ETSY reversal in motion?ETSY Daily TF
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Analysis
Etsy holding a strong support trendline with a gap to fill at 181.61. Convertible offering yesterday caused the stock to drop nearly 4% after hours. However, $ETSY was quickly bought up today and closed strong above yesterdays (6/8/2020) close. Getting close to crossing the 20d ema and looking primed to retest that downtrend resistance line. Ideally would like to see a strong push over 175 and hold for continuation. Long Term outlook is looking stronger with recent acquisition of Depop.
Targets: 181, 190+
Key Levels
Support: 162, 153.86
Resistance: 172.58, 175.50, 181
Trade Ideas
1. Shares
2. 1-2+ week out calls (atm/ otm)
Technology
Quisitive Technologies, $QUIS.V Bottom In? Utilizing Linear Regression at Standard Deviations at 3,2,1,-1,-2,-3 You should see these data lines captures the trading range of Quis. The Time of the plot was adjusted to 175 to best capture what I think is the relevant data lines capturing the tops and *perhaps* now the bottom.
I have personally added here to a long position. Last week and today. The Link below is to my notes on the most recent earnings call. It can provide more colour as to how we got to where we are today. There is further work on my substack to add even more of a background.
Please do your own DD and follow your trading rules before entering.
All the best,
Luke
WINT - Ready to Double 😵-Windtree Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:WINT) shares are trading higher by 32% at $2.63 in Friday's premarket session after Oppenheimer initiated coverage on the stock with an Outperform rating and an $8 price target.
-Windtree Therapeutics is a development-stage biotechnology company focused on developing KL4 surfactant therapies for respiratory diseases. The company's technology platform includes a synthetic, peptide-containing surfactant and novel drug delivery technologies that deliver aerosolized KL4 surfactant without invasive procedures.
-Windtree's development program utilizing its proprietary technology platform is AEROSURF that is being developed for the treatment of respiratory distress syndrome in premature infants. It operates in the business segment of research and development of products focused on surfactant therapies for respiratory disorders and diseases, and the manufacture and commercial sales of approved products.
Looking For CHNTECH Bullish Signal On HourlyCHNTECH is in the bullish area on the daily chart on the left. A bullish cross of EMAs and stochastic potentially align short-term traders with the daily. If signals occur, movement of stochastic to 80 level and maintenance of that level increase chance of a successful trade. Trend following indicators may be useful in this case as a potential exit tool. Stop under hourly low in conjunction with risk management techniques.
XMR/BTC Atomic Swaps a major bullish technical developmentXMR can now be traded directly to Bitcoin without an intermediary exchange on their native Blockchains using a technology called an Atomic Swap. This differs greatly from other so called swap platforms that only allow internal trading between ERC20 tokens, the major difference being that the XMR/BTC swaps are trading actual coins with their own blockchains not wrapped coins or some other semantics. This has a few major implications for the future price of XMR we will explore in this analysis.
1. XMR/BTC Swaps are being added to both XMR Wallets such as Monerujo as well as popular Bitcoin wallets such as Samurai wallet. Greatly expanding the exposure of Monero to many BTC users who will be learning about its competitive features for the first time so we should expect some uptake of Monero from simple exposure as well as the low cost and ease diversifying some BTC to XMR. Many users find getting Monero more difficult than other tokens because exchanges like Coinbase do not list it even though they would like to have exposure.
2. This technology increases the regulatory resilience of privacy tokens because now anyone with XMR can get BTC and vice versa easily so banning privacy coins has no effect unless you ban all coins which can be traded for privacy coins through atomic swaps. Regulators have to balance the need to trace all transactions with protecting users against having their information exposed to bad actors and front runners. Monero has the ability to be semi transparent so users can pay taxes audit balances without giving everyone access to the sensitive user information. Monero will provide users the important protections they deserve and push regulators to take a balanced measured approach.
3. Monero fees are significantly lower than Bitcoins fees which means in any situation where both BTC and XMR are accepted users would be inclined to use the XMR to save the large fee. XMR is the only POW coins with such low fees and no ico, dev tax, pre mine, masternode, presale where in Monero everyone mines equally ( a key to bitcoins success and the thermodynamic underpinnings of the economic system ) which will in turn incentivize users to pay with Monero not Bitcoin.
4. It is cheaper for users to HODL Monero and convert it to Bitcoin where necessary than to HODL Bitcoin and convert it to Monero when necessary. Imagine Bob wants to buy steam cards and the site accepts both BTC and Monero. Bob realizes that when he pays with BTC his transaction fee is almost $20 and that when he pays with XMR his transaction fee is more like $0.2 but another site that Bob uses frequently accepts just Bitcoin. Bob realizes that if he keeps his money in Bitcoin it will cost him a high transaction fee every time he wants to convert it to Monero so he would never save anything by using Monero to buy his Steam cards because hed have to create Bitcoin transactions which defeats the point because now your paying $20 to convert the BTC into XMR and again to send the XMR to the merchant. By contrast if he keeps his money in Monero he will save where Monero is accepted and it will cost him just $0.2 to convert his Monero into Bitcoin when he needs or wants to.
