Bullish Outlook: A Long Position on XAUUSDIn today's volatile market, an opportunity has emerged that demands attention. With a thorough analysis of the XAUUSD pair, it becomes evident that a long position is favorable. The following factors support this bullish stance and pave the way for potential gains.
Safe-Haven Appeal:
Gold, represented by XAU, has long been revered as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty. Amidst geopolitical tensions and potential market corrections, investors seek refuge in this precious metal, driving its price higher.
Inflation Concerns:
Persisting concerns over rising inflationary pressures have prompted central banks to maintain loose monetary policies, thereby weakening fiat currencies. Gold has historically been an effective hedge against inflation, making XAUUSD an attractive choice for traders looking to protect their wealth.
Technical Analysis:
Careful examination of the XAUUSD pair reveals an encouraging technical setup. Bullish chart patterns, such as a breakout from a key resistance level or a golden cross formation, suggest upward momentum and the potential for sustained price appreciation.
Conclusion:
With the backdrop of ongoing economic uncertainties and inflationary worries, it is prudent to consider a long position on the XAUUSD pair. The combination of gold's safe-haven appeal and the positive technical outlook creates a compelling case for traders seeking profitable opportunities. However, it is crucial to implement appropriate risk management strategies and closely monitor market developments to maximize the potential gains.
TERM
Bought 12,811 Ada for the Long TermCardano provides a potential long term play that will benefit the holders as many other Cryptocurrency Scams come to light, they fail and many people are left wondering why cant I have a fair chance of picking winners. Cardano offers a chance to redeem your view on Cryptocurrency as Midnight launches. The old way of investing into Cryptocurrency was always about good projects. As stories like Logan Paul's NFT, DNP3's Clucoin, Memecoins, and the various Ponzi Scheme 1%, 10%, 20% daily scams that prey on people that are getting into Cryptocurrency. Even Crypto Exchanges are failing so move offchain.
"Midnight will be a data protection-based blockchain that safeguards sensitive commercial and personal data, protecting fundamental freedoms of association, commerce, and expression for developers, companies, and individuals."
Bought 12,811 Cardano for AVG. Price of $0.288 last month. I believe this is a let's fly moment for Bitcoin and Cardano.
INVESTMENT IDEA FOR HALAs we can see the stock breaks its trading channel consolidation after 7 months with heavy volume and takes the support of the channel and again it breaks its trading channel on 16th November with heavy volume as compared to the last breakout volume.
STOCK IS TRADING ABOVE 20 50 EMA RSI crossing 60 from below. RSI 65
Hindustan Aeronautics Gets an LOI (letter of intent) for Nine Helicopters from Indian Coast Guard
letter of intent (LOI)
A letter of intent (LOI) is a document outlining the general plans of an agreement between two or more parties before a legal agreement is finalized. A letter of intent is not a contract and cannot be legally enforced; however, it signifies a serious commitment from one involved party to another.
educational purposes only!
Brazilian bank with space potential 🚀
Warren Buffett is famous for his investments, which he makes right at very bottom, and then holds them for many years and stocks bring him > 1000%!
There is a high probability that history will repeat it self with this cryptocurrency bank, in which he invested $ 1 billion a couple of years ago.
In fact, this is the only bet on the cryptocurrency of an elderly investor.
🏦 Nu provides digital banking services.
Every year the revenue of this bank grows by 100-200%!
The company attracts between 4 and 10 million new customers every quarter.
Given population of Latin America, the fintech company boasts significant growth potential in medium term by capturing market share.
But it should be remembered that while the bank is unprofitable, but as soon as the first profit appears, this rocket will not be stopped!
According to technical analysis, the stock found a bottom in region of $3-4 per share.
Now a new growing channel has been formed, which is confirmed by high volumes, so there is every chance that the uptrend will continue.
60% remains to the historical maximum, we will probably see this goal already this year.
💳 Nubank
Ticker: NYSE:NU
🔰 Entry price from: 7.3$
📊 Repurchase price: $5.6, $4.
🎯 Goals: $12, $15, $18
💼 Volume per trade: up to 0.5-3% per portfolio
📈 Potential return: up to 150%
It is better to keep this deal for the medium term.
You should enter the deal gradually, without rushing.
Initially at 0.5-1% of deposit.
If the stock falls, then you can average the position by 1-2%.
If the stock grows, then the entry point was good and you can increase the position by 1-2%.
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
XRP - Critical Zone 👀Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
XRP has been stuck inside a big range between our 0.3 support and 0.6 resistance.
📈 For the bulls to take over from a MACRO perspective , we need a weekly candle close above 0.6
In this case, a movement till the 1.0 resistance would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , 0.6 zone is acting as a resistance, hence if we break below 0.5 , we will expect further bearish movement.
