NVIDIA Incredible strength long-term. Is $1100 realistic?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) gave us a great bottom buy entry last time (October 22) we made a call on it and invalidated the Head and Shoulders pattern (see chart below):
This time we look at it on the 1W time-frame where it is on the 4th straight green weekly candle, approaching the Higher Highs trend-line. The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) provide Support, while the 1W RSI is on a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down) but the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
The last we had the above combination of indicators, was February 16 2021. At the time, the 1W MACD failed to make the Bullish Cross and the stock pulled back to the 1W MA50 but when it formed the Cross on April 12 2021, it broke above the Higher Highs. What followed was a 7-month rally to the -0.618 Fibonacci extension.
As you can see, the symmetry between the two fractals is striking. When the MACD Bullish Cross takes place, we would assume a similar rise and the -0.618 Fib target will be at $1100. Is that in your opinion realistic for Q3 2024?
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Technologystocks
Oracle potential correction is ON 🚨#usstock :: NYSE:ORCL
#dyor :: ORACLE
Present I am bearish 📍 on it 👍
I belive top is completed 📌
Now 35-45% potential drop we will see
Based on drop and pump 📌 we can decide macro top completed 📌 or not 🚫
Present my target is :: $80-90
( be in follow article under this post update will be provided )
APPLE Last BUY opportunity before a new 18 month expansion.Last time we looked into Apple (AAPL), it was still trading within the 2023 Channel Up (see chart below) and gave us an excellent technical pull-back buy opportunity:
This time the stock is after a 3-month pull-back that is testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 13. On the wider picture of Apple in the last 10 years (1W time-frame), such pull-backs have been nothing more that consolidation phases before the next Expansion (usually 18 month - green arrows) that leads to the eventual peak and a new yearly correction (red arrows).
Those consolidation phases find Support on the 1W MA50 (even the COVID crash broke it just marginally), unlike the yearly corrections which find on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). What's astounding is the frequency of the consolidation pull-backs, which can be very effectively displayed with the use of the Sine Waves. As you can see on our chart, in the last 10 years, all pull-backs to the 1W MA50 after a 1W MA200 rebound, are located at the bottom of the Waves.
This indicates that most likely the current one is over and investors are expected to 'ride' the new 18-month Expansion wave to the new All Time High.
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A Glimpse Into the Future of AI Companies StocksInvesting in AI companies can be a wise decision, but like any investment, it is important to do your research and understand the potential risks and rewards. Companies such as UiPath, Intuitive Surgical, and Palantir Technologies have seen significant growth in recent years, but it is important to consider their market capitalization and share prices before investing.
UiPath, a software automation company, went public in April 2021 with an initial market capitalization of around $36 billion.
Intuitive Surgical, a company that produces surgical robots, has a market capitalization of over $93 billion.
Palantir Technologies, a data analytics company, went public in September 2020 with an initial market capitalization of around $22 billion.
It is also important to consider the rating of the shares and the security of the company before investing. For example, UiPath was rated as a buy by several analysts following its IPO, but investors should also consider the potential risks and competition in the market.
In terms of upcoming IPOs, there are several AI companies that are expected to go public in the near future, including UiPath's competitor Automation Anywhere, online education platform Coursera, Google’s company Waymo, and others.
As with any investment, it is important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions. While the investment potential of these companies is undoubtedly significant, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in new and untested technologies. AI companies are subject to a variety of risks, including regulatory risk, intellectual property risk, and competition from other companies in the sector. As such, investors should carefully consider their investment options and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
In terms of investment potential, it's important to note that investing in AI Companies can be risky, as with any new technology. However, for those willing to take the risk, the potential rewards could be substantial. The key is to do your research and choose companies that have a solid business plan and a proven track record of success. It's also important to keep an eye on the broader market trends and economic indicators, as these can have a significant impact on the success of any investment.
When it comes to security, AI technology is still in its early stages and there are certainly risks involved. However, companies that are dedicated to building secure AI systems and investing in the necessary security measures should be able to mitigate these risks to some extent. It's also important to note that as AI technology continues to evolve, so too will the security measures that are needed to protect it.
As AI technology becomes more advanced and more widely adopted, there will be a growing demand for companies that can provide innovative solutions in this space. This presents a significant opportunity for investors who are willing to take a long-term view and invest in companies that are dedicated to the ongoing development of AI technology.
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Risk Warning
Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses.
Risk Disclaimer!
General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss
Rating: Risky Buy with High Upwards Potential
Risk Disclaimer!
