AMAZON Excellent buy opportunity for a new ATH.Last time we looked at Amazon Inc. (AMZN) was three months ago (November 13 2024, see chart below), giving a pull-back buy signal:
The price action couldn't have followed this more accurately as after a short-term pull-back, the stock hit our $240.00 Target at the end of January.
Since then the price started to pull-back again to a point where this week it broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since September 11 2024. With the 1D RSI on the 40.00 mark, this pull-back resembles the April 25 2024 Low, made near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
We expect a similar medium-term rebound to start towards the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is marginally below it at $252.50.
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Techstocks
NVIDIA Rejected on the most important Resistance of all.Last time we looked at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) was just 20 days ago (January 29, see chart below) but we managed to get the exact bottom buy opportunity on the 1W MA50:
As the stock reacted with an immediate and relentless rally of 10 straight green 1D candles, it hit yesterday its first hurdle, the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line and closed in red.
This Lower Highs trend-line is historically very important as every time a similar technical structure broke in the past 2 years, a strong rally followed. The early ones were stronger, which is natural to expect as the company was recovering from the 2022 Inflation Crisis and had enormous room to grow. On a side-note, the 1D RSI rebounded on its 34.00 Support, where the stock's last two bottoms were priced.
As a result, we believe that if NVIDIA breaks and closes above the current Lower Highs trend-line, it should at least repeat the last rally from its bottom (+68.69%), which translates to a $190 medium-term Target.
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TESLA SWING LONG IDEA - TSLA We had a great run on Tesla after Trump's election, which boosted the idea of Robotaxi and green earnings over time.
If you follow me on X, you would know that I have been buying Tesla since the $204 level (August 5th crash). We had a great run from there to $490.
Currently, we have seen a 33% retracement from the top.
The price hit the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection there (forming a weekly dragonfly doji).
I have started to build a swing position from this level to ride Tesla to new all-time highs.
The first challenge will be the bearish trendline that has been driving the bearish trend since December 18th. Breaking that trendline should lead to new highs, in my opinion.
If the price breaks and closes below $300 on the daily chart, it will invalidate my setup, and I will look to exit the position.
CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS
(1/9)
Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀
(2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS
• Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥
• Xiaomi: +35% 📱
• Baidu: +30% 🔍
• BYD: +25% 🚗
The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof!
(3/9) – WHY THE SURGE?
• DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖
• Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳
• Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸
(4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY
• Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨
• Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐
• Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉
(5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE?
• DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔
• Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂
• Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️
(6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE?
• Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️
• Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸
• Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬
(7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS
• Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍
• Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟
• The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝
(8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last?
1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age.
2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain.
3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
QQQ Thrives Amidst Trump Administration's UnpredictabilityQQQ still bullish amid all of the chaos of Trump's first few weeks. Friday saw a high that was just a touch shy of a new ATH. Next week will give us a good idea what the future is, if we pull back we may be seeing a double top if you are bearish or we could make a new ATH and power on higher with bulls in control.
$NTES NETEASE to benefit from Chinese stimulus.NetEase, Inc. is a prominent Chinese internet technology firm established by Ding Lei in June 1997. The company offers a diverse range of online services encompassing content, community engagement, communication, and commerce. It specializes in the development and operation of online games for both PC and mobile platforms, alongside advertising, email services, and e-commerce solutions within China. As one of the largest players in the global internet and video game industry, NetEase also manages several pig farms. Additionally, it features an on-demand music streaming service. Notable video game titles from NetEase include Fantasy Westward Journey, Tianxia III, Heroes of Tang Dynasty Zero, and Ghost II. From 2008 to 2023, the company was responsible for the Chinese versions of popular Blizzard Entertainment games, including World of Warcraft, StarCraft II, and Overwatch. In August 2023, NetEase unveiled a new American studio, spearheaded by veterans from Bethesda and BioWare.
DOORDASH ($DASH) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSEDOORDASH ( NASDAQ:DASH ) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSE
(1/7)
DoorDash just reported 25% YoY revenue growth to $2.9B! That’s a hearty slice of the delivery pie. 🚀🍕 Let’s dig into the numbers, risks, and what might lie ahead for $DASH.
