Apple is a strong company with a bright future, and now may be a good time to buy the stock. The wealth appears to be transferring towards retail investors, and AAPL is trading at a discount to its fair value. Executing a long position with a minimum of a 6 month time-frame.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by trustneil
7
NASDAQ - Powell Pow WowLast words from the last analysis were: " be cautious as volatility will spike! " And Powelll delivered a strong stance which blew volatility to a monthly high, up 17% for the VIX. The weekly NASDAQ chart completed the bearish candlestick pattern on a 55EMA failure, and sliced through the 13K support. This is totally not bullish for the next couple of weeks. Downside targets now appear the last low (in October) or a more ominous symmetry projection farther down at 9.5K. The weekly technical indicators currently do not suggest enough bearish power to reach there (yet) and 11.5K higher low appears plausible at the moment. Thing is... next month's Fed meet will firmly provide enough volatility for the next few weeks. The NASDAQ daily chart demonstrates how a reality statement could drive home a message. It can in the form of a Bearish Engulfing, that broke down the 13K support and 55EMA, forming a lower high. Bearish technical indicators have been suggesting this for the past week or two, so should not be much surprise here. Both daily and weekly charts are aligned in bearish tones (as expected earlier), so perhaps an early week technical bounce, and then later week, or the week after, push down is likely...
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Auguraltrader
The MARA-ETH relationship goalsA good buddy gave some heads up about MARA, and we had a short discussion about MARA. He mentioned that MARA and Crypto had some relationship and I was a little skeptical that MARA would be close enough in relation to crypto, and also wondered if there was any relationship, what might it be. So, from purely a technical perspective, I pulled up MARA and overlaid ETHUSD on the weekly chart. Some adjustment requires for the overlay and it appeared that my buddy was perhaps onto something! Honestly, I have not enough research into MARA, but for what it is worth, it appears that MARA leads ETHUSD, in a somewhat casual open relationship IMHO (pun not intended). You see, as MARA rallies, it does this ahead of ETHUSD. And it also appears to lead in the downside aspects too. Both have about 1-2 week lead. Currently, it does appear that MARA is in bearish stance, with a bearish candle last week that closed a gap. Technical indicators apparently struggle to mitigate the bearishness. In the daily MARA chart, the recent rally is oer, with a solid gap down end of last week. Technical indicators also support a bearish stance, with more downside expected. Immediate support levels are about 12, and then 8.50. Resistance is clearly at 14. Given this casual relationship, if it is sufficiently robust to hold, we might co-relate that ETHUSD is having some downside risk for the rest of August, and into early September, with a possible bounce off later in September, perhaps on the back of The Merge? I would keep an eye out on MARA... just to see if this relationship achieves some longer term goals. Tell me what you think, and if this makes sense to you too?
NASDAQ:MARA
by Auguraltrader
2
AAPD AAPL LONG (inverse) SETUPAAPL is pulling back today, and so setting up AAPD for a swing long. As can be seen on the 15 minute chart, AAPD had a pullback for consolidation and is now showing some green candles. The Williams alligator is showing divergence on the short time frame moving averages. The RSI indicator topped out pulled back and is now in uptrend showing bullish confirmation. I have entered this trade to participate in the AAPL pullback which as a titan of the NASDAQ affects the whole market. a decent position in AAPD ( along with SQQQ) will serve to hedge the market a bit.
