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Cryptocurrency - At A Crossroads...Reposting this just as the historic Ethereum Merge gets underway. (Original post from July was removed) Since the March 20 low when the market cap was a measly 91 Billion, the crypto space added a whopping $2.7 Trillion before topping out in November 2021, an impressive 2700% jump. The market has since corrected 74% to the tune of $2.25 trillion. We are now testing 2018 highs along with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. We could also see that the space found support at the 0.382 during the 2018 correction. The market cap has travelled in this ascending channel for about 5 years, it has now reached the critical red dashed trendline , you will notice that it tends to act aggressively here. Price initially found some resistance before breaking through in November 2017. In August the following year, it failed as support and a 60% drop followed. The trendline then proved to be resistance with a firm rejection in July 2019, price finally broke through in January 2021 before going on to make new all time highs. Another crucial support being testing is the Simple Moving Average (Blue Line), we could see that price found support here during the 2018 bear market low, & once again during the March 20 sell off. Should the SMA act as resistance, we may tread the bottom channel for some time. Should the SMA, trendline & the 0.382 hail to hold, the 0.5 Fibonacci lines up nicely with the bottom support trendline, this is about a 50% drop from current levels. (My Ideal Load Up Zone) If we look at the correction that took place in 2018, a similar 88% plunge will place us right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level. (Reload Zone) On the flip side, should price action remain in this ascending channel, the bottom trendline will line up with 0.382 in January 2024. It also marks a similar duration between the 2018 top & March 20 lows. Over the last 18 months, it has certainly paid to be a US dollar bull, whilst everything else has fallen to pieces (it seems). With its largest interest-rate increase in 28 years, the hawkish Federal Reserve signalled a strong determination to fight inflation, even if it ultimately takes a toll on the economy. This has undoubtedly affected cryptocurrency. Despite Bitcoin's inflation hedge narrative, a speculative asset class was never going to be spared. “Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.” Back in July, the Fear & Greed Index had broken the record for uninterrupted extreme fear. The index had been in a range of extremely negative sentiment for a record 72 days. The extremely negative sentiment had been in place since BTC collapsed from the $38,000 level on May 5. Today, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index sits @ 27/100, narrowly avoiding extreme fear levels. Are the bulls ready to turn the tide? Or will the bears continue the assault & send us to the abyss? With PI Cycle theory flashing a bottom, market ripe with fear, miner + retail capitulation, calls for BTC to hit 0, market oversold with RSI+MFI @ record lows, tether dominance showing weakness, in my humble opinion - its time to DCA into positions. There is no doubt, an interesting few years is upon us. Good Luck! Speculative Setup, DYOR.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by bL1TZZ
2
Buy her $ROSE not a Rose 🌹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. According to my last analysis of ROSE, attached on the chart, we can see that the bulls took over from a long-term perspective after breaking above the 0.055 resistance. 📈 After breaking below the 0.11 major low in red, the bears took over in the medium-term. Currently, ROSE is bullish in the short-term, undergoing a correction phase inside the rising blue channel. 🏹 For the bulls to regain full control, we need a break above the 0.15 previous major high in blue. 📉 Conversely, the bears would take over and initiate the next bearish impulse movement if the previous low at 0.11 is breached downward. 🌹 Buy BCBA:ROSE , not a rose; it is cheaper and a longer-term investment. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
11
TSLA in -12.68% downward trend, declining for three consecutive Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where TSLA declined for three days, in 206 of 266 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%. PYTH:TSLA Technical Analysis (Indicators) Bearish Trend Analysis The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 29, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In 55 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on December 29, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%. TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on January 09, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%. The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on January 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Bullish Trend Analysis The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected. The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected. Following a +4.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in 292 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%. TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
PYTH:TSLAShort
by Serhii_Bond
NSE:Relaxo 👟👠👢 can it walk or run.. Relaxo Footwears Limited manufactures and sells footwear for men, women, and kids in India and internationally. It offers casual, running, athleisure, walking, formal, sports, school, and training and gym shoes. The company also provides slippers, sandals, flip flops, slides, chappals, casuals, belles, and clogs. In addition, it offers footwear accessories. The company provides its products under the Relaxo, Bahamas, Flite, Sparx, BOSTON, and Mary Jane brands. It sells its products through 394 exclusive brand outlets; and e-commerce portals. Relaxo Footwears Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in New Delhi, India.