(2/7) – EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT
• GAAP net income: $0.33/share—the second profitable quarter since going public! 💰
• Net revenue margin: 13.5%, inching up from last quarter.
• Plus, a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B share repurchase plan signals management’s confidence in future earnings. 💎
(3/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Market cap ~$80.2B, with the buyback at ~5% of that.
• Analysts (e.g., Oppenheimer) raising price targets → suggests undervaluation vs. Uber Eats & Grubhub. 🤔
• Strong performance in new verticals & international markets = diversification & growth advantage. 🌐
(4/7) – RISK FACTORS
• Market saturation: Competitors might lower prices or offer bigger discounts. 🛍️
• Regulatory: Gig worker laws could drive up costs. ⚖️
• Economic sensitivity: Consumer spending on delivery can be fickle during downturns. 💸
• Restaurant health: If restaurants stumble, so does DoorDash. 🍽️
(5/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Leading U.S. food delivery market share 🍔
• Expanding into grocery & retail → less restaurant dependence 🛒
• Solid international growth 🌍
Weaknesses:
• High operational costs to maintain delivery network 🚚
• Customer loyalty can be promo-driven vs. brand-driven 💳
Opportunities:
• Enter underpenetrated regions → more global share 🌐
• Expand non-restaurant deliveries → bigger wallet share 🏪
• AI-driven efficiency → streamlined ops 🤖
Threats:
• Heavy competition (direct & from self-delivery restaurants) ⚔️
• Consumer shift back to in-person dining if economy improves 🍴
(6/7) – BULL OR BEAR?
With 25% growth and a second profitable quarter, is DoorDash set to dominate? Or are looming regulatory and market saturation risks a speed bump? 🏁
(7/7) Where do you stand on DoorDash?
1️⃣ Bullish—They’ll keep delivering the goods! 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Impressed, but risks loom 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & costs will weigh them down 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
CONFLUENT ($CFLT) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STARCONFLUENT ( NASDAQ:CFLT ) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STAR
1/7
Ready for a snapshot of Confluent? Here’s what’s sparking chatter on X: 23% YoY revenue growth, $0.09 EPS (beats by $0.03), and free cash flow at $ 29M—above estimates! Let’s dive in. 🚀💹
2/7 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST
• Overall revenue: +23% YoY
• Subscription revenue: +24% YoY 💳
• Q4 EPS: $0.09 (est. $0.06) ⚡️
• FCF: $ 29M vs. est. GETTEX:27M 💰
3/7 – CONFLUENT CLOUD SHINES
• Cloud revenue: +38% YoY 🌥️
• Big piece of their puzzle—shows they’re nailing the cloud-based approach
• Key to future scaling & recurring income streams 🔑
4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Confluent competes in data streaming & management
• Growth suggests they’re keeping pace—maybe even undervalued if adoption keeps climbing 🤔
• Keep an eye on how they stack up vs. other cloud/data players like Snowflake or Datadog 🏭
5/7 – RISK ASSESSMENT
• Market Saturation: More competitors in cloud/data → potential pricing pressure 💼
• Tech Shifts: Rapid changes could leave older solutions behind 🔄
• Economic Downturn: Slowed IT budgets might delay or shrink deals 🌐
• Customer Concentration: If a few big clients leave, it stings big time 🏹
6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Strong Confluent Cloud growth (+38% YoY!)
Broader customer base (+17%) 🙌
Weaknesses:
Heavily niche in ‘data in motion’ 🤏
High acquisition costs in a crowded market 🏷️
Opportunities:
Expand into new verticals & geographies
AI/ML integration for next-level analytics 🤖
Threats:
Fierce giants with deep pockets 🦖
Regulatory changes in data privacy ⚖️
7/7 – Where do you see Confluent heading next?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cloud growth = unstoppable! 🌟
2️⃣ Neutral—Need more consistent profitability 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition is too intense 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago.
Levels to watch: $30.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TESLA Is this the right time to buy again?Right at the start of the year (January 02, see chart below) we issued a Sell Target on Tesla (TSLA) at $330:
This was based on the 1-year Parabolic Growth Channel of the stock, which formed a Higher High and was already in the rejection phase. The 330 Target was hit yesterday, the price touched the bottom of the Channel and we already see a recovery attempt today.
