How we have been trading Bitcoin D1How we have been trading Bitcoin (Daily chart) with our indicators + hand-drawn trend lines.
After 10 years of R&D (we have been testing different indicators every day for a decade), we have developed our own Suite of 26 indicators. Here are just a few of them.
Indicators names (from top to bottom):
- Strength
Shows the strength of the market, the direction, pullbacks, equilibrium, and flats.
- Bear&Bull Powers
Shows the battle between the bears and the bulls.
- Angle
Indicates the direction and angle of the trend and the pullbacks.
- Template
Our main central indicator simplifying charts and bringing clarity.
- Steepness
Displays how steep the trend is and comments:
Going Up/Down | Trending | Strong/Weak | Pulling Back | Retracement | Flat | 75% Blue Background | ...
- Odds
11 indicators calculating the odds.
- Probability
75 indicators calculating the probabilities.
Template
Stock Market Logic Series #6Use earnings reports to your advantage.
As I discussed in previous ideas, the big money at any given time will be entering the market or getting out of the market. Never both.
When the earnings report is good, and the stock falls down => big money used it as a good advertisement to get out.
When the earnings report is bad, and the stock goes up => big money used it as a bad advertisement to scare other people to sell him their shares, thus he gets it.
This is the logic, and this is what you would have done if you had a lot of shares to buy and sell.
Trading is a business and as such it has the same functions as regular business.
The beautiful thing about the earning of the BIG CAP stocks, is that they give you a very high probability of direction to the market indexes. This is a situation where you "know" the market is going to move a certain way. Most of the stocks will follow the index direction.
This gives you a very very good day trade opportunity.
TSLA is a big cap, so any move of her, will directly effect the indexes.
This is why it is important to be aware of the BIG CAP earnings reports.
If you monitor those earnings you will see that you can gauge with very good accuracy and confidence what the market will do on a specific day. And milk the market using a day trade technique.
I attach to you how the earnings report of TSLA which created a gap down.
Pulled all the other stocks down also.
This is not a coincidence...
Your thought process is:
- earnings report of BIG cap is out
- This will pull the market to certain direction and bias
- I "know" the bias with confidence
- Odds are in my favor this day :)
- Day trade
See the strong DOWN bias of all the stocks...
Moral of the story: You should be AWARE to the BIG CAP earnings report. It makes or breaks your day...
Stock Market Logic Series #5We are going to discuss the concept of FAIR price and how it is related to momentum.
This is also a missing piece of the puzzle related to the guppy moving averages. Which never explains the logic of fair price behind the moving averages. Just saying "traders are selling" or "investors are buying" without giving you the psychology behind the buying and selling.
The psychology behind buying and selling:
When you want something, you are willing to pay a premium on it, just to get it.
When you don't want something, you are willing to give a discount on it, just to get rid of it.
The Significance of Moving Averages in Stock Market Trading
In stock market trading, moving averages play a significant role in determining the fair price of a stock. Fast moving averages represent the short-term fair price, while slow moving averages indicate the long-term fair price. These moving averages serve as important indicators for traders, helping them understand the price trends and make informed decisions.
Trading Above the Fair Price: Strong Buyer Interest
When trading is above the fair price, it signifies that buyers are highly interested in acquiring the stock, even if it means paying above the fair price. This increased buying pressure drives the price up, as individuals value the stock and are willing to pay a premium to secure it. This scenario presents an opportunity for traders to benefit from price appreciation. Go with momentum.
Buying Opportunities: Trading Below the Moving Average
Conversely, when the price of a stock falls below the moving average, it indicates a potential opportunity for investor buyers. In this situation, the previous owner of the stock may become anxious to sell and is willing to do so at a price below the fair value. This creates a favorable buying opportunity for investors, as the stock can be acquired at a discount or fair price.
Trading Below the Fair Price: Anxious Sellers and Discounted Stocks
Trading below the fair price implies that the old buyer is motivated to sell the stock quickly. They may be eager to get rid of their position, leading them to offer the stock at a price lower than its fair value. For trading purposes, this means momentum is down, and you should look for an opportunity to sell. If the price is dramatically traded below the fair price (away from MA) this could FLAG you that a trend reversal may just happens. Remember the psychology of buying and selling. Ask yourself, if someone wants it, how come this price is so cheap?
Unfair Prices in a Downtrend: Waiting for Confirmation of a Decline
Moreover, when you are in a downtrend, when the price is above the moving average, it indicates that the stock is trading at an unfair price. However, if you have insights or analysis suggesting that the price will decline in the future, it may be wise to wait for the short-term trend to shift. By observing the stock's movement and waiting for the price to fall below the yellow fair price (moving average), traders can confirm that selling is indeed happening before making their move. Getting in too early, with the wrong trading technique, will get you hurt.
