PALANTIR Correction is over. Targeting $200 end of year.Last time we viewed Palantir Technologies (PLTR) was 1.5 month ago (February 04, see chart below), setting a $110 Target and then calling to wait for a correction:
The price action didn't disappoint us and after hitting $110 it gave us the desired pull-back that extended as low as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Within the 2-year Channel Up, the 1D MA100 has always been a low risk level to buy.
Until however it breaks above its Triangle, a pattern that has been present as an accumulation phase inside the Channel Up on 4 prior occasions, it is possible to see the stock trading sideways towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), not necessarily making a new Low.
Regardless of some more sideways price action or instant break-out above the Triangle, the current level remains an excellent long-term buy opportunity. We are targeting $200, which would almost be a +183% rise, a usual growth rally for the stock within its Channel Up.
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Techstocks
TESLA formed the new bottom and is going for $600.Tesla / TSLA is on the 2nd straight green 1week candle, crossing above the 1week MA50.
With the 1week RSI bouncing on the 2 year Rising Support, the Channel Up has technically formed its new bottom.
Both the current and the previous one were formed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after a -55% decline.
If the bullish wave is also as similar as the bearish waves have been, the price should reach as high as the -0.382 Fib extension.
Buy and target the top of the Channel Up at $600.
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Angi | ANGI | Long at $20.05***New analysis / price targets given the recent 1/10 split:**
The historical simple moving average (SMA) I've selected for Angi (formerly Angie's List Inc) NASDAQ:ANGI is starting to enter stock price. This often means a directional change in price: up in this case. The price drop after the last earnings, I believe, was an algorithmic move for price entry/further consolidation. If true, the two large gaps above may be filled in the future. 70M float, 20% short interest...
Fundamentally, Angi maintains a solid financial foundation with $395 million in cash and cash equivalents. The company's free cash flow increased $29.2 million to $78.4 million for the first nine months of 2024, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The company's transition to a consumer choice model, already successful in its European operations, positions Angi to capture greater market share. Despite revenue headwinds, Angi demonstrates robust financial health with operating income increasing to $7.8 million in third-quarter 2024, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company's adjusted EBITDA grew 27% to $35.4 million, while year-to-date operating income reached $20 million with adjusted EBITDA rising 47% to $114 million, showcasing effective cost management and improving operational efficiency.
Thus at $20.05, NASDAQ:ANGI is in a personal buy zone (this is the adjusted price from the original entry in December 2024 at $2.00, post 1/10 split). There absolutely could be more downside aside for this stock, but it is a personal buy and hold for the coming years (unless fundamentals drastically change).
Targets:
$22.50
$25.00
$30.00
$37.00
GOOGLE Bottom confirmed. Laying eyes on $220.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 10 2024 High. Last week, the Bearish Leg touched the pattern's bottom, completing a -23.92% decline from the top, which is almost symmetrical to the previous Bearish Leg (-23.32%).
At the same time the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00) and recovered on a Bullish Divergence, while the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossed below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), forming a Bearish Cross. Last time we had this formation was September 06 2024 and 1 day later, the bottom (Higher Low of the Channel Up) was formed.
Among all this, the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) is holding, which is the market's long-term Support since July 12 2023. As a result, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start and as the previous one did, target the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at $220.00.
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Meta Platforms (META): A Leading Force in AIKey Supporting Arguments
Deploying AI tools enhances user engagement, drives up ad revenue, and strengthens Meta’s profit margins.
Meta's in-house development of AI chips is poised to lower capital outlays associated with purchasing Nvidia chips and diminish the costs involved in developing proprietary AI models.
Meta's stock has approached a support level, suggesting a potential reversal in its price trajectory.
Investment Thesis
Meta Platforms (META) stands as one of the world’s largest technology companies, specializing in social media, digital advertising, and AI development. It owns major platforms like Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger, which together engage over 3.3 billion users daily. While advertising remains its primary revenue stream, the company is strategically investing in emerging areas such as generative AI and augmented reality.
Continued Commitment to AI Development as a Key Growth Driver. Meta is strategically channeling investments into AI, spearheading the development of open-source Llama models and deploying generative content across its social platforms. These advancements are anticipated to enhance targeting precision and bolster user engagement, subsequently driving a surge in advertising revenue. In 2025, the company intends to allocate up to $65 billion toward AI infrastructure, reinforcing its leadership stature in the competitive AI market.