The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
NETFLIX Is the streaming Giant a buy again?Netflix (NFLX) had a great run since our March 23 long (see chart below) and gave us more than +51% return in 4 months:
The long-term pattern remains a Bullish Megaphone and right now the price sits on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) as well as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been unbroken since November 10 2022. On top of that, the 1D RSI is oversold on the 30.00 Support. Last time it was this low (March 10), the Megaphone priced a Higher Low bottom. As you realize, along with the 0.382 Fibonacci, we currently sit on a quadruple level Support Cluster.
Based on the 93 candle (roughly 135 days) rule within this Megaphone, which suggests that at the end of the 93 candle count, NFLX will either be near a High or a Low, we still have around 2 months to call a bottom. As a result, if the 1D MA200 and Megaphone break, we can see a slow descend along the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) and then pick up a reversal.
Either way, the once mighty streaming giant is entering a new long-term Buy Zone. Our target is the 0.786 Fibonacci extension ($587.50) even though we wil most likely see the Megaphone peak higher by Q2 2024.
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Nasdaq (NDX) -> Dump And PumpMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nasdaq.
For more than 10 years the Nasdaq has been trading in a quite obvious rising channel and just recently retested and already perfectly rejected the rising support trendline.
Since the Nasdaq is now retesting the parallel resistance trendline, I first do expect a short term drop to retest the $13.000 support level and then I think that we will see another rally.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
NVDA Great opportunity on the next pull-back of the Channel Up.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the past 4 months with the price currently on its middle, consolidating around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This price struggle to pick up a rebound, resembles the previous bearish leg of the Channel Up, which after a series of Lower Highs, got rejected to form a new bottom (Higher Lows. The 1D MA50 sideways action as halfway through.
We can see a similar consolidation between the 1D RSI structures of the two fractals. The 1D MACD will give a bullish confirmation when it forms a Bullish Cross, but it may a little after the bottom is in, which means you may catch the uptrend on a slightly later stage. In any case it will give a lower risk factor (technically confirmed signal).
We will wait for the price to approach the bottom of the Channel Up, assuming of course it doesn't break below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and target $515.00.
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Broadcom (AVGO) -> Stronger Than NvidiaMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Broadcom.
Over the past 12 months Broadcom stock rallied more than 120% towards the upside, following the major hype in the whole semiconductor and AI sector.
After this recent pump it is quite expected that we will see a short term correction and if Broadcom retests the previous all time high at $630, this will be a perfectly bullish setup.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Intel (INTC) -> Don't Forget This StockMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Intel.
Looking back at January of 2023 - after a massive dump during 2022 - Intel stock perfectly retested and started to reject a major monthly structure level at the $27 level.
With the next clear resistance level being at $46 I am now expecting more upside on Intel stock before we could then see a short term rejection away from the $46 resistance area.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Microsoft (MSFT) -> Retesting The All Time HighMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Microsoft.
Looking at the higher timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock is once again retesting the previous all time high at the $340 resistance level.
Furthermore Microsoft is also creating an ascending triangle formation so I would love to see another bearish rejection and then the longer term bullish breakout.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Shopify Short term Sell Target Off Major Support BounceHI guys, ive been following Shopify (SHOP), since its test of some important SUPPORT. This is a quick update from my previous idea. (Which you can find down below for more context)
We've currently bounced extremely bullish off the SUPPORT level, heading towards a SUpport turned Resistance line associated with the UPTREND channel i identified.
Normally when we break down or break above trend lines, that we have respected for some time. We tend to retrace back to that same line to Re-Test it.
Such is the case for Shopify.
Watch the Volume, an INCREASE/ SPIKE in Volume is absolutely needed to get back ABOVE, resuming our UPTREND.
But due note: we are heading into Labor day weekend, thus RISK of LOW VOLUME.
I would then consider if you were able to take positions from the SUPPORT level bounce
To think about off loading some of your position here.
If we do get back into the UPTREND channel from my previous POST. We can look to take new positions if SUPPORT is CONFIRMED.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on SHOP in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy
NASDAQ - Moon SignalHi everyone,
After a LONG LONG LONG bear market, the time is now to share with you some positive news!
You can hear everywhere the US recession and Im agree with that (too much money has been created since the COVID). So, I expect about a correction during the next months, probably before spring 2024, but it will not a "death" correction until you hit the bottom of the abyss.. it would be probably something like in 2020, March (hard and fast correction)...
BUT
The trend show us that we probably started a new BULLISH Trend ! Is that true?!
Lets see one of my favorite indicator : MA 50 and 200 timeframe 3 days (Usually I use 4 : RSI, Fibonacci, Hash Ribbon timeframe Weekly and MA 50 and 200 timeframe 3 days).
