Tencent and Guillemot Brothers evaluate the purchase of UbisoftUbisoft, the famous video game developer responsible for sagas such as Assassin's Creed and Far Cry, is in the midst of a financial crisis that has caused a 50% drop in its shares over the last year. Faced with this situation, Tencent and the Guillemot Brothers, the company's founding family, are considering acquiring full control of the company, according to Bloomberg.
This potential deal would turn Ubisoft into a private equity firm, with Tencent holding a stake of less than 10%, with no veto rights or ability to sell its shares for the next five years. Meanwhile, the Guillemot Brothers would retain operational control of the company, in an attempt to stabilize it and keep other potential buyers away.
Key points:
• Financial crisis: Ubisoft has lost 50% of its stock market value in the last year.
• Possible acquisition: Tencent and the Guillemot Brothers are negotiating a deal to take control of the company.
• Market impact: Ubisoft shares jumped more than 30% following rumors of the takeover.
• Terms of the deal: Tencent would have no veto rights and could not sell its stake for five years.
• Future of Ubisoft: The goal is to revitalize the company and protect it from further acquisitions.
•
This move could mark a new stage in Ubisoft's history as it struggles to regain its position in the video game industry.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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Tencentstocks
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now?
Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide.
Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue.
As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry.
200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but
can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
Tencent Music ($TME) Beats First Quarter Revenue Estimates Tencent Music Entertainment Group, (NYSE: NYSE:TME ) a Chinese audio entertainment platform, beat Q1 revenue estimates by a steady rise in paid subscriptions and advertising services on its Spotify-like music streaming platform. The platform reported revenue of 6.77 billion yuan ($935.9 million) for the quarter ended March 31, beating analysts' expectations of 6.63 billion yuan.
However, revenue declined 3.4% from the previous year. Tencent has capitalized on its position as the largest Chinese music-streaming platform with an attractive licensed music library while continuing to focus on advertising services and artist merchandise. Paying users at its online music streaming service rose 20.2% to 113.5 million from a year earlier.
The company's revenue from online music services rose 43%, driven by solid growth in music subscription revenue. However, revenue from its social entertainment services dropped 49.7% due to the government's crackdown on online gambling in 2023 and increased competition from rival NetEase's Cloud Music and Bytedance-owned short video-sharing platform Douyin.
Technical Outlook
We are expected to see an Upside Gap or gapping effect prior to the earnings report. Tecent Music ( NYSE:TME ) stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 66.56, which clearly indicates an uptrend. The stock has been in a Rising wedge at the end of September 2023 towards this year consecutively surging towards new highs.
Tencent Major Trend ReboundHKEX:700 after years of down trend it is showing some sign of trend bottoming. Mainly supported by company share-buyback in the past few weeks.
While selling pressure from the market is not strong to pull the price lower after each selling. This is indicating that the selling pressure is weak. Which supports the kick start of a bullish trend.
In short term, the price movement continue to show bullish where the selling pressure erased with price marking back higher after sell down in the past 3 trading days. A short term rebound from recent retrace is on the way.
Tencent Music Gains Reach $735 Million, Despite Revenue DeclineTencent Music Entertainment ( NYSE:TME ), China's leading digital music company, has defied market expectations with a significant surge in net profits despite a slight decline in revenue for the year 2023. The company's robust performance reflects a strategic pivot towards driving profitability through enhanced subscriber conversion and retention, underscoring its resilience and adaptability in the evolving digital entertainment landscape.
Navigating Revenue Challenges:
Despite experiencing a modest 2% decline in revenue to $3.91 billion for the year, Tencent Music ( NYSE:TME ) delivered an impressive 36% increase in net profits, reaching $735 million. The fourth quarter saw profits soar to $198 million, showcasing the company's ability to capitalize on evolving market dynamics and emerging opportunities.
Success in Music Streaming Subscriptions:
Tencent Music's success story is underscored by the remarkable growth in music streaming subscriptions, which witnessed a 39% increase in revenue to $1.70 billion. This growth was driven by a 21% rise in paying subscribers, reaching 107 million, coupled with a 20% increase in average revenue per subscriber. Despite a slight dip in monthly active users (MAUs) for online music, the company continues to command a significant share of China's digital music market, with over 40% of the population accessing its streaming services monthly.
