GOLD:Pullback 61.8% FIBO for A New LONG Setup GOLD continues it's a strong bullish rally today with a retracement on the previous support zone in confluence with the Fibonacci level of 61.8% Where the price seems ready to have a pullback in the up-side of the chart inside the bullish channel. We are Looking for a Long pullback.
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EUR/USD:BUY From 50% Fibonacci Level For A LONG SetupEUR/USD inside a bullish channel today have a retracement after reaching a new higher yesterday. The price should have a pullback around the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels before a new long impulse in the direction of the main trend. Our Forecast is about a growing value today.The RSI in Daily timeframe shows a Upper side.
GOLD:BUY From Support Area For A New LONG SetupGold prices hover around eight-month highs, having stuck to a tight range in recent sessions as investors awaited more cues from a slew of economic data due this week, with a particular focus on any signs of a recession. Today the price is trying to find the right support where get the pullback before growing more. Our bias and forecast are about a new Bullish impulse.
USD/JPY:SELL From Pullback 129.000 For A SHORT ContinuationA generally positive tone around the equity markets undermines the safe-haven Japanese Yen and lends some support to the USD/JPY pair. The USD/JPY is still inside a bearish channel in a strong rally where we can see today the price makes a bearish Flag after a pullback of area 129.000 Price may continue today to drop more and increase the value of the Yen.
GBP/USD:BUY From 50% FIBO After Positive Economic News LONGGBP/USD continues its bullish momentum with a pullback on the 50% FIBONACCI retracement and the price is making Higher-highs and Higher-lows inside a raising channel where today the value may increase their value with a new impulse to the up-side.
Today’s UK employment shows an Average Earnings Excluding Bonus increase from the last month and the pair can take this good news to make new highs.
GOLD:BUY From PULLBACK Level For A New LONG SetupGOLD: Following the decisive upsurge witnessed on Friday, the Gold prices started the new week on a bullish note and closed in positive territory on Monday and Tuesday. After staying relatively quiet on Wednesday, XAU/USD regained its traction and climbed above $1,900 for the first time in seven months ahead of the weekend, closing the fourth straight week in positive territory. Risk perception and the performance of the US Treasury bond yields could drive the pair's action next week amid a lack of high-tier macroeconomic data releases from the US. Today the Price seems to have a pullback on the previous trendline of the bullish channel in confluence with the 50% Fibonacci we are looking for an extension of the price that can reach the level of price around 1936.000
GBP/USD:BUY From Support Area For A LONG Setup GBP/USD has booked the second straight week of 2023 in the green, as sellers refuse to give up on the United States Dollar (USD) amid dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations. Despite the recent hawkish commentary from the Federal Reserve policymakers, endorsing a peak rate in the range of 5%-5.25% to tame inflation, investors failed to pay any heed and fuelled hopes of a Fed slowdown on rate hikes, which continued to exert bearish pressure on the US Dollar against its major rivals. The GBP/USD in the last 2 sessions make a pullback on the previous resistance area and today the price seems ready to have a new Bullish impulse. We are looking for a Long setup.
USD/CAD:SELL Scenario Following Primary Trend SHORT SetupThe USD/CAD pair struggles to capitalize on Friday's bounce from the 1.3320 area or its lowest level since November 25.
We can summarize that USD/CAD is in a strong downtrend inside a compression area where the price may follow the primary trend and continue at a bearish rally. We are looking for a Bearish setup.
USD/CHF:BUY From 50% FIBO Level For A LONG ImpulseUSD/CHF: The Dollar today try to recover value after a strong European starting year where we saw all the European currencies grow. The price makes a Pullback on the 50% Fibo level and we may assist a new Growing for the USD. The stochastic shows also a DIvergence. We are LONG
GOLD:Pullback in the Previous Support Area For A New LONG SetupGold bulls take a breather this Friday, as the US Dollar is attempting a minor recovery in tandem with the US Treasury bond yields. The Strong Uptrend can be just in a pause with a retracement today and the next Monday with a pullback around the area 1885 previous resistance zone of the accumulation area broken yesterday After the release of the US CPI Core. Our Forecast remains Lng for the LONG trend with a pullback to have more strength in the next bullish impulse.
EUR/USD:Possible Retracement Before A New LONG ImpulseEUR/USD retreated to the 1.0850 area early Friday after having touched its highest level since April at 1.0868 late Thursday. The near-term technical outlook suggests that the pair could stage a technical correction before the next leg higher but losses are likely to remain limited. The retracement could reach the level of 38.2% Fibo from the last swing low, around area 1.07250 with the first target of attention 1.07800 where the price could have a first stop before growing again. A Divergence in RSI may confirm the possibility for the price for a correction in a short time before growth.
The data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed on Thursday that annual inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declined to 6.5% in December from 7.1% in November as expected. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell to 5.7% from 6%. Both of these readings came in line with analysts' estimates and the US Dollar Index fluctuated wildly while market participants tried to figure out how these data would influence the Federal Reserve's rate outlook.
Dovish comments from Fed officials, however, made sure that investors continued to move away from the US Dollar.
The next long target for EUR/USD 1.09200 area.
GBP/USD:Price Increase Value After Core CPI-Possible LONG SETUPGBP/USD continue its strong rally and yesterday the price after the Core CPI , break the dynamic trendline of the channel and re-test this one with a new Bullish impulse. Today the GDP m/m , the change in the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health also called Gross Domestic Product (GDP) gives a result of 0.1% instead the negative value of the forecast -0.2%.
All the European pairs seem to want to grow more and this is a major bullish rally of the European pairs of the last year. The price may reach 1.2320 in this session and go over the next session to reach 1.2400
I let you notice, the is a Divergence in the RSI indicator, in case the price will have a retracement by the Prelim USD UoM Consumer Sentiment, our targets will be the ones shown on the chart.
Long - CADCHFUsing recent volatility as an entry into this trade. Going long CADCHF.
We’re range bound in a descending channel at the moment. I expect this pair to run out to 0.715 (0.5 fib) before heading back down. All things being equal this has a very good RR at around 8:1
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EUR/USD:SELL From Strong Resistance For A SHORT SetupToday at 13:30 GMT the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for December and as we get closer to the release time, the forecasts by the economists and researchers of the major banks regarding the upcoming US inflation they show a decline to 6.5% from 7.1% in November and see the Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, edging lower to 5.7% from 6%. On a monthly basis, the CPI is forecast to stay unchanged while the Core CPI is projected to rise by 0.3%.
Commerzbank says:
“In the US, inflation is clearly on the retreat. From its peak of 9.1% in June, the YoY rate most recently fell to 7.1% in November. For December, we forecast a further decline to 6.4%. Used car prices are likely to have fallen by almost 3% in December from November. We therefore also expect the Core inflation rate to decrease from 6.0% to 5.6%. This would mean a continuation of the easing in inflation – a trend that should continue in 2023. However, we stand by our assessment that the fundamental inflation problem will not be solved. A sustained return to 2% inflation is likely to be prevented by demographically induced labor shortages, the costs of climate policy, and increasing protectionism.”
Looking at the Technical analysis, the price is still inside an accumulation area where we await a breakout to the bearish side with the price not reaching the 1.0800