I noticed a new GOLDEN CROSS that appeared very recently... Each time we get this Golden Cross, we has started a great bullish trend. And for more conviction, I'm waiting for a new higher high.
I stay careful until we break the last ATH...
Let's get the ball rolling!
Stay safe!
PS: it's not a Financial Advice.
FIVERR Showing Life @ Bottom Consolidation Zone Hi Guys, Welcome!
This Technical Analysis is about Fiverr (FVRR), its on the 3 Day Timeframe.
Since May 2022, we've been in what i believe to be a BOTTOM consolidation zone.
As you can see we are back around the prices where FVRR first became public.
This is about 90% from the TOP of Feb 2021.
The BOTTOM Zone is shown as the GREEN Rectangle with the RED Borders.
The Upper RED Border indicates MAJOR RESISTANCE
The Lower RED Border indicates MAJOR SUPPORT
I believe price action to be CURRENTLY moving to the BLACK RESISTANCE LINE labeled July 2021, the date being when the resistance first formed.
I believe this to be our current target as we have only touched it 2 times before.
Its been about 1 year since we've INTERACTED with the BLACK RESISTANCE LINE.
When we reach however, we will have to see how PRICE reacts with the BLACK LINE.
Since we have NOT interacted with this LINE 3 or more times, it could be a potential area for a PULL BACK, thus can be a potential SELL ZONE.
NOTE: TREND LINE theory states that for a trend line (whether resistance or support) to be broken, it requires ATLEAST 3 touches.
We have closed our RECENT 3 Day Candle Today, where the head is ABOVE 50 DMA (GREEN MA). Our next candle or couple of candles needs to CONFIRM SUPPORT above the 50 DMA (GREEN MA). Doing so will also add to the PROBABILTY we get to the JULY RESISTANCE.
KEEP IN MIND: If we DO NOT stay above the 50 DMA, we may go back down to test FIRST, the 21 EMA (ORANGE MA), if we fail that then back down to the BLACK or RED SUPPORT lines.
We need to watch how the 21 EMA (ORANGE Moving Average) reacts with the 50 DMA (GREEN Moving average). Note that the GREEN Circle with BLUE Arrow shows that when it CROSSED, PRICE moved UP.
Currently, 21 EMA is curved up, indicating that we may be close to a CROSS. This would be a MAJOR catalyst for BULLISH MOMENTUM.
Notice also how the 50 DMA has been FLAT, this may be an indication of prices stabilizing and a possibility of a BOTTOM.
Take a look at the LOWER BLACK SUPPORT LINE near the LOWER RED BORDER of RECTANGLE.
This LINE coincides with the lower BLACK upsloping line found in RSI.
-> This indicates a BULLISH DIVERGENCE, which is a BULLISH PATTERN where PRICE shows LOWER LOWS as it interacts with BLACK LINE but INDICATOR shows HIGHER LOWS.
On the RSI we are currently peaking our head over our 1st RESISTANCE. In the coming weeks we need to test this as SUPPORT and CONFIRM.
I think though, once we get ABOVE the previous HIGH in the RSI, we may be underway on breaking OUT of the CONSOLIDATION RECTANGLE.
As of posting this, STOCH RSI AND ADX are bothing indicating that we have plenty of MOMENTUM still left in the tank for this current move to continue, strengthening the probabilty we continue up to JULY RESISTANCE.
LASTLY, Notice the ORANGE Trendline labeled "From FEB 2021". This is our MAJOR MAJOR TREND LINE. Above this, we are in a Definite FVRR BULL RUN, in my opinion. It is about a 100% increase from current prices to reach here, to give perspective.
CONCLUSION:
It is likely that FVRR is either in the late stages of BOTTOMING or has already bottomed with its LAST touch of the BLACK SUPPORT LINE. We've been in this range for over 1 year, indicating accumulation. Currently, we may be in the process of moving towards the JULY 2021 Resistance line, and attempt for a TREND CHANGE. Even though traders don't have a crystal ball, evidence in the charts can help point to probabilities, 2 being the STOCH RSI & ADX which show that there is still enough Bullish momentum to push prices. Signs also point to a potential 21 EMA 50 DMA CROSS, which can help push price UP. The formation and eventual play out of the BULLISH DIVERGENCE may be a sign of a BOTTOM and also be what is needed for us to push past the BLACK RESISTANCE Line.
Hope this was insightful. Please follow, boost and comment to support my ideas and let me know what y'all think and see as well! Would love a discussion. Thanks!
