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$SQ can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Square, Inc. provides, together with its subsidiaries, payment, and point-of-sale solutions in the United States and internationally. On 29 May Zacks Equity Research published in its article that Wall Street expects good earnings of the company on 06 May. It caused a rise in the share price. At the and of the day the demand for shares of the company looked higher than the supply. These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $66,01; stop-loss — $63,39. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:SQLong
by KozakHlib
$LRCX can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Lam Research Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, refurbishes, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits worldwide. On 29 May the company entries on the list of Best Dividend Stocks for May 2020 in Investopedia. It causes a rise in the share price. At the and of the day the demand for shares of the company looked higher than the supply. These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $281,43; stop-loss — $271,49. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NASDAQ:LRCXLong
by KozakHlib
IT IS TIME TO SHORT $ZMContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Zoom Video Communications, Inc. provides a video-first communications platform in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Shareholder rights law firm Johnson Fistel, LLP reminds investors that a class action lawsuit has been filed against Zoom Video Communications — finance.yahoo.com Zoom made materially false and misleading statements about privacy of zoom-conferences etc. The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply. This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days. I had opened a long position three times, but everything had changed. So I opened a short position from $135,4; stop-loss — $143,80. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NASDAQ:ZMShort
by KozakHlib
SPX trend line breach may signal breakdown pointIf you've been following my previous thread, you know that I've been watching the 50-day EMA and the 200-day EMA as possible reversal levels for this rally in the S&P 500. We eventually pushed past the 50-day (green curve), but yesterday we got rejected from a test of the 200-day (dark blue curve), and now we've violated the upward trend line (light blue line) that SPX has formed on its hourly chart over the last month. (In addition to technical resistance from the 200-day EMA, we also hit a fib retracement level and a couple important psychological resistance levels on the fundamental side-- 20-22.5 forward P/E, market cap 140% of GDP-- so there are lots of reasons to reverse from here). In my past experience with trend line breakdowns, the price often moves back above the trend line at least one more time, and then it either holds there or reconfirms the breakdown. That's already happened, as you can see on the zoomed-in chart: It's possible that we will move above the trend line again and retest the 200-day EMA before breaking decisively below the trend line, but personally I have already purchased puts. In terms of fundamentals, the overall news environment is starting to shift in a more negative direction, I think. Over the past month, the market has been driven by government stimulus, decent tech earnings, and optimism around reopening. It has mostly shrugged off bad news such 30 million job losses, a spate of corporate bankruptcies, and a flood of worse-than-expected 1Q economic data. Now, however, we're turning our attention to Q2. Q1 GDP fell only 4.8%, whereas Q2 GDP is forecast to fall 27.7%. The earnings numbers for Q2 are going to hurt a lot more than those for Q1, especially due to companies' high borrowing costs. Analysts are also predicting another rash of bankruptcies and debt offerings in May. Cities and states may announce new taxes to offset budget shortfalls. Meanwhile, the Fed is out of interest rate ammunition and slowing its balance sheet expansion. There's a bailout for oil likely coming in the next few days, and possibly an infrastructure bill in the longer-term pipeline, but federal stimulus is slowing down as the economy reopens. And if China's experience is anything to go by, reopening will be slow, with lots of logistical bottlenecks and false starts. Demand will stay weak because consumers are out of cash. Some states will reopen too early and have to go back into quarantine within a few weeks. I think we will retest the March low in coming months as investors realize the scale of the economic damage and that it's not a temporary thing. Big tech, I think will continue to outperform due to persistent fear of Covid-19. Airlines and cruise lines will continue to struggle, with some likely filing for bankruptcy in the coming year. Banks will remain hard-hit and highly risky due to continued default risk.
SP:SPXShort
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
12
$AYX can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Alteryx, Inc. provides an end-to-end analytics platform for data analysts and scientists worldwide. The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply. This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position from $109,6; Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
AShort
by KozakHlib
Activision - Possible BreakoutFor the past week and a half, ATVI has successfully consolidated in the highlighted zone. With the Call of Duty Mobile World Championship kicking off on April 30th presented by SNE and lasting until May 24th, the price may breakout upwards on investor confidence of the revenue generated by the broadcasting of the Championship this upcoming week. Also with the stay at home order in place for the time being people are playing more video games than ever and will continue to do so in the foreseeable future as technology continues to advance and the coming releases of the PS5 (SNE), and the Xbox Series X (MSFT) on the horizon.