NSE:RELAXOLong
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
The Royal Trapping of Retailers - Pre-warnedOn Dec 20 - almost 10+ sectors in Nifty faced their individual resistances together - which " Triggered " a coordinated sell-off. I once again say the word - Trigger because FIIs and DIIs just kick started a sell-off and Retailer investors fell into the trap when they saw all their stocks across sectors started falling together. Just panic selling. At the end of the day FIIs and DIIs bought all the stocks resulting in Net +3000 crore of Buy activity despite major fall across all sectors I wrote a 8-part article already about this on same day. Additionally I Pre-warned on Dec 31 that similar situation is expected to happen on Jan 1st week as 6 out of 13 sectors are meeting their long term resistances together. Today - it came to Life. Another big round of sell-off across many sectors but net activity of FIIs and DIIs are both on BUY side. So who got fooled ? Who got trapped Royally?? It's us the Retail investors who once again don't have the perseverance, the technical knowledge of charts , the conviction on their own portfolio falling prey to Panic Selling. We need to " Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side " Thats the moto of our group - Stocks-n-Trends Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:CNXSMALLCAPLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
Another long-term downtrend broken?Here is another stock potentially breaking out of a long-term downtrend/basing pattern. I tried to put the trend line where there were the most hits so that it would be more accurate, but that resulted in some false breakouts in the past and, as a result, this could prove to be a false breakout or that the trend line isn't even accurate and there was no breakout. But the potential breakout occurred on strong volume, which is a good sign. Based on the assumption that a long-term downtrend has indeed been broken, I like this stock long-term. I don't like to set price targets, but rather set a stop loss and keep increasing it if a stock continues to rise. If this ends up proving to be a false breakout, or not even a breakout at all as I've stated my trend line might not be good, a break below long-term support of about $4 would be a very bad sign, but also potentially very good at shaking out the last of the weak hands. Think about it, if you had the ability and really wanted to shake out the weak hands, you would manipulate a false breakout here followed by a big shakeout below previous long-term support where you could buy at dirt cheap prices and then take the stock up for the move everyone thought would initially happen. This is not advice, just a very simple observation of a long-term chart pattern, decide for yourself and if you decide to trade this move, do so at your own risk. I'm a long-term investor, so I like to trade on longer-term moves and therefore and willing to take more risk - it wouldn't bother me if this stock had a shakeout following this potential breakout, but for short-term traders it would probably be too much to risk going through something like that, or their tighter stops would be taken out before the stock really gets going. I'm good with that as it adds long-term strength and more potential movement long-term.
PLong
by PatientContrarian
EURUSD : Post Brexit Shock. Reaching Parity with $$EURO is doing huge bear flag and might break down on longer cycle. We are in corrective structure making flag making D wave. Apparently, given more chaos and currency price wars we can slid down to a parity as 1$ -1euro. though we have chance to bounce back and make E and then drop down. For Near Short term, it might make flag after that break of trendline before hitting the bottom for completing D. I would suggest you to ride the waves and bounces. Enjoy the trading. ps. arrows shown in the chart has no specific value, it just shows the direction of waves. Please calculate your own entry prices and strategy for the trade based on your a/c and risk management.
Short
by robus
BTC short-term is going to drop from $42700 to $40k.We are in a bull market and through Dec 2023 clear a, b, c correction is being made. Wave a and b are clearly done. Wave c looks like a textbook ending diagonal pattern with waves 1, 2, 3, 4 already done and now we are in the middle of wave 5. The drop won't stop until price reaches $40k level. It's a good trade with a very high likelihood of success and amazing risk to reward. $42700 is a good place to short with a stoploss at $43900 (above wave 4) and take profit $40k.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by rafbie
1
BTC bullish for now then Tankagejust speculating. i've nailed this cross of fib channels before where the white cross literally acted as bottom target like a magnet and this seemed to line up nicely. but didn't publish till i realized we never retested the 2017-2018 high around 13.9k on a monthly we just blew past it and it happen to line up perfect so i'm putting in the possibility realm. plus i feel a max pain scenario in markets and crypto coming where we are begging for regulation. the Luna test run went well.
DERIBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Gamma-Rat
4
HOW-TO apply an indicator that is only available upon request?Recently, I've realized that my typical day involves constant encounters with indicators. For example, when the alarm clock rings, it's an indicator that it's morning and time to get up. I am checking the phone and once again paying attention to the indicators: battery charge and network signal level. I figure out in just one second that such a complex element of the phone as the battery is 100% charged and the signal from the cell towers is good enough. Then I’m going out on a busy street, and it's only because of the traffic light indicator that I can safely cross the road to reach the parking lot. Looking at the on-board computer of my car, with its many indicators, I know that all the components of this complicated mechanism are working properly, and I can start driving. Now, imagine what would happen if none of this existed. I would have to act blindly, relying on luck: hoping that I would wake up on time, that the phone would work today, that car drivers would let me cross the road, and that my own car would not suddenly stop because it ran out of gas. We can say that indicators help to explain complex processes or phenomena in simple and understandable language. I think they will always be in demand in today's complex world, where we deal with a huge flow of information that cannot be perceived without simplifications. If we talk about the financial market, it's all about constant data, data, data. Add in the element of randomness and everything becomes totally messed up. To create indicators that simplify the analysis of financial information, the TradingView platform uses its own programming language — Pine Script . With this language, you can describe not only unique indicators, but also strategies — meaning algorithms for opening and closing positions. All these tools are grouped together under the term "script" . Just like a trade or educational idea, a script can also be published. After this, it will be available to other users. The published script can be: 1. Visible in the list of community scripts with unrestricted access. Simply find the script by its name and add it to the chart. 2. Visible in the list of community scripts, but access is by invitation only. You'll need to find the script by its name and request access from its author. 3. Not visible in the list of community scripts, but accessible via a link. To add such a script to a chart, you need to have the link. 4. Not visible in the list of community scripts; access is by invitation only. You'll need both a link to the script and permission for access obtained from its author. If you have added to your favorites a script that requires permission from the author, you'll only be able to start using the indicators after the author includes you in the script's user list. Without this, you will get an error message every time you add an indicator to the chart. In this case, contact the author to learn how to gain access. Instructions on how to contact the author are located after the script's description and highlighted within a frame. There you will also find the 'Add to favorite indicators' button. The access can be valid until a certain date or indefinitely. If the author has granted access, you will be able to add the script to the chart.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Be_Capy
Preparing For The RBNZ Interest Rate DecisionWith the upcoming interest rate announcement from the RBNZ, NZDUSD traders remain steady and not making any crazy moves yet. The expectation is for the decision to be without any fireworks and to come out neither with a hike, nor a cut. The rate is forecasted to remain at +5.50%. If so, we might not experience huge moves in NZD during the release, unless the press conference, which will follow an hour after, has something in it that could spook or excite NZD traders. The technical picture shows that NZDUSD continues to grind higher, while running above a couple of tentative trendlines, where the shortest one is drawn from the low of November 17th. At the time of writing, the pair remains below a key resistance are, which is roughly between the 0.6086 and 0.6092 levels. The latter one is the current highest point of November. In order to shift our attention to some higher zones, a break of that resistance areas is required. Until then, we will stay cautiously bullish. If that break happens, this will confirm a forthcoming higher high, possibly setting the stage for further advances. We will then aim for the 0.6121 hurdle, or even the 0.6132 level, marked by the high of August 4th. Alternatively, a break of the aforementioned short-term upside line and a drop below the 0.6061 zone, marked by the current lowest point of today, may spark temporary interest in the eyes of the bears. NZDUSD could then drift to the 0.6035 obstacle, a break of which might open the way towards the psychological 0.6000 zone. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
(Gold) What does the Bullish Future Hold?What does the bullish future hold for gold in the upcoming months? Will Gold just continue to go higher and higher due to inflation or will Gold have 1 last good pullback before we see Gold taking off 🚀 🚀 🚀... Scenario 1: Gold will continue to push higher and test resistance's and supports while having slight pullbacks throughout its run. OR Scenario 2: Is a good size pullback in the near future for Gold, and when it does have the pullback does happen it will create a new buying opportunity for investors to stake up on gold before it explodes in value. (Either Scenario that happens Gold is still extremely bullish and would recommend all investors/traders to buy physical gold to maintain and grow your wealth against Inflation of the US Dollar...)
TVC:GOLDLong
by Popwwe123
5
BITCOIN can rally to $170K if it repeats 2018-21 historyHere we looked back at the bars pattern from 2018 to the beginning of 2021 and replicated it at April 2022 (the BLUE pattern). We can see a clear similarity in the bars' pattern from April 2022 to January 2023 which makes us believe that the price will repeat history. We are presently in a Concentration Zone where the price is predicted to BREAKOUT bearish at the start of February 2023 and rally as low as 8.5k. The price would then come back bullish and rally as high as 170k and hit new ATH. Bitcoin looks bullish in the long run !!! Let me know if you agree! This is an analysis. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by YanakTrading