Navigating Social Entertainment Challenges:
While the 'social entertainment' segment faced challenges, including a decline in MAUs and monthly average revenue per user (ARPU), Tencent Music remained focused on leveraging its content and platform strengths to drive sustainable growth. The company's strategic initiatives, including expanded user privileges and AI-empowered products, played a crucial role in enhancing subscriber conversion and retention amidst a competitive landscape.
Strategic Vision and Growth Potential:
Executive Chairman Cussion Pang highlighted the pivotal transition at Tencent Music in 2023, emphasizing the company's commitment to shaping the music industry's robust development. With a focus on capturing multi-faceted opportunities and leveraging its dual engines of content and platform, Tencent Music remains well-positioned to capitalize on the vibrant growth potential of the digital entertainment sector.
Investments in Innovation and AI:
CEO Ross Liang emphasized Tencent Music's investments in innovation, particularly in leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance user experience and drive music discovery. The integration of AI in music streaming and social entertainment platforms underscores the company's commitment to delivering personalized and engaging experiences for users while supporting artists' creative endeavors.
A Strategic Player in the Global Music Industry:
As a major stakeholder in Spotify and Universal Music Group, Tencent Music's influence extends beyond the Chinese market, positioning the company as a key player in the global music industry. With its strategic partnerships and relentless focus on innovation, Tencent Music continues to shape the future of digital entertainment, driving growth and delivering value to shareholders and stakeholders alike.
TENCENT Peak Formed YesterdayRecent short term rebound shows peak sign yesterday with morning price surge erased in the afternoon. Which indicates selling pressure are coming back after rebound.
We entered into a Callable Bear Contract yesterday at the peak with the analysis of current downtrend reacts more sensitive to sign of selling pressures. Which we see a possible short term price down coming up.
While there are no sign of supporting at the bottom in the past few months of price down. We might see downtrend to continue.
What is Callable Bull/Bear Contract?
Is a structured product like warrants & options. It is similar to Daily Leverage Certificates (DLC) listed in SGX. It provides leverage on underlying securities while limiting the risk to the trade value. At the same time it provides unlimited returns potential at a lower price per units.
However, do take note of the "knock-out" feature when the underlying securities hits the contract strike price. Contract suspend & not able to "revive" after, the losses are limited to the amount you trade on the contract.
About our analysis :
Utilizing the dynamic insights from a 5-minute chart. By closely examining this timeframe, we dissect the intricate volume and price transactions of significant market players. Our aim is to identify short-term support and resistance levels, enabling informed trading decisions. Through this meticulous analysis, we decipher price patterns and trends, providing valuable guidance for traders navigating the fast-paced realm of stock trading.
Tencent major 4.5% drop sending a break in structure Tencent break in uptrend structure - Bearish
Tencent has eventually broken below the Uptrend structure after fantastic upside.
This means, the price is now in free fall and is more likely to touch the previous support (brim level of the last Cup and Handle ).
21<7 price>200 - Reversal
RSI <50 - Bearish
Target 312
I just did an analysis on Naspers which we spoke about how Tencent has the correlation.
As Naspers correlates with Tencent and Prosus... We saw a sluggish market in Asia session with the banking holiday effect in America.
Hong Kong stocks slump as Chinese tech giants step up rivalries, HSBC in focus as market await corporate earnings boost. The Hang Seng Index declined 1.7 per cent to 20,529.49 at the close of Tuesday trading, the biggest drop in over a week. The Tech Index tumbled 3.6 per cent while the Shanghai Composite Index added 0.5 per cent. The benchmark index has lost nearly 5 per cent in the past two weeks as hedge funds withdrew from the market. With Tencent dropping 4.5% this is why we saw a large breakaway gap with Naspers.
Caution is needed with such volatility .
Naspers is going up - this is stuff they don't want you to knowCup and Handle has formed on Naspers and has even gapped up showing strong momentum.
7 >21 >200 Moving averages all turned up.