5. Tari is a platform for issuing tokens ( like erc20) as an XMR sidechain. The atomic swaps will allow for easy conversion between Monero, Tari based tokens and Bitcoin without an intermediary. Most token platforms will be inclined to convert their platform over to Tari from ETH or Binance because its far more decentralized, easy to convert to both BTC and Monero, the tokens can be private or transparent and the transaction fees are much lower than ETH gas.
This also applies to Monero based alt coins such as WoWnero which can adopt the swap technology as well. ( If you use alts look for ones with no dev tax, presale, ico, POS, premine but rather a coin which everyone even the creators mine equally )
It's just the beginning of the 3rd wave of Elliottcrab harmonic pattern:
AB=0.61 XA
BC~0.88 AB
tp1=1.6 BC=$21.7
tp2=2.6 BC=$55
tp3=1.6 XA=$61
tp3=3.6 BC=$142
$PUBM Lockup ends June 1 which should help complete Downtrend$PUBM Will be adding this to my watchlist. Very oversold. Lockup agreement ends June 1 which should help us complete the downtrend. Upcoming investor conference June 9. Low shares-float and high short-float of 46%. Great risk to reward if position managed properly.
www.sec.gov
twitter.com
Intel just popped through a resistance lineThere's some chatter in both the US and Europe about subsidizing chip manufacturing to help deal with the semiconductor shortage. That has sent chip stocks surging today, including Intel. I like Intel a lot, because it's quite reasonably valued for a chip company and has lots of plans for expanding its manufacturing capacity, which means it's poised to be a big beneficiary from any subsidies. Here are some vital statistics:
forward p/e: 12
forward p/s: 3
p/fcf: 12
forward div yield: 2.6%
patents per year per B$ market cap: 14
upside to median 4-year valuation: 8%
upside to average analyst price target: 20%
average S&P Global fundamentals rating: 70/100
average analyst score: 8/10
esg score: above average
put-call ratio: 0.9
Honestly, I think this is a long-term buy-and-hold. I had hoped for a dip to $52.20, but it looks like we may not get that low. Look for a close above resistance as confirmation of a breakout here. If we pull back and close below the resistance line, that's a signal that we may continue down to $52.20 after all.
AMD JUST BROKE A 2 MONTH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE!(NorCan we see 20 percent gains, yesterday was a strong move to the upwards, especially since it broke the triangle's upper trendline (notice the high volume)
Btw, I would recommend keeping ROCK on your watchlist, its on the verge of breaking out of a symetrical triangle too!
Follow and like if you like what u see :)
Nasdaq 100 price projection experimentHey there!
Sharing some thoughts on what's driving Nasdaq 100 price. Simple answer is Capital, but what can we see on chart?
March 2020 was a volume epicenter, it's significant enough to be called a starting point. Since then, price was on the rise, but volume peaked lower and lower, especially on market sell-offs.
The colored fan is projecting sentiment on market and economy. As price increase starts to slow, we're entering new zone of less positive sentiment. But anything can happen, and we might repeat a similar pattern as in summer of 2019.
Let me know what you think and let's see what happens.
Vova
Buying the dip on PRGSNasdaq's sharp drop is creating a few buying opportunities in tech, but I think you have to be choosy. One that I like is Progress Software, which is sitting at 200 EMA support and near trend line support, with a forward P/E of 12 and a 1.8% dividend yield. Progress is fairly innovative, with 3 patents per year per billion dollars of market cap, and it's a growing company, with about 3% annual earnings and free cash flow growth. It's trading at about a 14% discount to its median earnings date price multiple of the last 4 years, and about a 37% discount to the average annual price target.
Sentiment on Progress is positive. Put/call ratio is bullish at .43, and it just launched a new product (latest release of Kendo UI, with lots of new features) just this morning. The analyst rating score is 8.9/10, a strong buy. Earnings outlook is positive. Here's the presser on the Kendo UI launch:
investors.progress.com
Space Aliens and Lockheed MartinSpace Aliens and Lockheed Martin
Within this brief essay on Lockheed Martin we are going to discuss technicals and fundamentals.
Fundamentals:
F-35 Concerns. For months the press has been all over Lockheed for many technical issues with the F-35, and policy makers have been hitting on the cost of the F-35.
