Tecnicalanalysis
Update on GBP/CAD utilizing FXCM chart instead of OandaI came across one of my GBP/CAD thoughts and and saw a pattern that was screaming at me. I don't think I saw the pattern on Oanda's charts because the data only goes back to 2003 on the Monthly Charts and on FXCM it goes back even further (1976). With his added data it is clear the price is showing an inverse head and shoulders, which adds to the probability of price pushing lower, maybe 1.40. So my conviction on this pair pushes even higher and I am highly likely going to get back into this pair with the NZD/USD. If I look at the technicals some more there are lower higher also that have happened. A high made in the 80's around 2.90, then another high in 98', around 2.67 (lower then the previous), and finally in sometime in 2015, around 2.10. A huge drop from 2.67. Price is also in a descending channel, which if price does push higher, can it really reach past the 2 lvl. Highly unlikely. Price since 2016 has attempted to push higher (which coincides with BREXIT) pushing above the 1.80 lvl in 2018, and retracing, and attempting to break the 1.80 lvl, only to fall back lower. Last year price came close to hitting 1.40 with the issues going on in the UK Government. If I am correct and price does push lower, the 1.40 will be a safe level to chose. Price could hit the 1.30 lvl.
Another pair that is throwing me off though is the GBP/CHF. The pattern on the GBP/CHF is showing a strong descending wedge, which could spell out price pushing higher, and pretty significantly. The way I see this happening is if the BOE goes Super Sayian Blue Ultra Instinct and starts pushing rates up aggressively at 0.75% to 1% in succession. But this is highly unlikely as their economy walking a tight rope that has a cut in it. Additionally, it also might be a possibility if the BOE just keeps rates at 4%-5% throughout the possible recession. If so, this will line up with the BOE Governor saying that there may be the longest recession in history for the UK.
BTCUSDits look like that btc has been down for long enough and not its time to rise,, i have clearly explaind on the chart with horigentle and the trend line. trend is break and now its re-testing almost ready to fly after the strong confirmation.
what you all think btc will go higher then 25 ..? let me know in the comment below.
XAUUSD gold has breaked the down trend and its look like up but seems like it may has strong pull back befor it fky contineu to up, tomorrow it may manage to reach 1860 and or break fall we have short entry on 1860 with confirmation. i have drawn very clear horigental line and try my best to explain if i miss something let me know in the comment below.
BTC - 2 Halving patternsWe can see that the patterns showed are respecting candlesticks patterns in its bear and bull market.
Seems that the manipulation of the market is considerably slight matching it with the previous pre and halving season.
We can start opening Spot positions with no problem with some little % of the portfolio.
Ones say it can drop down minimum 19k, but the chart says there is no coming back.
Have fun with your margin and spot trading!!
Morning Mantra - 2nd March 2023Dear All,
Thankfully Nifty supported the bulls once again, as it made a perfect bounce back from the support level of 17300, yesterday.
Moreover, on a positive note, we had also witnessed a beautiful recovery of approx 150 points from Tuesday’s (28th February, 2023) closing of 17303.
Well for now, we are still with our words, that 17800 will once again be a strong level of Resistance for the Index.
Besides, till 17800, we will continue to consider 17300 as the support level on closing basis.
So, continue being stock specific as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
EURNZD seems that the uptrend is not over yet | Buy opportunity!Hello traders,
We been observing EURNZD for a potential buy opportunity. We noticed that the pair has been in an uptrend, creating classing higher highs and higher lows. Yesterday we witnessed a strong sell off in the pair that settled closer to the 1.70000 psychological level which is also a demand zone. We are currently seeing a strong bullish reaction from this zone. We believe the pair is about to resume with its bullish momentum. We will monitor price on lower timeframes to see if it can give us an opportunity to go long.
If you have any suggestion or opinion related to this idea, please share it in the comment section below.
Do not forget to show your support of this idea with likes if you find this helpful.
EURUSD the long-term pic - My target 1.3-1.4I think it bottomed in 2022, and that Eurodollar futures are approaching end of cylce. Bounce will be supportive for the EURUSD. Bunds forming a wedge, turn down on US and BUND yields will make EURUSD bullish (rate differential) like in past cycles
Grega
Morning Mantra - 28th February 2023Dear All,
Yesterday was a wonderful day for the Market!
Wonderful in the sense that it was quite predicted about the level of 17320 or 17300 to be a major level of support for Nifty, as of now. Fortunately, we got to witness the same, as Nifty took a wonderful support at around the level of 17300 and had ultimately given us a closing of 17400 approx, yesterday.
So, as of now, just like we had stated yesterday itself that if Nifty takes a wonderful support at 17300, then we can witness a positive bounce back towards 17800, which will again be a strong resistance level for us.
Until then, continue being stock specific and keep an eye on few stocks for some cherry picking.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
NZD/USD is about to retest the 200MANZDUSD currently has a score of -6, or a Strong Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theNZD has a long percentage of 68.75%, and we see that the USD has a long percentage of 69.73%. This category receives a 0, as institutional traders have no strongly favored asset.
Taking a look at NZDUSD, we see that retail traders are 83% long, and 17% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theNZDUSD gets a reading of -1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa.
Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month.
Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2.
Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the USD, inflation favors the USD, unemployment favors none and interest rates favor none
Might Dollar Rallied And Reached Supply ZoneWhen the mighty dollar weakens, what is to follow for the markets? hmm, hmm, hmm.
Daily Chart clearly shows a rally into the supply zone . I'd say 1-2 more daily candlesticks before a retracement happens but first it may attempt to reach another high before getting rejected below the supply zone . I wont doubt that supply zone will break the next attempt at it but that wont be for awhile. let's worry about right now before the dollar strengthens again. We use this analysis and it allows us to have a foresight into the trend of other market instruments.
ALWAYS DUE DILIGENCE!