Focus on Proprietary AI Chips to Lower Capital Costs and Enhance AI Model Development. Meta has initiated trials of its proprietary AI training chip, marking a significant move toward minimizing reliance on suppliers like Nvidia. This new chip is tailored for specific AI tasks, offering enhanced energy efficiency over conventional graphics processing units. By developing its own chips, the company stands to lower expenses and potentially capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI processing by selling surplus capacity.
Stock May See a Rebound from Current Levels. Following the market correction triggered by concerns over a deteriorating macroeconomic landscape in the United States, the company's share price is stabilizing around the $600 mark. We anticipate that this threshold may establish itself as a significant support level, potentially serving as a springboard for the shares to rebound and continue their upward trajectory. Furthermore, the relatively modest forward P/E ratios, approximately 21-23x, underscore the oversold condition of Meta shares and suggest a possible reversal.
Our price target for META over a 2-month horizon is $685, accompanied by a "Buy" recommendation. We advise setting a stop-loss at $530.
AMD broke above its 1D MA50. Is the trend finally changing?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) broke today above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 5 months (since October 29 2024)! From that day after it has also been below a Lower Highs trend-line, basically the Bearish Leg of the 1-year Channel Down, which it marginally broke last week but today it smashed it.
A short-term pull-back based on the 1D RSI symmetry (with the August 20 2024 and May 28 2024 Highs) is possible but on the long-term we expect a full recovery on this Bullish Leg of at least +43.13% (like the August - September Leg).
As a result, we expect a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test at $135.00.
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TESLA pricing its long-term bottom. $450 rebound highly likely.Nine months ago (June 26 2024, see chart below), we signaled the start of an enormous rally on Tesla (TSLA), which eventually hit our minimum Target ($400), based on a fractal from 2014 - 2016:
Since the upper 1.382 Fib Target wasn't achieved, the model is readjusted and this count makes better sense. Based on the 1W RSI we are on a bottom similar to October 30 2017 around the 4.0 Time Fib extension. That past sequence initiated a rebound towards the market Resistance before the next decline headed to the 5.0 Fib extension.
As a result, we believe Tesla will find a bottom here and target $450 just below the Resistance level.
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$MAGS: Magnificent Seven ETF – Tech Titan or Overhyped?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ CBOE:MAGS : Magnificent Seven ETF – Tech Titan or Overhyped?
With MAGS at $46.85, is this ETF a powerhouse of tech giants or just another bubble waiting to burst? Let’s decode the code! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 46.85 as of Mar 18, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Likely up, reflecting tech sector strength, per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Tech stocks soaring with AI and cloud hype 🌟
It’s a tech fest—let’s see if it’s worth the buzz! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $1.87B (assuming 40M shares) 🏆
• Operations: Tracks Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia ⏰
• Trend: Dominant players in tech, driving innovation and market trends 🎯
Firm in the heart of Silicon Valley! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Tech Rally: Magnificent Seven companies hit new highs, per data 🌍
• Earnings Season: Strong Q4 results from underlying firms, per posts on X 📋
• Market Reaction: MAGS up, reflecting sector momentum 💡
Navigating through tech’s highs and lows! 🛢️
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Regulatory Scrutiny: Antitrust concerns for big tech players 🔍
• Market Volatility: Tech stocks prone to swings due to innovation and competition 📉
• Economic Factors: Interest rates and global economic conditions impact growth ❄️
It’s a risky ride—buckle up! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Industry Leaders: The Magnificent Seven are pioneers in their fields 🥇
• Growth Potential: AI, cloud computing, and other tech trends fuel expansion 📊
• Dividend Payouts: Some companies offer dividends, adding income potential 🔧
Got the best of both worlds! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuations, potential for overinvestment 📉
• Opportunities: Emerging technologies like quantum computing, biotech integration, per strategy 📈
Can they stay ahead of the curve? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
MAGS at $46.85—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $50+ soon, tech’s unstoppable 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance gains ⚖️
• Bearish: $40 looms, overhyped and due for correction 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
MAGS’s $46.85 price reflects the dynamism of the tech sector 📈, but with risks from valuations and regulatory pressures 🌿. DCA-on-dips could be a strategy to manage volatility. Gem or bust?
