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ESP35:IBEX DOWNTREND | NEW SHORT TRADE TRIGGER | SHORT 📉Industrial production fell 1.8% in March on month, the sharpest fall since May 2021, data from the country's statistics office INE showed Friday. In February, output increased by 0.9%. On an annual basis, industrial production rose by a marginal 0.1% in March, the data showed. The Spanish economy, the eurozone's fourth largest, expanded 0.3% in the first quarter over the preceding quarter, as the spread of the Covid-19 Omicron variant in early 2022 weighed on the services sector. However, the economy is expected to pick up pace in the second quarter as a rebound in services activity will likely offset a subdued performance of the factory sector, Pantheon Macroeconomics' senior Europe economist Melanie Debono said in a research note.
FOREXCOM:ESP35Short
by INDEX_INSIDERS
AUD/NZD:ABCD PATTERN REVERSAL | SHORT SETUP ⚡️Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
GBP/USD:DOWNTREND| FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL | SHORT CONTINUATIONGBP/USD traders getting set for NFP, the straw to break the camel's back GBP/USD down looking into the abyss on strong USD. US NFP is now the key event that could be the icing on the cake. At 1.2365, the pound is flat vs. the US dollar but remains in highly bearish territory having collapsed below vital daily support on Thursday. GBP/USD fell from a high of 1.2634 to a low of 1.2325 on a combination of stark warnings from the Bank of England, poor global economic data and the prospects of an aggressive Federal Reserve. The Bank of England hiked rates by 25bps, but ''shockingly, the BoE is now forecasting inflation at 10.25% YoY in Q4 this year, up from its earlier estimate of 5.75%, on utility costs,'' analysts at ANZ Bank explained. ''In a particularly pointed example of what is a common global theme, inflation is causing a “real income shock” – with average earnings growth not keeping pace with inflation, real personal consumption will inevitably slow sharply.'' ''In fact, the BoE forecast all components of domestic demand to decelerate throughout this year and into next.'' Against a backdrop of worsening PMIs out of China and Germany’s factory orders fell a colossal 4.7% in March vs. -1.1% expected, the US dollar thrived in anticipation of inflows to the US economy that has fared better by comparison to elsewhere. Eyes on NFP This leaves the Nonfarm Payrolls as a critical event. For instance, ANZ Bank explained, ''whilst the Fed is not currently considering a 75bps rate increase, that guidance is based on expectations that the trend increase in monthly Nonfarm payrolls will slow and core inflation is stabilising. But there are no guarantees at all that that will be the case. Demand for labour in the US remains very strong and core services inflation is rising steadily. The April Nonfarm payroll and employment reports tomorrow night, therefore, carry a lot of significance.''
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
1
GBP/USD:Losing 2% after BoE with next big stop as low as 1.2000 GBPUSD collapsed by 1.9% or more than 230 pips to 1.2380 from the start of the day on Thursday, with pressure intensifying after the Bank of England’s bank rate decision announcement. As analysts had expected, the Bank of England raised the rate by 25 points to 1.0%. Three of the nine monetary policy committee members called for a 50-point increase at once, and there were hints in the comments that a 50-point increase could be an option at subsequent meetings. At the same time, the Bank of England has worsened its economic outlook for 2023, expecting the economy to contract in response to tight financial conditions and the effects of high energy prices. The currency market sees the recession as a notable negative factor, putting pressure on medium and long-term interest rates. After consolidating over the last few days and attempting a rebound yesterday after the FOMC, GBPUSD has moved sharply back down and updated to lows from June 2020, a strong bearish signal. The pair runs the risk of slipping to 1.2000, an area proven to be the Pound’s last line of defence more than once in previous years, without much of a hurdle. The significant support of the previous six years and the 161.8% Fibonacci target from the last declining momentum since late April are concentrated here
Short
by FOREXN1
2
AUD/USD:DOWNTREND | BEARISH CHANNEL | PRICE IS FALLING Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
EUR/USD:UPDATE : PRICE IS GROWING FAST | LONG SETUP Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
1
GBP/USD:DOWNTREND | PRICE READY TO FALL | NEW TARGETSHello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
2