Target 1 is R3,626.50
CONCERN is that Gaps close 70% of the time and Naspers is a wild one which acts erratically.
Number of reasons which I don't think they'll be happy if I tell you but I'm an independent.
1. Companies love to trade the arbitrage between Tencent (China) and Naspers SA
2. Prop traders love to scalp on lower time frames chasing the daily runs, falls and gaps.
3. You'll see in the volume with Naspers there are tons of 1's thrown into the buys and sells. This is to spook traders out as they have to pay more brokerage.
A company like Naspers is a major game player for many traders and for this reason, the erratic movements in the charts look like this.
Tencent Holdings Ltd. (700-HK, BUY)1Q Miss and COVID Likely Delays Recovery, but Easing Regulations Should Support Investor Sentiment; Maintain BUY and Decreasing PT to HK$400
HKEX:700
We are maintaining our BUY rating but decreasing PT to HK$400 (was HK$475) after Tencent reported 1Q earnings miss and implied continued macro challenges for 2Q. Domestic game revenue declined 1% y/y. Int'l game revenue grew 8% CC y/y (vs. +24% in 4Q, excluding onetime accounting adjustments), accounting for 24% (flat y/y) of total game revenue. Advertising revenue took the biggest hit from COVID lockdowns and declined 18% y/y (vs. -13% in 4Q). FinTech+Cloud growth also decelerated to +10% y/y (vs. +25% in 4Q). On the last earnings call, mgmt. indicated a recovery could happen in 2H. But given the prolonged lockdowns in some cities including Shanghai and the weakness in recent macro data, we think the recovery will be further relayed to 4Q. In 1Q, the company repurchased 8,864,400 shares for approximately HKD3,697 million.
Overall, while the operating environment will likely remain challenging in the near term, we believe that, with strong operating cash flow, Tencent is better positioned to take the opportunity to build around its long-term strategic areas such as int'l games, Video Accounts, and SaaS offerings. Moreover, while it will take time to see the benefits, the Chinese government is easing regulations for the digital economy, which should give investors more confidence in the sector
TCEHY Price Target Price target for TCEHY Tencent is $56.
All the Chinese stocks are primed for a strong recovery after China`s top administrative authority said it would work to stabilize the stock market and boost economic growth!
Traders are expecting the Chinese government would support the stock market like the FED did in the US.
My 2 Cents on TencentTencent Holding - Short Term - We look to Sell at 65.50 (stop at 69.00)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. 65.00 continues to hold back the bulls. The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 67.00. Previous resistance located at 65.00. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 65.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 55.00 and 52.50
Resistance: 65.00 / 68.00 / 70.00
Support: 55.00 / 50.00 / 45.00
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Tencent Preparing New Gaming Studio to Facilitate MetaverseTencent is looking to prepare for the next stage of internet games with a new studio that focuses on metaverse.
Tencent Holdings is assembling an international team for its new gaming studio that will be under TiMi Studio Group, a subsidiary of Tencent. Rumor has it that the company sent out an internal letter indicating the establishment of new 'F1'. According to the company's official career page, there are also over 40 new positions available for the new studio.
While a representative of TiMi said on Wednesday that the company is dedicated to developing AAA games and does not focus on 'metaverse', a company employee said that the new studio is essentially about the metaverse and development of metaverse-like games.
Despite the officials' attempts to try to stay off the topic of the 'metaverse', Tencent's record shows that the company had filed to register numerous metaverse-related trademarks, including 'Kings Metaverse', 'QQ Music Metaverse', and 'QQ Metaverse'.
Tencent currently runs the largest video gaming business by revenue. The company owns Riot, which has hit games like League of Legends and Valorant. In addition, TiMi, Tencent's subsidiary, generated over USD 10 billion last year with popular games like Honor of Kings and Call of Duty: Mobile.
This article was first published by ChineseAlpha.
Tencent Responds as CCTV Exposes the Account Renting ProblemSo far, the gaming giant has sued or sent letters to more than 20 account trading platforms and several e-commerce platforms, demanding them to stop all relevant services.