DISCLAIMER: This is Not financial advice i am not an advisor. The thoughts expressed here are my opinions on TA and for educational purposes.
Nasdaq -> Please Look At The Odds!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪
After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement, previous monthly support and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%.
With the Nasdaq now retesting the next weekly resistance at the $15570 level I do expect a short term rejection again away from the resistance but then eventually the creation of new all time highs on the technology index.
Looking at the obvious rising channel on the daily timeframe you can see that on Friday the Nasdaq once again rejected support and there is in my opinion currently a 50% chance that we will still see a major correction but objectively looking at the index there is no sign of weakness yet.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
UPST mid-term VIEW Pre Earning LONGUPST on the daily chart with 2022-2023 in range shows a downtrend of more than 70% and
now a round bottom reversal. The volume profile shows the high volumes of the high volume
area which is relatively thin and mostly below the current price. That is to say, UPST has a
lot of volume voids to fill on its way back to $162 . The Triple EMA ( 200,100,50) shows
a convergence over a long interval followed by the reversal and now divergence. The
MACD indicator is upgoing as are the trends of the dual RS lines of the RSI indicator. I see
this as a long swing trade or investment while UPST is awaiting earnings next month.
For targets, I plan the red lines generated by the volume profite and so $94 and $161.
UPST is on my current favorite stock list. My current holding includes an option striking $51
for 8/4. I will roll that option over about 8/2 to avoid time decay. Additionally,
I will buy another option striking $75 and expiring on 9/15 costing about $950 at the
market price with the bid/ask spread of about 4%. I expect the combined two call optins
will yield on average 5-7% per trading day and may hold them through the earnings period.
The only downside risk is that an earnings beat is somehow already priced into UPST
and that the momentum will decelerate and fade. Buying the contact cheap and out of
the money seeks to manage that risk.
Fiserv: Soon… ☺️Soon, Fiserv should reach the magenta colored zone between $134.09 and $140.81 and complete wave (B) in magenta – there is only little difference in altitude left. Once this top is placed, the share should turn downwards, heading for its next goal: the southern magenta colored zone between $108.96 and $89.26, where wave (C) in magenta and wave 4 in green should end. From there, wave 5 in green should carry Fiserv to the final top of wave I in gray, concluding an overarching upwards movement. There is a 33% chance, though, that the share could leave the next magenta zone on the upper side, developing wave alt.I in gray earlier already and thus cold-shouldering the magenta zone in the south.
NAS100 Simple Chart Analysis2023 = Recovery Year For Tech Stock ( Come Watch How This Recovery Being Explained )
Nas100 - Highest Rst 16590 Supp 10674
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
Tech charging higherAMEX:XLK is up nearly 40% year-to-date, with a decent recovery in the tech sector. NASDAQ:AAPL hit $3 trillion yesterday and other ETFs such as the JSE:SYG4IR are benefiting from the tech strength.
AMEX:XLK is now near the previous all-time high, if there's enough strength from the holding companies, this level should be cleared easily.
Keep moving.
TESLA Has one last pullback before the 2021 Resistance testTesla is rising today but remains on a pull back sequence after it hit the top (Rising Resistance) of the 2023 'Recovery' Channel Up.
This sequence can be extended until either of the two following conditions are met: the 1day RSI reaches 50.00 or the price hits the 1day MA50.
In either case buy and target the Falling Resistance (that dates back since November 4th 2021 and has two rejections registered) at 285.00.
You can extend buying only after the 315.00 Triple Top Resistance breaks.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Snowflake: Gone with the Wind… 🌬(Un-)fortunately, we won’t rehash the story of Scarlett and Rhett, which took director Victor Fleming nearly 4 hours to recount. We will rather talk about Snowflake, which currently seems to be struggling though a snowstorm, fighting on toward the resistance at $203.62. We expect the share to gust above this mark to expand wave x in magenta before a counter movement should take hold. However, there is a 40% chance that wave alt.x in magenta could be finished by now. In that case, Snowflake would waft below the support at $110.27 to develop wave alt.2 in turquoise already, whose low should then be followed by a fresh upwards movement.
AMAZON on a 1D Bullish Cross, first since Feb 2020!Amazon Inc (AMZN) just completed a Bullish Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first in more than 3 years (February 04 2020)! That alone is the strongest long-term buy signal we could get. On the shorter term, now that the price is comfortably above the Bear Cycle Lower Highs, we will start targeting on every pull-back the upper Fibonacci levels, which match fairly well the Lower Highs Resistances of the Bear Cycle. Our medium-term target is 146.50 (slightly below the 0.618 Fibonacci).
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