Zscaler: BalancedZS has seen buyers and sellers largely balancing each other recently, preventing any significant moves in either direction. As a result, we continue to place the stock in a corrective rally as part of the magenta wave , with its high anticipated above the $259.61 resistance. However, if the price falls below the $153.70 support, the ongoing corrective structure will extend further, with the turquoise wave alt.X establishing a new low. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
MICROSOFT Channel Down bottom formation targets $440.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 05 2024 High. The stock is on its latest Bearish Leg in the past 3 months and almost completed a -17.62% decline, similar with the Bearish Leg that led to the August 05 2024 Low.
As the 1D RSI has Double Bottomed, which is what it did on the April 30 2024 Low that kick started a rally of +20.63%, we expect the stock to initiate its new Bullish Leg of the Channel. The previous one was +18.16%, so we expect a similar range and target $440.
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NVDA Short Term BuyPrice is currently consolidating within a tight range, and a breakout appears imminent. I am looking for a clean break above resistance, followed by a retest of the breakout level, which could provide a strong buy opportunity. If this setup plays out, the next key target would be the $135 level.
However, this move is likely to be a short-term retracement within a larger downtrend. If price struggles to sustain momentum above $135 and shows signs of weakness, it could indicate a continuation of the broader bearish trend. Confirmation will come from price action signals and volume dynamics on the retest.
$ADSK: AutodesK – Designing Profits or Sketching Losses?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:ADSK : AutodesK – Designing Profits or Sketching Losses?
With ADSK at $245 post-Q4 beat and robust guidance, is this design titan a blueprint for profit or a rough draft? Let’s ink out the details! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 245 as of Mar 13, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Up after Q4 FY2024 earnings beat, per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Tech sector buoyant, with AI and cloud driving growth 🌟
It’s a tech favorite—let’s see if it’s worth the hype! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $50B (assuming shares outstanding) 🏆
• Operations: Design software for architecture, engineering, manufacturing ⏰
• Trend: Cloud and AI integration boosting future growth, per reports 🎯
Firm in its niche, with digital transformation as tailwind! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 FY2024 Earnings: Billings and revenue beat, per data 🌍
• FY2026 Guidance: Revenue growth 8-9%, FCF $2.075B-$2.175B 📋
• Market Reaction: Stock price up post-earnings, indicating confidence 💡
Adapting to new tech trends, looking ahead! 💪
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Economic Slowdown: Reduced software spending in tough times 🔍
• Tariff Threats: March 10-12, 2025, impacting new business, per data 📉
• Competition: Adobe, Siemens, others in design software market ❄️
It’s a competitive landscape—risks are real! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Market Leader: Dominant in design software, strong brand 🥇
• Subscription Model: Recurring revenue from cloud-based services 📊
• AI Integration: Leveraging AI for enhanced products, per recent announcements 🔧
Got solid foundations and futuristic vision! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuation (P/E around 39), macro headwinds 📉
• Opportunities: Expanding into manufacturing, healthcare, per strategy 📈
Can it justify its price and expand further? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
ADSK at $245—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $260+ soon, growth story continues 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks and opportunities balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $220 looms, overvalued in current market 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
ADSK’s $245 price reflects strong performance and guidance 📈, but with a high P/E ratio, it’s not for the faint-hearted. Dips could be golden opportunities for DCA investors. Gem or bust?
APPLE Buy opportunity on the 1W MA50.Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up since the January 03 2023 bottom and in the past 3 months (December 26 2024) has been forming the latest Bearish Leg. On Tuesday this Leg broke below its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in 10 months (since May 08 2024), which is the strongest buy signal since the April 19 2024 Higher Low bottom of the Channel Up.
As you can see, even the 1D RSI pattern is similar with the one that made the October 26 2023 1W MA50 test. That was also on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the respective previous Low.
As a result, it is now highly likely to see a rebound, especially if the 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50, to test the previous High and 1.0 Fib at $260, like the December 14 2023 High did.
