Google's Critical Levels Ahead: Pump or Dump?NASDAQ:GOOGL Weekly RSI is above 50. We had a weekly close above previous week’s low which could be a good sign for bulls as long as price action remains above $163 within the next couple of days.
Techstocks
Meta (META) Testing Key Levels: Breakout or Breakdown? Evening Traders
Meta (META) is currently trading in a key range, and the next move could be significant! 📊
Upside Potential: If META breaks above the critical resistance at $596, we could see a rally toward the next target of $600.44. 📈 Bulls should watch for momentum above this level as a potential breakout zone.
Downside Risk: A failure to hold the current support at $582.99 could see META retrace toward the next major support at $569.35. 📉 Bears will be eyeing a break below this level for further downside action.
Stay alert for a strong move in either direction! This chart is loaded with opportunities for both bulls and bears. 🔥
Mindbloome Trader
Happy Trading :)
Fiserv: Trading Opportunities!Recently, the FI stock surged directly into our green Target Zone (coordinates: $186.40 – $207.40). This year alone, it has gained over 40%. With the recent arrival in our Zone, the time is now ripe for an overarching trend reversal. Because: by hitting our Zone, the price has reached the absolute minimum target for the green wave . From a technical perspective, an immediate trend reversal and a transition into wave II are now possible. At the moment, we place Fiserv in the turquoise wave 3, which should be followed by another dip below our Target Zone. Ultimately, the entire turquoise upward impulse should complete the overarching uptrend of the beige wave I. Thus, our Zone can be used to take profits from existing long positions or to initiate new short trades. Such potential short positions can be hedged with a stop 1% above the 78.60% retracement level (at $207.40).
Magnificent Seven ETF: Predicting the Next Market Movers!NASDAQ:MAGS has broken above previous highs and is currently trading above key level.
It has now formed a trading within a range and the strategy here is simple. Risk on upon a strong break above and risk off upon a break of the lows.
Either way we are macro bullish but in case we get the ideal retrace this will be a perfect time to position ourselves in the tech stock sector.
QQQ range boundQQQ hovering around the resistance of the core channel from 2010. Found support on the center of the black channel that is based on the COVID bubble. Price seems to generally range bound in this area between trendlines. Looks like more sideways without something big to push it one way or the other. Overall, it seems like tech has run out of FOMO. That does not mean we don't keep moving sideways and slowly up, but it does feel like any big moves to the upside are less likely.
650, BE THEREThis has the upside potential to be 650, before that happens it could dip towards 450 which will be a big buying opportunity. Whether it hits 450 or not, most likely it will test its all-time highs which is 30% upside potential from current price.
Happy Trading!! Not a financial advice.
PALANTIR Sell signal at the top of the 15-month Channel Up.Palantir (PLTR) gave us a solid buy signal 3 months ago (June 24, see chart below) as it respected the recurring bottom sequences within the 15-month Channel Up:
Right now the price has been consolidating after a direct hit at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. The 1D RSI got overbought and started pulling-back on a standard Bearish Divergence, a formation which three time within this pattern turned-out to be a solid sell signal.
The dashed Channel Up gives us a short-term Target on its bottom, which is where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is trading at and is the short-term Support. That is our Target currently (Target 1 = 34.50).
If and only if, we close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, we will open a new sell, as it will be a bearish break-out signal. In that case, we will target a potential near contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term Support and where the remarkable buy entries of August 05 and January 31 were provided (Target 2 = 29.50).
Keep in mind that the most optimal buy entry for the long-term (since May 2023) has been given by the 1D RSI and more specifically when it hits its Support Zone. We will continue to place buy long-term buys accordingly.
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TESLA pulling back on Q3 deliveries. Is there a reason to panic?Tesla (TSLA) opened considerably lower today as they announced Q3 deliveries of 463000 units, below the heightened expectations of around 470,000 from the buy-side and just slightly above the consensus estimate of 462,000. Is this a typical market overreaction on data or the start of a stronger correction ahead of the Robotaxi event next week?
Well from a technical standpoint, our thesis on Tesla is well known and hasn't changed since the August 15 update (see chart below), where we called for a $380 target within the long-term Channel Up:
Even on the more short-term 1D time-frame, we can see that the stock is respecting a Channel Up pattern that started on the August 05 bottom and for the past 30 days has been supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last correction like the one we're having this week, was from August 20 to 28, which then rallied by +30.50%. As a result, the minimum Target now for November is $310.