Which scenario is more likely to happen next? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MyMI Options Play - AMZN CallsAMZN has recently broken it's current downtrend channel as identified but has also broken above and found closure/support above the 50% retracement from the $180 ATHs that it saw back in Nov. 2021.
I haven't purchased my long-term opts on this yet to see if a reversal in the current market push due to NVDA and other AI-Based movements that are holding up the markets. I expect some retracement at some point and potentially back to $114. From there I will look at the support we find back at that 50% retracement level ($114) and look for a long-term hold to back to the $140-$145s (if not higher).
NFLX - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹NFLX is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹NFLX broken up through resistance at 370.
🔹The volume balance is positive and strengthens the stock in the short term.
🔹Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SPY in the long term is looking to be touching resistance
The bull run in 2020 was nothing more than a massive false breakout caused by artificial juicing of the markets by the FED and GOV.
From long term perspective, we see that SPY is current at the top of its regular trading range that was set back in 2009.
There has been a few false breakouts above and below the trend since 2009
The is showing the support and resistance trend lines are spreading appart over time indicating the market is clearly getting more volatile as time goes on.
CSCO - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- CSCO shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- CSCO is testing resistance at 49.40.
- This could give a negative reaction, but an upward breakthrough of 49.40 means a positive signal.
- CSCO is assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
BESI for the long run.As we can see on the chart, BESI has been moving within this long-term trend the past few years.
It recently has touched the lower trendline again which has been acting as support for a long time.
By looking at what BESI has done in the past few years and with those 2 trendlines in mind, we can expect BESI to be bullish for the next few years to come until it has reached the top trendline again.
2023 is THE year to invest in Bitcoin ??? (Benner Cycle)🚀🌟 2023: THE year to Invest in Bitcoin according to the Benner Cycle 🌟🚀
Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! 😄 If you're wondering whether 2023 is the right time to jump into the Bitcoin market, read on. In this article, we'll be exploring a fascinating concept called the Benner Cycle, which might just give us a clue about what's in store for Bitcoin this year and in the coming years.
📜 Who is Samuel Benner and what is the Benner Cycle? 📜
The Benner Cycle is a fascinating market prediction model developed by Samuel Benner, a 19th-century American farmer who turned his attention to market forecasting after he bankrupted in 1873. Wanting to learn more why this happened, he started to look at markets and observed cycles in commodity prices and discovered that specific timeframes tended to see major market movements. By studying these patterns, he managed to predict market highs and lows with surprising accuracy. 🎯
🔑 The Key Concepts of the Benner Cycle 🔑
The Benner Cycle is built on the idea that market movements follow predictable patterns over time. At the heart of the cycle are three key periods: 8, 9, and 10 years. Benner observed that market highs typically occurred at 8-year intervals, while lows happened at 9- or 10-year intervals. By identifying these patterns, Benner was able to forecast future market movements with uncanny precision. Just have a look at the image below to see how accurate it has been:🔮
You might be wondering how the 2008 financial crisis fits into the Benner Cycle, especially since 2007 was called as a top in the cycle. It's important to note that while the Benner Cycle can accurately predict general market trends, it's not a crystal ball that can foresee every market event. The 2008 crisis was an anomaly caused by factors beyond the scope of the Benner Cycle. However, the fact that the cycle called 2007 as a market top does lend credibility to its predictive powers. 🔮📈
🤔 Potential Criticisms and Limitations of the Benner Cycle 🤔
While the Benner Cycle has its fair share of supporters, it's not without its critics. Some argue that the cycle is too simplistic to predict the complexities of modern financial markets. Additionally, the crypto market is still relatively young and may not follow the same patterns as traditional markets. That being said, the Benner Cycle can still offer valuable insights for investors looking to navigate the ever-changing landscape of cryptocurrencies. 🧭
🔗 Applying the Benner Cycle to the Bitcoin Market 🔗
Now that we've got the basics covered, let's dive into how the Benner Cycle might apply to the Bitcoin market. Like any market, cryptocurrencies are subject to cycles of growth and decline. By studying historical price data and applying Benner's principles, we can potentially identify key turning points in the market and make more informed investment decisions. 🧠💡
Looking at the graph above, we can see that according to the Benner Cycle, 2023 should be the low of the markets and this suggests that we're on the cusp of a significant uptrend in the cryptocurrency market lasting till 2026. Additionally, with growing mainstream adoption and technological advancements, there's never been a better time to invest in Bitcoin. 💰🚀
In conclusion, 2023 might just be the perfect year to invest in Bitcoin, according to the Benner Cycle. By understanding this fascinating market prediction model and considering its implications for the cryptocurrency market, you'll be better equipped to make informed investment decisions. Remember, though, that no prediction model is foolproof, so always conduct thorough research and seek professional advice if needed.