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The only tech stock I’d consider buying right nowThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
We’ve seen the S&P, NASDAQ and every other American index get slammed in the last couple of days. Some people are panicking. A lot of people are panicking. If you go on Twitter (sorry — X dot com) you will find a lot of people who listened to a recommendation from a guy on YouTube about a trash stock like say, IonQ or HIMS, and are now fairly upset said YouTube guy (or Twitch guy, or whatever) got it wrong.
Frankly, a correction is a healthy thing because it allows investors to purchase good companies at more reasonable multiples.
I have no idea where the market goes from here. I can’t see the future. I admit this sell-off has me adding tech stocks (and other American stocks) to my watch-list, and I’ll continue to monitor them.
A lot of tech stocks — the bulk of what has fallen as of late — still aren’t in that zone for me yet. Amazon still trades at a current multiple of 35x earnings and a fwd multiple of 28x — I can’t find much value in that, especially when I consider that Google, a company with +$83 billion in net profit and a 32% operating margin, can be acquired for 16x fwd earnings (I had to check those numbers too just to be sure — when you’ve still got things like Palantir trading “to the moon” (and back), 16x⁴ seems like a reasonable price for the dominant advertising platform in the world).
Here’s Buffett, in his 2008 essay — Buy American, I am:
A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now.
Buffett was right, of course. If you purchased stocks in 2008 and held them you would’ve done pretty well (as long as you didn’t buy Lehman Brothers!). The GFC saw stocks fall 48% from their peak — if we are indeed heading towards that territory there is more room to fall. I have no idea — examining the basket of tech stocks I look at, the only one that presents any value is Google. It’s reasonable at 16x fwd earnings. If it traded at 12x earnings, it would be a bargain - in my opinion. How low can you go?
From Boom to Bust? Nvidia Warns of a Potential 50% DropAfter an incredible rally, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has finally hit a wall at its all−time high of $140, failing to secure a strong monthly close above this critical resistance level. This stagnation at the peak is a red flag for the stock’s near-term momentum.
Since the rally began in 2016, the monthly chart has been overwhelmingly bullish, with only a few exceptions: 2018, 2022, and now 2024, where the monthly chart has printed a bearish engulfing candle. Historically, when this pattern has appeared, it has led to steep retraces. Based on the median pullback from the past two occurrences, we could see a 50% decline by mid 2025 from current levels, a potential bloodbath for unprepared investors.
Is this a guaranteed outcome? Of course not. But higher timeframes carry significant weight in macro price action, and this bearish signal is too significant to ignore. Stay alert—volatility ahead!
While a short-term pump toward the $140s is more than likely, it’s important to recognize that this move will feel more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. For those considering a short position, this potential bounce could offer the perfect entry point.
However, unless NVDA can achieve a strong break above $150 and successfully flip this level into support, there’s no compelling reason to turn bullish here. The macro warning signs remain intact, and the risk of a deeper retrace increases.
NVIDIA 9-month Channel Up bottomed! Is it a buy??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for almost 9 months (since the June 20 2024 High). The correction since the start of January is technically the pattern's Bearish Leg and yesterday it hit the bottom (Higher Low trend-line).
Last time it did so was on August 05 2024 and an instant rebound followed. That was also the time the 1D RSI was on the 34.00 Support, just like today. In fact every time in the past 11 months that this RSI Support was tested, the price rebounded aggressively by at least +26.85%.
Since the previous Higher High rebound peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, our Target on the medium-term will be $164.00.
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QQQ long term trend is down with short-term relief rallyI am guessing a bit more downside before we see a relief rally. The AI bubble is starting to unwind, and that falling knife is sharp. I am patiently waiting for some version of a short-term bottom. You can see in the chart that price is has several key support lines within near reach. I would expect testing and hopefully finding some support in the coming days. If it is like the COVID bubble unwind, then we could see a strong reverse rally out of this range. However, I think it is pretty clear QQQ is in correction with a convincing loss of the 200 day SMA.
AMAZON Is it worth buying now?Amazon (AMZN) broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last week for the first time since the week of August 05 2024 and opened this week below it. As you can see, the stock has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and today's candle is as close to a technical Higher Low (bottom) as it can get.
The previous Higher Low was in fact that Aug 05 2024 candle, which despite breaking below the 1W MA50, managed to post a strong intra-week recovery and close above the it. Technically that was the 'Max pain' situation on every 1W bottom candle in those 2 years.