Assessing Market Conditions: Understanding Fair Prices and Moving Averages
By understanding the dynamics of fair prices and their relationship with moving averages, traders can better assess market conditions. They can identify when prices deviate from their fair value and use this knowledge to their advantage. This insight allows traders to make informed decisions based on price trends, helping them maximize potential profits and minimize risks.
Comprehensive Research: Beyond Fair Prices and Moving Averages
If you could couple of other factors that support your view of FAIR price. You can consider various factors such as company fundamentals, industry trends, and market sentiment to complement your understanding of fair prices and moving averages.
Enhancing Trading Strategies: Incorporating Technical Indicators
In addition to fair prices and moving averages, traders should also consider other technical indicators and tools to enhance their trading strategies. These may include volume analysis, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and oscillators. By incorporating multiple indicators, you can gain deeper insights into market movements and improve your ability to identify profitable opportunities.
Adapting to Market Dynamics: Continuous Learning in Stock Market Trading
Understanding the concept of fair prices in relation to moving averages is just one piece of the puzzle. Successful traders continually adapt and refine their strategies based on market conditions, new information, and evolving trends. By staying informed, conducting a thorough analysis, and employing sound trading principles, you can increase your chances of success in the stock market.
Hope this helps you, follow for more. Like this post to save it to your ideas for future reference, so you will not forget this principle.
Stock Market Logic Series #4The Puppet Master in his best work.
Once you see him, you can't unsee him.
Whether you are a day trader or a stock investor, you should know where the bigger player that plays the stock intends to buy or sell the stock.
If he intends to buy the stock, the stock will eventually go UP.
If he intends to sell the stock, the stock will eventually go DOWN.
You should always have in mind the following perspective:
The bigger player AKA the Puppet Master, has unlimited amounts of money.
He controls the market. If you view the market in this way, you will get the insight that if you think of yourself as having unlimited money to use, what would you do???
- You should make an experiment in TradingView Demo, and play as if you have unlimited money. You will get a lot of insight to the mind of the puppet master, just from this experience only.
- You would try to buy out, all the other players and seduce them to sell the stock to you.
- You buy out other people, by increasing the price up by pressing on the ASK, so people will take small profits.
- You would try to shake out, using fear, to make other players sell the stock to you.
- You shake people out by stopping buying on the ASK, and only willing to buy what other people willing to sell, you have time, you know you at any time can move the stock up, no matter how hard it went down. You move the stock up at any time by pressing hard on the ASK buy button.
- Having unlimited money does not create stocks, it has to come from someone else. You need volume, so you could buy stock from weak players. As stated you have your ways of doing the above.
-There is no selling and buying simultaneously, you have your campaign of buying and then of selling. Never do both at the same time. You thinking big, making serious money from the markup and the markdown of the stock.
Once you understand this perspective, by looking at the volume, you can have a very good guess of what the bigger player or Puppet Master is doing. You see where he creates volume and where he has no volume, so he needs to respond (by buying aggressively on the ASK, and pushing the stock up).
Chart is also self-explanatory
Follow for more
Stock market logic, volume analysis, chart patterns :)
Stock PersonalityIt is super important to make a NOTE of what the personality of the stock looks like.
You should choose a stock with a smooth personality.
Avoid stocks with schizophrenic noisy personalities.
There is someone who wants to get in or get out.
This someone has a plan and trades the stock according to his plan.
This someone doesn't change his plan every day, since this will be time and effort-consuming and confusing even to himself.
People want to be consistent.
So if this someone decides I will make my life easy and sell sell sell and buy buy buy which makes the stock looks smooth. This is someone you will have a much better trading experience with.
THE GOAL: is to search where you can make your money easily - egoless.
Follow to tune in to more of this material.
Stock Market Logic Series #3When you buy (get-in) fresh cucumbers, you have time until they will expire.
But when you need to (get-out). You need to liquidate FAST or cucumbers will rot and you cant sell them to anyone.
The same thing goes for the fashion industry.
When a clothes trader purchases clothes for sale he needs time to buy and ship the clothes to the store, it does not happen all at once. When the season ends, and if he needs to get rid of all this "unfashionable" end-of-season clothes. So he wants to liquidate and get out FAST! So you see massive discounts to get everything from him to the consumer.
The same goes for stock trading...
Hope this helps you read better the charts between buying behavior and selling behavior.
Want to know more?
Follow for the next stock market logic.
Stock Market Logic Series #1The purpose of this series is to provide insight into what price is likely to do...
and more vital... what price is not likely to do... (since X is the cause and X is not existing, hence Y will not happen...)