⚠️ The above is not financial advice ⚠️
If you're considering entering the Bitcoin market in 2023, keep these tips in mind:
1️⃣ Do your own research : 📚 Don't rely solely on the Benner Cycle or any single market prediction model. Make sure to study a variety of sources and consult experts when making investment decisions.
2️⃣ Diversify your portfolio : 💼 Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Consider investing in more traditional assets as well to spread risk and maximize potential gains.
3️⃣ Set realistic expectations : 📊 Cryptocurrencies can be highly volatile, and there are no guarantees in the world of investing. Be prepared for potential losses and keep a long-term perspective. Only invest the funds you can afford to lose.
4️⃣ Stay informed : 📰 Keep up-to-date with the latest news, developments, and trends in the cryptocurrency market. This will help you make more informed decisions and stay ahead of the curve.
5️⃣ Have a plan : 🗺️ Develop a clear investment strategy and stick to it. This includes setting goals, defining your risk tolerance, and establishing a timeframe for your investments.
Thanks for reading till the end! You're a champ! 🏆🍾
If you found this post useful consider a like 👍🏽🚀 and a follow.
Share freely with anyone you think should read this! 📜
Oh, and surely let me know what do you think of the Benner Cycle and the prospect of 2023 being the start of a new rally in the comments below! Looking forward to reading your opinions!
Mr. Elliott 😍 BTC USD Whole Cycle.I'm sorry about my changing directions up n down being confused all the time.. I've worked hard on this one and read every single candle from the beginning of this entire cycle and this is the result.. Moon Boys! You're going beyond that.. Feel free to share and thanks to haters it couldn't have been done without your criticism specially thanks to my soul brothers team. Not a trading advice do your own ta thanks. I change my bias to up only for the life time PERIOD.
Bitcoin Buy Zone just triggered today 5/9/2022To all my friends,
I created this technique back in 2017. In May 2021 a year ago I published another article "Waiting for the next Bitcoin Buy Zone". Well today 5/9/2022 the Bitcoin Buy Zone just triggered.
You might want to scoop up some Bitcoin for the next few month and add it to your already Dollar Cost Average Strategy. Just Saying
Previous Buy Zones
Oct 2014 - Oct 2015: ($167- $230)
Nov 2018 - May 2019: ($3119 - $7195)
Mar 2020 - July 2020: ($4942 - $10261)
~S
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2In my previous post , we started to analyze the most popular financial ratio in the world – Price / Earnings or P/E (particularly one of the options for interpreting it). I said that P/E can be defined as the amount of money that must be paid once in order to receive 1 monetary unit of diluted net income per year. For American companies, it will be in US dollars, for Indian companies it will be in rupees, etc.
In this post, I would like to analyze another interpretation of this financial ratio, which will allow you to look at P/E differently. To do this, let's look at the formula for calculating P/E again:
P/E = Capitalization / Diluted earnings
Now let's add some refinements to the formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year (*)
(*) In my case, by year I mean the last 12 months.
Next, let's see what the Current capitalization and Diluted earnings for the last year are expressed in, for example, in an American company:
- Current capitalization is in $;
- Diluted earnings for the last year are in $/year.
As a result, we can write the following formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year = $ / $ / year = N years (*)
(*) According to the basic rules of math, $ will be reduced by $, and we will be left with only the number of years.
It's very unusual, isn't it? It turns out that P/E can also be the number of years!
Yes, indeed, we can say that P/E is the number of years that a shareholder (investor) will need to wait in order to recoup their investments at the current price from the earnings flow, provided that the level of profit does not change .
Of course, the condition of an unchangeable level of profit is very unrealistic. It is rare to find a company that shows the same profit from year to year. Nevertheless, we have nothing more real than the current capitalization of the company and its latest profit. Everything else is just predictions and probable estimates.
It is also important to understand that during the purchase of shares, the investor fixates one of the P/E components - the price (P). Therefore, they only need to keep an eye on the earnings (E) and calculate their own P/E without paying attention to the current capitalization.
If the level of earnings increases since the purchase of shares, the investor's personal P/E will decrease, and, consequently, the number of years to wait for recoupment.
Another thing is when the earnings level, on the contrary, decreases – then an investor will face an increase in their P/E level and, consequently, an increase in the payback period of their own investments. In this case, of course, you have to think about the prospects of such an investment.
You can also argue that not all 100% of earnings are spent paying dividends, and therefore you can’t use the level of earnings to calculate the payback period of an investment. Yes, indeed: it is rare for a company to give all of its earnings to dividends. However, the lack of a proper dividend level is not a reason to change anything in the formula or this interpretation at all, because retained earnings are the main fundamental driver of a company's capitalization growth. And whatever the investor misses out on in terms of dividends, they can get it in the form of an increase in the value of the shares they bought.