NASDAQ:ATVILong
by TradingGuru14
3
Another speculative bubble: Alcatel-Lucent [Banking] [Crypto]First... a little introduction about mainstream speculation, then I will talk about 50 year market cycles, and then about banking & currencies. Coronavirus: The "best" models by "the brightest minds" predicted - taking into account lockdown & social distancing - "tens of millions of deaths". MrRenev predicted - it's only a few months old - that this was extremely exagerated. By Late April, 200,000 people have died. The rate is high in cold countries (~40°N, interestingly this is New York and Rome latitudes), I think deaths of colds by this coronavirus are as high as all other colds combined. Anyway, I got alot of heat but I was right, as usual. I also predicted that lockdown was useless and did no good (but does a whole lot of harm), and I will soon compare lockdown countries to non lockdown ones to show it, plus studies will say the same thing, same old, same old. A study has shown New York had several millions infected! More than 1 in 5! (As I predicted...got patronized and everything but I was right - AGAIN! - so don't mind me if I am arrogant and condescending). Cough cough: 11,544 deaths in New York City 15,740 in the New York state A death rate around .5%, it's a little higher than other places, but it's pretty cold there, and air quality isn't great, and americans are fat so obviously it will be worse. Also there is another reason why the rate could be higher there but I won't even mention it because the USA sees racism everywhere and they still control the world (not for long ;}) and I can't be bothered. I had the numbers for all colds but idk where they are now, but for the flu & pneumonia last years they were almostas many deaths as for covid-19 alone. And if I remember correctly covid-19 had about as many deaths as all colds combined. So it's pretty big but way smaller than all the clowns predicted. "Low end mortality prediction 3%, but could be as high as 10%" "Worse than the spanish flu" "Deadlier than feared" LMAO clowns! CO2 : Sigh. CO2 will kill us all. Another pathetic dogma and ridiculous calls. "World hunger will be extreme", actually earth population went up exponentially and hunger went down even in nominal terms. 30-50 years ago: "Temperature will go up 5 to 15 degrees" (15? really? Chimp). Went up 1 degree. In the North Hemisphere. And 0 in oceans & around the equator. 0.5 overall. They're desperate to make "adjustment" to make it look worse lmao, but then there are inconsistency and they deviate from other measurements and other countries etc and keep coming up with excuses to cover up their previous lies. "12 years left" We've had 12 years left for the past 30 years boy. Terrible, really terrible calls. I could make a long list. There are really funny ones, well they're all funny, another example is the "end of the world millenium bug", heard of that one? Oh, every one knows this one :"The Titanic is unskinkable" OOOH MY this one DID NOT AGE WELL! "Prosperity Will Never End" (1929). "We have to transitions to renewables because our advanced economics predict Oil will cost $380 a barrel in 10 years and it's fundamentally impossible we are wrong" (economists in 2005 - barrel priced at minus 40 a few days ago and Trump fighting to keep the long term price above 20 bucks). Cycles: So I remind you, 1780-1830: Steam Engine, Mechanisation 1830-1880: Railway, Steel, Comm (telegraphs), ( Start of wageslavery ) 1880-1930: Electricity, Chemicals, Heavy Engineering 1930-1975: Automobiles, Oil, Mass Production & Consumerism 1975-2020: IT, Comm (satelittes, computers, internet, phones) 2020-2060: Banking (& Currencies), Health (billions of obese...), ( Decline of Wageslavery/Change in Work structure ) Comm continued between 1880 and 1975 and was growing before 1830, but it made its biggest revolutionnary gains in the 2 periods mentionned I think. Idk maybe traders are communists after all, alot want freedom and hate the exploitation of man by man, the difference with official commies is we are smart enough to understand freedom comes from making money by yourself (profit) not by electing dictators that control everything and put chains around your neck (so obvious...). Banking & Currencies : A banking revolution is necessary, by revolution I mean changing this rotten system completely. All this money printing... In the US retail banks are making ridiculous loans to uneducated people that won't ever be able to pay, squeezing them, and then taking away their houses and more... Cryptocurrencies were the earliest element in this new banking Kondratiev cycle, like computers of the 60s (first popular computer game spacewar that you might have heard of