The rates for account renting services for Honor of Kings – which usually cost CNY 33 per two hours – have been emerging on the Internet and, in response, Tencent Game, the gaming sector under the tech giant Tencent – developer of the MOBA game Honor of Kings – claimed that account leasing and selling seriously damaged the game's real name system and protection mechanism for minors. By far, having sued or sent out letters to more than 20 platforms, it demanded a full stop of all relevant services.
On August 30, 2021, the National Press and Publication Administration issued a 'notice' to prevent minors from falling addicted to online games. The 'notice' states that all online gaming enterprises can provide minors, on Friday, Saturday, Sunday and legal holidays only, with one-hour services max (specifically from 20:00 to 21:00) and offering online gaming services to minors in any form at any other time is prohibited.
Yet, on the evening of September 6, CCTV, the state-controlled outlet, outlined in its news broadcast how a grey industrial chain has emerged on the Internet that rents and sells game accounts, which enables the minors to play online games without restrictions. On the account renting platforms, users can trade accounts of a variety of popular games including Honor of Kings and PUBG.
So far, the owner of Honor of Kings has called on relevant departments to issue corresponding laws and regulations to strictly control the account leasing and selling problem.
Despite the issuing of the 'notice', according to surveys, the policy did not have a material impact on the revenue of gaming companies. Previously, Tencent disclosed in the 2021 interim report that players under 16 accounted for only 2.6% of the total game revenue, of which only 0.3% came from players under 12.
Analysts from Jefferies Group predicted that about 5% of Tencent's game revenue came from minors under the age of 18. In other words, if the game business accounts for about 60% of the gaming tycoon's total revenue, the new regulation's impact would be barely 3%.
Tencent Stock Hello Traders,
After China's stranglehold on video games HKEX:700 was one of the companies that suffered the most.
If you look at the weekly calendar it seems to have made support in this area.
Post your idea/analysis below for discussion.
Thank you all for your support.
For more accurate setups, stop loss, take profits and mentoring services, FX signals, Crypto, Indices and Stocks PM me.
A Glance at Tencent's Insurance Technology VenturesTencent has also sped up its venture into the insurance industry. In 2016, Tencent invested in Waterdrop Inc, which turned out to be China's first Insurtech stock (WDH:NYSE), as one of the angel investors. In 2017, Tencent also received the admission ticket, which is an insurance license for its Weimin Insurance Agency Co., Ltd or WeSure issued by CBIRC.
WeSure
Launched in 2018, WeSure had attracted about 50 million clients as of November 2020. Meanwhile, the number of its registered users has exceeded 100 million. Benefiting from the powerful data networks of WeChat and Tencent's other platforms, WeSure has provided its partners with vital insurance-related technologies, including anti-fraud, risk identification and precision marketing. Users can make insurance purchases, inquiries and claims directly on the firm's vastly popular instant messaging and lifestyle platforms, WeChat and QQ.
WeSure has its own edge competing with AntSure. AntSure focused on 'insurance supermarkets' and relied upon cost-effective products based on natural flow conversion from its ecosystem. On the other hand, the focal points of WeSure are its selective customized products and real-life consulting services, which can provide enhanced one-on-one services to help customers with insurance configuration, claims assistance and more. Besides, WeSure has always taken the initiative to partner with foreign insurers, such as AXA and MetLife, to further expand the scope it can reach. In the early stages of COVID-19, WeSure and AXA launched an insurance plan which protected more than 100,000 front-line medical service staff, and the total insured amount of people through WeSure is over 15 million since the outbreak.
In addition, WeSure has actively explored charitable opportunities through the use of online insurance; for instance, WeSure established the 'WeSure Charity Fund' to enhance the effectiveness of insurance as a social stabilizer through leveraging the Internet and insurance to increase participation in philanthropy.
Bottom line
Despite the regulatory shakeups, WeSure and AntSure remain key tech-powered driving forces in China's insurance domain, embracing the potential to reshape the industry landscape.
For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
Hong Kong Tech Giant Tencent, is it time to buy? After a crash of 40%+ from the recent high in Feb, is it time to buy Tencent again?
Tencent has not closed below the 40 MA on the monthly chart yet.