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SMCI Is it a by after the stock split??Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) just had their 10-for-1 stock split and what's on everyone's mind now is this: Is it a buy? Well after a fresh 8-month Low last Thursday, the market certainly doesn't look at its best, quite the contrary, it is on the worst position it could be after the July 15 High and the start of a Channel Down with series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
There is a certain level though, where all of SMCI corrections came to an end since the March 23 2020 bullish break-out during the COVID flash crash, and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As you can see, before the stock turned completely parabolic in May 2023, it was trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 2018 market bottom. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can accurately put into context the subsequent parabolic move too, which extended all the way to almost the 4.0 Fibonacci extension on the week of March 04 2024 and the All Time High (ATH), before starting its correction.
In the meantime, notice the excellent Buy Signal that the 1W RSI is giving in the last 6 years, every time it approaches the 30.00 oversold barrier.
So as long as the 1W MA100 keeps closing the stocks weekly candles above it, we will be bullish, targeting $125.00 (the ATH). If that fails to support though, expect further downside to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will place a second long-term buy.
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Apple - IPHONE 16 LONG NOW! Awaiting the new Iphone 16 set to be released this month this stock is likely to continue its bullish run short term. As previously mentioned, price was at key level and needed to break either side. It started to break bullish now. Price needs to stay above $228 for further bullish momentum to continue.
TRADE IDEA
- Entry at market price and dollar cost average your entry till high $225’s
- Targeting previous highs of $137.
- Stop at $225.5
SMCI - Can Super Micro Computer regain trust of investors?Super Micro Computer received non compliance note from Nasdaq for failing to timely file its annual report for the period ending June 30 by the Aug. 29 deadline.
The company said it had 60 days to file the report or submit a plan to regain compliance.
After Hindenburg short report and notice from Nasdaq, much negativity already priced in. If they can file their report for ending June 30, rebound started from just below 400 , might reach 530-usd (61.8%). In the end, revenue growth for fiscal year is expected at 80%.
ORACLE Channel Up targeting $200.Oracle (ORCL) broke above its previous High last week and even though the current one is under a certain degree of volatility (reasonable due to the Fed), this confirmed the upward continuation of the trend.
Technically, the stock has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom and after a prolonged test this year of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, it has started the new Bullish Leg with the current phase being the last one.
An ideal 1W RSI symmetry suggests that we might be printing a sequence similar to March - June 2023, which peaked after a +110% rise from its bottom.
As a result, we remain bullish on Oracle, targeting $200.00 by the end of the year.
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Amazon - LONG Swing Trade confirmed!Price is showing bullish strenght by clearing previous highs above $179.
Entry long as close as possible to $174
Target $190
Stop $171
SPOTIFY to resume the uptrend and target $400.Spotify (SPOT) tested and held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on Monday. This is the second progressive MA hold it makes after rebounding on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) on July 18 2024.
The latter technically was a Higher Low on the nearly 2-year Channel Up pattern that has posted two cycles of Bullish Legs within that time span of around +160% each. The 1D RSI is posting a similar Bull Flag as in September - October 2023, so we might be in the same symmetry as that price action.
As you can see, that fractal rose to above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension following a 1D MA50 rebound, so if the current price action replicates it, we should see $400 by early November.
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SNAP is perhaps the best buy in the market right now.Snap Inc. (SNAP) has formed a Double Bottom around 8.30 and posted a strong rebound yesterday, while the 1D MACD is already on a Bullish Cross since August 19. The latter has been the strongest buy signal since December 29 2022
The minimum level that the stock hit after such signal has been the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so even if the price marginally pulls back for a re-test, the current levels are an excellent medium-term buy opportunity. Our Target is $12.00 (just above the 0.5 Fib).
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NVDIA Is disaster just ahead of us?NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) is on a 3-month pull-back, the first it had on a 1M basis since September - October 2023. The latter was simply a mid-Bull consolidation phase within the wider picture of a Channel Up pattern that started almost 10 years ago.
The price is pulling-back from the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and if the 1M MACD forms a Bearish Cross, we should be preparing for a cyclical correction within the pattern which in the previous two times (November 2021 and October 2018 tops) it corrected back to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a bottom.