The condition that completes the strong buy sentiment that is emerging on Tesla, is that it hit yesterday the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since October 23 2024. As you can see, the last two times that the stock traded on its 1D MA100, it was the most optimal buy opportunity.
Following a -33% decline on the previous two corrections of the Parabolic Channel, we've always seen an immediate rebound of at least +43.38%. As a result, we expect Tesla to initiate the new Bullish Leg, which, before a Higher High, can target on the short-term $465 (+43.38%).
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Cloudflare: ProgressCloudflare has demonstrated impressive upward pressure, surging more than 40% in just a few days. In response, we now consider waves 3 and 4 in green as finished and locate the stock in the final stretch of this impulse move, which should ultimately complete the orange wave iii. Given that key expansion levels have already been reached, we expect the wave iii high to form soon. Afterward, we anticipate a sharp wave iv correction, with downside potential toward the $122.68 support.
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES
1/8
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️
2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64)
• Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B)
• Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭
3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS
• $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth
• Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting
• New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐
4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS
• Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report
• CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky
• Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔
5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT
• Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused
• SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x)
• Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀
6/8 – RISKS
• Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell)
• Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes
• Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️
7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks
2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins
3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth
Vote below! 🗳️👇
8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
• 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot
• Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers
• Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
SMCI Bull Flag completed and targeting $65.Three months ago (November 07 2024, see chart below), we issued a strong buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), after the stock had declined by more than -85% from its All Time High (ATH):
The signal was an instant success, as the price rebounded on the following week. Our perspective hasn't changed and today, with the stock up currently by more +13% intra day, is another reason why.
Last week the price made an excellent rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), solidifying this level as the new Support and turning out to be a huge demand level that completed the Bull Flag pattern of December 09 2024 - January 27 2025. As you can see , the 1W MA200 was also on the symmetrical Support Zone that only broke on the 'fake-out' of November's accounting scandal peak.
The interesting take on this 1W chart is that every similar Bull Flag since the 2020 COVID crash, tested the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before the next technical pull-back. As a result, we expect a $65.00 test, which would exceed the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), before a new 2-month correction.
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S&P 500’s Next Big Move: 6,200 or Bust?Hey Realistic Traders, Will CAPITALCOM:US500 Move beyond 6,200? Let’s dive into the analysis...
On the daily chart, the S&P 500 is trading above both the EMA-100 and EMA-200, confirming a robust bullish trend. This momentum was reinforced by a falling wedge breakout, a pattern that typically signals the continuation of bullish pressure. Additionally, the price tested the upper trendline twice and bounced off each time, further underlining the strength of the upward move.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move downward toward the first target at 6.240 or potentially the second target at 6.391.
However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at 5844
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: “Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on S&P500”.
Qualcomm: Target Zone Active!QCOM is still trading outside our blue Target Zone, which spans from $159.57 to $121.52. While the stock has fulfilled the technical minimum requirement for the blue wave (IV) by reaching this range, we primarily expect further sell-offs and lower lows before the correction is complete. A premature breakout will only be confirmed if the price sustainably surpasses the $182.08 mark (37% likely).
From Boom to Bust? Nvidia Warns of a Potential 50% DropAfter an incredible rally, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has finally hit a wall at its all−time high of $140, failing to secure a strong monthly close above this critical resistance level. This stagnation at the peak is a red flag for the stock’s near-term momentum.
Since the rally began in 2016, the monthly chart has been overwhelmingly bullish, with only a few exceptions: 2018, 2022, and now 2024, where the monthly chart has printed a bearish engulfing candle. Historically, when this pattern has appeared, it has led to steep retraces. Based on the median pullback from the past two occurrences, we could see a 50% decline by mid 2025 from current levels, a potential bloodbath for unprepared investors.
Is this a guaranteed outcome? Of course not. But higher timeframes carry significant weight in macro price action, and this bearish signal is too significant to ignore. Stay alert—volatility ahead!
While a short-term pump toward the $140s is more than likely, it’s important to recognize that this move will feel more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. For those considering a short position, this potential bounce could offer the perfect entry point.