The last few times it has fallen close to this moving average, it has provided a great buy opportunity for the short, mid, and long term.
Currently, the MA level to watch is 431.
If we close below this moving average, it could be a strong sign that downside risk has increased again...
Tencent Rushes into AI Chip Design MarketChina's Internet giants – Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent – have now all joined the semiconductor design race.
On July 14, Tencent (00700:HK) posted multiple positions for AI chip development-related roles on its official recruitment website. These include chip architects, chip verification engineers, chip design engineers, which were all posted under the Tencent Technology Engineering Group (TEG).
In response to the news, Tencent revealed (link in Chinese) that it has tried to develop some chips for specific applications, such as AI acceleration and video codec, and non-universal chips, based on some business demands.
Tencent started its foray into the AI chip market a few years ago as an investor. In August 2018, Tencent led pre-Series A round of AI startup Enflame. Later on, Enflame raised CNY 700 million in Series B and CNY 1.8 billion in Series C, while Tencent joined both rounds.
The tech giant's in-house chip development intentions have been evident for a while. In March 2021, Shenzhen Baoan Bay Tencent Cloud Computing Co., Ltd., Tencent's wholly-owned subsidiary, was registered, with Ma Huateng as the actual controller. Per official announcements, the new company's business scope includes IC design and research and development.
Baidu and Alibaba have been involved in the chip sector for years, where Baidu was the first entrant. In 2018, it announced the launch of the first in-house AI chip, Kunlun, designed to optimize AI workloads and improve Cloud computing's cost structure. Alibaba unveiled its first AI chip, Hanguang 800, in 2019. The chip is applied to the Taobao platform, which can reduce computing tasks requiring one hour to five minutes.
The AI chips developed by Baidu and Alibaba are mainly used for expanding their own existing businesses. Tencent's interest in self-developed specialized chips might also have something to do with vertical integration of the technology chain.
700 (TENCENT) POTENTIAL SELL INCOMING at 588.5 to 419.5TICKER CODE: 700
Company Name: Tencent Holdings Ltd
Industry: Communication Services | Internet Content & Information
Position Proposed: SELL
Technical Analysis
1. Falling Wedge Pattern (Potentially forming)
2. Large Head & Shoulders (Potentially forming)
3. Fibonacci Retracement at 0.786 is at key market structure
4. Fibonacci Expansion Safe Take Profit Level 1 (Grey Zone) Also the length of Flagpole
Analytical Assumption
Monthly chart has not done any proper retracement
to any market structure hence, we are looking for a deep pullback.
This deep pullback will hit previous resistance which is now the new support
Sell Exit: 588.5
Buy Entry: NOT READY (379.5-419.5)
1st Partial Take Profit: 867.0 (July-End 2022)
2nd Partial Take Profit: 1146.0 (2023)
Stop Loss: 355.0
This chart will be monitored and updated on a closer date or when more data is presented.
Drama on the Stock Exchange 2.0 - TENCENT MUSIC Buy Now!Hello dear readers,
In the last TENCENT Music analysis , I also talked about the reasons for the massive sell-off in Tencent and then created a trading plan.
Now the price is in the buy zone and I will build a long position. The reasons are:
- The sell-off was triggered by a Blackswan event.
- The price is at a strong cross support of golden pocket, trend lines and horizontal support levels.
- Volume is falling, the MACD shows a weakening of the downward trend.
- Of course, everything could turn out quite differently here. But all in all, I think that the probability of a nice long trade looks quite good when all factors are taken into account.
Now we have to be patient.
As always, it is "do your own research" - I am not an investment advisor and this analysis only reflects my personal opinion and is not a call for individual action!
If you want to support my work I would be happy about a Like & Follow 🙏
Many greetings & success!
Chartdigger
Tencent Finally breaking out, time to go long? $700I like Tencent here,
MACD and RSI are bullish. broke out of the triangle.
My first target is around $400-405.
More about Tencent
Tencent Holdings Limited is a Chinese multinational conglomerate holding company founded in 1998, whose subsidiaries specialise in various Internet-related services and products, entertainment, artificial intelligence and technology both in China and globally.