EUR/USD:FUNDAMENTALS NEWS + TECHNICAL ANALYSIS | SHORT 🔔EUR/USD has preserved its recovery momentum after Fed's policy announcements.
Euro could continue to push higher in case 1.1050 turns into support.
A negative shift in risk mood could limit the pair's upside.
EUR/USD has regained its traction after dipping below 1.1000 with the immediate reaction to the US Federal Reserve's policy announcements. The pair consolidates Wednesday's gains near 1.1050 early Thursday and it looks to extend its rebound toward 1.1100 in case this level turns into support.
As expected, the Fed hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points and the updated Summary of Economic projections showed that policymakers expect to raise the rate six more times by the end of the year. Despite the hawkish policy outlook, FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell reassured markets that they would tame inflation without hurting the economic activity and allowed risk flows to dominate the markets.
Reflecting the negative impact of Powell's comments on the greenback, the US Dollar Index fell 0.6% on Wednesday.
Nevertheless, the Fed is clearly planning to tighten the policy in a much more aggressive way than the European Central Bank (ECB) does and the policy divergence should continue to favour the dollar over the euro moving forward. Hence, it's too early to say whether EUR/USD could go into a steady uptrend in the near term.
Meanwhile, markets remain on edge despite Russia's optimistic rhetoric about a peace agreement with Ukraine.
Russia reportedly thinks that they made significant progress toward a ceasefire but Ukrainian officials disagree with this view. In the opinion of France's Foreign Minister Jean Yves Le Drian, Russia is only "pretending to negotiate with Ukraine."
US stock index futures are posting small losses in the early European session and a negative tilt in the risk mood could make it difficult for EUR/USD to stretch higher.
Later in the session, weekly Initial Jobless Claims and February Industrial Production data will be featured in the US economic docket but the risk perception is likely to impact the pair's action in the remainder of the day.
Telegream
BTC/USD - The LatestSometimes to get a better perspective of things, we must simply change the way we look at them. Most of my recent Bitcoin analysis have been on shorter time frames to try and gage the market move and best decide how to trade the swing at hand. In this analysis I will be looking into the daily chart, and getting a larger perspective of price action to make sure I am seeing the right things happening. My previous cycle idea is flailing at the moment and could possibly fail. Oh well, who cares, I'm not here to be right. I simply went back to the drawing board and found a better way to approach this and now my perseverance and patience will likely result in profit, so everyones a winner. There is 2 investments you should never regret. The first is no investment at all, and the second is the investment of time.
I had someone earlier message me and say "TomProTrader, why do you always change your support and resistance levels on your charts?" After I stopped laughing, I said, "The same reason you look left and right when you crossed the road today, just because the road was clear when you crossed yesterday, it does not mean you will cross it today and not get hit by a truck." My point here guys, is you should always reanalyze a situation after analyzing it the first time. If you don't reanalyze a situation, the variables will change right under your nose and your portfolio could be the next thing getting hit by a truck.
Onto the analysis, Bitcoin is trading just around the 8100 handle and looks like it's hit a top for the time being. If price fails to follow my cycle idea, then price may correct further as per this chart. If price goes below 8030 and CLOSES there with a 12 hour candle, then I expect the cycle plan to be invalidated for the time being. I would expect price to correct lower now, likely hitting first target of 7790, which also coincides with the side-wards support/resistance transition line before a new up move begins to as potential upside target of 9300. Just because price bounces off of the support, this does NOT mean it will bounce straight to target, this could take some time so bear this in mind whilst executing the trade.
As earlier mentioned 8030 is a level of interest for short term bull sentiment. If price bounces on or around this level it could be a good place to buy a short term long. If it breaks below, invalidates cycle idea, and expecting a deeper correction. Look left and right when crossing those roads!!
Where do you think price is heading? Leave a comment with a chart and let's share our thoughts!
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