EUR/USD:FUNDAMENTAL NEWS+TECHNICAL ANALYSIS | LONG SETUP 🔔EUR/USD Forecast: Corrective advance could continue in the near-term EUR/USD Current Price: 1.0566 A better market mood and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve decision weigh the dollar. The EU Producer Price index soared to 36.8% YoY in March, signaling persistent price pressures. EUR/USD trades near the upper end of its latest consolidative range, still at risk of reaching lower lows. The EUR/USD pair is up on Tuesday, currently trading at around 1.0565, as a better market mood constrained demand for the American currency, which anyway holds on to substantial yearly gains against most major rivals. Investors are becoming cautious ahead of the US Federal Reserve monetary policy decision, to be out on Wednesday. The improved sentiment, however, is likely to be short-lived. Spiraling inflation, tensions in Europe amid the Russian war on Ukraine and a rising number of coronavirus contagions not only in China anticipate a long road ahead towards economic stability. At the same time, central banks are draining markets from easy money meant to provide support in the early stages of the pandemic. Asian and European indexes trade in the green, reflecting a better perception of risk, while government bond yields give up some of their Monday’s gains. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note peaked at 3%, now hovering around 2.95%, while the German note yielded over 1% for the first time since 2015. Data wise, the EU released the March Producer Price Index, which jumped to 36.8% YoY from 31.5% in the previous month, indicating that price pressures are far from over. The American session has nothing relevant to offer, as the US will release March Factory Orders and JOLTS Job Openings for the same month. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will be on the wires.
Long
by FOREXN1
GOLD:RSI+STOCH DIVERGENCE | PRICE MAY FGROW AFTER FED'S RATE Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sees a reversal to near $1,860 amid anxiety over Fed’s rate hike Gold prices have displayed exhaustion in the downtrend as the RSI (14) showed a bullish divergence. The anxiety over the interest rate decision by the Fed has paused the Fx domain. The US labor market sees 400k additions in April. Gold Price (XAU/USD) is hovering around $1,865.00 and is likely to remain on tenterhooks as uncertainty over the announcement of the monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed) has paused the whole Fx domain. The precious metal has displayed a subdued performance in the early Tokyo session and is likely to perform lackluster till the announcement of the interest rate decision. Gold prices are going to witness a lack of attention from investors for a prolonged period as the determination of the Fed to return to neutral rates will keep pushing itself to raise interest rates sooner rather than later. An interest rate hike by 50 basis points (bps) is on the cards but taking into consideration the multi-decade high inflation and consistency in full employment levels and wage-price hikes, one more jumbo rate hike by the Fed looks imminent. Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is attempting to overstep 103.50 in this session. Apart from the Fed’s policy, the DXY is also focusing on the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which is due on Friday. The job additions by the US administration in April are expected to land at 400k against the prior print of 431k. Also, the Unemployment Rate looks to decline to 3.5% from the previous figure of 3.6%. Gold technical analysis The formation of bullish divergence on an hourly scale is signaling a reversal in the downtrend. The asset made a lower low while the momentum oscillator Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) didn’t register a fresh low, which showed exhaustion in the downside momentum. The 50- and 200- Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,871.63 and $1,890.96 respectively, still favor the downside. The RSI (14) is likely to find a cushion at around 40.00, which will result in a fresh bullish impulsive wave ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FOREXN1
EUR/NZD:NEW BULLISH IMPULSE | SWING TRADING | LONG ⚡️Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
EURO BUND : STRONG DOWNTREND | NEW TARGET POINT | SHORT ⚡️Euro climbs and German bund yields surge as ECB officials put July rate hike in play The euro was stronger and the yield on the 2-year German bund surged after European Central Bank officials talked up the possibility of rate hikes as early as July. Luis de Guindos, vice president of the ECB, said, "from today's perspective, July is possible and September, or later, is also possible," while Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch told Bloomberg News said it's a "no brainer" to take rates to zero, or even positive territory, by the end of the year, unless the economy suffers a severe shock. Since the main ECB rate is negative 0.5%, taking rates to positive territory implies three hikes by the end of the year. The yield on the 2-year German bund TMBMKDE-02Y, 0.278% rose 11 basis points to 0.16%, while the euro EURUSD, 0.29% rallied 0.6% to $1.0924.