Every Bullish Leg that followed was around +65.24%, so that gives us an end-of-year technical Target of $300.
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NVIDIA can reach $300 by the end of the year.Crazy as it may sound, NVIDIA / NVDA may recover from the current pull back and hit $300 by the end of the year.
The reason is that the consolidation it has been in for the past 9 months, has been spotted on both previous long term growth Channel Up patterns right before the Channel topped.
As a matter of fact, it was the last year of its bull rally. The previous consolidation phase's bottom was in March 2021 and before that in April 2017.
As we've entered March 2025 with the price sitting right at the bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up, the probabilities of a final rally increase.
The previous two have been +206% and +217% respectively.
The $300 Target sits right under a potential +206% increase.
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Take-Two: Continued Sideways MovementSince the beginning of February, Take-Two Interactive has been moving mostly sideways with a slight downward bias. Currently, the ongoing beige wave b should continue upward, driving the stock into the beige Target Zone between $241.59 and $257.87. There, this corrective rally should conclude, setting the stage for a sharp downward move. However, if the stock breaks below the support at $135.62, this will signal a premature correction low of the blue wave alt.(II) in the blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46. We assign this scenario a 33% probability.
AMD Bottom pricing inside 3 weeks. MASSIVE BUY.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have been on a downtrend for exactly 1 year, every since the March 04 2024 Top. That was a technical Higher High on the 5-year Channel Up.
With the price trading below even its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), there is a massive underlying buy opportunity on the stock for the long-term. That's because this 1-year downtrend is the technical Bearish Leg of this Channel Up, whose previous one bottomed 2 weeks after breaking below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, contained at the same time above the 0.786 Fib.
As you can see, the price is just above the current 0.618 Fib and the 0.786 Fib is just below the Channel Up, where the ultimate macro Support of the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) is headed.
With the 1W RSI almost oversold and on the exact level where the previous Channel Up bottom (October 10 2022) was formed, the stock is technically entering its long-term buy opportunity zone.
Based on this pattern, the R/R is already on excellent levels for a buy and we expect the bottom to be formed within the next 3 weeks. If the new Bullish Leg imitates the previous one and rises by +315%, we can expect AMD to have its next Top at $320.
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$ZS: Zscaler – Cloud Security Titan or Overhyped Hype Train?(1/9)
Good afternoon, folks! ☀️ NASDAQ:ZS : Zscaler – Cloud Security Titan or Overhyped Hype Train?
With NASDAQ:ZS soaring after smashing earnings, is this cybersecurity champ locking down profits or just riding a digital wave? Let’s crack the code! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: Up post-earnings, exact $ TBD 💰
• Recent Results: Q1 2025 earnings beat estimates, per X buzz 📏
• Sector Trend: Cloud security demand surging 🌟
It’s a hot streak in a hotter market! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Strong, based on 151.62M shares 🏆
• Operations: Leader in Zero Trust security ⏰
• Trend: posts hail robust growth, per Mar 6 chatter 🎯
Solid, shielding the digital frontier! 🌍
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings Win: Q1 2025 topped forecasts, guidance raised 🔄
• Cloud Security: Demand spikes amid cyber threats 🌐
• Market Reaction: Stock jumped📋
Thriving, as hackers keep the world on edge! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Valuation: High P/E could spook investors 🔍
• Competition: Crowded field with CrowdStrike, Palo Alto 📉
• Macro Shifts: Economic dips might slow spending ❄️
Watch out, risks lurk in the shadows! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Earnings Beat: Q1 2025 growth shines 🥇
• Market Lead: Zero Trust pioneer 📊
• Demand: Cloud security’s red-hot 🔧
Locked and loaded for the cyber age! 🔒
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuation, competition pressures 📉
• Opportunities: Rising cyber threats fuel expansion 📈
Can it secure the bag or get hacked by rivals? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Zscaler’s riding high post-earnings—your call? 🗳️
• Bullish: $250+ by summer, cyber’s king 🐂
• Neutral: Holding steady, risks loom ⚖️
• Bearish: $180 drop, hype fades 🐻
Vote below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Zscaler’s Q1 2025 earnings pop signals strength 📈, but high stakes mean volatility’s a shadow friend 🌫️. Dips? That’s our DCA jackpot 💰. Buy low, soar high! Treasure or trap?