(Citation) www.defensenews.com
Here is a quote from NBC: "And even the relatively low $80 million-per-F-35 price tag is deceptive, because the F-35 has proven so expensive and challenging to maintain that every hour an F-35 is flown costs $36,000 on average, compared to $22,000 for an F-16. By an alternate metric, the F-35 is over three times more expensive per hour to fly."
UFO Fragments Are Likely In Lockheed Martin’s Possession, Says Ex-Sen. Harry Reid
(Citation) deadline.com
In this day and age of meme stocks, let's explore some of the additional hype around this topic.
The space alien article is from Deadline, and in and of itself is not very meaningful on first glance. However its essential that we then evaluate the avalanche of additional information that has hit us on this Space Alien topic.
“Dr. Xinli Wei, a microbiologist from the Chinese Academy of Science; Dr. Rudolph Schild, an astrophysicist from Harvard-Smithsonian; and Dr. Rhawn Gabriel Joseph, also known as the Space Tiger King, were the ones who made the claims following study of images snapped by the Curiosity rover of NASA on Mars and the orbiting craft, HiRISE. Their study, Fungi on Mars? Evidence of Growth and Behavior From Sequential Images, published in published in the Advances in Microbiology journal and is presently accessible via a reprint, which has been met with skepticism from the scientific community, contends that what NASA identified as rocks are in fact, fungus-like samples that grow in the Martian landscape.The three experts also claimed that the said mushrooms appeared to shrink, appear and disappear over a number of days, weeks, and even months. In one instance, the team said there is evidence of fungi similar to Puffballs on this planet "re-sprouting" in tracks that the NASA Curiosity rover left behind.
(Citation) www.sciencetimes.com
The NYT article advising a DOD employee saying the US has “Off-World Vehicles Not Made on This Earth” And yes Harry Reid was all over getting the budget approved in the black budget of the Pentagon.
(Citation) www.popularmechanics.com
www.nytimes.com
(Citation) www.nytimes.com
The Recent New Yorker article just data dumping a concatenation of events throughout history
(Citation) www.newyorker.com
Additional comments from the DOD/Navy confirming additional UAP sightings as valid.
(Citation) www.cnn.com
(Citation) www.cnn.com
Scientific America commenting on the signal we received supposedly from a nearby star system (ironically the closest one to us) this needs to be peer reviewed a lot more, but for a prestigious scientific publication to be talking about an alien species and advising us that they are most likely "boring?"
(Citation) www.scientificamerican.com
Harvard's Professor advising Aliens already gave us a drive by. And he is essentially saying the scientific community played ostrich if you read his book.
(Citation) nypost.com
Most recent Director of National Intelligence (Literally controlled intelligence agencies like the CIA) saying...they are real and they are happening all over the planet? Oh and his last two predecessors say the same thing...
(Citation) www.washingtonexaminer.com
(Citation) www.washingtonpost.com
Negative news is that Marco Rubio advised the UFO report may be delayed, but if that is to add additional content that may not be all that terrible
(Citation) wreg.com
Israeli space security chief says extraterrestrials exist, and Trump knows about it
(Citation) www.nbcnews.com
(Citation) www.wsj.com
Ex-CIA director believes UFOs could exist after pal’s plane ‘paused'
(Citation) nypost.com
So after spending years researching the topic since the insane 2017 NYT bombshell drop ( www.nytimes.com ) the top three additional comments are:
They have taken down our nuclear inventory. Yes you may have noticed every source here could be included in any academic publication, and yes you read that correctly. They have shut down nukes, which is an act of war.
(Citation) www.cbsnews.com
(Citation) www.newyorker.com
They seem to dwell, or spend an unusually large amount of time in the ocean
There are countless examples including almost all authenticated DOD videos, and the Navy comment in politico advising the regular activity with oceans, and the Puerto Rico DOD video, along with the recent Hawaii confirmed video. These things seem to abide in the water - Top Gun Pilot Cmdr Favor from the Nimitz event encountered one 50ft above the ocean and he states it was above a much larger craft that was in the ocean. You can listen to Chris Mellon and other insiders to get a better perspective, but this is odd.
(Citation) www.wwlp.com
Final concern was Donald Trumps comment when asked about it on Fox news near the end of his presidency. (This issue is bipartisan as we are all on team humanity) he countered the question by advising how "tough and great" our military is. And if you listen to Chris Mellon and Lue Elizondo and other insiders I think the 'sad' truth is what we find out in the June report (This comment is speculation) the military is going to confirm the phenomena is real to the senate (although they already have been to publications) they are going to need more money and funding, and they are going to say they do not know who is piloting them, or continue to be vague about it. The concern is our military and tech are not transmedian, or entirely invisible, powered with a propulsion system that can go over 3,000g's
(Video Interview New York Post) www.youtube.com
(Citation) www.c4isrnet.com
My recommendation is just play the hype in this new day & age of meme 'stonks'. Even if ALL of this does not materialize and it is all fake - the rumor itself about Lockheed having alien tech is real, and the company is well run. I am long LMT from buying the dip and will continue to accumulate if we experience any further dips.