run on a 1960 model), and the space race. If you stored very pricey Disk Storage Drives and CRAM from 1962 you might be able to sell a few to collectors but that's it. Wouldn't get your money back and I didn't say inflation adjusted. Companies are developping in this area, I mean quick payments, they're starting to replace banks. There are issues but it's growing. I better perform well in this cycle and know what to invest in, I can proudly say I am an engineer in security & electronic payments, isn't that funny, in another life I might have been part of the next bubble, at least I learned something useful at school. Forgot it all thought. So anyway ye, all those mobile phone companies, and optic cable companies (Alcatel was both), went way way down. Mobile phones got really big, optic fiber too, doesn't mean their share price HAVE to go up, if they started already 500% too high duh, and there are other factors. People are so dumb. That's why it is called dumb money. Finance is getting more and more complex, probably because of the Flynn effect, mmm because the smart are getting smarter and the dumb are getting dumber. And people are getting fatter and fatter + the world is open so diseases can spread on easy mode. Plague inc casual difficulty. Next big things banking/currencies/and even the rest of finance, and Health / bio-tech. The cattle that gets excited and greedy about potential profit and becomes obsessed and blinded with reasons to go up (the halving, bakkt, cme futures, etc) will get slaughtered and turned into delicious steaks, smart money will keep profitting I wonder... finance becoming more advanced efficient complex... Gives an even bigger edge to the smart. And dum dums get punished harder (as Robinhood users positions demonstrate). The dum dums breed like rats, the smart (especially women) not much... So this means more brainlets money to end in the pocket of less smart players. And all the little cockroaches that were cheating before everything got computerised (floor traders) stopped making money so now only pure skill / smarts is rewarded. The smart can make more money but then have to pay for dum dums that can't even survive on their own. And get dumber and so on. Without brains humans are just animals that don't run fast and aren't very strong. Nothing is more risible that delusional dumb money that gets blinded by 1 fact and ignore everything else and gets excited. The Alcatel chart, like many others, is not available anymore. There is still a remnant on the Istanbul Stock Exchange. Those bubbles, those dumb money movements happen ALL THE TIME. And they never learn, and it gets forgotten, and it's always the same story. And they are cocky when the price goes up, and they are persuaded they can't be wrong, and they get wiped out and turn silent. History will keep repeating itself for a long long time. Don't be one of those idiot gamblers. Investing and speculating take a very large amount of learning and a very large amount of thinking. This is what happens to gamblers 99.999% of the time:
EURONEXT:ENEducation
by MrRenev
2
$GLOB can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Globant S.A. offers machine learning, pattern recognition, natural language understanding, future of organizations, customer insight, behavioral change, product innovation, design thinking, product management discovery and delivery, and product coaching services. The company announced that it expects first-quarter 2020 revenues to be at least $190 million, implying at least 30.0% year-over-year growth and that it continues to expect first-quarter 2020 adjusted diluted EPS to be at least $0.62 — finance.yahoo.com This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $97,43; stop-loss — $93,74. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:GLOBLong
by KozakHlib
Ahrvo Weekly Sector Rankings: 4/20/2020Earnings season is well underway. For Q1 2020, 45 S&P 500 companies have reported earnings. Of the companies that have reported, 66% have reported a positive EPS surprise (beat earnings expectations) and 70% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive revenue surprise (beat revenue expectations). The earnings decline for Q1 2020 thus far has clocked in at -14.5%, which would make it the largest earnings decline for the S&P 500 since Q3 2009. Revenue growth has averaged .6%. All sectors have a slower growth rate than they did on March 31st. The stock market’s performance continues to deviate from economic fundamentals/ Eventually, that will need to be reconciled. Over the next week, 96 companies are expected to report, providing additional clarity on the state of corporate America. According to Factset, the net income margin (a measure of