The chart is self-explanatory.
IF no-one cares about the stock THEN no one will put money into it (no volume) THEN it will not rise.
The BIG question is, at a certain overextended place, the price is rising, even though, everyone is at a loss on this stock. why NOT crush into a price of $1 in one sharp move?
Can we "KNOW" that we are in an overextended place?
When you have stock market logic behind you, you will be more confident to take trades.
SESSION/DAILY/WEEKLY/MONTHLY VOLUME PROFILE 4 IN 1 TEMPLATE Link to the template - www.tradingview.com
Hey there! We're excited to share with you our amazing Trading View template that's designed to give you a head start on your analysis. We want to let you know that to fully take
advantage of the most indicators, you might need a Trading View subscription of sufficient level, but trust us, it's totally worth it!
The Volume Profile tool may not match the accuracy of others out there, but it still provides a useful overall idea that you won't find anywhere else. At Fostermans , we use this template
every day to get a Session/Daily/Weekly/Monthly bias that sets us apart from the rest. Trading View has helped us dominate the markets through bull runs and bear runs, and we're confident this
template will help you do the same!
Thank you all PineScript coders for making something like this possible!
Furthermore, the following indicators have also been incorporated for your convenience:
- Volume Profile
- VWAP
- Volume + Volume Average
- OHLE Data
- Naked POCs + Developing POCs
- Value Area High/Lows
We're excited to hear about your trading journey with this template, so let us know down in the comments how it's going!
MONTHLY VOLUME PROFILE + MONTHLY LEVELS TEMPLATE Link to the template - www.tradingview.com
Hey there! We're excited to share with you our amazing Trading View template that's designed to give you a head start on your analysis. We want to let you know that to fully take
advantage of the most indicators, you might need a Trading View subscription of sufficient level, but trust us, it's totally worth it!
The Volume Profile tool may not match the accuracy of others out there, but it still provides a useful overall idea that you won't find anywhere else. At Fostermans , we use this template
every day to get a Daily/Weekly/Monthly bias that sets us apart from the rest. Trading View has helped us dominate the markets through bull runs and bear runs, and we're confident this
template will help you do the same!
Thank you all PineScript coders for making something like this possible!
Furthermore, the following indicators have also been incorporated for your convenience:
- Volume Profile
- VWAP
- Volume + Volume Average
- OHLE Data
- Naked POCs + Developing POCs
- Value Area High/Lows
We're excited to hear about your trading journey with this template, so let us know down in the comments how it's going!
Template Trailing Strategy - Part 02A short introduction on how to set up the "Template Trailing Strategy" script with a signal indicator like the "Two MA Signal indicator".
An explanation of the TMASI and its settings that are the same as the Strategy - Internal section logic of the TTS.
A tutorial on creating your own signal indicator, connect it to the TTS to apply your trading logic.
illiquid weekend analysis - trading=art .____.
//volume profile//
---->Value area high/low (confirmation/invalidation)
----> Point of control (confirmation/invalidation)
!!! high probability trade opportunity
//Blue candle vs purple candle//
----> pivot point at specific closing/opening time
(illiquid or liquid???)
//Grey cloud vs Black cloud//
black up
grey down
switchingpoint = res/sup/(orderblocks???)
//trendlines //
---> (confirmation/invalidation/scalps)
Mark Minervini's Trend-TemplateIn the last tutorial, we have highlighted the importance to look for stocks in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend and explained why.
But how can we use technical chart analysis can be used to identify stocks in a stage 2 uptrend?
US investment champion Mark Minervini developed the so-called Trend-Template which can be used to screen for stocks in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend.
TradingView provides all of the relevant tools to automate this screening process. The following section summarizes the technical characteristics which must be met so that a stage 2 uptrend for a stock can be confirmed:
Trend-Template to confirm a STAGE 2 Uptrend
1. Stock price is above both the 150-day (30-week) and the 200-day (40-week) moving average price lines.
2. The 150-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average.
3. The 200-day moving average line is trending up for at least 1-month (preferably 4-5 months minimum).
4. The 50-day (10-week moving average) is above both the 150-day and the 200-day moving averages.
5. The current stock price is at least 25% above its 52-week low. (Many of the best selections will be 100%, 300% or even greater above their 52-week low before they emerge from a sound consolidation period and mount a large-scale advance).
6. The current stock price is within at least 25% of its 52-week high (the closer to a new high the better).
7. The relative strength ranking (as reported in Investor’s Business Daily) is no less than 70, but preferably in the 90s, which will generally be the case with the better selections.