EShort
by DAY_PROFITS
LITECOIN: PRICE READY TO GROW IN BULLISH CHANNEL | LONG Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
AUD/CAD: REVERSAL PATTERN H&SHOULDERS | LONG VIEW ⚡️Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
GBP/USD:PRICE READY TO GROW | LONG SETUP ⚡️Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
EUR/USD:PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | PRICE READY TO GROW ! LONGHello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
2
GBPUSD: gives it another go to the upside | LONG IDEA 🔔GBPUSD gives it another go to the upside and above it's 100 hour MA It is trying a break of the 100 hour MA again The GBP/USD reached the lowest level since July 2020 last week at 1.2410 and moved higher on Friday. That move took the price above its 100 hour moving average for the first time since April 22. However momentum could not be sustained,and yesterday saw the price action above and below the 100 hour moving average (blue line currently at 1.2525) as traders ponder the next move (it was a UK). The New York session saw a move lower with the price closing comfortably below the moving average level at 1.24904 on overall dollar buying (the US dollar was the strongest of the major currencies yesterday). In trading today, the pair based against a swing area between 1.24905 and 1.25022 before moving up over the last hour or two of trading to a new session high – and back above the 100 hour moving average. I know there been a number of failed breaks of that moving average over the last 3 , trading days but traders must still respected as a risk defining level. Stay above would be more bullish. Move below is more bearish. Like the EURUSD, there is more to prove from the buyers if they are to take more control from the sellers. Getting above the 1.2601 to 1.26145 swing area is a step number one. Step number two and step three involve getting above the 200 hour moving average at 1.2666 currently (green line in the chart above) , followed by the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the April 21 high at 1.26698. Those upside targets are the minimum to get to and through if the buyers are to take more control from the sellers. For now, respect the 100 hour moving average as risk once again, and hope for increased upside momentum off of that level.
Long
by FOREXN1
2
AUD/CHF:BEARISH SETUP | PRICE WILL DROP | SHORT ⚡️Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
USD/CAD:TOP RESISTANCE | PRICE WILL DROP | SHORT SETUP ⚡️Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
GOLD:PRICE IS FALLING | BEARISH CHANNEL | NEW LONG TRIGGERHello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DAY_PROFITS
EUR/USD:REVERSAL COMING | NEW LONG SETUP | LONG 🔔Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Long
by DAY_PROFITS
Trading Idea - #STABILUSMy trading idea for STABILUS SE - long/buy Target: 60.00 EUR Stop: 37.00 EUR Company profile on STABILUS SE: Stabilus S.A. is a manufacturer of gas springs and hydraulic dampers based in Luxembourg. The company was founded in 1934 and employs over 4,000 people at nine production sites worldwide. Stabilus' best-known product is the Lift-O-Mat. This is used for the most part in tailgates and engine hoods of passenger cars, but also in medical and rehabilitation technology and in maritime applications. Gas springs or dampers from Stabilus are also used in swivel chairs and other furniture. JPMorgan as a driver of Stabilus. It is not unusual for major investment houses to influence the share price of individual companies with their forecasts and analyses. On January 05, 2022, Stabilus was downgraded by JPMorgen. The earnings expectations were significantly below expectations. Consequently, the share price slid by almost 40%. Almost half a year later, the tide turns. Stabilus exceeds profit expectations and JPMorgan analysts rate the share price higher with a target of EUR 62.00. After strong sales growth in Q2 - 2022, the company has set the corporate target far high, possibly without the calculation of rising prices for raw materials, which can only be partially passed on to customers. Nevertheless, the company is well positioned as strong automotive business in Asia powers Stabilus. Sales Q2- 2022: With 15% more than last year, the Group achieved record quarterly sales of approximately 281 million euros. In the company's history, this is the highest revenue so far. Looking at the chart, the share price has successfully bounced off the EUR 40 .00 support line. Overall, there should be more bullishness for Stabilus.
