Tencent: Significant Decline!Tencent's stock took a significant hit, creating a noticeable gap in the chart. Nevertheless, for now, our primary assumption remains that the price is currently working on the turquoise wave 3 and will soon move toward the resistance at HK$715. Afterward, a corrective movement should follow during wave 4. However, if the stock falls below the support at HK$364.80, downward pressure will mount significantly and make it increasingly likely that the price will drop to new lows below the nearest marks at HK$261 and HK$188.60 to develop a new low of the large wave alt. in green (probability: 36%).
Tencentholdings
Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) – Technical & Fundamental OutlookTencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY) is currently trading between $62–$64, maintaining structure within a well-defined ascending channel. After testing the $73 resistance level—a key price from 2020—the stock faced rejection, triggering a retracement phase and a shift into a daily consolidation range.
This range now appears to be forming a short-term descending pullback channel, potentially continuing into June–July. Based on historical price action, the next key demand zone sits between $55–$60, a level that served as multi-year support and resistance from 2018 to 2024. A revisit of this zone would likely draw strong buying interest, making it a high-probability long opportunity.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone: $55–$59 (long-term structural support)
Mid-Term Resistance: $73 (tested and rejected, but weak)
Breakout Target: $80–$81 (resistance from 2020)
Major Upside Level: $99 (2021 all-time high)
From a macro perspective, Tencent is strongly positioned in China’s growing tech ecosystem, with diversified operations across gaming, artificial intelligence, and quantum technologies. These sectors remain critical to the country's long-term innovation strategy.
If Tencent successfully holds the $55–$60 support zone and regains momentum, a move toward $80–$81 by September becomes plausible. A confirmed breakout above that range would put $99 back on the map, opening the door for new all-time highs into late 2025.
Conclusion:
Current market structure suggests we may be entering a healthy retracement phase within a larger bullish trend. The $55–$59 zone offers a favorable risk-reward area for long-term positions, with strong upside potential as Tencent continues to align with China’s tech-driven growth narrative.
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now?
Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide.
Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue.
As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry.
200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but
can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) Poised for a Breakout Toward New HighsTencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action averaging $68–$69. The key resistance level at $73—a price last seen in 2020—appears weak and could be easily broken, given the company’s strong positioning in China’s expanding economy.
With Tencent’s involvement in gaming, artificial intelligence, and quantum technologies, its growth prospects remain robust. If the $73 resistance is cleared, the next major target is $81. A decisive move beyond this level would set the stage for a potential retest of its 2021 high of $99, with the possibility of surpassing it as Tencent continues to capitalize on new technological advancements.
Given these factors, Tencent could be on track to reach new all-time highs by the end of 2025, making it a key stock to watch in the evolving global tech landscape.
Tencent breakout first time since Jan 2023 -Target 366.40W Formation has formed recently on Tencent Holdings.
And where the price broke above the Neckline is also where the price has broken it's downtrend for the first time since January 2023.
This deems a very positive sign for buying and demand to push the price up.
Nature of the trade analysis is High Probability Too.
Price>20MA and Price>200MA
Target 366.40
Looks great!
TCEHY Price Target Price target for TCEHY Tencent is $56.
All the Chinese stocks are primed for a strong recovery after China`s top administrative authority said it would work to stabilize the stock market and boost economic growth!
Traders are expecting the Chinese government would support the stock market like the FED did in the US.
TCEHY Tencent Head And Shoulders Chart PatternIn the chart you can see a schoolbook Head And Shoulders Bearish Chart Pattern.
Theory says that you measure the distance from the neckline to the top and then consider the same distance to discover the bottom from the neckline down.
In this case it coincides with the strong 40usd support!
ARK also sold its positions in TCEHY Tencent Holdings Limited.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it!