profitability) for S&P 500 companies has fallen to 9.4% based on reported Q1 results. This is below the 5-year average of 10.6%. The fall in profitability did not start this quarter. S&P 500 companies’ net income margins (profitability) have declined for the last four quarters. The largest decrease in profitability has been experienced by cyclical sectors- Financials (down 60%), Energy (down 250%), Consumer Discretionary (down 155%), Industrials (down 136%), and Materials (down 21%). Defensive sectors profitability has held up much better- Consumer Staples (down 3%), Healthcare (down 5%), Technology (down 3%), and Utilities (up 1%). Overall, analysts expect net margins to decrease in the 2nd quarter and make a rebound in the 3rd and 4th quarter of 2020. For the first time in two weeks, all S&P 500 companies did not have a positive price performance. By and large, defensive sectors outperform cyclical sectors. Signaling that investors are becoming more cautious as the stock market continues to rise. Defensive sectors- healthcare (ticker: XLV), consumer staples (ticker: XLP), Utilities (ticker: XLU), and technology (ticker: XLK) returned 6.5% (outperform), 2.9% (outperform), -1.1% (underperform), and 2.9% (outperform). Cyclical sectors- consumer discretionary(ticker: XLY), energy (ticker: XLE), financial (ticker: XLF), materials (ticker: XLB), and industrial (ticker: XLI) returned 4.1% (outperform), -2.7% (underperform), -2.4% (underperform), -2.4%, and .2%, respectively. The S&P 500 (ticker: SPY) was up 2.3%. Over the last month, the S&P 500 is up ~17% while the U.S. economy has lost 22 million jobs- more than erasing the jobs created over the last decade’s economic expansion. The decrease in earnings, coupled with the rise in stock prices has led to the S&P 500’s multiple to expand. Making stocks more expensive at a time when economic uncertainty is at an all-time high. The forward 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 18.5x. This P/E ratio is above the 5-year average (16.7x) and above the 10-year average (15x). Analysts project that Q2 earnings will decline by -26.6% and a revenue decline of -5.7%. For Q3, analysts are projecting an earnings decline of -13.3% and a revenue decline of -1.6%. Things are expected to improve in the last quarter of the year, with earnings expected to fall -4.8% and revenue expected to increase to 1.1%. However, I would not be surprised in Q4 estimates get revised downwards as analysts tend to overestimate future expectations. Going forward, I expect the S&P 500’s P/E ratio to contract to at least its 5-year average and for stock prices to fall. Defensive sectors should continue to outperform cyclicals, as fundamentals deteriorate. -Appo Agbamu, CFA Ahrvo Score (Overall Score) 1)Utilities (no change) 2)Technology (no change) 3)Consumer Staples (no change) 4)Industrials (no change) 5)Consumer Discretionary (⬆️1 spot) 6)Financials (⬇️1 spot) 7)Basic Materials (no change) 8)Health Care (no change) 9)Energy (no change) Momentum Score 1)Utilities (no change) 2)Healthcare (no change) 3)Technology (⬆️1 spot) 4)Consumer Staples (⬇️1 spot) 5)Basic Materials (no change) 6)Industrials (no change) 7)Consumer Discretionary (⬆️1 spot) 8)Financials (⬇️1 spot) 9)Energy (no change) Growth Score 1)Financials (no change) 2)Industrials (no change) 3)Technology (no change) 4)Consumer Discretionary (no change) 5)Consumer Staples (no change) 6)Utilities (no change) 7)Health Care (no change) 8)Basic Materials (no change) 9)Energy (no change) Quality Score 1)Consumer Discretionary (no change) 2)Industrials (⬆️1 spot) 3)Consumer Staples (⬇️1 spot) 4)Technology (no change) 5)Utilities (no change) 6)Financials (no change) 7)Energy (no change) 8)Basic Materials (no change) 9)Health Care (no change) Value Score 1)Industrials (no change) 2)Consumer Discretionary (no change) 3)Financials (no change) 4)Utilities (no change) 5)Energy (no change) 6)Consumer Staples (no change) 7)Basic Materials (⬆️1 spot) 8)Technology (⬇️1 spot) 9)Health Care (no change) This material is for informational purposes only. Under no circumstances should any information or materials presented be used or construed as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities, financial instruments, investments or other services. Any investment made is at your sole discretion. There are many factors that you must consider when making an investment decision, including, but not limited to, product features, risks, whether or not an investment meets your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and other personalized factors. Investing in securities involves risks, and there is always the potential of losing your entire investment.
AMEX:SPY
by AhrvoStockApp
1