XETR:STMLong
by Traderherz-Analytics
1
USD/CAD:RESISTANCE AREA | PRICE MAY REVERSE | SHORT IDEA 🔔Hello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis ! Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools. Please support our page by hitting the LIKE 👍 button to this Idea and Follow us to get NEW ONE! Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below. If you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this. Have a Good Take Day_Profits !
Short
by DAY_PROFITS
EUR/USD:NEWS OUTLOOK + NEXT TARGETS | LONG SETUP 🔔EUR/USD, US DOLLAR ANALYSIS AND NEWS: Hot Core Inflation Keeps a July Hike in Play Month End Flows Unwinding as Euro Recovers EU DATA RECAP: VERY STRONG CORE INFLATION Euro Zone flash estimate of inflation rose 7.5% Y/Y, matching consensus. However, the core figure printed notably above expectations at 3.5% compared to the 3.2% expected. As such, this will further fuel expectations that the ECB will begin to raise interest rates from July, where current market pricing is near fully priced in for lift-off. Meanwhile, Euro Zone Q1 GDP came in line at 5% Y/Y with a slightly softer than expected quarterly figure 0.2% vs 0.3% expected. That said, this is unlikely to deter the ECB from stepping up its plan to normalise monetary policy. Market reaction to the data has been muted given that the figures are unlikely to notably move the needle for the near term outlook for ECB policy. Keep in mind that the bigger focus has been on Fed policy with markets positioning themselves ahead of next week’s meeting. MODEST USD RETRACEMENT AS MONTH END FLOWS FIZZLE Elsewhere, as we approach the turn of the month, market participants look to be using this as an opportunity to fade the recent aggressive moves in the US Dollar. A reminder that in months where the US equities (SPX) fall at least 3% or more, the US Dollar tends to rise into month end before retracing the move in the first week of the new month. This is shown in the graph below. That being said, while most can agree that the USD is overbought, the issue has been the lack of alternatives with the greenback’s major counterpart (EUR) offer little to no reasons to be bullish. However, the currency I would watch is the Chinese Yuan, where a turnaround could suggest a possible USD peak. EXPLAINER OF FX MONTH END REBALANCING London WMR Fix (1600 London Time): The WMR Fix is one of the most widely used benchmarks for FX trading, taking place every day within a 5-minute window around 1600 London time. The fix provides a standard set of currency benchmark rates so that equity and bond investors can compare portfolio valuations and performance with each other. The WMR fix tends to coincide with a sharp rise in trading volume, prompting a sizeable increase in liquidity. Occasionally, this allows for large real money flows to take place without causing too many distortions. However, flows can also be dominant in one direction (strong buying or strong selling) leading to outsized moves in a very short period of time. The largest bout of volatility stems from the month-end fix, taking place on the last business day, where market extreme moves can often occur in the lead up during 15:00-16:00 London Time. These FX flows are derived from mostly equity rebalancing. As such, if a UK portfolio manager holds US Dollar-denominated assets and seeks to hedge FX risk, then a monthly rise in the value of those assets will lead to more dollar hedging (selling the dollar). For example, if equities are FX hedged and US stocks (S&P 500) have risen on the month, while the FTSE 100 (UK stock market) has traded flat, then UK based investors would sell US Dollars against the Pound to add to their hedge, leading to an appreciation in GBP/USD. The greater the outperformance of US equity market over the UK would be associated with greater selling of the USD against GBP, prompting GBP to rise even higher. Although, extreme moves can often partially revert in the day following the month-end fix. That said, the occurrence of such event in a market as liquid as FX, suggests that the London fix (month-end fix in particular) is important for FX traders to watch for.
Long
by FOREXN1
2