We can clearly see here that technically the trend has changed. The ema ribbon has "fipped" and to overly simplify this.. the lines are point up.
Additional Reading Material on F-35A:
breakingdefense.com
www.thedrive.com
Recommend for those with further interest in researching the metamaterials that they are testing now as well. The leading researcher advised it was assembled at the "subatomic level" and "assembled in space".
If you enjoyed this content friends, and if you have ever seen a UFO/UAP/USO (yes USO, submergibles/transmedian!!) please be sure to share it with others! And please hit this with a like! Lockheed Martin is my favorite play when it comes to trading off the revelation that aliens are real.
For swing traders, easy target at $420
BTC/USDThe reason why i see so many changes in this speculative market is that there will so much to accumulate in nearest term base on this observation seen above here. i think there will be a return for the 65k resistance which it's a brilliant point to takeout HODL"S..
Monitor the next moves properly there's going to be an early observation at that arrow pointing down.
I think you buy IBM and hold it for a decadeIBM dipped after its earnings report Friday and now sits at an important support level. While I'd love for it to dip to $110 or even $100 so I could place a larger buy order there, I have my doubts that it will dip that far. Dips have been hard to come by in this bull market. And while IBM had a disappointing quarter, executives forecasted that it will be back on track to sustainable revenue growth by the end of the year.
For a technology stock, IBM is surprisingly inexpensive. I've currently got the stock's forward P/E at about 10.5, and forward P/S at about 1.4. Compare that to, say, Microsoft with a forward P/E over 30 and a forward P/S over 10. In addition to providing a good earnings yield, I forecast that IBM will yield 5.8% in dividends over the next year. Overall, I estimate that IBM has over 17% upside to its median price-to-value ratio of the last four years.
The reason IBM is so cheap is that its EBITDA per share has been in a long, slow slide for the last ten years. For the last four years, EBITDA has shrunk over 1% per year. Sales growth over the last four years was barely positive, with a growth rate of 0.01%. However, I'm not convinced that these are the most relevant numbers. EBITDA is not a very good measure of profitability, and in fact its current popularity in the investment world is a bit worrisome. A better metric is IBM's free cash flow, which has grown about 0.5% per year over the last four years. And its dividend has grown about 1% per year. So personally I think the company has already turned a corner to the upside in terms of profitability. Plus, IBM has unusually good ESG ratings and generally positive market sentiment, with put/call ratios looking quite bullish and average analyst price target 15% above the current price.
Most importantly, I think IBM has incredible potential as a technology leader. They've had more patents than any other company, by a wide margin, for 27 years running. They're averaging 82 patents per year per billion dollars of market cap, which means you're buying an incredible amount of cutting-edge technology for the price you pay. Of the companies I follow, the next best value in terms of patents-to-market-cap is HPE, with just 26 patents-per-year-per-billion. And IBM's patents are in potentially world-changing fields, like AI and quantum computing. This is by far the best value in the market for a Singularity technology play. And that, more than anything else, is why I think you buy IBM here and hold it for a decade.
IBM has crossed into the lower half of its ten-year triangle and has fairly good risk-reward within the triangle from here. Assuming it eventually breaks out of the triangle to the upside, I'd expect it to eventually recapture its 2012 highs over $200 per share.
SNAP Buy setupSnapchat parent company Snap Inc (NYSE:SNAP) showed strength in its advertising revenue in the first quarter. Analysts saw many positives from the quarterly earnings report.
Snap's first quarter checked all three boxes of revenue, users and EBITDA that Nowak was watching.
Snap’s advertiser base nearly doubled year-over-year in the first quarter. Up-front advertiser commitments grew by more than 50%, including a tripling of year-over0year up-front commitments for commercials from branded advertisers.
With initiatives like SNAP’s partnership with Gannett helping in developing relationships with SMBs across North America and integrating those businesses into products like Snap Map.
Snap has great potential technically and fundamentally for share price growth.
QCOM Qualcomm (long)Danger line, (red slashes)
the price should not drop from this line
it would not be good.
Any close above $135
means QCOM Still bullish
To me the goal is at $147
If you want to trade my recommendation is, in short term
buy at $133 sell at $ 140.5
invest at your risk trading is not probability, it is not certainty but possibilities
You can loose money. Times now are very risky for traders
Good luck
Charlie