The Nov 2021 top was formed exactly at the time of the 1M MACD Bearish Cross, while the October 2018 top was formed 10 months after. If this is a 3-year Cycle then in October or November (2024) we should really see the extent of the correction. If not then this might be another Mid-bull consolidation and we may have (roughly) another 10-12 months before this Cycle tops.
What do you think it's going to be??
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NVIDIA Q2 2024 earnings report BULLISH??? Price is currently trading -6% post market after their Q2 2024 earning report has just been released.
There is a Bloomberg interview with CEO Jensen Huang in 45 minutes from now (6:30pm New York).
Price action wise tomorrow’s daily close will be key. If we close below $123 then more than likely we will be in for a retrace toward $110 - $100 which might be a great long entry area.
NO TRADE and stand by for now.
COINBASE at the bottom of the 20month Channel. Will it go lower?Coinbase (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the first week of January 2023 (almost 20 months). Within this time span, it has seen 4 corrections with the latter being the longest as we haven't seen a new High since the week of March 25 2024.
Last Friday saw the week close on the strongest red 1W candle (-20%) since the 2022 Bear Cycle, as it failed to rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This on its own is a very pessimistic development, with the presence of only the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) remaining to offer support long-term.
However, this Friday closing made an exact Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, something we hadn't seen since the June 05 2023 1W candle. That was the candle that completed the longest (until the current one) correction on Coinbase. Both Bearish Legs have similar declines (-47% then and -48% now). The minimum % rise of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +146.82% (two times).
As a result, as long as we close this week inside the Channel Up and ideally the 1W RSI remains above the 30.00 oversold barrier, we can expect a long-term bullish reversal on COIN with the start of the Channel's new Bullish Leg, with a minimum expectation being at $360.00 (+146.82% rally).
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TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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ROCKET LAB has started a new 9-month correction phase.Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) topped on August 19 after a more than +100% rise from the bottom that eventually reached the top of the Sine Wave count and as a result even though it failed to reach our $8.75 mark (Target 2), we will take profit on the last buy signal we issued (May 29, see chart below):
As you can see by the Sine Waves, RKLB is repeating a 2-year cyclical pattern (since the June 30 2022 bottom), which every time it provides a buy opportunity that delivers a little over +100% return (3 times so far within this time span).
Now that we got our +111% rise, we expect a new multi-month correction phase to start, initially in the form of a Channel Down (red). The previous correction phase lasted for 9 months and the one before for 10 months, before the +100% rallies commenced.
As a result, we are far away from a buy opportunity at the moment and the best course of action is to short below even the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target is $4.35, the middle of the High Volatility Zone, which is located just above the (green) Support Zone, where our next long-term buy will be.
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QQQ in correction - How low will it go?QQQ lost the 20 day SMA yesterday. History shows that there is a very strong probability that it will go lower. Today say it hold at the support of the AI-based rally over the last year or so. It broke through that the other week, but then we say the strong rally. I noted back then that it felt like a dead cat bounce counter rally to me. Looks like it is proving to be true. It is going to be tricky knowing where this one will stop. I previous posts I noted that red trend line a critical level and that is where we saw the dramatic bounce start from. I am sure where this one will stop. QQQ is usually very bullish and the second of two corrections can often be less than that first. I am looking at that red trend line again, the 200 day SMA, as well as the center of the trading channel.
NETFLIX starting the 2nd bullish leg of its expansion phase.Netflix (NFLX) has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the August 20 High and is on the exact same level where during all previous Bullish Legs of the 2-year Channel Up, it ended the consolidation and moved to the 2nd rally of the expansion phase.
This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is about to start a Channel Down that in previous Legs it moved parallel with the price's 2nd rally. Our Target is $900.00 representing a +70.48% rise from April's low, which is the smallest rally recorded within the 2-year Channel Up, thus the more realistic target.
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Nasdaq - Here we finally go!TVC:NDQ is finally rejecting the resistance and creating the anticipated bearish correction.
Let me just put it that way: The correction was 100% anticipated and you can definitely then trade accordingly. Just a couple of weeks ago the Nasdaq retested a resistance which has been pushing price lower for 14 years - a correction was very likely. So far the Nasdaq is dropping significantly but I don't think that the current correction will actually be over soon...
Levels to watch: $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