However, unless NVDA can achieve a strong break above $150 and successfully flip this level into support, there’s no compelling reason to turn bullish here. The macro warning signs remain intact, and the risk of a deeper retrace increases.
GOOGLE Buy the earnings dip and Target $215.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 09 2024 Low. Just last Friday it formed a Bullish Cross on its 1D MACD and is rising, which inside this Channel Up pattern, has been a strong buy signal.
Given that the company's Earnings miss will force the stock to open near or at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), take this excellent dip opportunity to buy the technical pattern and target $215, which is the standard +15% Higher Lows rebound the Channel had on each Bullish Leg.
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NVDA 4H Analysis – Should You Buy Calls?Key Observations:
Current Price: $118.68
Support Levels:
$115.33 (Holding as support)
$113.31 (Next level below)
$101.28 & $90.99 (Deeper liquidity zones)
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Above:
The large blue zone (~$130-$140) represents an imbalance that price could eventually fill.
Earnings Event Nearby (Purple ‘E’ Icon):
Earnings can cause volatility, so be cautious if holding options through that event.
Call Option Consideration:
Bullish Case (Buying Calls):
Price is sitting near support at $115.33. If it holds and starts pushing higher, it could aim for the FVG at $130-$140, which would make calls profitable.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for bullish price action (higher lows, strong volume, break of short-term resistance).
Bearish Risk (Why You Might Wait):
If price loses $115.33, it could dip lower to $113.31 or even $101.28, which would crush call options.
Earnings could add uncertainty—if volatility spikes, premiums might be expensive.
Final Verdict:
Aggressive Entry: Small position in calls if NVDA holds above $115.33 with confirmation.
Safer Entry: Wait for price to reclaim $120+ to confirm strength before entering.
Risk Management: If NVDA loses $115, consider stopping out or waiting for a better re-entry near $101.
PALANTIR Target $110 then wait for correction.Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is repeating the January pattern that has been seen in both 2024 and 2023, which has the price rising by +72.50% for a peak. This gives us a $110 immediate Target, which should be relatively easy to achieve after such Earnings.
Once the peaked on this mark, the 2024/ 2023 fractals pulled back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before turning into a long-term buy opportunity again in preparation for the next Bullish Leg. As a result, after $110 is hit, our next buy level will be near $80.
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Can AI Revolutionize Our World Beyond Data?Palantir Technologies has not merely emerged but soared in the financial markets, with shares rocketing 22% after an earnings report that surprised Wall Street. The company's fourth-quarter results for 2024 were a testament to its strategic placement at the heart of the AI revolution, exceeding expectations with revenue and earnings per share. This performance underscores the potential of AI not only to enhance but potentially redefine operational paradigms across industries, particularly in defense and governmental sectors where Palantir holds significant sway.
The growth trajectory of Palantir is not just a story of numbers; it's a narrative of how AI can be harnessed to transform complex data into actionable insights, thereby driving efficiency and innovation. CEO Alex Karp's vision of Palantir as a software juggernaut at the inception of a long-term revolution invites us to ponder the broader implications of AI. With a 64% growth in U.S. commercial revenue and a 45% increase in U.S. government revenue, Palantir demonstrates the power of AI to bridge the gap between raw data and strategic decision-making in real-world applications.
Yet, this success story also prompts critical reflection. How sustainable is this growth, especially considering Palantir's heavy reliance on government contracts? The company's future might hinge on its ability to diversify its clientele and continue innovating in a rapidly evolving tech landscape. As we stand at what Karp describes as the "beginning of the first act" of AI's influence, one must ask: Can Palantir maintain its momentum, or will it face challenges in a market increasingly crowded with AI contenders? This question challenges investors, technologists, and policymakers alike to consider the long-term trajectory of AI integration in our society.
AMD Channel Down bottomed on RSI Bullish Divergence.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the March 08 2024 All Time High (ATH). The pattern is currently on its 3rd Bullish Leg and is below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for exactly the past 3 months.
This Bearish Leg has however most likely come to an end as the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows, showcasing a Bullish Divergence similar to May 01 2024. As a result, we can expect the new Bullish Leg to start, with the previous minimum being +32.85%. Target $148.00.
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