Now, let's discuss how to interpret the obtained P/E value. Intuitively, the lower it is, the better. For example, if an investor bought shares at P/E = 100, it means that they will have to wait 100 years for their investment to pay off. That seems like a risky investment, doesn't it? Of course, one can hope for future earnings growth and, consequently, for a decrease in their personal P/E value. But what if it doesn’t happen?
Let me give you an example. For instance, you have bought a country house, and so now you have to get to work via country roads. You have an inexpensive off-road vehicle to do this task. It does its job well and takes you to work via a road that has nothing but potholes. Thus, you get the necessary positive effect this inexpensive thing provides. However, later you learn that they will build a high-speed highway in place of the rural road. And that is exactly what you have dreamed of! After hearing the news, you buy a Ferrari. Now, you will be able to get to work in 5 minutes instead of 30 minutes (and in such a nice car!) However, you have to leave your new sports car in the yard to wait until the road is built. A month later, the news came out that, due to the structure of the road, the highway would be built in a completely different location. A year later your off-road vehicle breaks down. Oh well, now you have to get into your Ferrari and swerve around the potholes. It is not hard to guess what is going to happen to your expensive car after a while. This way, your high expectations for the future road project turned out to be a disaster for your investment in the expensive car.
It works the same way with stock investments. If you only consider the company's future earnings forecast, you run the risk of being left alone with just the forecast instead of the earnings. Thus, P/E can serve as a measure of your risk. The higher the P/E value at the time you buy a stock, the more risk you take. But what is the acceptable level of P/E ?
Oddly enough, I think the answer to this question depends on your age. When you are just beginning your journey, life gives you an absolutely priceless resource, known as time. You can try, take risks, make mistakes, and then try again. That's what children do as they explore the world around them. Or when young people try out different jobs to find exactly what they like. You can use your time in the stock market in the same manner - by looking at companies with a P/E that suits your age.
The younger you are, the higher P/E level you can afford when selecting companies. Conversely, in my opinion, the older you are, the lower P/E level you can afford. To put it simply, you just don’t have as much time to wait for a return on your investment.
So, my point is, the stock market perception of a 20-year-old investor should differ from the perception of a 50-year-old investor. If the former can afford to invest with a high payback period, it may be too risky for the latter.
Now let's try to translate this reasoning into a specific algorithm.
First, let's see how many companies we are able to find in different P/E ranges. As an example, let's take the companies that are traded on the NYSE (April 2023).
As you can see from the table, the larger the P/E range, the more companies we can consider. The investor's task comes down to figuring out what P/E range is relevant to them in their current age. To do this, we need data on life expectancy in different countries. As an example, let's take the World Bank Group's 2020 data for several countries: Japan, India, China, Russia, Germany, Spain, the United States, and Brazil.
To understand which range of P/E values to choose, you need to subtract your current age from your life expectancy:
Life Expectancy - Your Current Age
I recommend focusing on the country where you expect to live most of your life.
Thus, for a 25-year-old male from the United States, the difference would be:
74,50 - 25 = 49,50
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 50.
For a 60-year-old woman from Japan, the difference would be:
87,74 - 60 = 27,74
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 30.
For a 70-year-old man from Russia, the difference would be:
66,49 - 70 = -3,51
In the case of a negative difference, the P/E range of 0 to 10 should be used.
It doesn’t matter which country's stocks you invest in if you expect to live most of your life in Japan, Russia, or the United States. P/E indicates time, and time flows the same for any company and for you.
So, this algorithm will allow you to easily calculate your acceptable range of P/E values. However, I want to caution you against making investment decisions based on this ratio alone. A low P/E value does not guarantee that you are free of risks . For example, sometimes the P/E level can drop significantly due to a decline in P (capitalization) because of extraordinary events, whose impact can only be seen in a future income statement (where we would learn the actual value of E - earnings).
Nevertheless, the P/E value is a good indicator of the payback period of your investment, which answers the question: when should you consider buying a company's stock? When the P/E value is in an acceptable range of values for you. But the P/E level doesn’t tell you what company to consider and what price to take. I will tell you about this in the next posts. See you soon!
Intel Long-Term Long (or short if it goes belly-up)For those who like regression channels, here is a chart of Intel going back to 1973. The channel has a Pearson coefficient of over 0.9, suggesting pertinence of the indicator. There has been consolidation around the bottom of the channel, ending with a good bullish H-A candle. You will be able to see a triple bottom on the weekly chart followed by a break-out of the consolidation. I am undecided as to whether to get in now or to wait for a little extra push. An upward move to about 70 seems possible.
Conversely, if price drops out of the channel below recent consolidation, look out below!