NASDAQ:AAPDLong
by AwesomeAvani
NASDAQ retracement ONThe NASDAQ over-extended its upside target and the later part of last week stalled and started to retrace. Nothing exciting here as it was expected for weeks. lol So the NASDAQ Futures Weekly chart how a (breakout) failure of the 55EMA, and somewhat of a bearish reversal top candlestick pattern in the likes of a Dark Cloud Cover of sorts, or two-thirds of a Three Inside Down. Both suggest that the upcoming week would more likely be a down week. Notably, this past week completes the patterns symmetry of the NASDAQ fall magnitudes, as mentioned in previous earlier post. The Daily chart shows the completed trend reversal pattern (wave 1-5) of a series of higher lows and higher highs. And now, a retracement is in order, in a somewhat expected fashion. MACD and RPM both clearly indicate the retracement. This drawback should be looking for the 13K (or rather 12,900) support. A weaker market is more likely to bring it down to 12,000 or lower instead... perhaps later in September. I am in two minds at this point and here is why... The Daily chart appears to have turned around the trend into a bullish recovery. BUT, the weekly chart is in need of a higher low, which may have a 2000 point range at least. The two things that bugs me bad is the failure of the weekly 55EMA, and the distance from breaking above 14,400 for a weekly bullish clearance. Overall, the weekly chart is not ready (yet) to launch the next bull trend despite having pretty decent technical indicators. Stay safe and well... be cautious as volatility will spike!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Auguraltrader
3
Cisco Systems bullish scenario:The technical figure Channel Down can be found in the daily chart in the US company Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO). Cisco Systems, Inc., commonly known as Cisco, is an American-based multinational technology conglomerate corporation. Integral to the growth of Silicon Valley, Cisco develops, manufactures, and sells networking hardware, software, telecommunications equipment and other high-technology services and products. Cisco specializes in specific tech markets, such as the Internet of Things (IoT), domain security, videoconferencing, and energy management with leading products including Webex, OpenDNS, Jabber, Duo Security, and Jasper. The Channel Down has broken through the resistance line on 17/08/2022, if the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 49 days towards 50.14 USD. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 41.03 USD if you decide to enter this position. Cisco stock pops on fourth-quarter earnings beat. Cisco has been on the top and the bottom line for its fourth quarter results, with the networking equipment maker beating on adjusted earnings per share. Those came in at $0.83. The Street was expecting $0.82. Revenue for the fourth quarter came in at $13.1 billion. The Street was expecting $12.73 billion. But the Street really likes its first quarter revenue guidance because the company guiding anywhere between 2% and 4% growth year over year for the first quarter. The Street was expecting a decline of 0.24%. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NASDAQ:CSCOLong
by legacyFXofficial
$HUB.TA Outpaces CyberSecurity Sector Ahead of NASDAQ ListingAfter hitting dramatic lows in June that saw the ^IXIC (Nasdaq Comp. Index) down >30% YTD, Nasdaq and the tech sector as a whole has witnessed a bullish rally over the past month. Despite some of the tech giants missing the mark on Q2 earnings, Nasdaq has enjoyed robust capital inflows in the past month as investor sentiment begins to improve. The passage of the US CHIPS Act last week was seen by many tech investors as a windfall for the semiconductor, chips, and computing industry thanks to upcoming subsidies and governmental incentives for domestic manufacturers; this legislative action has infused some confidence into the broader market. One area of the broader tech space that has consistently traded strongly despite poor performance this year are cyber security stocks. The rising trend of offensive cyber operations targeting public and private actors alike has reinforced the critical need for cyber defensive architecture. The HXR Cyber ETF as well as RDWR are +12% and +8.3% respectively, closely tracking QQQ's +12% jump the past month. Other have shown more modest growth, such as PANQ (+2%) and CHKP (+2.6%). And then onto the outliers. FTNT got hammered in August with 12% losses due to erroneous revenue guidance issued by management on top of some analyst downgrades to overvalued. In other words, looks like Fortinet is going through a short-term correction. Our bullish outlier is HUB Security, as Israeli confidential computing equity that is in the final stages of completing a SPAC-driven NASDAQ listing. HUB shares on TASE are up 38% in the past month and continuing to climb as more investors jump on board in anticipation of the company's much-vaunted US listing.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by dave_kellr85
aapl showing how broader market will fareim depending on this large cap value in tech to lead the way for the rest of the market as a bellweather in technology. if we fall beneath pivot to start testing sss signal as resistance and it turns red were headed for daily consolidation in tech and the broader market, probably testing that ma as support. if we keep a green signal, and hold pivot testing as support we should move toward upper horizontals as long as we do not h/s around potential neckline.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by cerealpatterns
NASDAQ near upside targetThe NASDAQ just about reached the weekly 55EMA and retraced slightly . It cleared the 13K resistance and 13.2K resistance as well. Still bullish in the weekly technical indicators. The daily chart breaks down the week, with a early week pull back and some volatility and a weak retest of the gap; and then the mid-week bullish spike to break 13K. These were expected last weekend in the previous post. Similarly, the technical indicators were waning in acceleration and this is observed again in the last week. What makes it a little uncomfortable is the Friday candle... one that is suggesting indecision. So, I would start being cautious really. Reading two things now: a pop up spike to about 13,500, and then some retracement should set in.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Auguraltrader