8. Current price is trading above the 50-day moving average (exception “Low Cheat” setups
Remark for 7: the relative strength ranking as reported by IBD is only accessible for IBD embers but the TradingView indicator 'Relative Strength (IBD Style)' by SKYTE can be used as an alternative.
We at JS-TechTrading only consider stocks for our watchlists which are meeting all characteristics of Minervini's trend-template. Additionally, we are screening stocks for solid fundamentals using William o' Neils' CAN-SLIM methodology. This screening process in itself provides us with a significant competitive edge versus most other traders are doing.
US TOP-Stocks: WatchlistGeneral Market Update
After the Nasdaq composite and S&P 500 made follow-through rally confirmations Friday, the stock market extended gains Monday.
In the initial hours, performance was uneven. The Nasdaq composite and small caps lagged the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. But the Nasdaq composed itself in afternoon trading and closed almost 0.9% higher.
The S&P 500 and Dow led with gains of 1.2% and 1.3%. The Russell 2000 rose less than 0.4% as small caps never caught up with the rest of the market. Volume rose 2% vs. Friday's session on the Nasdaq and was indicated lower on the NYSE.
Friday's follow-through — when the S&P and Nasdaq surged more than 2% each in higher volume — marked the start of a confirmed market uptrend. But while the signal is historically bullish, today's market calls for greater safeguards.
Reasons For Stock Market Caution
Three follow-throughs that occurred earlier this year all failed, as they often do in bear markets. And today's stock market still faces major risks.
The Fed, for one, is still looking for clear signs that inflation is cooling off before it cuts back on rate hikes. Scores of earnings reports are coming out this week, including many bellwether companies.
Updated Watchlist
All stocks on our watchlists meet the hard selection criteria according to Mark Minervini's Trend-Template and William o' Neil's CAN SLIM methodology.
Here is the link to the updated watchlist:
www.tradingview.com
Market is in a weak position after a bull bubbleBull market ended with a bubble pattern.
Possible bear markets: ~80% and ~50% decline. We still have a way to go...
We didn't see any panic selling, so the bottom has not been reached yet. Prices decline moderately.
No bottom formation yet... keep watch.
Going DownWe have more room to go down until the major trendline.
We are in a bear cycle.
Could do double bottom and hold.
Remember:
--------------
The future is independent in the past given the PRESENT.
So if the market show us and tell us that it wants to reverse we change our view. (Currently view is DOWN)
Alt Trading Template - Planning for Maximum CapitalizationI put this together for myself to help stay organized and stick to the key plan I have for my trades. One other thing I've done is flag the coins in the watch list according to the level they are in from the template. I also printed the image itself and have been manually writing the coin name on a sticky note, moving them forward through the stages so that I can have a flow-based conception of how alts are moving through these various stages on their ways up.
Hope this helps someone!
4 Color Palettes For Charts 🎨📊Hi traders
there are 4 color palettes here that you can use in @TradingView charts.
1. Standard green & red
2. Neon Carrot & Neon Blue
3. white & Neon Blue
4. green body & green border
In future posts, I will publish more palettes in different backgrounds here.
so don't forget to like this post ❤
Algorithm Builder : Please ask me if you're stuckHi everyone
A quick post to share a story that happened less than 20 min ago.
I received feedback that a follower didn't want to buy the Algorithm Builder because he "tried it and it doesn't work on the Indian market"
11 minutes later (see screenshot below), using the exact same Strategy Builder along with the Backtest (that I'll introduce tomorrow), I made him a strategy with a stunning 63% win-rate, 3 Profit factor - on a period of 10 days, ending today
Our chat imgur.com
Performance of the algorithm across the last 10 days on a market not very volatile: imgur.com
I'm not writing this for trolling, I don't care at all and I surely have better use of my time
I just want to convey a message that if you don't know/understand how to use my Algorithm Builder, please ask me. I won't bite and I'll even advice configs
People are asking me every what I do use for trading and if I use the scripts I share... short answer: YES and the main pinnacle of my trading is the Algorithm Builder.
I make every day for my clients any algorithm on any market, any timeframe in less than 15 minutes. Now some of my clients got even better than me at designing signals with the tools.... (I'm a bit pissed about that, to be honest, but so happy they're learning)
You'll be able as well with a bit of practice, it's honestly not hard. Even my sister is doing it and she doesn't even know what the indicators inside mean...
I'm here to help so shoot me your questions/concerns/feedback.
I can't guarantee your success on the financial markets because psychology plays still a huge part but I did this in 11 minutes guys and you already have the tool available for a free week trial
This is a generic script to detect the confluence/convergence between unrelated indicators
Algorithm Builder
More on that tomorrow to come, my friends.
Dave